jkvw/sanwc/mmxiii dr jo-ansie van wyk member: south african council for space affairs (sacsa)...

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JKvW/SANWC/MMXIII Dr Jo-Ansie van Wyk Member: South African Council for Space Affairs (SACSA) Lecturer: Department of Political Sciences, University of South Africa (UNISA), Pretoria [email protected] SPACE FOR PEACE: USING SPACE-RELATED SCIENCE TO RESOLVE AFRICA'S CONFLICTS AND ACHIEVE POST-CONFLICT RECONSTRUCTION 5 th African Leadership Conference on Space Science and Technology for Sustainable Development (ALC), Accra, Ghana, 3-5 December 2013.

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Page 1: JKvW/SANWC/MMXIII Dr Jo-Ansie van Wyk Member: South African Council for Space Affairs (SACSA) Lecturer: Department of Political Sciences, University of

JKvW/SANWC/MMXIII

Dr Jo-Ansie van Wyk

Member: South African Council for Space Affairs (SACSA)

Lecturer: Department of Political Sciences, University of South Africa (UNISA), Pretoria

[email protected]

SPACE FOR PEACE: USING SPACE-RELATED SCIENCE TO RESOLVE AFRICA'S CONFLICTS

AND ACHIEVE POST-CONFLICT RECONSTRUCTION

5th African Leadership Conference on Space Science and Technology for Sustainable Development (ALC), Accra, Ghana, 3-5 December 2013.

Page 2: JKvW/SANWC/MMXIII Dr Jo-Ansie van Wyk Member: South African Council for Space Affairs (SACSA) Lecturer: Department of Political Sciences, University of

JKvW/ALC2013/GHANA

Objectives & approachObjectives & approach

• Applications • Applicators• Use of imagery of selected cases: Libya,

Sudan, Central African Republic (CAR)• Implications • African Union, continental space policy,

strategy and agency

Page 3: JKvW/SANWC/MMXIII Dr Jo-Ansie van Wyk Member: South African Council for Space Affairs (SACSA) Lecturer: Department of Political Sciences, University of

JKvW/ALC2013/GHANA

Security & peaceSecurity & peace

• Achieved, inter alia, by use of space technology for border protection etc.

• Libya & Italian cooperation on satellite surveillance system for border protection (Nov 2013)

Page 4: JKvW/SANWC/MMXIII Dr Jo-Ansie van Wyk Member: South African Council for Space Affairs (SACSA) Lecturer: Department of Political Sciences, University of

JKvW/ALC2013/GHANA

Utility of space technologyUtility of space technology

• Diplomatic and political (e.g. border disputes)• Humanitarian intervention (e.g. abuses & refugees)• Achieving human security & state reconstruction• Early warning: environmental crises (e.g. floods,

fires)• Forensic analysis (e.g. mass graves)• State/national security (e.g. anti-government

militias etc.)

Page 5: JKvW/SANWC/MMXIII Dr Jo-Ansie van Wyk Member: South African Council for Space Affairs (SACSA) Lecturer: Department of Political Sciences, University of

JKvW/ALC2013/GHANA

UsersUsers

• Governments• Intergovernmental organisations (UN)• Non-state actors (non-governmental

organisations, NGOs)

Page 6: JKvW/SANWC/MMXIII Dr Jo-Ansie van Wyk Member: South African Council for Space Affairs (SACSA) Lecturer: Department of Political Sciences, University of

JKvW/ALC2013/GHANA

Intergovernmental organisations Intergovernmental organisations

UN Institute for Training and Research / Operational Satellite Applications Programme (UNITAR / UNOSAT)

• specialises in satellite imagery analysis to improve responses in respect of humanitarian crises, human insecurity, and strategic territorial & development planning

• UN High Commissioner for Human Rights

Page 7: JKvW/SANWC/MMXIII Dr Jo-Ansie van Wyk Member: South African Council for Space Affairs (SACSA) Lecturer: Department of Political Sciences, University of

