kotasoln__26.02.2015

25
Please note: Copyright © 2001 by the Trustees of the University of Virginia D This spreadsheet supports INSTRUCTOR analysis of the case, "Kota Fibres, Ltd." (UVA -F-1359 v. 1.1). 1) This is a working model. Assumptions / Inputs presented can be changed to vary the results. reference. To resolve this circularity, please instruct Excel to iterate 20-30 times in recalculating the model. Click on Tools/Options/Calculation, and the Iteration button. set as "automatic", the impact of changing assumptions will be computed in real time. Alternatively, the F9 function key may need to be invoked to recalculate results. To set numerical calculation settings to automatic, look under tools, options, calculations menu.

Upload: connectrohit85

Post on 20-Nov-2015

4 views

Category:

Documents


1 download

DESCRIPTION

Kota fiber case solution

TRANSCRIPT

Model Facts

This spreadsheet supports INSTRUCTOR analysis of the case, "Kota Fibres, Ltd." (UVA -F-1359 v. 1.1).

Please note:

1) This is a working model. Assumptions / Inputs presented can be changed to vary the results.

2) This model intentionally incorporates a circular reference. To resolve this circularity, please instruct Excel to iterate 20-30 times in recalculating the model. Click on Tools/Options/Calculation, and the Iteration button.

3) As long as the default spreadsheet calculation is set as "automatic", the impact of changing assumptions will be computed in real time. Alternatively, the F9 function key may need to be invoked to recalculate results. To set numerical calculation settings to automatic, look under tools, options, calculations menu.

Copyright 2001 by the Trustees of the University of Virginia Darden School Foundation.

JIT & Level production combinedHibachi's Just in Time proposal

Summary of Sales, Inventory and Debt ResultsJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecemberThe YearGross Sales2,616,1202,892,8254,447,4048,804,25013,885,56012,803,8957,575,0097,575,0095,031,0004,447,4043,531,7622,767,05076,377,288Inventories (3)6,410,89917,777,54334,307,32047,678,49050,139,65647,634,57447,025,72445,559,95247,638,88852,615,59562,243,91377,205,089Note Payable- Bank (6)6,342,32916,767,34433,529,48951,765,54662,488,25562,762,48758,497,08854,388,78156,128,80660,036,76069,170,04084,800,065

EXHIBIT 8KOTA FIBRES, LTD.Monthly Forecast of Income StatementsPro Forma(In Rupees)JanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecemberThe YearGross Sales2,616,1202,892,8254,447,4048,804,25013,885,56012,803,8957,575,0097,575,0095,031,0004,447,4043,531,7622,767,05076,377,288Excise Taxes392,418433,924667,1111,320,6382,082,8341,920,5841,136,2511,136,251754,650667,111529,764415,05811,456,593Net Sales2,223,7022,458,9013,780,2937,483,61311,802,72610,883,3116,438,7586,438,7584,276,3503,780,2933,001,9982,351,99364,920,695Cost of Goods Sold1,928,0802,132,0123,277,7376,488,73210,233,6589,436,4715,582,7825,582,7823,707,8473,277,7372,602,9092,039,31656,290,061Gross Profit295,622326,889502,557994,8801,569,0681,446,840855,976855,976568,503502,557399,089312,6778,630,634Operating Expenses454,501454,501454,501454,501454,501454,501454,501454,501454,501454,501454,501454,5015,454,006Depreciation84,13084,13087,04787,04787,04789,96489,96489,96492,88092,88092,88095,7971,073,731Interest Expense (Income) (1)42,451139,621303,877515,324690,283756,723732,610682,019667,710701,834780,624930,236512,334Profit Before Taxes(285,461)(351,363)(342,868)(61,992)337,237145,653(421,098)(370,507)(646,588)(746,658)(928,916)(1,167,857)(4,840,417)Income Taxes(85,638)(105,409)(102,860)(18,597)101,17143,696(126,329)(111,152)(193,977)(223,997)(278,675)(350,357)(1,452,125)Net Profit(199,823)(245,954)(240,007)(43,394)236,066101,957(294,769)(259,355)(452,612)(522,661)(650,241)(817,500)(3,388,292)(1) Interest expense = Notes Payable * 14.5%/12 months.==EXHIBIT 8 -contd-KOTA FIBRES, LTD.Forecasted Monthly Balance Sheets for 1990(In Rupees)JanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecemberAssetsCash (1)750,000750,000750,000750,000750,000750,000750,000750,000750,000750,000750,000750,000Accounts Receivable (2)2,773,3493,291,5425,012,14410,301,73717,997,15519,964,27614,086,39110,949,0598,405,0506,295,0495,029,2493,715,152Inventories (3)6,410,89917,777,54334,307,32047,678,49050,139,65647,634,57447,025,72445,559,95247,638,88852,615,59562,243,91377,205,089 Total Current Assets9,934,24821,819,08540,069,46458,730,22868,886,81168,348,85061,862,11557,259,01256,793,93859,660,64468,023,16381,670,241Net Prop. Plant & Equip. (4)8,733,0168,648,8858,911,8388,824,7918,737,7448,997,7808,907,8178,817,8539,074,9738,982,0928,889,2129,143,415 Total Assets18,667,26330,467,97048,981,30267,555,01977,624,55577,346,63070,769,93166,076,86565,868,91168,642,73776,912,37590,813,656Liabilities and Owners' EquityAccounts Payable (5)758,4282,485,4825,079,5365,479,1884,488,7784,290,9692,400,7672,186,5141,385,123997,6531,062,9281,002,041Note Payable- Bank (6)6,342,32916,767,34433,529,48951,765,54662,488,25562,762,48758,497,08854,388,78156,128,80660,036,76069,170,04084,800,065Accrued Taxes (7)(85,638)(191,047)(293,907)(312,505)(211,334)(167,638)(293,967)(405,119)(599,096)(823,093)(1,101,768)(1,452,125) Total Current Liabilities7,015,11919,061,77938,315,11956,932,23066,765,70066,885,81860,603,88856,170,17656,914,83460,211,32069,131,20084,349,981Shareholders' Equity (8)11,652,14411,406,19110,666,18310,622,78910,858,85510,460,81210,166,0439,906,6898,954,0778,431,4167,781,1756,463,675 Total Liabilities & Equity18,667,26330,467,97048,981,30267,555,01977,624,55577,346,63070,769,93166,076,86565,868,91168,642,73776,912,37590,813,656

