investor presentation q1 2020 - boozt€¦ · q1 2019. q1 2020. 1,460. 1,624. q1 2020. 7.8. 7.3. q1...
TRANSCRIPT
Investor presentation Q1 2020
May 14, 2020
2
Key highlights
• Net revenue growth of 7.5% in Q1. Growth in line with expectations in January and February, but negatively impacted by coronavirus in March
• Boozt.com net revenue growth of 0.7% negatively impacted by lower spending on fashion due to economic uncertainty from coronavirus, participating less in end-of-season sales at very high discounts, change of agreement structure with large brand and ‘fair use’ implementation
• Booztlet.com net revenue growth of 112%
• Extraordinary stock write-down of prior season items of SEK 57.8m. Excluding this, the gross margin improved driven by contractual improvements and a higher share of campaign buys
• Adjusted EBIT of SEK -61m. Underlying adjusted EBIT (excluding stock write-down of SEK 57.8m and revaluation of lease contract effect of SEK 5.5m) positive for the quarter driven by gross margin improvements and operational improvements in fulfilment
• Insourcing fulfilment staff operations at fulfilment centre from January 1, 2021 to further improve delivery proposition and reduce cost
• Beauty store in Copenhagen permanently closed. New beauty store to open in Malmö and expected to be break-even
• Strong development in first part of Q2 on revenue and profitability
• Cash position of SEK 434m end of March (including SEK 200m from drawing new RCF) further strengthened by strong cash flow from recent trading
• New 2020 outlook of net revenue growth of 10-20% and an adjusted EBIT margin between 1% and 3%.
Net revenue growthQ1: 7.5% (29.1%)
Adjusted EBIT marginQ1: -8.0% (-1.6%)
New 2020 OutlookNet revenue growth: 10-20%
Adj. EBIT margin: 1-3%
3
Coronavirus impact initially negative...
Impact• General spending on fashion declined significantly in March as a result of the economic
uncertainty following government measures to control the outbreak• Net revenue in March declined on Boozt.com. Margins held up well• Consumers immediately started shopping at lower price points boosting the appeal of
Booztlet which grew +100% in March
Measures takenPeople• Office employees working from home since March 11• Extensive safety measures taken at fulfilment centre to protect the staff• 100% operational in all areas
Strategic/financial• Focus on making costs variable to sales. Most costs already variable to sales (minus most
admin & other costs)• Lowered up-front buy for AW20 season• Reduced offline marketing spend• Utilized new revolving credit facility of SEK 200m to safeguard liquidity• Secured the base to be able to quickly turn attention to the current growth opportunities
Suspension of 2020 outlook and extraordinary stock write-down
• Original 2020 outlook suspended due to high uncertainty
• Extraordinary write-down of prior season stock of SEK 57.8m
• Primarily SS19 stock but also parts of pre-AW19 stock
• With subdued demand expected, Boozt.com to focus on in season stock to secure healthy inventory going forward
• Booztlet.com to sell written down stock
KPI highlightsCustomer satisfaction
4.6 4.6
Q1 2019 Q1 2020
7072
Q1 2019 Q1 2020
Customer satisfactionTrustpilot* and Net Promoter Score®**
Boozt.com
Trustpilot NPS
* Trustpilot.com is a leading customer review site with ranking range from 0 to 5** Net Promoter Score (NPS) is a tool to gauge the loyalty of a firm’s customer relationships. The metric was developed by and is a registered trademark of Fred Reichheld, Bain & Company and Satmetrix
4
5
KPI highlightsOrder development
No. of orders(000)
Boozt.com
854 854
Q1 2019 Q1 2020
Average order value
774785
Q1 2019 Q1 2020
SEK
2.40 2.41
Q1 2019 Q1 2020
1,460
1,624
Q1 2019 Q1 2020
