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New Zealand Drivers Study: Risky driving behaviour among learner and restricted licence drivers Dr Dorothy Begg University of Otago NZAA Research Foundation Symposium Wellington Convention Centre September 5 th – 6 th 2011

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Page 1: New Zealand Drivers Study: Risky driving behaviour among learner and restricted licence drivers Dr Dorothy Begg University of Otago NZAA Research Foundation

New Zealand Drivers Study: Risky driving behaviour among learner and restricted

licence drivers

Dr Dorothy BeggUniversity of Otago

NZAA Research Foundation SymposiumWellington Convention Centre

September 5th – 6th 2011

Page 2: New Zealand Drivers Study: Risky driving behaviour among learner and restricted licence drivers Dr Dorothy Begg University of Otago NZAA Research Foundation

New Zealand Drivers Study: a follow-up study of newly licensed drivers

Dr Dorothy Begg, Prof. John Langley, Rebecca Brookland, Anna McDowell, Hannah Jordan, Ari

Samaranayaka, Dave Barson, Prof. Hank Weiss (IPRU) Assoc Prof. John Broughton, Ngai Tahu Maori Health Unit,

University of OtagoProf. Shanthi Ameratunga, University of Auckland

Page 3: New Zealand Drivers Study: Risky driving behaviour among learner and restricted licence drivers Dr Dorothy Begg University of Otago NZAA Research Foundation

Study design • prospective cohort study • designed to capitalise on NZ graduated driver

licensing process• recruit newly licensed drivers at learner licence

stage• follow-up interviews at the restricted and full licence

stages• follow-up after full licence using national databases:

traffic crash reports, hospital admissions, police traffic records, ACC records

Page 4: New Zealand Drivers Study: Risky driving behaviour among learner and restricted licence drivers Dr Dorothy Begg University of Otago NZAA Research Foundation

On-going follow-up using national databases

Traffic crash reports Hospitalised traffic injury Traffic violations, convictions, infringements ACC motor vehicle account claims

minimum 6 months

Stage 2: Restricted LicencePractical Driving Test

Stage 2: : First follow-up Telephone Interview

Stages of GDLS Stages of the NZDS

Stage 1: Learner Licence Theory & Eyesight Tests

Stage 1: Baseline Interview Face to-face recruitment, consent forms, self-administered questionnaire

Stage 3: Full LicencePractical driving test

Stage 3: Second follow-upTelephone Interview

minimum 12 months

Stage 2:

Parent Interview Telephone Interview

Page 5: New Zealand Drivers Study: Risky driving behaviour among learner and restricted licence drivers Dr Dorothy Begg University of Otago NZAA Research Foundation

Stage 1: Recruitment of cohort (n=3,992)

• face-to-face after LL test • 1 Feb 2006 – 31 Jan 2008• at licensing centres (mainly NZAA)

– (75% participation)

and learner licensing courses – (90% participation)

• postcards in AA licensing centres in rural areas

• information sheets, signed consent obtained• self-administered paper questionnaire• Preferably completed on site, also mail back option• $20 MTA voucher for each completed interview

Page 6: New Zealand Drivers Study: Risky driving behaviour among learner and restricted licence drivers Dr Dorothy Begg University of Otago NZAA Research Foundation

DUNEDINAssistant Research Fellow Research Assistants at licensing centres

CHRISTCHURCHResearch Assistants at NZAA licensing centres

NAPIER / HASTINGSTe Taiwhenua o Heretaunga

AUCKLAND

Manukau Urban Maori

Authority

Manukau Youth Resource

Centre

Road Safety Group

Plus Research Assistants at NZAA licensing centres

RUATORIATe Runanga o Ngati Porou

GISBORNETuranga Health CIP

WAIROATairawhiti REAP

• Postcards throughou

t NZ in rural areas

and smaller centres

Page 7: New Zealand Drivers Study: Risky driving behaviour among learner and restricted licence drivers Dr Dorothy Begg University of Otago NZAA Research Foundation