EXHIBIT 9KOTA FIBRES, LTD.Schedule of Cash Receipts and Disbursements(In Rupees)JanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecemberJanuaryFebruaryAssume:Sales2,616,1202,892,8254,447,4048,804,25013,885,56012,803,8957,575,0097,575,0095,031,0004,447,4043,531,7622,767,0503,400,9563,616,031Purchases 1,591,0541,589,9473,317,0015,911,0556,310,7075,320,2975,122,4873,232,2863,018,0332,216,6421,829,1721,894,4471,833,560Debt Outstanding684,1026,342,32916,767,34433,529,48951,765,54662,488,25562,762,48758,497,08854,388,78156,128,80660,036,76069,170,04084,800,065Receipts:Accts Rcvble Collected2,515,5002,374,6322,726,8023,514,6576,190,14210,836,77413,452,89410,712,3417,575,0096,557,4054,797,5624,081,147New Borrowings (Repayments)493,559783,9423,993,4676,696,6205,493,823274,232(4,265,399)(4,108,307)(803,984)(1,763,660)(581,582)1,107,206Disburs.:Accounts Paid 1,591,0541,589,9473,317,0015,911,0556,310,7075,320,2975,122,4873,232,2863,018,0332,216,6421,829,1721,894,447Capital Expenditures00350,00000350,00000350,00000350,000Interest Payments42,451139,621303,877515,324690,283756,723732,610682,019667,710701,834780,624930,236Excise Tax Paid392,418433,924667,1111,320,6382,082,8341,920,5841,136,2511,136,251754,650667,111529,764415,058Operating Expenses454,501454,501454,501454,501454,501454,501454,501454,501454,501454,501454,501454,501Accrued Income Tax Paid000000000000Wages540,958540,5821,127,7802,009,7592,145,6401,808,9011,741,6461,098,9771,026,131753,658621,919644,112Dividends00500,00000500,00000500,00000500,000Subtotal: Disbursements3,021,3823,158,5746,720,26910,211,27611,683,96611,111,0069,187,4956,604,0336,771,0254,793,7454,215,9805,188,353Receipts - Disbursements(12,323)00000000000

BOP Cash Balance762,323750,000750,000750,000750,000750,000750,000750,000750,000750,000750,000750,000EOP Cash Balance762,323750,000750,000750,000750,000750,000750,000750,000750,000750,000750,000750,000750,000

Exhibit 10KOTA FIBRES, LTD.Forecasted T-Accounts Supporting Financial Statements(In Rupees)JanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember1. Schedule of Accounts ReceivableBeginning of Period2,672,7292,773,3493,291,5425,012,14410,301,73717,997,15519,964,27614,086,39110,949,0598,405,0506,295,0495,029,249 Plus Sales2,616,1202,892,8254,447,4048,804,25013,885,56012,803,8957,575,0097,575,0095,031,0004,447,4043,531,7622,767,050 Less Collections, Last Month (1)885,4561,046,4481,157,1301,778,9623,521,7005,554,2245,121,5583,030,0043,030,0042,012,4001,778,9621,412,705 Less Collections, Month before Last (2)1,630,0441,328,1841,569,6721,735,6952,668,4425,282,5508,331,3367,682,3374,545,0054,545,0053,018,6002,668,442End of Period2,773,3493,291,5425,012,14410,301,73717,997,15519,964,27614,086,39110,949,0598,405,0506,295,0495,029,2493,715,152(1) 40% of sales in period (T-1).(2) 60% of sales in period (T-2).

