july - december 2012 biannual economic and capacity survey
TRANSCRIPT
July - December 2012
Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey
Firm distribution based on Annual Turnover(based on responses received)
Category by gross annual income
% of firms
0 – R1,5m 11.8%
R1,5m – R11,5m 53.9%
> R11,5m 34.2%
Total 100.0%
0-1.514.0%
1.5-11.552.1%
>11.533.8%
Firm distribution based on turnover
Category by gross annual income
% of firms
0 – R1,5m 14.7%
R1,5m – R11,5m 54.7%
> R11,5m 30.5%
Total 100.0%
July – December 2012 January – June 2012
0-1.511.8%
1.5-11.554.0%
>11.534.2%
Firm distribution based on turnover
Profile of respondents – by firm sizeBased on full and part time employment
Large (>100)20%
Medium (20 - 100)36%
Small (10 - 20)21%
Micro (< 10)24%
Economic Impact CESA Membership earnings % of GDP
Source: RBQN, CESA BECS, Industry Insight
JUN97
DEC97
JUN98
DEC98
JUN99
DEC99
JUN00
DEC00
JUN01
DEC01
JUN02
DEC02
JUN03
DEC03
JUN04
DEC04
JUN05
DEC05
JUN06
DEC06
JUN07
DEC07
JUN08
DEC08
JUN09
DEC09
JUN10
DEC10
JUN11
DEC11
JUN12
DEC12
0.0%
0.1%
0.2%
0.3%
0.4%
0.5%
0.6%
0.7%
Fee earnings vs Gross Fixed Capital Formation
Source: RBQN, CESA BECS, Industry Insight
Fee income, Rm Constant 2000 pricesAnnualised | Deflator = CPI
Jun-96 Dec-97 Jun-99 Dec-00 Jun-02 Dec-03 Jun-05 Dec-06 Jun-08 Dec-09 Jun-11 Dec-120
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
Source: CESA BECS
Real Fee income, Rm 2000 pricesAnnual Change | Deflator = CPI
Source: CESA BECS
Jun-97
Dec-97Jun-98
Dec-98Jun-99
Dec-99Jun-00
Dec-00Jun-11
Dec-11Jun-11
Dec-11Jun-11
Dec-11Jun-11
Dec-11Jun-11
Dec-11Jun-11
Dec-11Jun-11
Dec-11Jun-11
Dec-11Jun-11
Dec-11Jun-11
Dec-10Jun-11
Dec-11Jun-12
Dec-12
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
CESA Confidence Index
Source: CESA BECS
Jun-
96
Dec-9
7
Dec-9
8
Dec-9
9
Dec-0
0
Dec-0
1
Dec-0
2
Dec-0
3
Dec-0
4
Dec-0
5
Dec-0
6
Dec-0
7
Dec-0
8
Dec-0
9
Dec-1
0
Dec-1
1
Dec-1
2
Dec-1
30
20
40
60
80
100
120
-60.00%
-40.00%
-20.00%
0.00%
20.00%
40.00%
60.00%
% Change (Survey to Survey) - bar, right axis Index
Industry Confidence
Source: CESA BECS, BER
Real Fee income vs Industry confidenceDeflated using CPI
Source: CESA BECS
Jun-96Jan-97
Aug-97
Mar-9
8
Oct-98
May-9
9
Dec-99Jul-0
0
Feb-01
Sep-01
Apr-02
Nov-02Jun-03
Jan-04
Aug-04
Mar-0
5
Oct-05
May-0
6
Dec-06Jul-0
7
Feb-08
Sep-08
Apr-09
Nov-09Jun-10
Jan-11
Aug-11
Mar-1
2
Oct-12
May-1
3
Dec-13
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
Confidence Fee income Constant prices - right axis
CESA Labour Cost IndicatorYear on Year percentage change
Source: CESA BECS
Jun-98
Jan-99
Jun-99
Jan-00
Jun-00
Dec-00
Jun-01
Dec-01
Jun-02
Dec-02
Jun-03
Dec-03
Jun-04
Dec-04
Jun-05
Dec-05
Jun-06
Dec-06
Jun-07
Dec-07
Jun-08
Dec-08
Jun-09
Dec-09
Jun-10
Dec-10
Jun-11
Dec-11
Jun-12
Dec-12
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
Employment vs REAL fee income (Deflated using the CPI & LCI)
Source: CESA BECS
Dec-9
7
Dec-9
8
Dec-9
9
Dec-0
0
Dec-0
1
Dec-0
2
Dec-0
3
Dec-0
4
Dec-0
5
Dec-0
6
Dec-0
7
Dec-0
8
Dec-0
9
Dec-1
0
Dec-1
1
Dec-1
2
