lung cancer etiology and genetics - nci dea...lung cancer gwas n. subjects loc design chip cases...

25
Lung Cancer Etiology and Genetics Neil Caporaso Division of Cancer Etiology and Genetics June 11, 2009

Upload: others

Post on 28-Jun-2020

3 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Lung Cancer Etiology and Genetics - NCI DEA...Lung Cancer GWAS N. SUBJECTS LOC DESIGN CHIP Cases Controls NCI Studies EAGLE 1,920 1,979 Italy Pop c/c 550 ATBC 1,732 1,271 Finland Cohort

Lung Cancer Etiology and Genetics

Neil Caporaso Division of Cancer Etiology and Genetics

June 11, 2009

Page 2: Lung Cancer Etiology and Genetics - NCI DEA...Lung Cancer GWAS N. SUBJECTS LOC DESIGN CHIP Cases Controls NCI Studies EAGLE 1,920 1,979 Italy Pop c/c 550 ATBC 1,732 1,271 Finland Cohort

A personal journey in the NCI intramural program…..

Goal to identify hereditary component of lung cancer3 lines of evidence available in the late 1980’s

Family History Pedigrees PharmacogeneticsLung Cancer~OR=2 Tokuhata and Lilienfeld 1983

Page 3: Lung Cancer Etiology and Genetics - NCI DEA...Lung Cancer GWAS N. SUBJECTS LOC DESIGN CHIP Cases Controls NCI Studies EAGLE 1,920 1,979 Italy Pop c/c 550 ATBC 1,732 1,271 Finland Cohort

- Descriptive Epidemiology- Molecular Epidemiology- Integrative Epidemiology- Genomics

- Smoking- Lung Cancer

- Importance of Key Subgroups- Summary

A Population Perspective on Lung Cancer and Smoking

Page 4: Lung Cancer Etiology and Genetics - NCI DEA...Lung Cancer GWAS N. SUBJECTS LOC DESIGN CHIP Cases Controls NCI Studies EAGLE 1,920 1,979 Italy Pop c/c 550 ATBC 1,732 1,271 Finland Cohort

- Descriptive Epidemiology- Molecular Epidemiology- Integrative Epidemiology- Genomics

- Smoking- Lung Cancer

- Key Subgroups- Summary

A Population Perspective on Lung Cancer and Smoking

Page 5: Lung Cancer Etiology and Genetics - NCI DEA...Lung Cancer GWAS N. SUBJECTS LOC DESIGN CHIP Cases Controls NCI Studies EAGLE 1,920 1,979 Italy Pop c/c 550 ATBC 1,732 1,271 Finland Cohort

The lung cancer challenge….1- Drives overall cancer mortality in the US and worldwide2- Treatment and screening pose challenges3- Lung cancer is paradigm for genetics of complex disease4- Clearest example of environment and gene in cancer5- The clearest example of a genetically influenced behavior associated with the leading public health problem in the world

Page 6: Lung Cancer Etiology and Genetics - NCI DEA...Lung Cancer GWAS N. SUBJECTS LOC DESIGN CHIP Cases Controls NCI Studies EAGLE 1,920 1,979 Italy Pop c/c 550 ATBC 1,732 1,271 Finland Cohort

Traditional epidemiology

E D

Exposure Disease

Tobacco Lung Cancer

Page 7: Lung Cancer Etiology and Genetics - NCI DEA...Lung Cancer GWAS N. SUBJECTS LOC DESIGN CHIP Cases Controls NCI Studies EAGLE 1,920 1,979 Italy Pop c/c 550 ATBC 1,732 1,271 Finland Cohort

Molecular epidemiology

E DID EBE ASF ED

G

exposureinternal dose

early biological effectaltered structure or function

early diseasedisease

Adding biomarkers allows us to investigategenes and mechanisms

Page 8: Lung Cancer Etiology and Genetics - NCI DEA...Lung Cancer GWAS N. SUBJECTS LOC DESIGN CHIP Cases Controls NCI Studies EAGLE 1,920 1,979 Italy Pop c/c 550 ATBC 1,732 1,271 Finland Cohort

PLCO Trial: Study DesignPLCO Trial: Study Design

• Screening Centers: 10• Coordinating Center• Participants: 154,935• Gender: 50:50• Age: 55-74 years• Recruitment: 1993-2001• Screening: 1993-2006• Baseline questionnaire• Dietary questionnaires• Follow-up: Annual surveysMonitoring and QAMortality searches Interim analyses regularly

• Screening Centers: 10• Coordinating Center• Participants: 154,935• Gender: 50:50• Age: 55-74 years• Recruitment: 1993-2001• Screening: 1993-2006• Baseline questionnaire• Dietary questionnaires• Follow-up: Annual surveysMonitoring and QAMortality searches Interim analyses regularly

http://prevention.cancer.gov/programs-resources/groups/ed/programs/plco

• 847 lung cancer cases and 847 controls participate in GWAS

Page 9: Lung Cancer Etiology and Genetics - NCI DEA...Lung Cancer GWAS N. SUBJECTS LOC DESIGN CHIP Cases Controls NCI Studies EAGLE 1,920 1,979 Italy Pop c/c 550 ATBC 1,732 1,271 Finland Cohort