2. Schedule of InventoriesBeginning of Period1,249,1856,410,89917,777,54334,307,32047,678,49050,139,65647,634,57447,025,72445,559,95247,638,88852,615,59562,243,913 Plus Purchases (1)1,591,0541,589,9473,317,0015,911,0556,310,7075,320,2975,122,4873,232,2863,018,0332,216,6421,829,1721,894,4471,833,560 Plus Labor540,958540,5821,127,7802,009,7592,145,6401,808,9011,741,6461,098,9771,026,131753,658621,919644,112Finished good Inventories from Level production4,958,8899,641,07312,768,67811,539,4375,228,8860002,544,0095,671,6149,714,86114,522,820 Less Shipments (COGS)1,928,0802,132,0123,277,7376,488,73210,233,6589,436,4715,582,7825,582,7823,707,8473,277,7372,602,9092,039,316End of Period6,410,89917,777,54334,307,32047,678,49050,139,65647,634,57447,025,72445,559,95247,638,88852,615,59562,243,91377,205,0893. Schedule of Accounts PayableBeginning of Period759,535758,4282,485,4825,079,5365,479,1884,488,7784,290,9692,400,7672,186,5141,385,123997,6531,062,928 + Purchases (1)1,589,9473,317,0015,911,0556,310,7075,320,2975,122,4873,232,2863,018,0332,216,6421,829,1721,894,4471,833,560 - Payments (2)1,591,0541,589,9473,317,0015,911,0556,310,7075,320,2975,122,4873,232,2863,018,0332,216,6421,829,1721,894,447End of Period758,4282,485,4825,079,5365,479,1884,488,7784,290,9692,400,7672,186,5141,385,123997,6531,062,9281,002,041(1) Equal to 55 percent of sales in period (T+1).(2) Equal to purchases in period (T-1).4. Schedule of Shareholder's EquityBeginning of Period11,851,96711,652,14411,406,19110,666,18310,622,78910,858,85510,460,81210,166,0439,906,6898,954,0778,431,4167,781,175 Plus Net Profit(199,823)(245,954)(240,007)(43,394)236,066101,957(294,769)(259,355)(452,612)(522,661)(650,241)(817,500) Less Dividends00500,00000500,00000500,00000500,000End of Period11,652,14411,406,19110,666,18310,622,78910,858,85510,460,81210,166,0439,906,6898,954,0778,431,4167,781,1756,463,6755. Schedule of Accrued TaxesBeginning of Period0(85,638)(191,047)(293,907)(312,505)(211,334)(167,638)(293,967)(405,119)(599,096)(823,093)(1,101,768) Plus Monthly Tax Expense (@ 30%)(85,638)(105,409)(102,860)(18,597)101,17143,696(126,329)(111,152)(193,977)(223,997)(278,675)(350,357) Less Quarterly Tax Payments000000000000End of Period(85,638)(191,047)(293,907)(312,505)(211,334)(167,638)(293,967)(405,119)(599,096)(823,093)(1,101,768)(1,452,125)6. Schedule of Property, Plant and EquipmentBeginning Gross PP&E10,095,64610,095,64610,095,64610,445,64610,445,64610,445,64610,795,64610,795,64610,795,64611,145,64611,145,64611,145,646127,447,752 Plus Capital Expenditures00350,00000350,00000350,00000350,0001,400,000Ending Gross PP&E10,095,64610,095,64610,095,64610,445,64610,445,64610,445,64610,795,64610,795,64610,795,64611,145,64611,145,64611,145,64611,495,646128,847,752 Monthly Depreciation Expense84,13084,13087,04787,04787,04789,96489,96489,96492,88092,88092,88095,7971,073,731 Less Cumulative Depr'n.1,278,5001,362,6301,446,7611,533,8081,620,8551,707,9021,797,8661,887,8291,977,7932,070,6732,163,5542,256,4342,352,23123,456,837Ending Net PP&E8,817,1468,733,0168,648,8858,911,8388,824,7918,737,7448,997,7808,907,8178,817,8539,074,9738,982,0928,889,2129,143,415106,669,415

