investments for growth & jobs - deukisi.deu.edu.tr/sedef.akgungor/yerel ve bolgesel...
TRANSCRIPT
Regional & Urban Policy
Investments for growth & jobs
Promoting development and good
governance in EU regions and cities
6th Report on economic, social and territorial cohesion, July 2014
Regional & Urban Policy
Key messages & conclusions
Eric Von Breska,
Head of the Economic Analysis Unit
DG for Regional and Urban Policy
Regional & Urban Policy
6th Cohesion Report
• Art. 175 of the consolidated treaty:
'The Commission shall submit a report to the European Parliament, the Council, the Economic and Social Committee and the Committee of the Regions every three years on the progress made towards achieving economic, social and territorial cohesion …'
• Exceptionally, the report has been delayed by one year to report on the new Cohesion Policy programming period
Regional & Urban Policy
New structure instead of old
1. Smart growth
2. Inclusive growth
3. Sustainable growth
4. Public investment, growth and the crisis
5. Good governance
6. Evolution of Cohesion Policy
7. Impact of Cohesion Policy
8. Cohesion Policy in 2014-2020
1. Economic, social and territorial situation
2. National policies and cohesion
3. Other EU policies and cohesion
4. Impact of Cohesion Policy
Regional & Urban Policy
Regional disparities increased
65
70
75
80
85
90
95
100
105
110
115
120
65
70
75
80
85
90
95
100
105
110
115
120
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
GDP per head Unemployment rate Employment rateCoefficient of variation, 2000=100
Coefficient of variation of GDP per head, employment rate (15-64),
unemployment rate, EU-27 NUTS 2 regions, 2000-2012
Source: Eurostat, DG REGIO calculations
Regional & Urban Policy
Economic disparities
• Crisis halted regional economic convergence
• National GDP projections show slow convergence post-crisis
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
Less developed Member States
Moderately developed Member States
Highly developed Member StatesAnnual average change (%)
Growth of GDP per head in real terms, EU-28, 2001-
Source: Eurostat
Regional & Urban Policy
Crisis reinforced role of Cohesion Policy
• Crisis led to a rapid reduction of public investment as a part of the fiscal consolidation efforts
200
220
240
260
280
300
320
340
200
220
240
260
280
300
320
340
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
EU-28 Public investment (GFCF)
EU-28 Public investment without 2007-2013Cohesion Policy payments (ERDF, ESF, CF)
EUR billion at 2005 prices
Impact of Cohesion Policy on public
investment, 2007-2013
Source: Eurostat and DG REGIO
Regional & Urban Policy
Cohesion policy 2007-2013 and national counterpart represents a significant proportion of public investment in Member States
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
Slo
vaki
a
Lith
uan
ia
Hu
nga
ry
Bu
lgar
ia
Latv
ia
Po
rtu
gal
Esto
nia
Cze
ch R
epu
blic
Po
lan
d
Mal
ta
Ro
man
ia
Slo
ven
ia
Gre
ece
Spai
n
EU 2
7
Ital
y
Cyp
rus
Ger
man
y
Fin
lan
d
Fran
ce
Un
ited
Kin
gdo
m
Be
lgiu
m
Swed
en
Au
stri
a
Irel
and
Net
her
lan
ds
Den
mar
k
Luxe
mb
ou
rg
Average 2011-2013
SF and CF (and national co-financing) as % of total public investment (GFCF and capital transfers)
Regional & Urban Policy
Tangible benefits of cohesion policy in 2007-2013
• 594 000 jobs created – at least 262 000 in SMEs
• 77 800 start-up companies supported
• 2 700 KM of new or reconstructed railways
• 25 800 KM of new or reconstructed roads
• Broadband access for 5 million citizens
• Access to clean drinking water for 3.2 million citizens
• ESF: 15 million participants per year
• 940 financial instruments in 25 Member States rising EUR 12.6 billion € OP funding (including EUR 8.36 billion structural Funds) for equity, loans and guarantees
Regional & Urban Policy
Cohesion Policy 2014-20 in the EU economic policy mix
Country-specific recommendations are the reference for Partnership
Agreements and programmes
Regional & Urban Policy
Cohesion Policy 2014-2020
• Focus on growth-enhancing investments
• Concentration on Europe 2020 priorities
• Improving governance
• Linked to the European Semester
• Linked to structural reform through ex-ante conditionalities
Regional & Urban Policy
State of programming 2014-2020
• 16 Partnership Agreements (PAs) adopted
• All remaining PAs have been commented and will be adopted by the end of the year
• 197 out of the 205 REGIO-led Operational Programmes (Ops) have been submitted.
