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Financial Instruments Financial Mathematics Financial Concepts Takeaways Mid-Term Revision of Quantitative Finance 101 Christopher Ting Christopher Ting http://www.mysmu.edu/faculty/christophert/ k: [email protected] T: 6828 0364 : LKCSB 5036 October 14, 2017 Christopher Ting QF 101 October 14, 2017 1/15

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Financial Instruments Financial Mathematics Financial Concepts Takeaways

Mid-Term Revisionof

Quantitative Finance 101

Christopher Ting

Christopher Ting

http://www.mysmu.edu/faculty/christophert/

k: [email protected]: 6828 0364

ÿ: LKCSB 5036

October 14, 2017

Christopher Ting QF 101 October 14, 2017 1/15

Financial Instruments Financial Mathematics Financial Concepts Takeaways

Table of Contents

1 Financial Instruments

2 Financial Mathematics

3 Financial Concepts

4 Takeaways

Christopher Ting QF 101 October 14, 2017 2/15

Financial Instruments Financial Mathematics Financial Concepts Takeaways

Underlying vs. Derivative

Underlying Asset! No defined expiration

Fiat moneyEquityFXSpot commodity

! Defined expirationFixed income

Derivative! Linear payoff

Forward and FuturesSwap

! Nonlinear payoffPlain VanillaEuropean optionStructured warrantsAmerican optionEuropean option + earlyexercise option

Christopher Ting QF 101 October 14, 2017 3/15

Financial Instruments Financial Mathematics Financial Concepts Takeaways

Mathematics NeededPre-U Math! Algebra x! Function f(x)! Series

∑ni=0 ai

! Binomial theorem! Limit limx→a f(x) = f(a)

! DifferentiationChain ruleProduct and quotientrules

! Maclaurin’s series! Integration

Change of variablesIntegration by parts

U Math! L’Hôpital’s rule! Taylor expansion! Partial differentiation! Step function! Dirac’s delta function! Riemannian integral! Bivariate Taylor’s

expansion! Bivariate integration! Jensen’s inequality! Itô’s calculus

Christopher Ting QF 101 October 14, 2017 4/15

Financial Instruments Financial Mathematics Financial Concepts Takeaways

Three Principles of Quantitative Finance

First Principle

! 100% certainty! Risk-free rate r

! PV r←→ FV! PV = e−r0TEQ(payoff function

)Second Principle

! Uncertainty −→ Risk! Risky asset’s E

(rr)> r

! Risk premium

! Risk r←→ E(rr)

! E(ra)≥ E

(rb), if Ra ≥ Rb.

Third Principle

! Buying = Selling! “Law” of one price

! No risk-free arbitrage! Market mechanism of fair price

Christopher Ting QF 101 October 14, 2017 5/15

Financial Instruments Financial Mathematics Financial Concepts Takeaways

Week 1

! Inspiration by a quantitative hedge fund: RenTech’s MedallionFund

The wave of the future

! Revision of Pre-U Math through the Life of Pi

Factorial n!Function f(x)sin(x), cos(x)

n-th order derivative f (n)(x)IntegrationProof by contradiction

! Pre-U Math App 1: Binomial theorem, probability

! Pre-U Math App 2: Average

! Focus on grace rather than grade.

! Reward your efforts and processes.

Christopher Ting QF 101 October 14, 2017 6/15

Financial Instruments Financial Mathematics Financial Concepts Takeaways

Week 2

! Fundamental theorem of calculus

! Telescopic technique for sum (and product)

! P&L and return: idea of cash flow

! Arithmetic return vs. geometric return

! Models of stock pricesDeterministic exponential functionGeometric Brownian Motion

! Forex convention and market practice

Christopher Ting QF 101 October 14, 2017 7/15

Financial Instruments Financial Mathematics Financial Concepts Takeaways

Week 3

! Risk-free coupon bond

! Present value of “guaranteed” future cash flows

! Application of Pre-U Math’s geometric series to obtain a compactform of bond price as a function of yield y, coupon rate c, andnumber of years n

