new role of rail in great cities

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The new role of rail in great cities MarceloLascanoKežić, M. Sc. Universidad de Buenos Aires/Universidad Nacional de San Martín March 2014 March 2014 Institute for Transport Studies – University of Leeds – United Kingdom

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Presentation by Marcelo E. Lascano Kežic of the University of San Martin, Buenos Aires and the University of Buenos Aires. Delivered on 6 March 2014 to an audience at the Institute for Transport Studies (ITS) University of Leeds . www.its.leeds.ac.uk/research/themes

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Page 1: New role of rail in great cities

The new role of rail in great citiesg

MarceloLascanoKežić, M. Sc.

Universidad de Buenos Aires/Universidad Nacional de San Martín

March 2014March 2014

Institute for Transport Studies – University of Leeds – United Kingdom

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Summary:There is a growing contrast between the travel times by surface rail or metro, and those by vehicles moving along the street grid and highways. Rail axes have thus gained new importance, all the more those surface systems spanning longer di t  N t  l  h   il  i  b     tt ti  Th  i   l    distances. Not only has rail service become more attractive. There is also an increased number of potential users. As long as metropolitan growth continues and congestion stabilizes or increases, it is possible that rail axes may act again as shapers of metropolitan spatial features  The recent evolution of global cities  with shapers of metropolitan spatial features. The recent evolution of global cities, with their increased size, acute congestion and tendency to strengthen their central areas, convey a new utilization of rail transport. To test this hypothesis, we analyze the recent evolution of rail transport in three cities of similar entity: Buenos Aires  tie

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the recent evolution of rail transport in three cities of similar entity: Buenos Aires, Chicago and Sao Paulo. The cases selected represent distinctive combinations of land‐use, infrastructure and recent policy evolution. Analysis is centered on accessibility to downtown areas, where transportation processes assemble with a gr

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accessibility to downtown areas, where transportation processes assemble with a context where space is scarce. In all three cases the use of railways, as a set of inherited infrastructures, has seen an increase whose magnitude suggests a link to modal reassignment due to increasing congestion. Scarcity of space in old of

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g g g y pdowntown areas is being counteracted through more intense use, or through the expansion of vertical space for transportation operations.

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Marcelo E. Lascano Kežić, M. Sc.

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City size and transportation issues

J. Michael Thompson (1977):1) Transportation challenges of cities are related to their size;

2) Conversely, independent of location, cities of similar size face similar transportation 

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challenges; and that

3) Comparisons between cities of similar size, albeit located in different parts of the ld l d i i h i f i i f diff i

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t cit world, are more relevant and interesting than comparisons of cities of different sizes 

in the same country/region.

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“The quality of private transport tends to equal that of public transport”

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Why rail matters again in great cities?

Rail as an inherited equipment within the city structure:‐ insertion downtown.  capacity‐metropolitan coverage‐ inherited attribute: reliability‐ evolving inherited attribute: travel time savings 

Downtown areas of large citiesties

‐ Are relevant even if they grow at a slower rate than suburban areas‐ Most importantly: concentrates access to rail from all or most residential areas. No other city area  has this advantagegr

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y g‐ Keep their simbolic value. ‐ tendency to recovery

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Large cities

‐ Continue to grow. Size not a deterrent.  Increasing importance of capacity of trunk linesew ro

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g g p p y‐ Have entered into a stage of all‐day congestion, no longer exclusive to downtown areas and main transport links.

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Why rail matters again in great cities?

Objectives:‐ Explicit the positive feedback between rail infrastructure capacity and large cities

‐Document recent ridership increases that have been fast (less than 5 years) in large cities that have old rail networks

Hypothesis:‐ There is a relationship between the spatial structure of a city and the transportation tie

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technology ‐increased ridership  is becoming heterogeneous, socially, spatially. 

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Methodology:‐Harness operational ridership datasets,  as the most comprehensive  source of information illustrating use of rail in large cities, backed up with survey data, if 

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available.‐ distinguish, at least preliminary, two sections in a line: mainly residential, and mainly downtown or non residential with prevalence of alightnings during morning peaks

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The search for a principle prior to rail

Place all attention on scale of demand as a variable prior to h ltechnology.

Old  il i f t t  t diti   d   Old rail infrastructure, tradition and new use:‐ Visibility of historians, collectors, modelers, nostalgia

‐ Separate nostalgia from policyties

‐ Separate nostalgia from policyChange the subject:‐ Demand is… turns attention to  causalitygr

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y‐ Rail is….keeps the focus on effects

Spatial structure as a  main causal basis for the scale of transportation of ra

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p pdemand to downtown areas‐ Size‐ Density

Residential areas

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Density‐ Functional prevalence of downtown

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Density and sizetie

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Spatial structure and demand scale

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Spatial structure and demand scale

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Spatial structure and demand scale

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Linear aggregation of demand and demand scale

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Spatial structure and Linear aggregation of demand

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Linear aggregation of demand = vehicle load

zonas residenciales: origen centro: destinomañanas ►hábiles

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Spatial structure and Linear aggregation of demand

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Linear aggregation of demand = vehicle load

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TCRP 100 Transit Capacity and Quality of Service Manual – 2nd Edition, 2003, page 1-21

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Linear aggregation of demand and transportation technologytie

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Vuchic, 1999.

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Inter American Development Bank, 2008

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demand level and transportation technology

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demand level and transportation technology

Differential impact of bus supply aggregation according to the base scenario

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articulated busesregular buses

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Linear aggregation of demand and transportation technology

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40.000 pax/h Or “0” trasversal space?

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Source: Vuchick, 1978The

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Study area – SHAPE AND SIZEtie

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Study area SHAPE AND SIZE

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Study area – SHAPE AND SIZE

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Commuter rail – Ridershiptie

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Buenos Aires – modelling of monthly ticket sales per station

Preliminary results

EXTERNAL TERMINUSDIST. TO DWNTWNELECTRIFIEDNO. OF BUS LINESSERV. FREQ.POP. THYSSEN P.TRAVEL  TIMEHEALTH COVERAGEHEALTH COVERAGELOG (% OCCUPIED)

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Buenos Aires - Diesel line with moderate frequency increase

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Urban rail – Ridershiptie

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Urban rail – Ridership – Chicago – station change, 00/08tie

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Urban rail – Ridership – Chicago – absl. change, by dist.tie

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Chicago – 2000/2010 demographic changetie

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Diverging tendencies – bus and railtie

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Marcelo E. Lascano Kežić [email protected] tie

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