methodological issues of working out strategies for hl in the pskov region project part-financed by...

Methodological issues of Methodological issues of working out strategies for working out strategies for

HL in the Pskov RegionHL in the Pskov Region

Project part-financed by

the European Union (ERDF)

HINTERLAND FORUM

Pskov

6-7 September, 2007

«Pogranichnaya volost’» (Krasnogorodsk District)«Pogranichnaya volost’» (Krasnogorodsk District)

«Gavrovskaya volost’» (Pytalovo District)«Gavrovskaya volost’» (Pytalovo District)

«Vasilyevskaya volost’» (Palkino District)«Vasilyevskaya volost’» (Palkino District)

Pskov RegionPskov Region

Pskov Region is located in the North-West of the Russian Federation. It covers 55,3 thousand km2. The population of Pskov Region is about 700 thousand people. There are 2 big cities in the region: Pskov (200 thousand people) and Velikie Luki (100 thousand people) and 24 districts (28 urban and 192 rural settlements)

There is an:

• internal border with Novgorod and Leningrad Regions in the North-West and with Tver and Smolensk Regions in the South-East;

• external border with Belarus (352 km long), Estonia (249 km) and Latvia (270 km).

The region is situated at the crossroads of highways and railways connecting Moscow with Riga and Tallinn and St.-Petersburg with Riga and Kiev. Pskov is located relatively close to such big cities as St.-Petersburg (280 km), Tallinn (280 km), Riga (260 km) and Moscow (650 km).

PopulationPopulation 2000 2005 Difference, %

The Russian Federation, million people 146,3 142,8 -2,4

North-West Federal District, thousand people 14199 13628 -4,0

Kareliya Republic 729 698 -4,3

Komi Republic 1043 985 -5,6

Arkhangelsk Region 1369 1291 -5,7

Vologda Region 1290 1235 -4,3

Kaliningrad Region 957 940 -1,8

Leningrad Region 1680 1644 -2,1

Murmansk Region 923 865 -6,3

Novgorod Region 710 665 -6,3

Pskov Region 782 725 -7,3

Saint-Petersburg 4715 4581 -2,8

PPopulation opulation FForecastorecast in the Region in the Region

Years Total Urban population

Rural population

Labour forces

2010 683,7 469,0 214,7 425,2

2015 634,8 446,0 188,8 370,9

2020 562,4 415,1 147,3 305,3

Basic Indicators of Economic Basic Indicators of Economic Development in Pskov RegionDevelopment in Pskov Region

The main industries of the Pskov Region economy are: manufacturing – 19.7 %, agriculture and forestry – 17.4 %, trade and catering – 14.5 %, and construction – 6.8 %.

Manufacturing is represented by approx. 1500 enterprises. The leading industries are machine-building, food and power supply.

There are more than 300 agricultural companies, 1400 farms and 130 thousand individual farms. The leading industries are flax cultivation, milk and meat production, vegetable- and potato-growing.

16,5 % of people is engaged in agriculture, almost 60 % of labour potential is involved in farming

Foreign trade brought in $733 million in 2005, including export – $403.2 million, and import – $329.8 million. More than 10% of Russia’s stream of supply is carried out through Pskov region.

Social and economic situationSocial and economic situation in the in the Districts of Pskov RegionDistricts of Pskov Region

In 1991-2005 rural population has decreased by 21% from 307,8 thousand people to 243,3 thousand people

Urban population has decreased by 7,8% from 535,1 thousand people to 493,4 thousand people

Negative demographic tendency – natural population loss in rural areas 2,5 times increases population loss in cities that causes decrease of labour potential in rural territories

In 1990-2004 sown areas has decreased twice from 841,4 thousand hectare to 360,3 thousand hectare

FFactor actor AAnalysisnalysis of T of Transformationalransformational Dynamics in the Economy of the DistrictsDynamics in the Economy of the Districts

The main reason of degradation in all the spheres is the crisis of traditional industries of specialization, primarily, in agriculture

In the pre-reform period the cooperation system between districts and all kinds of settlements was established

