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Merchant Evaluation Merchant Evaluation Review Review December 7, 2009

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Page 1: Merchant executive summary 1

Merchant Evaluation ReviewMerchant Evaluation ReviewDecember 7, 2009

Page 2: Merchant executive summary 1

AgendaAgendaObjectivesMethodologyFunctional ReviewDecision MatrixOptions

◦ Harvest◦ Invest◦ Divest

Conclusion

2

Value Exchange Analysis: Proprietary and Confidential

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ObjectivesObjectives Based on discussions with Executive Management, the following objectives

were agreed upon. An additional option was requested to be included in this analysis (listed below as #4).

1. Provide functional assessment of NewAlliance’s current Merchant Business/Portfolio in such a way as to maximize value.

2. Design and develop strategic options that would align the Merchant services product offer with whatever strategic direction the bank ultimately chooses: Harvesting, Investing or Divesting.

3. Analyze and evaluate the potential for a turn-key outsource opportunity, including a high level evaluation of the existing portfolios current market value. Such an option would eliminate merchant liability, internal salary and overhead expenses.

4. Analyze and evaluate the proposal from Processing Solutions, an Independent Sales Organization (ISO) a possible expansion opportunity.

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Value Exchange Analysis: Proprietary and Confidential

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MethodologyMethodology Value Exchange has been requested to complete a “High Level” review of the

NewAlliance Merchant business. Strategic options have been identified which include, continuing to Maintain operations, Investment for growth, or Divesting the entire businessline. The evaluation utilizes several tools to complete this analysis: ◦ Functional Analysis of the entire business: Risk Management, Sales, Processing/Service

◦ Detailed descriptions of each individual option: Review – recap of the areas/items analyzed Findings – results/conclusions Suggested Actions – recommended actions to be taken if option is chosen Pros/Cons – positive and negative attributes of the option

◦ Summary Financial Analysis of each option◦ Decision Matrix to evaluate Risk vs Reward

The additional following steps were taken to provide a comprehensive analysis:◦ In person interviews with NAB’s Merchant management staff.◦ Due Diligence on each segment of the business to fully understand all portfolio/business

performance characteristics.◦ Compared and contrasted a previous marketplace analysis (July 2004) to Value Exchange

recent findings.

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Value Exchange Analysis: Proprietary and Confidential

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Functional AnalysisFunctional Analysis

Value Exchange Analysis: Proprietary and Confidential

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Risk ManagementRisk Management Credit Policy/Underwriting:

◦ NewAlliance has a very conservative Underwriting policy compared to the industry. A conservative policy lends to merchants who generally have lower chargebacks* . Further a good policy reviews closely the financial strength of a company.

Note: A chargeback is a customer disputed item for goods or services provided by the merchant. If the merchant cannot cover the cost of the chargeback, the bank is then left liable.

◦ In the years 2004-2008, NewAlliance has processed more than $4.5B in sales volume with only $188K in losses. That is less than ½ of a basis point on volume when the industry average in losses range from 2-4 basis points. 2009 is tracking closer to 1bp for NewAlliance.

Loss Reserve:◦ NewAlliance has a loss reserve that segments risk in its

portfolio by low, moderate and high risk and targets the necessary amount to set aside for the volume processed. This is an industry “Best Practice”.

Note: The combination of the conservative underwriting policy and the loss reserve helps lower the potential for loss in this business.

6

2008 Merchant Category by Volume

Value Exchange Analysis: Proprietary and Confidential

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SalesSales Lead Generation:

◦ NewAlliance’s has designed a lead generation system through a Tele-consulting team that focuses on the following areas: Lead qualification for volume and type of business Geographic location of the merchant to determine which sales rep to

provide the lead.

◦ This is an industry “Best Practice” as this process helps streamline the sales force with pre-qualified leads that can be easily closed.

◦ This should allow the sales force to increase production and add to overall portfolio profitability.

New Account Production:◦ NewAlliance has a well established outside sales team (13 team

members, majority tenured).◦ Goals are primarily set with an income focus.◦ Approximately 50% of their leads are received from the Tele-

consulting group, and the other 50% of the leads are generated by the sales staff directly.

◦ The average sales rep produces approximately 6 accounts per month with a income goal of $5,000. This equates to $1.8M in new volume per month per sales rep at approximately 27 basis points per account.

◦ Industry average new account production per sales rep is 12-14 with an average of 50-90 basis which includes ancillary products.Note: Currently the overall portfolio margin is 39 basis points, down from 41

basis points in 2008. New sales production at lower margins is a part of the overall decline in portfolio profitability.

