marketing research - primary data collection
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8/3/2019 Marketing Research - Primary Data Collection
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Primary Data Collection:
Observation
Prof. Rushen Chahal
Prof. Rushen Chahal
8/3/2019 Marketing Research - Primary Data Collection
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The systematic process of recording patterns of
occurrences or behaviors without normally
communicating with the people involved.
The needed information must be either observable or inferable;
The behavior should be repetitive, frequent, or in some manner predictable;
The behavior must be relatively short in duration.
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Nature of Observation Research
Prof. Rushen Chahal
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Natural vs. Contrived:
Is the setting made up by the researcher or are you observing a
naturally occurring event?
Open vs. Disguised: Does the subject know the purpose of the research?
Structured vs. Unstructured:
Is the researcher taking detailed notes or is the researcher
making more general observations?
G arbologist - ³Forensic Observation´:
Going through people¶s ³garbage´ to analyze consumption
patterns. Sometimes used as generic term for forensic
observation ± the clues people leave behind.
Nature of Observation Research
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Mechanical:
Eye movement recorders ± Pulpilometer;
Voice pitch analysis;
People monitors in TV;
Traffic counters;
Audits ± Qualitative & Quantitative
People Reader / Meter;
Physiological measurement;
devices ± ³lie detectors´
Galvanic skin responses;
Electroencephalograph;
Rapid Analysis Measurement System (RAMS);
Scanners - such as the grocery ³BehaviorScan´.
Ethnographic:
The study of human behavior in its natural context,
involving observation of behavior and physical setting.
Information
Resources Inc.
Information
Resources Inc.
Nature of Observation Research
Prof. Rushen Chahal
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You see what people actually do - rather than what they say they do;
Firsthand information is less prone to biases;
The observational data can be executed quickly and relatively accurately;
Electronic collection such as scanners is more efficient than manual counts; Clients can also observe their customers along with the researcher.
Only physical or behavior can be measured;
Can¶t measure attitudes, beliefs, intentions, or feelings; Not always a good representation of the general population;
Interpretation is somewhat subjective depending on observation type;
Data analysis is generally more qualitative than quantitative;
It can be expensive and time consuming if subjects not readily available;
Data can be time sensitive making predictive analysis tricky.
Nature of Observation Research
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P eople who pose as customers and shop at
a company¶s own stores or those of its
competitors to collect data about
customer-employee interactions and to
gather observational data; they might also
compare prices, displays, and the like.
Mystery Shopping
Click for More Information
Prof. Rushen Chahal
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The mystery shopper calls/contacts the business with a
script with questions and notes the experience.
The mystery shopper visits the business and makes a quick purchase with little or no customer-employee interaction.
Mystery Shopping Levels
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The mystery shopper visits the business for a more involved experience to include a
scripted scenario to gauge the customer-employee interaction. Level III usually does
not involve a major purchase - although detailed discussion about the product or
services will likely occur.
The mystery shopper visits the business with great knowledge about the products.
This knowledge can be used to test the employees. A purchase - and/or issues relatedto the purchases - might likely be involved.
Mystery Shopping Levels
Prof. Rushen Chahal
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Measuring employee training;
Preparing for or monitoring new competition ;
Comparison shopping;
Recognizing good employees;
To build a profile of the shoppers¶ patters of behavior.
Audits:
Examination and verification of product sales;
One-Way-Mirror-Observation:
Practice of watching behaviors and activities from behind a
one-way-mirror;
ESOMAR - formerly the E uropean Society for Opinion Research
offers mystery shopping guidelines.
Click for Information
ConductingMystery Shopping
Understanding
Behavior
Through
Observation
Prof. Rushen Chahal
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Predictive Consumer Intelligence: Web site should mirror the customers¶ buying process;
Click sequence / patterns should enhance predictive capability.
Conversation Trackers: Used to develop a cohesive message from thousands of
conversation threads in newsgroups, chatrooms, listservs,
message boards, etc.
Observation Research on the Internet
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Primary Data Collection:
Experimentation
Prof. Rushen Chahal
Prof. Rushen Chahal
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An Experiment:
A research approach in which one variable is manipulated and the effect on
another variable is observed.
Key Variables:
I ndependent : variables you control directly such as price, packaging,distribution, product features, etc.;
Dependent: variables you do not directly control such as sales or
customer satisfaction - (might control them by manipulating the
independent variable);
Treatment: the independent variable manipulated during and
experiment to measure its effect on the dependent variable;
Extraneous: Factors you do not control but have to live with such as the weather.
What is an Experiment?
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Research designed to determine whether a change in one
variable likely caused an observed change in another.
A causal relationshi p s must demonstrate three things:
Concomitant Variation;
Appropriate Time Order of Occurrence; Elimination of Other Possible Causal Factors.
A causal relationshi p s must demonstrate three things:
Concomitant Variation;
Appropriate Time Order of Occurrence; Elimination of Other Possible Causal Factors.
Whoops!