The basis of the local economy was agriculture

Population, Population, ths. peopleths. people

Income in 1990, RublesIncome in 1990, Rubles

230230 230,1 - 240230,1 - 240 240,1 - 250240,1 - 250 250,1 - 260250,1 - 260 260,1260,1

1515

Pushkinogorskiy, Pushkinogorskiy, PlusskiyPlusskiy

Krasnogorodskiy, Krasnogorodskiy, Poustoshkinskiy, Poustoshkinskiy, UsvyatskiyUsvyatskiy

PalkinskiyPalkinskiy

15,1 - 2015,1 - 20

GdovskiyGdovskiy Dedovichiskiy, Dedovichiskiy, Kun’inskiy, Kun’inskiy, NovorzhevskiyNovorzhevskiy

LoknyanskiyLoknyanskiy Dnovskiy, Dnovskiy, Pytalovskiy, Pytalovskiy, StrugokrasnenskiyStrugokrasnenskiy

20,1 - 2520,1 - 25Bezhanitskiy, Bezhanitskiy, NovosokolnichiskiyNovosokolnichiskiy

25,1 - 3025,1 - 30SebezhskiySebezhskiy OpochetskiyOpochetskiy PechorskiyPechorskiy VelikolukskiyVelikolukskiy

30,130,1

PorhovskiyPorhovskiy Velikie Luki, Velikie Luki, Nevelskiy, Nevelskiy, OstrovskiyOstrovskiy

Pskov, Pskov, PskovskiyPskovskiy

Typology of municipalities of the Pskov Region Typology of municipalities of the Pskov Region (population and income, 1990)(population and income, 1990)

Situation in the beginning of the reformsSituation in the beginning of the reforms

Income of the population is in the range Income of the population is in the range 230-250 Rubles.230-250 Rubles.

Minimal income is in 2 districts – Gdovskiy Minimal income is in 2 districts – Gdovskiy and Sebezhskiyand Sebezhskiy

The group of the territories of highest The group of the territories of highest income consist of big cities, highly income consist of big cities, highly populated cities and suburban districtspopulated cities and suburban districts




14001400 1401 - 17001401 - 1700 1701 - 20001701 - 2000 2001 - 23002001 - 2300 23002300

1515

KrasnogorodskiyKrasnogorodskiy, , Kun’inskiyKun’inskiy, , Novorzhevskiy,Novorzhevskiy,Palkinskiy,Palkinskiy,UsvyatskiyUsvyatskiy

Plusskiy,Plusskiy,PoustoshkinskiyPoustoshkinskiy

PushkinogorskiyPushkinogorskiy

15,1 - 2015,1 - 20

LoknyanskiyLoknyanskiy PytalovskiyPytalovskiy Gdovskiy, Gdovskiy, StrugokrasnenskiyStrugokrasnenskiy

DnovskiyDnovskiy DedovichskiyDedovichskiy

20,1 - 2520,1 - 25BezhanitskiyBezhanitskiy

25,1 - 3025,1 - 30VelikolukskiyVelikolukskiy OpochetskiyOpochetskiy PechorskiyPechorskiy SebezhskiySebezhskiy

30,130,1

Nevelskiy, Nevelskiy, Ostrovskiy, Ostrovskiy, Porhovskiy, Porhovskiy, PskovskiyPskovskiy

Velikie LukiVelikie Luki PskovPskov

The situation in 2001The situation in 2001

Indicators of 3 districts significantly Indicators of 3 districts significantly decreased – Palkinskiy, Velikolukskiy, decreased – Palkinskiy, Velikolukskiy, PskovskiyPskovskiy

2 distrcits increased their indicators – 2 distrcits increased their indicators – Sebezhskiy and DedovichskiySebezhskiy and Dedovichskiy



40004000 4001 - 47004001 - 4700 4701 - 54004701 - 5400 5401 - 61005401 - 6100 61006100

