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    1

    Contraception in historical and global perspective

    John Cleland, MA, FBA, Professor of Medical Demography *

    Centre for Population Studies, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, 4951 Bedford Square, London WC1B 3DP, UK

    Keywords:

    family planning programmes

    contraceptive prevalence

    method-specific use

    unintended pregnancy

    population growth

    social marketing

    community-based approaches

    This chapter describes the rise in contraceptive practice and fall in

    fertility from around 1880 to the present day. Two main phases are

    identified: the first confined to European populations and

    involving methods of low efficacy, and the second embracing the

    whole planet involving modern methods. Today, sub-Saharan

    Africa is the only region where low levels of contraceptive use and

    high fertility persist. Nevertheless, nearly half of pregnancies

    worldwide are still unintended, and much scope remains for

    improvement in contraceptive protection. The main international

    priority is Africa, where demographic factors jeopardize the goalsof reducing poverty and hunger.

    2008 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

    The freedom of couples to choose when and how often to become pregnant is a fundamental human

    right.1 The level of contraceptive practice in a society also carries huge health, economic and envi-

    ronmental implications, because it is the major determinant of the birth rate and hence of the rate of

    population growth or decline. Between 1950 and 2005, the planets population rose from 2.5 to 6.5

    billion. Global fertility has now fallen from an average of 5.0 live births per woman in 1950 to 2.55 live

    births in 2005, and is expected to decline further to approximately 2.0 live births by mid-century.Under this scenario, the worlds population will nevertheless grow to 9.2 billion by 2050. However, if

    fertility is half a birth higher or lower than expected between 2005 and 2050, the mid-century pop-

    ulation of the planet will be 10.75 or 7.8 billion, respectively.2 Two things are clear. First, modest

    changes in human reproduction have colossal effects on population growth, and second, the distinc-

    tions between future global populations of 8, 9 or 10 billion could be of critical importance to the

    prospects of achieving reasonable and sustainable living standards for the whole of humanity.

    The aim of this chapter is to provide the historical, political and cultural context for the more

    specialized chapters that follow. The narrative starts in Europe and countries of predominantly

    * Tel.: 44 20 7299 4621; Fax: 44 20 7299 4637.

    E-mail address: [email protected]

    Contents lists available atScienceDirect

    Best Practice & Research Clinical

    Obstetrics and Gynaecologyj o u r n a l h o m e p a g e : w w w . e l s e v i e r . c o m/ l o c a t e / b p o bg y n

    1521-6934/$ see front matter 2008 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

    doi:10.1016/j.bpobgyn.2008.11.002

    Best Practice & Research Clinical Obstetrics and Gynaecology 23 (2009) 165176

    mailto:[email protected]://www.sciencedirect.com/science/journal/15216934http://www.elsevier.com/locate/bpobgyn/www.elsevier.com/locate/bpobgynhttp://www.elsevier.com/locate/bpobgyn/www.elsevier.com/locate/bpobgynhttp://www.sciencedirect.com/science/journal/15216934mailto:[email protected]
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    European descent around 1880. The rise in contraceptive practice in poorer regions, often with strong

    government support, is then described. The story here is essentially positive; many experts have been

    surprised by the speed of reproductive change, even in some of the poorest and most illiterate states.

    However, much unfinished business remains. Contraceptive practice remains low in much of sub-

    Saharan Africa, with the consequence that populations are set to double or even treble in size in the

    coming decades. This rate of increase jeopardizes the goal of reducing poverty and hunger. The chapterends with a review of such future challenges.

    The first contraceptive revolution European populations, 18801930

    In the absence of any restraints on fertility, it is estimated that the average woman would bear 15

    children over her reproductive lifetime.3 In contrast, fertility achieved in pre-modern societies typically

    ranged from 4.5 to 6.5 live births per woman, sufficient to offset high mortality but insufficient to fuel

    sustained population growth. On average, only two children per couple survived to adulthood.

