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Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean climates: Extremes of flood, drought, and sediment loads Derek B. Booth U C S A N T A B A R B A R A [email protected]

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Page 1: Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean ... · Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean climates: Extremes of flood, drought, and sediment loads Derek B

Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean climates:

Extremes of flood, drought, and sediment loads

Derek B. BoothU C S A N T A B A R B A R A

[email protected]

Page 2: Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean ... · Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean climates: Extremes of flood, drought, and sediment loads Derek B

P R E S E N T A T I O N O V E R V I E W

1. What constitutes a “Mediterranean-type

stream”?.

2. What watershed changes result from

urbanization?

3. What are the effects of watershed

urbanization on Mediterranean streams?

Page 3: Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean ... · Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean climates: Extremes of flood, drought, and sediment loads Derek B
Page 4: Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean ... · Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean climates: Extremes of flood, drought, and sediment loads Derek B

Issaquah Creek

watershed

Page 5: Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean ... · Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean climates: Extremes of flood, drought, and sediment loads Derek B
Page 6: Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean ... · Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean climates: Extremes of flood, drought, and sediment loads Derek B
Page 7: Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean ... · Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean climates: Extremes of flood, drought, and sediment loads Derek B
Page 8: Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean ... · Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean climates: Extremes of flood, drought, and sediment loads Derek B
Page 9: Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean ... · Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean climates: Extremes of flood, drought, and sediment loads Derek B
Page 10: Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean ... · Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean climates: Extremes of flood, drought, and sediment loads Derek B
Page 11: Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean ... · Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean climates: Extremes of flood, drought, and sediment loads Derek B

2004

Page 12: Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean ... · Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean climates: Extremes of flood, drought, and sediment loads Derek B

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

J F M A M J J A S O N D

Month

Mo

nth

ly A

ve

rag

e R

ain

fall (

inc

he

s)

Ventura, CA

Issaquah, WA

Climate: Annual totals: Issaquah ~55”/yr

Ventura ~14”/yr

Page 13: Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean ... · Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean climates: Extremes of flood, drought, and sediment loads Derek B

“The maximum intensity of precipitation…at intervals of 10 to 100 years is greater in portions of the San Gabriel and San Bernardino Mountains in southern California than anywhere else in the continental United States.”

Western Regional Climate Center (http://www.wrcc.dri.edu/)

Page 14: Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean ... · Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean climates: Extremes of flood, drought, and sediment loads Derek B

“The maximum intensity of precipitation…at intervals of 10 to 100 years is greater in portions of the San Gabriel and San Bernardino Mountains in southern California than anywhere else in the continental United States.”

Western Regional Climate Center (http://www.wrcc.dri.edu/)

Page 15: Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean ... · Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean climates: Extremes of flood, drought, and sediment loads Derek B

(59 sq. mi)

Page 16: Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean ... · Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean climates: Extremes of flood, drought, and sediment loads Derek B

Issaquah Creek maximum recorded flow

USGS 11113500 SANTA PAULA CREEK NEAR SANTA PAULA, CA

Annual

maximum

discharges

2005

(42 sq. mi)

Page 17: Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean ... · Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean climates: Extremes of flood, drought, and sediment loads Derek B
Page 18: Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean ... · Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean climates: Extremes of flood, drought, and sediment loads Derek B
Page 19: Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean ... · Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean climates: Extremes of flood, drought, and sediment loads Derek B

Recurrence interval, years (annual series)

10-f

old

gre

ate

r

“Extreme” storms are much more extreme.

Regional “growth curves” (ratios of large flood discharges to reference flood discharge):

2 to 4×

20 to >40×

Page 20: Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean ... · Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean climates: Extremes of flood, drought, and sediment loads Derek B

Comparison to Other PNW Studies

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000

BURP (1

995)

This

Stu

dy

Kin

g Cou

nty

(199

5)

Mad

ej (1

982)

Sla

ymak

er (1

993)

Rei

d (1

981)

Pau

lson

low (1

997)

Pau

lson

hig

h (1

997)

Sed

imen

t P

rod

ucti

on

(to

nn

es k

m-2

yr-1

)

(270-390)

Forested/Logging

Mixed

Land UseUrban

40x

Sediment production from

Pacific Northwest watershed studies

~50t/km2/yr

Sediment loads are much more extreme...

Page 21: Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean ... · Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean climates: Extremes of flood, drought, and sediment loads Derek B

0

2,000,000

4,000,000

6,000,000

8,000,000

10,000,000

12,000,000

14,000,000

16,000,000

18,000,000

1928

1932

1936

1940

1944

1948

1952

1956

1960

1964

1968

1972

1976

1980

1984

1993

1997

2001

2005

Year

An

nu

al

se

dim

en

t y

ield

(to

nn

es

)Total sediment

Coarse (>0.0625 mm) sediment

Calculated sediment load for Sespe Creek at Fillmore

[USGS gage 11113000]

Average yield = 1,109,000 t/yr (1,645 t/km2/yr)

Only 8 events have

exceeded 2x the

“average” sediment load

in this 80-year period.

And, ~50% of

the total load

delivered in

just 3 events.

..and the “extreme” events are very extreme.

Page 22: Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean ... · Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean climates: Extremes of flood, drought, and sediment loads Derek B

TO SUMMARIZE:

1. What constitutes a “Mediterranean-type

stream”?.