7.87.3
Q1 2019 Q1 2020
6
KPI highlightsCohort development
Active customers Customers who made at least one order during LTM (000)
Boozt.com
+11%
No. of orders per active customer True frequencyOrder frequency from customers buying in Q1 2019 (Q1 2018) and the following 12 months
6.8 6.6
Excluding ”fair use” customers
Moving Beauty by Boozt physcial retail to Sweden
Beauty by Boozt store in Malmö expected to be break-even
7
Background:• Access to beauty segment more expensive than expected with
Copenhagen store losing SEK 15-20m annually• No material improvement seen or expected despite many initiatives
Action:• Exit clause in lease contract to be exercised at first opportunity in
April 2021, terminating lease contract in April 2022• Temporary Booztlet store to be run out of location until April 2022
Impact:• One-off costs including write-downs of SEK 35.4m consists of:
• SEK 25.7m write-down of right-of-use asset of the store• SEK 9.7m relates to fixtures, inventory and staff
• Negative effect of SEK 5.5m from revaluation of the lease contract to include 18-month penalty fee, impacting adjusted EBIT
Opening Beauty store in MalmöClosing Beauty store in Copenhagen
• Store to open soon in Emporia shopping mall next to HQ at significant lower costs
• Positive feedback from suppliers• Moving many buying agreements to
Sweden, improving gross margin
We remain committed to Beauty Increases relevance to customer Improves unit economics Among fastest growing categories
Financial update
First quarter 2020
9
Group results
Gross profitSEK million
Net revenueSEK million
Adjusted EBITSEK million
269.9244.3
57.8
Q1 2019 Q1 2020
Margin 31.9%
Margin 37.9%
-11.3
61.0
Q1 2019 Q1 2020
Margin -8.0%
Margin -1.6%
Group
712.4766.0
Q1 2019 Q1 2020
+8%
Margin 39.4%
Extraordinary write-down
Gross margin
Gross margin excluding extraordinary stock write-down
Margin 0.3%
Adjusted EBIT margin
Adjusted EIT margin excluding extraordinary stock write-down and IFRS revaluation of lease contract
Extraordinary stock write-down of SEK 57.8m and IFRS revalaution of lease contract of SEK 5.5m
Highlights
• Growth in January and February in line with expectations, but March declined due to coronavirus impact
• Extraordinary stock write-down of SEK 41m of prior season items
• Underlying gross margin improved supported by contractual improvements and campaign buys
• Underlying adjusted EBIT margin improved from operational improvements in fulfilment
• Average order value increased driven by lower returns from ´fair use´ policy
• Strong development in first part of Q2
Boozt.com
The Boozt.com segment includes operations related to the Boozt.com site. More than 95% of the revenue comes from third party brands where the Group carries the inventory risk. 10
SEK million
Q12020
Q12019
Net revenue 665.1 660.6
Net revenue growth 0.7% 25.3%
Adjusted EBIT -48.4 -10.4
Adjusted EBIT margin -7.3% -1.6%
527
688
584
860
661
832
691
967
665
2.1%
3.0%2.5% 2.7%
2.4% 2.5%2.1%
3.2%
1.9%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
9%
10%
-85
115
315
515
715
915
1115
1315
Q12018
Q22018
Q32018
Q42018
Q12019
Q22019
Q32019
Q42019
Q12020
Net revenue
Adj. EBIT margin R12M
3.2% Excluding extraordinary write-down
11
Booztlet.com
Highlights
• Very strong momentum
• Attractive customer acquisition cost level secures strong growth and earnings
• Extraordinary stock write-down of SEK 17m
• Strong underlying profitability
• Increasing marketing investments including offline marketing
• High industry inventory level offer good opportunities for purchasing high quality stock at attractive prices
• Accelerating growth in first part of Q2
Segment Booztlet.com includes operations on the Booztlet.com site, which is the Group’s online outlet.