Demonstrating Causation
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A statistical relationship between variables;
Change in an independent variable occurred before
an observed change in the dependent variable;
No other independent variables are causing the change³ I f you eliminate the impossible, whatever remains, however improbable, must be the
truth.´ Sherlock Holmes
Whoops!
1 . Concomitant Variation:
2.Appropriate Time
Order of Occurrence:
3. Elimination of Other
Possible Causal Factors:
Demonstrating CausationMustMeet Three Criteria
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Experiments conducted in a controlled setting.
Tests conducted outside the laboratory in an actual
environment, such as a marketplace.
Experimental Setting
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X´ = Independent Variable:
Indicates the exposure of an individual or a group to an experimental treatment.
This variable is something the researcher can change and manipulate. It is hoped
that the change in the independent variable will cause a change in the dependent
variable.
³O´ = Dependent Variable:
Indicates a variable the researcher cannot change directly. It is hoped that changing
the independent variable will cause changes in the dependent variable. Thus thedependent variable is ³ dependent´ on what the researcher does with the independent
variable.
Experimental Notation
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History:
Intervention, between the beginning and end of an experiment, of
outside variables that might change the dependent variable.
Maturation:
Changes in subjects occurring during the experiment that are notrelated to the experiment but which might affect subjects¶ response to
the treatment factor.
Instrument Variation:
Changes in measurement instruments (e.g., interviews or observers)
that might affect measurements.
Selections Bias:
Systematic differences between the test group and the control group
due to a biased selection process.
Extraneous Variables
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Mortality:
Loss of test units or subjects during the course of an experiment, which
might result in a nonrepresentativeness.
Testing Effect:
An effect that is a by-product of the research process itself.
Regression to theMean:
Tendency of subjects with extreme behavior to move toward the average
for that behavior during the course of the experiment.
Extraneous Variables
T hings like the weather, government regulations, com petitors¶ actions
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The random assignment of subjects to treatment conditions to ensure equal
representation of subject characteristics.
Holding constant the value or level of extraneous variables throughout the
course of an experiment.
Use of experimental design to control extraneous causal factors.
Adjusting for the effects of extraneous variables by statistically adjusting the
value or the dependant variable for each treatment condition.
Randomization:
Physical Control:
Design Control:
Statistical Control:
Controlling Extraneous Variables
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A test in which the researcher has control over and manipulates one or
more independent variables.
The independent variable that is manipulated in an experiment.
The effect of the treatment variable on the dependent variable.
Experimental Design, Treatment, and Effects
Experimental Design:
Treatment Variable:
Experimental Effect:
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High Cost: Is the research affordable?
Will the research be beneficial & help solve problems?
Has a cost & benefit analysis been done?
Security Issues: Particularly critical with field experiments.
The competition might be ³tipped-off.´
Are the data and findings secure?
Process Contamination: People who unwittingly get caught into the survey.
Outside factors unnaturally affecting the experiment.
Participants who intentionally try to skew the results.
High Cost: Is the research affordable?
Will the research be beneficial & help solve problems?
Has a cost & benefit analysis been done?
Security Issues: Particularly critical with field experiments.
The competition might be ³tipped-off.´
Are the data and findings secure?
Process Contamination: People who unwittingly get caught into the survey.
Outside factors unnaturally affecting the experiment.
Participants who intentionally try to skew the results.
Experimental Design, Treatment, and Effects
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Selected Experimental Designs
Pre-Experimental Design:
Designs that offer little or no control over e xtraneous factors.
One-Shot Case StudyOne-Group Pretest-Posttest
Static-Group Comparison
One-Shot Case StudyOne-Group Pretest-Posttest
Static-Group Comparison
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O = The Measurement of the Dependent Variable
X = The Manipulation/Change of Independent Variable
E = Experimental Effect - Change in Dependent Variable due to Change in the Independent Variable
O = The Measurement of the Dependent Variable
X = The Manipulation/Change of Independent Variable
E = Experimental Effect - Change in Dependent Variable due to Change in the Independent Variable
X O1
One Shot Case Study
Change the independent variable, then measure the change in the
dependent variable to see if there was in fact a change in thedependent variable that the researcher might conclude resulted
from the change in the independent variable.
X O1
One Shot Case Study
Change the independent variable, then measure the change in the
dependent variable to see if there was in fact a change in thedependent variable that the researcher might conclude resulted
from the change in the independent variable.
Selected Experimental Designs
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O = The Measurement of the Dependent Variable
X = The Manipulation/Change of Independent Variable
E = Experimental Effect - Change in Dependent Variable due to Change in the Independent Variable
O = The Measurement of the Dependent Variable
X = The Manipulation/Change of Independent Variable
E = Experimental Effect - Change in Dependent Variable due to Change in the Independent Variable
O X O21One-Group Pretest-Posttest
Same as ³One-Shot´ except measure the dependent variable
before the change in the independent variables. The researcher isestablishing a benchmark from which to gauge the change.
O X O21One-Group Pretest-Posttest
Same as ³One-Shot´ except measure the dependent variable
before the change in the independent variables. The researcher isestablishing a benchmark from which to gauge the change.