Compensation Plan:◦ NewAlliance’s has multiple compensation plans within the

same sales team. The old plans are mostly commission based and the newer plans are based more on base salary with less commission.

◦ Based on the current commission structure, the payout ratio to the income and units produced when compared to the industry average is almost double. This is primarily due to the commission plans that pay out for the life of an account.

◦ Primarily tenured sales reps are on the commission based plan and are paid quite well with the current structure of the plan and have moderate to low production.

◦ A majority of industry bank focused compensation plans are higher base pay and one-time commission payouts.

Bank vs Non-Bank Customers:◦ Less than 25%* of the NewAlliance merchants are bank

customers. ◦ There are no clear joint goals for selling merchant within

the branch system.◦ Industry “Best Practice” is 80-90% bank customer

penetration.◦ The benefits to having a merchant customer as a banking

customer are multi-facited: Fraud – bank has direct access to the merchant funds Profitability – bank has float on the deposits “Stickiness” - with more banking products, it is harder to move a

relationship Cross –selling opportunities

*NewAlliance merchant management reported.

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Value Exchange Analysis: Proprietary and Confidential

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Processing/ServiceProcessing/Service Processing Contracts:

◦ One of the primary costs associated with processing for merchants is the back-office cost per transaction. To be competitive in the industry and grow the business, a low cost per transaction must be negotiated.

◦ NewAlliance has three processing platforms , First Data (FDMS), Elavon (Nova), and Fidelity (FIS).

◦ Volume is driven based on the average ticket. FDMS has better pricing for large tickets vs Elavon and Fidelity for lower average tickets.

◦ Most acquiring banks have a primary processor that affords them very competitive pricing compared to positioning smaller amounts of business on various platforms, thus losing economies of scale.

Internal Sales/Service System:◦ NewAlliance has a an Access database that has

been formatted over time to serve the needs of the department.

◦ There is an opportunity for NewAlliance to invest in an updated Sales/Service system, one that is automated. Automation can streamline the new account process with integrated applications that have logic that helps to eliminate errors. Further, much of the process could be on-line eliminating paper.

Quality Assurance:◦ NewAlliance currently keys data into various

systems for new and existing accounts. Further, some information is faxed to the various processors to be keyed.

◦ Currently, there is limited oversight into the various entry methods to ensure quality control.

◦ Key areas of impact: Pricing/Profitability Transaction Qualification Settlement

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% Based on Volume

Value Exchange Analysis: Proprietary and Confidential

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Low Risk High Risk

Low Profit

High Profit

Decision MatrixThe Decision Matrix quantifies the expected outcome and allowsNewAlliance to determine their acceptability of Risk vs Reward

Each strategic option should be evaluated based on parameters of where it would fall

Value Exchange Analysis: Proprietary and Confidential

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Strategic OptionsStrategic Options

Value Exchange Analysis: Proprietary and Confidential

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OptionsOptions

#1. Status Quo - Continue current business model.

#2. ISO Expansion - Continue current business

model, however invest by adding an external ISO partner.

#3. Transform the business - Transition

current business model to a “Bank Centric” model by investing in suggested modifications/changes.

#4. Outsource - Divest current merchant function

and portfolios, while leveraging an outsource

partner to deliver on the “Bank Centric” model.

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ISO – Represents an Independent Sales Organization that focuses on sales production through external independent agents: however the credit/risk remains within the bank.

“Bank Centric”– Primary focus on existing small business bank clients with a strategy of building deposits, fee income and cross-sell activities.

Maintain

Invest

Divest

Status Quo

Expansion

Transform

Outsource

Strategic Options:

Value Exchange Analysis: Proprietary and Confidential

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#1 Status Quo: Continue current business model

Review

•A comprehensive review of the business was completed.

•The business was categorized into five core components.

•Each component has critical elements to successfully running the business: - Sales - Operations - Human Resources - Risk/Compliance - Financials

Findings

•NewAlliance has a knowledgeable merchant management team.

•The business can continue to operate under the current practices.

•However, the business unit will be susceptible to the following without further review:

- Gradual shrinking profit margins under the current pricing methods

- Quality of customer service is unknown due to lack of measurements.

- Lower than industry average sales production under current compensation plans

- Increased pricing/servicing complexity by positioning merchants on various processing platforms

Suggested Actions

•Perform a competitive analysis of the NewAlliance markets to determine opportunities with overall pricing methods. It should include ancillary products and services that would enhance profitability.

•Develop a detailed quality assurance process to ensure accuracy across all processing platforms for new account entry as wells as maintenance.

•Simplify the sales compensation plan so that it can be easily understood and applied. Further, make it consistent across the entire sales team.

