issues in development and planning
TRANSCRIPT
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Issues in Development
and Planning
3. Population and Economic
Development
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People: both the cause and object of all
economic activity
Size and the nature of human resources
have a bearing on natural resources
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1. Human resources and economic
development: two pronged relationship
Size of the population: crucial determinant ofeconomic development.
The age structure of the population
(distribution of population across differentage groups): also a significant factor.
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Theory of Demographic Transition: Three stages:
Agrarian economy, no industrial development; High birth
rate and high death rate; illiteracy, early marriages; rate ofpopulation is stagnant or very slow.
Developing economy, industrial development, high birth
rate, death rate falls considerably, causes rapid increase in
population, called population explosion.
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Developed country: birth rate falls sharply,
high standard of living, small family, death
rate falls, population grows at a slow rate.
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Why is population growth so central to environmental problems?
What is carrying capacity and why is it important?
What is the global population growth rate? How does it compare togrowth rates in developed vs. developing countries?
What factors affect population growth rates? How can population growth be slowed? How does economic development affect population growth? What is a "demographic transition? What are its stages? What are the differences and similarities between the population
histories of China and India?
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Organism populations increase
exponentially, whereas the environment
does not increase at all (environmentalquality typically decreases with increasing
population).
Carrying Capacity: the maximum number ofindividuals that the environmental resources
of a given region can support.
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Contribution ofpopulation growth to economic
development:
Uninterrupted supply of labourSource of increased savings for capital
formation
Free flow of entrepreneurshipBigger market.
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2. Trends in Population in India:
Indias population: 2nd largest populated
country in the world, total population in
the 2001 census at 102.7 crore, which is
16% of the total population of the world.
Every sixth person in the world is anIndian.
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1921: year ofGreat Divide
Census recorded a decline in total
population of India. Reasons?
Famines and epidemics
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Growth rate of population:
Product of
i. migration,
ii. birth rate
iii. death rate.
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3. Other Demographic features:
a) Life expectancy: best statistical measure
of the health conditions and of the general
level of mortality of a community.
b) Infant mortality rate: Ratio of the number
of deaths among the 1000 born childrenbefore they become one year old.
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State with Highest FemaleSex Ratio:
Kerala (1,058)
State with Lowest FemaleSex Ratio:
Haryana (861)
UT with Highest Female
Sex Ratio:Pondicherry (1,001)
UT with Lowest Female SexRatio:
Daman & Diu: (710)
District with Highest FemaleSex Ratio:
Mahe (Pondicherry) (1,147)
District with Lowest FemaleSex Ratio:
Daman (Daman & Diu)(591)
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f) Rural urban
distribution:
Predominantly rural
India: 27.78% of
urban population
State Percentage of UrbanPopulation
Himachal Pradesh 9.79
Chandigarh 89.78
Bihar 10.47
Mizoram 49.50
Kerala 25.97
Tamil Nadu 43.86
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g) Literacy and levels of development:
A person who can read and write with
understanding in any language is termed
as a literate person.
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State Literacy Rate
Himachal Pradesh 76.48
Chandigarh 81.94
Bihar 47
Mizoram 88.8
Kerala 90.86
Tamil Nadu 73.45
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4. Nature ofPopulation problem in India:
Large population base, projected to rise
further
Consistently high growth rate of
population
Dependency ratio high
Large section illiterate
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5. Causes of Growth of Population:
High Birth Rate
Declining Death Rate
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High Birth Rate:
The number of women in the reproductive age is
largeThe average age of marriage among females is
very low.
Widespread poverty, children seen as potential
source of incomeIndifference towards family planning
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Declining Death Rate:
Disease control
Growing awareness and facilities aboutsanitation
Provision for better maternity and post natal
careLack of large scale food shortage
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6. Effects on Economic Development:
Adverse effects on savings:
Burden of dependency: more people in the nonworking age groups relative to those of working
age.
Unproductive investment: increasing population,
share of invest able resources has to be devoted toreproducing for additional people
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Slow growth of per capita income
Environmental damage and growing burden
on natural resourcesUnderutilization of labour
Growing pressure on land
Adverse effect on quality of populationAdverse social impact, unplanned
urbanization
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7. Need for Population Policy:
Emphasis on:
Controlling the growth of population
Increase in the rate of employment
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Remedies for population growth:
Family planning: limiting the number of
children born to a couple to one or two;
determining the spacing of children
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8. Achievements and Limitations:
Administrative- Organizational
Environment
Weakness of the Programme
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Administrative- Organizational
Environment:
a) Absence of political commitment
b) Absence of integration with other socio
economic sectors.
c) Weak links with development strategy
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9. Urbanization: Characteristics:
Increase in the number of points of
population concentration
Growth in the size of the population
Transfer of people from agricultural to
non agricultural occupations
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Urbanization and economic growth:
Cities: engine of growth: production,
market and service centers
Industrialization
Low level of mortality and fertility rate
High density of population
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Causes of Urbanization: Net rural urban migration Reclassification of rural to urban places
Major component of urbanization in India is ruralurban migration
In industrially developed states of Maharashtraand Gujarat, the urban growth rate was high till
1971 but slowed down thereafter. In agriculturalstates of Punjab and Haryana, the opposite trendwas noticed
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Causes of Migration:
Push factors:
fragmentation of agricultural lands, lowlevel of agricultural income
Pull factors:
Industrialization, improvement intransportation and communication andeducational facilities
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Problems due to urbanization:
Inadequacy of infrastructure
Growth of economic dualism
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Is further urbanization desirable?
If the spatial pattern of urbanization is
allowed to continue, urban growth wouldfurther get concentrated in big cities.
It is necessary to provide basic amenities
and infrastructure in rural areas.
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10. Occupational structure and economic growth:
Percentage of people dependent on agriculture
will decline in the long run. Percentage of people dependent on industries
would increase.
Increase in manufacturing employment
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Occupational structure in India:
Lopsided occupational structure:
heavy dependence on agriculture
1901-1971: first sub period: occupational
structure of India did not change at all
1971 onwards: Definite changes in the
occupational structure
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The number of workers in the modernindustries is on the increase.
The share of cultivators has come downwhile the agricultural labourers has gone up.
In Kerala, T.N., Maharashtra and Bengal, thepopulation engaged in agriculture has
declined, whereas in Rajasthan and Orissa,there has been an opposite development.
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Causes of stagnation of occupational
structure
Nature of technology: Modern technology:labour saving
Nature of allocation of resources: Capital
oriented, employment growth lags behindExistence of vast rural area.