lte-advanced 4g americas telesemana webinar june 2013

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LTE-Advanced: qué aportará a los operadores más allá de mayor capacidad y velocidad Erasmo Rojas Director of Latin America & Caribbean 4G Americas 11 junio de 2013

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LTE-Advanced 4G Americas TeleSemana webinar June 2013

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Page 2: LTE-Advanced 4G Americas TeleSemana Webinar June 2013

4G Americas Board of Governors

www.4gamericas.org

Page 3: LTE-Advanced 4G Americas TeleSemana Webinar June 2013

Global Mobile Traffic: Voice & Data 2010-2018

Source: Ericsson (Nov 2012)

Mobile Data Traffic will grow 12 times between 2012 and 2018

LTE

HSPA

GSM

TD-SCDMA

CDMA

Other

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

10,000

9,000

8,000

7,000

6,000

5,000

4,000

3,000

2,000

1,000

0

Mo

bile

Su

bsc

rip

tio

ns

(Mill

ion

)

www.4gamericas.org

Page 4: LTE-Advanced 4G Americas TeleSemana Webinar June 2013

3GPP Mobile Broadband Evolution

Rel 8 HSPA+ DL: 42 Mbps

UL: 11.5 Mbps 10/5 MHz

Evolved EDGE DL: 1.89 Mbps UL: 947 kbps

Rel 8 LTE DL: 300 Mbps UL: 45 Mbps 20/20 MHz

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Rel 9 HSPA+ DL: 84 Mbps UL: 23 Mbps 10/10 MHz

Rel 10 HSPA+ DL: 168 Mbps UL: 23 Mbps 20/10 MHz

Rel 11 HSPA+ DL: 336 Mbps UL: 46 Mbps 40/10 MHz

EDGE

HSPA-HSPA+

Rel 9 LTE DL: 300 Mbps UL: 45 Mbps 20/20 MHz

Rel 10 LTE DL: 1.2 Gbps

UL: 568 Mbps 40/40 MHz

Rel 11 LTE DL: >1.2 Gbps

LTE & LTE-Advanced

Source: Mobile Broadband Explosion, Rysavy Research, September 2012

www.4gamericas.org

Page 5: LTE-Advanced 4G Americas TeleSemana Webinar June 2013

www.4gamericas.org

GSM

79%

HSPA

17% iDEN,

CDMA

4%

LTE 0%

HSPA &

HSPA+

61%

GSM

31%

LTE 7%

iDEN,

CDMA

1%

December 2012 December 2017

Total Subscriptions 680 Million 858 Million

Mobile Broadband 113 Million (17%) 581 Million (68%)

December 2012

Source: Informa Telecoms & Media WCIS+

Subscription Forecast, March 2013

December 2017

Mobile Broadband Forecast in

Latin America (HSPA-LTE)

LTE

Page 6: LTE-Advanced 4G Americas TeleSemana Webinar June 2013

700 MHz 850 & 1900 MHz

1700/2100 MHz

1800 MHz

Antigua & Barbuda Digicel *

Bolivia Entel

Puerto Rico Claro

Open Mobile

Puerto Rico Sprint

Dominican Republic Tricom

Paraguay Personal Mexico Movistar

Telcel

Paraguay VOX

Puerto Rico AT&T

Uruguay Antel

Dominican Republic Orange Dominicana

1900 MHz

2500-2690 MHz

Colombia UNE

20 LTE Networks in Latin

America & the Caribbean

LTE

* Indicates TDD networks

All remaining networks are FDD

Data as of June 11, 2013

Claro Sky Telecom*

Oi TIM

On* Vivo

Brazil

www.4gamericas.org

Page 7: LTE-Advanced 4G Americas TeleSemana Webinar June 2013

Dec 13 Dec 14 Dec 15 Dec 16 Dec 17

2 Million

7

Million

16 Million

30 Million

55 Million

Source: Informa Telecoms & Media, WCIS+ Forecast, 1Q 2013

Subscriptions

LTE Growth Forecast In Latin America & Caribbean

LTE

www.4gamericas.org

Page 8: LTE-Advanced 4G Americas TeleSemana Webinar June 2013

0

100

200

300

400

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

0

200

400

600

800

1000

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Timeline for Global LTE Deployments

Worldwide Subscriptions

Worldwide Networks

63 M -Informa

9.3 M Informa

633 M -Informa

56 145 230

134 M -Informa

252 M -Informa

406 M -Informa

198 Million -IHS

Source: Public Announcement & 4G Americas Forecasts www.4gamericas.org

947 M -Informa

1 Billion -IHS

322 Million -Strategy Analytics Forecast

1.6 Billion -Strategy Analytics

380

785 M -ABI Research

Page 9: LTE-Advanced 4G Americas TeleSemana Webinar June 2013

0

50

100

150

200

250

Dec 13 Dec 14 Dec 15 Dec 16 Dec 17

Mill

ion

s LTE in the U.S.

