Meteorology 415Fall 2012

Forecast ReviewWednesday, October 24, 2012

Guantanamo Bay, Cuba (MUGM)

Guantanamo Bay, Cuba

MUGM 242356Z 09026G38KT 4800 -RA SCT030 BKN060 OVC080 25/22 A2949 RMK PK WND 10038/2350 SLP986 SVR T2 SET P0001 60129 T02500222 10256 20239 56010= MUGM 250056Z 09028G39KT 4800 -RA BKN016 BKN026 OVC050 26/22 A2946 RMK PK WND 11041/0027 SLP976 SVR T2 SET P0000 T02560222= MUGM 250121Z 11030G44KT 3200 +RA BKN012 BKN017 OVC023 26/23 A2946 RMK PK WND 10044/0117 P0016= MUGM 250121Z 11030G44KT 3200 +RA BKN012 BKN017 OVC023 26/23 A2946 RMK PK WND 10044/0117 SVR T2 SET P0016= MUGM 250131Z 10029G46KT 3200 RA BKN015 BKN023 OVC060 26/22 A2945 RMK PK WND 12046/0122 SVR T2 SET P0016= MUGM 250156Z 11041G50KT 3200 RA FEW009 BKN015 OVC060 26/23 A2943 RMK PK WND 11050/0156 SLP965 SVR T2 SET P0028 T02560228= MUGM 250224Z 10031G47KT 9999 BKN015 OVC030 26/23 A2941 RMK PK WND 11047/0218 RAE16 SVR T2 SET P0000= MUGM 250228Z 10032G43KT 9999 -RA BKN015 OVC030 26/22 A2941 RMK PK WND 11047/0218 RAE16B24 SVR T2 SET P0000= MUGM 250240Z 10034G39KT 9999 RA SCT015 BKN040 OVC100 26/23 A2939 RMK PK WND 11047/0218 RAE16B24 SVR T2 SET P0000= MUGM 250256Z 11034G49KT 4800 +RA SCT013 BKN027 OVC100 26/23 A2938 RMK PK WND 10049/0251 RAE16B24 SLP949 SVR T2 SET P0006 60034 T02610228 57014= MUGM 250336Z 11034G56KT 4800 +RA BR FEW008 OVC013 25/23 A2934 RMK PK WND 11056/0327 SVR T2 SET P0021= MUGM 250356Z 14029G46KT 4800 +RA FEW008 OVC013 26/23 A2933 RMK PK WND 11056/0327 SLP931 SVR T2 SET P0050 T02560228= MUGM 250456Z 15047G56KT 4800 +RA OVC013 27/24 A2927 RMK PK WND 16056/0456 SLP911 SVR T2 SET P0052 T02670237 402670233= MUGM 250556Z 17048G59KT 4800 RABR OVC010 27/25 A2924 RMK PKWIND 10650524 SLP902 SVRT2SET P0014 60150 T070247 1//// 2//// 53017=

Guantanamo Observations

MUGM 250556Z COR 17048G59KT 4800 RA BR OVC013 27/25 A2924 RMK PK WND 16065/0524

SLP902 SVR T2 SET P0014 60150 T02670247 10272 20250 55017= MUGM 250656Z 18050G63KT 8000 -RA BR OVC015 27/25 A2924 RMK PK WND

18066/0605 SLP902 SVR T2 SET P0012 T02670247= MUGM 250756Z 19045G58KT 9999 -RA BKN028 OVC045 29/25 A2929 RMK PK

WND 19064/0723 SLP916 SVR T2 SET P0000 T02890247= MUGM 250856Z 20046G55KT 9999 -RA BKN029 OVC036 27/24 A2931 RMK PK

WND 19056/0841 SLP926 SVR T2 SET P0001 60013 T02720242 52003= MUGM 250956Z 22040G50KT 9999 -RA BKN028 OVC040 28/24 A2936 RMK PK

WND 21053/0918 SLP941 SVR T2 SET P0000 T02780239=

Guantanamo Observations

Guantanamo Surface Map

Guantanamo Satellite Imagery

Guantanamo WV Imagery

Guantanamo Radar

Guantanamo Tropical Analysis

Guantanamo Model

Guantanamo Verifications

Guantanamo – Survey Scores

Guantanamo – Career Scores

Up Close and Personal

Low elevation stations do not often get low ceilings.

The strong wind field is usually within 50 miles of the passage of the TC eye

Thunder and Lightning are a wild card with TC’s.

Temperatures rise as the warm core low passes.

Lessons Learned