market clearing prices comparison with baselines€¦ · daily market monitoring report for 25...

31
Market Operations Service Daily Market Monitoring Report for 25 November 2015 1. Yesterday’s Prices 2. Today’s Supply and Demand Outlook 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 Price, P/MWh Hour Market Clearing Prices for 11/24/2015 Ex-Ante Price Ex-Ante Average Ex-Post Average 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 6,500 7,000 7,500 8,000 8,500 9,000 9,500 Price, P/MWh Aggregate Supply, MW Comparison with Baselines for 11/25/2015 Bad Wed 25 November 2015 Wed Good Wed 3. Discussion The prices yesterday are generally low as predicted EAP ranged from 1,330 to 10,000 and averaged 4,098 P/MWh EPP ranged from 1,330 to 7,241 and averaged 2,900 P/MWh The average prices are much higher than last week’s The outlook for today is generally positive At low levels of demand, the clearing price may be in the 4,527 P/MWh range At very high levels of demand, the clearing price may exceed 30,052 P/MWh

Upload: others

Post on 11-Jul-2020

3 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Market Clearing Prices Comparison with Baselines€¦ · Daily Market Monitoring Report for 25 November 2015 1. Yesterday’s Prices 2. Today’s Supply and Demand Outlook 0 2,000

Market Operations Service

Daily Market Monitoring Report for 25 November 2015

1. Yesterday’s Prices 2. Today’s Supply and Demand Outlook

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

Pri

ce

, P

/MW

h

Hour

Market Clearing Pricesfor 11/24/2015

Ex-Ante Price Ex-Ante Average Ex-Post Average

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

6,500 7,000 7,500 8,000 8,500 9,000 9,500

Price,

P/M

Wh

Aggregate Supply, MW

Comparison with Baselinesfor 11/25/2015

Bad Wed 25 November 2015 Wed Good Wed

3. Discussion

The prices yesterday are generally low as predicted EAP ranged from 1,330 to 10,000 and averaged 4,098 P/MWh EPP ranged from 1,330 to 7,241 and averaged 2,900 P/MWh The average prices are much higher than last week’s

The outlook for today is generally positive At low levels of demand, the clearing price may be in the 4,527 P/MWh range At very high levels of demand, the clearing price may exceed 30,052 P/MWh

Page 2: Market Clearing Prices Comparison with Baselines€¦ · Daily Market Monitoring Report for 25 November 2015 1. Yesterday’s Prices 2. Today’s Supply and Demand Outlook 0 2,000

Market Operations Service

Daily Market Monitoring Report for 24 November 2015

1. Yesterday’s Prices 2. Today’s Supply and Demand Outlook

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

Pri

ce

, P

/MW

h

Hour

Market Clearing Pricesfor 11/23/2015

Ex-Ante Price Ex-Ante Average Ex-Post Average

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

6,500 7,000 7,500 8,000 8,500 9,000 9,500

Price

, P

/MW

h

Aggregate Supply, MW

Comparison with Baselinesfor 11/24/2015

Bad Tue 24 November 2015 Tue Good Tue

3. Discussion

The prices yesterday are generally low as predicted EAP ranged from 1,323 to 10,000 and averaged 3,566 P/MWh EPP ranged from 1,323 to 5,102 and averaged 2,671 P/MWh The average prices are much lower than last week’s

The outlook for today is generally positive At low levels of demand, the clearing price may be in the 4,456 P/MWh range At very high levels of demand, the clearing price may exceed 25,101 P/MWh

Page 3: Market Clearing Prices Comparison with Baselines€¦ · Daily Market Monitoring Report for 25 November 2015 1. Yesterday’s Prices 2. Today’s Supply and Demand Outlook 0 2,000

Market Operations Service

Daily Market Monitoring Report for 23 November 2015

1. Yesterday’s Prices 2. Today’s Supply and Demand Outlook

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

Pri

ce

, P

/MW

h

Hour

Market Clearing Pricesfor 11/22/2015

Ex-Ante Price Ex-Ante Average Ex-Post Average

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

6,500 7,000 7,500 8,000 8,500 9,000 9,500

Price,

P/M

Wh

Aggregate Supply, MW

Comparison with Baselinesfor 11/23/2015

Bad Mon 23 November 2015 Mon Good Mon

3. Discussion

The prices yesterday are generally low as predicted EAP ranged from 1,481 to 5,830 and averaged 2,326 P/MWh EPP ranged from 1,321 to 5,390 and averaged 2,005 P/MWh The average prices are much higher than last week’s

The outlook for today is generally positive At low levels of demand, the clearing price may be in the 4,451 P/MWh range At very high levels of demand, the clearing price may exceed 26,672 P/MWh

Page 4: Market Clearing Prices Comparison with Baselines€¦ · Daily Market Monitoring Report for 25 November 2015 1. Yesterday’s Prices 2. Today’s Supply and Demand Outlook 0 2,000