    Historically, two factors, prolonged breast feeding and restrictions on entry to sexual partnerships,

    operating through marriage rules and customs, were largely responsible for this huge gap between

    potential and achieved childbearing. The contribution of contraception, and abortion, to the moder-ation of fertility is hotly contested. References to contraception are found in Graeco-Roman texts and in

    mediaeval Arabic writings.4 The methods mentioned by ancient scholars are a mixture of the fanciful,

    those that seemed reasonable at the time but which have since been shown to be ineffective (e.g.

    avoidance of intercourse on the days following menses), and those of potential effectiveness, mainly

    pessaries and barriers. Some scholars, notably John Riddle, have argued that herbal preparations, taken

    orally, were both effective and widely used in classical times.5

    Whatever may have been the case in civilizations of the distant past, the study of European fertility

    by demographers suggests that contraception was not widely practised until relatively recently. The

    hallmarks of regulated fertility do not appear in Europe until around 1880, with the exception of France

    where the shift occurred approximately 100 years earlier.6 This verdict for Europe is consistent with

    results from the earliest surveys of women in Africa and Asia, conducted before internationalpromotion of family planning started. Very few women were aware of contraceptive methods and even

    fewer reported any form of contraceptive precaution.7

    It may seem implausible that our ancestors exercised little or no conscious control over childbearing

    within marriage, but it should be stressed that postnatal adjustments of family size and composition

    acted as a partial substitute.8 It is likely that all traditional societies made use of some of the following

    postnatal adjustments: infanticide, child abandonment, adoption, fostering, and release of children in

    their early teens as apprentices and domestic labour. In past times, reproduction was a lottery because

    of the unpredictability of child death. Couples who had too many surviving children to support were

    balanced by those with a dearth of surviving children. The solution was obvious; children flowed from

    surplus to deficit families.

    Why French couples started to limit family sizes towards the end of the 18th Century remains one ofthe great puzzles of demography. Easier to understand is the fertility decline that spread rapidly across

    the rest of Europe from 1880 to 1930. By 1880, child mortality, although not necessarily of infants, had

    fallen in many countries, implying an increase in surviving children, mass education was spreading,

    and ideas about the status of women and religious authority were beginning to shift. Industrialization

    and urbanization were well advanced in parts of Europe, and scientific progress was rapid. It became

    inevitable that the increasing human mastery over nature would extend to reproduction. By 1930,

    fertility had fallen below replacement level (a little above two births per woman) in many countries.

    This first revolution in reproductive control took place more or less synchronously in all countries of

    predominantly European descent as well as in Europe itself, although perhaps somewhat earlier in

    parts of the USA. In the Soviet Union, it spread east until it reached the Muslim populations of Central

    Asia. The non-European parts of the world remained largely unaffected. In striking contrast to thesequence of events in developing countries after 1960, this rise of contraception in European pop-

    ulations occurred in the face of widespread initial opposition from political elites, religious leaders and

    the medical profession. At different times and in different countries, two of the most prominent birth

    control pioneers, Annie Besant and Margaret Sanger, fell victim to the hostility that the subject evoked.

    J. Cleland / Best Practice & Research Clinical Obstetrics and Gynaecology 23 (2009) 165176166

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    In London, Besant was taken to court for republishing, in 1877, an American tract on birth control

    quaintly called The Fruits of Philosophy. Sanger was arrested in 1916 for opening a birth control clinic

    in Brooklyn.

    Reliable evidence of the prevalence of different methods of contraception is unavailable before the

    1950s. In Great Britain, it is likely that childbearing was initially reduced by coitus interruptus, but that

    condoms and spermicides became more widely available and used in the early decades of the 20thCentury.9 In the USA, diaphragms and periodic abstinence were more commonly used, but coitus

    interruptus was less popular than in Great Britain.10 The fact that these methods have low efficacy

    testifies to the determination of couples to restrict family size, although resorting to illegal abortion no

    doubt acted as an important back-up to contraception. This first contraceptive revolution was not

    essentially a response to improved methods. It is more aptly characterized as the consequence of

    a motivational and moral change. Family size limitation became a central pre-occupation and the

    repugnance of coitus interruptus waned.

    Developments in European populations since 1960

    Fertility regulation in European populations underwent a radical modernization that started in the

    1960s. Oral contraceptives were approved for use in the USA in 1960, and in many European countries

    at around the same time. Modern intra-uterine devices (IUDs) also became more widely available.

    Techniques of contraceptive sterilization were refined and, in the 1970s, many countries enacted laws

    that explicitly permitted the procedure. Finally, widespread liberalization of abortion laws occurred.