EAGLE (Environment and Genetics in Lung Cancer Etiology)

Page 10: Lung Cancer Etiology and Genetics - NCI DEA...Lung Cancer GWAS N. SUBJECTS LOC DESIGN CHIP Cases Controls NCI Studies EAGLE 1,920 1,979 Italy Pop c/c 550 ATBC 1,732 1,271 Finland Cohort

Example from EAGLE: molecular epidemiology approach

Epidemiology Biospecimens‘doneness module’

Page 11: Lung Cancer Etiology and Genetics - NCI DEA...Lung Cancer GWAS N. SUBJECTS LOC DESIGN CHIP Cases Controls NCI Studies EAGLE 1,920 1,979 Italy Pop c/c 550 ATBC 1,732 1,271 Finland Cohort

1.00

1.31

1.79

1.00

1.211.51

1

10

T1 T2 T3 T1 T2 T3

OR &

95%

CI

Tertile (freq. per day)

Highest-versus-lowest tertile of frequency intake

Higher frequency of fresh red and processed meat intake increased lung cancer risks

p-trend: <0.001

Fresh red meat Processed meat

Lam et al, 2009, Cancer Res.

Page 12: Lung Cancer Etiology and Genetics - NCI DEA...Lung Cancer GWAS N. SUBJECTS LOC DESIGN CHIP Cases Controls NCI Studies EAGLE 1,920 1,979 Italy Pop c/c 550 ATBC 1,732 1,271 Finland Cohort

- Descriptive Epidemiology- Molecular Epidemiology- Integrative Epidemiology- Genomics

- Smoking- Lung Cancer

- Importance of Key Subgroups- Summary

A Population Perspective on Lung Cancer and Smoking

Page 13: Lung Cancer Etiology and Genetics - NCI DEA...Lung Cancer GWAS N. SUBJECTS LOC DESIGN CHIP Cases Controls NCI Studies EAGLE 1,920 1,979 Italy Pop c/c 550 ATBC 1,732 1,271 Finland Cohort

InstrumentsFagerstrom Nicotine DependencyDSM-IV Nicotine DependencyHospital Anxiety and Depression ScaleEysenck Personality InventoryCESD- DepressionAttention Deficit InventoryAttitudes and Knowledge about SmokingIntention to Quit Smoking Treatment

SurvivalPrognostic and Clinical

Page 14: Lung Cancer Etiology and Genetics - NCI DEA...Lung Cancer GWAS N. SUBJECTS LOC DESIGN CHIP Cases Controls NCI Studies EAGLE 1,920 1,979 Italy Pop c/c 550 ATBC 1,732 1,271 Finland Cohort

- Descriptive Epidemiology- Molecular Epidemiology- Integrative Epidemiology- Genomics

- Smoking- Lung Cancer

- Key Subgroups- Summary

A Population Perspective on Lung Cancer and Smoking

Page 15: Lung Cancer Etiology and Genetics - NCI DEA...Lung Cancer GWAS N. SUBJECTS LOC DESIGN CHIP Cases Controls NCI Studies EAGLE 1,920 1,979 Italy Pop c/c 550 ATBC 1,732 1,271 Finland Cohort

Hatched areas indicate proportions of deaths related to tobacco use.

Tobacco Is a Risk Factor for 6 of the World’s 8 Leading Causes of Death

Page 16: Lung Cancer Etiology and Genetics - NCI DEA...Lung Cancer GWAS N. SUBJECTS LOC DESIGN CHIP Cases Controls NCI Studies EAGLE 1,920 1,979 Italy Pop c/c 550 ATBC 1,732 1,271 Finland Cohort

Trends in Cigarette Smoking Prevalence* (%), by Sex, Adults 18 and Older, US, 1965-2007

*Redesign of survey in 1997 may affect trends.Source: National Health Interview Survey, 1965-2007, National Center for Health Statistics, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 2008.

0

10

20

30

40

50

6019

65

1974

1979

1983

1985

1990

1992

1994

1995

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

Year

Prev

alen

ce (%

)

Men

Women

Page 17: Lung Cancer Etiology and Genetics - NCI DEA...Lung Cancer GWAS N. SUBJECTS LOC DESIGN CHIP Cases Controls NCI Studies EAGLE 1,920 1,979 Italy Pop c/c 550 ATBC 1,732 1,271 Finland Cohort

Strong and consistent evidence for a geneticcontribution to smoking from twin studies…

Genetic

Shared environment

Individual environment

PHENOTYPE

56%

24%

20%

44%

Sullivan & Kendler Nicotine Tobacco Res.1999;1:S51-S57

Page 18: Lung Cancer Etiology and Genetics - NCI DEA...Lung Cancer GWAS N. SUBJECTS LOC DESIGN CHIP Cases Controls NCI Studies EAGLE 1,920 1,979 Italy Pop c/c 550 ATBC 1,732 1,271 Finland Cohort

Smoking GWAS, 2 cohort studiesProstate, Lung, Colon Ovary2,289 male, Caucasian

Nurses Health Professional Study (NHS)2,282 female, Caucasian

Illumina HumanHap 550K

2 loci are prominent….