Market Operations Service

Daily Market Monitoring Report for 22 November 2015

1. Yesterday’s Prices 2. Today’s Supply and Demand Outlook

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

Pri

ce

, P

/MW

h

Hour

Market Clearing Pricesfor 11/21/2015

Ex-Ante Price Ex-Ante Average Ex-Post Average

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

6,500 7,000 7,500 8,000 8,500 9,000 9,500

Price,

P/M

Wh

Aggregate Supply, MW

Comparison with Baselinesfor 11/22/2015

Bad Sun 22 November 2015 Sun Good Sun

3. Discussion

The prices yesterday are generally low as predicted EAP ranged from 1,330 to 8,000 and averaged 2,943 P/MWh EPP ranged from 1,323 to 6,758 and averaged 2,258 P/MWh The average prices are much higher than last week’s

The outlook for today is generally positive At low levels of demand, the clearing price may be in the 8,526 P/MWh range At very high levels of demand, the clearing price may exceed 0 P/MWh

Page 5: Market Clearing Prices Comparison with Baselines€¦ · Daily Market Monitoring Report for 25 November 2015 1. Yesterday’s Prices 2. Today’s Supply and Demand Outlook 0 2,000

Market Operations Service

Daily Market Monitoring Report for 21 November 2015

1. Yesterday’s Prices 2. Today’s Supply and Demand Outlook

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

Pri

ce

, P

/MW

h

Hour

Market Clearing Pricesfor 11/20/2015

Ex-Ante Price Ex-Ante Average Ex-Post Average

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

6,500 7,000 7,500 8,000 8,500 9,000 9,500

Price,

P/M

Wh

Aggregate Supply, MW

Comparison with Baselinesfor 11/21/2015

Bad Sat 21 November 2015 Sat Good Sat

3. Discussion

The prices yesterday are generally low as predicted EAP ranged from 1,379 to 10,551 and averaged 4,774 P/MWh EPP ranged from 1,324 to 6,000 and averaged 3,143 P/MWh The average prices are much lower than last week’s

The outlook for today is generally positive At low levels of demand, the clearing price may be in the 6,685 P/MWh range At very high levels of demand, the clearing price may exceed 29,852 P/MWh

Page 6: Market Clearing Prices Comparison with Baselines€¦ · Daily Market Monitoring Report for 25 November 2015 1. Yesterday’s Prices 2. Today’s Supply and Demand Outlook 0 2,000

Market Operations Service

Daily Market Monitoring Report for 20 November 2015

1. Yesterday’s Prices 2. Today’s Supply and Demand Outlook

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

Pri

ce

, P

/MW

h

Hour

Market Clearing Pricesfor 11/19/2015

Ex-Ante Price Ex-Ante Average Ex-Post Average

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

6,500 7,000 7,500 8,000 8,500 9,000 9,500

Price,

P/M

Wh

Aggregate Supply, MW

Comparison with Baselinesfor 11/20/2015

Bad Fri 20 November 2015 Fri Good Fri

3. Discussion

The prices yesterday are generally low as predicted EAP ranged from 1,343 to 3,301 and averaged 1,778 P/MWh EPP ranged from 1,212 to 1,632 and averaged 1,453 P/MWh The average prices are much lower than last week’s

The outlook for today is generally positive At low levels of demand, the clearing price may be in the 4,428 P/MWh range At very high levels of demand, the clearing price may exceed 26,565 P/MWh

Page 7: Market Clearing Prices Comparison with Baselines€¦ · Daily Market Monitoring Report for 25 November 2015 1. Yesterday’s Prices 2. Today’s Supply and Demand Outlook 0 2,000

Market Operations Service

Daily Market Monitoring Report for 19 November 2015

1. Yesterday’s Prices 2. Today’s Supply and Demand Outlook

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

Pri

ce

, P

/MW

h

Hour

Market Clearing Pricesfor 11/18/2015

Ex-Ante Price Ex-Ante Average Ex-Post Average

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

6,500 7,000 7,500 8,000 8,500 9,000 9,500

Price,

P/M

Wh

Aggregate Supply, MW

Comparison with Baselinesfor 11/19/2015

Bad Thu 19 November 2015 Thu Good Thu

3. Discussion

The prices yesterday are generally low as predicted EAP ranged from 1,211 to 10,000 and averaged 2,398 P/MWh EPP ranged from 1,206 to 2,900 and averaged 1,817 P/MWh The average prices are much lower than last week’s

The outlook for today is generally positive At low levels of demand, the clearing price may be in the 3,283 P/MWh range At very high levels of demand, the clearing price may exceed 27,804 P/MWh

Page 8: Market Clearing Prices Comparison with Baselines€¦ · Daily Market Monitoring Report for 25 November 2015 1. Yesterday’s Prices 2. Today’s Supply and Demand Outlook 0 2,000