    These changes in technology and access had almost immediate effects in North America, and

    Western and Northern Europe. In the USA between 1955 and 1965, the percentage of married non-

    Hispanic White female contraceptors who used oral contraceptives rose from zero to 24%, while the

    percentage using periodic abstinence, condoms and diaphragms fell.11 By 1982, condom and dia-

    phragm use among contraceptors had fallen to 7% and 4%, respectively, in this same population group,

    but a huge rise in sterilization had taken place; 43% of contraceptors had been sterilized (26% females

    and 17% males).12 Since 1982, changes have been modest.

    In the UK, oral contraception was already challenging the popularity of the two male methods

    (condoms and coitus interruptus) by 1967, and by 1976, 38% of married contracepting women reported

    use of the pill. Prior to 1970, the level of contraceptive sterilization was negligible, but by 1976, 19% of

    contracepting couples had been sterilized and this proportion rose to 37% by 1986.10

    This transformation from less effective methods that require the active participation of men to more

    effective methods controlled by women was slower to arrive in Southern and Eastern Europe, and has

    still not occurred in some countries. For instance, coitus interruptus remains the most commonly used

    method in Albania, Bosnia and Greece, as was also the case in Italy at the time of the most recent survey

    in 19951996.13

    Between 1950 and 2005, fertility in developed countries fell from 2.8 to 1.5 births per woman. More

    effective contraception, together with greater access to abortion, is partly responsible. In the USA, forinstance, the fraction of live births reported as unwanted at the time of conception fell sharply.14 With

    high life expectancy and no net migration, a fertility rate sustained at 1.5 births will result in a halving

    of population size every 60 years and severe population ageing. This demographic prospect is an

    increasing concern of governments.

    The contraceptive revolution in developing countries: the role of state intervention

    In contrast to the first contraceptive revolution in European populations, the history of family

    planning in poorer countries is inextricably linked to government policies and programmes, moti-

    vated largely by demographiceconomic considerations. In the 1950s and 1960s, radical declines inmortality were achieved but fertility remained resolutely high at five to eight births per woman; this

    widening gap resulted in a sharp acceleration in the rate of population growth. By 1960, many Asian,

    Latin American and African populations were growing at a pace that implied a doubling in size every

    25 years or so.

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    In 1958, a seminal book by Coale and Hoover argued that the social and economic progress of poor

    countries was jeopardized by rapid population growth, largely because of the inherent age structure of

    rapid growth, in which half the population is aged 15 years or less.15 Household and government

    savings have to be diverted from investment to develop industry and modernize agriculture to support

    the huge burden of the unproductive young. In this era before the Green Revolution, serious doubts

    arose about the ability of large Asian populations to feed the ever-increasing number of mouths. India,at the time, was dependent on imports of US grain to avert the consequences of recurring food

    shortages. These concerns, coloured by an element of xenophobia, were dramatized and popularized

    by Paul Ehrlich and others.16 Conviction grew, particularly in the USA, that action was needed to stem

    uncontrolled population growth.

    No blueprint for action existed. The European experience offered no guidance and it was uncertain

    whether couples in Asia and elsewhere wanted smaller families or were interested in using contra-

    ception. To answer these questions, research was needed and knowledge, attitude and practice surveys

    of contraception proliferated. The next step was to assess, on a small scale, whether provision of

    contraceptive services and accompanying information and publicity would work. Luckily, an appar-

    ently ideal, newly refined IUD became available; the Lippes Loop. It was cheap, effective, required little

    contribution from the user, and modest skills to insert. The earliest demonstration projects, notably inTaiwan and South Korea, relied heavily on this IUD and proved successful. In USA, President Lyndon

    Johnson and Robert McNamara, Head of the World Bank (19681981), became enthusiastic supporters

    of contraception. In 1969, a new United Nations (UN) agency, the UN Fund for Population Activities, was

    created, with the shrewd choice of a Roman Catholic Filipino as its first executive director. The stage

    was set for the era of state-sponsored family planning programmes. In 1960, only two developing

    countries had official policies to promote contraception, but this number rose to 74 by 1975 and further

    to 115 by 1996. International funding increased in parallel from US$168 million in 1971 to US$512

    million in 1985.

