Kim Kelly – NWRO GIS SpecialistGene Lonning – NWRO Fuels

SpecialistMarch 2009

Northwest Regional OfficeRisk Assessment

National Risk Assessment Low Resolution – Budget

DecisionsExamples: EMDS and BIA National RA

Risk Assessments Scale & Purpose

Regional Risk AssessmentModerate Resolution -

Budget DecisionsExamples: Florida State RA,

NWRO Regional RA

Local Reservation Risk Assessment

High Resolution - Project Level Fuels Planning

Examples: Spokane, CSKT, Warm Springs, CDA

Risk Assessment Inputs

Risk Elements and Datasets

Fire Hazard Values at Risk

Fire Probability Performance

Silvis WUI

Timber Value

Values atRisk

All Fire Starts

Large Fires > 100ac

PS Dryness Level

FireProbability

Fire Regime Groups

FRCC

Performance

Risk Elements & Classification

Fire Behavior Analysis

Fire HazardFire Behavior Analysis

Landfire Data Not Calibrated

Composite Output Crown Fire, Surface Fire, Flame Length

Extreme Fire Conditions 20ft winds @ 25 mph

Fuel Moisture File1hr, 10hr, 100hr, LH, LW

1 3 3 7 15 602 3 3 7 15 604 3 3 7 15 605 3 3 7 15 606 3 3 7 15 607 3 3 7 15 608 5 5 6 30 609 4 4 5 30 6010 5 5 6 30 6011 4 4 5 30 6012 4 4 5 30 60

Fire Behavior Acres

Fire Hazard Map

Fire Probability

Fire Probability MapFire Occurrence

Fire Probability MapLarge Fire + Predictive Services Dryness Levels

Values at Risk – Forest Timber Types

Forest Timber Type MapForest Timber Types

Values at Risk – Silvis WUI

Silvis WUI MapSilvis WUI Acres

Agency/Reservation Acres

Siletz - Grand Ronde, Coquille, Siletz 1489

Olympic Peninsula/ Puget Sound / Metlakatla 57465

Siletz - Cow Creek 75

QIN 35576

Ft. Hall 227374

Nez Perce 630528

Umatilla 131834

Coeur d'Alene 198596

Warm Springs 110521

Yakama 584953

Spokane 97322

CKST 731474

Colville 287486

Ecosystem Performance MapFire Regime Groups

Ecosystem Performance MapFRCC

Overall Risk Map

Overall Risk Acres by Reservation

NWR Pre-Assessment Ranking