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LITERACY AND NUMERACY SITUATION IN THE PACIFIC Using a regional instrument (PILNA) - Where are we, and what does the evidence say?

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Page 1: LITERACY AND NUMERACY SITUATION IN THE PACIFIC · Results of Pacific Literacy & Numeracy Survey Key Finding 2: Numeracy situation much brighter than literacy with approximately five

LITERACY AND NUMERACY

SITUATION IN THE PACIFIC

Using a regional instrument (PILNA)- Where are we, and what does the evidence say?

Page 2: LITERACY AND NUMERACY SITUATION IN THE PACIFIC · Results of Pacific Literacy & Numeracy Survey Key Finding 2: Numeracy situation much brighter than literacy with approximately five

Background

Endorsed by Pacific Islands Forum Ministers of Education Meeting (FEdMM )in 2010 in PNG.

Purpose to establish regional baseline based on Literacy and Numeracy Benchmarks endorsed by FEdMM in 2006.

Individual countries can use baseline to identify country situation and set national baseline (if not already done so) and implement appropriate interventions.

Page 3: LITERACY AND NUMERACY SITUATION IN THE PACIFIC · Results of Pacific Literacy & Numeracy Survey Key Finding 2: Numeracy situation much brighter than literacy with approximately five

Background

Administered in September/October 2012 to 14 PICs Draft Reports submitted to each country for further

possible action. Administered again in 2015 to monitor initial impact of

early interventions. Key Development Partners are;

DFAT (AusAID)– FundingUNESCO – Funding as well as intellectual

knowledgeSPC/SPBEA - Funding, Intellectual Knowledge and

administration

Page 4: LITERACY AND NUMERACY SITUATION IN THE PACIFIC · Results of Pacific Literacy & Numeracy Survey Key Finding 2: Numeracy situation much brighter than literacy with approximately five
Page 5: LITERACY AND NUMERACY SITUATION IN THE PACIFIC · Results of Pacific Literacy & Numeracy Survey Key Finding 2: Numeracy situation much brighter than literacy with approximately five
Page 6: LITERACY AND NUMERACY SITUATION IN THE PACIFIC · Results of Pacific Literacy & Numeracy Survey Key Finding 2: Numeracy situation much brighter than literacy with approximately five

Sample used in the Survey A stratified sample comprising total of 13,159 pupils

completing 4 years and 13,776 completing 6 years primary

50 50

42

58

69

31

50 50

40

60

68

32

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

Boys Girls Urban Rural Government Non Government

Gender Location Authority

Sample (in %) for the PILNA Survey by Gender, Location and Authority

End Year 4 End Year 6

Page 7: LITERACY AND NUMERACY SITUATION IN THE PACIFIC · Results of Pacific Literacy & Numeracy Survey Key Finding 2: Numeracy situation much brighter than literacy with approximately five

Interpreting and reporting the results

At three levels:

YET TO WORK TOWARDS EXPECTED LEVEL (%)

WORKING TOWARDS EXPECTED LEVEL

(%)

AT EXPECTED

LEVEL(%)

Page 8: LITERACY AND NUMERACY SITUATION IN THE PACIFIC · Results of Pacific Literacy & Numeracy Survey Key Finding 2: Numeracy situation much brighter than literacy with approximately five

Results of Pacific Literacy & Numeracy Survey

Key finding 1: Three in every ten pupils having acquired the literacy skills expected both after four and six years of primary schooling

30.2

52.8

16.9

29.2

41.8

29

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Performing at expected level Working towards expected level Yet to work towards expectedlevel

Overall Literacy Situation (in %) after four and six years primary schooling

After 4 years After 6 years

Page 9: LITERACY AND NUMERACY SITUATION IN THE PACIFIC · Results of Pacific Literacy & Numeracy Survey Key Finding 2: Numeracy situation much brighter than literacy with approximately five

Interpreting the finding; What does it mean?

Yet to work towards expected level:

At least 1 grade level below.

Need to determine “point of readiness to learn at lower level”.

Working towards expected level.

Within “students capability or potential”.

Need right help at right time.

Working at expected level.

Do not know how far above expected level.