Pros/Cons

Pros:1.Lead generation and appointment system2.Competent Credit Policy & Process3.Industry “Best Practice” Loss Reserve

Cons:1.Limited production from tenured sales rep’s2.Limited Quality Assurance process3.Multiple Processors – deters economies of scale4.Compensation Plans are relatively rich for sales results produced5.Does not take advantage of the bank franchise / customer base6.Marginal financial performance levels for a portfolio this size

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Maintain

Value Exchange Analysis: Proprietary and Confidential

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Status QuoNew Alliance Performance by Portfolio

2008 Elavon FDMS FIS Total

Volume $ 304,435,568 $ 424,164,718 $ 296,248,154 $ 1,024,848,440

# Transactions 4,494,258 1,880,433 3,104,101 9,478,792

Average Ticket $ 68 $ 226 $ 95 $ 108

Net Residual $ 1,620,204 $ 1,714,866 $ 816,763 $ 4,151,833 Net Spread 0.53% 0.40% 0.28% 0.41%

Active Merchants 1,425 1,068 1,165 3,658

2009 Elavon FDMS FIS Total

Volume $ 265,681,017 $ 351,424,186 $ 450,321,021 $ 1,067,426,223

# Transactions 4,243,548 1,659,889 5,283,692 11,187,129

Average Ticket $ 63 $ 212 $ 85 $ 95

Net Residual $ 1,342,631 $ 1,433,319 $ 1,342,211 $ 4,118,161 Net Spread 0.51% 0.41% 0.30% 0.39%

Active Merchants 1,155 943 1,450 3,548

2009 over 2008 Projected Volume Growth 4%Projected Active Merchant Growth -3%Projected Net Residual Growth -1%Projected New Sales Income Growth 4%

Value Exchange Analysis: Proprietary and Confidential

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STATUS QUOBANK GENERAL LEDGER TOTALS

Total 2008 Actuals % of Total 2009 Projected % of Total 2010 Projected 2011 Projected 2012 Projected

             

TOTAL NON INTEREST INCOME  $        4,706,377     $        4,055,612     $         4,258,393   $         4,471,312   $         4,694,878 

37986 - SBM MERCHANT SERVICES INCOME  $        4,481,590  95%  $        3,833,723  95%  $         4,025,409   $         4,226,679   $         4,438,013 

37999 - OTHER FEES  $            151,288  3%  $            141,465  3%  $             148,539   $             155,966   $             163,764 

TOTAL OTHER INCOME  $              73,499  2%  $              80,424  2%  $               84,445   $               88,667   $               93,101 

             

TOTAL NON-INTEREST EXPENSE  $        3,230,671     $        2,658,628     $         2,791,559   $         2,931,137   $         3,077,694 

SALARIES & WAGES  $        1,006,611  31%  $            907,808  34%  $             953,198   $         1,000,858   $         1,050,901 

BONUSES  $        1,410,304  44%  $        1,128,907  42%  $         1,185,352   $         1,244,620   $         1,306,851 

             

NET INCOME  $        1,475,706     $        1,396,984     $         1,466,833   $         1,540,175   $         1,617,184 

PROJECTED GROWTH -5% 5% 5% 5%

Value Exchange Analysis: Proprietary and Confidential

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Review

•A proposal has been presented to NewAlliance from Processing Solutions an ISO in the industry.

•The proposal indicates that it would increase sales and revenue growth by leveraging the current bank (merchant department) infrastructure.

•The growth would be achieved by adding sales staff that would be managed directly by Processing Solutions.

•In the proposal, Processing Solutions owns a majority (80%)of the profit while the bank continues to hold the entire risk.

Findings

• NewAlliance has an opportunity to grow the merchant business with limited up-front investment.

•The ISO expansion model strategically positions the merchant department as a “separate business unit” away from the bank focused on non-bank customers.

• There is a larger opportunity for increased fraud losses due to the expanded sales force. Further the sales force is not in direct control by the bank.

•Under the terms of this agreement the ISO has an opportunity to sell for Agent banks with NewAlliance maintaining liability

Suggested Actions

•NewAlliance would need to perform an extensive legal review of the Letter of Intent as well as the final contract. The bank would need to establish clear levels of bank liability and financial participation.

•NewAlliance should establish performance thresholds that must be met with appropriate options if not achieved.

•Strategically, NewAlliance needs the ability to approve the market areas of the ISO sales representatives as the bank may wish to avoid sales overlap with existing bank personnel.

•Recommend that NewAlliance require the ISO to fund a proportionate amount of the loss reserve.

