maryland’s changing demographics leadership challenge xv june 13, 2006 presented by mark goldstein...

Maryland’s Changing Demographics

Leadership Challenge XV

June 13, 2006

Presented by

Mark Goldstein

Maryland Department of Planning

Demographic Topics

• Statewide look at pop change by race & Hispanic Origin

• Foreign born population

• Pop change by race & Hispanic origin by jurisdiction

• Age data

Data Sources

• Decennial Census Data, 1990 & 2000

• Post 2000 Census Population Estimates, 2000 – 2004

Data Definition

• Minority is everyone who is NOT non-Hispanic White

• Includes African Americans, Asians & Pacific Islanders, American Indians, Multi-Race and Hispanics

• Hispanics are an ETHNIC and not a RACIAL minority. Hispanics can be of any race, but in Maryland most (over 90%) are white

Growth in Non-Hispanic White & Minority Population in Maryland,1980-1990

204,465

359,355

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

Non-Hispanic White Minorities

Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning, from U.S. Census Data, 1990 MARS and 2000 Modified Race data

36% 64%

Growth in Non-Hispanic White & Minority Population in Maryland, 1990 - 2000

-27,520

480,749

-100,000

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000


Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning, from U.S. Census Data, 1990 MARS and 2000 Modified Race data

Growth in Non-Hispanic White & Minority Population in Maryland, 2000 - 2004

24,402

237,150

-100,000

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000


Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning, from U.S. Census Data, 2000 Modified Race data & population estimates, 2004

Net Domestic Migration For Maryland, 1995 - 2000

-69,002

43,553

-80,000

-60,000

-40,000

-20,000

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

Non-Hispanic White African American

Non-Hispanic White African American

Prepared by the Maryland Dept of Planning, Planning Data Services from Census 2000 Migration DVD

Population Change for Maryland by Race and Hispanic Origin, 1990 – 2000 *

-27,520

297,304

79,107

1,515

102,823

-50,000

50,000

150,000

250,000

350,000

White AfricanAmerican

Asian AmericanIndian

Hispanic

Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning from U.S. Census Data 1990MARs and 2000 Modified Race data

* Race for 1990 and 2000 are for non Hispanics. For 2000 includes single race only

Share of 1990 – 2000 Pop Change for Maryland

16%0%

63%21%

African American Hispanic Asian Amer Ind

Population Change for Maryland by Race and Hispanic Origin, 2000 – 2004 *

24,423

114,134

41,661

284

69,801

11,270

-50,000

50,000

150,000

250,000

350,000



Hispanic Two+


* Race for 2000 and 2004 are for non Hispanics.

Share of 2000 – 2004 Pop Change for Maryland

9%

16%

4%

44%

27%

African American Hispanic Asian Two+ NH_White

Maryland Population Share by Race & Hispanic Origin, 1990

69.6%

24.7%

2.9%0.3%

2.6%0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%



Hispanic

* Race share is non-HispanicPrepared by the Maryland Department of Planning from U.S. Census Data 1990MARs


62.3%

27.9%

4.1%0.3%

4.3%1.2%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%



Hispanic Two +

* Race share is non-HispanicPrepared by the Maryland Department of Planning from U.S. Census Data 2000 MARs


59.8%

28.6%

4.6%0.3%

5.4%1.3%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%



Hispanic Two +

Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning from U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates

Foreign Born Population

• Totals Over the Decades

• Distribution

• Impact on Population Growth

• Origin of the Foreign Born

• Ability to Speak English

Foreign-Born Entering Maryland by Decade

44,665

86,233

147,953

228,429

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s

Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning, from U.S. Census data

Foreign-Born Entering Maryland by Decade*

90,721

228,429

147,953

86,233

44,665

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s


213,500

* For 2000s, estimates for 2000-2004 and extrapolation to 2010

Total Foreign Born in Maryland

94,178124,345

195,581

313,494

518,315

595,089

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2004

Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning, from Decennial Census data and 2004 ACS

Foreign Born as a Pct of Total Population in Maryland

3.0% 3.2%

4.6%

6.6%

9.8%11.0%

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2004

Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning, from U.S. Decennial Census and ACS

