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Work programme on WP4: Monitoring of

EU and national energy efficiency targets

B Lapillonne, Enerdata

W Eichhammer, Joachim Schleich,

Fraunhofer-ISI

Kick-off meeting of the project

“Monitoring of EU and national energy

efficiency targets” (ODYSSEE-MURE

2010)

Madrid, 21/22 June 2010

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Content of WP4: Monitoring of EU and national energy efficiency targets

Task 4.1 Overview of overall and sectoral energy efficiency targets by country

Task 4.2 Interpretation of the energy savings for ESD end-use and sub-sectors

in relation with the energy consumption variation

Task 4.3 Identification of energy efficiency savings from the EU ETS through

top-down indicators

Objectives:

Give an overview of overall and sectoral energy efficiency targets by country;

Help Member States in:

monitoring these targets;

In the interpretation of the variation of the energy consumption by sector

In understanding the interaction between the ESD and the ETS scheme.

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Task 4.1: Overview of overall and sectoral energy efficiency targets by country

Overall national targets and sectoral targets (e.g. in public sector, in existing

dwellings).

The targets may be expressed in:

o volume of energy saved (e.g. in GWh such as for ESD),

o in terms of annual rate of improvement over a period (e.g. +3%/year),

oor in absolute terms for a given year (e.g. 20% energy efficiency improvement

in 2020)

For each of the targets, a top-down indicator will be identified, either already

calculated or proposed.

Information collected from a short survey at the beginning of the project prefilled

from cross-cutting measures in MURE data base

Prefilled survey form to be completed by national teams

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Task 4.1: Overview of overall and sectoral energy efficiency targets by country: case of France

National Energy Efficiency Action

PlanFinal consumers

Energy savings

(rate)9% 2016

Energy law(2005-781)- Loi POPE

Final consumersEnergy intensity

reduction-2%/year 2010

Final consumersEnergy intensity

reduction-2,5%/year 2015

Final consumersEnergy

consumption

growth

0%

(stabilizatio

n)

2050

Obligation of energy savings for

energy companies Final consumers

Energy savings

(volume)54 TWh

2006-

2009

Grenelle de l'Environment 2008 New buildings MEPS

15

kWh/m2/ye

ar

2020

Grenelle de l'Environment 2008 Existing buildingsThermal

retroffiting

400 000

/year2020

Grenelle de l'Environment 2008 Public sectorThermal

retroffiting120 M m2 2020

EU draft regulation Lighting lamps/CFL Ban 2012

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Task 4. 2: Interpretation of the energy savings for ESD end-use and sub-sectors in relation with the energy consumption variation

This task will consist in developing guidelines for member countries on how

to interpret the variation of the energy consumption by sector.

ESD is focusing in measuring energy savings; however what matters

ultimately is the amount of energy consumed by sector and the related

emissions.

The guidelines will draw a scheme to decompose the energy consumption

of the different sectors in various explanatory factors (of which energy

savings), based on top-down indicators, and will propose an Excel template

that can be used by the countries to make their own analysis.

The Excel template and the guidelines will then be tested by the WP leader

on a sample of countries that will be volunteers.

Drivers of the variation in heating consumption per dwelling in the EU27

All indicators at normal climate

Larger dwellings

(+0.4 m2/year on

average) and

diffusion of central

heating in the south

of Europe, have

offset the equivalent

of 80% of the energy

efficiency gains

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Decomposition of energy consumption variation for goods:

EU-27

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

1990-2007 1990-2000 2000-2007

Mto

e

consumption variation activity energy savings modal shift

Drivers of the variation of the final energy consumption in the EU

-200

-150

-100

-50

0

50

100

150

200

250

Va

ria

tio

n c

on

su

mp

tio

n

Activity e

ffe

ct

Life

sty

les

Str

uctu

re e

ffe

ct

En

erg

y s

avin

gs

Clim

ate

effe

ct

Oth

er

Mto

e

1997-2007

Drivers of the variation of the final energy consumption in the EU: effect of economic growth

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Mo

re in

du

str

ial

pro

du

ctio

n

Mo

re d

we

llin

gs

Mo

re tra

ffic

Mo

re e

mp

loye

es

in s

erv

ice

s

Mto

e

1997-2007

Objectif d’efficacité énergétique de l‘UE à 2020

Primary energy intensity reduction (%/year)

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WP4.3 Identification of energy efficiency savings from the EU ETS through top-down indicators

Objective: analyze main interacting mechanisms between Energy Saving

Directive (ESD) and EU ETS (electricity savings/savings industrial sector);

interaction map with other instruments

Why this question is important? Why is it useful to try to develop a

methodology to evaluate the energy savings from the ETS with the Odyssee

Indicators?

Although there are detailed plant by plant data on CO2 emissions in the

Community Independent Transaction Log CITL, they cannot be used to evaluate

impacts because of the lack of activity data on plant level.

Therefore, methods need to be developed to separate energy savings from the

ETS from other developments, including also savings under the ESD.

The separation of ETS impacts from other instruments to promote energy

efficiency and renewables becomes increasingly important.

First trial to develop an indicator-based approach in the project “Quantification of

the effects on greenhouse gas emissions of policies and measures”. Development

of a so-called “Tiered approach”. However, the indicators were to aggregate to

deliver reasonable results.

New approach with the more detailed indicators from Odyssee.

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WP4.3 Identification of energy efficiency savings from the EU ETS through top-down indicators

Detailed top-down approach to establish energy savings from the ETS

(energy sector, industry, electricity savings all sectors) Base work on ODEX analysis: change in ODEX 2005-2008 as compared to

historic development interpreted as effect of EU ETS but…

Energy sector: need to establish transformation ODEX, especially electricity

generation. Three possible effects of ETS: energy efficiency in transformation,

renewables, CHP. However, also interaction with other policy instruments (e.g.

renewables feed-in tariffs)

Industry sector: industry ODEX; need to separate the non-ETS industries

(question of electricity consumption of ETS companies)

Electricity savings in all sectors: electricity savings ODEX; question of pass-

through of CO2-price on electricity price; interaction with other instruments to

save electricity (labels, eco-design standards). Problem to define electricity

savings from the ODEX

Case studies on EU and possibly some selected countries

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WP4 Monitoring of EU and national energy efficiency targets

Deliverables

D.4.1: Report on existing energy efficiency targets by country (September 2010, +

updates once a year based on the analysis of the MURE database)

D4.2 Guidelines and Excel template for the interpretation of the top-down energy

savings for ESD in relation with the energy consumption variation (May- October

2011)

D4.3 Report on the identification of energy efficiency savings from the EU ETS

through top-down indicators (5-10 pages; February 2011)