Market Operations Service

Daily Market Monitoring Report for 18 November 2015

1. Yesterday’s Prices 2. Today’s Supply and Demand Outlook

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

Pri

ce

, P

/MW

h

Hour

Market Clearing Pricesfor 11/17/2015

Ex-Ante Price Ex-Ante Average Ex-Post Average

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

6,500 7,000 7,500 8,000 8,500 9,000 9,500

Price,

P/M

Wh

Aggregate Supply, MW

Comparison with Baselinesfor 11/18/2015

Bad Wed 18 November 2015 Wed Good Wed

3. Discussion

The prices yesterday are generally low as predicted EAP ranged from 1,483 to 10,000 and averaged 3,803 P/MWh EPP ranged from 1,387 to 10,000 and averaged 2,579 P/MWh The average prices are much lower than last week’s

The outlook for today is generally positive At low levels of demand, the clearing price may be in the 3,461 P/MWh range At very high levels of demand, the clearing price may exceed 32,000 P/MWh

Page 9: Market Clearing Prices Comparison with Baselines€¦ · Daily Market Monitoring Report for 25 November 2015 1. Yesterday’s Prices 2. Today’s Supply and Demand Outlook 0 2,000

Market Operations Service

Daily Market Monitoring Report for 17 November 2015

1. Yesterday’s Prices 2. Today’s Supply and Demand Outlook

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

Pri

ce

, P

/MW

h

Hour

Market Clearing Pricesfor 11/16/2015

Ex-Ante Price Ex-Ante Average Ex-Post Average

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

6,500 7,000 7,500 8,000 8,500 9,000 9,500

Price,

P/M

Wh

Aggregate Supply, MW

Comparison with Baselinesfor 11/17/2015

Bad Tue 17 November 2015 Tue Good Tue

3. Discussion

The prices yesterday are generally low as predicted EAP ranged from 1,266 to 10,000 and averaged 4,584 P/MWh EPP ranged from 1,207 to 8,704 and averaged 3,157 P/MWh The average prices are much lower than last week’s

The outlook for today is generally positive At low levels of demand, the clearing price may be in the 3,274 P/MWh range At very high levels of demand, the clearing price may exceed 22,003 P/MWh

Page 10: Market Clearing Prices Comparison with Baselines€¦ · Daily Market Monitoring Report for 25 November 2015 1. Yesterday’s Prices 2. Today’s Supply and Demand Outlook 0 2,000

Market Operations Service

Daily Market Monitoring Report for 16 November 2015

1. Yesterday’s Prices 2. Today’s Supply and Demand Outlook

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

Pri

ce

, P

/MW

h

Hour

Market Clearing Pricesfor 11/15/2015

Ex-Ante Price Ex-Ante Average Ex-Post Average

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

6,500 7,000 7,500 8,000 8,500 9,000 9,500

Price,

P/M

Wh

Aggregate Supply, MW

Comparison with Baselinesfor 11/16/2015

Bad Mon 16 November 2015 Mon Good Mon

3. Discussion

The prices yesterday are generally low as predicted EAP ranged from 757 to 2,800 and averaged 1,586 P/MWh EPP ranged from 1,210 to 2,800 and averaged 1,536 P/MWh The average prices are much lower than last week’s

The outlook for today is generally positive At low levels of demand, the clearing price may be in the 3,690 P/MWh range At very high levels of demand, the clearing price may exceed 23,041 P/MWh

Page 11: Market Clearing Prices Comparison with Baselines€¦ · Daily Market Monitoring Report for 25 November 2015 1. Yesterday’s Prices 2. Today’s Supply and Demand Outlook 0 2,000

Market Operations Service

Daily Market Monitoring Report for 15 November 2015

1. Yesterday’s Prices 2. Today’s Supply and Demand Outlook

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

Pri

ce

, P

/MW

h

Hour

Market Clearing Pricesfor 11/14/2015

Ex-Ante Price Ex-Ante Average Ex-Post Average

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

6,500 7,000 7,500 8,000 8,500 9,000 9,500

Price,

P/M

Wh

Aggregate Supply, MW

Comparison with Baselinesfor 11/15/2015

Bad Sun 15 November 2015 Sun Good Sun

3. Discussion

The prices yesterday are generally low as predicted EAP ranged from 1,379 to 5,834 and averaged 2,594 P/MWh EPP ranged from 1,325 to 4,421 and averaged 2,209 P/MWh The average prices are much lower than last week’s

The outlook for today is generally positive At low levels of demand, the clearing price may be in the 4,257 P/MWh range At very high levels of demand, the clearing price may exceed 32,000 P/MWh

Page 12: Market Clearing Prices Comparison with Baselines€¦ · Daily Market Monitoring Report for 25 November 2015 1. Yesterday’s Prices 2. Today’s Supply and Demand Outlook 0 2,000

