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Title Climate Change Copernicus Symposium on Climate Services for the Energy Sector 22-23 February 2017, Barcelona Elisabeth Viktor Climate Service Center Germany (GERICS) and Clim4Energy Alberto Troccoli and Clare Goodess University of East Anglia and ECEM Effective communication of climate information

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Page 1: New Effective communication of climate information · 2017. 3. 8. · average temperatures, and hydrological changes – poses risks to our energy systems, and thereby our energy

T i t l e

Climate Change

CopernicusSymposiumonClimateServicesfortheEnergySector22-23February2017,Barcelona

ElisabethViktorClimateServiceCenterGermany(GERICS)andClim4EnergyAlbertoTroccoliandClareGoodessUniversityofEastAngliaandECEM

Effectivecommunicationofclimateinformation

Page 2: New Effective communication of climate information · 2017. 3. 8. · average temperatures, and hydrological changes – poses risks to our energy systems, and thereby our energy

ClimateChange

A g e n d a

discussion

ECEM

Clim4Energy

challenges

consideringtheclimatecomponentwhentakingdecisions

Page 3: New Effective communication of climate information · 2017. 3. 8. · average temperatures, and hydrological changes – poses risks to our energy systems, and thereby our energy

ClimateChange

T a k i n g d e c i s i o n sc o n s i d e r i n g t h e c l i m a t e c h a n g e c o m p o n e n t

„Thedevelopmentofclimateservices(…)requiresatransdisciplinaryapproachofco-design,co-developmentandco-evaluation“

EuropeanCommission(2015):RoadmapforClimateServices

energysector

weather &climatedata

request

delivery

inthe past:

energysector

weather &climateinformation

now:exchange

requirements vs.feasibility

co-development

Page 4: New Effective communication of climate information · 2017. 3. 8. · average temperatures, and hydrological changes – poses risks to our energy systems, and thereby our energy

ClimateChange

C o m m u n i c a t i n g w i t h u s e r s

ECEM Clim4Energy

Distillationandsynthesisofmajorinformation:v GERICSFocusPaperv GERICSFactSheetsv Websitev Visualizationtoolv Videos

ü well-establishedfactsheetmethodologyofGERICS

ü developedincooperationwithbusinesspartners

Co-designclimateindicatorsandthevisualizationthereofisdevelopedincooperationwithenergycompanies.

Multi-facetedstakeholderengagementanddialogue

Ø advisorycommitteeØ workshopsØ webinarsØ email/phonesurveysØ presentationsateventsØ websiteØ Twitter

Page 5: New Effective communication of climate information · 2017. 3. 8. · average temperatures, and hydrological changes – poses risks to our energy systems, and thereby our energy

ClimateChange

E C E M : E n g a g i n g s t a k e h o l d e r s a n d u s e r s

twostakeholderworkshops

Page 6: New Effective communication of climate information · 2017. 3. 8. · average temperatures, and hydrological changes – poses risks to our energy systems, and thereby our energy

ClimateChange

T h e D e m o n s t r a t o r s

explorationoftheclimateandenergyindicatorsproducedbyECEMandClim4Energy

þ user-friendly

þ interactive

þ visualization

þ download

þ userguidance

þ documentation

þ factsheets

Page 7: New Effective communication of climate information · 2017. 3. 8. · average temperatures, and hydrological changes – poses risks to our energy systems, and thereby our energy

ClimateChange Communicationchain

C l i m 4 E n e r g y

SISonlineportal

individualproduct

wealth of data andinformation

climate service

translation and greater focusof information

condensed summary

dependencies on climate and weather, current application of climate information, benefits of

using climate services

GERICSFocusPaperGERICSFactSheets

concise synthesis

climate change impacts,energy sector vulnerability,

products created within Clim4Energy

Page 8: New Effective communication of climate information · 2017. 3. 8. · average temperatures, and hydrological changes – poses risks to our energy systems, and thereby our energy

ClimateChange

C l i m 4 E n e r g y

GERICSFactSheet– Draftexample(windpowercapacityfactor)

•Introduction(purpose,targetaudience,climateindicator)

•KeyMessages•PracticalImplication

•Method(underlyingdata,methods,definitionofclimateindicator)

•CaseStudy(specificapplicationofclimateindicator,perspectiveandlimitationsbasedonthisexample)

•EuropeanContext(backgroundinformation,pan-Europeanperspective)

•Furtherreading

Page 9: New Effective communication of climate information · 2017. 3. 8. · average temperatures, and hydrological changes – poses risks to our energy systems, and thereby our energy

ClimateChange

C l i m 4 E n e r g y : G E R I C S F a c t - S h e e t e x a m p l e

Page 10: New Effective communication of climate information · 2017. 3. 8. · average temperatures, and hydrological changes – poses risks to our energy systems, and thereby our energy

ClimateChange

Dangerofinformationoverload

Providingsufficientguidancesothatinformationand

particularlydataareusedinappropriateways

Ensuringthatinformationisappropriatelytailoredfordifferentaudiences

C h a l l e n g e s a n d l i m i t a t i o n s

Understandingtheneeds– whoareouraudiences,whatouryourneedsandhowbesttomeetthem?