Exhibit TN2JanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember Gross sales2,616,1202,892,8254,447,4048,804,25013,885,56012,803,8957,575,0097,575,0095,031,0004,447,4043,531,7622,767,050Net profit(199,823)(245,954)(240,007)(43,394)236,066101,957(294,769)(259,355)(452,612)(522,661)(650,241)(817,500)

AssetsCash (1)750,000750,000750,000750,000750,000750,000750,000750,000750,000750,000750,000750,000Accounts Receivable (2)2,773,3493,291,5425,012,14410,301,73717,997,15519,964,27614,086,39110,949,0598,405,0506,295,0495,029,2493,715,152Inventories (3)6,410,89917,777,54334,307,32047,678,49050,139,65647,634,57447,025,72445,559,95247,638,88852,615,59562,243,91377,205,089 Total Current Assets9,934,24821,819,08540,069,46458,730,22868,886,81168,348,85061,862,11557,259,01256,793,93859,660,64468,023,16381,670,241Net Prop. Plant & Equip. (4)8,733,0168,648,8858,911,8388,824,7918,737,7448,997,7808,907,8178,817,8539,074,9738,982,0928,889,2129,143,415 Total Assets18,667,26330,467,97048,981,30267,555,01977,624,55577,346,63070,769,93166,076,86565,868,91168,642,73776,912,37590,813,656 Liabilities and Owners' Equity Accounts Payable (5)758,4282,485,4825,079,5365,479,1884,488,7784,290,9692,400,7672,186,5141,385,123997,6531,062,9281,002,041Note Payable- Bank (6)6,342,32916,767,34433,529,48951,765,54662,488,25562,762,48758,497,08854,388,78156,128,80660,036,76069,170,04084,800,065Accrued Taxes (7)(85,638)(191,047)(293,907)(312,505)(211,334)(167,638)(293,967)(405,119)(599,096)(823,093)(1,101,768)(1,452,125) Total Current Liabilities7,015,11919,061,77938,315,11956,932,23066,765,70066,885,81860,603,88856,170,17656,914,83460,211,32069,131,20084,349,981Shareholders' Equity (8)11,652,14411,406,19110,666,18310,622,78910,858,85510,460,81210,166,0439,906,6898,954,0778,431,4167,781,1756,463,675 Total Liabilities & Equity18,667,26330,467,97048,981,30267,555,01977,624,55577,346,63070,769,93166,076,86565,868,91168,642,73776,912,37590,813,656

Schedule of InventoriesBeginning of Period1,249,1856,410,89917,777,54334,307,32047,678,49050,139,65647,634,57447,025,72445,559,95247,638,88852,615,59562,243,913 Plus Purchases (1)1,589,9473,317,0015,911,0556,310,7075,320,2975,122,4873,232,2863,018,0332,216,6421,829,1721,894,4471,833,560 Plus Labor540,958540,5821,127,7802,009,7592,145,6401,808,9011,741,6461,098,9771,026,131753,658621,919644,112 Less Shipments (COGS)1,928,0802,132,0123,277,7376,488,73210,233,6589,436,4715,582,7825,582,7823,707,8473,277,7372,602,9092,039,316End of Period6,410,89917,777,54334,307,32047,678,49050,139,65647,634,57447,025,72445,559,95247,638,88852,615,59562,243,91377,205,089

Level Prod.LEVEL PRODUCTION PLAN

JanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember

Sales as percentage of year2.88%3.18%4.89%9.69%15.28%19.35%17.95%9.43%5.53%4.89%3.89%3.04%Production as percentage of year8.33%8.33%8.33%8.33%8.33%8.33%8.33%8.33%8.33%8.33%8.33%8.33%

JanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecemberTotal Forecasted sales for 200190,900,108Forecasted Sales/month2,616,1202,892,8254,447,4048,804,25013,885,56017,588,37616,315,5338,572,8245,031,0004,447,4043,531,7622,767,050Production due to level production7,575,0097,575,0097,575,0097,575,0097,575,0097,575,0097,575,0097,575,0097,575,0097,575,0097,575,0097,575,009Finished goods Inventory4,958,8899,641,07312,768,67811,539,4375,228,8860002,544,0095,671,6149,714,86114,522,820Actual Sales/ month2,616,1202,892,8254,447,4048,804,25013,885,56012,803,8957,575,0097,575,0095,031,0004,447,4043,531,7622,767,050

Base ModelBASE CASE MODEL ExhibitLocationSummary of Forecast ParametersA19Forecast of Income StatementsA38Forecast of Balance SheetsA58Schedule of Cash Receipts and DisbursementsA79Forecast of T-AccountsA125Monthly Actual Sales and Forecasted SalesA161Historical Income StatementsA182Historical Balance SheetsA199Cycle AssumptionsU161GraphV71..AD89

Exhibit 11KOTA FIBRES, LTD.