Market Operations Service

Daily Market Monitoring Report for 14 November 2015

1. Yesterday’s Prices 2. Today’s Supply and Demand Outlook

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

Pri

ce

, P

/MW

h

Hour

Market Clearing Pricesfor 11/13/2015

Ex-Ante Price Ex-Ante Average Ex-Post Average

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

6,500 7,000 7,500 8,000 8,500 9,000 9,500

Price,

P/M

Wh

Aggregate Supply, MW

Comparison with Baselinesfor 11/14/2015

Bad Sat 14 November 2015 Sat Good Sat

3. Discussion

The prices yesterday are generally high contrary to predictions EAP ranged from 1,520 to 23,408 and averaged 6,740 P/MWh EPP ranged from 1,529 to 10,013 and averaged 4,628 P/MWh The average prices are much higher than last week’s

The outlook for today is generally positive At low levels of demand, the clearing price may be in the 3,823 P/MWh range At very high levels of demand, the clearing price may exceed 28,902 P/MWh

Page 13: Market Clearing Prices Comparison with Baselines€¦ · Daily Market Monitoring Report for 25 November 2015 1. Yesterday’s Prices 2. Today’s Supply and Demand Outlook 0 2,000

Market Operations Service

Daily Market Monitoring Report for 13 November 2015

1. Yesterday’s Prices 2. Today’s Supply and Demand Outlook

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

Pri

ce

, P

/MW

h

Hour

Market Clearing Pricesfor 11/12/2015

Ex-Ante Price Ex-Ante Average Ex-Post Average

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

6,500 7,000 7,500 8,000 8,500 9,000 9,500

Price,

P/M

Wh

Aggregate Supply, MW

Comparison with Baselinesfor 11/13/2015

Bad Fri 13 November 2015 Fri Good Fri

3. Discussion

The prices yesterday are generally low as predicted EAP ranged from 770 to 10,000 and averaged 4,662 P/MWh EPP ranged from 991 to 8,777 and averaged 3,690 P/MWh The average prices are much higher than last week’s

The outlook for today is generally positive At low levels of demand, the clearing price may be in the 3,639 P/MWh range At very high levels of demand, the clearing price may exceed 29,296 P/MWh

Page 14: Market Clearing Prices Comparison with Baselines€¦ · Daily Market Monitoring Report for 25 November 2015 1. Yesterday’s Prices 2. Today’s Supply and Demand Outlook 0 2,000

Market Operations Service

Daily Market Monitoring Report for 12 November 2015

1. Yesterday’s Prices 2. Today’s Supply and Demand Outlook

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

Pri

ce

, P

/MW

h

Hour

Market Clearing Pricesfor 11/11/2015

Ex-Ante Price Ex-Ante Average Ex-Post Average

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

6,500 7,000 7,500 8,000 8,500 9,000 9,500

Price

, P

/MW

h

Aggregate Supply, MW

Comparison with Baselinesfor 11/12/2015

Bad Thu 12 November 2015 Thu Good Thu

3. Discussion

The prices yesterday are generally low as predicted EAP ranged from 1,329 to 10,000 and averaged 3,863 P/MWh EPP ranged from 1,329 to 8,777 and averaged 3,135 P/MWh The average prices are a little lower than last week’s

The outlook for today is generally positive At low levels of demand, the clearing price may be in the 4,153 P/MWh range At very high levels of demand, the clearing price may exceed 29,557 P/MWh

Page 15: Market Clearing Prices Comparison with Baselines€¦ · Daily Market Monitoring Report for 25 November 2015 1. Yesterday’s Prices 2. Today’s Supply and Demand Outlook 0 2,000

Market Operations Service

Daily Market Monitoring Report for 11 November 2015

1. Yesterday’s Prices 2. Today’s Supply and Demand Outlook

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

10,000

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

Pri

ce

, P

/MW

h

Hour

Market Clearing Pricesfor 11/10/2015

Ex-Ante Price Ex-Ante Average Ex-Post Average

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

6,500 7,000 7,500 8,000 8,500 9,000 9,500

Price,

P/M

Wh

Aggregate Supply, MW

Comparison with Baselinesfor 11/11/2015

Bad Wed 11 November 2015 Wed Good Wed

3. Discussion

The prices yesterday are generally low as predicted EAP ranged from 1,520 to 9,194 and averaged 4,251 P/MWh EPP ranged from 1,322 to 7,303 and averaged 3,618 P/MWh The average prices are a little lower than last week’s

The outlook for today is generally positive At low levels of demand, the clearing price may be in the 4,830 P/MWh range At very high levels of demand, the clearing price may reach 32,000 P/MWh

Page 16: Market Clearing Prices Comparison with Baselines€¦ · Daily Market Monitoring Report for 25 November 2015 1. Yesterday’s Prices 2. Today’s Supply and Demand Outlook 0 2,000

