modelling survival from fieldwork data: a case study on the social bat molossus molossus

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Yann Gager Modelling survival from fieldwork data: case study on the social bat Molossus molossus

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Page 1: Modelling survival from fieldwork data: a case study on the social bat Molossus molossus

Yann Gager

Modelling survival from fieldwork data:

a case study on the social bat Molossus molossus

Page 2: Modelling survival from fieldwork data: a case study on the social bat Molossus molossus

Acknowledgements

Dina Dechmann Teague O’Mara

Olivier Gimenez Rachel Page

+ many fieldwork assistants

Page 3: Modelling survival from fieldwork data: a case study on the social bat Molossus molossus

Many animals are social…but why?

Page 4: Modelling survival from fieldwork data: a case study on the social bat Molossus molossus

Many animals are social…but why?

Balance of costsand benefits of group

living

Page 5: Modelling survival from fieldwork data: a case study on the social bat Molossus molossus

Sociality in bats

Tropics

Group hunting?

Temperate zones (summer)

Social thermoregulation Group hunting

Page 6: Modelling survival from fieldwork data: a case study on the social bat Molossus molossus

Social foraging in insectivorous bats

[Safi & Kerth 2007]

- Energetically limited (small size, flight + echolocation)

- Extreme specialization (narrow wings + ephemeral insects)

- Acoustic information transfer on site between roost members

Page 7: Modelling survival from fieldwork data: a case study on the social bat Molossus molossus

How is survival related to group size ?

Group size

Su

rviv

al

- Survival benefits/costs associated with group living?

Page 8: Modelling survival from fieldwork data: a case study on the social bat Molossus molossus

[Dechmann et al. 2010]

Page 9: Modelling survival from fieldwork data: a case study on the social bat Molossus molossus

Collection of survival data

1350 animals transpondered

during regular captures

7 roosts with automated readers

1980 « days »

Capture-recapture

14 sites – 77 captures

Page 10: Modelling survival from fieldwork data: a case study on the social bat Molossus molossus

Roost variation

Monthly variation

1a. Size of groups: spatial variation

Page 11: Modelling survival from fieldwork data: a case study on the social bat Molossus molossus

2. Survival analyses (capture)

- Data: capture-recapture (285 adult females)

- Analysis: Cox-proportional hazard regression

- Results: Effect of marking year

Variable p

Marking year 0.00966 ***

Initial group size 0.33938

Mean group size 0.97945

Site 0.81306

GLOBAL 0.12201

Page 12: Modelling survival from fieldwork data: a case study on the social bat Molossus molossus

3. Survival analyses (transponder-reader)

- Data: 4 sites followed over 15 months (59 adult females)

- Aim: Model monthly survival

- Analysis: Model comparison (Multi-state Mark-Recapture)

- Results: Group size as the best explanatory variable

Model QAICc ΔQAICc No. Of parameters

Group size 1546.1 0.0 20

Month 1583.6 19.5 28

Marking year 1773.6 209.5 8

. 1786.8 222.7 4

Site 1791.2 227.1 7

Page 13: Modelling survival from fieldwork data: a case study on the social bat Molossus molossus

3. Survival analyses (transponder-reader)

Page 14: Modelling survival from fieldwork data: a case study on the social bat Molossus molossus

To conclude

Conclusions

1- Survival benefits with increased group size

2- Constraints to medium groups

Perspectives:

- Effect of group size on foraging efficiency

- Relatedness between group members

Page 15: Modelling survival from fieldwork data: a case study on the social bat Molossus molossus

Thank you!