    Asian developments

    Most Asian governments quickly embraced the messages from New York and Washington that

    population control was a priority, but several of the early programmes were poorly designed. In

    Pakistan and Bangladesh (then one country), President Ayub Khan launched a crash programme

    centred on the IUD. The patient, the recruiter and the clinician all received a small payment for each

    insertion, which gave rise to massive corruption. Little medical back-up for women experiencing side

    effects was available, with the consequence that the IUD became deeply unpopular. The programme

    collapsed after 5 years in 1969 as a complete failure. The cause of family planning languished in

    Pakistan from then until the 1990s.17

    Events in newly independent Bangladesh took a very different course. In 1977, population control

    was proclaimed by President Ziaur Rahman to be a top national priority. Staff at district hospitals were

    trained to perform tubectomies and vasectomies, and a new cadre of literate, married, femalecommunity-based workers was created, called family welfare assistants (FWAs). FWAs were trained

    for a month or so in basic family planning and child care, and then returned to their own villages to

    provide a domiciliary service, supplying oral contraceptives and condoms, and referring women for

    clinical or surgical methods. This strategy proved to be the sociologically effective way of popularizing

    contraception. FWAs, being literate, were usually respected in their communities; they could act as

    a bridge between village life and the alien world of scientific medicine and, perhaps most importantly

    in a culture that makes it difficult for women to travel alone outside their immediate neighbourhood,

    they brought contraceptives to the doorstep and acted as companions when trips to health facilities

    were necessary.18 The success of Bangladeshs strategy can be seen inFig. 1.Contraceptive prevalence

    among married women rose from 12% in 1979 to 49% in 1996, although increases in the past decade

    have been modest. Fertility has fallen from historic levels of six to seven births per women to threebirths.

    As in Pakistan, early efforts to deliver family planning services in India were unsuccessful. A rather

    passive clinic-based approach, initiated in the 1950s, achieved little. In the 1960s, the programme was

    extended, and contraceptive and demographic goals were set but again impact was minimal. In the

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    early 1970s, the focus shifted to promotion of vasectomy by means of financial incentives, typically

    amounting to several weeks wages for an unskilled labourer.19 Many vasectomies were performed in

    carnival-like settings where thousands of people would gather for entertainment. These high-pressure

    tactics culminated in instances of outright physical coercion during the 2 years of Prime Minister

    Ghandis emergency rule (19751977). The annual number of sterilizations rose to a huge figure of 8.26

    million. A backlash was inevitable; Mrs Ghandi lost the 1977 election and the programme was dis-credited. It took about a decade for family planning to regain momentum, and progress, as measured by

    contraceptive prevalence, has been steady but not spectacular (Fig. 1).

    The comparison of family planning progress in the Philippines and Indonesia is intriguing. In 1960,

    the Philippines had an income per head double that in Indonesia and much higher levels of adult

    literacy and womens labour force participation. However, by 20022003, contraceptive prevalence in

    Indonesia was 60% compared with 49% in the Philippines (Fig. 1). The reason for this unexpected

    outcome lies with religion and politics. In Indonesia, the Government skilfully circumvented the

    danger of opposition from Islamic leaders by agreeing not to legalize abortion or promote sterilization.

    It mounted a forceful programme with the strong involvement of local leaders. In common with several

    other Asian countries, the family planning agency sidestepped the weakness of Ministry of Health

    services by creating its own dedicated network of centres and staff. In the Philippines, by contrast, noagreement between state and church was reached and Roman Catholic leaders remained openly and

    vocally opposed to most forms of contraception. In a predominantly Catholic country, this opposition

    prevented the development of a comprehensive programme.

    No account of family planning in Asia is complete without consideration of China. In 1974 at the

    Bucharest World Population Conference, China was the main opponent of US calls for a worldwide

    effort to arrest rapid population growth. However, 2 years earlier, the Chinese Government had

    initiated its own massive programme to reduce fertility. This voluntary programme proved to be a huge

    success, partly because of Chinas uniquely effective organizational abilities. However, in 1979,

    economic planners successfully argued that deeper cuts in population growth were necessary and the

    one- child policy was introduced, with benefits for couples pledging to have only one child and

    penalties for those exceeding the quota. In the cities, the grip of the Communist Party and support ofthe populace were sufficient to ensure almost total compliance. However, in rural areas, opposition was

    entrenched and local authorities eventually had to relax the rule and permit two children, regardless of

    their sex, or alternatively allow a second child if the firstborn was a daughter.20 The fertility rate in

    China is now approximately 1.5 births per woman. In an increasingly overcrowded planet, huge global

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    Fig. 1. Trends in current use of contraception among married women of reproductive age, selected Asian countries.