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
10,000
11,000
12,000
8,500
10,500
12,500
14,500
16,500
18,500
20,500
22,500
24,500
Employment Revised (right axis) Income: CPI 2000 prices
Income : CESA LCI 2005 prices
• CPI: Consumer price index• LCI : Labour Cost Indicator
Employment vs Salary & Wage bill
Source: CESA BECS
Dec-9
7
Dec-9
8
Dec-9
9
Dec-0
0
Dec-0
1
Dec-0
2
Dec-0
3
Dec-0
4
Dec-0
5
Dec-0
6
Dec-0
7
Dec-0
8
Dec-0
9
Dec-1
0
Dec-1
1
Dec-1
2
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
Salary/Wage bill (Constant) Employment - right axis
Discounting
Source: CESA BECS
JUN07 DEC07 JUN08 DEC08 JUN09 DEC09 JUN10 DEC10 JUN11 DEC11 JUN12 DEC120%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
A B C D0.00
10.00
20.00
30.00
40.00 Dec’12
Fee income earned by Sub-disciplines: % ShareDecember 2012
Agricultural
Architecture
Mechanical building Services
Civil
Electrical / Electronic
Environmental
Facilities
Geotechnical
Industrial Process / Chemical
GIS
Hydraulics
Information Systems / Tech-nology
Marine
Mechanical
Mining
Project Management
Quantity Surveying
Structural
Town planning
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Source: CESA BECS
Fee income earned by Sub-disciplines: % ShareChange in market share in the last 12 months
Agricultural
Architecture
Mechanical building Services
Civil
Electrical / Electronic
Environmental
Facilities
Geotechnical
Industrial Process / Chemical
GIS
Hydraulics
Information Systems / Technology
Marine
Mechanical
Mining
Project Management
Quantity Surveying
Structural
Town planning
-10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%
Source: CESA BECS
Fee income earned by TOP THREE disciplines: R mill 2000 pricesAnnual average: 2002 – 2012
Source: CESA BECS
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Structural 475 465 551 574 801 1233 1459 1263.89 1555 1871.1 1302.91
Proj Mang 461 320 283 356 442 495 663 783.1 814 1316.24 1335.6
Civil - right axis 1926 1745 1869 2041 2392 3234 5576 4760.46 3751 3348.7 4512.79
100
300
500
700
900
1,100
1,300
1,500
1,700
1,900
500
1,500
2,500
3,500
4,500
5,500
Structural Proj Mang Civil - right axis
Fee income earned by economic sectorPercentage market share June 2011 – December 2012
Source: CESA BECS
Wate
r
Transp
ortation
Energ
y
Mining /
Quarr
ying
Educa
tionHea
lth
Touris
m/Leisu
re
Housing
Commercial
Agricu
lture
/ Fores
try / F
ishing
Other
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
35.0%
Jun-11 Dec-11 Jun-12 Dec-12
Fee earnings by selected sectorSmoothed |2 survey average
DEC06 JUN07 DEC07 JUN08 DEC08 JUN09 DEC09 JUN10 DEC10 JUN11 DEC11 JUN12 DEC12
Water 1260.8372271773
7
1269.5550656042
3
1267.7571494794
6
1523.7704615852
7
1850.2028633973
4
1857.4342774178
4
1581.4895198090
7
1287.5935433195
9
1244.0893024242
7
1072 1073 1433 1370
Transporta-tion
1575.1082974275
2
1825.5426447354
2
1974.2229472776
2
2944.1367428534
1
3646.0321693376
3
3037.8887613815
4
2819.0418014533
7
3113.6840084041
6
3055.3836014782
4
2506 2378 2811 2672
Energy 439.91337724527
1
370.72885698509
2