Conveyingcomplexinformationsuchasuncertaintiesinclimate&energy

indicators

Developingco-producedoutcomesthatareactuallyusedbythe

energysector

Consistencyofoutputsandmessages

Managingexpectations

Page 11: New Effective communication of climate information · 2017. 3. 8. · average temperatures, and hydrological changes – poses risks to our energy systems, and thereby our energy

ClimateChange

D i s c u s s i o n

Doyoupreferquantitative graphsor

conceptual visualizations?

Isyourprimaryneedkeymessages(clearatfirstglance)or

moredetailedinformationexplainingcontext and

background?

Thank you!

Would you rather workwith aninteractive onlinetoolorwithadocument, or both?

Whatdoyoulikeaboutourapproachesto

communication?Whatcouldwedobetter?

Istheleveloftechnicaldetailsufficient?

Howimportantisstandardization,harmonizationandconsistencyofoutputs/informationtoyou?

Page 12: New Effective communication of climate information · 2017. 3. 8. · average temperatures, and hydrological changes – poses risks to our energy systems, and thereby our energy

ClimateChange

A d d i t i o n a l m a t e r i a l

Page 13: New Effective communication of climate information · 2017. 3. 8. · average temperatures, and hydrological changes – poses risks to our energy systems, and thereby our energy

ClimateChange

C l i m 4 E n e r g y : G E R I C S F o c u s P a p e r e x a m p l e

ð developedincollaborationwithGermanKfWDevelopmentBank

ð introductiontotopicsofparticularrelevancetoprojectmanagersandtechnicalexperts

ð practicalsupporttowardsthedesignofprojectsandinvestments

ð aidingtheevaluationofclimatefeasibilitystudies

Available onrequest:www.climate-service-center.de/products_and_publications/fact_sheets/climate_focus_paper

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ClimateChange

C l i m a t e S e r v i c e C e n t e r G e r m a n y ( G E R I C S )

• Foundedin2009bytheGermanFederalMinistryofEducationandResearch

• SinceJune2014scientificorganizationalentityofHelmholtz-Zentrum Geesthacht

• Financedbyprogramme-orientedfundingoftheHelmholtzAssociation

• DirectorisProf. Dr. DanielaJacob• BasedinHamburg’sChilehaus• Interdisciplinaryteamofnaturalscientistsandsocio-

economists(approx.40staffmembers)

www.climate-service-center.dewww.gerics.de

ChilehausHamburg

©Fotolia/Avanne Troar

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ClimateChange

C l i m a t e S e r v i c e C e n t e r G e r m a n y ( G E R I C S )

• Practice-orientedprocessingofscientificknowledgeonclimatechange• Validation bytestinginpractice:

Howandwheredoestheservicework?Doesitcovertheneed?• GERICSisoperatingstrictlysourceneutral,basedonallavailable

scientificknowledgeaboutclimateandclimatechange

GERICSoffersinascientificallysoundmannerproducts,advisoryservicesanddecision-relevantinformation inordertosupportgovernment,administration

andbusinessintheireffortstoadapttoclimatechange.

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ClimateChange Processofuser-specific knowledgetransfer

C l i m a t e S e r v i c e C e n t e r G e r m a n y ( G E R I C S )

Page 17: New Effective communication of climate information · 2017. 3. 8. · average temperatures, and hydrological changes – poses risks to our energy systems, and thereby our energy

ClimateChange

C l i m 4 E n e r g y

GERICSFocusPaper“ClimateChangeintheEnergySector”

Who for? What? Why?o energyproducerso gridoperatorso tradersandmarket

analystso policymakers

o basedonliterature&co-developers’experience

o dependenciesonclimateandweather

o currentapplicationofclimateinformation

o benefitsofusingclimateservices

o predictingrenewableresourcesandtheirchanges

o manageclimatevariability

o assesscurrent&futureriskduetoextremeevents

moreinfo:http://www.gerics.de/products_and_publications/fact_sheets/index.php.de

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ClimateChange

C l i m 4 E n e r g y

GERICSFact-SheetsTopics

windpower

hydropower

bioenergy

oil&gas

freezingrainanditsimpactontheenergysector

demand– generationbalance

climatechangeimpactontheenergysector

moreinfo:http://www.gerics.de/products_and_publications/fact_sheets/index.php.de

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ClimateChange

C l i m 4 E n e r g y

GERICSFact-SheetsConcept

conciseinformation

tailoredtoYOU!

standardizedacrossdifferentenergy

industries

presentingclimatechangeindicatorsrelevantfortheenergysector

text,tables,diagrams

…basedonmodelleddataandliteraturereview…

6to8pages

moreinfo:http://www.gerics.de/products_and_publications/fact_sheets/index.php.de

Page 20: New Effective communication of climate information · 2017. 3. 8. · average temperatures, and hydrological changes – poses risks to our energy systems, and thereby our energy

pace17-19/10/2016, SIS Workshop, Reading (UK) 20

Stakeholder Engagement: Webinars, Twitter

Making the most of ERA-Interim Reanalysis for Wind and Solar Power 22 September 2016Chaired by Laurent Dubus (EDF) and Alberto Troccoli (UEA & WEMC)Speakers:« Hans Hersbach (ECMWF) – Overview of ERA-

