manfred neun s4c colloquium aveiro 2016

“Cycling and the UN Sustainable Development Goals

– contributions based on the Active Mobility Agenda“

Manfred Neun – ECF/WCA president and Chair of the S4C advisory board Scientist-for-Cycling colloquium 2016 Aveiro – November 17, 2016

ECF gratefully acknowledges financialsupport from the European Commission.

Cycling and the UN SDGs – Contributions based on the Active Mobility Agenda C O N T E N T

CONTENT

1. Introduction: S4C – the global network’s evolutioni. Welcome to Aveiroii. The S4C: New Publications + calendar previewiii. Increasing demand for research + Smarter Cycling perspectivesiv. Preview: Cycling benefits from the EU Cycling Economy

2. S4C colloquium in Aveiro – “The Global Goals” (SDGs) i. The SDGs content developmentii. The SDGs – and transport/cycling/Active Mobility – are we in ? iii. The role of the Active Mobility Agenda for the SDGs in general

3. “The Global Goals” (SDGs) – guidelines for research i. The structure of the SDGsii. Elements of evaluation - Framing and mental models, cycling

economic benefits etc.iii. The cycling contributions to SDGs – the evaluation in progresss

4. “The Global Goals” (SDGs) – invitations and conclusionsi. Far reaching results, achievements and perspectivesii. Invitation to contributeiii. Conclusions

5. Discussions – all about “Global Goals and Cycling”

The UN Sustainable Development Goals adopted by the UN general assembly at Sept

3

The UN Sustainable Development Goals

2.1

The Global Goals for Sustainable Development (SDGs)

4


2.1

transforming our world:the 2030 agenda for sustainable development

Preamble

This Agenda is a plan of action for people, planet and prosperity. It also seeks to strengthen universal peace in larger freedom. We recognise that eradicating poverty in all its forms and dimensions, including extreme poverty, is the greatest global challenge and an indispensable requirement for sustainable development. All countries and all stakeholders, acting in collaborative partnership, will implement this plan. We are resolved to free the human race from the tyranny of poverty and want and to heal and secure our planet. We are determined to take the bold and transformative steps .....

5


2.1


Preamble

• This Agenda is a plan of action for people, planet and prosperity. • It also seeks to strengthen universal peace in larger freedom. • We recognise that eradicating poverty in all its forms and

dimensions, including extreme poverty, is the greatest global challenge and an indispensable requirement for sustainable development.

• All countries and all stakeholders, acting in collaborative partnership, will implement this plan.

• We are resolved to free the human race from the tyranny of poverty and want and to heal and secure our planet.

• We are determined to take the bold and transformative steps .....

6

The UN Sustainable Development Goals transforming our world:the 2030 agenda for sustainable development

Preamble

• This Agenda is a plan of action for people, planet and prosperity.

• We recognise that eradicating poverty in all its forms and dimensions, including extreme poverty, is the greatest global challenge and an indispensable requirement for sustainable development.

• We are resolved to free the human race from the tyranny of poverty


7


Preamble

• This Agenda is a plan of action for people, planet and prosperity. • It also seeks to strengthen universal peace in larger freedom.



8


Preamble

• This Agenda is a plan of action for people, planet and prosperity. • It also seeks to strengthen universal peace in larger freedom.



9


Preamble

• This Agenda is a plan of action for people, planet and prosperity. • It also seeks to strengthen universal peace in larger freedom. • We recognise that eradicating poverty in all its forms and

dimensions, including extreme poverty, is the greatest global challenge and an indispensable requirement for sustainable development.


• We are resolved to free the human race from the tyranny of poverty and want and to heal and secure our planet.