• 181 out of 187 ESF/YEI OPs have been submitted, incl. 33 OPs covering YEI
• So far 6 OPs have been adopted.
Regional & Urban Policy
33,5
17,0
3,5
7,7
1,1
6,2
11,0
2,9
25,6
15,5
3,6
30,1
32,7
13,7
40,0
3,2
26,3
20,9
30,7
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45
11. Good governance
10. Education
09. Social inclusion
08. Employment
07. Network infrastructure
06. Environment
05. Climate change adaptation
04. Low-carbon economy
03. SMEs support
02. ICT
01. Innovation and R&D
ESF ERDF CF
EUR billion at current prices
Allocation to thematic objectives by Fund (EUR), 2014-
Source: Final and draft partnership agreements as of 1 June 2014
Regional & Urban Policy
30,2
22,8
15,8
31,2
31,5
18,2
12,1
38,2
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45
ESF Priorities(TOs 8-11)
Networkinfrastructure
(TO 7)
Climate changeadaptation andenvironment
(TOs 5-6)
ERDF concentrationpriorities(TOs 1-4)
2014-2020 2007-2013
% of total (excl. Tech. Assist.)
Allocation by thematic objective, EU-28, 2014-2020
Source: SFC and Final and draft partnership agreements as of 1 June 2014
Regional & Urban Policy
Ex-ante conditionality is challenging
13
20
18
17
16
18
14
14
9
16
18
4
5
7
9
3
5
9
11
15
7
7
3
1
5
3
2
2
2
8
2
3
2
4
2
3
3
2
3
3
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28
11. Good Governance
10. Education
09. Social inclusion
08. Employment
07. Network Infrastrastructure
06. Environment
05. Climate change adaptation
04. Low-carbon economy
03. SME support
02. Information Communication…
01. Innovation and R&D
Number of MS
EAC notcompletelyfulfilled
EAC fulfilled
Not applicable
Not available
Source: Commission assessment of PAs Based on information available in June 2014
Regional & Urban Policy
Next steps
• Full reporting on Cohesion Policy 2014-2020 programming period by end of 2015
• Ex-post evaluation of 2007-2014 by end of 2015
• Midterm review/revision of MFF by end of 2016
• 7th Cohesion Report in 2017 (including policy proposals post 2020)
Regional & Urban Policy
6th Cohesion Report
Manuela GELENG
Head of Unit, ESF Policy and Legislation
DG Employment, Social Affairs and Inclusion
European Commission
Regional & Urban Policy
Overview
• 1. Employment, social and education trends (chapter 2 of the Report)
• 2. Policy framework and ESIF (ch.2)
• 3. ESF 2014-20 support to institutional capacity building and public administration reform (ch.5/ ch.8)
• 4. State of play programming of ESF and YEI OPs (ch.8)
Regional & Urban Policy
Key trends
The crisis has widened disparities in employment rates;
EU2020 employment target of 75% is currently far from reach;
Unemployment highest in the EU in over a decade; major risks for youth;
Early school leaving rates improve but significant challenges for education and training systems;
At-risk-of-poverty rates increased in 17 MS;
Severe material deprivation is on the rise 11% of the EU population in 2012. It is worst in southern and eastern MS.
Regional & Urban Policy
EU Policy framework and ESIF
The EU2020 policy framework for "inclusive growth": higher employment rates as well as greater focus on social inclusion
EU2020 is now the backbone of the ESIF legal framework 2014-2020 => Funds will have to concentrate on a limited number of priorities (for the ESF, up to 5 investment priorities)
Despite the increasing needs as outlined already, need to ensure value for EU investments.