JKvW/ALC2013/GHANA

Libya Libya

UN High Commissioner for Human Rights (Feb 2012 report)

Removal of Gaddafi (since 1967)Actions by Gaddafi, opposition & NATODestruction• Infrastructure (bridges, water treatment areas)• Military compounds• Buildings (factories, hospitals, houses & mosques)Military activitiesCasualties (body bags)Capture of Gaddafi

Page 8: JKvW/SANWC/MMXIII Dr Jo-Ansie van Wyk Member: South African Council for Space Affairs (SACSA) Lecturer: Department of Political Sciences, University of

NATO airstrikes NATO airstrikes

Gaddafi compoundMilitary based next to compound

JKvW/ALC2013/GHANA

Page 9: JKvW/SANWC/MMXIII Dr Jo-Ansie van Wyk Member: South African Council for Space Affairs (SACSA) Lecturer: Department of Political Sciences, University of

NATO

Destruction of government communication centre in Tripoli

JKvW/ALC2013/GHANA

Page 10: JKvW/SANWC/MMXIII Dr Jo-Ansie van Wyk Member: South African Council for Space Affairs (SACSA) Lecturer: Department of Political Sciences, University of

Tawergha (Libya)

Town supported Gaddafi

Revenge crimes (despite amnesty) continue• Forced displacement of 40 000 people• 1690 damaged and destroyed infrastructure

after cessation of hostilities• > 90% caused by fire (arson) to prevent

residents from returning

JKvW/ALC2013/GHANA

Page 11: JKvW/SANWC/MMXIII Dr Jo-Ansie van Wyk Member: South African Council for Space Affairs (SACSA) Lecturer: Department of Political Sciences, University of

JKvW/ALC2013/GHANA

Page 12: JKvW/SANWC/MMXIII Dr Jo-Ansie van Wyk Member: South African Council for Space Affairs (SACSA) Lecturer: Department of Political Sciences, University of

JKvW/ALC2013/GHANA

Role of non-state actorsRole of non-state actors

• Civil society: Non-governmental organisations (NGOs), humanitarian organisations, universities

• Aimed against governments that act against their own population, or against the population of another country

• Also tracking environmental degradation that affect livelihoods

Page 13: JKvW/SANWC/MMXIII Dr Jo-Ansie van Wyk Member: South African Council for Space Affairs (SACSA) Lecturer: Department of Political Sciences, University of

JKvW/ALC2013/GHANA

Sudan & South SudanSudan & South Sudan

• Three decades of civil war• Comprehensive Peace Agreement (2005)• South Sudan independence (2011)• Darfur etc.

Page 14: JKvW/SANWC/MMXIII Dr Jo-Ansie van Wyk Member: South African Council for Space Affairs (SACSA) Lecturer: Department of Political Sciences, University of

JKvW/ALC2013/GHANA

Satellite Sentinel Project (SSP)Satellite Sentinel Project (SSP)

• George Clooney & Harvard University• Since 2010 DigitalGlobe Satellites monitor

Sudan • Images analysed and notifying policy

makers, news agencies and international organisations

Page 15: JKvW/SANWC/MMXIII Dr Jo-Ansie van Wyk Member: South African Council for Space Affairs (SACSA) Lecturer: Department of Political Sciences, University of

JKvW/ALC2013/GHANA

SSP (cont.)SSP (cont.)