Market Operations Service

Daily Market Monitoring Report for 10 November 2015

1. Yesterday’s Prices 2. Today’s Supply and Demand Outlook

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

Pri

ce

, P

/MW

h

Hour

Market Clearing Pricesfor 11/9/2015

Ex-Ante Price Ex-Ante Average Ex-Post Average

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

6,500 7,000 7,500 8,000 8,500 9,000 9,500

Price,

P/M

Wh

Aggregate Supply, MW

Comparison with Baselinesfor 11/10/2015

Bad Tue 10 November 2015 Tue Good Tue

3. Discussion

The prices yesterday are generally high contrary to predictions EAP ranged from 1,479 to 10,000 and averaged 5,376 P/MWh EPP ranged from 1,331 to 10,497 and averaged 3,495 P/MWh The average prices are much higher than last week’s

The outlook for today is generally positive At low levels of demand, the clearing price may be in the 4,320 P/MWh range At very high levels of demand, the clearing price may exceed 26,472 P/MWh

Page 17: Market Clearing Prices Comparison with Baselines€¦ · Daily Market Monitoring Report for 25 November 2015 1. Yesterday’s Prices 2. Today’s Supply and Demand Outlook 0 2,000

Market Operations Service

Daily Market Monitoring Report for 09 November 2015

1. Yesterday’s Prices 2. Today’s Supply and Demand Outlook

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

Pri

ce

, P

/MW

h

Hour

Market Clearing Pricesfor 11/8/2015

Ex-Ante Price Ex-Ante Average Ex-Post Average

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

6,500 7,000 7,500 8,000 8,500 9,000 9,500

Price,

P/M

Wh

Aggregate Supply, MW

Comparison with Baselinesfor 11/9/2015

Bad Mon 09 November 2015 Mon Good Mon

3. Discussion

The prices yesterday are generally low as predicted EAP ranged from 1,479 to 6,011 and averaged 2,468 P/MWh EPP ranged from 1,379 to 2,600 and averaged 1,850 P/MWh The average prices are much higher than last week’s

The outlook for today is generally positive At low levels of demand, the clearing price may be in the 4,594 P/MWh range At very high levels of demand, the clearing price may exceed 29,136 P/MWh

Page 18: Market Clearing Prices Comparison with Baselines€¦ · Daily Market Monitoring Report for 25 November 2015 1. Yesterday’s Prices 2. Today’s Supply and Demand Outlook 0 2,000

Market Operations Service

Daily Market Monitoring Report for 08 November 2015

1. Yesterday’s Prices 2. Today’s Supply and Demand Outlook

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

Pri

ce

, P

/MW

h

Hour

Market Clearing Pricesfor 11/7/2015

Ex-Ante Price Ex-Ante Average Ex-Post Average

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

6,500 7,000 7,500 8,000 8,500 9,000 9,500

Price,

P/M

Wh

Aggregate Supply, MW

Comparison with Baselinesfor 11/8/2015

Bad Sun 08 November 2015 Sun Good Sun

3. Discussion

The prices yesterday are generally low as predicted EAP ranged from 1,379 to 10,000 and averaged 4,134 P/MWh EPP ranged from 1,379 to 7,409 and averaged 3,014 P/MWh The average prices are much lower than last week’s

The outlook for today is generally positive At low levels of demand, the clearing price may be in the 6,427 P/MWh range At very high levels of demand, the clearing price may reach 32,000 P/MWh

Page 19: Market Clearing Prices Comparison with Baselines€¦ · Daily Market Monitoring Report for 25 November 2015 1. Yesterday’s Prices 2. Today’s Supply and Demand Outlook 0 2,000

Market Operations Service

Daily Market Monitoring Report for 07 November 2015

1. Yesterday’s Prices 2. Today’s Supply and Demand Outlook

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

Pri

ce

, P

/MW

h

Hour

Market Clearing Pricesfor 11/6/2015

Ex-Ante Price Ex-Ante Average Ex-Post Average

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

6,500 7,000 7,500 8,000 8,500 9,000 9,500

Price,

P/M

Wh

Aggregate Supply, MW

Comparison with Baselinesfor 11/7/2015

Bad Sat 07 November 2015 Sat Good Sat

3. Discussion

The prices yesterday are generally low as predicted EAP ranged from 1,520 to 10,000 and averaged 3,951 P/MWh EPP ranged from 1,318 to 6,214 and averaged 3,089 P/MWh The average prices are much lower than last week’s

The outlook for today is generally positive At low levels of demand, the clearing price may be in the 4,200 P/MWh range At very high levels of demand, the clearing price may exceed 26,039 P/MWh

Page 20: Market Clearing Prices Comparison with Baselines€¦ · Daily Market Monitoring Report for 25 November 2015 1. Yesterday’s Prices 2. Today’s Supply and Demand Outlook 0 2,000