1515

Kun’inskiy, Novorzhevskiy, Usvyatskiy

Krasnogorodskiy PlusskiyPoustoshkinskiy Pushkinogorskiy

Palkinskiy

15,1 - 2015,1 - 20

Loknyanskiy Gdovskiy, Strugokrasnenskiy

Pytalovskiy Dedovichskiy Dnovskiy

20,1 - 2520,1 - 25Bezhanitskiy Novoskolnichiskiy

25,1 - 3025,1 - 30

Velikolukskiy, Opochetskiy, Pechorskiy

Sebezhskiy

30,130,1Nevelskiy, Ostrovskiy Porhovskiy,

PskovskiyVelikie Luki Pskov


Existing Development StrategiesExisting Development Strategies

Social and economic situation in the districts of Pskov Region is developing by inertia scenario under the influence of external factors

Less attention is paid to the strategic choice of settlements in new economic conditions and development of cooperation between settlements of various level

Territorial Territorial Strategic PlanningStrategic Planning

Strategic planning has been used on the corporate and territorial levels since the end of 1990s when stability in economic and social spheres was achieved

Problems:

irregularity of the budget relations system and instability of tax legislation lead to improper use of existing resources and promote use of upper budgets in solution of territorial problems

inertness of the territorial social and economic processes, caused by diversity of incomes and support measures, partly conceal the “bankruptcy” of the territories that becomes apparent in degradation of existing resources and sharp fall of standard of living

The Necessity of Strategic The Necessity of Strategic Planning in Pskov RegionPlanning in Pskov Region

Further degradation of traditional industries of specialization

Inefficiency of inertia strategy even in the conditions of economic growth

Appearance in Pskov Region specialists understanding the necessity and importance of strategic planning (were trained and got experience within the Federal Projects)

The CThe Conceptiononception of Social and of Social and Economic DevelopmentEconomic Development

Initial evaluation of social and economic situation

Strategic goal-setting of social and economic development

Choice of economic growth poles

Development of basic directions of social and economic policy

Development of policy’s implementation mechanisms

Initial Evaluation of Social and Initial Evaluation of Social and Economic SituationEconomic Situation

Reevaluation of the importance of natural resources in economic development

Problems arose in analysis and evaluation of financial, investment and labour potential

Problems in evaluation of natural resources and their proper use promote orientation on the regional budget (most settlings put subsidies from the regional budget in the first place but search of investor and use of own resources still remain in the second place)

Territorial potential and efficiency of Territorial potential and efficiency of its useits use

At the present moment there is no common At the present moment there is no common understanding of the potential of the territoryunderstanding of the potential of the territory

In scientific literature idea of economic aspect of In scientific literature idea of economic aspect of the potential is discussed that is understand as a the potential is discussed that is understand as a “totality of resources”“totality of resources”

It is necessary to use social and economic It is necessary to use social and economic potential but not economic potential, as only potential but not economic potential, as only social and economic potential characterizes social and economic potential characterizes opportunities of strategic development and use opportunities of strategic development and use of all the resourcesof all the resources

Structure of social and economic Structure of social and economic potentialpotential

Basic resource potentials of the territory

(natural, economic and geographical, demographic);

Potentials which provide development (labour, industrial, social, infrastructural, budget, investments);

Potentials which may cause economic reforms (staff, social and psychological, legal, scientific and methodological)

Strategic Goal-setting of Social Strategic Goal-setting of Social and Economic Developmentand Economic Development

The objective of all the concepts is to improve the living standard of the population, but it is not structurized and it has declarative character

Municipalities lay special emphasis on support of some enterprises and projects only but not on stimulation of business activity and reconstruction of the economy

Typology of the volost’ in Typology of the volost’ in demography and economydemography and economy

stable structure sensitive structure instable structure

low decline

Demography is stable

Economy is stable

Demography is stable Economy is on average

Demography is stable Serious economic problems

medium decline

Demographic situation is on average

Economy is stable


Economy is on average


Serious economic problems

high decline

Demographic situation is poor

Economy is stable

Demographic situation is poor Economy is on average

Demographic situation is poor

Serious economic problems

Typology of the volost’ in Typology of the volost’ in demography and economydemography and economy

stable structure sensitive structure instable structure

low decline

Gavrovskaya volost’ Gavrovskaya volost’ (Pytalovo District)(Pytalovo District)

medium decline

Vasilyevskaya Vasilyevskaya volost’» (Palkino volost’» (Palkino District)District)

high decline

Pogranichnaya volost’ Pogranichnaya volost’ (Krasnogorodsk District)(Krasnogorodsk District)