Detected warning signs such as: • Troop build-ups & movements• Construction of landing strips• Destruction of infrastructure such as bridges• Bombardments• Refugee movements• Violations of demilitarised zone• Scorched earth policies

Page 16: JKvW/SANWC/MMXIII Dr Jo-Ansie van Wyk Member: South African Council for Space Affairs (SACSA) Lecturer: Department of Political Sciences, University of

JKvW/ALC2013/GHANA

Troop movementsTroop movements

Sudan Defence Force troop movements in offense against Sudanese Revolutionary Front (September and October 2013)

Page 17: JKvW/SANWC/MMXIII Dr Jo-Ansie van Wyk Member: South African Council for Space Affairs (SACSA) Lecturer: Department of Political Sciences, University of

JKvW/SANWC/MMXIII

Page 18: JKvW/SANWC/MMXIII Dr Jo-Ansie van Wyk Member: South African Council for Space Affairs (SACSA) Lecturer: Department of Political Sciences, University of

JKvW/ALC2013/GHANA

Attacks against civiliansAttacks against civilians

• 15 May 2013• South Kordofan (oil-rich and borders on

South Sudan) continues to bear brunt of recent escalation in hostilities between the rebel Sudan Revolutionary Front (SRF) and Darfurian Justice and Equality Movement (JEM), and the government Sudan Armed Forces (SAF)

Page 19: JKvW/SANWC/MMXIII Dr Jo-Ansie van Wyk Member: South African Council for Space Affairs (SACSA) Lecturer: Department of Political Sciences, University of

JKvW/ALC2013/GHANA

Page 20: JKvW/SANWC/MMXIII Dr Jo-Ansie van Wyk Member: South African Council for Space Affairs (SACSA) Lecturer: Department of Political Sciences, University of

JKvW/ALC2013/GHANA

Resources, plunder & Resources, plunder & displacementdisplacement

• December 2012• Pro-government militias gained control over

lucrative gold mines in North Darfur; a continuation of state-sponsored atrocity and plunder

• Influx of thousands of artisanal miners into Jebel 'Amer, North Darfur (Feb 2012 - Jan 2013); major displacement since

• Dec 2012: Sudan's minerals ministry declared 4000 new gold mines (yielded US$2.2 billion) operate in Jebel Amir area.

Page 21: JKvW/SANWC/MMXIII Dr Jo-Ansie van Wyk Member: South African Council for Space Affairs (SACSA) Lecturer: Department of Political Sciences, University of

JKvW/ALC2013/GHANA

Page 22: JKvW/SANWC/MMXIII Dr Jo-Ansie van Wyk Member: South African Council for Space Affairs (SACSA) Lecturer: Department of Political Sciences, University of

JKvW/ALC2013/GHANA

Military build-upMilitary build-up

• March 2013• Arrival of 10 newly-arrived main battle

tanks, 10 heavy transporters (HETS), and two Mi-24 helicopter gunships, in the oil-producing Sudanese border town of Heglig (South Kordofan)

• Thus: total tanks in the greater Heglig area to 22; equivalent of two tank companies

Page 23: JKvW/SANWC/MMXIII Dr Jo-Ansie van Wyk Member: South African Council for Space Affairs (SACSA) Lecturer: Department of Political Sciences, University of

JKvW/ALC2013/GHANA

Page 24: JKvW/SANWC/MMXIII Dr Jo-Ansie van Wyk Member: South African Council for Space Affairs (SACSA) Lecturer: Department of Political Sciences, University of

JKvW/ALC2013/GHANA

Scorched earth attacks on Scorched earth attacks on civilians & villagescivilians & villages

• Nov 2012• 13 villages and approximately 82 square km

of fields and forests southwest of the town of al Abassiya (Nuba Mountains of South Kordofan) burned

Page 25: JKvW/SANWC/MMXIII Dr Jo-Ansie van Wyk Member: South African Council for Space Affairs (SACSA) Lecturer: Department of Political Sciences, University of

JKvW/ALC2013/GHANA

Page 26: JKvW/SANWC/MMXIII Dr Jo-Ansie van Wyk Member: South African Council for Space Affairs (SACSA) Lecturer: Department of Political Sciences, University of

JKvW/ALC2013/GHANA

Mass graves in Sudan (2011)Mass graves in Sudan (2011)

Page 27: JKvW/SANWC/MMXIII Dr Jo-Ansie van Wyk Member: South African Council for Space Affairs (SACSA) Lecturer: Department of Political Sciences, University of

