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Jefferies Energy Conference STACK / SCOOP Technical Overview
November 2015 / Confidential
Jefferies LLC Member SIPC
Jefferies LLC November 2015 /
Table of Contents
STACK 1
Cana Woodford 15
SCOOP 19
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Jefferies LLC November 2015 /
STACK
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Jefferies LLC November 2015 /
STACK Since 2011, operators have been
delineating the STACK The Meramec play is a carbonate shale
where operators are drilling discrete stacked targets
Keys to well performance are drilling higher porosity targets, maintaining well path within target and large proppant slickwater completions
The Woodford wells drilled in north central Canadian County are far more liquids-rich than the traditional Cana Woodford
Core of higher performing wells has higher GOR
Well performance has improved rapidly as large independents test learnings from similar basins
CNOW The oil-prone CNOW is being
developed in north central Oklahoma The play has Woodford and
Mississippian targets The shallow depth (<5000 ft TVD) of
the CNOW helps operators realize low D&C capex costs
Overview of New North Central Oklahoma Mississippian Plays
TOM Footprint Area
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Jefferies LLC November 2015 /
Blaine
Kingfisher
Canadian
17N 6W
14N 6W 14N 7W
13N 6W
17N 7W
18N 6W
13N 5W
15N 6W 15N 7W
14N 5W
17N 5W
13N 7W
15N 5W
17N 8W
18N 9W 18N 7W 18N 5W 18N 8W
14N 9W
17N 9W
15N 9W
14N 8W
15N 8W
16N 9W 16N 7W 16N 6W 16N 8W
13N 8W
16N 5W
13N 9W
15N 11W
14N 11W
17N 11W
18N 11W
16N 11W
18N 10W
15N 12W
14N 12W
17N 10W
18N 12W
14N 10W
15N 10W
16N 10W
17N 12W
16N 12W
19N 9W 19N 8W
14N 13W
13N 11W 13N 10W
15N 13W
19N 7W
16N 13W
19N 6W
13N 12W
19N 12W 19N 11W 19N 5W
13N 13W
17N 13W
19N 10W
18N 13W
19N 13W
18N 4W
17N 4W
16N 4W
15N 4W
14N 4W
13N 4W
19N 4W
NFX Corbin 1H-5X
IP30: 1,138 Boe/d 9,701’ lateral
NFX John 1H-5X
IP30: 781 Boe/d 10,028’ lateral
FELIX Northstar 0706 1H IP30: 701 Boe/d
9,482’ lateral
NFX Willms 1H-2X
IP30: 1,006 Boe/d 9,886’ lateral
NFX Scheffler 1H-9X
IP30: 1,641 Boe/d 10,150’ lateral
NFX Connie 1H-15X
IP30: 952 Boe/d 10,056’ lateral
NFX Maybel
IP30: 1472 Boe/d 10,124’ lateral
FELIX Safari 0706 3AH IP30: 950 Boe/d 10,087’ lateral
FELIX Hornsilver 0334-4H
IP30: 915 Boe/d 10,155’ lateral
PayRock Cerny 1607 1-35MH IP30: 1,031 Boe/d
4,805’ lateral
PayRock Stiles 14 07 1-4H IP30: 605 Boe/d
4,587’ lateral
NFX Slash C 1H-17X IP30: 840 Boe/d 10,076’ lateral
PayRock Eve 1506 1-17MH IP30: 864 Boe/d 4,930’ lateral
NFX RPM
IP30: 1,129 Boe/d 10,227’ lateral
NFX Okarche 1H-12X IP30: 896 Boe/d 10,217’ lateral
XEC Clark-Karl 1-23H IP30: 693Boe/d 4,748’ lateral
XEC Miller 1-4H
IP30: 1,157 Boe/d 4,962’ lateral
MRO Murray 1-33H
IP30: 1,234 Boe/d 4,209’ lateral
XEC Wort 1-21H
IP30: 1,735 Boe/d 4,945’ lateral
NFX Peters 1H-15X
IP30: 889 Boe/d 10,190’ lateral
MRO Mike Stroud 1-28H IP30: 1,878 Boe/d
4,263’ lateral
CLR Ludwig 1-22-15XH IP30: 2,076 Boe/d
9,711’ lateral
XEC Peoples 1-29H
IP30: 1,633 Boe/d 4,768’ lateral
CLR Toms 1-21XH
IP30: 761 Boe/d 9,517’ lateral
Operator Play/Formation Outline
Cimarex Energy
Continental Resources
Devon Energy
Felix Energy
Marathon Oil
Newfield Exploration
PayRock Energy
Other
Producing Well
Permit
Meramec
Woodford
Cana
STACK
STACK Activity Map
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Rig Map Key Points
Most STACK operators have concentrated their Meramec drilling in the Core Volatile Oil Area near the Kingfisher/Blaine County border