Assumptions--Ratio of: Income Tax/Profit Before Tax30% Excise Tax/Sales15% This Month Collections of Last Month's Sales40% This Month Collections of Month-before-Last Sales60% Purchases/Two Months Advance Sales55% Wages/Purchases34%Annual Operating Expenses/Annual Sales6.00%Capital Expenditures (every third month)350,000Interest Rate on Borrowings (and deposits)14.5%Minimum Cash Balance750,000Depreciation/Gross PP&E (per year)10% (per month)0.83%Dividends Paid (every third month)500,000

EXHIBIT 8KOTA FIBRES, LTD.Monthly Forecast of Income StatementsPro Forma(In Rupees)JanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecemberThe YearGross Sales2,616,1202,892,8254,447,4048,804,25013,885,56017,588,37616,315,5338,572,8245,031,0004,447,4043,531,7622,767,05090,900,108JanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecemberExcise Taxes392,418433,924667,1111,320,6382,082,8342,638,2562,447,3301,285,924754,650667,111529,764415,05813,635,016Sales2,616,1202,892,8254,447,4048,804,25013,885,56017,588,37616,315,5338,572,8245,031,0004,447,4043,531,7622,767,050Net Sales2,223,7022,458,9013,780,2937,483,61311,802,72614,950,12013,868,2037,286,9004,276,3503,780,2933,001,9982,351,99377,265,092A/R2,773,3493,291,5425,012,14410,301,73717,997,15524,748,75725,697,60417,191,1899,003,7396,295,0495,029,2493,715,152Cost of Goods Sold1,928,0802,132,0123,277,7376,488,73210,233,65812,962,63312,024,5486,318,1713,707,8473,277,7372,602,9092,039,31666,993,380Inv2,308,1355,850,12511,855,84117,637,31519,666,22714,469,6526,815,2723,883,9702,950,2571,854,8371,639,8922,225,373Gross Profit295,622326,889502,557994,8801,569,0681,987,4861,843,655968,729568,503502,557399,089312,67710,271,712A/P1,614,5534,010,8196,805,5398,842,0888,142,0243,883,5341,935,5311,614,5531,110,950690,3591,039,0071,157,298Operating Expenses454,501454,501454,501454,501454,501454,501454,501454,501454,501454,501454,501454,5015,454,006n/p1,146,2692,962,6238,767,03117,419,37926,997,55732,950,66527,167,19315,795,7938,352,8995,002,0113,278,0553,463,702Depreciation84,13084,13087,04787,04787,04789,96489,96489,96492,88092,88092,88095,7971,073,731Interest Expense (Income) (1)11,05824,82570,867158,210268,352362,187363,212259,568145,89880,68650,02540,7311,835,620Profit Before Taxes(254,068)(236,566)(109,858)295,123759,1681,080,835935,979164,697(124,776)(125,510)(198,317)(278,352)1,908,354 Income Taxes(76,220)(70,970)(32,957)88,537227,751324,251280,79449,409(37,433)(37,653)(59,495)(83,506)572,506Net Profit(177,847)(165,596)(76,900)206,586531,418756,585655,185115,288(87,343)(87,857)(138,822)(194,847)1,335,848(1) Interest expense = Notes Payable * 16%/12 months.=EXHIBIT 8 -contd-KOTA FIBRES, LTD.Forecasted Monthly Balance Sheets for 1990(In Rupees)JanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecemberAssetsCash (1)750,000750,000750,000750,000750,000750,000750,000750,000750,000750,000750,000750,000Accounts Receivable (2)2,773,3493,291,5425,012,14410,301,73717,997,15524,748,75725,697,60417,191,1899,003,7396,295,0495,029,2493,715,152Inventories (3)2,308,1355,850,12511,855,84117,637,31519,666,22714,469,6526,815,2723,883,9702,950,2571,854,8371,639,8922,225,373 Total Current Assets5,831,4849,891,66717,617,98528,689,05338,413,38239,968,40933,262,87621,825,15912,703,9968,899,8867,419,1426,690,525Net Prop. Plant & Equip.8,527,2388,443,1078,706,0608,619,0138,531,9668,792,0028,702,0398,612,0758,869,1958,776,3148,683,4348,937,637 Total Assets14,358,72218,334,77426,324,04537,308,06646,945,34848,760,41141,964,91430,437,23421,573,19117,676,20016,102,57615,628,162Liabilities and Owners' EquityAccounts Payable (5)1,614,5534,010,8196,805,5398,842,0888,142,0243,883,5341,935,5311,614,5531,110,950690,3591,039,0071,157,298Note Payable- Bank (6)1,146,2692,962,6238,767,03117,419,37926,997,55732,950,66527,167,19315,795,7938,352,8995,002,0113,278,0553,463,702Accrued Taxes (7)(76,220)(147,190)(180,148)(91,611)136,1400280,794330,2030(37,653)(97,148)(180,654) Total Current Liabilities2,684,6026,826,25115,392,42226,169,85735,275,72136,834,20029,383,51817,740,5499,463,8505,654,7164,219,9144,440,346Shareholders' Equity (9)11,674,12011,508,52310,931,62311,138,20911,669,62711,926,21112,581,39712,696,68412,109,34112,021,48411,882,66211,187,815 Total Liabilities & Equity14,358,72218,334,77426,324,04537,308,06646,945,34848,760,41141,964,91430,437,23421,573,19117,676,20016,102,57615,628,162