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    benefits have accrued from Chinas population policy because the country accounts for approximately

    one-fifth of humanity. Chinas economy has also benefited. The cost, however, has been high, not least

    in terms of sex-selective abortion and the abandonment of unwanted daughters.21

    Developments in other poorer regions

    Whereas the 1958 book by Coale and Hoover provided the economic rationale for family planning

    promotion in Asia, the equivalent in Latin America was a 1966 article that showed a disturbing trend in

    Chile of increasing hospital admissions for the consequences of illegal and unsafe abortions.22 This

    compelling medical rationale for the promotion of contraception led to the formation of non-

    governmental organizations, such as Bemfam in Brazil and Profamilia in Colombia, typically led by local

    physicians but funded from abroad. Governments were reluctant to engage because of the influence of

    the military (typically pronatalist), the Catholic Church and perhaps because of an inherent antipathy

    to messages emanating from the USA.

    In Brazil, the military regimes that governed the country from 1964 to 1985 maintained their

    indifference to population issues and contraception. However, a demand for smaller families arosespontaneously. It is probable that the spread of television and its hugely popular soap operas, featuring

    small families, played an important role in changing reproductive attitudes.23 In the absence of public

    sector contraceptive services, the private sector filled the vacuum. Pharmaceutical companies sold oral

    contraceptives through pharmacies, and doctors circumvented a law prohibiting tubal ligation by

    offering the procedure together with elective caesarean section. By 1996, contraceptive prevalence had

    risen to 77% (predominantly sterilization and oral contraceptives) and fertility was close to replace-

    ment level. This high level of use is typical of Latin American countries, although there are laggards

    such as Bolivia and Guatemala (Fig. 2).

    In sub-Saharan Africa, family planning programmes were initiated by the White-minority regimes

    in South Africa and Zimbabwe (then Rhodesia), and contraceptive use remains higher in these two

    countries than in other countries. Elsewhere in sub-Saharan Africa, governments were slow to embracethe cause of family planning sponsorship. One reason was genuine doubt that programmes would be

    successful. Numerous surveys showed that unlike their Asian or Latin American counterparts, African

    men and women typically wanted large numbers of children. 24

    Despite this obstacle, most African countries had adopted population policies by 1990, in some

    cases under pressure from the World Bank and other donors.25 Prompted by a survey showing that the

    country had one of the highest fertility rates in the world and a rate of population growth that, if

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    Fig. 2. Trends in current use of contraception among married women of reproductive age, selected Latin American countries.

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    unchanged, would result in a doubling of population in 19 years, Kenyas Government launched

    a comprehensive programme in the early 1980s. The support of elites (churches, civil servants and local

    leaders) was sought, extensive use was made of the mass media, and access to contraception was

    expanded through health centres, social marketing schemes and community-based efforts. Success

    was soon apparent. Between 1977 and 1988, the percentage of married women using contraception

    rose from 7% to 27%, and desired family sizes fell dramatically (Fig. 3). The rise in contraceptioncontinued until the mid-1990s but then plateaued, as did fertility. Between 1998 and 2003, the

    percentage of births reported as unwanted rose and the percentage of contraceptive users relying on

    public sector sources of supply fell.26 Both trends suggest that the family planning programme had

    deteriorated and this interpretation is consistent with the fact that, in the 1990s, funds, staff, vehicles

    and government commitment shifted from family planning to human immunodeficiency virus/

    acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (HIV/AIDS).

    Although prevention of HIV and unintended pregnancies have a common interest in reducing

    unsafe sex, the relationship between the two movements is better characterized by competition than

    by cooperation. Family planners were reluctant to promote condoms to married women instead of

    more effective hormonal methods, and were poorly placed to reach men or sexually active single

    people; prime targets for HIV prevention. Vertical funding by donors undermined the internationalrhetoric that strongly favoured integration. However, the social marketing of condoms with HIV funds

    has had a major effect on the contraceptive practices of unmarried young people in Africa (and in Latin

    America). Condom use has risen sharply among the young, and pregnancy prevention, rather than

    disease prevention, appears to be the dominant motive.27 Condoms have become the most common

    contraceptive method in young people. Regrettably, resistance to condoms in married couples remains

    strong; a tragedy in view of the fact that, in mature generalized epidemics, the majority of infections

    occur among them.