JKvW/ALC2013/GHANA

Page 28: JKvW/SANWC/MMXIII Dr Jo-Ansie van Wyk Member: South African Council for Space Affairs (SACSA) Lecturer: Department of Political Sciences, University of

JKvW/ALC2013/GHANA

Central African Republic (CAR)Central African Republic (CAR)

• Amnesty International & Human Rights Watch

• Pres François Bozizé overthrown in March 2013

• Country run by Pres Michel Djotodia of a Seleka coalition

• Recent human rights abuses amid spiralling violence by armed groups supporting Bozizé; and government security forces  

Page 29: JKvW/SANWC/MMXIII Dr Jo-Ansie van Wyk Member: South African Council for Space Affairs (SACSA) Lecturer: Department of Political Sciences, University of

Evidence of 485 homes torched (yellow dots) in Bouca in CAR

(Nov 2013)

JKvW/ALC2013/GHANA

Page 30: JKvW/SANWC/MMXIII Dr Jo-Ansie van Wyk Member: South African Council for Space Affairs (SACSA) Lecturer: Department of Political Sciences, University of

JKvW/ALC2013/GHANA

Page 31: JKvW/SANWC/MMXIII Dr Jo-Ansie van Wyk Member: South African Council for Space Affairs (SACSA) Lecturer: Department of Political Sciences, University of

JKvW/ALC2013/GHANA

Politics of imagery and politics Politics of imagery and politics of the use of imageryof the use of imagery

• Access to imagery: how, who and cost?• Use and analyses of imagery: by whom, for

what purpose?• Responses to analyses: by whom and

how?• Impact on affected areas and populations:

how, when and where?

Page 32: JKvW/SANWC/MMXIII Dr Jo-Ansie van Wyk Member: South African Council for Space Affairs (SACSA) Lecturer: Department of Political Sciences, University of

JKvW/ALC2013/GHANA

Implications

• Space no longer domain of states only• Private monitoring of government and

country• Google Earth• Rise of private authority• Accessing remote and/or restricted areas

Page 33: JKvW/SANWC/MMXIII Dr Jo-Ansie van Wyk Member: South African Council for Space Affairs (SACSA) Lecturer: Department of Political Sciences, University of

JKvW/ALC2013/GHANA

Implications (cont.)

• Ethical element to surveillance• Normative: brother’s keeper• Human rights organisations capitalised on

satellite technology to document violations• Amnesty International: Eyes on Darfur

(since 2006): ‘new ground in protecting human rights by allowing people around the world to literally "watch over" and protect twelve intact, but highly vulnerable, villages using satellite technology’

Page 34: JKvW/SANWC/MMXIII Dr Jo-Ansie van Wyk Member: South African Council for Space Affairs (SACSA) Lecturer: Department of Political Sciences, University of

JKvW/ALC2013/GHANA

Implications (cont.)

• International investigations increasingly using evidence collected through satellites

• Then-ICC Prosecutor Luis Moreno Ocampo used satellite imagery of destroyed villages in his July 2008 application for an arrest warrant for Sudanese Pres Omar Al-Bashir on charges of war crimes, crimes against humanity and genocide

• Bashir called on AU to act against spy satellites (2012)

Page 35: JKvW/SANWC/MMXIII Dr Jo-Ansie van Wyk Member: South African Council for Space Affairs (SACSA) Lecturer: Department of Political Sciences, University of

JKvW/ALC2013/GHANA

African Union (AU)African Union (AU)

• Constitutive Act (2002)

• Peace and Security Council (PSC)

Page 36: JKvW/SANWC/MMXIII Dr Jo-Ansie van Wyk Member: South African Council for Space Affairs (SACSA) Lecturer: Department of Political Sciences, University of

JKvW/ALC2013/GHANA

AU (cont.)AU (cont.)

