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IRP Global Metal Flows Working Group Ester van der Voet, Leiden University and IRP member Green Week, Brussels, 5 June 2013
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UNEP-IRP Global Metal Flows Working Group (chair Thomas Graedel, director Center for Industrial Ecology, Yale University)
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UNEP’s Global Metal Flows Working Group Investigating the “Metals Challenge”
Work on a series of six assessment reports
• Report 1: Metal Stocks in Society (published in 2010)
• Report 2a: Recycling Rates of Metals (published 2011)
• Report 2b: Metal Recycling – Opportunities, Limits, Infrastructure (published 2013)
• Report 3: Environmental Risks and Challenges of Anthropogenic Metals Flows and Cycles (published 2013)
• Report 4: Future Demand Scenarios for Metals
• Report 5: Critical Metals and Metal Policy Options
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The metals challenge Metals are essential for economic development
− Infrastructure and technologies Global demand for metals is increasing
− Infrastructure and appliances in developing countries − New technologies, incl. environmental technologies
Appliance complexity is increasing − Functionality, miniaturization and manufacturing technologies create more complex metal combinations, including rare elements
The increasing global demand for metals causes many problems and challenges − Increasing environmental pressures from extraction and manufacturing of raw materials − Growing dependence on regional or economic concentrations of natural resources − Increasing risks of international crisis (e.g. war lord activities in parts of Africa) − Social tensions among local populations (land owner issues etc.)
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Report 3: Environmental Risks and Challenges of Anthropogenic Metals Flows and Cycles by Ester van der Voet et al.
Objectives of the report
Collect and present information on − anthropogenic metal cycles and their link with natural metal cycles − fate and impacts of metals in the environment − energy use and environmental impacts of metals and their applications over the whole life cycle
Present an outlook on potential future developments and urgent issues to address
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Local environmental impacts related to production of metals Primary metal production causes severe local environmental impacts
• E.g. water consumption, groundwater pollution, mine wastes, air emissions (greenhouse gases, sulfur dioxide etc.), land use, biodiversity loss
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Anthropogenic and natural metal cycles Anthropogenic metal cycles can be orders of magnitude larger than natural metal cycles. Losses from anthropogenic cycles are relatively small: emissions of metals lie roughly in the same order of magnitude as emissions from natural
The anthropogenic metal emissions are increasingly dominated by non-metal sources (e.g. fossil fuels, phosphate fertilizers):
• Industrial point source emissions from the metals industry have been addressed • Dissipative and non-metal sources continue to increase
Environmental concentrations of metals around large production facilities
sometimes above threshold values • Decades of research in this area: fate and impacts of metals in the environment • Most urgent global level problems, however, are elsewhere
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Metals production and energy use Primary metals production is responsible for 7-8% of the total global energy use Due to declining ore grades for some metals (e.g. gold, copper, nickel) the energy demand for primary metals production could further increase Most important life cycle impact of metals are related to energy use: metals cause a significant part of global greenhouse gas emissions Secondary production uses 2 orders of magnitude less energy/kg material Life cycle assessment (LCA) for specific applications of metals
• Metals often contribute significantly to life cycle emissions due to high energy intensity • Use of metals can also reduce life cycle emissions (e.g. electric vehicles)
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Life cycle impacts of metals Technologies to reduce environmental impacts also require metals
Source: Kleijn et al, 2011
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Life cycle impacts of metals Upscaling to the global level: materials requirement of energy transition
Source: Kleijn et al, 2011
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Outlook Continued global rise in metals demand expected for the next decades:
• urbanisation and build-up of infrastructure in developing countries • adoption of new technologies in industry and consumer products • transition to renewable energy system
This will increases the environmental impacts due to the extraction and refining of primary metals
Exploiting lower ore-grades could even accelerate this trend
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Sustainable metals management
Basis for a sustainable metals management is a closed loop economy: secondary production as the main source
• Recycling technology / infrastructure development • Steady state demand
Include non-metal sources of emission (fossil fuels, fertiliser) Improve primary production
• especially impacts of mining End-of-life management (100% recycling not possible): create final sink.
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Metals recycling How much do we have in stock? Global Metals Flows report no 1: Metal Stocks in Society Societal stocks for metals large and growing rapidly Urban mining an important future source
Metal Estimated stock /
cap (kg/cap) Estimated global stock (kg.106)
Iron 2,200 14,300,000 Aluminium 80 520,000 Copper 45 292,500 Lead 8 52,000
Global Stocks of Metals
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Metals recycling: Global Metal Flows report 2a: Recycling rates
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Metals recycling We need to improve recycling rates, especially for small scale metals Global Metal Flows report 2b: Metal Recycling – Opportunities, Limits, Infrastructure Developing recycling technologies
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The recycling process is mainly determined by the carrier metals: DfR, DfRE
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Collection as part of the recycling system Enhancing suitable collection infrastructure to enhance collection rates
Secure sufficient volumes to facilitate economic recycling (e.g. metallurgical processing): economic incentives for the delivery of waste to BAT operators (e.g. for discarded mobile phones)
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Future work of IRP Global Metal Flow Working Group Scenario development
Integrative effort for all IRP reports
Building on existing scenario work (IPCC, GEO)
Including linkages between resources
Translating micro-level technologies and innovations to macro-global-level
Policy recommendations
From the total picture of present and potential challenges