Choice of Economic Choice of Economic Growth PolesGrowth Poles

Agriculture

Timber felling and wood-processing

Food industry

Light Industry

Tourism

AgricultureAgriculture

In spite of the crisis in agriculture it is still one of the leading industries of the economy on the number of people involved in it (16,5%) in the region

Its input in Gross Regional Product is 10%

Dairy cluster is considered to be perspective

Agriculture is supported with the National Project

Timber Felling and Timber Felling and Wood-processing (1)Wood-processing (1)

Total wood area in Pskov Region is about 30% of the territory

Total wood reserves are approximately 250 million m3 (45% - coniferous forests, 35% - birch forests)

The resources allow felling up to 3,5 million m3 of timber yearly (30% - coniferous forests), but at present only 25-30% of possible volume is processed

Timber Felling and Timber Felling and Wood-processing (2)Wood-processing (2)

Due to the Programme of social and economic development of Pskov Region, pulp and paper mill (output 600 thousand tons per year) may become the core of wood-processing cluster

It requires raw materials – approximately 1,5 million m3 per year (mostly aspen)

1400 working places will be created to start up the mill and provide it with raw materials

Food industryFood industry

is closely connected with agriculture

is included in dairy cluster

has capacious markets

is characterized as stable

Light IndustryLight Industry

Light industry is considered to be an economic growth pole in 11 districts of Pskov Region

Light industry as well as food industry and machine-building are traditional industries of specialization for Pskov Region

Construction Materials Construction Materials ProductionProduction

The potential of resources for construction materials production is one of the most significant in the Pskov Region

Only 4 districts included production of construction materials into their strategic plan

TourismTourism

Tourism is characterized by a multiplicative effect for the local economy

Pskov Region has sufficient potential for developing tourism

There is a necessity to create infrastructure for tourism development

Development of Policy’s Development of Policy’s Implementation MechanismsImplementation Mechanisms

Development of corporate cooperation

Support of entrepreneurship

Using resources of National projects

Involvement of migrants into the local economy

Deepening inter municipal cooperation Using resources of educational institutions

Peculiarities of the Russian approach Peculiarities of the Russian approach to strategic territorial planningto strategic territorial planning

Strategic planning is a specific kind of management the core of which is in development of strategic decisions with such objectives and strategies realization of which provide their effective functioning in the long-term

perspective and fast adaptation to changing conditions.

Characteristic features:

Estimates and forecast s of internal and external environment; Factor analysis influencing on the development perspectives; Focus on middle- or long-term perspective; Orientation on key objectives influencing on the further development of

the system; Taking into consideration of resources required for the achievement of

the objectives

Stages of strategic planning on Stages of strategic planning on the municipal levelthe municipal level

Strategic analysis of the starting point and basic preconditions of social and economic development of municipalities;

Giving prove to the strategic choice, objectives, priorities and mechanisms of their implementation;

Preparation of management decisions on achievement of objectives and priorities in the form of the conception of the strategic development, social and economic development programmes, investment projects;

Monitoring of strategic choice realization and objectives’ achievement

Strategic development papersStrategic development papers Conception of complex social and economic development (of the

region or municipality) is prognostic and analytical paper including the system of ideas on the strategic choice, strategic objectives and priorities of the territories’ development, basic conditions of the strategy and social and economic policy on various aspects and resources of the set objectives achievement.

Program on complex social and economic development (of the region or municipality) – is conception’s realizing paper where information on the resources, actors, time of implementation directed on the objectives achievement and realization of the strategic choice.