Follow-up procedure for stages 2 & 3 • Driver Licence Registry (DLR) created and maintain

a database of NZDS cohort

• Contact details plus licence & offence data

• Each week DLR check database for changes and

send us the details

• Change usually indicates progress to next stage

• Computer assisted telephone interview arranged

Page 8: New Zealand Drivers Study: Risky driving behaviour among learner and restricted licence drivers Dr Dorothy Begg University of Otago NZAA Research Foundation

As of 31 May 2011:• 74% (n=2967) passed restricted licence test*• 87% of them (n=2570) completed stage 2 interview

• 40% (n=1605) passed full licence test• 92% of them (n=1481) completed stage 3 interview

Parent study interview• 1200 (85% participation rate): 64% female, 36%

male

• *all eligible for RL as of August 2008

Page 9: New Zealand Drivers Study: Risky driving behaviour among learner and restricted licence drivers Dr Dorothy Begg University of Otago NZAA Research Foundation

National database follow-up

• 98% gave signed consent for access to their

records up to 10 years after they get a full licence

– TCR data from MoT

– Traffic mortality & hospitalisation data from MoH

– Offence data from DLR

Page 10: New Zealand Drivers Study: Risky driving behaviour among learner and restricted licence drivers Dr Dorothy Begg University of Otago NZAA Research Foundation

Questionnaire items

Learner: demographic data, pre-licensed driving, reasons for licensing , alcohol, marijuana, other drugs, sleep, impulsivity-sensation seeking-aggression.

Restricted & Full: vehicle access & details, quantity & quality of driving experience: professional lessons, courses, supervised & unsupervised driving, driving behaviour, alcohol, marijuana, other drugs, seatbelts, police enforcement, speed cameras, crashes.

Page 11: New Zealand Drivers Study: Risky driving behaviour among learner and restricted licence drivers Dr Dorothy Begg University of Otago NZAA Research Foundation

The following results based on:

Restricted Licence Interview (learner licence data)

•September 2010 •2 years after all eligible for a RL•n=2474 (62%)

Full Licence Interview (restricted licence data)•May 2011•n=1470 (37%)

All results presented are %

Page 12: New Zealand Drivers Study: Risky driving behaviour among learner and restricted licence drivers Dr Dorothy Begg University of Otago NZAA Research Foundation

Key demographic characteristicsAge at learners

Learnern=399

2

Restrictedn=2474

Fulln=1470

15 years 49 61 75

16 years 18 16 13

17 years 10 8 5

18 years 5 3 2

19 years 3 2 1

20+ years 14 9 5

Page 13: New Zealand Drivers Study: Risky driving behaviour among learner and restricted licence drivers Dr Dorothy Begg University of Otago NZAA Research Foundation

Key demographic characteristics

Gender Learnern=399

2

Restrictedn=2474

Fulln=1470

Female 51 49 41

Males 49 51 59

Page 14: New Zealand Drivers Study: Risky driving behaviour among learner and restricted licence drivers Dr Dorothy Begg University of Otago NZAA Research Foundation

Key demographic characteristics

*Ethnicity Learnern=399

2

Restrictedn=2474

Fulln=1470

NZ European

55 65 75

Maori 21 14 8

Pacific 13 12 6

Asian 11 11 10

Other 15 16 14

* can identify with more than one ethnicity

Page 15: New Zealand Drivers Study: Risky driving behaviour among learner and restricted licence drivers Dr Dorothy Begg University of Otago NZAA Research Foundation

Key demographic characteristics

Residential location

Learner

n=3992

Restrictedn=2474

Fulln=1470

Main urban 89 88 87

Other 11 12 13

Page 16: New Zealand Drivers Study: Risky driving behaviour among learner and restricted licence drivers Dr Dorothy Begg University of Otago NZAA Research Foundation

Key demographic characteristics

NZDep2006 Learnern=3992

Restricted

n=2474

Fulln=147

0

1 & 2 least deprived

22 29 37

3 & 4 19 23 26

5 & 6 17 17 17

7 & 8 16 13 11

9 & 10 most deprived

26 17 9

Page 17: New Zealand Drivers Study: Risky driving behaviour among learner and restricted licence drivers Dr Dorothy Begg University of Otago NZAA Research Foundation

Risky Driving Behaviours

How often do you drive fast just for the thrill of it?