325.95119226102
2
302.60464099108
6
432.84937039336
7
462.87469330205
9
275.37265316693
8
191.35156720680
1
239.00260431499
6
522 1085 1329 932
Housing 451.59326342005
9
503.11773671697
6
689.81699516942
6
836.11100866767
6
710.11515052456
7
801.32272077685
7
1058.8513069958
5
1087.2309022476
8
1286.9331953735
6
1303 971 684 579
Commercial 1302.6875801818
6
1240.0497168762
7
1730.6345450459
5
1827.9156651681
5
2124.1351873455
6
2056.8290574079
8
1970.1523292020
4
2210.9100134578
5
1750.3974185147
8
1808 1812 1642 1607
250
750
1,250
1,750
2,250
2,750
3,250
3,750
Source: CESA BECS
Fee earnings by sectorRm Constant prices
JUN07
DEC07
JUN08
DEC08
JUN09
DEC09
JUN10
DEC10
JUN11
DEC11
JUN12
DEC12
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
OtherAgriculture / Forestry / FishingCommercialHousingTourism/LeisureHealthEducationMining / QuarryingEnergyTransportationWater
Source: CESA BECS
Fee income earned by key economic sectorsJune 2005 – December 2012
Jun-
05
Feb-
06
Oct-0
6
Jun-
07
Feb-
08
Oct-0
8
Jun-
09
Feb-
10
Oct-1
0
Jun-
11
Feb-
12
Oct-1
20
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
Housing
Jun-
05
Feb-
06
Oct-0
6
Jun-
07
Feb-
08
Oct-0
8
Jun-
09
Feb-
10
Oct-1
0
Jun-
11
Feb-
12
Oct-1
20
200400600800
1,0001,2001,4001,6001,8002,000
Water
Jun-0
5
Jun-0
6
Jun-0
7
Jun-0
8
Jun-0
9
Jun-1
0
Jun-1
1
Jun-1
20
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
Transportation
Jun-
05
Feb-
06
Oct-0
6
Jun-
07
Feb-
08
Oct-0
8
Jun-
09
Feb-
10
Oct-1
0
Jun-
11
Feb-
12
Oct-1
20
200400600800
1,0001,2001,4001,600
Energy
Jun-
05
Mar
-06
Dec-0
6
Sep-
07
Jun-
08
Mar
-09
Dec-0
9
Sep-
10
Jun-
11
Mar
-12
Dec-1
20
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
Commercial
Source: CESA BECS
Jun-
05
Feb-
06
Oct-0
6
Jun-
07
Feb-
08
Oct-0
8
Jun-
09
Feb-
10
Oct-1
0
Jun-
11
Feb-
12
Oct-1
20
50
100
150
200
250
300
Health
E-Cape W-Cape
N-Cape F State N-W Lim Gaut Mpu Kwaz Africa Int'l E-Cape W-Cape
N-Cape F State N-W Lim Gaut Mpu Kwaz Africa Int'l
% Share
5.3 17.2 1.6 3 1.4 2.4 38.7 7.1 12 8.5 2.8
Change last 12 months
-0.4 -0.19999999999999
9
-0.6 -0.6 0 -0.7 0.5 2.5 1 -2.6 1.1
2.50
7.50
12.50
17.50
22.50
27.50
32.50
37.50
42.50
-3
-2
-1
1
2
3
% Share Change last 12 months
% S
hare
(b
ar)
Provincial Market Share: June 2012Vs change in market share from December 2011
GAI
N
mar
ket s
hare
Source: CESA BECS
Fee income earned by provinceHigh Capacity economies |TREND Annualised smoothed
Dec-98
Jun-99
Dec-99
Jun-00
Dec-00
Jun-01
Dec-01
Jun-02
Dec-02
Jun-03
Dec-03
Jun-04
Dec-04
Jun-05
Dec-05
Jun-06
Dec-06
Jun-07
Dec-07
Jun-08
Dec-08
Jun-09
Dec-09
Jun-10
Dec-10
Jun-11
Dec-11
Jun-12
Dec-12
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
Eastern Cape Western Cape Gauteng Kwazulu Natal
Source: CESA BECS
Fee income earned by provinceJune 2005 – June 2012 | Rm constant prices
Dec-9
8
Mar
-00
Jun-
01
Sep-
02
Dec-0
3
Mar
-05
Jun-
06
Sep-
07
Dec-0
8
Mar
-10
Jun-
11
Sep-
120
100200300400500600700800900
1,000
Eastern Cape
Source: CESA BECS
Dec-9
8
Mar
-00
Jun-
01
Sep-
02
Dec-0
3
Mar
-05
Jun-
06
Sep-
07
Dec-0
8
Mar
-10