Regional & Urban Policy
ESF 2014-20 support to institutional capacity building and public administration reform
ICB is a key EU2020 and CPR priority
Need to differentiate between stricto senso capacity to manage EU funds and the broader needs for comprehensive public administration reforms.
A strategic approach to ICB is a prerequisite for successful reforms (though not present in all MS)
Regional & Urban Policy
State of play ESF/YEI programming
187 ESF/YEI OPs expected; 181 officially submitted, incl. 33 OPs covering YEI
5 OPs adopted (incl. 2 YEI dedicated OPs)
Overall, close link between CSR and MS selection of investment priorities for the ESF
ESF continues to be the main employment and human capital EU instrument, now boosted also by YEI for youth employment
More could be desired as regards funding allocations to Roma, social systems and PES reforms, education, and the ambition of public administration reforms.
Regional & Urban Policy
Further information
ESF thematic publications 2014-2020:
Youth employment/YEI: http://ec.europa.eu/esf/BlobServlet?docId=450&langId=en
Promoting inclusive growth: http://ec.europa.eu/esf/BlobServlet?docId=445&langId=en
Promoting Good Governance: http://ec.europa.eu/esf/BlobServlet?docId=444&langId=en
Simplified cost options with the ESF in Italy: http://ec.europa.eu/esf/BlobServlet?docId=453&langId=en
Regional & Urban Policy
6th Cohesion Report
Lewis Dijkstra
Deputy Head of the Economic Analysis Unit
DG for Regional and Urban Policy
Regional & Urban Policy
Regional competitiveness
• Boosting competitiveness requires more investments in innovation, entrepreneurship, education, digital and physical networks and more exports & FDI
Chapter 1
Regional & Urban Policy
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
Share
of
renew
able
energ
y in g
ross f
inal energ
y c
onsum
ption,
%
Renewable energy consumption, 2006-2012
2006
2012
Target 2020
Chapter 3
Regional & Urban Policy
Governance
Poor governance slows down Cohesion Policy implementation, reduces its impact and hinders economic growth and entrepreneurship
Chapter 5
Regional & Urban Policy
A growing source of investment
0,00
0,05
0,10
0,15
0,20
0,25
0,30
0,35
0,40
0,00
0,05
0,10
0,15
0,20
0,25
0,30
0,35
0,40
19
76
19
81
19
86
19
95
20
04
20
07
20
12
CF ESF ERDF% of gross national income (GNI)
Cohesion Policy expenditure, 1976-2012
Source: DG BUDG, AMECO, DG REGIO calculations
EU-9 EU-10 EU-12 EU-15 EU-25 EU-27
Chapter 6
Regional & Urban Policy
A stronger focus on key priorities
0
20
40
60
80
100
1989-1993 1994-1999 2000-2006 2007-2013
Technical assistance
Environment
Employment, education,social inclusion
Infrastructures (Transport,Energy, Telecom)
Business support, R&Dand innovation
% of total
Composition of Cohesion Policy investment in less developed regions, 1989-
Source: DG REGIO
Regional & Urban Policy
Europe 2020
• Less developed regions furthest removed from both EU and national 2020 targets
Chapter 6
Regional & Urban Policy
Impact on EU economies
Evaluations have shown that cohesion investments have contributed to improving the structure of the EU economies by:
• enhancing the performance of enterprises, increase their investment and employment, particularly for SMEs.
• increasing firms activities in R&D and their capacity to innovate
• improving public infrastructure
• improving the matching between supply and demand on the labour market
At the macro level, model simulations show that Cohesion Policy has a significant impact on GDP, in particular in the Member States which are the main beneficiaries of the policy.
Chapter 7
Regional & Urban Policy
• Cohesion Policy will significantly boost GDP per head in less developed regions
• The impact over time will spread to main trade partners
• Better core TEN-T network strengthens market integration and specialisation.
Chapter 8
Regional & Urban Policy
Conclusions
• Real challenges
• Regional economic disparities
• Increasing unemployment, poverty and exclusion
• Real impact
• Growth and jobs, innovation, networks, sustainable development
• Real change
• Linked to Europe 2020 and the European Semester
• Concentrated on EU priorities