! Coupon bond selling at par, at discount, at a premium

! Capital vs. money market

! Defaultable bond

! Three principles of QF

Christopher Ting QF 101 October 14, 2017 8/15

Financial Instruments Financial Mathematics Financial Concepts Takeaways

Week 4

! Risk-neutral pricing

! Payoff replication

! Models following principle of QFCAPMModigliani-Miller Proposition II

! Relative valuation from third principle of QF

! Model risk

! Derivation of CAPM by Pre-U Math’s differentiation

! Continuous compounding

! Zero-coupon bond

! Long-term and short-term risk

Christopher Ting QF 101 October 14, 2017 9/15

Financial Instruments Financial Mathematics Financial Concepts Takeaways

Week 4

! Treasury yield curve! Long-term risk! Short-term risk

Monetary policy riskReinvestment risk

! Coupon bond = Portfolio of zero bonds! Bond return = return from passage of time + return due to change

in interest rate! Duration and modified duration! Convexity ad modified convexity! Level, slope, and curvature of yield curve! Implied interest rate risk! A Parsimonious model of yield curve

Christopher Ting QF 101 October 14, 2017 10/15

Financial Instruments Financial Mathematics Financial Concepts Takeaways

Week 6

! Self-financing strategy! Derivation of fair forward price! Derivation of fair forward FX contract! Interest rate parity! FX swap! Non-deliverable forward! Implied forward interest rate! Forward rate agreement! Fair FRA rate vs. LIBOR! Discount factor! Fixed and floating legs of IRS! Long-short strategy of bonds

Christopher Ting QF 101 October 14, 2017 11/15

Financial Instruments Financial Mathematics Financial Concepts Takeaways

Week 7

! Overnight index swap as fixed rate! Overnight (floating) rate as floating rate

Fed funds rate, EONIA, SONIA, CHOIS, TONAR! CIRS! Put and Call! Intrinsic value vs. time value! Moneyness: ITM, ATM, OTM, DOOM! Plain vanilla payoff functions

(K − ST

)+ and(ST −K

)+! Obligation-right asymmetry −→ option premium (price)! Derivation of put-call parity c0 − p0 = S0 − e−r0TK! Implied forward price K∗ from ct(K

∗) = pt(K∗)

! Modigliani-Miller proposition Icredit spreadirrelevance of capital structure

Christopher Ting QF 101 October 14, 2017 12/15

Financial Instruments Financial Mathematics Financial Concepts Takeaways

Real-World Examples

Australia 61 2 9777 8600 Brazil 5511 2395 9000 Europe 44 20 7330 7500 Germany 49 69 9204 1210 Hong Kong 852 2977 6000Japan 81 3 3201 8900 Singapore 65 6212 1000 U.S. 1 212 318 2000 Copyright 2017 Bloomberg Finance L.P.

SN 116626 HKT GMT+8:00 H185-4014-0 16-Oct-2017 13:52:28

Christopher Ting QF 101 October 14, 2017 13/15

Financial Instruments Financial Mathematics Financial Concepts Takeaways

Flow of QF101 up to Week 9

Studentsare inspired

andGRACEful

Life of π

Revision ofPre-U Math

Derivationof CAPM

Derivationof Kelly’scriterion

Major assetclasses

H’Lôpital;Taylor;

Partial dif-ferentiation

3 Principlesof QF

Pricingnon-FX andFX fowardsand swaps

Yield curvemodeling

Put-callparity

Shapeof optioncurves

Box spread

Christopher Ting QF 101 October 14, 2017 14/15

Financial Instruments Financial Mathematics Financial Concepts Takeaways

Takeaways

! QF is based on 3 principles, applying math to re-look at financewith fresh insights and depth.

! Many important and useful models and formulas can be derivedby applying the 3 principles of QF.

! QF101 deals with a wide range of financial instruments from cash(fiat money) to options.

! QF101 has many practical, industry examples (FX jargon, optionchains, hedge fund, sovereign wealth fund, yield curves, OIS etc).

! The flow shows that QF101 is well organized and has a structuredframework.

Christopher Ting QF 101 October 14, 2017 15/15