Jun-
11
Sep-
120
200400600800
1,0001,2001,4001,6001,800
Western Cape
Dec-9
8
Mar
-00
Jun-
01
Sep-
02
Dec-0
3
Mar
-05
Jun-
06
Sep-
07
Dec-0
8
Mar
-10
Jun-
11
Sep-
120
50
100
150
200
250
Northern Cape
Dec-9
8
Mar
-00
Jun-
01
Sep-
02
Dec-0
3
Mar
-05
Jun-
06
Sep-
07
Dec-0
8
Mar
-10
Jun-
11
Sep-
120
50100150200250300350400450
Free State
Dec-9
8
Mar
-00
Jun-
01
Sep-
02
Dec-0
3
Mar
-05
Jun-
06
Sep-
07
Dec-0
8
Mar
-10
Jun-
11
Sep-
120
50100150200250300350400450
North West
Dec-9
8
Mar
-00
Jun-
01
Sep-
02
Dec-0
3
Mar
-05
Jun-
06
Sep-
07
Dec-0
8
Mar
-10
Jun-
11
Sep-
120
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
Limpopo
Fee income earned by provinceJune 2005 – June 2012 | Rm constant prices
Dec-9
8
Apr-0
0
Aug-
01
Dec-0
2
Apr-0
4
Aug-
05
Dec-0
6
Apr-0
8
Aug-
09
Dec-1
0
Apr-1
20
5001,0001,5002,0002,5003,0003,5004,0004,500
Gauteng
Source: CESA BECS
Dec-9
8
Mar
-00
Jun-
01
Sep-
02
Dec-0
3
Mar
-05
Jun-
06
Sep-
07
Dec-0
8
Mar
-10
Jun-
11
Sep-
120
100
200
300
400
500
600
Mpumalanga
Dec-9
8
Mar
-00
Jun-
01
Sep-
02
Dec-0
3
Mar
-05
Jun-
06
Sep-
07
Dec-0
8
Mar
-10
Jun-
110
200400600800
1,0001,2001,4001,6001,8002,000
Kwazulu Natal
Dec-9
8
Mar
-00
Jun-
01
Sep-
02
Dec-0
3
Mar
-05
Jun-
06
Sep-
07
Dec-0
8
Mar
-10
Jun-
11
Sep-
120
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
Africa
Dec-9
8
Mar
-00
Jun-
01
Sep-
02
Dec-0
3
Mar
-05
Jun-
06
Sep-
07
Dec-0
8
Mar
-10
Jun-
11
Sep-
120
100
200
300
400
500
600
International
Dec-9
8
Apr-0
0
Aug-
01
Dec-0
2
Apr-0
4
Aug-
05
Dec-0
6
Apr-0
8
Aug-
09
Dec-1
0
Apr-1
20
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
Total Fee Earnings
Fee income earned (Constant 2000 prices)High Capacity vs lower capacity provincial economies |Smoothed
Dec-98
Jun-99
Dec-99
Jun-00
Dec-00
Jun-01
Dec-01
Jun-02
Dec-02
Jun-03
Dec-03
Jun-04
Dec-04
Jun-05
Dec-05
Jun-06
Dec-06
Jun-07
Dec-07
Jun-08
Dec-08
Jun-09
Dec-09
Jun-10
Dec-10
Jun-11
Dec-11
Jun-12
Dec-12
0.00
50.00
100.00
150.00
200.00
250.00
300.00
Lower Capacity High CapacityIndex Dec-98=100
High Capacity: Gauteng, Western Cape, Eastern Cape, Kwazulu NatalLow capacity: North West, Free State, Northern Cape, Limpopo, Mpumalanga
84% of fees were earned in high capacity provinces
Source: CESA BECS
Provincial profile by economic sectorwhere fee earnings >50% of total earnings
Water (Full water cycle)
Transportation (land, air, road, rail, ports)
Energy (electricity, gas, hydro)
Mining / Quarrying
Education
Health
Tourism/Leisure
Housing (residential inc. land)
Commercial
Agriculture / Forestry / Fishing
Other
0% 20% 40% 60%
Western Cape
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
Gauteng
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%
Kwazulu Natal
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
Eastern Cape
Source: CESA BECS
Fee income earned : RSA vs EX-RSAR mill, 2000 prices | Annualised, smoothed
Dec-98Jun-99
Dec-99Jun-00
Dec-00Jun-01
Dec-01Jun-02
Dec-02Jun-03
Dec-03Jun-04
Dec-04Jun-05
Dec-05Jun-06
Dec-06Jun-07
Dec-07Jun-08
Dec-08Jun-09
Dec-09Jun-10
Dec-10Jun-11
Dec-11Jun-12
Dec-12
