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IUGG 24 th International Tsunami Symposium Recent United States Tsunami Warning System Improvements Paul Whitmore Bill Knight Stu Weinstein July, 2009

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Page 1: IUGG 24 th International Tsunami Symposium Recent United States Tsunami Warning System Improvements Paul Whitmore Bill Knight Stu Weinstein July, 2009

IUGG 24th International Tsunami Symposium

Recent United States Tsunami Warning System Improvements

Paul WhitmoreBill Knight

Stu WeinsteinJuly, 2009

Page 2: IUGG 24 th International Tsunami Symposium Recent United States Tsunami Warning System Improvements Paul Whitmore Bill Knight Stu Weinstein July, 2009

IUGG 24th International Tsunami Symposium

Tsunami Warning System Elements

Observational Networks• Seismic• Sea Level

• Coastal • Deep-ocean• Run-up

Tsunami Warning Centers• Data Processing• Forecasting• Disseminate MessageCommunications Networks• Transmit the messageEmergency Mgmt. Response• Respond to warnings• Prepare public

Page 3: IUGG 24 th International Tsunami Symposium Recent United States Tsunami Warning System Improvements Paul Whitmore Bill Knight Stu Weinstein July, 2009

IUGG 24th International Tsunami Symposium

Observational Network Improvements - Seismic

Pre-2004 Net

2009 Net

Page 4: IUGG 24 th International Tsunami Symposium Recent United States Tsunami Warning System Improvements Paul Whitmore Bill Knight Stu Weinstein July, 2009

IUGG 24th International Tsunami Symposium

Detection Improvements – Quakes >= 5.5

2004 – 35% Detection

2008 95% Detection

White indicates automatic detection

Red indicates quake without auto-detection

Courtesy of Paul Huang - WCATWC

Page 5: IUGG 24 th International Tsunami Symposium Recent United States Tsunami Warning System Improvements Paul Whitmore Bill Knight Stu Weinstein July, 2009

IUGG 24th International Tsunami Symposium

Observational Network Improvements – Sea Level

Pre-2004 Net

2009 Net

Not just more stations, but lower

data latency as well…

Page 6: IUGG 24 th International Tsunami Symposium Recent United States Tsunami Warning System Improvements Paul Whitmore Bill Knight Stu Weinstein July, 2009

IUGG 24th International Tsunami Symposium

Elapsed Time Before Tsunami Arrives at 3 Stations

NOW

Jan, 2005

> 4.0hrs1hr – 2hrs

<.5hr

Courtesy of N. Becker, PTWC

Page 7: IUGG 24 th International Tsunami Symposium Recent United States Tsunami Warning System Improvements Paul Whitmore Bill Knight Stu Weinstein July, 2009

IUGG 24th International Tsunami Symposium

U.S. Tsunami Warning Centers

• AOR increase• Indian O.

• US/Canada east

• Caribbean

• 24x7 operations• 2 TWCs – 24x7 – 30 permanent staff

• Improved performance• Forecasting• Threat analysis

• Base warning areas on pre-computed threat analysis

• Products• Energy maps

• w/w/a maps

• 2-level warnings (warning and advisory) since Feb., 2008

Page 8: IUGG 24 th International Tsunami Symposium Recent United States Tsunami Warning System Improvements Paul Whitmore Bill Knight Stu Weinstein July, 2009

IUGG 24th International Tsunami Symposium

Tsunami Warning System History in the United States

Page 9: IUGG 24 th International Tsunami Symposium Recent United States Tsunami Warning System Improvements Paul Whitmore Bill Knight Stu Weinstein July, 2009

IUGG 24th International Tsunami Symposium

Performance Measures

Page 10: IUGG 24 th International Tsunami Symposium Recent United States Tsunami Warning System Improvements Paul Whitmore Bill Knight Stu Weinstein July, 2009

IUGG 24th International Tsunami Symposium

U.S. TWC IT Modernization Project

• Joint AT/PT project• Developing

Technical Requirements

• 3-year project• Funds identified

Page 11: IUGG 24 th International Tsunami Symposium Recent United States Tsunami Warning System Improvements Paul Whitmore Bill Knight Stu Weinstein July, 2009

IUGG 24th International Tsunami Symposium

Forecasting Improvements

Page 12: IUGG 24 th International Tsunami Symposium Recent United States Tsunami Warning System Improvements Paul Whitmore Bill Knight Stu Weinstein July, 2009

IUGG 24th International Tsunami Symposium

Threat Analysis

Page 13: IUGG 24 th International Tsunami Symposium Recent United States Tsunami Warning System Improvements Paul Whitmore Bill Knight Stu Weinstein July, 2009

IUGG 24th International Tsunami Symposium

Improved Products

Page 14: IUGG 24 th International Tsunami Symposium Recent United States Tsunami Warning System Improvements Paul Whitmore Bill Knight Stu Weinstein July, 2009

IUGG 24th International Tsunami Symposium

Communications Networks

• New Methods• VTEC in Tsunami

Products

• SMS messages

• Public Email lists

• RSS Feeds

• CAP products

• Traditional• GTS

• NOAA Weather Wire

• AWIPS

• Weather Radio

• EAS

• Home page

• FAX

Page 15: IUGG 24 th International Tsunami Symposium Recent United States Tsunami Warning System Improvements Paul Whitmore Bill Knight Stu Weinstein July, 2009

IUGG 24th International Tsunami Symposium

Emergency Management Response

• International/National Exercises• Pacific Wave 06/08

• LANTEX 09

• Communications Testing• Alaska/California end-to-end EAS tests

• Routine monthly testing

• Mitigation• Increased evacuation route signage

• New sirens

• Inundation/Evacuation map development

• Response plan development

• Outreach events increase

• TsunamiReady Program• Increase to 65 communities in U.S.