EXHIBIT 9KOTA FIBRES, LTD.Schedule of Cash Receipts and Disbursements(In Rupees)JanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecemberJanuaryFebruaryAssume:Sales2,616,1202,892,8254,447,4048,804,25013,885,56017,588,37616,315,5338,572,8245,031,0004,447,4043,531,7622,767,0503,400,9563,616,031Purchases (1)1,591,0542,446,0724,842,3387,637,0589,673,6078,973,5434,715,0532,767,0502,446,0721,942,4691,521,8781,870,5261,988,817Debt Outstanding684,1021,146,2692,962,6238,767,03117,419,37926,997,55732,950,66527,167,19315,795,7938,352,8995,002,0113,278,0553,463,702Receipts:Accts Rcvble Collected2,515,5002,374,6322,726,8023,514,6576,190,14210,836,77415,366,68617,079,23913,218,4497,156,0944,797,5624,081,147New Borrowings (Repayments)462,1661,816,3545,804,4088,652,3499,578,1785,953,108(5,783,473)(11,371,400)(7,442,894)(3,350,889)(1,723,956)185,647Disburs.:Accounts Paid (2)1,591,0542,446,0724,842,3387,637,0589,673,6078,973,5434,715,0532,767,0502,446,0721,942,4691,521,8781,870,526Capital Expenditures00350,00000350,00000350,00000350,000Interest Payments11,05824,82570,867158,210268,352362,187363,212259,568145,89880,68650,02540,731Excise Tax Paid392,418433,924667,1111,320,6382,082,8342,638,2562,447,3301,285,924754,650667,111529,764415,058Operating Expenses454,501454,501454,501454,501454,501454,501454,501454,501454,501454,501454,501454,501Accrued Income Tax Paid00000460,39000292,770000Wages540,958831,6651,646,3952,596,6003,289,0263,051,0051,603,118940,797831,665660,439517,438635,979Dividends00500,00000500,00000500,00000500,000Subtotal: Disbursements2,989,9894,190,9868,531,21012,167,00515,768,32016,789,8829,583,2145,707,8395,775,5553,805,2063,073,6064,266,794Receipts - Disbursements(12,323)00000000000

BOP Cash Balance762,323750,000750,000750,000750,000750,000750,000750,000750,000750,000750,000750,000EOP Cash Balance762,323750,000750,000750,000750,000750,000750,000750,000750,000750,000750,000750,000750,000(1) Equal to 55 percent of sales in period (T+1).(2) Equal to purchases in period (T-1).

Exhibit 10KOTA FIBRES, LTD.Forecasted T-Accounts Supporting Financial Statements(In Rupees)JanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember1. Schedule of Accounts ReceivableBeginning of Period2,672,7292,773,3493,291,5425,012,14410,301,73717,997,15524,748,75725,697,60417,191,1899,003,7396,295,0495,029,249 Plus Sales2,616,1202,892,8254,447,4048,804,25013,885,56017,588,37616,315,5338,572,8245,031,0004,447,4043,531,7622,767,050 Less Collections, Last Month (1)885,4561,046,4481,157,1301,778,9623,521,7005,554,2247,035,3506,526,2133,429,1302,012,4001,778,9621,412,705 Less Collections, Month before Last (2)1,630,0441,328,1841,569,6721,735,6952,668,4425,282,5508,331,33610,553,0269,789,3205,143,6943,018,6002,668,442End of Period2,773,3493,291,5425,012,14410,301,73717,997,15524,748,75725,697,60417,191,1899,003,7396,295,0495,029,2493,715,152(1) 40% of sales in period (T-1).(2) 60% of sales in period (T-2).