Learner Restricted

Never/hardly ever 83 70

Occasionally/quite often 16 28

Frequently/all the time 1 2

Males significantly riskier than females

Page 18: New Zealand Drivers Study: Risky driving behaviour among learner and restricted licence drivers Dr Dorothy Begg University of Otago NZAA Research Foundation

Risky Driving Behaviours

How often do you take some risks when driving because it makes driving more fun?

Learner Restricted

Never/hardly ever 90 80

Occasionally/quite often

9 19

Frequently/all the time

1 1

Males significantly riskier than females

Page 19: New Zealand Drivers Study: Risky driving behaviour among learner and restricted licence drivers Dr Dorothy Begg University of Otago NZAA Research Foundation

Risky Driving Behaviours

How often do you do burnouts, donuts or skids just for the fun of it?

Learner Restricted

Never/hardly ever 95 89

Occasionally/quite often

4 10

Frequently/all the time

1 1

Males significantly riskier than females

Page 20: New Zealand Drivers Study: Risky driving behaviour among learner and restricted licence drivers Dr Dorothy Begg University of Otago NZAA Research Foundation

Risky Driving Behaviours

How often do you do get involved in unofficial street races with other drivers?

Learner RestrictedNever/hardly ever 97 95

Occasionally/quite often

2 5

Frequently/all the time

<1 <1

Males significantly riskier than females

Page 21: New Zealand Drivers Study: Risky driving behaviour among learner and restricted licence drivers Dr Dorothy Begg University of Otago NZAA Research Foundation

Risky Driving Behaviours

How often do you overtake when there is a solid yellow line on your side of the road?

Learner Restricted

Never/hardly ever 99 98

Occasionally/quite often

1 2

Frequently/all the time

0 0

Chi sq not valid

Page 22: New Zealand Drivers Study: Risky driving behaviour among learner and restricted licence drivers Dr Dorothy Begg University of Otago NZAA Research Foundation

Risky Driving Behaviours

How often do you speed up if someone is trying to pass you?

Learner Restricted

Never/hardly ever 95 90

Occasionally/quite often

5 9

Frequently/all the time

0 1

Males significantly riskier than females

Page 23: New Zealand Drivers Study: Risky driving behaviour among learner and restricted licence drivers Dr Dorothy Begg University of Otago NZAA Research Foundation

Risky Driving Behaviours

How often do you make rude gestures at other drivers?

Learner Restricted

Never/hardly ever 93 87

Occasionally/quite often

6 13

Frequently/all the time

1 0

Males significantly “ruder” than females at full licence stage only

Page 24: New Zealand Drivers Study: Risky driving behaviour among learner and restricted licence drivers Dr Dorothy Begg University of Otago NZAA Research Foundation

Risky Driving Behaviours

How often do you honk horn or flash lights in anger at other drivers?

Learner Restricted

Never/hardly ever 90 79

Occasionally/quite often

9 20

Frequently/all the time

1 1

Males significantly “angrier” than females

Page 25: New Zealand Drivers Study: Risky driving behaviour among learner and restricted licence drivers Dr Dorothy Begg University of Otago NZAA Research Foundation

Risky Driving Behaviours

How often do you talk on a handheld cell phone while driving?

Learner Restricted

Never/hardly ever 91 78

Occasionally/quite often

9 21

Frequently/all the time

0 1

No difference by gender

Page 26: New Zealand Drivers Study: Risky driving behaviour among learner and restricted licence drivers Dr Dorothy Begg University of Otago NZAA Research Foundation

Risky Driving Behaviours

How often do you talk on a hands free cell phone while driving?