Pros/Cons

Pros:1.Potential for quick , incremental sales and profit growth2.Opportunity for expansion with limited “up-front” expense due to expense reimbursement from ISO

Cons:1.NewAlliance takes virtually all the fraud/risk responsibility2.Sales force is managed by the ISO – NewAlliance has no control of production/hiring/firing3.ISO has proposed processing for Agent banks which will further dilute profit and cause potential conflict by selling in the same market4.If revenues not achieved, expense reimbursement may be in jeopardy

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#2 ISO Expansion - Continue current business model, however invest by adding an external ISO partner.

Invest

Value Exchange Analysis: Proprietary and Confidential

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NewAlliance ISO Income and Reimbursement

Value Exchange Analysis: Proprietary and Confidential

NewAlliance ISO Income Share

Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10

Processing Income $ 108,000 $ 409,200 $ 900,540 $ 1,491,613 $ 2,084,332 $ 2,662,616 $ 3,211,985 $ 3,733,886 $ 4,229,691 $ 4,700,707

Co-Management Fees $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ -

Equipment Sales $ 1,350 $ 5,115 $ 11,257 $ 18,645 $ 26,054 $ 33,283 $ 40,150 $ 46,674 $ 52,871 $ 58,759

Miscellaneous $ 2,700 $ 10,230 $ 22,514 $ 37,290 $ 52,108 $ 66,565 $ 80,300 $ 93,347 $ 105,742 $ 117,518

Less Loss Reserve $ (100,000) $ (90,000) $ (325,000) $ (500,000) $ (600,000) $ (600,000) $ (600,000) $ (600,000) $ (600,000) $ (600,000)

TOTAL: $ 12,050 $ 334,545 $ 609,310 $ 1,047,548 $ 1,562,495 $ 2,162,464 $ 2,732,434 $ 3,273,906 $ 3,788,305 $ 4,276,983

NewAlliance Expense Reimbursement*

Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10

Administrative Staff $ 67,500 $ 127,500 $ 187,500 $ 187,500 $ 187,500 $ 375,000 $ 375,000 $ 375,000 $ 375,000 $ 375,000

Business Development Staff $ 157,500 $ 297,500 $ 437,500 $ 437,500 $ 437,500 $ 437,500 $ 437,500 $ 437,500 $ 437,500 $ 437,500

Total $ 225,000 $ 425,000 $ 625,000 $ 625,000 $ 625,000 $ 812,500 $ 812,500 $ 812,500 $ 812,500 $ 812,500

* This will be a straight pass through as NewAlliance will hire staff to support the sales process

Note: These financials were obtainend through NewAlliance from Processing Solutions sales proposal. Value Exchange has not conducted a comprehensive review of  the assumptions

and drivers, however, forecasted sales and income appear to be quite aggrressive givin industry norms.

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Overall NewAlliance Bank - Processing Solutions - Merchant RelationshipSummary - March 2009    

Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10

Net Income

Annual  $ (1,258,650)  $ (1,315,200)  $      (706,274)  $     1,455,931   $                3,606,485   $                5,521,736   $                7,518,333   $                9,414,906   $        11,216,023   $     12,926,449 

Cumulative  $ (1,258,650)  $ (2,573,850)  $ (3,280,124)  $   (1,824,193)  $                1,782,292   $                7,304,028   $             14,822,361   $             24,237,267   $        35,453,290   $     48,379,739 

Portfolio Appreciation

Annual  $   1,007,640   $   2,810,196   $   4,584,202   $     5,514,711   $                5,530,072   $                5,395,384   $                5,125,615   $                4,869,334   $           4,625,867   $        4,394,574 

Cumulative  $   1,007,640   $   3,817,836   $   8,402,038   $  13,916,749   $             19,446,821   $             24,842,205   $             29,967,820   $             34,837,154   $        39,463,021   $     43,857,595 

Composite Return

Annual  $      (251,010)  $   1,494,996   $   3,877,929   $     6,970,642   $                9,136,557   $             10,917,120   $             12,643,947   $             14,284,240   $        15,841,890   $     17,321,023 

Cumulative  $      (251,010)  $   1,243,986   $   5,121,915   $  12,092,556   $             21,229,113   $             32,146,233   $             44,790,180   $             59,074,420   $        74,916,311   $     92,237,334 

Value Exchange Analysis: Proprietary and Confidential

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#3 Transform the Business - Transition current business model to a “Bank Centric” model by investing in suggested modifications/changes

Review

•NewAlliance currently has a merchant area that is positioned similar to an ISO selling to non-bank customers.