Interim« Gil Lizcano (Vortex) – Assessment of ERA-Interim

winds« Lucien Wald (Mines-Paris Tech/ARMINES) –

Assessment of ERA-Interim solar radiation

Presentations and recording at: http://ecem.climate.copernicus.eu/index.php/news-

and-events/

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pace17-19/10/2016, SIS Workshop, Reading (UK) 21

Stakeholder Engagement: Committee & GFCS

« Advisory Committee« Christoph Grafe (Eurelectric)« Rafael Sanchez Duran (Endesa)« Virginie Dordonnat (RTE)« Fabio Monforti-Ferrario (JRC)« Sophie Voirin (Climpact-Metnext)« Steve Dorling (WeatherQuest)« Isadora Jimenez (BSC)

« Close links with the Global Framework for Climate Services

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pace17-19/10/2016, SIS Workshop, Reading (UK) 22

Stakeholder Engagement: Survey

« Email/phone survey – around 15 stakeholders contacted 1. For what purpose do you/your associates currently use climate data? For

example: operational, resource assessment etc. 2. What type of climate/energy data do you/your associates use/require? For

example: historical, seasonal forecasts, climate projections etc.,3. Do you think your organisation/your associates would use the ECEM

demonstrator now or in the future? Please give reasons for your answer. 4. In your view, how important is climate data considered by the energy sector with

regard to energy supply, demand and operational decision making? 5. Do you see this importance of climate data in decision making changing in the

future?

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pace17-19/10/2016, SIS Workshop, Reading (UK) 23

Stakeholder Engagement: Some responses

Q4 – In your view, how important is climate data considered by the energy sector with regard to energy supply, demand and operational decision making?

“It depends on the sub-sector. Within hydro, seasonal forecasts and historical climate data are very important. In other sectors, less so. However, in general there is a lack of use of the longer-term climate projection data, probably because these have traditionally been quite difficult to work with, and because there are a large range of uncertainties associated with e.g. the emissions pathway.”

“Very seriously for both operational needs and also for adaptation and mitigation in managing risk register for the company for visibility for board level.”

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pace17-19/10/2016, SIS Workshop, Reading (UK) 24

Stakeholder Engagement: Presentations

6th Forum on the Climate-Energy Security Nexus Emerging Best Practices and Lessons for North America in Enhancing Energy Sector Resilience

7 June 2016

Fairmont Chateau Laurier, Ottawa, Canada

In North America (Canada, US, and Mexico), climate change – through extreme weather events, rising

average temperatures, and hydrological changes – poses risks to our energy systems, and thereby our

energy security, by altering energy demand, disrupting energy supply and damaging energy

infrastructure:

• Increasing frequency and magnitude of extreme weather events cause physical damage to

energy infrastructure including electricity transmission and distribution, generation, and

transportation, causing disruptions in the supply of electricity and other fuels. Coastal and off-

shore infrastructure including oil refineries, power plants, and oil and gas infrastructure may be

especially vulnerable due to sea level rise, flooding, and extreme winds.

• Increasing water stresses have direct repercussions on hydropower generation, which in Canada

comprises almost two-thirds of the electricity generation mix. Thermal power generation (using

fossil fuels and nuclear power) is also highly dependent on the availability of water for steam

cooling. Rising water constraints can increase cooling costs for power plants and may require

adoption of alternative cooling technologies or improved water management practices. Oil and

gas extraction, especially secondary and tertiary (enhanced) oil recovery and unconventional gas

extraction, are also dependent on water.

• Rising temperatures reduce the efficiency of electricity transmission and distribution lines, as

well as that of thermal processes in power plants. These changes will also affect energy demand,

by reducing space heating demand in the winter but increasing cooling demand during the

summer months.

• Looking ahead, a decarbonising energy system characterised by increased electrification, more

variable renewable energy, and other low-carbon energy technologies (e.g. CCS) may alter the

nature of the climate-resiliency challenge, including changes to water demand, the ability to

localise and buffer supply disruptions, and risks from extreme weather events.

This event is the sixth in the series of Climate-Energy Security Nexus Forums, launched by the IEA in

2012 to raise awareness about the risks faced by the energy sector from climate change and to facilitate

dialogue between businesses, researchers, and policy-makers to explore and share ideas on enhancing

energy sector resilience to potential impacts. This 6th

Nexus Forum will:

a) highlight examples of practices by North American companies and utilities in dealing with

climate change impacts, with a focus on the electricity and oil and gas sectors;

b) identify best practices and innovative models for financing resilience-building investments;

c) identify needs and opportunities for policy interventions;

d) explore opportunities to strengthen North American and international collaboration in

resilience.

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ClimateChange