    Few countries in sub-Saharan Africa have matched Kenyas determination in the 1980s and early

    1990s to reduce fertility via family planning promotion and, as in Kenya, family planning has often been

    displaced as a government and donor priority by AIDS. In West and Central Africa, contraceptive

    prevalence remains very low; the trends in Nigeria and Senegal are typical (Fig. 3). Among countrieswith relevant data from national surveys, the prevalence of modern method use is below 10%, with

    a few exceptions such as Ghana. In East Africa, the level of contraceptive use is more variable than in

    West Africa, and in Southern Africa, it is higher than in other sub-regions.

    Attitudes to family planning in the Arab states of North Africa and the Middle East have varied

    considerably. The oil-rich countries, with small indigenous populations and large numbers of migrant

    workers, have typically had no interest in moderating population growth or promoting contraception.

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    Fig. 3. Trends in current use of contraception among married women in reproductive age, selected African countries.

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    Despite their huge wealth, fertility remains high and contraceptive use remains low in countries such

    as Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates. In the poorer, more populous countries, policies have

    been more positive. Trends in contraceptive use are shown for Egypt in Fig. 3. The current prevalence of

    approximately 60% is similar to that in Jordan, Syria, Algeria, Morocco and Tunisia.

    Since the Russian Revolution in 1917, abortion in the Soviet block has been legal and widely

    accessible for most of the time, but access to modern contraceptives has been extremely limited. Thiscombination led to widespread reliance on coitus interruptus and very high abortion rates. Since the

    collapse of the Soviet Union in 1991, modern contraceptives have been promoted, in part by foreign

    non-governmental organizations. In the Central Asian Republics (e.g. Uzbekistan, Kazakhstan), IUDs

    are now the most commonly used form of contraceptive method and reliance on abortion has fallen. 28

    In the countries of the Caucasus (Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia), however, coitus interruptus

    remains the most prevalent method.

    Distilling the lessons from family planning promotion in poorer countries

    Perhaps the single most important lesson from the experience of family planning promotion in Asia,

    Latin America and Africa is that success can be achieved in poor and illiterate settings. The widespreaduse of modern contraception in a country such as Bangladesh rebuts the pernicious, patronising but

    nevertheless common belief that poor couples are uninterested in family planning because they need

    and want many children. Similarly, it has also become apparent that high levels of female education,

    labour force participation or national wealth do not automatically translate into low fertility (e.g. the

    Philippines and oil-rich Arab states). While it is clear from the example of Brazil that state promotion is

    not always necessary for the spread of contraception and achievement of low fertility, the balance of

    evidence supports the view that governments can accelerate the pace of reproductive change and, less

    commonly, initiate a change.29 Like any other government programme, effective family planning

    programmes require political commitment, adequate funding, clear lines of management and super-

    vision, competent staff, and sound logistics and management information systems. Beyond these nuts

    and bolts of effectiveness, more interesting lessons can be learnt and these are summarized below.The better family planning programmes have succeeded in large measure because they dismantled

    the barriers to contraception. Reasonable geographical access to advice and supplies is an obvious

    crucial consideration. Early on, family planning managers realized that exclusive reliance on static

    health facilities as sources of supply was insufficient. One supplementary strategy is mobile clinics. In

    the mountainous regions of Nepal, for instance, most contraceptive sterilizations are performed by

    mobile teams of surgeons. Of greater significance is the incorporation of commercial outlets into

    contraceptive provision. Partly in response to the AIDS pandemic, most developing countries have

    condom social marketing schemes, and the majority of users of this method obtain supplies at

    subsidized prices from pharmacies and shops. Approximately 40 countries make oral contraceptives

    available through social marketing which, typically, accounts for over 40% of demand. Approximately

    30 countries allow social marketing of injectables.30

    Social marketing works best in urban settings where exposure to the mass media is high, outlets are

    abundant and demand for contraception is strong. Where these conditions do not apply, for instance in

    more remote rural areas with fragile demand, community-based approaches are more effective. Many

    community-based schemes are run by non-governmental organizations and their characteristics are

    very variable. Typically, they involve lay staff who are trained for a brief period before returning to work

    in their own communities. A critical strength is that workers share a language and customs with their

    clientele. Programmes relying on volunteers are rarely durable and thus income in the form of a regular

    salary or from contraceptive sales is a necessary ingredient. Experience from Africa suggests that

    workers offering simple health products and advice as well as contraception are more effective than

    dedicated family planning workers.