Need to determine “point of readiness to learn at next level”

30.2

52.8

16.9

Situation at End of 4 Years

29.2

41.8

29

Situation at End of 6 Years +ve

-ve

Page 10: LITERACY AND NUMERACY SITUATION IN THE PACIFIC · Results of Pacific Literacy & Numeracy Survey Key Finding 2: Numeracy situation much brighter than literacy with approximately five

Results of Pacific Literacy & Numeracy Survey Key Finding 2: Numeracy situation much brighter than literacy with approximately five in every ten pupils demonstrating the numeracy skills expected after four and six years of primary schooling.

48

38

14

48

22

30

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Performng at expected level Working towards expected level Yet to work towards expectedlevel

Overall Numeracy Situation (in %) in the Pacific after four and six years primary schooling

After 4 years After 6 years

Page 11: LITERACY AND NUMERACY SITUATION IN THE PACIFIC · Results of Pacific Literacy & Numeracy Survey Key Finding 2: Numeracy situation much brighter than literacy with approximately five

Results of Pacific Literacy & Numeracy Survey

Key Finding 3: Gender a factor influencing performance of pupils with girls performimg better at the expected level than boys in both literacy and numeracy after four and six years of primary schooling.

35.3

25.1

33.7

24.8

51.754

4340.6

13

20.923.3

34.6

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Girls Boys Girls Boys

After 4 years After 6 years

Literacy situation (in %) after Four and Six Years Primary schooling, by Gender

Performing at expected level Working towards expected level

Yet to work towards expected level

Page 12: LITERACY AND NUMERACY SITUATION IN THE PACIFIC · Results of Pacific Literacy & Numeracy Survey Key Finding 2: Numeracy situation much brighter than literacy with approximately five

Results of Pacific Literacy & Numeracy Survey

Key Finding 4: School location also a factor in pupils’ performance with pupils from urban schools performing better in literacy than those from rural schools both at end of four and six years primary schooling.

26.4

35.4

22.3

40.1

56.5

47.744.9

37

17.1 16.8

32.8

22.9

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Rural Urban Rural Urban

After 4 years After 6 years

Literacy situation (%) after Four and Six Years Primary Schooling, by School Location

Performing at expected level Working towards expected level Yet to work towards expected level

Page 13: LITERACY AND NUMERACY SITUATION IN THE PACIFIC · Results of Pacific Literacy & Numeracy Survey Key Finding 2: Numeracy situation much brighter than literacy with approximately five

Results of Pacific Literacy & Numeracy Survey Key Finding 5: Pupils in non-government schools performing significantly better in literacy than those in government schools, both after four and six years schooling, but no such difference in numeracy.

26.8

37.2

24.3

39.1

55.6

47.242.3 40.8

17.6 15.6

33.4

20.1

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Government Non-Gov't Government Non-Gov't

After 4 years After 6 years

Overall Literacy Situation (in %), by School Authority, after Four and Six Years Primary Schooling

Performing at expected level Working towards expected level

Yet to work towards expected level

Page 14: LITERACY AND NUMERACY SITUATION IN THE PACIFIC · Results of Pacific Literacy & Numeracy Survey Key Finding 2: Numeracy situation much brighter than literacy with approximately five

Results of Pacific Literacy & Numeracy Survey Key Finding 6: Pupils considered to be over-aged performing better in literacy after four years schooling but those of correct age performing better after six years.

3934

2528

44

28

44

50

57

30

41

29

17 16 18

30

38

32

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Over-age Correct-age Under-age Over-age Correct-age Under-age

End of 4 Years End of 6 Years

Literacy performance (in %) of Pupils after Four and Six Years Schooling by Age-Group

Performing at expected Level Working towards expected level Yet to work towards expected level

Page 15: LITERACY AND NUMERACY SITUATION IN THE PACIFIC · Results of Pacific Literacy & Numeracy Survey Key Finding 2: Numeracy situation much brighter than literacy with approximately five

Results of Pacific Literacy & Numeracy Survey Key Finding 7: Pupils across the Pacific demonstrating significantly better in Reading Comprehension Skills than Writing Skills both after Four and Six Years of Primary Schooling.