•Industry practice for merchant areas that fall under bank ownership is that they are positioned to grow bank relationships and profitability.

•Furthermore, sales compesation plans are usually built around base salary with nominal incentives going to both branch and merchant sale reps.

•NewAlliance has a core infrastructure built within the merchant area that can be enhanced and transformed to become more efficient and bank focused.

Findings

•With the proper investment, NewAlliance can transform and enhance the current business model.

•A “Bank Centric “ model can be achieved driving cross-selling efforts across the bank which will improve overall profitability and enhance customer loyalty.

•Compensation and sales systems would need comprehensive revision to create focus on branch and TM referral opportunities, and cross-sell of bank products.

Suggested Actions

• NewAlliance would need to invest in the following areas to improve internal efficiency and ensure customer satisfaction: - Automated Sales/Service system integrated into the bank. - Banker/customer service group.

•NewAlliance will also need to invest into staff to create more of a “Bank Centric” sales model: - Retail Field Sales Representatives would be aligned with the branches regionally to drive sales production.

•The Merchant group would need to align its goals with both the Retail branch system and the Business Banking group to maximize cross-selling efforts

•The compensation programs would need to be develop in conjunction with Human Resources

•Consolidate the portfolios onto a single platform gaining economies of scale and pricing concessions

Pros/Cons

Pros:1.Improved sales & service effectiveness2.Increased profitability3.Simplified operating environment4.Leverage NewAlliance customer base to achieve Bank goals (deposits, fee income, cross-sell)

Cons:1.Up-front investment in staff and internal process improvement is significant2.Timeframe to consolidate merchant portfolios into optimal processing arrangement could prove to be considerable

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Invest

Value Exchange Analysis: Proprietary and Confidential

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Value Exchange Analysis: Proprietary and Confidential

TRANSFORM THE BUSINESS Total 2008 Actuals % of Total 2009 Projected % of Total 2010 Projected 2011 Projected 2012 ProjectedBANK GENERAL LEDGER TOTALS              

TOTAL NON INTEREST INCOME  $ 4,706,377     $ 4,055,612     $         4,460,218   $        5,321,062   $         6,110,428 37986 - SBM MERCHANT SERVICES INCOME  $ 4,481,590  95%  $ 3,833,723  95%  $         4,025,409   $        4,226,679   $         4,438,013 

37999 - OTHER FEES  $     151,288  3%  $     141,465  3%  $             148,539   $           155,966   $             163,764 

INCREMENTAL LIFT FROM INVESTMENT          $             201,825   $           649,750   $         1,215,550 

TOTAL OTHER INCOME  $       73,499  2%  $       80,424  2%  $               84,445   $              88,667   $               93,101              

TOTAL NON-INTEREST EXPENSE  $ 3,230,671     $ 2,658,628     $         3,256,182   $        3,838,669   $         3,838,669 

SALARIES & WAGES  $ 1,006,611  31%  $     907,808  34%  $             953,198   $        1,143,838   $         1,372,606 

ADDITIONAL STAFFING INVESTMENT          $             405,000   $           425,250   $             445,500 

BONUSES  $ 1,410,304  44%  $ 1,128,907  42%  $         1,185,352   $        1,422,422   $         1,706,907 

INVESTMENT IN INFRASTRUCTURE          $               40,000   $              40,000   $               40,000 

ALL OTHER EXPENSES          $             672,632   $           807,158   $             968,590              

NET INCOME  $ 1,475,706     $ 1,396,984     $         1,204,035   $        1,482,393   $         2,271,759 PROJECTED GROWTH -5% -14% 23% 53%

Investment Re-Negotiation of Processing Contract

Retail Field Reps 5* $ 65,000 $ 325,000 Overall  processing cost reduction of $.02 equates to approximately $200,000 annuallyCustomer Service Reps 2* $ 40,000 $ 80,000 (4% increase in portfolio revenue annually when entire portfolio is positioned 

on one platfrom - start in 2011)Investment in Infrastructure ($200,000 amoritized over 5yrs) $ 40,000 Total Investment $ 445,000

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Value Exchange Analysis: Proprietary and Confidential

Growth with Investment

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Year 1 0.50% 0.50% 0.50% 0.50% 0.50% 0.50% 0.50% 0.50% 0.50% 0.50% 0.50% 0.50%

Projected additonal Units                              

25                               

30                            

35                               

60                               

60                            

45                               

            45                             50                                     

      75                             75                                     

      50                               

50 

Cumulative Units                              

25                               

55                            

90                            

150                            

210                         

255                               

         300                          350                                     

   425                          500                                     

   550                            

600 

Projected Volume  $            312,500   $            687,500   $     1,125,000   $        1,875,000   $        2,625,000   $     3,187,500  $                    