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
10,000
Ex-RSA - left axis RSA - right axis
88% of fees were earned in South Africa
Source: CESA BECS
Fee income earned by type of clientPercentage share as at December 2012
Central3% Provincial
5%
Local31%
Parastatals15%
Private46%
Source: CESA BECS
Fee income earned by type of clientPercentage share
Central Provincial Local Parastatals Private
Jun-09 6.4 10.7 23 9.8 50.2
Dec-09 15.7 9.9 27.4 12.8 34.2
Jun-10 16.37 13.91 20.42 12.69 36.61
Dec-10 14.8 12 18.14 11.7 43.4
Jun-11 13.6 11.8 19.8 12.1 42.7
Dec-11 5.3 7.5 26 14.3 46.9
Jun-12 8.1 14.3 22.8 20.5 34.3
Dec-12 2.8 5.3 31.2 15.2 45.5
5.0
15.0
25.0
35.0
45.0
55.0
Jun-09 Dec-09 Jun-10 Dec-10 Jun-11 Dec-11 Jun-12 Dec-12
Source: CESA BECS
Fee income earned by type of clientR mill 2000 prices | Annualised, smoothed - avg over 2 survey periods
Jun-01
Dec-01
Jun-02
Dec-02
Jun-03
Dec-03
Jun-04
Dec-04
Jun-05
Dec-05
Jun-06
Dec-06
Jun-07
Dec-07
Jun-08
Dec-08
Jun-09
Dec-09
Jun-10
Dec-10
Jun-11
Dec-11
Jun-12
Dec-12
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
5,000
Central Provincial Local Parastatals Private
Source: CESA BECS
Fee income earned by type of clientConstant 2000 prices | Annualised, smoothed - average over 2 survey periods
Jun-01
Dec-01
Jun-02
Dec-02
Jun-03
Dec-03
Jun-04
Dec-04
Jun-05
Dec-05
Jun-06
Dec-06
Jun-07
Dec-07
Jun-08
Dec-08
Jun-09
Dec-09
Jun-10
Dec-10
Jun-11
Dec-11
Jun-12
Dec-12
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
Public Private
Source: CESA BECS
Competition in tendering
DEC06 JUN07 DEC07 JUN08 DEC08 JUN09 DEC09 JUN10 DEC10 JUN11 DEC11 JUN12 DEC120.00%
10.00%
20.00%
30.00%
40.00%
50.00%
60.00%
70.00%
80.00%
Very Low Low Keen Very Keen Fierce
Source: CESA BECS
Competition in tendering
Jun-00
Dec-00
01-Jun
01-Dec
02-Jun
02-Dec
03-Jun
03-Dec
04-Jun
04-Dec
05-Jun
05-Dec
06-Jun
06-Dec
07-Jun
07-Dec
08-Jun
08-Dec
09-Jun
09-Dec
10-Jun
01-Dec
2
Jun-11
Dec-11
Jun-12
Dec-12
% 0.999
0.999
0.975
0.989
0.98
0.993
0.99
0.982
0.991
0.978
0.987
0.971
0.995
0.991
0.976
0.969
0.986
1 0.993
0.999
0.913
0.998
0.948
0.996
0.998
0.998
87.0%
89.0%
91.0%
93.0%
95.0%
97.0%
99.0%
101.0%
Source: CESA BECS
% of Firms wanting to increase staff
Eng O Tech Technologist Technicians Support staff
Jun'08 67.4 40.6 67.1 43 18.5
Dec'08 33.2 2.5 11.3 9.3 2.3
Jun'09 26.4 3.8 12.8 12.5 1.9
Dec'09 26.1 14.9 73.6 25.5 14
Jun'10 16.6 11.9 11.9 1.7 0.4
Dec'10 81.5 10.07 18.3 18.34 5.8
Jun'11 66 8.3 51.8 52.75 6.6
Dec'11 74 4.8 36 22 6.9
Jun'12 86.5 17.5 38.2 22.2 6.6
Dec'12 61.2 12.5 19.9 18.1 7.5
5.015.025.035.045.055.065.075.085.095.0
Source: CESA BECS
Engineering Skills Shortfall
Dec-97Jun-98
01-Dec
01-Jun
01-Dec2
Jun-00
Dec-00
01-Jun2
01-Dec3
02-Jun
02-Dec
03-Jun
03-Dec
04-Jun
04-Dec
05-Jun
05-Dec
06-Jun
06-Dec
07-Jun
07-Dec
08-Jun
08-Dec
09-Jun
09-Dec
10-Jun
10-Dec
Jun-11
Dec-11Jun-12
Dec-12
0.0
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
100.0
120.0
% Wanting to increase engineers % of firms experiencing difficulties in recruiting engineers
Source: CESA BECS
Recruitment problems
Eng O Tech Technolo-gist