Nicotinic receptorEvidence: very strong

Dopamine pathwayEvidence: requires confirmation

Caporaso et al, 2009

Varenicline (Chantix)

Buproprion

Page 19: Lung Cancer Etiology and Genetics - NCI DEA...Lung Cancer GWAS N. SUBJECTS LOC DESIGN CHIP Cases Controls NCI Studies EAGLE 1,920 1,979 Italy Pop c/c 550 ATBC 1,732 1,271 Finland Cohort

Relative Risks of Lung Cancer According to Years Since Quitting Smoking among Males in Three Cohort Studies of Smokers

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

0 1-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20+

Years Since Quitting Smoking

Rel

ativ

e R

isk

British Physicians U.S. Veterans American Cancer Society

Lung cancer rate drops after smoking cessation but…

….currently most lung cancer in the United States is diagnosed in former smokers!!!

Page 20: Lung Cancer Etiology and Genetics - NCI DEA...Lung Cancer GWAS N. SUBJECTS LOC DESIGN CHIP Cases Controls NCI Studies EAGLE 1,920 1,979 Italy Pop c/c 550 ATBC 1,732 1,271 Finland Cohort

Lung Cancer GWAS N. SUBJECTS LOC DESIGN CHIPCases Controls

NCI StudiesEAGLE 1,920 1,979 Italy Pop c/c 550ATBC 1,732 1,271 Finland Cohort 610/550PLCO 1,390 1,924 USA Cohort 550/610/317+240SCPS-II 697 674 USA Cohort 610/1M/550NCI TOTAL 5,739 5,848

Meta-analysisUK 1,987 1,438 ICR Sut Hosp cases 550

Birth cohort contCentral Europe 1,837 1,438 East Eur MC c/c 300-370duoTexas 1,154 1,137 USA Hosp c/c 317Iceland 719 6,030 Iceland Pop c/c 550HCF Germany 506 480 Germany Pop c/c, age<50 550CARET 397 393 USA Clin Trial 370duoHUNT2/Tromso 394 382 Norway Hosp c/c 370duoCanada 332 505 Toronto c/c 317France 135 146 Paris+ Hosp c/c 317 Estonia 109 875 Estonia hosp c/c 317/370duoMETA TOTAL 7,561 13,818GRAND TOTAL 13,300 19,666

Page 21: Lung Cancer Etiology and Genetics - NCI DEA...Lung Cancer GWAS N. SUBJECTS LOC DESIGN CHIP Cases Controls NCI Studies EAGLE 1,920 1,979 Italy Pop c/c 550 ATBC 1,732 1,271 Finland Cohort

Lung and Smoking GWAS to date Three implicated loci on chromosome 5, 6 and 15. Chr15q25 (nicotinic receptor) implicated in smoking

Page 22: Lung Cancer Etiology and Genetics - NCI DEA...Lung Cancer GWAS N. SUBJECTS LOC DESIGN CHIP Cases Controls NCI Studies EAGLE 1,920 1,979 Italy Pop c/c 550 ATBC 1,732 1,271 Finland Cohort

A personal journey in the NCI intramural program…..

Goal to identify hereditary component of lung cancer3 lines of evidence available in the late 1980’s

Family History Pedigrees PharmacogeneticsLung Cancer~OR=2 Tokuhata and Lilienfeld 1963

Page 23: Lung Cancer Etiology and Genetics - NCI DEA...Lung Cancer GWAS N. SUBJECTS LOC DESIGN CHIP Cases Controls NCI Studies EAGLE 1,920 1,979 Italy Pop c/c 550 ATBC 1,732 1,271 Finland Cohort

A personal journey in the NCI intramural program…..

Goal to identify hereditary component of lung cancer3 lines of evidence available in the 1980’s

Family History Pedigrees PharmacogeneticsLung Cancer~OR=2 Tokuhata and Lilienfeld 1963

Linkage studies PharmacgenomicsAmos et al. 2008 Bailey-Wilson et al, 2004 Caporaso et al, 2008

Page 24: Lung Cancer Etiology and Genetics - NCI DEA...Lung Cancer GWAS N. SUBJECTS LOC DESIGN CHIP Cases Controls NCI Studies EAGLE 1,920 1,979 Italy Pop c/c 550 ATBC 1,732 1,271 Finland Cohort

Sustained effort in the intramural program over time led to breakthroughs.......

80’s 90’s 00 KEY ADVANCES

case-control studies molecular epidemiologylarger studies

PLCO integrative epidemiologyEAGLE technology

consortia efforts

Page 25: Lung Cancer Etiology and Genetics - NCI DEA...Lung Cancer GWAS N. SUBJECTS LOC DESIGN CHIP Cases Controls NCI Studies EAGLE 1,920 1,979 Italy Pop c/c 550 ATBC 1,732 1,271 Finland Cohort

Priorities from Population Perspective:

1.Genomics of Lung Cancer/Smoking

2.Genomics of Outcome

3.Key subgroup: African Americans

4. Key subgroup: Non- smokers