10


preamble

• people

• planet

• prosperity

• peace

• partnership

11


preamble

• people

• planet

• prosperity

• peace

• partnership

12

https://sustainabledevelopment.un.org/post2015/transformingourworld


essentials

• end poverty is an overarching goal• SDGs are an inclusive agenda • all countries = transformation countries

13



14


15


16


cycling and active mobility is not in– even transport is not in

17


2.2transportis in

18

cycling and active mobility is in– even transport is in


2.2.1UN SGHLAG

SUSTAINABLE TRANSPORT IMPACTS ON ACHIEVING THE SDG'S

• safe• affordable• accessible• efficient• Resilient• minimizing carbon and other

emissions and environmental impact

Analysis and Policy Recommendations from the United Nations Secretary-General's High-Level Advisory Group on Sustainable Transport

19


2.2.2cycling economics

Contributions from cycling economics – increasing benefits to unleash

essentials

• end poverty is an overarching goal

20




essentials


21

[ great progress from scratch ]




essentials


22

[ great progress from scratch ]




essentials


23

new publications




essentials


24

Calculations based on concrete evidence

Calculations based on best available data

Estimations based on best available indications

Total value

Hard facts 239.99 bn € 239,99 bn €

Data based calculations

239.99 bn € 90.7 bn € 330.69 bn €

Total value 239.99 bn € 90.7 bn € 182.5 bn €plus x

513.19 bn €plus x



where does it come from?

25



where does it come from?

26

Basic factors Environment + Climate Economy Social Benefits

Boosting factors Energy + Resources

Technology + Design Mobility

Balancing factors Health Time + Space Diversity of cultures

systematic analysis of the cycling benefits – a morphological approach


2.3


active mobility agenda

27






2.3


28







2.3EU cycling strategy


29






The Global Goals for Sustainable Development (SDGs)and the Active Mobility Agenda – Guidelines for Research

30

3. active mobility agenda






31

3.1sdgsstructure


32

structure??

one overarching goal

33

structure3.1sdgsstructure


34

3.1sdgsstructure


35

On September 25th 2015, countries adopted a set of goals to

end poverty, protect the planet,

and ensure prosperity for all as part of a new sustainable development agenda.

Each goal has specific targets to be achieved over the next 15 years.


36

preamble

• people• planet• prosperity + provisions of life• peace• partnership

sdgs structure

37

people provisions of life

sdgs structure

38

prosperity provisions of life

people

sdgs structure

39

preamble

• people• planet• prosperity + provisions of life• peace• partnership

sdgs structure

40

prosperity planet


peace

sdgs structure

41

preamble

prosperity planet


peace

partnership3.1sdgsstructure

sdgs structure

42

+ cycling contribu-tions

3.1sdgsstructure

sdgs structure

43

work in progress

3.1sdgsstructure

sdgs

44

3.2Invitation

transport contributions to the sdgs

45

3.2work in progress

End

pove

rty

End

Hun

ger

Goo

dhe

alth

Qua

lity

educ

atio

n

Gen

der e

qual

ity

Clea

n w

ater

Clea

n en

ergy

Dec

entw

ork

Indu

stry

, inn

o, in

fra

Redu

ced

ineq

ualit

ies

Sust

aina

ble

citie

s

Resp

cons

umpt

ion

Clim

ate

actio

n

Life

bel

oww

ater

Life

on

land

Peac

e, ju

stic

e

Part

ners

hips

4 go

als

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17

o o o o o o o o o Phase 1ECF – 9/17

x x x x x x x x Phase 1OWG – 8/17

transport contributions to the sdgs

46

3.2work in progress

End

pove

rty

End

Hun

ger

Goo

dhe

alth

Qua

lity

educ

atio

n

Gen

der e

qual

ity

Clea

n w

ater

Clea

n en

ergy

Dec

entw

ork

Indu

stry

, inn

o, in

fra

Redu

ced

ineq

ualit

ies

Sust

aina

ble

citie

s

Resp

cons

umpt

ion

Clim

ate

actio

n

Life

bel

oww

ater

Life

on

land

Peac

e, ju

stic

e

Part

ners

hips

4 go

als

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17

o o o o o o o o o Phase 1ECF – 9/17

x x x x x x x x Phase 1OWG – 8/17

o o o o o o o o o o o o Phase 2ECF – 12/17

x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x Phase 2HLAG –17/17

Active Mobility

47

Photo credit: http://www.cyclingcities.info/

3.2.elements of evaluation

Active Mobility Agenda

48





Photo credit: Manfred Neun


???

