let’s get ready for tomorrow’s exam james burns june 10, 2002
TRANSCRIPT
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Let’s get ready for Tomorrow’s Exam
James Burns
June 10, 2002
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The Adjacency Matrix
1 2 3 4
1 || 0 1 0 0 ||
2 || 0 0 1 0 ||
3 || 0 1 0 1 ||
4 || 0 0 0 0 ||
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Also known as the Square Ternary MatrixBe able to convert it to a causal loop
diagramBe able to convert the CLD to a SDFBe able to write the rate equations
associated with the SFD Assumes rates are multiplicative functions
of their antecedents
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The Pension Fund ProblemWhat sectors did you find?What stocks?What rates?
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Employees RetireesNew Hires Retire rate Deaths
Fund
Deposits Withdrawals
Growth
SalaryGrow rate
Pension Fund Problem
Fund SectorSalary Sector
Employee/Retiree Sector
NH Rate Norm
Grow Rate Norm
Dep NormWithdraw Norm
Grwth Norm
Employment timeRetirement time
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THE FIFTH DISCIPLINEWhat are the five disciplines?Name four archetypesWhich discipline is concerned with
getting individuals to make a commitment to lifelong learning?
Which discipline is concerned with the picture people carry in their heads?
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Systems thinking is a radical departure from the old, ____ way of thinking
Which archetype is most akin to the adage “the easy way out usually leads back in?”
Healthy companies that fail quickly, do so because of _____ _____.
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Which one of the following is not a typical ST mistake? “People believe they are their jobs” “The enemy is in here” “trying to be proactive” “fixation on events” “inability to learn from experience”
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Seven Laws in STToday’s problems come from _____
_____.The harder you push, the harder the
system _____ _____.Behavior grows better before it grows
_____.The easy way out usually leads ____
__.
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Seven Laws, continuedThe cure can be worse than the ____.Cause and effect are not closely related
__ ____ ___ ____.You can have your cake and eat it too--
___ ___ _____ ____.
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Which of the seven laws is due to compensating feedback?
Which of the seven laws is the “carpet bump” an example?
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More STThe first step in breaking out of the
reactive mind-set is to see _____ __ _________.
“I am filling the glass with water” describes ___ ____ __ ___ ______.
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FeedbackName two typesWhich type produces exponential
growth?Which type produces exponential goal
seeking?What is the discernment rule for
distinguishing one type from another?
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What about delays?Cause ____ and ____ when ____
moves are applied
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Seeing the World AnewAs wholesSeeing ourselves as part of the whole,
part of the system
Coping with Complexity mandates systems thinking Today, we are creating complexity at a
frenetic pace
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When is dynamic complexity present?When there are dramatically different
effects in the short vs. The long runWhen an action has one set of
consequences locally and a very different set of consequences in another part of the system
When obvious interventions produce non- obvious consequences
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The first Archetype Senge often says structures of which we are
unaware hold us ____. All growth eventually ____.
Which archetype illustrates this??
Most managers react to the slowing growth by pushing harder on the _____ loop
Instead, concentrate on the balancing loop--changing the _____ factor
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Structure
state of stockgrowing action slowing action
BalancingReinforcing
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The second ArchetypeAn underlying problem generates
symptoms that demand attention. But the underlying problem is difficult for people to address…
Draw the structure
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The Stereotype Structure
Problem
Symptomatic Solution
Fundamental Solution
Side effect
BALANCING
BALANCING
REINFORCING
Symptiom-CorrectingProcess
Problem-Correcting Process
Addictioin Loop
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