Felix has ramped up their activity to three rigs in the core of the STACK delineating both Woodford and Meramec
Newfield is delineating the Meramec in central Kingfisher County and has just ramped up from five to seven rigs
Chaparral is drilling Mississippian age rock in northern Kingfisher County after realizing strong oil production in its Dover Unit
PayRock recently ramped up to two rigs; and is delivering superior results vs early generation 2-mile lateral wells
Marathon and Cimarex continue testing the Meramec as part of their ongoing drilling activities
Rig Counts as of October 2015
Active Rigs Currently in the STACK
Operator Name Total Operator Name Total
Newfield 7 Continental 5
Devon Energy 5 Longfellow Energy 1
Cimarex Energy 4 Chaparral Energy 1
PayRock Energy 2 Chesapeake Energy 1
Felix Energy 3 Gastar 1
Oklahoma Energy 2
Blaine, Kingfisher and Canadian Counties
Core Volatile Oil Area
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STACK Stratigraphic Column and Type Log
Key Points
Meramec
Silty, shale reservoir sourced from the Woodford
Highly varying areal distribution
Found at depths of 6,000 – 12,000 ft
Normal to slightly overpressured
Gross Meramec thickness of ~150 – 500 ft
Average porosity around 5%
Average water saturation of 40% - entirely bound water
Chester shale is regional seal
OOIP estimates range from 13 to 30 MMBO/sec
Woodford
Siliceous, source rock
Organic-rich
Natural and induced fractures
Hunton and Osage horizontal plays are emerging
KINGFISHER
CANADIAN
KINGFISHER
CANADIAN
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Stratigraphic Cross Section, North-South
S N
Key Points
Meramec and Woodford thicken to the south
Supports two-bench development when gross thickness > 250’
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Stratigraphic Cross Section, East-West
W E
Key Points
Woodford thins to the NE, away from core Cana area
Meramec thickness remains fairly consistent
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STACK Reservoir Fluid Overview
Key Points
The Meramec formation is primarily sourced from the Woodford formation
One indicator of reservoir fluid type is vitrinite reflectance (Ro)
Lower Ro values are indicative of oiler fluid in the reservoir
The peak month oil % & Ro data show how the Meramec & Woodford formations go from dry gas in the southwest to black oil in the northeast
1.2
1.0
0.8
0.6
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STACK Reservoir Fluid Type Informs Fluid Type Curve Areas
Key Points
Formation type curve areas for the Meramec were primarily determined by reservoir fluid type demarcation, reservoir thickness, depth & pressure
The Meramec formation thins to the southeast and may necessitate a separate Meramec Black Oil South type curve area
Meramec Type Curve Areas
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Jefferies LLC November 2015 /
STACK Reservoir Fluid Type Informs Fluid Type Curve Areas
Key Points
Type curve areas for the Woodford were primarily determined by reservoir fluid type demarcation, reservoir thickness, depth and pressure
The Cana Woodford area is well-delineated in the gas window of the Woodford
The Woodford formation thins to the north, which is why operators have concentrated in Blaine & Canadian Counties
The Woodford fluid is immature and has lower reservoir pressure in the east
Woodford Type Curve Areas
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Jefferies STACK Type Curve Methodology
Key Points
Only horizontal wells with first production after January 2012 are shown
In total, four type curve areas represent the performance of STACK wells
