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National Technological Capabilities and Innovation Performance Krzysztof Szczygielski CASE & Lazarski School EACES workshop, 10. April 2010, Moscow

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Page 1: National Technological Capabilities and Innovation Performance Krzysztof Szczygielski CASE & Lazarski School EACES workshop, 10. April 2010, Moscow

National Technological Capabilitiesand Innovation Performance

Krzysztof SzczygielskiCASE & Lazarski School

EACES workshop, 10. April 2010, Moscow

Page 2: National Technological Capabilities and Innovation Performance Krzysztof Szczygielski CASE & Lazarski School EACES workshop, 10. April 2010, Moscow

Definitions (in this paper)

National technological capabilities characteristics of the economic and social

system that determine a country’s ability to implement and develop new technologies

in particular: knowledge, skills, infrastructure cf. Fagerberg, Srholec, Verspagen (2010)

Innovation performance The intensity of introduction of new product and

processes by the firms (new to the firm)

Page 3: National Technological Capabilities and Innovation Performance Krzysztof Szczygielski CASE & Lazarski School EACES workshop, 10. April 2010, Moscow

Why a study of innovation performance?

Innovation activity is a key element of technological progress

The inferior performance of Eastern Europe

S hare of mnf firms that introduc ed produc t or proc es s innovations in 2006

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

Aus

tria

Bel

gium

Cyp

rus

Den

mar

k

Fin

land

Fra

nce

Ger

man

y

Gre

ece

Irel

and

Ital

y

Luxe

mbo

urg

Mal

ta

Net

herla

nds

Nor

way

Por

tuga

l

Spa

in

Sw

eden UK

Bul

garia

Cze

ch

Est

onia

Hun

gary

Latv

ia

Lith

uani

a

Pol

and

Rom

ania

Slo

vaki

a

Slo

veni

a

Cro

atia

Rus

sia

Ukr

aine

Page 4: National Technological Capabilities and Innovation Performance Krzysztof Szczygielski CASE & Lazarski School EACES workshop, 10. April 2010, Moscow

Why a study of national capabilities?

Contribution to the empirical literature Several studies have examined the relationship

between technological capabilities and innovation growth

But the hypothesized channel (i.e. innovations) remains unexplored

Interesting from the theoretical perspective

Policy relevance National technological capabilities relatively easily

addressed by policy measures

Page 5: National Technological Capabilities and Innovation Performance Krzysztof Szczygielski CASE & Lazarski School EACES workshop, 10. April 2010, Moscow

Research questions

Are there diminishing innovation returns to national technological capabilities?(hypothesis justified by the National Innovation

System approach)

Is inferior innovation performance of Eastern Europe explained by lower technological capabilities?

G E R D 2008

0,00

0,50

1,00

1,50

2,00

2,50

3,00

3,50

4,00

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gium

Den

mar

k

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man

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and

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taN

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eden

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elan

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ry

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key

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excl

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outh

P atent aplic ations to E P O per mio. inh. (2006)

1,00

10,00

100,00

1000,00

Aus

tria

Bel

gium

Cyp

rus

Den

mar

k

Fin

land

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ece

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and

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Bul

garia

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Cze

ch

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onia

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gary

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ia

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and

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excl

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Page 6: National Technological Capabilities and Innovation Performance Krzysztof Szczygielski CASE & Lazarski School EACES workshop, 10. April 2010, Moscow

Research methodology

Generally speaking: regression of the share of innovating manufacturing firms on various measures of national and sectoral technological capabilities.

Dataset Estimation strategy

Page 7: National Technological Capabilities and Innovation Performance Krzysztof Szczygielski CASE & Lazarski School EACES workshop, 10. April 2010, Moscow

Methodology: Data

Dependent variable: share of firms that introduced a process or a product innovation in 2006(Community Innovation Survey: 28 countries x 23 two-digit NACE industries)

Independent variables: innovation capabilities Knowledge

GERD as % of GDP Applications to the EPO per 1000 inhabitants Firm expenditure on R&D over sales (industry-level data) Number of citations (minus self-citation) per an average paper (data from Scopus)

Skills Number of engineers and scientists per 1000 employed Pseudo-skill-intensity (industry-level data)

Infrastructure Broadband penetration rate Price of a standard telecommunication service

Also necessary: average life expectancy in the country (data from the CIA handbook)

Page 8: National Technological Capabilities and Innovation Performance Krzysztof Szczygielski CASE & Lazarski School EACES workshop, 10. April 2010, Moscow

Methodology: estimation strategy

estimated by a Tobit regression

Three models:

Page 9: National Technological Capabilities and Innovation Performance Krzysztof Szczygielski CASE & Lazarski School EACES workshop, 10. April 2010, Moscow

Results (*)

Page 10: National Technological Capabilities and Innovation Performance Krzysztof Szczygielski CASE & Lazarski School EACES workshop, 10. April 2010, Moscow

Results (**)

Page 11: National Technological Capabilities and Innovation Performance Krzysztof Szczygielski CASE & Lazarski School EACES workshop, 10. April 2010, Moscow

Results (** for country subsets)

Page 12: National Technological Capabilities and Innovation Performance Krzysztof Szczygielski CASE & Lazarski School EACES workshop, 10. April 2010, Moscow

Results (***)

Page 13: National Technological Capabilities and Innovation Performance Krzysztof Szczygielski CASE & Lazarski School EACES workshop, 10. April 2010, Moscow

Conclusions

National technological capabilities (NTC) are a significant factor of industry-level innovation performance

Evidence on diminishing innovation returns is mixed and depends on the subset of countries and on the measure of technological capability

Differences in NTC cannot explain the entire East-West innovation gap

Page 14: National Technological Capabilities and Innovation Performance Krzysztof Szczygielski CASE & Lazarski School EACES workshop, 10. April 2010, Moscow

Next stage

More periods (previous CISs) Better handle of the collinearity and

endogeneity problems Extension to service industries?