Logistics Internship Final PresentationArjun Kumar – Demand Planning

05/03/2023

2

AgendaDemand Planning

Forecasting Project

Takeaways & Growth

3

My Internship

Demand Planning

WOD Activity

Goals• Be a successful

forecaster• Create a

framework for future forecasters

• Gain a keen understanding of ABI Logistics

05/03/2023

4

How I LearnedPrimary• WOD forecasting tasks

& responsibilities• Sales, management,

and accuracy meetings• KPI & trend tracking,

DP troubleshooting, and final project

Ancillary• Experiences with

coworkers, interns, support, and systems• Interactions with

corporate leadership• Knowledge

resources & training

5

Demand PlanningKey Concepts

• Connect the moving parts of sales, forecasting, planning, and product trends

• Understand the determinants of a forecast

• Make well-informed decisions & mitigate supply chain loss

• Increase accuracy

05/03/2023

6

WOD Forecasting - Timeline

Week 1-3

• Began Medford & Salem Forecasting• Basic Trend Analysis & OOS Resolving

Week 4-6

• Added Portland & Eugene Forecasting• CBA, Accuracy Analysis, 2nd-Order Problem

Solving

Week 7-10

• Supply Chain Risk Analysis & Target Evaluation• Logistics Troubleshooting & Final Project

7

WOD Forecasting - ToolsBudNET & CBA Portal• Adjusting and revising PDCN forecasts in line with

sales & brand trends• Pull WOD reports, submit logistics requests, and

order PDCNs Supply Chain Systems (BIC/PLN/SSM)• Analyze & report sales and inventory data at a

micro level• Track shipments, adjust loads, information sharingQlikview• Review KPI targets and build accuracy reports

8

Forecast Accuracy AnalysisQlikview Dashboard

Accuracy Deck

Wholesaler Forecast Sales W 5 MAPE W 5 Weight W 5 Liquid +/- W 5 Liquid %

Eugene, OR 4,522 4,577 13.0% 45.4% -55 1.2%Medford, OR 1,880 1,864 14.5% 18.5% 16 0.9%Salem, OR 1,560 1,601 14.2% 15.9% -40 2.6%

Portland, OR 2,080 2,043 19.2% 20.3% 36 1.8%

9

Forecast Accuracy AnalysisForecast Accuracy – 6 Week – Oregon WOD Avg.

10

Supply Chain Risk AnalysisCentral Region – Package Report by WOD

• Information Sharing – Allows multiple ABI teams to collaborate and mitigate supply chain loss & OOS• Inventory

Coordination – Product transfers reduce need for adding shipments

11

WOD ForecastingKey Successes• Sustained Oregon WOD Accuracy (Six Week Target &

Actual)

• Supply Chain Risk Mitigation – Denver Stella Artois• Identified $345,611 worth of potential SCL

• Eugene Sylmar – Montejo transfer of 450 Cases• Alleviated critical OOS Captured missed sales

• Created critical tools for future Oregon forecasting

Salem 78.0% 78.3%

Portland 83.3% 79.7%

Eugene 85.0% 84.1%

Medford 81.1% 81.6%

05/03/2023

12

Forecasting Final Project

13

Business DescriptionMission

Deliver world-class forecasts while managing complexity to fully enable a path for reaching our shared dream to be the best zone in

the best beer company in a better world.