2. Schedule of InventoriesBeginning of Period1,249,1852,308,1355,850,12511,855,84117,637,31519,666,22714,469,6526,815,2723,883,9702,950,2571,854,8371,639,892 Plus Purchases (1)1,591,0542,446,0724,842,3387,637,0589,673,6078,973,5434,715,0532,767,0502,446,0721,942,4691,521,8781,870,5261,988,817 Plus Labor540,958831,6651,646,3952,596,6003,289,0263,051,0051,603,118940,797831,665660,439517,438635,979 Less Shipments (COGS)1,928,0802,132,0123,277,7376,488,73210,233,65812,962,63312,024,5486,318,1713,707,8473,277,7372,602,9092,039,316End of Period2,308,1355,850,12511,855,84117,637,31519,666,22714,469,6526,815,2723,883,9702,950,2571,854,8371,639,8922,225,3733. Schedule of Accounts PayableBeginning of Period759,5351,614,5534,010,8196,805,5398,842,0888,142,0243,883,5341,935,5311,614,5531,110,950690,3591,039,007 + Purchases (1)2,446,0724,842,3387,637,0589,673,6078,973,5434,715,0532,767,0502,446,0721,942,4691,521,8781,870,5261,988,817 - Payments (2)1,591,0542,446,0724,842,3387,637,0589,673,6078,973,5434,715,0532,767,0502,446,0721,942,4691,521,8781,870,526End of Period1,614,5534,010,8196,805,5398,842,0888,142,0243,883,5341,935,5311,614,5531,110,950690,3591,039,0071,157,298(1) Equal to 55 percent of sales in period (T+1).(2) Equal to purchases in period (T-1).4. Schedule of Shareholder's EquityBeginning of Period11,851,96711,674,12011,508,52310,931,62311,138,20911,669,62711,926,21112,581,39712,696,68412,109,34112,021,48411,882,662 Plus Net Profit(177,847)(165,596)(76,900)206,586531,418756,585655,185115,288(87,343)(87,857)(138,822)(194,847) Less Dividends00500,00000500,00000500,00000500,000End of Period11,674,12011,508,52310,931,62311,138,20911,669,62711,926,21112,581,39712,696,68412,109,34112,021,48411,882,66211,187,8155. Schedule of Accrued TaxesBeginning of Period0(76,220)(147,190)(180,148)(91,611)136,1400280,794330,2030(37,653)(97,148) Plus Monthly Tax Expense (@ 30%)(76,220)(70,970)(32,957)88,537227,751324,251280,79449,409(37,433)(37,653)(59,495)(83,506) Less Quarterly Tax Payments00000460,39000292,770000End of Period(76,220)(147,190)(180,148)(91,611)136,1400280,794330,2030(37,653)(97,148)(180,654)6. Schedule of Property, Plant and EquipmentBeginning Gross PP&E10,095,64610,095,64610,095,64610,445,64610,445,64610,445,64610,795,64610,795,64610,795,64611,145,64611,145,64611,145,646127,447,752 Plus Capital Expenditures00350,00000350,00000350,00000350,0001,400,000Ending Gross PP&E10,095,64610,095,64610,095,64610,445,64610,445,64610,445,64610,795,64610,795,64610,795,64611,145,64611,145,64611,145,64611,495,646128,847,752 Monthly Depreciation Expense84,13084,13087,04787,04787,04789,96489,96489,96492,88092,88092,88095,7971,073,731 Less Cumulative Depr'n.1,484,2781,568,4081,652,5391,739,5861,826,6331,913,6802,003,6442,093,6072,183,5712,276,4512,369,3322,462,2122,558,00926,131,951Ending Net PP&E8,611,3688,527,2388,443,1078,706,0608,619,0138,531,9668,792,0028,702,0398,612,0758,869,1958,776,3148,683,4348,937,637104,200,079

Exhibit 1HISTORICAL CYCLE100.0115.0170.0350.0600.0760.0705.0355.0200.0170.0135.0110.0SENGUPTA FIBRES, LTD.FORECAST CYCLE130.0125.0130.0125.0115.0115.0115.0120.0125.0130.0130.0125.0Monthly Sales for 2000 and 2001(in million Rupees)2000.02001.0(historical)(forecast)January2,012,4002,616,120February2,314,2602,892,825March3,421,0804,447,404April7,043,4008,804,250May12,074,40013,885,560June15,294,24017,588,376July14,187,42016,315,533August7,144,0208,572,824TOTALSeptember4,024,8005,031,0002000 (historical)75,867,4802,012,4002,314,2603,421,0807,043,40012,074,40015,294,24014,187,4207,144,0204,024,8003,421,0802,716,7402,213,640October3,421,0804,447,404November2,716,7403,531,7622001 (forecast)90,900,1082,616,1202,892,8254,447,4048,804,25013,885,56017,588,37616,315,5338,572,8245,031,0004,447,4043,531,7622,767,050December2,213,6402,767,050GROSS UP RATIO1.0Year75,867,48090,900,108