AU Policy Framework on Post-Conflict Reconstruction and Development (PCRD) adopted in 2006

• Consolidate peace and prevent relapse into violence

• Address root causes of conflict• Improve planning & implementation of

reconstruction activities• Enhance coordination between and among

actors engaged in PCRD

Page 37: JKvW/SANWC/MMXIII Dr Jo-Ansie van Wyk Member: South African Council for Space Affairs (SACSA) Lecturer: Department of Political Sciences, University of

JKvW/ALC2013/GHANA

AU (cont.)AU (cont.)

• Idea of African Space Agency surfaced ca. 2010

• Feasibility study concluded• 2012: additional support for establishment

Page 38: JKvW/SANWC/MMXIII Dr Jo-Ansie van Wyk Member: South African Council for Space Affairs (SACSA) Lecturer: Department of Political Sciences, University of

JKvW/ALC2013/GHANA

AU (cont.)AU (cont.)

• Establishment of AU-PCRD Centre recommended in Jan. 2012

• Egypt & Uganda offered to host the Centre• July 2012: AU Commission recommended

that proposed AU-PCRD could have satellite institutions, located in different regions of the continent

• These could specialise on specific issues falling under the mandate of the AU-PCRD Centre

Page 39: JKvW/SANWC/MMXIII Dr Jo-Ansie van Wyk Member: South African Council for Space Affairs (SACSA) Lecturer: Department of Political Sciences, University of

JKvW/ALC2013/GHANA

African Space Policy: African Space Policy: ObjectivesObjectives

1. Addressing user needs • Harness the potential of space science

2. Accessing space services • Strengthen the space technology base

3. Developing the regional market • Develop a sustainable and vibrant space industry

4. Adopting good governance and management • Adopt good corporate governance

5. Promoting international cooperation • Promote and African led space agenda

Page 40: JKvW/SANWC/MMXIII Dr Jo-Ansie van Wyk Member: South African Council for Space Affairs (SACSA) Lecturer: Department of Political Sciences, University of

JKvW/ALC2013/GHANA

African Space PolicyAfrican Space Policy

Draft Policy endorsed by AMCOST Oct 2013 meeting

Strong focus on commercialisation and regulation of space arena in Africa

Little focus on conflict resolution; mere reference ‘to derive optimal socio-economic benefits that both improve quality of life and create wealth for Africans’

Page 41: JKvW/SANWC/MMXIII Dr Jo-Ansie van Wyk Member: South African Council for Space Affairs (SACSA) Lecturer: Department of Political Sciences, University of

JKvW/ALC2013/GHANA

African Space Policy (cont.)African Space Policy (cont.)

Recognition of use of space: ‘Space presents a unique opportunity for cooperation and sharing of enabling infrastructure (including data) in proactively managing, among other things... peacekeeping missions and conflicts.’

To be adopted in 2014Development of African Space Strategy next

Page 42: JKvW/SANWC/MMXIII Dr Jo-Ansie van Wyk Member: South African Council for Space Affairs (SACSA) Lecturer: Department of Political Sciences, University of

JKvW/ALC2013/GHANA

RecommendationsRecommendations

• African Space PolicyAfrican Space Policy: : stronger focus on conflict resolution and post conflict reconstruction required

• African Space StrategyAfrican Space Strategy: : focus on using space to achieve peace

Page 43: JKvW/SANWC/MMXIII Dr Jo-Ansie van Wyk Member: South African Council for Space Affairs (SACSA) Lecturer: Department of Political Sciences, University of

JKvW/ALC2013/GHANA

Recommendations (cont.)Recommendations (cont.)

• African UnionAfrican Union: : Resolve conflicts, remove impunity of leaders, address non-state armed groups

• African Space AgencyAfrican Space Agency: : establish a dedicated Directorate to liaise with the PSC on conflict resolution and post conflict reconstruction

Page 44: JKvW/SANWC/MMXIII Dr Jo-Ansie van Wyk Member: South African Council for Space Affairs (SACSA) Lecturer: Department of Political Sciences, University of

JKvW/ALC 2013/GHANA

Thank you.