Strategic plan is a short paper of representative character which includes projects directed on realization of priority functions set out as a strategic choice.

States of conception’s on social and economic States of conception’s on social and economic development in the regions of the development in the regions of the

Russian FederationRussian Federation

1 – working out basic ideas of the conception of strategic development in the region of Russia (short variant);

2 – dissemination of the worked out materials in municipalities included into the region;

3 – working out conceptions of municipal development by municipalities;

4 – agreement and correction of the worked out conceptions, their approval;

5 – working out of conceptions of strategic development of the region of the Russian Federation

A sample of the conception of municipality’s A sample of the conception of municipality’s strategic development strategic development ((beginningbeginning))

1. The starting point of the strategic development general characteristic and its role in the region’s development; integral estimations of basic social and economic situation and preconditions of the municipality’s

development; basic problems; internal resources; external factors determining municipality’s development; analysis of life quality of the population; analysis of potentials’ use; analysis of ecological situation; analysis of economic situation; management system’s conditions

2. Strategic objectives of social development level of health and life interval; life level of the population; way of life of the population; parameters of ecological situation

3. Strategic choice of municipalities perspective directions of economic activities; factor analysis; activities included into strategic choice.

4. Strategic choice of settlements

5. Strategic objectives of economic development

6. General mechanism of the conception’s implementation

8. A list of top-priority measures

9. Projects

7. Basic ideas of local social and economic policy Social policy Health protection policy Safety securing policy Social support policy Social adaptation of young people policy Education policy Culture sphere policy Services policy Housing policy Housing services policy Recreation policy Transportation policySocial policy OtherEcological policy Economic policyFinancial policy Economy’s diversification policy Resources’ integration policy Entrepreneurship support policy Conversion policy Investment policyPartnership relations policyIntermunicipal cooperation policy Other

A sample of the conception of municipality’s A sample of the conception of municipality’s strategic development strategic development ((continuationcontinuation))

The function of social and economic The function of social and economic development programdevelopment program

Firstly, it helps to solve major problems of complex social and economic development of the municipality;

Secondly, it helps to set out objectives (usually for the period of 2-5 years);

Thirdly, it gives a chance to combine interests of various actors in the process of solution of the municipality’s development problems based on the idea of social partnership

Tasks solved in the program of Tasks solved in the program of social and economic social and economic

development of municipalitiesdevelopment of municipalities

General objectives of complex social and economic program for the period of its implementation are defined;

Basic problems are specified, “second level” objectives and tasks as well as projects are singled out;

A system of measures directed at implementation of defined objectives and tasks is worked out (priorities, resources etc. are defined)

Sample structure of program on social and Sample structure of program on social and economic development of municipality economic development of municipality

(beginning) (beginning) 1. Summary 1.1. Starting point and preconditions of municipality’s development 1.2. Program objectives and social and economic development priorities 1.3. Strategic choice 1.4. Program objectives and key priorities of economic development 1.5. Basic activities and projects 1.6. Financial sources of the program’s implementation2. Life quality 2.1. health protection of the population conditions for development of physical training culture and sports other 2.2. Protection of socially not protected groups of the population help within the federal law on guardianship solution of housing problems of poor groups of the population other 2.3. Accomplishment and planting of greenery in the territory gabage and wastes removal; ccomplishment and planting of greenery in the territory; use and protection of woods; outdoor lighting organization; use and building of roads, bridges and other engineering constructions; organazation of ritual services; other

2.4. Fire safety securing and liquidation of emergency situations Fire safety securing at the borders of municipalities; Participation in anticipation and liquidation of emergency situations; other 2.5. Education and culture libraries; spare time activities; arranging places for the rest of the population; monuments’ protection of local importance; other 2.6. Housing services, energy and transportation

keeping in order and building new houses; creation of conditions on building new houses; organization of electro-, heat, gas, water supply of the population; creation of conditions on provision of transportation services; transportation services other

