making the next production revolution inclusive open and secure
TRANSCRIPT
MAKING THE NEXT PRODUCTION
REVOLUTION INCLUSIVE, OPEN AND
SECURE
G7 ICT and Industry Minister’s Meeting
Andrew Wyckoff, DirectorDirectorate for Science, Technology and Innovation,
OECD
Torino, September 25th, 2017
The digital transformation of economies
and societies is under way….
NPR and digital technologies have become pervasive
Automation is becoming widely deployed
Artificial Intelligence emerges as a new
technological paradigm
…and has unique characteristics that
challenge traditional policy making…
Whatsapp: 300 M users, 50B message/day, 55 employees
Netflix: USD8.8B revenue, 3500 employees
Dropbox: 300M users, 1200 employees
“Scale without Mass”
1990s
Top-3 US Automakers
• Revenues: 250B$
• Market cap: 36B$
• Employees: 1.2M
4
…that are largely based on a traditional
economy….
2014
Top-3 US Tech
• Revenues: 247B$
• Market cap: 1T$
• Employees: 137K
Source: “Competition at the digital edge: “hyperscale” businesses,” McKinsey Insights, accessed 4 March 2015
4
…affecting policies from trade to…
Share of Sellers Exporting on eBay vs. Offline
https://katisuominen.wordpress.com/page/2/
…to productivity, business dynamics
and growth.
ICT services Non-ICT services
Note: Excluding the financial sector
-0.2
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
Frontier firms
Laggards
Top 10%
Top 2%
-0.2
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
Frontier firms
Laggards
Top 10%
Top 2%
Source: Andrews, D., Criscuolo C., and Gal P. N., “The Best versus the Rest: The Global Productivity Slowdown, Divergence across Firms and the Role of Public Policy”, OECD Productivity Working Papers, 2016-05, OECD Publishing, Paris.
The divergence in multi-factor productivity growth
• Need to rethink policies, in light of digital vs. analogue economy;
• Is broad based and will affect all sectors / policies: there is no “digital industry”
• Need for a proactive approach so as to maximise the benefits and minimise the downside.
Implications for Policy Making
8
NPR: A confluence of new technologies…
The shift is distinguished by data
and its analysis…
Autonomous machines and
systems
Artificial Intelligence
Cloud computing
Human-Machine
integration
System integration
Internet of Things
Big data
Simulations
Additive manufacturing(3D printing)
Implications for the nature of production
and jobs...
Source: WikiMedia, http://www.assemblymag.com and © General Motors, Chevy Volt10
…the nature of capital investment…
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Rolls Royce:
Power-by the-hour
New Holland : Precision
Land Management
AWS: Cloud
Computing
…and international trade...
…where the Internet becomes the new
sea lane.
13
4
Spear-Phishing Attacks by Size of Targeted Organization
Openness needs to be accompanied by
security, especially for SMEs
18 %
31 % 30 %34 %
43 %
32%
19 %
31 % 25 %
22 %
50 % 50 %
39 % 41 %35 %
0
20
40
60
80
100
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
%Small businesses(1-250 employees)
Medium-size businesses(251-2 500 employees)
Large businesses(2 500+ employees)
Source: OECD (2017), Key Issue for digital transformation in the G20, page. 94
• Rise above the Silos: take a whole-of-government approach;
• Close the gap: foster SMEs competitiveness & help them seize digital era via finance, skills & diffusion;
• Inspire innovation: promote high-tech start-up eco-systems; protect and enforce IPR;
• Connect to the future: ensure access to 21st C networks;
• Keep it open: protect the free flow of information;
• Make it secure : foster cyber security for economic prosperity;
• Put people at the center: share a human-centric vision of Artificial Intelligence.
Filling the “Technology 4.0 / Policy 1.0” gap
Thank you
Contact:[email protected]
Twitter: @OECDinnovation
Going Digital website:http://oe.cd/goingdigital
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