Exhibit 2SENGUPTA FIBRES, LTD.Historical Annual Income Statements(In Rupees)1999.02000.02001.0(Actual)(Actual)(Forecast)Gross Sales64,487,35875,867,48090,900,108Excise Tax9,673,10411,380,12213,635,016Net Sales54,814,25464,487,35877,265,092Cost of Goods44,496,27753,865,91166,993,380Gross Profits10,317,97710,621,44710,271,712Operating Expenses3,497,3054,828,7215,454,006Depreciation769,103908,6081,073,731Interest Expense910,0481,240,0661,835,620Profit Before Tax5,141,5213,644,0521,908,354Income Tax1,542,4561,093,216572,506Net Profit3,599,0652,550,8361,335,848

Exhibit 3SENGUPTA FIBRES, LTD.Historical Balance Sheets(In Rupees)2000.02001.0(Actual)(Forecast)Cash762,323750,000Accounts Receivable2,672,7293,715,152Inventories1,249,1852,225,373 Total Current Assets4,684,2376,690,525Gross PP&E10,095,64611,495,646 Accumulated Depreciation1,484,2782,558,009Net PP&E8,611,3688,937,637 Total Assets13,295,60515,628,162Accounts Payable759,5351,157,298Notes to Bank (Deposits at Bank)684,1023,463,702Accrued Taxes0.0(180,654) Total Current Liabilities1,443,6374,440,346Owners' Equity11,851,96711,187,815 Total Liabilities and Equity13,295,60415,628,162=======Debt Trial BalancesFrom Balance Sheet1,146,2692,962,6238,767,03117,419,37926,997,55732,950,66527,167,19315,795,7938,352,8995,002,0113,278,0553,463,702From CR&D1,146,2692,962,6238,767,03117,419,37926,997,55732,950,66527,167,19315,795,7938,352,8995,002,0113,278,0553,463,702DIFFERENCE000000000000

MayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember00000000000000000000000000000000ERROR:#REF!ERROR:#REF!ERROR:#REF!ERROR:#REF!ERROR:#REF!ERROR:#REF!ERROR:#REF!ERROR:#REF!================JanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecemberSalesERROR:#REF!ERROR:#REF!ERROR:#REF!ERROR:#REF!ERROR:#REF!ERROR:#REF!ERROR:#REF!ERROR:#REF!ERROR:#REF!ERROR:#REF!ERROR:#REF!ERROR:#REF!A/RERROR:#REF!ERROR:#REF!ERROR:#REF!ERROR:#REF!ERROR:#REF!ERROR:#REF!ERROR:#REF!ERROR:#REF!ERROR:#REF!ERROR:#REF!ERROR:#REF!ERROR:#REF!InvERROR:#REF!ERROR:#REF!ERROR:#REF!ERROR:#REF!ERROR:#REF!ERROR:#REF!ERROR:#REF!ERROR:#REF!ERROR:#REF!ERROR:#REF!ERROR:#REF!ERROR:#REF!A/PERROR:#REF!ERROR:#REF!ERROR:#REF!ERROR:#REF!ERROR:#REF!ERROR:#REF!ERROR:#REF!ERROR:#REF!ERROR:#REF!ERROR:#REF!ERROR:#REF!ERROR:#REF!n/pERROR:#REF!ERROR:#REF!ERROR:#REF!ERROR:#REF!ERROR:#REF!ERROR:#REF!ERROR:#REF!ERROR:#REF!ERROR:#REF!ERROR:#REF!ERROR:#REF!ERROR:#REF!================JanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecemberSales2,616,1202,892,8254,447,4048,804,25013,885,56012,803,8957,575,0097,575,0095,031,0004,447,4043,531,7622,767,050A/R2,773,3493,291,5425,012,14410,301,73717,997,15519,964,27614,086,39110,949,0598,405,0506,295,0495,029,2493,715,152Inv6,410,89917,777,54334,307,32047,678,49050,139,65647,634,57447,025,72445,559,95247,638,88852,615,59562,243,91377,205,089A/P758,4282,485,4825,079,5365,479,1884,488,7784,290,9692,400,7672,186,5141,385,123997,6531,062,9281,002,041n/p6,342,32916,767,34433,529,48951,765,54662,488,25562,762,48758,497,08854,388,78156,128,80660,036,76069,170,04084,800,065================