49

???3.2.elements of evaluation

???

50

Framing

Photo credit: Manfred Neun


Framing

51Photo credit: Manfred Neun

Tversky +Kahneman

1981Denzau +

North1994

Mental modelsFraming


Framing

52

Tversky +Kahneman

1981Denzau +

North1994


Active Transportation … 2012 ff

Litman 2014Schindler, HeldHeld, Neun 2010Neun 2011

Agenda setting 2008

Held et al. 2015

Active Mobility 2010

Active Mobility Agenda 2016

Human Rights … 2013

Cycling + Active Mobility 2016

Cycling Economy 2011Postfossile Mobility 2009

MobilityPyramid

Framing

53

Tversky +Kahneman

1981Denzau +

North1994




Agenda setting 2008

Held et al. 2015





Cycling Economy 2011

Tversky, A. and Kahneman, D. 1981. The Framing of decisions and the psychology of choice. Science, 211(4481): 453-458.

Postfossile Mobility 2009

Daniel Kahneman was Nobel Prize awarded in 2002, a psychologist named one of the most influencing economists of the century. He became even more prominent with his book “Thinking, Fast and Slow” in 2011.

Denzau, A. and North, D. C. 1994. Shared Mental Models: Ideologies and Institutions. Kyklos, 47(1), 3-31

MobilityPyramid

Framing

54

Tversky +Kahneman

1981Denzau +

North1994




Agenda setting 2008

Held et al. 2015





Cycling Economy 2011

Tversky, A. and Kahneman, D. 1981. The Framing of decisions and the psychology of choice. Science, 211(4481): 453-458.

Postfossile Mobility 2009

Denzau, A. and North, D. C. 1994. Shared Mental Models: Ideologies and Institutions. Kyklos, 47(1), 3-31

MobilityPyramid

Framing

55

Tversky +Kahneman

1981Denzau +

North1994



Agenda setting 2008





Cycling Economy 2011Postfossile Mobility 2009

MobilityPyramid

SDGs – methodology on cycling

The Methodology: S4C agenda/key-issues as an evaluation matrix

3.3evaluation

The paper was drafted by the Technical Working Group, which was established to support the UN Secretary General’s High-Level Advisory Group on Sustainable Transport, under the co-leadership of UN-DESA,

ECF/WCA and the World Bank. In round 1 consultation with the TWG, the co-leads received input from SloCAt, IRAp, CEPAL,

56

Principle: taking all into account what he have available …

1. … from the S4C agenda/key-issues as an evaluation matrix;

2. + cross check with our paradigms and approaches;

3. + all the SDGs targets;4. + the volume of excellent sources;5. And creating INDICATORS for the SloCat

initiative – TWG

The Analysis – e.g. SDG no.8Identifying and evaluating the SDG contributions of cycling / Active Mobility

3.3

Goal 8 Promote sustained, inclusive and sustainable economic growth, full and productive employment and decent work for all .

• Cycling economics has become a basic and highly efficient tool for sustainable mobility development *1.

• For a long time underestimated: Cycling economics has become highly efficient by itself economically *2. The evidence of economic benefits with additional impact for all dimensions of sustainability *3 was emerged to the Cycling Economy 2.0 by making Human Rights part of the game *4.

• The economic benefits cycling can bring to a community or to societies, recognized as sustainable benefits, were also already measured. *5

*1 Litmann, T. 2014. Evaluating Active Transport Benefits and Costs. Guide to Valuing Walking and Cycling Improvements and Encouragement Programs. Victoria BC: Victoria Transport Policy Institute.*2 Neun, M. 2011. Cycling Economy – A wider Frame for Sustainable Investments in Cycling Mobility. Key-note speech at Velo-city 2011, Seville. *3 Neun, M. 2013. Active Mobility – Achieving human rights through cycling. Presentation EcoMobility 2013 congress, Sept 2, Suwon, South Korea.*4 Neun, M. 2013. Cycling Economy 2.0 – The Human Rights Approach. In: Sound of Cyclig – Urban Cycling Cultures. Velo-city Vienna 2013 Conference Magazine, p. 86

*5 Blondiau, T. and van Zeebroeck, B. 2014. Cycling Works – Jobs and Job Creation in the Cycling Economy. Report for the ECF European Cyclists’ Federation (Ed.), Brussels.