Where Foreign-Born Settled During the 1990s

45.4%

23.0%

31.6%

MontgomeryPrince George'sRemainder


Where Foreign-Born Settled During the 1980s

50.1%

26.2%

23.7%

MontgomeryPrince George'sRemainder


“Rest” of the 1980s

8.1%

6.0%

2.8% 2.6%

4.2%

0.0%

2.0%

4.0%

6.0%

8.0%

10.0%

12.0%

BaltimoreCounty

BaltimoreCity

Howard AnneArundel

Rest ofState


“Rest” of the 1990s

10.7%

6.2%5.0%

3.4%

6.3%

0.0%

2.0%

4.0%

6.0%

8.0%

10.0%

12.0%

BaltimoreCounty

BaltimoreCity

Howard AnneArundel

Rest ofState


2,477

3,046

3,264

3,470

7,364

7,779

23,211

28,113

29,638

53,784

110,481

232,996

0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000

Washington

Carroll

Wicomico

Charles

Harford

Frederick

Anne Arundel

Howard

Baltimore City

Baltimore Co

Prince George's

Montgomery

Total Foreign Born in Maryland by Jurisdiction – 2000


2.9%

2.9%

3.3%

3.4%

3.9%

4.0%

4.6%

4.7%

7.1%

11.3%

13.8%

26.7%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%

Charles

Kent

Talbot

Harford

Wicomico

Frederick

Baltimore City

Anne Arundel

Baltimore Co

Howard

Prince George's

Montgomery

Foreign Born as a Percent of Total Population – 2000


Components of Population Change, 1990 – 2000, Maryland

333,634

166,079

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

350,000

Net Natural Increase Net Migration


Components of Population Change, 1990 – 2000, Maryland

333,634

-62,350

228,429

-100,000

-50,000

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

350,000

Net NaturalIncrease

Domestic Migration ForeignImmigration


Components of Population Change for Montgomery County, 1990 – 2000

73,617

-61,148

103,686

-80,000

-40,000

0

40,000

80,000

120,000

Net NaturalIncrease



Components of Population Change for Prince George’s County, 1990 – 2000

78,950

-58,776

52,460

-60,000

-40,000

-20,000

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

Net NaturalIncrease



Components of Population Change for Baltimore County, 1990 – 2000

25,361

7,736

24,550

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

Net NaturalIncrease



Components of Population Change for Howard County, 1990 – 2000

23,40225,005

11,372

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

Net NaturalIncrease



Components of Migration for Baltimore City, 1990 – 2000

20,307

-125,231

14,057

-160,000

-120,000

-80,000

-40,000

0

40,000

Net NaturalIncrease



Origin of the Foreign Born in Maryland (Entered 1990 – 2000)

79,58575,430

36,97832,064

3,451 9210

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

LatinAmerica

Asia Africa Europe NorthAmerica

Oceania


34.8% 33.0%

16.2% 14.0%

Country of Origin for the Foreign Born in Maryland

14,555

14,807

15,071

18,988

19,287

21,007

25,581

31,249

32,276

41,818

0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000 45,000

Germany

Vietnam

Nigeria

Jamaica

Mexico

Philippines

China & Hong Kong

Korea

India

El Salvador


Country of Origin for the Foreign Born in Maryland (cont.)

6,550

7,183

7,928

8,407

8,723

9,019

9,733

10,309

11,050

14,206

0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000

Ghana

Pakistan

Taiwan

Peru

Russia

Canada

Iran

Guatemala

Trinidad and Tobago

United Kingdom


Origin of the Foreign Born in Montgomery (Entered 1990 – 2000)

36,898 36,113

15,38713,606

1,215 4670

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

LatinAmerica

Asia Africa Europe NorthAmerica

Oceania


35.6% 34.8% 14.8% 13.1%

Country of Origin for the Foreign Born in Montgomery County

4,709

5,105

5,108

5,781

6,149

6,795

8,782

12,175

14,318

16,169

24,106

0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000

TaiwanJamaicaMexico

PeruPhilippines

IranVietnam

KoreaChina & Hong Kong

IndiaEl Salvador


Origin of the Foreign Born in Prince George’s (Entered 1990 – 2000)