    Community-based approaches have been widely deployed in developing countries, and have beencentral to programmes in Bangladesh, Iran and Zimbabwe. However, they are difficult to scale up

    because of the complexities of ensuring uninterrupted supplies and adequate supervision. Costs also

    tend to be high. For these reasons, only minorities of contraceptive users rely on community-based

    supplies.30

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    Despite their limitations, static facilities remain the dominant mode of contraceptive service. Even

    with this type of service, the dismantling of medical barriers to quick and convenient access is

    important.31 It was demonstrated that nurses could insert IUDs as safely as physicians, and that it was

    justifiable to provide hormonal methods without a medical prescription. Outdated eligibility criteria

    had to be scrapped and the requirement for husbands consent abandoned. In the past 15 years, the

    quality of clinical services has been scrutinized intensively in response to criticisms of poor quality,particularly in some Asian programmes. Partly because of a paucity of experimental research designs,

    few decisive gains have been made in our understanding of which of the many possible elements of

    service quality matter most to women.32 It is still unclear, for instance, whether extended counselling

    improves uptake and persistent use. Perhaps the most emphatic finding concerns method choice. Most

    women present at a clinic with a preferred method in mind. If that method is unavailable, alternatives

    are often deemed unsatisfactory and rejected or discontinued.33

    Although service provision, of course, is the backbone of family planning programmes, information,

    education and communication are vital components and it would be a great mistake to conclude that

    adequate access to services is sufficient to ensure widespread uptake of contraception. Acceptability is

    equally important. Just as in Europe and the USA 100 years ago, the idea of contraception often

    encountered initial moral and social opposition in poorer countries that was often expressed in theform of deep mistrust of specific contraceptive methods.34 This initial resistance to family planning is

    partly a consequence of misinformation but, at a deeper level, it is a reflection of disquiet with a radical

    innovation that goes to the core of one of lifes central pre-occupations; reproduction. Winning over

    hearts and minds has been as important as providing adequate access to services. No blueprint exists

    for transforming contraception from an alien, frightening and morally ambiguous behaviour into

    a humdrum part of everyday life, but extensive use of mass media together with more targeted efforts

    to gain the support of influential groups, such as teachers, religious leaders and village heads, have

    been a common feature of many of the more successful programmes.

    Current status of global contraception: method-specific prevalence by region

    Between 1960 and 2003, the percentage of married women in developing regions using any form of

    contraception rose from approximately 10% to 60%, and fertility halved from six to three births per

    woman. In industrialized countries, contraceptive practice also rose and fertility fell, but changes were

    less dramatic because family sizes were already modest in 1960 and contraception was already well

    established. In 2003, it was estimated that approximately 63% of all married and cohabiting women use

    contraception.13 Female sterilization was the most commonly used method with a prevalence of

    approximately 20%; much higher than vasectomy at 2.7%. The IUD was the next most commonly used

    method, with a global prevalence of 15.5%; however, this figure is somewhat misleading because it is

    largely a reflection of the very high prevalence of IUD use (45%) in Chinas vast population. Excluding

    China, global IUD prevalence drops to 6.7%; a little less than the prevalence of oral contraceptives

    (8.5%). Condoms were used by an estimated 5.7% of couples, and injectables or implants by 3.4% ofwomen. Finally, 7% used so-called traditional methods (mainly coitus interruptus and periodic absti-

    nence) and a tiny residue (0.5%) used other modern methods.

    Regional variations in method-specific use are shown in Fig. 4 and some marked contrasts are

    apparent. The prevalence of female sterilization exceeds 20% in Northern America, Latin America and

    Asia, but is below 5% in other regions. Condoms are twice as popular in Europe and Northern America

    than in poorer regions, and in Europe, the prevalence of traditional methods is twice the world average.

    Intercountry differences become even more intriguing. The prevalence of condom use is 41% in Japan

    and 35% in Hong Kong, but is only 5% in China. In Bangladesh, 26% of women use oral contraception

    while the corresponding figure is 3% in neighbouring India. In Egypt, the IUD is the dominant method;

    in Morocco, it is the pill.