Selected Experimental Designs
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O = The Measurement of the Dependent Variable
X = The Manipulation/Change of Independent Variable
E = Experimental Effect - Change in Dependent Variable due to Change in the Independent Variable
O = The Measurement of the Dependent Variable
X = The Manipulation/Change of Independent Variable
E = Experimental Effect - Change in Dependent Variable due to Change in the Independent Variable
Static-Group Comparison
It uses an experimental and a control, but subjects or test unitsare not randomly assigned to the two groups and no pre-
measurements are taken.
X O 1
O 2
Static-Group Comparison
It uses an experimental and a control, but subjects or test unitsare not randomly assigned to the two groups and no pre-
measurements are taken.
X O 1
O 2
Selected Experimental Designs
Prof. Rushen Chahal
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True Experimental Designs
Before and After With Control Group
Solomon Four Group Design
After Only With Control Group
Before and After With Control Group
Solomon Four Group Design
After Only With Control Group
True Experimental Design:
Research using an e x perimental group and a control group, to which test
units are randomly assigned.
Prof. Rushen Chahal
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O = The Measurement of the Dependent Variable
X = The Manipulation/Change of Independent Variable
E = Experimental Effect - Change in Dependent Variable due to Change in the Independent Variable
O = The Measurement of the Dependent Variable
X = The Manipulation/Change of Independent Variable
E = Experimental Effect - Change in Dependent Variable due to Change in the Independent Variable
True experimental design that involves random assignmentof subjects or test units to experimental and control groups
and pre- and post -measurements of both groups.
Before and After With
Control GroupO X O21
O O43
True experimental design that involves random assignmentof subjects or test units to experimental and control groups
and pre- and post -measurements of both groups.
Before and After With
Control GroupO X O21
O O43
Selected Experimental Designs
Prof. Rushen Chahal
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O = The Measurement of the Dependent Variable
X = The Manipulation/Change of Independent Variable
E = Experimental Effect - Change in Dependent Variable due to Change in the Independent Variable
O = The Measurement of the Dependent Variable
X = The Manipulation/Change of Independent Variable
E = Experimental Effect - Change in Dependent Variable due to Change in the Independent Variable
Solomon Four-Group Design Ex perimental Group 1
Control Group 1
O X O21
O O3 4
Ex perimental Group 2
Control Group 2
X O5
O6
Research in which two experimental
groups and two control groups are used
to control for all extraneous variables.
Solomon Four-Group Design Ex perimental Group 1
Control Group 1
O X O21
O O3 4
Ex perimental Group 2
Control Group 2
X O5
O6
Research in which two experimental
groups and two control groups are used
to control for all extraneous variables.
Selected Experimental Designs
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O = The Measurement of the Dependent Variable
X = The Manipulation/Change of Independent Variable
E = Experimental Effect - Change in Dependent Variable due to Change in the Independent Variable
O = The Measurement of the Dependent Variable
X = The Manipulation/Change of Independent Variable
E = Experimental Effect - Change in Dependent Variable due to Change in the Independent Variable
After Only With Control Group X O 1 Ex perimental Group
Control Group 2OSubjects in the experiment are
randomly assigned to experiment and
control groups respectively. No premeasurements of the dependent
variable are taken.
After Only With Control Group X O 1 Ex perimental Group
Control Group 2OSubjects in the experiment are
randomly assigned to experiment and
control groups respectively. No premeasurements of the dependent
variable are taken.
Selected Experimental Designs
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Quasi-Experiments
Studies in which the researcher lacks
complete control over the scheduling of treatments or must assign respondents to
treatments in a nonrandom manner.
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Quasi-Experiments
Research in which repeated measurement of an
effect ³interrupts´ previous data patterns.
Interrupted time-series design with a control group.
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Testing of new product/service, or some element of the marketing mix, using an
experimental or quasi experimental design.
Advertising expenses;
Point-of-purchase materials;
Coupons and sampling;
Travel and set-up expenses;
Need for customized research;
Possible diversion of sales from your other products;
Potentially bad press / public reaction if experiment fails;
Letting competitors know what your company is doing;
Falsely thinking the sample results are always representative of the population.
TestMarkets
Cities as Test Markets
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1. Define the Objective:
What do you hope to learn?
What are the characteristics of the people/products of interest?
2. Select a BasicApproach:
Simulated, controlled, or standard test?
3. Develop Detailed Test Procedures:
How will you execute the study?
Who will be involved? How long will it take and how much can you spend?
Six Steps in a Test Market Study
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4. Select the TestMarket:
Market should not be over tested;
Should have little media spillover;
Demographics should be similar to your target population;
Market should be large enough to provide useful results; Distribution and other patterns should be similar to the nation.
5. Execute The Plan:
How long should the test run?
Who should execute it?
6.Analyze the results:
Use qualitative and quantitative techniques when possible.
Six Steps in a Test Market Study
Prof. Rushen Chahal