Type curve wells shown with an “X” were selected because they represent the best drilling and completion practices that have been implemented by STACK producers
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Type Curve
STACK Meramec Volatile Oil Type Curve
Key Points
Each well’s production was normalized for its 1-mile equivalent production
70% of existing Meramec wells are 2-mile laterals but strong 1-mile lateral results support a move towards more 1-mile lateral length wells
High-proppant slickwater completion jobs generaly deliver superior well results
1-Mile Horizontal
Months
First Month 30-day IP (per day) 1st-day IP (per day) Di (%) Df (%) b GOR (Mcf/bbl) Yield (Bbl/MMcf) Shrink NGL (bbl/MMcf)
Oil (Bbl) 15,154 498 620 80 6 1.50
Gas (Mcf) 39,458 1,297 1,364 51 6 1.50
EUR Oil (Mbbl)EUR Wellhead Gas
(Bcf)
EUR Sales
Gas (Bcf)
EUR NGL
(Mbbl)
EUR
MboeEUR Bcfe Oil Exp Switch (Yrs)
Gas Exp
Switch (Yrs)EUR Time (Yrs)
398.1 2.337 1.636 233.7 904.5 5.43 10.7 10.3 50.0
5.9 170.4 70% 100.00
0
6
12
18
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
0 6 12 18
Wel
l Co
un
t
Bb
l/m
o
MONTH_OIL
MIKE STROUD 1-28H 1027lbs/ft SCHEFFLER 1H-9X 1524lbs/ft
JOHN 1H-5X 1416lbs/ft ROSEMARY 1-14H lbs/ft
WILDCARD 2215-1H 1604lbs/ft KENNETH 1H-30X lbs/ft
CLARK-KARL 1-23H 1339lbs/ft ZINGER 31-1HR lbs/ft
MURRAY 1-33H lbs/ft SAFARI 0706 0 lbs/ft
Oil Type Curve Avg All Wells
Well Count
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Jefferies LLC November 2015 /
Type Curve
STACK Meramec Black Oil Type Curve
Key Points
Each well’s production was normalized for its 1-mile equivalent production
Felix and PayRock wells are used because of their more optimized completion design
1-Mile Horizontal
Months
First Month 30-day IP (per day) 1st-day IP (per day) Di (%) Df (%) b GOR (Mcf/bbl) Yield (Bbl/MMcf) Shrink NGL (bbl/MMcf)
Oil (Bbl) 20,041 659 900 85 6 1.50
Gas (Mcf) 38,091 1,252 1,350 60 6 1.50
EUR Oil (Mbbl)EUR Wellhead Gas
(Bcf)
EUR Sales
Gas (Bcf)
EUR NGL
(Mbbl)
EUR
MboeEUR Bcfe Oil Exp Switch (Yrs)
Gas Exp
Switch (Yrs)EUR Time (Yrs)
434.0 1.810 1.810 0.0 735.7 4.41 10.7 10.4 50.0
4.2 239.7 100% 0.00
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
0 6 12 18 24
Bb
l/M
o
MONTH_OIL
Avg High Prop CERNY 1607 1-35MH 1800lbs/ft
HORNSILVER 0334-4H 1621lbs/ft EVE 1506 1-17MH 1694lbs/ft
NORTHSTAR 0706 0 2100lbs/ft Oil Type Curve
Avg All Wells
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Jefferies LLC November 2015 /
SCOOP Thicker Woodford section with highest
hydrocarbons-in-place along trend Combination of thick, high-quality reservoir
with depth and pressure delivers highest performing wells in Woodford
─ Higher GOR windows are outperforming the oil window
Operators have stacked staggered laterals in pilot tests in the SCOOP
Fairly tightly held by MRO, CLR, Newfield, and Vitruvian
Springer Sand has recently shown high potential (67% oil)
Compared to other basins, the SCOOP has had little completions progression
Cana Most mature Woodford play with well-
defined core area in the thick portion of the condensate window
Recently Cimarex has had success applying optimized high-proppant thin-fluid fracs that outperform offset older-vintage fracs
This stimulation may be applicable to other less economic parts of the Woodford as well as the SCOOP
Overview of Anadarko Basin Woodford Plays
Source: Company SEC filings, Earnings call transcripts, company presentations, broker research reports and industry publications. (1) Represents Q3 2013 production (latest publicly disclosed SCOOP production).