Learner Restricted

Never/hardly ever 91 84

Occasionally/quite often

8 14

Frequently/all the time

1 2

No difference by gender

Page 27: New Zealand Drivers Study: Risky driving behaviour among learner and restricted licence drivers Dr Dorothy Begg University of Otago NZAA Research Foundation

Risky Driving Behaviours

How often do you text message on a cell phone while driving?

Learner Restricted

Never/hardly ever 77 46

Occasionally/quite often

20 46

Frequently/all the time

3 8

No difference by gender

Page 28: New Zealand Drivers Study: Risky driving behaviour among learner and restricted licence drivers Dr Dorothy Begg University of Otago NZAA Research Foundation

Risky Driving Behaviours

In general, how fast do you drive on the open road, compared to other drivers?

Learner Restricted

Slower/ much slower

19 9

About the same 75 72

Faster/much faster 6 20

Males significantly faster than females

Page 29: New Zealand Drivers Study: Risky driving behaviour among learner and restricted licence drivers Dr Dorothy Begg University of Otago NZAA Research Foundation

Risky Driving Behaviours

In general, how fast do you drive in a 50 kph area, compared to other drivers?

Learner Restricted

Slower/ much slower

11 5

About the same 82 81

Faster/much faster 7 14

Males significantly faster than females

Page 30: New Zealand Drivers Study: Risky driving behaviour among learner and restricted licence drivers Dr Dorothy Begg University of Otago NZAA Research Foundation

Risky Driving Behaviours

How do you rate your driving ability, compared to other drivers with a restricted licence / just got their full licence?

Learner Restricted

Worse, much worse 4 0

About the same 70 65

Better/much better 26 35

Males significantly “better” than females

Page 31: New Zealand Drivers Study: Risky driving behaviour among learner and restricted licence drivers Dr Dorothy Begg University of Otago NZAA Research Foundation

Risky Driving Behaviours

Compared to other drivers in general, how do you rate your driving ability?

Learner Restricted

Worse, much worse 27 10

About the same 59 62

Better/much better 14 28

Males significantly “better” than females

Page 32: New Zealand Drivers Study: Risky driving behaviour among learner and restricted licence drivers Dr Dorothy Begg University of Otago NZAA Research Foundation

Risky Driving BehavioursSuppose there were no speed limits on the open road or highway, how fast would you chose to drive when weather conditions are good and traffic volume is light?

Learner Restricted

≤100 kph 58 34

100-120 kph 30 49

≥121 kph 12 18

Very significantly different by gender

Page 33: New Zealand Drivers Study: Risky driving behaviour among learner and restricted licence drivers Dr Dorothy Begg University of Otago NZAA Research Foundation

In YOU are driving how safe is it to

Drive at 60 kph in a 50 kph speed zone

Learner Restricted

Never safe 26 17

Safe 50 50

Mostly/always safe 24 33

Higher % females report never safe and higher % males mostly/always safe

Page 34: New Zealand Drivers Study: Risky driving behaviour among learner and restricted licence drivers Dr Dorothy Begg University of Otago NZAA Research Foundation

In YOU are driving how safe is it to

Drive at 110 kph in a 100 kph speed zone

Learner Restricted

Never safe 32 18

Safe 44 41

Mostly/always safe 25 42

Higher % females report never safe and higher % males always safe

Page 35: New Zealand Drivers Study: Risky driving behaviour among learner and restricted licence drivers Dr Dorothy Begg University of Otago NZAA Research Foundation

In YOU are driving how safe is it to

Drive with a BAC just over the legal limit

Learner Restricted

Never safe 82 84

Safe 15 12

Mostly/always safe 2 4

Higher % females report never safe and higher % males always safe

Page 36: New Zealand Drivers Study: Risky driving behaviour among learner and restricted licence drivers Dr Dorothy Begg University of Otago NZAA Research Foundation

In YOU are driving how safe is it to

Drive after using marijuana

Learner Restricted

Never safe 86 86

Safe 11 9

Mostly /always safe 3 5

Higher % females report never safe and higher % males always safe

Page 37: New Zealand Drivers Study: Risky driving behaviour among learner and restricted licence drivers Dr Dorothy Begg University of Otago NZAA Research Foundation