• The driver: episodic disturbances (with strongly

episodic inputs of water and sediment) in a semi-arid

climate.

• The responses:

Braided channel form

Rapid channel changes (planform and cross-section)

Large fluxes of water and sediment, prone to dis-equilibrium

Page 23: Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean ... · Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean climates: Extremes of flood, drought, and sediment loads Derek B

P R E S E N T A T I O N O V E R V I E W

1. What constitutes a “Mediterranean-type

stream”?.

2. What watershed changes result from

urbanization?

3. What are the effects of watershed

urbanization on Mediterranean streams?

Page 24: Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean ... · Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean climates: Extremes of flood, drought, and sediment loads Derek B

The “classical model”:

Page 25: Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean ... · Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean climates: Extremes of flood, drought, and sediment loads Derek B
Page 26: Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean ... · Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean climates: Extremes of flood, drought, and sediment loads Derek B
Page 27: Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean ... · Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean climates: Extremes of flood, drought, and sediment loads Derek B
Page 28: Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean ... · Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean climates: Extremes of flood, drought, and sediment loads Derek B

P R E S E N T A T I O N O V E R V I E W

1. What constitutes a “Mediterranean-type

stream”?

2. What watershed changes result from

urbanization?

3. What are the effects of watershed

urbanization on Mediterranean streams?

Page 29: Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean ... · Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean climates: Extremes of flood, drought, and sediment loads Derek B
Page 30: Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean ... · Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean climates: Extremes of flood, drought, and sediment loads Derek B

from Hollis 1975

2 to 3-fold

increases in

Qpeak

The “traditional,” humid-region story:

Typi

cal r

ange

of u

rban

izat

ion

Range of “significant” floods

Page 31: Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean ... · Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean climates: Extremes of flood, drought, and sediment loads Derek B
Page 32: Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean ... · Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean climates: Extremes of flood, drought, and sediment loads Derek B
Page 33: Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean ... · Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean climates: Extremes of flood, drought, and sediment loads Derek B

25-yr Q

From Hawley & Bledsoe, J. Hydrol. 405 (2011) 69–82

>3x incr.

Urbanizing Non-urbanizing

The same story in SoCal streams…?

Page 34: Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean ... · Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean climates: Extremes of flood, drought, and sediment loads Derek B

from Hollis 1975

Actual increaseis more than 3-fold

Much greater hydrologic response to urbanization.

Arroyo Simi

25-yr flood

Page 35: Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean ... · Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean climates: Extremes of flood, drought, and sediment loads Derek B

But…

Page 36: Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean ... · Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean climates: Extremes of flood, drought, and sediment loads Derek B

Peak annual discharges, Los Penasquitos Creek (USGS gage 11023340),

San Diego County.

1965–1980: limited urban development

1981–1997: rapid urbanization

1998–2012: near-buildout (20.1% impervious)

Page 37: Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean ... · Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean climates: Extremes of flood, drought, and sediment loads Derek B

Flood-frequency analysis, Los Penasquitos Creek.

Hydrologic response is not necessarily determined by imperviousness

(particularly for large infrequent events).

Arroyo Simi:

Page 38: Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean ... · Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean climates: Extremes of flood, drought, and sediment loads Derek B

Downstream channel response

Page 39: Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean ... · Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean climates: Extremes of flood, drought, and sediment loads Derek B
Page 40: Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean ... · Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean climates: Extremes of flood, drought, and sediment loads Derek B

The classic single-thread, humid-region

channel evolution model (CEM):

Page 41: Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean ... · Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean climates: Extremes of flood, drought, and sediment loads Derek B

Type/phase 1-3: initial downcutting,

bank failure, and widening

(from Hawley et al. 2012)

Page 42: Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean ... · Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean climates: Extremes of flood, drought, and sediment loads Derek B

Type/phase 4-5: “excess” in-stream sediment,

aggradation, and restabilization

Page 43: Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean ... · Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean climates: Extremes of flood, drought, and sediment loads Derek B

Type/phase 4-5: “excess” in-stream sediment,

aggradation, and restabilization

…but in Mediterranean streams (recall, more water and

less sediment), does this ever actually occur?

Page 44: Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean ... · Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean climates: Extremes of flood, drought, and sediment loads Derek B

~25’

Page 45: Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean ... · Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean climates: Extremes of flood, drought, and sediment loads Derek B

Channel evolution does not necessarily follow the rules...

Page 46: Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean ... · Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean climates: Extremes of flood, drought, and sediment loads Derek B

S U M M A R Y

1. Mediterranean-type streams are distinctive,

particularly in the episodic nature of their

channel-modifying events.

2. Urbanization affects all streams, but humid-

region paradigms may be enticingly

misleading.

3. Recognition of the differences is widespread;

understanding, however, still lags (but is

growing).

Page 47: Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean ... · Managing the urban impacts on rivers in Mediterranean climates: Extremes of flood, drought, and sediment loads Derek B

With many thanks to colleagues

Pete Downs, Tom Dunne,

Stephanie Moret, Robert Hawley,

Brian Bledsoe, Eric Stein,

Catalina Segura, Liz Gilliam, Glen

Leverich, and Scott Dusterhoff