Technicians Other PDI Eng PDI Tech PDI Techno
Dec'09 83.1 33.7 79.9 34.3 0.08 98.4 35.3 95.3
Jun'10 52.7 15.6 41.2 28.8 42.9 60.9 27.8 60.5
Dec'10 86.7 17 25 10 0.4 98 48 35
Jun'11 62.4 56 27.5 31.5 10.8 83 79 68.8
Jun'12 88 59 55 10.7 1.7 95 96.2 32.2
Dec'12 70.8 46.7 42.5 NaN 18.2 78 52.9 45.4
10.0
30.0
50.0
70.0
90.0
110.0
Source: CESA BECSNote: Data for December 2011 not available due to changes in questionnaire
BursariesPercentage of Salary and Wage bill
Jun-00
Dec-00
Jun-01
Dec-01
Jun-02
Dec-02
Jun-03
Dec-03
Jun-04
Dec-04
Jun-05
Dec-05
Jun-06
Dec-06
Jun-07
Dec-07
Jun-08
Dec-08
Jun-09
Dec-09
Jun-10
Dec-10
Jun-11
Dec-11
Jun-12
Dec-12
0.0%
0.2%
0.4%
0.6%
0.8%
1.0%
1.2%
Source: CESA BECS
Trend line – 2 year average
BursariesR mill 2000 prices (Annualised)
Source: CESA BECS
Rm
Jun-0
0
Dec-0
0
01-Jun
01-Dec
02-Jun
02-Dec
03-Jun
03-Dec
04-Jun
04-Dec
05-Jun
05-Dec
06-Jun
06-Dec
07-Jun
07-Dec
08-Jun
08-Dec
09-Jun
09-Dec
10-Jun
10-Dec
11-Jun
11-Dec
12-Jun
Dec-1
2
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Trend line – 2 year average
Training (Salaries and Direct Training Costs) Percentage of Payroll
Jun'05 Dec'05 Jun'06 Dec'06 Jun'07 Dec'07 Jun'08 Dec'08 Jun'09 Dec'09 Jun'10 Dec'10 Jun'11 Dec'11 Jun'12 Dec'120.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
35.0%
40.0%
Dat
a no
t ava
ilabl
e
Dat
a no
t ava
ilabl
e
Source: CESA BECS
Trend line – 2 year average
Training (Salaries and Direct Training Costs) Rand millions, Constant 2000 prices
Jun'05
Dec'05
Jun'06
Dec'06
Jun'07
Dec'07
Jun'08
Dec'08
Jun'09
Dec'09
Jun'10
Dec'10
Jun'11
Dec'11
Jun'12
Dec'12
0.0
500.0
1000.0
1500.0
2000.0
2500.0
3000.0
3500.0
4000.0
Dat
a no
t ava
ilabl
e
Dat
a no
t ava
ilabl
e
Source: CESA BECS
Trend line – 2 year average
Training (Direct costs)Percentage of Payroll
Dec-9
7
Dec-9
8
Dec-9
9
Dec-0
0
Dec-0
1
Dec-0
2
Dec-0
3
Dec-0
4
Dec-0
5
Dec-0
6
Dec-0
7
Dec-0
8
Dec-0
9
Dec-1
0
Dec-1
1
Dec-1
20.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
Source: CESA BECS
Trend line – 2 year average
Training (Direct costs)Rand millions, Constant 2000 prices
Dec-97Jun-98
Dec-98Jun-99
Dec-99Jun-00
Dec-00Jun-01
Dec-01Jun-02
Dec-02Jun-03
Dec-03Jun-04
Dec-04Jun-05
Dec-05Jun-06
Dec-06Jun-07
Dec-07Jun-08
Dec-08Jun-09
Dec-09Jun-10
Dec-10Jun-11
Dec-11Jun-12
Dec-12
0.0
50.0
100.0
150.0
200.0
250.0
Source: CESA BECS
Trend line – 2 year average
Jun-99
Dec-99Jun-00
Dec-00Jun-01
Dec-01Jun-02
Dec-02Jun-03
Dec-03Jun-04
Dec-04Jun-05
Dec-05Jun-06
Dec-06Jun-07
Dec-07Jun-08
Dec-08Jun-09
Dec-09Jun-10
Dec-10Jun-11
Dec-11Jun-12
Dec-12
-40.0
-20.0
0.0
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
Net % Change of respondents expecting an increase in capacity utilisationAverage Utilisation Rate
Net
% C
hang
e
Util
isati
on
Industry Capacity UtilisationOf existing technical staff
Source: CESA BECS
Total fee income outstanding for longer than 90 daysPercentage of total fee income earned
Dec-99
Jun-00
Dec-00
Jun-01
Dec-01
Jun-02
Dec-02
Jun-03
Dec-03
Jun-04
Dec-04
Jun-05
Dec-05
Jun-06
Dec-06
Jun-07
Dec-07
Jun-08
Dec-08
Jun-09