5451

181414

31

48

3632

18

34

50

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Reading Year 4 Reading Year 6 Writing Year 4 Writing Year 6

Reading Comprehension and Writing Skills Situation (%) Across the Pacific After 4 Years and 6 Years Schooling

Performing at expected level Working towards expected level Yet to work towards expected level

Page 16: LITERACY AND NUMERACY SITUATION IN THE PACIFIC · Results of Pacific Literacy & Numeracy Survey Key Finding 2: Numeracy situation much brighter than literacy with approximately five

Key Messages From Findings

Key message 1:

Current status of literacy throughout the Pacific is at a dire situation and needs urgent and immediate intervention both at the regional and at the country level if the situation is to improve.

Page 17: LITERACY AND NUMERACY SITUATION IN THE PACIFIC · Results of Pacific Literacy & Numeracy Survey Key Finding 2: Numeracy situation much brighter than literacy with approximately five

Key message 2:

Significant proportion of children completing six years formal schooling have yet to acquire the pre-requisite literacy skills expected at the earlier years and will continue to struggle with future academic studies unless the situation is immediately addressed.

Page 18: LITERACY AND NUMERACY SITUATION IN THE PACIFIC · Results of Pacific Literacy & Numeracy Survey Key Finding 2: Numeracy situation much brighter than literacy with approximately five

Key message 3:

The Writing Skills (Reading Comprehension Skills to a lesser extent) of children throughout the Pacific is at a critical stage and need urgent intervention, considering their importance in the future academic pursuit and livelihood of children.

Page 19: LITERACY AND NUMERACY SITUATION IN THE PACIFIC · Results of Pacific Literacy & Numeracy Survey Key Finding 2: Numeracy situation much brighter than literacy with approximately five

Key message 4:

While the numeracy situation in the Pacific is

not as critical as the literacy situation, the

proportion of children completing six years of

primary schools but not acquiring the

numeracy skills expected at that level should

be a concern to all countries.

Page 20: LITERACY AND NUMERACY SITUATION IN THE PACIFIC · Results of Pacific Literacy & Numeracy Survey Key Finding 2: Numeracy situation much brighter than literacy with approximately five

Overall Recommendations

- agree for the findings of the survey at the regional level (this report) to be shared with key stakeholders, such as

donors and development partners, to be used in trying to

identify the best way forward in the effort to improve the

literacy and numeracy situation in the Pacific.

- approve for the PILNA survey to be administered again at the end of 2015 to all PICs with the purpose of diagnosing and monitoring the literacy and numeracy situation in the Pacific.

Page 21: LITERACY AND NUMERACY SITUATION IN THE PACIFIC · Results of Pacific Literacy & Numeracy Survey Key Finding 2: Numeracy situation much brighter than literacy with approximately five

PACIFIC BENCHMARKING

EDUCATION QUALITY FOR

RESULTS (PaBER)

Evidence based approach

21

Page 22: LITERACY AND NUMERACY SITUATION IN THE PACIFIC · Results of Pacific Literacy & Numeracy Survey Key Finding 2: Numeracy situation much brighter than literacy with approximately five

BACKGROUND

Papua New Guinea Samoa The Solomon Islands

Emphasis is on a new approach which emphasized at using evidence to benchmark situation between countries in the Pacific as well as beyond.

Focus is on improving literacy and numeracy in the Pacific based on evidence to review policies in areas that directly influence student learning.

Piloted in three countries; PNG, Samoa and Solomon Islands.

Page 23: LITERACY AND NUMERACY SITUATION IN THE PACIFIC · Results of Pacific Literacy & Numeracy Survey Key Finding 2: Numeracy situation much brighter than literacy with approximately five

Key questions that PaBER will answer:

What is the current situation in each country in terms of literacy and numeracy as well as policies that influence the situation?

How well is the system in each pilot country doing compared to each other as well as compared other systems beyond the Pacific. Hence need to use external tools from World Bank.

What are the better performers doing that the poorer performers are not doing ?

Based on evidence from data collection and research, what interventions need to be implemented to bring out improvement in literacy and numeracy learning of children.

Page 24: LITERACY AND NUMERACY SITUATION IN THE PACIFIC · Results of Pacific Literacy & Numeracy Survey Key Finding 2: Numeracy situation much brighter than literacy with approximately five

Relationship between components and flow of work

Component 1.

Learning Assessment

Learning assessment tests

Contextual questions

Analysis / Reports

Component 3.

Policy in Practice

Field research

Analysis

Country and Regional Reports

Component 2.