    Extreme skewness in method-specific use is common. In 34 of 96 countries, one method accountsfor over half of contraceptive protection, and this trait is just as common in rich countries as in poor

    countries.35 In India, 66% of contraceptors are sterilized and the figure in Canada is similar (61%). In

    Germany, France and the Netherlands, approximately three-quarters of all users rely on oral contra-

    ception. The explanation is multi-layered. Legal prohibitions, especially with regard to sterilization,

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    occasionally restrict choice. More commonly, one or two methods have been promoted at the expense

    of others. Staff may have their own preferences. However, probably the most important reason for the

    limited range of methods used in many countries is the power of social imitation. Once, through some

    quirk of history or policy, one or two methods become widely used, they become the preferred choice.

    A further feature of contraceptive behaviour that unites rich and poor populations is the highdiscontinuation of reversible methods for reasons that imply dissatisfaction with the method. In the

    USA, 44% of couples stop use within 12 months of starting a method.36 In developing countries, similar

    discontinuation probabilities are recorded for condoms and injectables, but lower estimates are typical

    for oral contraceptives (34%) and IUDs (12%).37 Major reasons for stopping are side effects and health

    concerns. The majority switch to another method. In the USA, inconsistent and incorrect use, together

    with a small contribution from method failure, accounts for approximately half of all unintended

    pregnancies, while the other half is attributable to non-use. In developing countries, contraceptive

    avoidance or non-use remains the dominant direct cause of unintended pregnancies.

    Future priorities and challenges

    Since 1950, huge progress has been made in both the technology of contraception and in service

    delivery. Yet from both a rights and health perspective and from economic considerations, much

    unfinished business remains. It is estimated that, globally, approximately 40% of recognizable preg-

    nancies are unintended and unwelcome at the time of conception. 38 Half of these are terminated,

    causing an estimated 50 000 deaths per year from unsafe procedures. Approximately 30% of the

    500 000 non-abortion-related maternal deaths per year could be prevented by the elimination of

    unintended pregnancies taken to term, and at least 10% of child deaths could be averted by wider

    spacing between successive births.39 Unmet need for contraception, that is the percentage of women

    who do not want a child for at least 2 years but who are using no contraceptive method, remains at 20%

    or more among married women in over half of developing countries with available data.13 Unmet need

    in sexually active single women is even higher.

    30

    From an economic perspective, the main priority for contraception is sub-Saharan Africa where

    fertility is still very high (five births per women), and where the population is projected to grow from

    0.75 billion to 1.7 billion between 2005 and 2050; an increase of 125%. These demographic factors

    greatly diminish the chances of achieving radical reductions in poverty and hunger. Population growth

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    80

    World Northern

    America

    Europe Asia Latin

    America

    North

    Africa

    Sub-Saharan

    Africa

    %Using

    Female Sterilisation

    Male Sterilisation

    Pill

    Injectable/implant

    IUD

    Condom

    Other methodTraditional

    Fig. 4. Method-specific contraceptive prevalence by major region (most recent estimates).

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    has outstripped food production in Africa for several decades and, at the turn of the century, Africa was

    importing US$20 billion of food per year, equivalent to the annual total of official development

    assistance.40 The recent rise in world grain prices, increasing water shortages compounded by the

    uncertainties of climate change, together with rapid population increase pose a severe challenge to the

    attainment of food security in Africa. Luckily, no tension need exist between the economic imperative

    of population stabilization and a reproductive rights approach, because unmet need for contraceptionis exceptionally high in sub-Saharan Africa.

    Modern contraception has a wider range of potential benefits than any other single medical

    intervention: better maternal and child health, enhanced empowerment of women by reducing the

    burden of excessive childbearing, alleviation of poverty and hunger, and contributions to environ-

    mental sustainability by stabilizing population sizes. It is deeply regrettable, therefore, that the subject

    has fallen out of favour and international funding has dropped. The reasons for its demise include the

    premature sense that the population problem had been solved, criticisms of inept and sometimes

    coercive programmes in Asia, and displacement by newer concerns, particularly AIDS. The agenda is

    badly in need of revitalization. The deepening disquiet that homo sapiens may be destroying the planet

    by pressure of numbers and profligate life styles will surely lead to this revitalization.

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    only deflect patients from their desired method when strong indications for this exist

    as discontinuation for method-related reasons is universally common, anticipate this

    possibility in counselling and stress the need for prompt switching to an alternative

    Research agenda

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