Market Operations Service

Daily Market Monitoring Report for 06 November 2015

1. Yesterday’s Prices 2. Today’s Supply and Demand Outlook

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

Pri

ce

, P

/MW

h

Hour

Market Clearing Pricesfor 11/5/2015

Ex-Ante Price Ex-Ante Average Ex-Post Average

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

6,500 7,000 7,500 8,000 8,500 9,000 9,500

Price,

P/M

Wh

Aggregate Supply, MW

Comparison with Baselinesfor 11/6/2015

Bad Fri 06 November 2015 Fri Good Fri

3. Discussion

The prices yesterday are generally low as predicted EAP ranged from 1,520 to 10,000 and averaged 4,320 P/MWh EPP ranged from 1,388 to 8,000 and averaged 3,367 P/MWh The average prices are much higher than last week’s

The outlook for today is generally positive At low levels of demand, the clearing price may be in the 4,135 P/MWh range At very high levels of demand, the clearing price may exceed 32,000 P/MWh

Page 21: Market Clearing Prices Comparison with Baselines€¦ · Daily Market Monitoring Report for 25 November 2015 1. Yesterday’s Prices 2. Today’s Supply and Demand Outlook 0 2,000

Market Operations Service

Daily Market Monitoring Report for 05 November 2015

1. Yesterday’s Prices 2. Today’s Supply and Demand Outlook

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

16,000

18,000

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

Pri

ce

, P

/MW

h

Hour

Market Clearing Pricesfor 11/4/2015

Ex-Ante Price Ex-Ante Average Ex-Post Average

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

6,500 7,000 7,500 8,000 8,500 9,000 9,500

Price,

P/M

Wh

Aggregate Supply, MW

Comparison with Baselinesfor 11/5/2015

Bad Thu 05 November 2015 Thu Good Thu

3. Discussion

The prices yesterday are generally high contrary to predictions EAP ranged from 1,520 to 16,788 and averaged 5,551 P/MWh EPP ranged from 1,379 to 10,000 and averaged 4,045 P/MWh The average prices are much higher than last week’s

The outlook for today is generally positive At low levels of demand, the clearing price may be in the 4,357 P/MWh range At very high levels of demand, the clearing price may exceed 28,290 P/MWh

Page 22: Market Clearing Prices Comparison with Baselines€¦ · Daily Market Monitoring Report for 25 November 2015 1. Yesterday’s Prices 2. Today’s Supply and Demand Outlook 0 2,000

Market Operations Service

Daily Market Monitoring Report for 04 November 2015

1. Yesterday’s Prices 2. Today’s Supply and Demand Outlook

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

16,000

18,000

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

Pri

ce

, P

/MW

h

Hour

Market Clearing Pricesfor 11/3/2015

Ex-Ante Price Ex-Ante Average Ex-Post Average

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

6,500 7,000 7,500 8,000 8,500 9,000 9,500

Price

, P

/MW

h

Aggregate Supply, MW

Comparison with Baselinesfor 11/4/2015

Bad Wed 04 November 2015 Wed Good Wed

3. Discussion

The prices yesterday are generally high contrary to predictions EAP ranged from 1,501 to 16,995 and averaged 5,354 P/MWh EPP ranged from 1,501 to 10,000 and averaged 3,716 P/MWh The average prices are much higher than last week’s

The outlook for today is generally positive At low levels of demand, the clearing price may be in the 4,713 P/MWh range At very high levels of demand, the clearing price may exceed 29,602 P/MWh

Page 23: Market Clearing Prices Comparison with Baselines€¦ · Daily Market Monitoring Report for 25 November 2015 1. Yesterday’s Prices 2. Today’s Supply and Demand Outlook 0 2,000

Market Operations Service

Daily Market Monitoring Report for 03 November 2015

1. Yesterday’s Prices 2. Today’s Supply and Demand Outlook

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

Pri

ce

, P

/MW

h

Hour

Market Clearing Pricesfor 11/2/2015

Ex-Ante Price Ex-Ante Average Ex-Post Average

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

6,500 7,000 7,500 8,000 8,500 9,000 9,500

Price,

P/M

Wh

Aggregate Supply, MW

Comparison with Baselinesfor 11/3/2015

Bad Tue 03 November 2015 Tue Good Tue

3. Discussion

The prices yesterday are generally low as predicted EAP ranged from 101 to 5,714 and averaged 2,440 P/MWh EPP ranged from 0 to 4,406 and averaged 1,771 P/MWh The average prices are a little lower than last week’s

The outlook for today is generally positive At low levels of demand, the clearing price may be in the 5,000 P/MWh range At very high levels of demand, the clearing price may exceed 28,456 P/MWh