22 23
36
25
46
58
6875
97
12.8% 13.7% 11.3% 11.5% 9.6% 10.3% 11.1% 10.8%
6.1%
Q12018
Q22018
Q32018
Q42018
Q12019
Q22019
Q32019
Q42019
Q12020
Net revenue
Adj. EBIT margin R12M
SEK million
Q12020
Q12019
Net revenue 96.7 45.5
Net revenue growth 112% 104%
Adjusted EBIT -4.3 4.2
Adjusted EBIT margin -4.5% 9.1%
11.8%Excluding extraordinary write-down
12
3 46 7 6
9
57
4
-1.7-4.9 -6.1
-7.5-5.0 -3.7 -3.6 -3.3
-8.2Q1
2018Q2
2018Q3
2018Q4
2018Q1
2019Q2
2019Q3
2019Q4
2019Q1
2020
Net revenue
Adj. EBIT
Other
Highlights
• Net revenue decreased due to the coronavirus related closure of the stores during most of March. Eligible for government support, but none taken
• Adjusted EBIT decreased due to the revaluation of the lease contract at the beauty store to include a penalty fee for using the exit clause
• Underlying loss at unchanged level with no improvements expected
• Decision to close Beauty by Boozt store in Copenhagen by use of exit clause at first opportunity in April 2021, terminating the lease in April 2022. A temporary Booztlet store will be operated out of the location until April 2022
• One-off costs including write-downs of SEK 35.4m
• SEK 25.7m relates to future leasing costs
• SEK 9.7m relates to write-down of fixtures, inventory and terminated staff
• New Beauty by Boozt flagship store to open in Malmö, Sweden at significant lower costs. Expected to be around break-even
The segment Other includes the Group’s physical retail stores. This includes the Group’s physical retail outlet, Booztlet, which is a last resort for clearance of unsold inventory from the online business. The segment also includes the physical retail store Beauty by Boozt. The opening of a physical beauty store has been necessary in order to get the online distribution rights in the Nordics from many of the leading beauty brands.
SEK million
Q12020
Q12019
Net revenue 4.2 6.3
Adjusted EBIT -8.2 -5.0
Share of net revenue, %
Cost ratios
13
Gross margin 31.9 (6.0 pp)37.9
Adjusted EBIT margin (8.0) (6.4 pp)(1.6)
Fulfilment cost ratio (13.4) 1.4 pp(14.8)
Marketing cost ratio (10.3) 0.0 pp(10.3)
Adjusted1 admin & other cost ratio* (11.6) (0.6 pp)(11.0)
Adjusted2 depreciation cost ratio (4.5) (1.1 pp)(3.4)
Q1 2020 ChangeQ1 2019
*where of cost of personnel (7.9) (0.9 pp)(7.0)
1 Adjusted for social charges related to share based compensation 2 Adjusted for one-off costs including write-downs related to the closure of Copenhagen beauty store
3.4 1.3
9.1 13.8
Q1 2019 Q1 2020
Fixed assets
Intangibles (excl. Goodwill)
-55.0
-6.9
Q1 2019 Q1 2020
14
SEK millionCAPEX Operational cash flow
SEK million
Cash flow
380.2413.0
Q1 2019 Q1 2020
SEK million (in % of LTM revenue)
Net working capital
12.9% 11.9%
Group
15
Strong development in first part of Q2
Beauty net revenue growth of 80% year-to-date -
represents 5% of net revenue on Boozt.com
• Net revenue on both Boozt.com and Booztlet.com better than expected driven by ability to adapt to new reality and execute tailor-made campaigns on a day-to-day basis
• Strong new customer intake make up for lower spending from existing customers
• Strong traction in categories with very strong growth in Kids, Sport and Beauty
• Positive effect during first part of Q2 from many physical retailers being closed
• Profitability developing positively
• Strong cash position, further increasing from level end of March
• Pursuing growth opportunities aggressively
Strong progress towards strategic priority of building the Nordic premium department store online
76% growth in number of new customers in April 2020
compared to number of new customers in April 2019
Acceleration of growth momentum in Booztlet.com in Q2
Kids BeautySport
between 1% and 3%between 10% and 20%
16
Outlook
Outgrow the Nordic online market significantly to expand market share
Exceed 6% adjusted EBIT margin by 2022
For 2020 the Group now expects a net revenue growth
Net revenue growth
Adjusted EBIT margin
Medium term targets
The adjusted EBIT margin is now expected to be