25,209

13,23811,231

2,254474 540

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

LatinAmerica

Africa Asia Europe NorthAmerica

Oceania


48.0% 25.2% 21.4%

Country of Origin for the Foreign Born in Prince George’s County

3,040

3,161

3,215

4,153

4,243

4,804

6,370

7,570

7,788

8,012

13,913

0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000

China & Hong Kong Guyana

Sierra LeoneGuatemala

Trinidad and TobagoIndia

PhilippinesNigeria

JamaicaMexico

El Salvador


Origin of the Foreign Born in Baltimore County (Entered 1990 – 2000)

9,518

7,142

3,9923,302

549 470

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

Asia Europe LatinAmerica

Africa NorthAmerica

Oceania


38.8% 29.1% 16.8% 13.4%

Country of Origin for the Foreign Born in Baltimore County

1,349

1,847

1,874

1,933

2,108

2,422

2,485

2,803

2,896

4,020

4,022

0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000

Trinidad and TobagoUnited Kingdom

GermanyJamaicaNigeria

PhilippinesUkraine

China & Hong KongRussia

IndiaKorea


Origin of the Foreign Born in Howard County (Entered 1990 – 2000)

5,939

2,072 1,8771,140

193 1510

5,000

10,000

15,000

Asia LatinAmerica

Europe Africa NorthAmerica

Oceania


52.2% 18.2% 16.5%

Country of Origin for the Foreign Born in Howard County

709

736

803

810

811

892

994

1,081

1,863

3,098

4,706

0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000

IranPakistanJamaicaTaiwan

GermanyUnited Kingdom

MexicoPhilippines

China & Hong KongIndia

Korea


Number in Maryland Who Speak English “Not Well or Not at All”