Page 24: Market Clearing Prices Comparison with Baselines€¦ · Daily Market Monitoring Report for 25 November 2015 1. Yesterday’s Prices 2. Today’s Supply and Demand Outlook 0 2,000

Market Operations Service

Daily Market Monitoring Report for 02 November 2015

1. Yesterday’s Prices 2. Today’s Supply and Demand Outlook

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

Pri

ce

, P

/MW

h

Hour

Market Clearing Pricesfor 11/1/2015

Ex-Ante Price Ex-Ante Average Ex-Post Average

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

6,500 7,000 7,500 8,000 8,500 9,000 9,500

Price,

P/M

Wh

Aggregate Supply, MW

Comparison with Baselinesfor 11/2/2015

Bad Mon 02 November 2015 Mon Good Mon

3. Discussion

The prices yesterday are generally low as predicted EAP ranged from 101 to 1,632 and averaged 1,352 P/MWh EPP ranged from 101 to 1,522 and averaged 1,318 P/MWh The average prices are a little lower than last week’s

The outlook for today is generally positive At low levels of demand, the clearing price may be in the 7,223 P/MWh range At very high levels of demand, the clearing price may exceed 28,004 P/MWh

Page 25: Market Clearing Prices Comparison with Baselines€¦ · Daily Market Monitoring Report for 25 November 2015 1. Yesterday’s Prices 2. Today’s Supply and Demand Outlook 0 2,000

Market Operations Service

Daily Market Monitoring Report for 01 November 2015

1. Yesterday’s Prices 2. Today’s Supply and Demand Outlook

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

Pri

ce

, P

/MW

h

Hour

Market Clearing Pricesfor 10/31/2015

Ex-Ante Price Ex-Ante Average Ex-Post Average

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

6,500 7,000 7,500 8,000 8,500 9,000 9,500

Price,

P/M

Wh

Aggregate Supply, MW

Comparison with Baselinesfor 11/1/2015

Bad Sun 01 November 2015 Sun Good Sun

3. Discussion

The prices yesterday are generally low as predicted EAP ranged from 826 to 2,242 and averaged 1,554 P/MWh EPP ranged from 817 to 1,719 and averaged 1,457 P/MWh The average prices are a little lower than last week’s

The outlook for today is generally positive At low levels of demand, the clearing price may be in the 23,935 P/MWh range At very high levels of demand, the clearing price may reach 32,000 P/MWh

Page 26: Market Clearing Prices Comparison with Baselines€¦ · Daily Market Monitoring Report for 25 November 2015 1. Yesterday’s Prices 2. Today’s Supply and Demand Outlook 0 2,000

Market Operations Service

Daily Market Monitoring Report for 31 October 2015

1. Yesterday’s Prices 2. Today’s Supply and Demand Outlook

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

16,000

18,000

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

Pri

ce

, P

/MW

h

Hour

Market Clearing Pricesfor 10/30/2015

Ex-Ante Price Ex-Ante Average Ex-Post Average

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

6,500 7,000 7,500 8,000 8,500 9,000 9,500

Price,

P/M

Wh

Aggregate Supply, MW

Comparison with Baselinesfor 10/31/2015

Bad Sat 31 October 2015 Sat Good Sat

3. Discussion

The prices yesterday are generally high contrary to predictions EAP ranged from 1,520 to 16,788 and averaged 5,060 P/MWh EPP ranged from 1,021 to 10,000 and averaged 3,665 P/MWh The average prices are much higher than last week’s

The outlook for today is generally positive At low levels of demand, the clearing price may be in the 6,019 P/MWh range At very high levels of demand, the clearing price may reach 32,000 P/MWh

Page 27: Market Clearing Prices Comparison with Baselines€¦ · Daily Market Monitoring Report for 25 November 2015 1. Yesterday’s Prices 2. Today’s Supply and Demand Outlook 0 2,000

Market Operations Service

Daily Market Monitoring Report for 30 October 2015

1. Yesterday’s Prices 2. Today’s Supply and Demand Outlook

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

16,000

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

Pri

ce

, P

/MW

h

Hour

Market Clearing Pricesfor 10/29/2015

Ex-Ante Price Ex-Ante Average Ex-Post Average

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

6,500 7,000 7,500 8,000 8,500 9,000 9,500

Price,

P/M

Wh

Aggregate Supply, MW

Comparison with Baselinesfor 10/30/2015

Bad Fri 30 October 2015 Fri Good Fri

3. Discussion

The prices yesterday are generally low as predicted EAP ranged from 1,325 to 14,778 and averaged 3,307 P/MWh EPP ranged from 1,325 to 6,000 and averaged 2,268 P/MWh The average prices are a little higher than last week’s

The outlook for today is generally positive At low levels of demand, the clearing price may be in the 4,262 P/MWh range At very high levels of demand, the clearing price may exceed 29,851 P/MWh

