long term asset investment

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SJ10203 5/26/2014 Assis K. Sem 2 2013-2014 1 Investing in long-term assets: The cost of capital What is cost of capital? A firm’s cost of capital is the rate that must be earned by the firm at a given level of risk in order to satisfy its investors. It represents the overall cost of FINANCING to the firm, which includes the COST OF DEBT and the COST OF EQUITY. It is the required rate of return that a firm must at least earn to cover the cost of raising funds from its investors, that is, the debt and equity holders. It is normally used as the discount rate in analyzing an investment or capital budgeting proposal. What is WACC? WACC – weighted average COST OF CAPITAL Is the average of the firm’s cost of funds from all investors, which includes the creditors and stockholders. It weighs each category of source of financing proportionately. Factors affecting WACC Factors the Firm Cannot Control • Interest rates •Tax rates Factors the Firm Can Control •change its capital structure •change its dividend payout How to compute the cost of DEBT? Cost of debt is the rate that must be received by a company from an investment to achieve the required rate of return for its creditors. The creditors here refer to long-term creditors. It is measured by the interest rate paid to bondholders.

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  • SJ10203 5/26/2014

    Assis K. Sem 2 2013-2014 1

    Investing in long-term assets:

    The cost of capital

    What is cost of capital?

    A firms cost of capital is the rate that must be earned by

    the firm at a given level of risk in order to satisfy its

    investors.

    It represents the overall cost of FINANCING to the firm,

    which includes the COST OF DEBT and the COST OF

    EQUITY.

    It is the required rate of return that a firm must at least

    earn to cover the cost of raising funds from its investors,

    that is, the debt and equity holders.

    It is normally used as the discount rate in analyzing an

    investment or capital budgeting proposal.

    What is WACC?

    WACC weighted average COST OF CAPITAL

    Is the average of the firms cost of funds from all investors, which

    includes the creditors and stockholders.

    It weighs each category of source of financing proportionately.

    Factors affecting WACC

    Factors the Firm Cannot Control

    Interest rates

    Tax rates

    Factors the Firm Can Control

    change its capital structure

    change its dividend payout

    How to compute the cost of DEBT?

    Cost of debt is the rate that must be received by a company from

    an investment to achieve the required rate of return for its

    creditors. The creditors here refer to long-term creditors. It is

    measured by the interest rate paid to bondholders.

  • SJ10203 5/26/2014

    Assis K. Sem 2 2013-2014 2

    How to compute the cost of PREFERRED STOCK?

    This is the rate of return that must be earned on preferred

    stockholders investments to satisfy their required rate of return.

    It is similar to the cost of debt in which a constant annual

    payment is made, in this case, the annual dividend. However,

    preferred stocks normally do not have a maturity period.

    How to compute the cost of COMMON STOCK?

    CAPM Approach

    DCF Approach

    Bond-Yield-plus-

    Risk-Premium

    Approach

    Capital asset pricing model

    Dividend-Yield-plus-Growth-Rate, or Dividend Growth Model, or Discounted Cash

    Flow (DCF), Approach

    How to compute the cost of COMMON STOCK? How to compute the cost of COMMON STOCK?

    Investing in long-term assets:

    The Basics of Capital Budgeting

    What is capital budgeting?

    Basically, capital budgeting is a decision-making process of

    selecting and evaluating LONG-TERM INVESTMENT. In simple

    terms, capital budgeting requires a firm to make decisions with

    respect to investments in fixed asset investment. This will

    require a substantial initial outlay, which is expected to

    produce benefits over a period of more than one year.

  • SJ10203 5/26/2014

    Assis K. Sem 2 2013-2014 3

    The capital budgeting process

    1 Generating long-term investment proposals

    2

    Estimating the relevant after-tax incremental cash flows for these project proposals

    3 Evaluating these cash flows

    4 Selecting the project that will maximize shareholders wealth

    5

    Reevaluating these projects from time to time for control purposes and carrying out post-audits for completed projects

    Project classifications or types of projects

    Independent projects

    A decision to accept one project will not affect the

    decision to accept another

    Mutually exclusive projects

    A decision is made to choose only one project

    from many being considered. A decision to

    accept one will automatically mean a rejection of the others

    Types of capital budgeting decisions

    2. For replacement of existing assets

    2. For replacement of existing assets 1. For expansion1. For expansion

    Payback period

    Does not take into consideration the time value of

    money. Hence, it does not calculate the PV of cash

    flow

    Reflects the true timing of the benefits and costs of

    the project proposed.

    The earlier the payback, the better it is.

    Discounted payback period NPV

    The CF of the project will be discounted at a specific rate,

    called either a discount rate, required rate of return, cost of

    capital or WACC.

    The rate is the MINIMUM required rate of return that must

    be earned by a firm so that its share price will remain

    unchanged

    Accept if NPV is higher or equal to zero (positive)

  • SJ10203 5/26/2014

    Assis K. Sem 2 2013-2014 4

    IRR Accept a project if the IRR the firms required rate of return or the firms cost

    of capital

    NPV versus IRR

    NPV versus IRR Multiple IRRs

    Conventional

    CF versus Non-

    conventional

    CF

    MIRR

    IRR assumes that cash flows will be reinvested at the IRR, but that may not be correct

    multiple IRR problem

  • SJ10203 5/26/2014

    Assis K. Sem 2 2013-2014 5

    Procedures in estimating CF

    Input DataInput Data

    Depreciation ScheduleDepreciation Schedule

    Salvage Value CalculationsSalvage Value Calculations

    Projected Cash FlowsProjected Cash Flows

    Appraisal of the Proposed ProjectAppraisal of the Proposed Project

    Other points on CF analysis

    Cash Flow versus Accounting IncomeCash Flow versus Accounting Income

    Timing of Cash Flows (Annually, quarterly, monthly, weekly, daily)Timing of Cash Flows (Annually, quarterly, monthly, weekly, daily)

    Incremental Cash Flows (if and only if)Incremental Cash Flows (if and only if)

    Replacement Projects (Vs New project) more to cost saving)Replacement Projects (Vs New project) more to cost saving)

    Sunk Costs (already spent eg R&D) (include could lead to incorrect decision)Sunk Costs (already spent eg R&D) (include could lead to incorrect decision)

    Opportunity Costs (if use existing assets eg building)Opportunity Costs (if use existing assets eg building)

    Externalities (eg environmental externalities positive or negative)Externalities (eg environmental externalities positive or negative)

    Is risk analysis based on historical data or subjective

    judgment?

    Can sometimes use historical data, but generally cannot.

    So risk analysis in capital budgeting is usually based on subjective judgments.

    What does risk mean in capital budgeting?

    Uncertainty about a projects future profitability.

    Estimating project risk

    Stand-alone risk

    measured by the variability of the projects expected returns

    Corporate, or within-firm, risk

    measured by the projects impact on uncertainty about the firms future earnings.

    Market, or beta, risk

    measured by the projects effect on the firms beta coefficient

    Measuring stand-alone risk

    Sensitivity analysis

    Scenario analysis

    Monte Carlo simulation

  • SJ10203 5/26/2014

    Assis K. Sem 2 2013-2014 6

    What is real option?

    Real options exist when managers can influence the size and risk of a projects cash flows by taking different actions during the projects life in response to changing market conditions.

    Alert managers always look for real options in projects.

    Smarter managers try to create real options.

    What is real option?

    Abandonment/ shutdown options

    Investment Timing options (When to begin?)

    Expansion/ Growth options

    Output flexibility options

    Input flexibility

    Types of real option?