Dec-09
Jun-10
Dec-10
Jun-11
Dec-11
Jun-12
Dec-12
%7.9 11.5
11.7
6.8 9.5 7.9 8.4 15.5
15.6
14.6
16.6
15.8
13.3
12.5
11.2
10.3
11.25
11.09
13.7
9.5 18.5
23.4
15.5
18 24 9.4 8.3
2.5
7.5
12.5
17.5
22.5
27.5Including foreign clientsExcluding foreign clients
Source: CESA BECS
Trend line – 2 year average
Escalation trendsYear-on-Year Percentage Change
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
% 8.7 6.9 5.8 5.3 5.7 9.2 5.9 1.4 3.4 4.6 6.6 11.6 7.13 4.3 5 5.7 5.6 5.5 5.4
1.0
3.0
5.0
7.0
9.0
11.0
13.0
• CPI Basket Revised in January 2013• Forecasts based on latest Treasury estimates
(Budget 2013/14)
Source: Treasury estimates Budget 2013
Labour unit cost indicatorYear-on-Year % Change (Smoothed)
Source: CESA BECS
Jun-98
Dec-98
Jun-99
Dec-99
Jun-00
Dec-00
01-Jun
01-Dec
02-Jun
02-Dec
03-Jun
03-Dec
04-Jun
04-Dec
05-Jun
05-Dec
06-Jun
06-Dec
07-Jun
07-Dec
08-Jun
08-Dec
09-Jun
09-Dec
10-Jun
10-Dec
11-Jun
11-Dec
12-Jun
Dec-12
%0.152
0.114
0.225
0.218
0.092
-0.019
0.037
0.15
0.08
0.029
0.043
0.143
0.215
0.113
0.053
0.072
0.095
0.106
0.091
0.102
0.178
0.255
0.206
0.107
0.043
0.078
0.085
0.015
0.044
0.176
-2.50%
2.50%
7.50%
12.50%
17.50%
22.50%
27.50%
Labour unit cost indicatorAnnual Average Year-on-Year Percentage Change
Source: CESA BECS
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 20120.00%
5.00%
10.00%
15.00%
20.00%
25.00%
Typical Employment BreakdownJuly – December 2012
Professional Engineer Pr.Eng
Professional Architects
Professional Quantity Surveyors
Professional Other
Technologists Pr TEchENg
Technicians PrTechni
Unregistered technical staff: Engineer
Unregistered technical staff: Technologist
Unregistered technical staff: Technician
Unregistered technical staff: Other
Technical Assistants
Draughtspersons
Laboratory / Survey Assistants
Administration / Support staff
Total
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Black Coloured Asian White
Source: CESA BECS
Typical Employment profile as at December 2012
Total employment 19 964
Source: CESA BECS
Skill Dec-12 Jun-12%
ChangeAdministration 4,675 5,888 -20.6%
Draughts person 1,234 1,383 -10.8%
Lab Assistant 723 403 79.2%
Prof Arch 33 38 -12.9%Prof Eng 2,902 2,700 7.5%Prof Other 676 623 8.6%
Prof QS 27 51 -47.7%
Tech Assistant 1,430 1,207 18.5%Technician 274 352 -22.3%Technologist 567 814 -30.3%Unreg Eng 1,993 2,787 -28.5%
Unreg Tech other 2,199 1,511 45.6%
Unreg Technician 2,429 2,085 16.5%Unreg technologist 803 952 -15.7%
Grand Total 19964 20 796 -4.0%
Employment profile based on sample of surveys received
Race / Gender June 2012 December 2012 Percentage Change
Percentage Share Jun-12
Percentage Share Dec-12
Change in market share
Asian 579 577 -0.3% 6.2% 6.8% 0.6%
Female 197 170 -13.7% 2.1% 2.0% -0.1%
Male 382 407 6.5% 4.1% 4.8% 0.7%
Black 2896 2481 -14.3% 31.1% 29.3% -1.8%
Female 1014 954 -5.9% 10.9% 11.3% 0.4%
Male 1882 1527 -18.9% 20.2% 18.0% -2.2%
Coloured 679 583 -14.1% 7.3% 6.9% -0.4%
Female 296 270 -8.8% 3.2% 3.2% 0.0%
Male 383 313 -18.3% 4.1% 3.7% -0.4%
White 4823 4507 -6.6% 51.8% 53.2% 1.4%
Female 1284 1341 4.4% 13.8% 15.8% 2.0%