In YOU are driving how safe is it to

Drive through a red light

Learner Restricted

Never safe 92 94

Safe 8 6

Mostly/always safe 0 0

Higher % females report never safe and higher % males always safe

Page 38: New Zealand Drivers Study: Risky driving behaviour among learner and restricted licence drivers Dr Dorothy Begg University of Otago NZAA Research Foundation

In YOU are driving how safe is it to

Drive with teenage passengers and no supervisor

Learner Restricted

Never safe 47 15

Safe 35 37

Mostly/always safe 17 48

Slightly higher % females report never safe and higher % males always safe

Page 39: New Zealand Drivers Study: Risky driving behaviour among learner and restricted licence drivers Dr Dorothy Begg University of Otago NZAA Research Foundation

In YOU are driving how safe is it to

Drive between 10pm and 5am with no supervisor

Learner Restricted

Never safe 35 11

Safe 38 30

Mostly/always safe 27 59

Slightly higher % females report never safe and higher % males always safe

Page 40: New Zealand Drivers Study: Risky driving behaviour among learner and restricted licence drivers Dr Dorothy Begg University of Otago NZAA Research Foundation

In YOU are driving how safe is it to

Drive while talking on a handheld cell phone

Learner Restricted

Never safe 62 55

Safe 31 32

Mostly/always safe 7 13

Slightly higher % females report never safe and higher % males always safe

Page 41: New Zealand Drivers Study: Risky driving behaviour among learner and restricted licence drivers Dr Dorothy Begg University of Otago NZAA Research Foundation

In YOU are driving how safe is it to

Drive while talking on a hands free cell phone

Learner Restricted

Never safe 33 18

Safe 38 32

Mostly/always safe 29 50

Slightly higher % females report never safe and higher % males always safe

Page 42: New Zealand Drivers Study: Risky driving behaviour among learner and restricted licence drivers Dr Dorothy Begg University of Otago NZAA Research Foundation

In YOU are driving how safe is it to

Drive while texting

Learner Restricted

Never safe 69 65

Safe 26 27

Mostly/always safe 5 8

Slightly higher % females report never safe and higher % males always safe

Page 43: New Zealand Drivers Study: Risky driving behaviour among learner and restricted licence drivers Dr Dorothy Begg University of Otago NZAA Research Foundation

Drink-driving

How often did you drive within two hours of drinking at least one alcoholic drink

Learner Restricted

Never 90 73

At least once 10 27

Page 44: New Zealand Drivers Study: Risky driving behaviour among learner and restricted licence drivers Dr Dorothy Begg University of Otago NZAA Research Foundation

For those who had driven after drinking

On how many occasions do you think you were over the legal limit for you to drive?

Learner Restricted

Never 51 43

At least once 49 57

Page 45: New Zealand Drivers Study: Risky driving behaviour among learner and restricted licence drivers Dr Dorothy Begg University of Otago NZAA Research Foundation

For those who had driven after drinking

On how many occasions do you think you had too much to drink to be able to drive safely ?

Learner Restricted

Never 76 71

At least once 24 29

Page 46: New Zealand Drivers Study: Risky driving behaviour among learner and restricted licence drivers Dr Dorothy Begg University of Otago NZAA Research Foundation

In summary: How safe are our young drivers?

•Males riskier than females (except cell phones)•Very confident in own ability –especially males•Driver distractions

•cell phone use- txt high risk but still popular•carrying passengers -low risk

•Speed –very popular, high preferred speed, much faster than others •Few “boy racers” (street races, donuts etc)•Alcohol – high risk, but not for them

Page 47: New Zealand Drivers Study: Risky driving behaviour among learner and restricted licence drivers Dr Dorothy Begg University of Otago NZAA Research Foundation

The New Zealand Drivers Study has received funding from the Health Research Council of New Zealand, Road Safety Trust, Accident Compensation Corporation, and support from the Driver Licence Registry and the New Zealand Automobile Association.