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Cana Woodford
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Overview of All Cana Woodford Wells since 2010
Key Points
All Cana Woodford horizontal wells since 2010
Bubbles in the map are sized by average 6-month gas rate and colored by well vintage
The top two graphs show operator activity by year in two different formats
─ Only Devon (DVN) and Cimarex (XEC) have new wells in 2014
There is clearly higher gas production in northwestern Canadian County
─ In a lower gas price environment (post 2012) it is the only place anyone has had the willingness to drill new gas wells
Filter Settings AllHeaders - State: (OK) - County: (BLAINE, CADDO, CANADIAN) - Reservoir: (WOODFORD, WOODFORD / HUNTON, WOODFORD / MISSISSIP30PIAN) - Well Orientation: (H) - Rate - Gas 6mo Avg: (0.00 <= Rate - Gas 6mo Avg <= 113369.26) without empty values - Play - Sub-region: (Traditional Cana) - Date - Vintage: (1/1/2010 <= Date - Vintage <= 10/29/2014) without empty values
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Jefferies LLC November 2015 /
Average 6 Month Gas Rate per 5,000’ Lateral vs. Vintage by Operator Key Points
Cimarex and Devon have increased the productivity of their most recent Cana Woodford wells by increasing the amount of proppant and stages in each well and by optimizing landing zone from petrophysical facies interpretation
More recent highly-propped wells (>1,200 lbs/ft) outperform similar lower-propped older wells wells even when controlled for geographic area in the Cana Woodford.
Jefferies Cana Completions Optimization Study - Cana Sweet Spot
Average 6 Month Gas Rate per 5,000’ Lateral vs. Vintage by Operator
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Jefferies LLC November 2015 /
Cimarex Cana Woodford Type Curve – Base vs. Optimized Key Points
Cimarex perfected their horizontal completion technique in the Delaware Basin and has now implemented their optimized design in the Cana Woodford
Frac design has increased stimulation from 12 stages / 4 mm lbs of sand to 20 stages / 6 mm lbs of sand
IP30 has increased from 3.3 MMcf/d to 5.4 MMcf/d for gas and from 198 Bbl/d to 324 Bbl/d for oil
Increasing frac size by 50% plus decreasing stage/cluster spacing increased their Woodford type curve by 80% but this completion improvement has delivered wells with 100% improved EUR
Jefferies Cana Completions Optimization Study - Type Curve Comparison
Source: Cimarex September 2014 investors presentation.
1-Mile Horizontal
Peak Month 30-day IP (per day) 1st-day IP (per day) Di (%) Df (%) b Yield (bbl/MMcf) Gas Shrink NGL (bbl/MMcf)
Gas (Mcf) 100,252 3,296 3,781
Oil (Bbl) 3,008 99 113
EUR Oil (Mbbl)EUR Wellhead Gas
(Bcf)
EUR Sales
Gas (Bcf)
EUR NGL
(Mbbl)EUR Mboe EUR Bcfe
Exponential
Switch (Yrs)
111.9 3.730 3.730 0 734 4.40 9.9
71 6.0 1.60 30 100% 0
0
100
200
300
400
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
0 6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48 54 60
We
ll C
ou
nt
Gas
, Mcf
/mo