Male 3539 3166 -10.5% 38.0% 37.4% -0.7%
Grand Total 9307 8476 -8.9% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0%
Source: CESA BECS
07-Dec
08-Jun
08-Dec
09-Jun
09-Dec
10-Jun
10-Dec
11-Jun
11-Dec
12-Jun
Dec-12
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Black Asian Coloured White
Overall Employment Breakdown, by raceDecember 2007– December 2012
Source: CESA BECS
Colum
n1
Dec-9
9
Jun-
00
Dec-0
0
01-Ju
n
01-D
ec
02-Ju
n
02-D
ec
03-Ju
n
03-D
ec
04-Ju
n
04-D
ec
05-Ju
n
05-D
ec
06-Ju
n
06-D
ec
07-Ju
n
07-D
ec
08-Ju
n
08-D
ec
09-Ju
n
09-D
ec
10-Ju
n
10-D
ec
11-Ju
n
11-D
ec
12-Ju
n
Dec-1
20%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
Employment profileBlack only (excluding Asian / Coloureds) representation of total employment % Share of total employment
Source: CESA BECS
Equity Distribution by firm type
Source: CESA BECS
JUN06 DEC06 JUN07 DEC07 JUN08 DEC08 JUN09 DEC09 JUN10 DEC10 JUN11 DEC11 JUN12 DEC12
Pty Ltd 0.875 0.862 0.83 0.911 0.831 0.908 0.862 0.9138 0.837 0.892 0.872 0.848 0.866 0.893
CC 0.118 0.118 0.147 0.083 0.147 0.076 0.1188 0.0831 0.065 0.081 0.056 0.137 0.122 0.078
Partner-ship
0.008 0.02 0.023 0.006 0.022 0.016 0.019 0.0031 0.098 0.027 0.072 0.015 0.0122 0.029
10.0%
30.0%
50.0%
70.0%
90.0%
110.0%
Ownership / Equity: % Share of total employmentPTY, CC & Partnerships
African: Including black, coloured and asianSource: CESA BECS
JUN06 DEC06 JUN07 DEC07 JUN08 DEC08 JUN09 DEC09 JUN10 DEC10 JUN11 DEC11 JUN12 DEC120.00%
2.00%
4.00%
6.00%
8.00%
10.00%
12.00%
Trend Line
Black Ownership & Equity: (including Asian and Coloured)% Share of total ownership / equity | PTY, CC & Partnerships
African: Including black, coloured and asianSource: CESA BECS
JUN06 DEC06 JUN07 DEC07 JUN08 DEC08 JUN09 DEC09 JUN10 DEC10 JUN11 DEC11 JUN12 DEC120.00%
5.00%
10.00%
15.00%
20.00%
25.00%
30.00%
35.00%
Trend Line
African (Black) ownership / equity as % of total ownership / equity by type of company | December 2008 – December 2012
Source: CESA BECS
Pty_exec Pty_nonexec Member of CC Partner
Dec-08 0.135 0.815 0.368 0
Dec-09 0.196 0.889 0.518 0
Dec-10 0.152 0.359 0.455 0.125
Jun-11 0.153 0.552 0.37 0.222
Dec-11 0.208 0.857 0.365 0.143
Jun-12 0.197 0.796 0.36 0.2
Dec-12 0.226 0.75 0.62 0.111
5.0%
15.0%
25.0%
35.0%
45.0%
55.0%
65.0%
75.0%
85.0%
95.0%
Quality Management System
Source: CESA BECS
Large Medium Small Micro Total
Dec-08 1 0.93 1 0.75 0.84
Jun-09 1 0.933 1 0.75 0.93
Dec-09 1 1 1 1 1
Dec-10 1 0.93 1 1 0.974
Jun-11 0.92 1 1 0.87 0.95
Dec-11 1 0.931 0.92 0.773 0.899
Jun-12 0.945 0.926 0.923 0.842 0.911
Dec-12 1 0.926 1 0.8235 0.933
10.0%
30.0%
50.0%
70.0%
90.0%
110.0%
ISO 9001:2008 Certificate
Source: CESA BECS
Large Medium Small Micro Total
Dec-08 0.875 0.467 0.2 0 0.42
Jun-09 0.9 0.2 0.2 0.125 0.348
Dec-09 0.909 0.421 0.143 0.167 0.452
Dec-10 0.923 0.25 0 0.2 0.45
Jun-11 0.538 0.556 0.571 0.125 0.478
Dec-11 0.846 0.379 0.292 0.091 0.352
Jun-12 0.889 0.393 0.346 0.053 0.407
Dec-12 0.867 0.4 0.2 0.059 0.378
5.0%
15.0%
25.0%
35.0%
45.0%
55.0%
65.0%
75.0%
85.0%
95.0%