28,033

62,184

111,256

0

40,000

80,000

120,000

1980 1990 2000


Maryland Residents Who Speak English, “Not Well” or “Not at All” by Language

Spoken at Home59,326

27,001

21,544

3,385

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

Spanish Asian Indo-European Other


111,256 total

53.3%24.3%

19.4%

Maryland Residents Who Speak English, “Not Well” or “Not at All” by Language

Spoken at Home

9,9468,777

4,374 4,365

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

16,000

Korean Chinese Russian Vietnamese


Montgomery Co. Residents Who Speak English, “Not Well” or “Not at All” by

Language Spoken at Home24,218

12,979

7,436

1,202

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000



52.8% 28.3%16.2%

Montgomery Co. Residents Who Speak English, “Not Well” or “Not at All” by

Language Spoken at Home

4,821

3,783

2,469

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

Chinese Korean Vietnamese


Prince George’s Co. Residents Who Speak English, “Not Well” or “Not at All” by

Language Spoken at Home19,259

3,6922,323

998

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000



73.3% 14.0% 8.8%

Baltimore Co. Residents Who Speak English, “Not Well” or “Not at All” by


4,461

3,1592,980

439

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

Indo-European Spanish Asian Other


40.4% 28.6% 27.0%

Baltimore Co. Residents Who Speak English, “Not Well” or “Not at All” by


2,148

1,139 1,058

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

Russian Chinese Korean


Population Change by Race and Hispanic Origin for Jurisdictions

• Total Change – 1990 – 2000– 2000 - 2004

• Share of Total Pop – 1990– 2004

Percent Minority Population - 1990

1.0%2.9%3.8%

6.0%7.4%7.6%

11.6%12.3%

15.3%15.8%16.5%17.3%17.8%18.0%18.9%

21.7%22.7%22.8%24.1%

27.5%28.9%30.4%

39.5%58.4%

61.4%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

GarrettAllegany

CarrollCecil

WashingtonFrederick

HarfordQueen Anne'sAnneArundel

Baltimore Co.St Mary's

CalvertCarolineHoward

TalbotCharles

WorcesterKent

WicomicoMontgomery

DorchesterMarylandSomerset

PrinceGeorge'Baltimore City


1.5%4.8%

7.3%7.4%

10.8%11.4%11.7%

14.0%16.9%

18.7%19.1%19.4%19.5%20.0%21.5%

26.3%27.1%28.3%

31.1%32.5%

37.7%40.0%

44.1%68.8%

75.5%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

GarrettCarroll

CecilAllegany

WashingtonQueen Anne's

FrederickHarfordCalvertTalbot

CarolineSt, Mary'sWorcester

Anne ArundelKent

Baltimore CoHoward

WicomicoDorchester

CharlesMaryland

MongtomerySomerset

Baltimore CityPrince George's


1.4%6.2%7.8%8.5%

10.9%12.4%

15.2%16.3%17.1%18.0%18.5%19.4%19.8%20.2%

22.0%29.2%30.6%30.8%31.5%

40.2%40.2%

43.4%44.4%

69.9%80.0%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

GarrettCarroll

AlleganyCecil

Queen Anne'sWashington

FrederickHarfordCalvertTalbot

WorcesterCaroline

St. Mary'sKent

Anne ArundelWicomico

Baltimore CountyDorchester

HowardMaryland

CharlesMontgomery

SomersetBaltimore City

Prince George's

Pct Point Change in Minority PopulationShare, 1990 -2004

-4.2%-2.6%

-1.3%-0.9%

-0.3%0.5%

1.6%1.8%

2.4%2.5%

3.3%4.8%4.8%4.9%4.9%5.1%

6.6%7.6%

8.5%9.8%

13.4%14.8%

16.0%18.5%

21.7%

-10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%

WorcesterKent

Queen Anne'sTalbot

CalvertGarrett

CarolineDorchester

CarrollCecil

St. Mary'sHarford

AlleganySomerset

WashingtonWicomico

Anne ArundelFrederick

Baltimore CityMaryland

HowardBaltimore

MontgomeryCharles

Prince George's

Population Change for Montgomery Co. by Race & Hispanic Origin, 1990 – 2000*

-24,966

43,25839,337

216

44,922

-30,000

-20,000

-10,000

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000



Hispanic



Population Change for Montgomery Co. by Race and Hispanic Origin, 2000 – 2004 *

-2,832

8,667

19,218

-39

20,811

2,524

-30,000

-20,000

-10,000

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000



Hispanic Two+



Montgomery Population Share by Race & Hispanic Origin, 1990

72.5%

11.8%8.1%

0.2%

7.4%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%



Hispanic



56.6%

15.3%13.0%

0.2%

13.2%

1.7%0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%



Hispanic Two +


Population Change for Prince George’s Co. by Race & Hispanic Origin, 1990 – 2000*

-106,814

136,538

4,542 17127,087

-150,000

-100,000

-50,000

0

50,000

100,000

150,000



Hispanic



Influence of migration from Wash, D.C.

Influence of migration from Wash, D.C.

Population Change for Prince George’s Co. by Race and Hispanic Origin, 2000 – 2004

*

-28,179

42,978

860 -62

25,106749

-150,000

-100,000

-50,000

0

50,000

100,000

150,000



Hispanic Two+



Continued loss of white pop; relatively stronger growth in Hispanics – nearly equal to previous 10-yr. growth

Continued loss of white pop; relatively stronger growth in Hispanics – nearly equal to previous 10-yr. growth