Policy and System

Assessment

System assessment tools

Analysis / reports

Evidence-based guidance

to inform policy and put in

place interventions to

improve learning

Results

Institutional

Capacity

Analysis

Country

Situational

Analysis

Page 25: LITERACY AND NUMERACY SITUATION IN THE PACIFIC · Results of Pacific Literacy & Numeracy Survey Key Finding 2: Numeracy situation much brighter than literacy with approximately five

PaBER’s approach is to develop and use tools to inform and identify policy and interventions that will improve learning

outcomes

Outcomes of PaBERCapacity developedIntegration of PaBER into country level Education Strategy and National Action Plans

Situational Analysis

PILNA Literacy and Numeracy Grade 62012 and 2015

Institutional capacity analysis of ministry departments/units

Adapted version of SABER tools to benchmark pilot countries against international best practice

Field-based qualitative research involving local-level studies and school surveys

Institutional capacity

Student outcomes

Policy intentPolicy

implementation/ practice

2 3 4 51

Analysis of education indicators, institutional arrangements and current challenges

Too

ls

Page 26: LITERACY AND NUMERACY SITUATION IN THE PACIFIC · Results of Pacific Literacy & Numeracy Survey Key Finding 2: Numeracy situation much brighter than literacy with approximately five

Understanding the PaBER Benchmarking Approach

Aims at improving Literacy and Numeracy learning by targeting policies in key priority areas in the education system.

Key policy areas targeted (identified by pilot countries);

- Teacher Quality

- Assessment Systems

- Curriculum and Materials

- School Governance and Management

Emphasis on identifying gaps between policy intent and policy implementation.

Page 27: LITERACY AND NUMERACY SITUATION IN THE PACIFIC · Results of Pacific Literacy & Numeracy Survey Key Finding 2: Numeracy situation much brighter than literacy with approximately five

Understanding the PaBER Benchmarking Approach

Data collected on status and intent of policies in each target area.

Benchmarked against each pilot country as well as internationally.

Regional and international comparability of data.

Used internationally recognized tools (World Bank & PaBER tools).

Data used to identify policy issues directly influencing learning.

Issues form basis for field research to identify evidence on influence of policy implementation on student achievements.

Page 28: LITERACY AND NUMERACY SITUATION IN THE PACIFIC · Results of Pacific Literacy & Numeracy Survey Key Finding 2: Numeracy situation much brighter than literacy with approximately five

Understanding the PaBER Benchmarking Approach

Research Evidence used for benchmarking (best practices) and identify relevant policy interventions that bring about improvement in literacy and numeracy achievements.

Establish literacy and numeracy baseline for each pilot country.

Monitor situation for improvement at end of pilot (2015) and beyond.

Page 29: LITERACY AND NUMERACY SITUATION IN THE PACIFIC · Results of Pacific Literacy & Numeracy Survey Key Finding 2: Numeracy situation much brighter than literacy with approximately five

The PaBER Benchmarking Approach

Teacher

Quality

(SABER)

Assessment

Systems

(SABER)

School

Governance

and

Management

(SABER)

Literacy &

Numeracy

Performance

Issues

Issues

Curriculum

& Materials

(PaBER)

Issues

Issues

Page 30: LITERACY AND NUMERACY SITUATION IN THE PACIFIC · Results of Pacific Literacy & Numeracy Survey Key Finding 2: Numeracy situation much brighter than literacy with approximately five

What Results has PaBER Achieved?

Implement necessary

policy interventions

Current Status of Implementation

1.Assessment Systems2.School Governance & Management3.Teacher Quality4.Curriculum & Materials

1. WB SABER Tool on Student Assessment2. WB SABER Tool on Teacher Quality3.SABER Tool on School Autonomy & Accountability4.PaBER Tool on Curriculum & Materials

1.Student Assessment Completed2.Teacher Quality Data Collection Completed3. School Autonomy & Accountability Completed4.Tool yet to be developed and data yet to be collected.