2.7. Communication, trade and services creation of conditions on provision of communication services; creation of conditions on provision of food services; creation of conditions on trade development; creation of conditions on provision of services; other 3. Realization of the strategic choice 3.1. Measures on organizational, legal, information and staff securing 3.2. Origination projects infrastructural projects; participation in district and regional projects 3.3. Investment projects


(continuation) (continuation)

4. Economy’s development 4.1. stimulation and development of municipal sector 4.2. development of the market economy directed at solution of issues of municipal importance 4.3. development and support of entrepreneurship 4.4. securing of realization of municipal economic policy 4.5. other5. Spatial planning and land use 5.1. building up planning 5.2. zoning 5.3. land use control 5.4. other6. Intermunicipal cooperation 6.1. creation of intermunicipal organizations 6.2. participation in network cooperation 6.3. other7. Participation in international, national and regional programs and projects8. Development management 8.1. staff training 8.2. regulation of relations with authorities 8.3. cooperation of interests of business, authorities and local population 8.4. creation of up-to-date image of the municipality and its marketing 8.5. scientific and research projects on municipality’s development 8.6. Other


(ending)(ending)

Sample structure of program on social and Sample structure of program on social and economic development of municipal district economic development of municipal district

(beginning)(beginning)1. Summary 1.1. Starting point and preconditions of municipality’s development 1.2. Program objectives and social and economic development priorities 1.3. Strategic choice 1.4. Program objectives and key priorities of economic development 1.5. Basic activities and projects 1.6. Financial sources of the program’s implementation

2. Life quality 2.1. health protection of the population conditions for development of physical training culture and sports other 2.2. Protection of socially not protected groups of the population help within the federal law on guardianship solution of housing problems of poor groups of the population other 2.3. Accomplishment and planting of greenery in the territory gabage and wastes removal; ccomplishment and planting of greenery in the territory; use and protection of woods; outdoor lighting organization; use and building of roads, bridges and other engineering constructions; organazation of ritual services; other


(continuation)(continuation) 2.4. Fire safety securing and liquidation of emergency situations Fire safety securing at the borders of municipalities; Participation in anticipation and liquidation of emergency situations; other 2.5. Education and culture libraries; spare time activities; arranging places for the rest of the population; monuments’ protection of local importance; other 2.6. Energy and transportation

organization of electro-, heat, gas, water supply of the population; creation of conditions on provision of transportation services; transportation services other

2.7. Communication, trade and services creation of conditions on provision of communication services; creation of conditions on provision of food services; creation of conditions on trade development; creation of conditions on provision of services; other 2.8 Ecological situation and environment protection environment protection activities; ecological control; other3. Realization of the strategic choice 3.1. Measures on organizational, legal, information and staff securing 3.2. Origination projects infrastructural projects; participation in district and regional projects 3.3. Investment projects

4. Economy’s development 4.1. stimulation and development of municipal sector 4.2. development of the market economy directed at solution of issues of municipal importance 4.3. development and support of entrepreneurship 4.4. securing of realization of municipal economic policy 4.5. other

5. Spatial planning and land use 5.1. building up planning 5.2. land use control 5.4. other

6. Intermunicipal cooperation 6.1. presentation of the district’s interests in the organs of government 6.2. creation of intermunicipal organizations (municipal districts'’ council, intermunicipal projects, agreements, other) 6.3. participation n network cooperation (national, regional and thematic organizations, others) 6.4. participation in international cooperation (twin-cities cooperation, international economic organizations, associations, others) 7. Participation in international, national and regional programs and projects

8. Development management 8.1. staff training 8.2. regulation of relations with authorities 8.3. cooperation of interests of business, authorities and local population 8.4. creation of up-to-date image of the municipality and its marketing 8.5. scientific and research projects on municipality’s development 8.6. Other


(ending)(ending)

Possible sources for financing projects Possible sources for financing projects of social and economic development of social and economic development

programprogram

local budget; budgets of other municipalities; regional budgets; federal budget; Investing resources of enterprises, external and native

investors; credits; sources of foundation and grants; other financing sources

Thank you for your attention!Thank you for your attention!

methodological issues of working out strategies for hl in the pskov region project part-financed by...

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