Prince George’s Population Share by Race & Hispanic Origin, 1990

41.6%

50.2%

3.8%0.3%

4.1%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%



Hispanic


Prince George’s Population Share by Race & Hispanic Origin, 2004

20.0%

64.7%

3.9%0.3%

9.7%

1.4%0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%



Hispanic Two +


Population Change for Charles County by Race & Hispanic Origin, 1990 – 2000*

2,193

13,052

976131

1,017

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000



Hispanic



Nearly 90 % of gain is minority growth

Nearly 90 % of gain is minority growth

Population Change for Charles County by Race and Hispanic Origin, 2000 – 2004 *

-156

12,760

744-36

1,261 688

-2,000

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000



Hispanic Two+



Growth is entirely minority. In four years nearly equal to previous 10 for AA

Growth is entirely minority. In four years nearly equal to previous 10 for AA

Charles County’s Population Share by Race & Hispanic Origin, 1990

78.3%

18.1%

1.3% 0.7% 1.7%0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%



Hispanic


Over ¾ white; less than 1/5 AA

Over ¾ white; less than 1/5 AA

Charles County’s Population Share by Race & Hispanic Origin, 2004

59.8%

32.5%

2.2% 0.6% 2.9% 2.0%0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%



Hispanic Two +


White share less than 60%; AA share approaching 1/3

White share less than 60%; AA share approaching 1/3

Population Change for Baltimore County by Race & Hispanic Origin, 1990 – 2000*

-26,986

66,671

9,333392

5,643

-30,000

-20,000

-10,000

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000



Hispanic



AA - Influence of migration from Baltimore City

AA - Influence of migration from Baltimore City

Population Change for Baltimore County by Race and Hispanic Origin, 2000 – 2004

*

-13,697

29,461

4,678184

4,042 1,861

-30,000

-20,000

-10,000

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000



Hispanic Two+



Nearly same pattern; but Hispanic growth nearly equal to previous 10 years

Nearly same pattern; but Hispanic growth nearly equal to previous 10 years

Baltimore County’s Population Share by Race & Hispanic Origin, 1990

84.2%

12.2%

2.2% 0.2% 1.2%0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%



Hispanic


Baltimore County’s Population Share by Race & Hispanic Origin, 2004

69.4%

23.2%

3.7%0.3% 2.3% 1.1%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%



Hispanic Two +


Whites < 70%; AA approaching 1/4 ; Asians & Hispanics < 5 %

Whites < 70%; AA approaching 1/4 ; Asians & Hispanics < 5 %

Population Change for Harford Co. by Race & Hispanic Origin, 1990 – 2000*

26,867

4,778

1,002 71,348

0

10,000

20,000

30,000



Hispanic



White growth 5.6/1 to AA growth

White growth 5.6/1 to AA growth

Pop Change for Harford County by Race Hispanic & Origin, 2000–2004 *

9,169

4,842

825 261,315 827

0

10,000

20,000

30,000



Hispanic Two+



White growth now 1.9 to 1 to AA growth. Hispanic growth =previous 10-year gain

White growth now 1.9 to 1 to AA growth. Hispanic growth =previous 10-year gain

Harford County’s Population Share by Race & Hispanic Origin, 1990

88.4%

8.4%

1.3% 0.2% 1.5%0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%



Hispanic


Harford County’s Population Share by Race & Hispanic Origin, 2004

83.7%

10.6%

1.8% 0.2% 2.3% 1.4%0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%



Hispanic Two +


Change in shares about equal to previous 10 years for whites, a bit more for AA

Change in shares about equal to previous 10 years for whites, a bit more for AA

Population Change for Frederick County by Race & Hispanic Origin, 1990 – 2000*

33,525

4,4201,885

1052,951

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000



Hispanic



Overwhelmingly white. Ratio of white to AA = 7.6 to 1

Overwhelmingly white. Ratio of white to AA = 7.6 to 1

Population Change for Frederick County by Race and Hispanic Origin, 2000 – 2004

*

12,314

3,040 2,104119

3,7831,017

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000



Hispanic Two+



White share much smaller than previous 10 years (78% vs. 55%). AA change almost as much; Hispanic > previous 10 years

White share much smaller than previous 10 years (78% vs. 55%). AA change almost as much; Hispanic > previous 10 years

Frederick County’s Population Share by Race & Hispanic Origin, 1990

92.4%

5.3%1.0% 0.2% 1.1%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%



Hispanic


Frederick County’s Population Share by Race & Hispanic Origin, 2004

84.8%

7.1%2.5% 0.2%

3.9% 1.5%0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%



Hispanic Two +


White share drops almost as much as in previous 10 years (3.5 vs. 4.1)

White share drops almost as much as in previous 10 years (3.5 vs. 4.1)

Population Change for Carroll County by Race & Hispanic Origin, 1990 – 2000*

24,979

539 441 137 5860

10,000

20,000

30,000



Hispanic



Overwhelmingly white gain (94%)

Overwhelmingly white gain (94%)

Population Change for Carroll County by Race and Hispanic Origin, 2000 – 2004 *

12,130

1,194 799 43 873 2230

10,000

20,000

30,000



Hispanic Two+



Still mostly white, but less so (79.5%). AA & Hispanic increase greater than in previous 10 years

Still mostly white, but less so (79.5%). AA & Hispanic increase greater than in previous 10 years

Carroll County’s Population Share by Race & Hispanic Origin, 1990

96.2%

2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.7%0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%