3,750,000   $     4,375,000  $                    

5,312,500   $     6,250,000  $                    

6,875,000   $        7,500,000 

Less loss reserve $                       

125  $                       

275  $                    

450  $                       

750   $                  1,050  $               1,275  $                           

   1,500   $               1,750  $                              

2,125   $               2,500  $                              

2,750  $                  

3,000 

Projected  Portfolio Income  $                  1,438  $                  3,163  $               5,175  $                  8,625   $               12,075  $            14,663  $                           

17,250   $            20,125  $                           

24,438   $            28,750  $                           

31,625   $               34,500  $         201,825 

Year 2 0.50% 0.50% 0.50% 0.50% 0.50% 0.50% 0.50% 0.50% 0.50% 0.50% 0.50% 0.50%

Projected additonal Units                              

50                               

40                            

40                               

75                               

75                            

60                               

            60                             65                                     

   100                          100                                     

      60                               

60 

Cumulative Units                           

600                            

640                         

680                            

755                            

830                         

890                               

         950                     1,015                                   

1,115                     1,215                                   

1,275                       

1,335 

Projected Volume  $        7,500,000   $        8,000,000   $     8,500,000   $        9,437,500   $     10,375,000   $  11,125,000  $                 

11,875,000   $  12,687,500  $                 

13,937,500   $  15,187,500  $                 

15,937,500   $     16,687,500 

Less loss reserve  $                  3,000  $                  3,200  $               3,400  $                  3,775  $                  4,150  $               4,450  $                           

   4,750   $               5,075  $                              

5,575   $               6,075  $                              

6,375  $                  

6,675 

Projected  Portfolio Income  $               34,500   $               36,800  $            39,100   $               43,413   $               47,725  $            51,175  $                           

54,625   $            58,363  $                           

64,113   $            69,863  $                           

73,313   $               76,763  $         649,750 

Year 3 0.50% 0.50% 0.50% 0.50% 0.50% 0.50% 0.50% 0.50% 0.50% 0.50% 0.50% 0.50%

Projected additonal Units                              

60                               

50                            

50                            

100                            

100                            

70                               

            70                             75                                     

   125                          125                                     

      70                               

70 

Cumulative Units                      

1,335                       

1,385                    

1,435                       

1,535                       

1,635                    

1,705                               

    1,775                     1,850                                   

1,975                     2,100                                   

2,170                       

2,240 

Projected Volume  $     16,687,500   $     17,312,500   $  17,937,500   $     19,187,500   $     20,437,500   $  21,312,500  $                 

22,187,500   $  23,125,000  $                 

24,687,500   $  26,250,000  $                 

27,125,000   $     28,000,000 

Less loss reserve  $                  6,675  $                  6,925  $               7,175  $                  7,675  $                  8,175  $               8,525  $                           

   8,875   $               9,250  $                              

9,875   $            10,500  $                           

10,850   $               11,200 

Projected  Portfolio Income  $               76,763   $               79,638  $            82,513   $               88,263   $               94,013  $            98,038  $                        

102,063   $         106,375  $                        

113,563   $         120,750  $                        

124,775   $            128,800   $     1,215,550 

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#4 Outsource - Divest current merchant function and portfolios, while leveraging an outsource partner to deliver on the “Bank Centric” model.Review

•NewAlliance has three portfolios that can be sold together or separately.

•The portfolios have contracts that would allow the bank to transfer them to the seller without penalty. However, the bank is obligated to let the current processors have a review and first right of refusal.

•There are opportunities in the industry for NewAlliance to partner with Merchant Sales and Service organizations that are “Bank Focused.” Further, fraud losses can be mitigated since these organizations are responsible for the full amount of the risk.

Findings

•NewAlliance can maximize value by selling it’s merchant portfolios separate from the business unit (see pg.20)

•A go-forward strategy would be to utilize an outsource option. There are outsourcing opportunities available in the industry that would allow NewAlliance to maximize revenue without taking any of the risk.

•By utilizing the proper provider who is knowledgeable in the “Bank Centric” model, NewAlliance can share in the growth by penetrating their current customer base.

Suggested Actions

•NewAlliance would need to package and market the three separate portfolios for sale. Each portfolio is transferable based on proper notification to the processors. Each portfolio could be offered serparetly or in combination with each other.

•The majority of the existing internal business unit would be disbanded. However, there are areas within the current business unit that could be successfully redeployed elsewhere. An example would be the current telesales group being redeployed into the retail bank to set-up business appointments.