September 2011 December 2010 July 2012

Sources: Public Announcements, Informa WCIS+ Estimates, Jan 2013

March 2013 ?

Currently covers

273.4 million PoPs

300 million PoPs

by YE 2014

200 million PoPs

by YE 2013

194 million subscriptions by YE 2017

LTE Subscription Growth in the U.S.

www.4gamericas.org

Launch Date:

200 million PoPs

by YE 2013

Launch Date: Launch Date: Launch Date:

Page 10: LTE-Advanced 4G Americas TeleSemana Webinar June 2013

0

5

10

15

20

25

LTE drives 168% higher daily mobile data consumption in North America

Mobile application volume per user per day - in MB * Source: Alcatel-Lucent 9900 Wireless Network Guardian, network analytics

Video Social Networking

Mixed Content Sharing

14.5

21.4

2.8 3.7 1.4

3.3

Volume Per User Per Day in MB

MB

3G LTE

Page 11: LTE-Advanced 4G Americas TeleSemana Webinar June 2013

9 63

134

252

406

633

947 Global LTE Subscription Growth

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Millions of Subscriptions

2012 Source: Informa Telecoms & Media, Subscription Forecast, February 2013 www.4gamericas.org

Global LTE Subscriptions

will surpass 1 billion by 2018.

2011

Page 12: LTE-Advanced 4G Americas TeleSemana Webinar June 2013

Key Components of the LTE Evolution to LTE-Advanced

Initial Deployments

2010 to 2012

Higher Capacity/Throughput and/or Efficiency

2013 to 2016

Enables more users, more applications and a better

experience

Wider Radio Channels: 20 MHz

Carrier Aggregation: up to 100 MHz

Advanced Antenna Configurations

More Advanced MIMO

(Higher Order, Multi-User, Higher Mobility)

Coordinated Multipoint Transmission

HetNets (Macrocells/Picocells/Femtocells)

HetNet Self Optimization/Organization

More Intelligent and Seamless Offload

Greater Capabilities Voice Widely Handled in the Packet Domain

Policy-Based Quality of Service

Typically 5 or 10 MHz Radio Channels

2X2 Multiple Input Multiple Output (MIMO) Antennas

Initial Self-Optimization/

Organization for Auto Configuration

www.4gamericas.org

Page 13: LTE-Advanced 4G Americas TeleSemana Webinar June 2013

LTE vs LTE-Advanced Key Performance Indicators

Release 8

LTE

Release 10

LTE-Advanced

Peak Data Rate Downlink: 300 Mbps

Uplink: 75 Mbps

Downlink: 1 Gbps

Uplink: 500 Mbps

Peak Spectrum

Efficiency

Downlink: 15 [bps/Hz]

Uplink: 3.75 [bps/Hz]

Downlink: 30 [bps/Hz]

Uplink: 15 [bps/Hz]

Latency User plane: 10 Msec

Control Plane: 100 Msec

User plane: 5 Msec

Control Plane: 50 Msec

Scalable

Bandwidth

Support

Up to 20 MHz

Up to 20 MHz

with band aggregation

up to 100 MHz

MIMO (Spatial Multiplexing)

Downlink: Up to 4x4 Downlink: Up to 8x8

Uplink: N/A Uplink: Up to 4x4

Source: 4G Americas Member Companies www.4gamericas.org

Page 14: LTE-Advanced 4G Americas TeleSemana Webinar June 2013

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Fixed and Mobile Broadband Access in Latin America 2007-2012

Source: Signals Telecom Consulting, 2013

Fixed Broadband Mobile Broadband

Subscriptions

Mill

ion

s

Page 15: LTE-Advanced 4G Americas TeleSemana Webinar June 2013

LTE User Devices

Source: Global mobile Suppliers Association www.gsacom.com April 2013

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

821 Total Devices in the

Market

PC Cards Femtocells

Notebooks Tablets

Modules Dongles

Routers/ Personal Hotspots

Smartphones

Includes FDD and TDD

Page 16: LTE-Advanced 4G Americas TeleSemana Webinar June 2013

Cloud RAN Architecture

Remote Radio Head

Remote Radio Head

Remote Radio Head

6 Gbps Serdes Link

Baseband Pool

Source: Joe Madden, Fierce Broadband Wireless, April 30, 2013

• Saves operational costs • Efficient baseband

processing in one location

• Low-latency connection • Enables LTE-Advanced • Financial benefits

• Added capacity • Higher throughput

Page 17: LTE-Advanced 4G Americas TeleSemana Webinar June 2013

Small Cell Architecture

Small Cell

Small Cell

Small Cell

Gateway / Core Network

200 Mbps Backhaul Link

Integrated Baseband and Radio

Page 18: LTE-Advanced 4G Americas TeleSemana Webinar June 2013

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

LTE Macro LTE C-Ran LTE Small Cell

Tota

l Co

st p

er

Mb

ps

Total Cost of Ownership including CAPEX and OPEX over 8 years

Source: Joe Madden, Fierce Broadband Wireless, April 30, 2013