Hispanic


Carroll County’s Population Share by Race & Hispanic Origin, 2004

93.8%

2.8% 1.2% 0.2% 1.4% 0.6%0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%



Hispanic Two +


Population Change for Howard County by Race & Hispanic Origin, 1990 – 2000*

27,248

14,105

11,261

162

3,791

0

10,000

20,000

30,000



Hispanic



White is largest increase but less than ½ of total increase (48.2%)

White is largest increase but less than ½ of total increase (48.2%)

Population Change for Howard County by Race and Hispanic Origin, 2000 – 2004 *

1,987

4,974

8,157

302,487

1,2610

10,000

20,000

30,000



Hispanic Two+



White gain now fourth largest

White gain now fourth largest

Howard County’s Population Share by Race & Hispanic Origin, 1990

82.0%

11.6%4.3%

0.2% 2.0%0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%



Hispanic


Howard County’s Population Share by Race & Hispanic Origin, 2004

68.5%

15.3%10.3%

0.2%3.7% 2.0%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%



Hispanic Two +


White share drops another 4.4 pct pts., Increase spread out

White share drops another 4.4 pct pts., Increase spread out

Age Data

• Arrest rates by age and gender

• Pop Distribution by Age and Race

U.S. Arrest Rates by Age and Gender - 2004 (per 10,000 population)

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65+

Males Females

Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning, using arrest statistics from the FBI (Crime in the U.S. in 2004), and U.S. Census Bureau population estimates

2004 Population Distribution by Race/Hispanic Origin from Maryland

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

0-4

5-9

10-1

415

-19

20-2

425

-29

30-3

435

-39

40-4

445

-49

50-5

455

-59

60-6

465

-69

70-7

475

-79

80-8

485

+

White

Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning from Census Bureau population estimates


0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

0-4

5-9

10-1

415

-19

20-2

425

-29

30-3

435

-39

40-4

445

-49

50-5

455

-59

60-6

465

-69

70-7

475

-79

80-8

485

+

White Afr. American



0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

0-4

5-9

10-1

415

-19

20-2

425

-29

30-3

435

-39

40-4

445

-49

50-5

455

-59

60-6

465

-69

70-7

475

-79

80-8

485

+

White Asian



0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

0-4

5-9

10-1

415

-19

20-2

425

-29

30-3

435

-39

40-4

445

-49

50-5

455

-59

60-6

465

-69

70-7

475

-79

80-8

485

+

White Hispanic



56.6%

15.3%13.0%

0.2%

13.2%

1.7%0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%



Hispanic Two +


Montgomery Population Share by Race & Hispanic Origin, 2004, Males 15-19

54.4%

16.3%11.6%

0.2%

15.1%

2.5%0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%



Hispanic Two +



45.5%

16.8%13.4%

0.2%

22.1%

2.0%0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%



Hispanic Two +



40.5%

17.0% 15.9%

0.2%

24.8%

1.5%0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%



Hispanic Two +


2004 Percent Minority by Age Group for Montgomery County

43.4%

49.7%52.5%

49.4%

32.2%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

Total 0-14 15-29 30-44 45+

Source: Census Bureau Population Estimates

Summary – A Few Key Points

• Maryland is a diverse state and one that is becoming more diverse over time

• This diversity is being promoted by net out-migration of non-Hispanic whites, in-migration of African Americans and steady and significant foreign immigration


• Foreign immigration plays a major role in population growth in the State in general, and an even larger role for particular counties

• Although the minority population is growing in 19 out of 24 jurisdictions, it is not uniform as to its race/ethnic makeup


• In many jurisdictions, growth in Asians and Hispanics over the 2000-2004 period nearly matches, or exceeds, growth over the previous 10 years

• Spanish speakers are the largest share of those that have trouble speaking English, although this can vary by jurisdiction.


• In almost all cases, minority population is younger than the non-Hispanic white population

• As a result, minority share of the population in key crime age cohorts will be larger than their share of the general population

Thank You…..

Mark Goldstein

[email protected]

maryland’s changing demographics leadership challenge xv june 13, 2006 presented by mark goldstein...

Documents

maryland slide

maryland population

census data slide

modified race data slide

maryland dept of planning

race share

white slide

planning data services