Currently at planning Stage

Setting L & N Baseline (PILNA 2012)

Page 31: LITERACY AND NUMERACY SITUATION IN THE PACIFIC · Results of Pacific Literacy & Numeracy Survey Key Finding 2: Numeracy situation much brighter than literacy with approximately five

Overall Results Achieved

Overall Achievements

Level of PaBER Pilot Achievement as at 28 February 2014

OutcomesPapua New

GuineaSamoa

Solomon

Islands

Overall

(PaBER)

1. Assessment Units have

sufficient staff and capacity

to handle all the assessment

activities within Ministry of

Education

Emerging Partially

Achieved

Emerging Emerging

2. Literacy and numeracy

baseline established for 3

pilot countries.

Achieved Achieved Achieved Achieved

3. Pilot countries take into

account recommendations in

the PILNA/ PaBER report for

policy development /review

Partially

Achieved

Partially

Achieved

Partially

Achieved

Partially

Achieved

Page 32: LITERACY AND NUMERACY SITUATION IN THE PACIFIC · Results of Pacific Literacy & Numeracy Survey Key Finding 2: Numeracy situation much brighter than literacy with approximately five

Reporting of Specific Results Achieved

Use four-point scale based on World Bank reporting of SABER Tools.

Latent

Emerging

Established

Advanced

Reflects

policy feature

not in place

Reflects some

good practices;

but work still in

progress

Reflects good

practices, but

with some

limitations

Reflects

international

best practice

Page 33: LITERACY AND NUMERACY SITUATION IN THE PACIFIC · Results of Pacific Literacy & Numeracy Survey Key Finding 2: Numeracy situation much brighter than literacy with approximately five

Benchmarking Institutional Capacity

Benchmarking Institutional Capacity of Assessment Division in Pilot Countries.

Dimensions for

Benchmarking

PNG SAMOA SOLOMON

ISLANDS

OVERALL

Mandate Emerging

Established

Established

Established

Human

Resources

Emerging

Established

Emerging

Emerging

System Structures &

Infrastructure

Emerging

Emerging

Emerging

Emerging

Professional

Development Strategies

Latent

Emerging

Emerging

Emerging

Overall Emerging

Emerging

Emerging

Emerging

Page 34: LITERACY AND NUMERACY SITUATION IN THE PACIFIC · Results of Pacific Literacy & Numeracy Survey Key Finding 2: Numeracy situation much brighter than literacy with approximately five

Specific Country Response

Solomon Is

Implement Capacity Building Plan based on the findings from Capacity Analysis.

Recruitment of relevant staff to National Examinations and Standards Unit (NESU) completed.

A Professional Development Trainings Program for staff on technical skills (psychometric skills).

Short attachments with ACER, Australia have been organized for selected NESU officers in 2014.

Conduct a skills audit of assessment staff to identify targeted professional development areas.

Page 35: LITERACY AND NUMERACY SITUATION IN THE PACIFIC · Results of Pacific Literacy & Numeracy Survey Key Finding 2: Numeracy situation much brighter than literacy with approximately five

Specific Result Area 2: Setting the Baseline for Literacy and Numeracy

Establish baseline for Overall Literacy at end of six years primary schooling based on regional benchmarks.

Domain Country A Country B Country C Overall

Overall

Literacy

Situation

Performing at expected level

7.8% 18.1% 40.6% 22.2%

Working towards expected level

40.8% 56.8% 43.9% 47.1%

Not yet working towards expected level

51.4% 25.1% 15.5% 30.7%

Page 36: LITERACY AND NUMERACY SITUATION IN THE PACIFIC · Results of Pacific Literacy & Numeracy Survey Key Finding 2: Numeracy situation much brighter than literacy with approximately five

Setting the Baseline for Literacy and NumeracyComponent Country A Country B Country C Overall

Reading

Comprehension

Performing at expected level

27.0% 50.3% 66.1% 47.8%

Working towards expected level

35.8% 36.3% 28.2% 33.4%

Not yet working towards expected level

37.2% 13.4% 5.7% 18.8%

Writing

Competency Skills

Performing at expected level

2.8% 7.6% 22.1% 10.8%

Working towards expected level

38.2% 56.6% 34.2% 43.0%

Not yet working towards expected level

59.1% 35.8% 43.8% 46.2%

Page 37: LITERACY AND NUMERACY SITUATION IN THE PACIFIC · Results of Pacific Literacy & Numeracy Survey Key Finding 2: Numeracy situation much brighter than literacy with approximately five

Specific Country Response

Samoa

Minister and Ministry of Education Sports and Culture (MESC) Core Executive briefed on the results.