Months
Old Cimarex Type Curve
New Cimarex Optimized Type Curve
Top 2 Operators Cana Core (2010-2013)
Top 2 operators 2014 wells (Proppant > 1200 lbs/ft)
Well Count 2010-2013
Well Count 2014 (Proppant > 1200 lbs/ft)
Optimized Completion :
IP30: 5,400 Mcf/d, 204 Bbl/dDi: 67% b-factor: 1.6EUR: 201 MBO & 6.9 BCF
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Jefferies LLC November 2015 /
SCOOP
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The SCOOP has High Momentum and Impactful Results in the Woodford Shale Based on 24-hour IP Rate
Key Points
The SCOOP is located towards the very south of the Anadarko Basin
The SCOOP has recently seen high momentum and is the top liquids-producing area in the Woodford Shale
Operators are continuing to delineate the play extent, and are testing spacing and the potential for stacked laterals in the SCOOP
Beckham 1-27H 856 Boe/d IP30
21% oil
Boles 1H-14X
1,466 Boe/d IP30 57% oil
Carson 1-2H
1,524 Boe/d IP24 57% liquids
Hunter 1H-13X
1,420 Boe/d IP24 65% oil
Jo Ann 1H-18
1,231 Boe/d IP24 11% oil
Mashburn 1H-33 1,444 Boe/d IP24
33% oil
Riddle 14-32H 825 Boe/d IP30
28% oil
Singer 1-18-7XH 1,688 Boe/d IP30
33% oil
Vesta Marie 1-29H 1,530 Boe/d IP24
61% liquids
Wilson 1H-3
1,168 Boe/d IP24 22% oil
Campbell 1-36XH 1,063 Boe/d IP30
56% oil
Tina 1H-26X
1,855 Boe/d IP24 47% oil
Healey 1-12H
670 Boe/d IP24 86% liquids
Mills 1-21H
626 Boe/d IP24 75% liquids
Simms 1-32H
702 Boe/d IP24 80% liquids
Sparks 1-27H
775 Boe/d IP24 71% oil
Arrington 1-23H
1,040 Boe/d IP24 32% oil
Dawkins 1-20H 808 Boe/d IP24
58% liquids
Dicksion 1-21H
1,590 Boe/d IP24 45% oil
Poteet 1-17H
1,771 Boe/d IP24 55% liquids
Branch Pad
1H-16: 1,245 Boe/d IP30
2H-16X: 1,510 Boe/d IP30
3H-16X: 1,579 Boe/d IP30
4H-16X: 1,557 Boe/d IP30
5H-16X: 1,610 Boe/d IP30
6H-16X: 1,577 Boe/d IP30
Casados 1H-21X
1,795 Boe/d IP30 19% oil
Vanarkel 1-15H
2,045 Boe/d IP24 44% oil
Sublette 1H-22
1,052 Boe/d IP24 56% oil
Chalfant 1-7H
2,700 Boe/d IP24 16.2 MMcfe/d IP24
13% Oil
Gregory 1H-28 1,688 Boe/d IP24
35% oil
Hansell
973 Boe/d IP24 90% oil
Floyd 1H-3X
1,466 Boe/d IP30 57% oil
Claudine 1-29-32XH 3,017 Boe/d IP24
18.1 MMcfe/d IP24 8% oil
Auld 1-10H
1,334 Boe/d IP24 58% liquids
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Jefferies LLC November 2015 /
Cana / STACK Core
Mature Woodford play with core area (250’ thick) in the thick portion of the condensate window
SCOOP Combination of thick (350’ in core area) high-quality reservoir with depth and pressure delivers highest
performing Woodford wells
NW-SE Stratigraphic Cross Section – Anadarko Basin
NW Cana SCOOP
SE
Canadian
Caddo
Stephens
Grady McClain
Garvin
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Jefferies LLC November 2015 /
Stratigraphic Column and Type Log
SCOOP Stratigraphic Column and Type Log
Key Points
World-class source rock
─ Oil-Prone Type II Kerogen
Found at depths of 8,000 – 16,000 ft. and overpressured (0.6 – 0.7 psi/ft.)
Vitrinite Reflectance 0.6 – 1.2%
Gross thickness of Woodford SCOOP ~ 150 – 420 ft.