57

From scratch

1. S4C agenda – e.g. SDG no.8

4.3


*Sources in: Neun, M. 2015.

58

Framed analysis

The 1st key-issue

1. S4C agenda – e.g. SDG no.8

3.3


*Sources in: Neun, M. 2015. Cyclig Delivers! – Basic access to Content. Cycling and Active Mobility contributions to the UN Sustainable Development Goals. ECF/WCA, Brussels.

59

2. Crosscheck with Paradigms …

3.3



60

cross check with our paradigms and approaches

2. Crosscheck with Paradigms …

3.3



61

cross check with our paradigms and approaches

Identified

Framed analysis

3. Relevant Targets of SDG no.8

3.3


62

8.3 Promote development-oriented policies that support productive activities, decent job creation, entrepreneurship, creativity and innovation, and encourage the formalization and growth of micro-, small- and medium-sized enterprises, including through access to financial services 8.4 Improve progressively, through 2030, global resource efficiency in consumption and production and endeavour to decouple economic growth from environmental degradation, in accordance with the 10-year framework of programmes on sustainable consumption and production, with developed countries taking the lead 8.9 By 2030, devise and implement policies to promote sustainable tourism that creates jobs and promotes local culture and products


4. Valuable Sources to SDG no.8

3.3

A great,current Example:


Replogle, M. A. and Fulton, L. M. 2015. A Global High Shift Scenario: Impacts and Potential for More Public Transport, Walking, and Cycling with Lower Car Use. Institute for Transportation and Development Policy (ITDP), New York, and University of California, Davis (eds.), September 2015.

63

4. Valuable Sources to SDG no.8

3.3


Valuable results for cycling advocacy, evidence based benefits of Active Mobility: The study A Global High Shift Cycling Scenario

64

5. Indicators to SDG no.8

3.3


65

GENERAL APPROACH

Indicators for Sustainable Transport in the SDG Framework(Draft, September 10, 2015)

Transport was not part of the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) framework. At the time, the transport community considered this a missed opportunity in view of the strong linkage between economic development and transport. With the new Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) now endorsed at the United Nations Summit on September 25-27, 2015, transport is given another opportunity to profile as a key sector contributing to sustainable development.

This paper was drafted by the Technical Working Group, … established to support the UN Secretary General’s High-Level Advisory Group on Sustainable Transport, under the co-leadership of UN-DESA, ECF/WCA and the World Bank. In round 1 consultation with the TWG, the co-leads received input from SloCat, IRAp, CEPAL, ECF/WCA, WBCSD.L L

5. Indicators to SDG no.8

3.3



66

Framed analysis


4.1


invitations

• we are able to contribute to work in progress• SDGs as an outstanding agenda

67



4.2


invitations

• SDGs as an outstanding agenda

68

• The current number of SDGs, to which cycling and active mobility contributes significantly, is not fixed yet; it is work in progress.

• The requirements of the SDGs to shape new policies are a unique opportunity to help the decision makers to find proper solutions for sustainable politics.

• The cross-match of the SDGs with the key-issues of the Active Mobility Agenda are delivering an enabling structure for further research, inviting scientists from all disciplines for specific-disciplinary as for trans-disciplinary research.

• The global ECF network Scientist-for-Cycling is prepared and predestined to organise these collaborations.


4.3


69

70

let us continue …http://media.rotabairrada.grupoma.eu/irt/1503/Biblioteca%20da%20UA%20(4).jpg.JPG

71

[email protected]





72

let us continue …06-17

Velo-city 2017arnhem-nijmegen

73

comments, ideas, or [email protected]

74

thank you [email protected]

manfred neun s4c colloquium aveiro 2016

Education