MESC integrated PILNA recommendations into its current intervention initiatives.

Two research projects as part of the Education Support Program II focus on Literacy and Numeracy.

Recently completed Numeracy research findings will be factored into the intervention strategies.

2012 PILNA Report launched at the recent MESC Annual Conference on the 20th and 21st December 2013.

Page 38: LITERACY AND NUMERACY SITUATION IN THE PACIFIC · Results of Pacific Literacy & Numeracy Survey Key Finding 2: Numeracy situation much brighter than literacy with approximately five

Key Result Area 3: School Governance and Management

SAA Policy Goals Level of Development

Papua New

Guinea

Samoa Solomon

Islands

Finland

1. Autonomy in Budget

Planning and Approval

Established

Established

Emerging

Established

2. Autonomy in

Personnel Management

Emerging

Latent

Emerging

Established

3. Participation of

School Council in

School Governance

Established

Established

Emerging

Advanced

4. Assessment of School

and Student

Performance

Established

Established

Established

Advanced

Page 39: LITERACY AND NUMERACY SITUATION IN THE PACIFIC · Results of Pacific Literacy & Numeracy Survey Key Finding 2: Numeracy situation much brighter than literacy with approximately five

Key Result Area 3: School Governance and Management

SAA Policy Goals Level of Development

Papua New

Guinea

Samoa Solomon

Islands

Finland

5. Accountability to

Stakeholders

Emerging

Emerging

Emerging

Established

6. Strategic

direction

Advanced

Established

Advanced

7. Support to

leadership

Emerging

Established

Established

Page 40: LITERACY AND NUMERACY SITUATION IN THE PACIFIC · Results of Pacific Literacy & Numeracy Survey Key Finding 2: Numeracy situation much brighter than literacy with approximately five

Specific Country Response

Solomon Is

Final report from World Bank released and validated by MEHRD and Report posted on WB’s global web-site.

Results on outcome of data collected disseminated to Key stakeholders; MEHRD officers, Education Authorities and Donor Partners.

SABER recommendations disseminated to responsible MEHRD divisions and key stakeholders for action.

Submission to Education Act Review Team to consider putting in place legislation that guides the operation of school boards or committees.

Page 41: LITERACY AND NUMERACY SITUATION IN THE PACIFIC · Results of Pacific Literacy & Numeracy Survey Key Finding 2: Numeracy situation much brighter than literacy with approximately five

Key Result Area 4: Assessment Systems

Data on status of policies on assessment system and their intent collected from three pilots countries using the World Bank SABER Tool on Student Assessment.

Draft Report for Samoa available and draft reports for PNG and Solomon Is expected soon.

Key Result Area 5: Teacher Quality

Data on status of policies on teacher quality and their intent collected from three pilots countries using the World Bank SABER Tool on Teacher Quality.

Data currently being analyzed by World Bank before draft report available.

Page 42: LITERACY AND NUMERACY SITUATION IN THE PACIFIC · Results of Pacific Literacy & Numeracy Survey Key Finding 2: Numeracy situation much brighter than literacy with approximately five

Key Result Area 5: Curriculum & Materials

Instrument for data collection currently being developed and ready for data collection later in the year. Consultation with Pearson on this component. World Bank tool not available

Key Result Area 6: Policy in Practice (Field Research)

Will be implemented in 2nd half of the year. Draft Research Framework developed and used as basis for research in all three pilot countries.

Emphasis on identifying how policies are being implemented on the ground and influence on learning.

Page 43: LITERACY AND NUMERACY SITUATION IN THE PACIFIC · Results of Pacific Literacy & Numeracy Survey Key Finding 2: Numeracy situation much brighter than literacy with approximately five

Recommendations

• Note the progress the PaBER pilot project has achieved to date and as outlined in this report.

• Approve in principle the rolling out of a revised version of the benchmarking approach adopted by PaBER to further countries in the Pacific (phase 2), as per original intention, starting with the re-run of the PILNA survey in 2015, and depending on availability of funding.

• Report back to the next FEdMM on key findings and evidence from outcome of the PaBER pilot, and recommendations on interventions for improving literacy and numeracy in pilot countries, as well as implications for other countries.

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