This guidance replaces the former guidance, which due to the economic uncertainty from the coronavirus pandemic was suspended on April 5, 2020
17
The Company’s financial targets set forth above constitute forward-looking information that is subject to considerable uncertainty.The financial targets are based upon a number of assumptions relating to, among others, the development of the Company’sindustry, business, results of operations and financial condition. Company’s business, results of operations and financial condition,and the development of the industry and the macroeconomic environment in which the Company operates, may differ materiallyfrom, and be more negative than, those assumed by the Company’s when preparing the financial targets set out above. As a result, theCompany’s ability to reach these financial targets is subject to uncertainties and contingencies, some of which are beyond its control,and no assurance can be given that the Company will be able to reach these targets or that the Company’s financial condition orresults of operations will not be materially different from these financial targets.
Disclaimer
Appendix
19
Income statement
Appendix
20
Financial position (1 of 2)
Appendix
21
Financial position (2 of 2)
Appendix
22
Cash flow (1 of 2)
Appendix
23
Cash flow (2 of 2)
Appendix
Company overview
25
A Nordic technology company selling fashion, sport and beauty online
26
Towards Nordic online leadership…
Online leadership
• Strive towards Nordic online market leadership
• Leverage the technology platform
• Invest in infrastructure
• Maintain disciplined portfolio management
2017 -> 2011 - 2013
Launch of Boozt.com
• New strategy launched and multi-brand shop opened
• On-boarding of brands
• Creation of an integrated tech platform
• Marketing focus in Denmark
Expansion & Nordic scale
• On-boarding of brands
• Nordic expansion
• Assortment expansion towards premium
• Securing funding & accelerate growth
• Launch of Booztlet.com
2014 - 2016
Dec 2019
SEK 395m (net revenue)
Aug 2011
SEK 0.7m (net revenue)
+56%
+71%
+44%
+38%
+23%
6263
67
71 71
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Net revenue Group
NPS Boozt.com
27
Strong growth potential in online fashion and beauty in the Nordics
Source: Company estimates and Euromonitor.
Total market
SEK ~ 280bn
SEK ~125bn
SEK ~84bn
Penetration AND market share gains drive growth
Online penetration levels at various stages hint to the market potential
SEK ~56bn TODAY@ ~20% online penetration
@ 30% online penetration
@ 45% online penetration
28
Curation and convenience are key success factors in Nordic online fashion
• Relevant and curated selection• Personalised yet ”power to the people”• Nudging and not forcing
• Seamless user experience across platforms
• Convenient delivery and return options
• Easy access customer care
• Pay THE (right) price
• Fully automated warehouse• Fast free deliveries• Fast free returns
29
Booztlet with strong momentumIncreases addressable market and a hedge against economic downturn
First Year Year + 1 Year + 2 Year + 3 Year + 4 Year + 5
New customers profitable first year
(CLV includes marketing costs)
Copying the Boozt.com journey and experience
Own buy and special productions to improve “everyday store” feeling
New markets – leverage brand in Norway
Impact from more marketing (offline initiatives)
Very fragmented competitive landscape
Strong growth opportunities
Partner with brands to manage excess inventory in the Nordics
UrgencyUniquenessDiscovery
12 1422 23
3625
4658
6875
Q32017
Q42017
Q12018
Q22018
Q32018
Q42018
Q12019
Q22019
Q32019
Q42019
From life-cycle management to hyper growth
Leveraging the strong brand relationships to create unique offering
Booztlet CLV secures high EBIT margins today (~10%)
Responsibility integrated into our value chain providing business opportunity
Boozt responsibility vision
Our vision is to use our local Nordic position and our technology platforms to make sustainable choices easy for our customers and our partners.