•NewAlliance would need to select an appropriate outsource partner that provides a “Bank Centric” model to grow its fee income and deposits while eliminating risk.

Pros/Cons

Pros:1.NewAlliance receives the financial gain from selling the portfolio to invest in other strategic initiatives2.Limited or no exposure to fraud losses3.Recapture existing loss reserve after sale4.Improved retention of exisitng NewAlliance business customers by using a “Bank Centric” sales approach5.No Significant up-front investment for merchant start-up6.New, simple sales and service operating environment7.No future technology or compliance investments

Cons:1.NewAlliance may wish to eventually transition merchant customers back to the bank which would require a capital investment2.Sales/servicing performed by non-bank employees

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Divest Portfolio

  Multiples  2009 YTD*     The Value of a Portfolio is a function of the performance of the business in the future:

Elavon 2X 2.2X** 2.7X Primary Drivers in the evaluation:

Volume

265,681,017      

Net Income

1,342,631  $         2,685,262   $          3,020,920   $                 3,625,103  1) Margin (net spread) - The average net spreads for larger portfolios in your range 50-60 BP

# Merchants

1,155            2) Ownership of Merchants Accounts - If the seller owns the portfolios then it becomes 

FDMS       more valuable as it can be transported to another processor with lower cost structure.

Volume

351,424,186      

Net Income

1,433,319  $         2,866,639   $          3,224,969   $                 3,869,962  3) Merchant Concentration - A portfolio of many smaller merchants  rather than several large 

# Merchants

943       merchants makes it more valuable as there is less risk for attrition.     

FIS       4) Credit Quality - A portfolio with low risk Merchants makes it less risky and more

Volume

450,321,021       profitable as there is less chance for fraud.

Net Income

1,342,211  $         2,684,422   $          3,019,975   $                 3,623,969 

# Merchants

1,450       5) Portfolio Size - A larger portfolio provides increase economies of scale.     

Total       6) Processing platform and contract terms - The valuation will be measured heavily on

Volume

1,067,426,223       the contract term and the termination penalties, and any liquidation of damages.

Net Income

4,118,161  $         8,236,322   $          9,265,863   $              11,119,035 

# Merchants

3,548     7) Attrition - Average annual attrition can dilute the value of the portfolio. Industry attrition 

      annually ranges from 8%-25%. The higher the attrition rate, the less value the portfolio will bring.

*2009 Projected as numbers provided were through September** Most likely scenarioNote: These totals include NewAlliance Bank customers which may be eventually excluded from the sale

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Outsource OptionProforma

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Implementation/conversion*

Year 1 0.50% 0.50% 0.50% 0.50% 0.50% 0.50% 0.50% 0.50% 0.50% 0.50% 0.50% 0.50%

Projected Units                        175                          175                          175                             30                             40                             50                             60                             80                          100                          100                             60                             50 

Cumulative Units                              -                           350                          525                          555                          595                          645                          705                          785                          885                          985                     1,045                     1,095 

Projected Volume  $                         -     $     4,375,000   $     6,562,500   $     6,937,500   $     7,437,500   $     8,062,500   $     8,812,500   $     9,812,500   $  11,062,500   $  12,312,500   $  13,062,500   $  13,687,500 

Projected  Portfolio Income  $                         -     $            21,875   $            32,813   $            34,688   $            37,188   $            40,313   $            44,063   $            49,063   $            55,313   $            61,563   $            65,313   $            68,438 

NewAlliance Revenue Share  $                         -     $            10,938   $            16,406   $            17,344   $            18,594   $            20,156   $            22,031   $            24,531   $            27,656   $            30,781   $            32,656   $            34,219  $ 255,313

Year 2 0.50% 0.50% 0.50% 0.50% 0.50% 0.50% 0.50% 0.50% 0.50% 0.50% 0.50% 0.50%

Projected Units                           90                          100                          130                          150                          150                          120                          120                          150                          200                          200                          150                          100 

Cumulative Units                    1,185                     1,285                     1,415                     1,565                     1,715                     1,835                     1,955                     2,105                     2,305                     2,505                     2,655                     2,755 

Projected Volume  $ 14,812,500   $  16,062,500   $  17,687,500   $  19,562,500   $  21,437,500   $  22,937,500   $  24,437,500   $  26,312,500   $  28,812,500   $  31,312,500   $  33,187,500   $  34,437,500 

Projected  Portfolio Income  $            74,063   $            80,313   $            88,438   $            97,813   $         107,188   $         114,688   $         122,188   $         131,563   $         144,063   $         156,563   $         165,938   $         172,188 