Inputs

• BudNET Resources

• Sales & Product Data

• WOD Information• Demand Planning

Knowledge

Outputs

• Increased Forecast Accuracy

• Reduced Supply Chain Risk

• Standardized Excellence

Processes

• Forecast Revising• Inventory

Planning• WOD

Collaboration• Data Analysis

SDCA

14

Process Mapping• Studied SuEP process

mapping & standardization

15

Standards Creation & Execution

M T W TH F

x x x xx x x xx x xx x xx x x x

xxxx

xx

x

xxx

xxx

Outlook

WSF ReportsWeekly WOD Analysis

Weekly Update EmailCBA Forecasting SOP

Outlook

BudNET Splash Page

Weekly IP Meeting TOR

Weekly Report Sample

SOP

Forecasting CalculatorWeekly WOD Analysis

BudNET/Qlikview

BudNETQlikview - MAPE Data

FridayFridayFridayFriday

ThursdayThursdayThursday

Daily

MondayMondayMondayMonday

TuesdayTuesdayTuesdayTuesday

WednesdayWednesdayWednesday

Review weekly update objectivesReview CBA Forecasting

Disperse Supply Chain Loss Follow Up Email

Complete all necessary WOD forecasting

Create and disperse Supply Chain Loss Report

Conduct weekly Inventory Planning Meeting

Build accuracy deck for Weekly Accuracy Review

Follow up on all OOS requests & communicate results

Wed

nesd

ay

Frequency

Thur

sday

Frid

ay

Review Daily OOS ReportCheck Status of Logistics Requests

Review BudNET Splash Page

Review inventory levels to track OOSCreate & Submit OOS Logistics Requests

Consolidate new PDCN/promo info

Compile forecast/sales report to track PDCN movement

Forecast major volume product familiesPull brand trends to prioritize high error

Complete Oregon WOD forecasting by 5pm CSTOutline action items for meetings/calls

Cross-check BudNET data with Qlikview data

Input Week 0 Friday Updates in BudNET

Review Daily Update Objectives

DailyDailyDailyDaily

Daily Forecasting Update Email

SOP

Forecasting Workflow

Routine ActivitiesDay Resource

Daily

Mon

day

Tues

day

SOP

Daily OOS Email ReportBSC Ticket #

BudNETDaily Update Email

Email Template

WOD Inventory Wkst

Completed?

50% 33%100% 78% 100%

16

Routine Review ProcessesCriticality & RACI Matrices

Activity/Task Customer Complaints

Impact on Results Accidents

Time / Difficulty

Adjusting Forecasts in BudNET 3 5 1 5 14 Y

Creation & Dispersion of Supply Chain Loss Risk Report 1 5 1 5 12 Y

Creation of Weekly Forecast Accuracy Review Deck 1 5 1 5 12 Y

Submission of OOS Logistics Requests 3 5 1 3 12 Y

Monitoring of Daily OOS Report 3 3 1 1 8 N

Innovation Product Ordering 1 3 1 3 8 Y

CBA Product Forecasting 1 5 1 3 10 Y

New Product Forecasting 1 3 1 3 8 N

Weekly Inventory Planning Meetings 3 5 1 5 14 Y

Input Week 0 Friday Updatesin BudNet 1 1 1 1 4 N

Review comments/e-mails to see if there is a promo change or event 1 3 1 1 6 Y

Follow Up on BSC Tickets 3 5 1 1 10 Y

Attend Weekly Inventory Power Hour 3 3 1 1 8 Y

Attend Weekly Sales Review 1 1 1 1 4 N

Daily Forecasting Team Meeting 1 3 1 1 6 N

Criticality Level (1, 3, or 5)Criticality Matrix - WOD Forecasting

Total SumCritical?

(Y/N)

Deliverable/Role ForecastingDemand Planning WODs BSC

Adjusting Forecasts in BudNET R I/C I C

Creation & Dispersion of Supply Chain Loss Risk Report R/A C/I I -

Creation of Weekly Forecast Accuracy Review Deck R/A C/I - -

Submission of OOS Logistics Requests R/A I I/C A

Monitoring of Daily OOS Report A I C/I -

Innovation Product Ordering R/A C C/I I

CBA Product Forecasting R/A C C/I I

New Product Forecasting R/A C C/I I

Weekly Inventory Planning Meetings R/A C R/C/I I

Input Week 0 Friday Updatesin BudNet R/A C I -

Weekly Inventory Power Hour I I R/C I

Weekly Sales Review I I R/C I

RACI Matrix - WOD Forecasting RACI Category (R, A, C, and/or I)

05/03/2023

17

TakeawaysLogistics Demand Planning Forecasting

Logistics• Ownership & teamwork

combined with defined goals equals success

Demand Planning• Second-order problem solving is

key to avoiding first-order problem solving

Forecasting• Every decision should be

validated by as much data as possible

05/03/2023

18

GrowthPersonal DevelopmentNAZ Headquarters• Valuable chance to be at the

heart of operations & decision making

Corporate Leadership• Positive influencers and role

models everywhere (Hazlett, Runyon, Huskisson)

Educational Experience• Refined my knowledge and

abilities in a corporate & logistics setting

05/03/2023

19

Summer @ ABInBev• Met and befriended many

awesome & talented interns• Engaged in A-B product

testing

• Explored the Lou!• Participated in Intern

Challenges

05/03/2023

20

Thank you!

Questions?