nation: technological and/or successful
TRANSCRIPT
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NATION:TECHNOLOGICAL
AND/OR SUCCESSFUL
Dima Malenko6/2/2016
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Товарищи! Я верю в автомобильное будущее Лучанска!
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GDP PER CAPITA
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–Wikipedia
“The argument for using GDP as a standard-of-living proxy is not that it is a good indicator of the absolute level of standard of living, but that living standards tend
to correlate with per capita GDP, so that changes in living standards are readily detected
through changes in GDP. ”
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UKRAINE’S GDP PER CAPITA
$3083
Based on World Bank data for 2014
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GDP per capita, $Luxembourg
US
Israel
Estonia
Poland
Brazil
Belarus
China
Ukraine
India 1,5823,083
7,5908,040
11,72714,337
20,14837,206
54,630116,613
Based on World Bank data for 2014
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–various sources
“IT industry contribution to GDP in 2015 was around $2.4bln,
which is about 3% of total $90bln of GDP”
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ECONOMY 101:
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT = compensation of employees + gross operating surplus
+ gross mixed income+ taxes
– subsidies on production and imports
income method of calculation
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ECONOMY 101:
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT = compensation of employees
+ gross operating surplus + gross mixed income
+ taxes – subsidies on production and imports
income method of calculation
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REVENUE PER EMPLOYEE
• Good measure of effectiveness of a particular company
• For exports-oriented hi-tech businesses almost directly represent their employee’s contribution to GDP
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REVENUE PER EMPLOYEE
Revenue, $M Employees Revenue per employee, $
Luxoft* 650.8 11087 58700
EPAM** 914.128 18354 49805
* based on 6-K filing from 5/12/2016** based on 10-K filing from 2/23/2016
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KEY ASSUMPTION
Revenue per employee≈
contribution to GDP≈
$55,000
For current state and trajectory of IT industry in Ukraine
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Contribution to GDP
Average* IT
$55,000
$7,170
* adjusted to size of working population (43% of total)
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What if we had manyIT workers?
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What if we had manyIT workers?
MANY
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GDPnew = GDPcurrent + ∆N•W•ContribIT
GDPPCnew = GDPnew N+∆N
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∆N = GDPPCnew•N – GDPcurrentW•ContribIT – GDPPCnew
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Current GDP for Ukraine, GDPcurrent = $90.524bln*Current population of Ukraine, N = 42,708,600**% of workforce in population, W = 43%**
IT worker’s to contribution to GDP, ContribIT = $55,000Target GDP per capita, GDPPCnew = $14,337
We will need at least
24,092,060new developers
Population growth, ∆N = 56,028,047
* for 2015 according to IMF** based on DerzhStat data for Jan-Mar 2016
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IT CONSULTING LANDSCAPERevenue, $M Employees Revenue per
employee, $Accenture 31,000 373,000 83,110
Tata Consultancy 16,540 353,843 46,744
Capgemini 13,244 180,639 73,318
Cognizant 12,416 233,000 53,288
Wipro 7,735 172,912 44,734
Unisys 3,356 20,000 167,800
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Our top companies are already world-class,and we cannot expect improvements in RPE
within current model
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“THEIR” IT IS DIFFERENTRevenue per Employee
Luxoft Accenture Unisys Shopify Atlassian Adobe Zendesk Google
$1,205,876
$408,548$380,750$253,376$195,833$167,800$83,110$58,700
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Not everything is that bad
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Embraer Regional Jet 145
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Revenue $5.9bln $11.2bln
Revenue per Employee $325,303 $406,554
! "
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Antonov An-148
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Revenue $211.9mln
Revenue per Employee $16,433
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For the first time ever, in 2011, global spending on prescription drugs topped $954 billion
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Revenue $69.304mln $149.08mln
Revenue per Employee $85,245 $66,259
# #
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Revenue $1.3bln $19.4bln $50.36bln $48.85bln
Revenue per
Employee$122,695 $129,047 $424,254 $623,882
$ % & '
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World production and use(million tonnes)
from Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations WORLD AGRICULTURE TOWARDS 2030/2050, The 2012 Revision
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CHERNOZEM highly fertile soil
• ~25% of world’s chernozems are in Ukraine
• wheat production• top: 7.0-9.1 t/hr• Ukraine: 3.49 t/hr
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Substantial portion of fertilizers does not get to the crops with such a process
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What if a drone could deliver a necessary portion of fertilizer exactly to a individual plant,
like Mark Watney did?
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TECHNOLOGY IS NOT SUCCESSTECHNOLOGY IS A KEY TO SUCCESS
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DO YOU KNOW WHAT PODCAST IS?
http://sonar.one