Porosity ranges from 5 to 10%
Resource base estimated at 150 to 200 BCF/section
Recent economic success from horizontal drilling in the Springer Shale substantially increased the potential for the SCOOP to be a stacked play
CANEY
GODDARD M-1
HUNTON
SYCAMORE
WOODFORD
GODDARD M-2
GODDARD M-3
CANEY
GODDARD M-1
HUNTON
SYCAMORE
WOODFORD
GODDARD M-2
GODDARD M-3
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Jefferies LLC November 2015 /
SCOOP Well Spacing Trials
Key Points
SCOOP well spacing trials have been on-line since September 2013
The first spacing trials were drilled in the core wet gas and condensate windows
The SCOOP core area is greater than 300 ft. thick and is thus being tested with staggered wellbore placement in both Upper and Lower Woodford
The oil window is being tested at 660-ft. spacing in the Upper Woodford only. CLR has announced that the Good Martin spacing test well production is exceeding that of offset wells and their type curve
The wet gas window has been tested with CLR’s 513-ft staggered spacing test. Both the Honeycutt & Poteet spacing tests have exceeded CLR’s type curve
*First production estimates per Continental Investor Presentation September 2014
SCOOP Core Area
Fluid Phase Window Continental
Wet Gas
Continental Wet Gas
Newfield Wet Gas
Newfield Condensate
Continental Oil
Well Spacing, ft. 660 513 880 880 660
Woodford Thickness, ft. 310 380 350 350 160
Wellbore Placement Staggered Staggered Staggered Staggered Upper Woodford
# of Wells 4 10 6 5 8
First Production Q4 - 2013 Q4 – 2014* Q3 - 2013 Q4 - 2013 Q1 – 2015*
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Jefferies LLC November 2015 /
Oklahoma Oil Production Data Vetting
Key Points
In Oklahoma, oil and gas production data is reported to the Oklahoma Corporation Commission (OCC)
Operators and the OCC often lag in reporting oil production for each well, often showing zero production or anomalously low numbers
─ Errors are apparent when comparing public OCC data to large IP30, IP60 and IP90 oil production numbers in operators’ investor presentations
Jefferies compiled a vetted public production database using a proprietary data mining procedure
In the example above the same 6 SCOOP wells in Stephens County are trend-plotted using public OCC data (left) and Jefferies vetted database (right)
Jefferies is now able to verify well results reported by operators and has carried out in-depth analysis of production trends throughout the SCOOP, the Springer and the Stack plays
This method ultimately provides Jefferies engineers a high-quality data set from which to provide valuable insights in a rapidly-evolving liquids-rich play
Avg Oil IP30 from Investor Presentation
Avg Oil IP30 from Investor Presentation
Public Production Data from OCC Jefferies Vetted Public Production Data
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Jefferies LLC November 2015 /
Jefferies Identified Type Curve Areas
1 2 3 4
5 6 7 8
10 11 12 9
SCOOP Type Curve Areas
Key Points
Jefferies has analyzed all publicly-available horizontal wells in the SCOOP and has identified multiple type curve areas
The core SCOOP area is located in type curve areas 2-4. The area benefits from increased reservoir thickness, higher reservoir pressure and better thermal maturity
Operators are actively testing spacing and the potential for stacked laterals in the SCOOP
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Jefferies LLC November 2015 /
SCOOP Area 3 (Rich Gas Core) Type Curve
Key Points
Type curve production is normalized to 7500 ft lateral length
Oil & gas streams are forecasted individually
Forecast parameters (b-factor & Df) are informed by publicly available data and RF% on expected spacing of 10 wells per section
Type curve parameters:
─ Wellhead EUR of 11.8 Bcf and 242 MBbl assuming 7,500’ lateral
─ Initial rate (30-day) gas production of 8,700 Mcf/d
─ B factor: 1.30
─ Terminal decline rate of 6%
EUR is for 50-year production life
First Month 30-day IP (per day) 1st-day IP (per day) Di (%) Df (%) b GOR (Mcf/bbl) Yield (Bbl/MMcf) Shrink NGL (bbl/MMcf)
Oil (Bbl) 9,429 310 310 74 6 1.3
Gas (Mcf) 258,542 8,500 8,500 56 6 1.3
EUR Oil (Mbbl)EUR Wellhead Gas
(Bcf)
EUR Sales
Gas (Bcf)
EUR NGL
(Mbbl)
EUR
MboeEUR Bcfe Oil Exp Switch (Yrs)
Gas Exp
Switch (Yrs)EUR Time (Yrs)
242.1 11.820 10.298 620.6 2,578.9 15.47 12.2 11.9 50.0
49 20 87% 53
10
100
1,000
10,000
0 6 12 18 24 30 36 42
Oil,
Bb
l/d
G
as, M
cf/d
Months
Oil Gas
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