Page 28: Market Clearing Prices Comparison with Baselines€¦ · Daily Market Monitoring Report for 25 November 2015 1. Yesterday’s Prices 2. Today’s Supply and Demand Outlook 0 2,000

Market Operations Service

Daily Market Monitoring Report for 29 October 2015

1. Yesterday’s Prices 2. Today’s Supply and Demand Outlook

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

10,000

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

Pri

ce

, P

/MW

h

Hour

Market Clearing Pricesfor 10/28/2015

Ex-Ante Price Ex-Ante Average Ex-Post Average

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

6,500 7,000 7,500 8,000 8,500 9,000 9,500

Price,

P/M

Wh

Aggregate Supply, MW

Comparison with Baselinesfor 10/29/2015

Bad Thu 29 October 2015 Thu Good Thu

3. Discussion

The prices yesterday are generally low as predicted EAP ranged from 1,319 to 9,049 and averaged 2,995 P/MWh EPP ranged from 1,207 to 4,376 and averaged 1,877 P/MWh The average prices are a little higher than last week’s

The outlook for today is generally positive At low levels of demand, the clearing price may be in the 2,832 P/MWh range At very high levels of demand, the clearing price may exceed 25,193 P/MWh

Page 29: Market Clearing Prices Comparison with Baselines€¦ · Daily Market Monitoring Report for 25 November 2015 1. Yesterday’s Prices 2. Today’s Supply and Demand Outlook 0 2,000

Market Operations Service

Daily Market Monitoring Report for 28 October 2015

1. Yesterday’s Prices 2. Today’s Supply and Demand Outlook

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

Pri

ce

, P

/MW

h

Hour

Market Clearing Pricesfor 10/27/2015

Ex-Ante Price Ex-Ante Average Ex-Post Average

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

6,500 7,000 7,500 8,000 8,500 9,000 9,500

Price,

P/M

Wh

Aggregate Supply, MW

Comparison with Baselinesfor 10/28/2015

Bad Wed 28 October 2015 Wed Good Wed

3. Discussion

The prices yesterday are generally low as predicted EAP ranged from 1,315 to 11,718 and averaged 3,631 P/MWh EPP ranged from 1,266 to 4,466 and averaged 2,299 P/MWh The average prices are much higher than last week’s

The outlook for today is generally positive At low levels of demand, the clearing price may be in the 2,700 P/MWh range At very high levels of demand, the clearing price may exceed 19,648 P/MWh

Page 30: Market Clearing Prices Comparison with Baselines€¦ · Daily Market Monitoring Report for 25 November 2015 1. Yesterday’s Prices 2. Today’s Supply and Demand Outlook 0 2,000

Market Operations Service

Daily Market Monitoring Report for 27 October 2015

1. Yesterday’s Prices 2. Today’s Supply and Demand Outlook

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

16,000

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

Pri

ce

, P

/MW

h

Hour

Market Clearing Pricesfor 10/26/2015

Ex-Ante Price Ex-Ante Average Ex-Post Average

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

6,500 7,000 7,500 8,000 8,500 9,000 9,500

Price,

P/M

Wh

Aggregate Supply, MW

Comparison with Baselinesfor 10/27/2015

Bad Tue 27 October 2015 Tue Good Tue

3. Discussion

The prices yesterday are generally low as predicted EAP ranged from 185 to 15,016 and averaged 4,329 P/MWh EPP ranged from 0 to 10,000 and averaged 2,370 P/MWh The average prices are much higher than last week’s

The outlook for today is generally positive At low levels of demand, the clearing price may be in the 2,036 P/MWh range At very high levels of demand, the clearing price may exceed 20,914 P/MWh

Page 31: Market Clearing Prices Comparison with Baselines€¦ · Daily Market Monitoring Report for 25 November 2015 1. Yesterday’s Prices 2. Today’s Supply and Demand Outlook 0 2,000

Market Operations Service

Daily Market Monitoring Report for 26 October 2015

1. Yesterday’s Prices 2. Today’s Supply and Demand Outlook

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

Pri

ce

, P

/MW

h

Hour

Market Clearing Pricesfor 10/25/2015

Ex-Ante Price Ex-Ante Average Ex-Post Average

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

6,500 7,000 7,500 8,000 8,500 9,000 9,500

Price,

P/M

Wh

Aggregate Supply, MW

Comparison with Baselinesfor 10/26/2015

Bad Mon 26 October 2015 Mon Good Mon

3. Discussion

The prices yesterday are generally low as predicted EAP ranged from 1,202 to 3,240 and averaged 1,673 P/MWh EPP ranged from 1,200 to 2,500 and averaged 1,504 P/MWh The average prices are much higher than last week’s

The outlook for today is generally positive At low levels of demand, the clearing price may be in the 2,261 P/MWh range At very high levels of demand, the clearing price may exceed 23,475 P/MWh