By taking responsibility for our direct and indirect footprint on the value chain, and empowering people to act consciously, we strive to build a more sustainable future for fashion.
Responsible practices ensure that we meet the needs of our customers and the industry 30
31
Clearly defined target market for Boozt.com
One destination for fashion
Curated, contemporary and relevant selection
Carefully selected brands with Nordic appealAttractive customer characteristics
Focus on target groups where convenience is key
Diversified customer base with attractive features
~70% ~85% ~55%Women Live together Have kids
Customers aged 25-54 represent >75% of net revenue
21
Competitive offering to modern Nordic fashion followers
76.3
49.4 47.7 46.6
32
Attractive position in a market where local scale matters
Prod
uct s
egm
ent f
ocus
Prem
ium
Com
mer
cial
Entry
pric
e
Catch-all Curated
Brand strategy
Distinct position based on a curated Nordic selection
Illustrative Nordic market landscape
Boozt’s positioning delivers a high AOV leaving room for high marketing
AOV excl. VAT & returns in EUR *
Selectively active in the Nordic region
* Zalando, 2018 full year, subtracted 20% VAT, Boozt & Nelly 2019 full year converted with an SEK/EUR exchange rate of 10.59, Asos full year 2018/2019 (FY ended Aug 2019), converted to EUR with an exchange rate of GBP/EUR = 1.14
33
Average order value is key to market-leading growth AND high profitability
808*
487
111
107
8024
60.3%
13.7%
13.2%
9.9%3.0%
Goods for resale
Operational costs
Profit per order
Cost split per order
81
26
10.0%
3.2%
Fulfilment & distribution
Marketing
Admin & other
Depreciation
EBIT
* Boozt.com AOV 2019 (SEK)
• The relatively high AOV and local scale yields a high profit per order …
• … Allowing for a high marketing spend to drive market-leading growth …
• … While still having a positive margin with incremental improvements
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020e
<2015 cohorts 2015 cohort 2016 cohort 2017 cohort 2018 cohort 2019 cohort Expected 2020 revenue from existing cohorts Expected 2020 revenue from 2020 cohort
Loyal cohorts and new customers drive growth on Boozt.com
Net revenue from new customers
Net revenue from existing customers
34
Net revenue Boozt.com
Msek
35
Growing as fast as unit economics make sense
Contribution margin development
First year Year + 1 Year + 2 Year + 3 Year + 4 Year + 5
Accumulated CLV for Boozt.com
First year Year + 1 Year + 2 Year + 3 Year + 4 Year + 5
Customer lifetime value (CLV)
…followed by steep accumulation in live time value
CLV is defined as gross profit less fulfillment & distribution and marketing costs attributable to a particular customer cohort.
Initial negative contribution from new customers…
Steadily towards online leadership without overpaying for new customers
36
Net revenue
Msek
1.6%
2.5%
3.0%
3.7%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
2016 2017 2018 2019
Boozt.com + Booztlet.com
Net revenue
Adjusted EBIT margin
Net revenue growth
Adjusted EBIT margin
37
A prerequisite for success is a well invested, data driven operating platform
Homegrown purpose-built infrastructure enables full control over the customer journey
38
Best in class delivery proposition
1-2 days
Next day
Serving 90% of the Nordic region with 100% of the assortment within same or next day
Automation Phase 2
2018
Automation Phase 4
2020Initiation late 2020 expected
39
Modular expansion driving scalability
Automation Phase 1
2017
We arehere!
Automation Phase 3
2019
Building of new warehouse in progress
Revenue capacity
~2billion
3-4billion
~6-7billion
4-5billion