NewAlliance Revenue Share  $            37,031   $            40,156   $            44,219   $            48,906   $            53,594   $            57,344   $            61,094   $            65,781   $            72,031   $            78,281   $            82,969   $            86,094  $ 727,500

Year 3 0.50% 0.50% 0.50% 0.50% 0.50% 0.50% 0.50% 0.50% 0.50% 0.50% 0.50% 0.50%

Projected Units                        150                          160                          180                          250                          250                          170                          170                          200                          275                          275                          230                          150 

Cumulative Units                    2,905                     3,065                     3,245                     3,495                     3,745                     3,915                     4,085                     4,285                     4,560                     4,835                     5,065                     5,215 

Projected Volume  $ 36,312,500   $  38,312,500   $  40,562,500   $  43,687,500   $  46,812,500   $  48,937,500   $  51,062,500   $  53,562,500   $  57,000,000   $  60,437,500   $  63,312,500   $  65,187,500 

Projected  Portfolio Income  $         181,563   $         191,563   $         202,813   $         218,438   $         234,063   $         244,688   $         255,313   $         267,813   $         285,000   $         302,188   $         316,563   $         325,938 

NewAlliance Revenue Share  $            90,781   $            95,781   $         101,406   $         109,219   $         117,031   $         122,344   $         127,656   $         133,906   $         142,500   $         151,094   $         158,281   $         162,969  $ 1,512,969

* Implementation/conversion acounts are projected at 15% of current portfolio.

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Summary Financial AnalysisSummary Financial Analysis&&

Decision MatrixDecision Matrix

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Financial Overview of all Options

MaintainInvest Invest

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Financial Overview of all Options

Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 TotalStatus Quo

Existing Portfolio  $ 1,466,833   $       1,540,175   $ 1,617,184   $        4,624,192 

Total $ 4,624,192

ISO Expansion

ISO Model - NewAlliance Share  $       12,050   $          334,545   $    609,310   $           955,905 Existing Portfolios  $ 1,466,833   $       1,540,175   $ 1,617,184   $        4,624,192 

Total $ 5,580,097

Transform the Business

Investment in business  $ 1,204,035   $       1,482,393   $ 2,271,759   $        4,958,188 

Total $ 4,958,188

Outsource

Divest Portfolio ($10,295,403) - Amitorization $ 3,088,621   $       3,088,621   $ 3,088,621   $        9,265,863 Reverse Fraud Loss Reserve  $    355,262   $           355,262 Outsource  $    255,313   $          727,500   $ 1,512,969   $        2,495,781 

Total $ 12,116,906

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Low Risk High Risk

Low Profit

High Profit

Decision Matrix

Status Quo

ISO Expansion

Transition the

Business

Outsource

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ConclusionsConclusions

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ConclusionsConclusionsThe present Merchant operating environment is producing a relatively

low/marginal return on capital and it operates on a “Stand Alone” basis (apart from Retail objectives) due to the following reasons:

high compensation low margin pricing reduced economies from multiple processors lack of focus on bank customer base No Bank/Merchant goal alignment ( internal referral process)

While the bank has several options available, capital investment becomes a key variable in setting NewAlliance’s preferred direction:

- - If the bank is inclined to not invest further capital but desires to maintain merchant services as a stand-alone business entity, then it should consider either of the maintenance strategies:

# 1 Status Quo# 2 ISO Expansion

Note: The key difference between the strategies is that the ISO Expansion while being more profitable,

has increased execution and credit risk.

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Conclusions - Conclusions - continuedcontinued- - If the Bank is willing to invest capital, it should consider an Invest

strategy such as: # 3 Transforming the Business

Note: This option will produces synergy with Retail Bank Objectives such as deposit growth, bank customer

satisfaction and retention and additional cross-sell opportunities

- - If the Bank seeks a source of capital to redeploy against other company priorities, then the viable and attractive alternative would be:

# 4 Outsource

Note: A significant amount of capital could be raised (up to $11MM) while at the same time, long-term

profitability will not be compromised (within a 3-5 year period net income will be at or above current levels)

and exposure to risk will be virtually eliminated.

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Conclusions - Conclusions - continuedcontinued

If the bank chooses to keep the business internally, there are several functional areas that NewAlliance can pursue for immediate improvement:

◦ Increase profitability by refining pricing strategies◦ Restructuring the compensation plans◦ Streamlining internal processes/consolidating platforms◦ Formalized referral/goal process between Merchant Services and the Retail

branch system. All the above activities would help reverse current trends of

declining margins and lower profitability.

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Value Exchange Analysis: Proprietary and Confidential