investment framwork tanzania_cs-powerpoint

39
! #$% &#'$()*$#) +,-*$%.,/ 0., )1$ 2$(3.#($ ). !&45 6.,$ 7-89$ 0., )1$ 6.#$: %;)1;# - +,-*$%.,/ .0 51-,$< 2$(3.#(;=;8;):

Upload: indonesia-aids-coalition

Post on 07-Jun-2015

315 views

Category:

Health & Medicine


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Investment framwork tanzania_cs-powerpoint

!"#$%"&#'$()*$#)"+,-*$%.,/"0.,")1$"2$(3.#($")."!&45"

"

6.,$"7-89$"0.,")1$"6.#$:"%;)1;#"-"+,-*$%.,/".0"

51-,$<"2$(3.#(;=;8;):"

Page 2: Investment framwork tanzania_cs-powerpoint

Resources available for HIV in low and middle income countries, 1986-2010

Page 3: Investment framwork tanzania_cs-powerpoint

We have done a lot…

!  >#3,$?$<$#)$<"(?-8$"93".0"@&7"3,$'$#A.#B"),$-)*$#)B"?-,$"-#<"

(933.,)"

!  4$?8;#$";#",-)$".0"#$%"@&7";#0$?A.#(";#"*-#:"?.9#),;$("

! 6.,$")1-#"CDC"*;88;.#"3$.38$".#"

!2E"

! 6;88;.#(".0".,31-#(",$?$;';#F"=-(;?"

$<9?-A.#B"1$-8)1B"(.?;-8"3,.)$?A.#"

Page 4: Investment framwork tanzania_cs-powerpoint

But we can do better

5?-8$"93")."<-)$"F9;<$<"=:"-"G?.**.<;):"-33,.-?1H"

"!  >#(:()$*-A?"3,;.,;A(-A.#"-#<";#'$()*$#)"%;)1"8;*;)$<"=-(;(";#"?.9#),:"$3;<$*;.8.F:"-#<"?.#)$I)"

!  2$(.9,?$("(3,$-<")1;#8:"-?,.(("*-#:"3-,-88$8";#)$,'$#A.#("

!  +.?9(".#"<;(?,$)$";#)$,'$#A.#(",-)1$,")1-#".'$,-88",$(98)("8$-<;#F")."-"0,-F*$#)$<",$(3.#($"

Page 5: Investment framwork tanzania_cs-powerpoint

New Investment Framework

SYNERGIES WITH DEVELOPMENT SECTORS Social protection; Education; Legal Reform; Gender equality; Poverty reduction; Gender-based violence; Health systems (incl. treatment of STIs, blood safety); Community systems; Employer practices.

CRITICAL ENABLERS

Social enablers • Political commitment &

advocacy • Laws, policies &

practices • Community mobilization • Stigma reduction • Mass media • Local responses, to

change risk environment

Programme enablers • Community-centered

design & delivery • Programme

communication • Management & incentives • Production & distribution • Research & innovation

Care & treatment

Male circumcision

Keeping people alive

BASIC PROGRAMME ACTIVITIES

Key populations

Children & mothers

Condoms

OBJECTIVES

Stopping new infections

Behaviour change

Page 6: Investment framwork tanzania_cs-powerpoint

!

"

#!

#"

$!

$"

%!

%"

$!## $!#$ $!#% $!#& $!#" $!#' $!#( $!#) $!#* $!$!

Three investment scenarios Impact on the epidemic

>54"JK;88;.#(L"

M"NDO"

M"NDP"

M"QDO"

M"QDP"

M"PDO"

M"P" R$%"@&7"&#0$?A.#("

J*;88;.#(L"

K9(;#$(("-("9(9-8"M"NDO"

M"NDP"

M"QDO"

M"QDP"

M"PDO"

M"P" R$%"@&7"&#0$?A.#("

J*;88;.#(L"

Page 7: Investment framwork tanzania_cs-powerpoint

!

"

#!

#"

$!

$"

%!

%"

$!## $!#$ $!#% $!#& $!#" $!#' $!#( $!#) $!#* $!$!

>54"JK;88;.#(L"

K9(;#$(("-("9(9-8"

&#'$()*$#)"0,-*$%.,/"

M"NDO"

M"NDP"

M"QDO"

M"QDP"

M"PDO"

M"P" R$%"@&7"&#0$?A.#("

J*;88;.#(L"

Three investment scenarios Impact on the epidemic

Page 8: Investment framwork tanzania_cs-powerpoint

!

"

#!

#"

$!

$"

%!

%"

$!## $!#$ $!#% $!#& $!#" $!#' $!#( $!#) $!#* $!$!

>54"JK;88;.#(L"

2-3;<"(?-8$"93"

3,$';.9("3,.S$?A.#("

K9(;#$(("-("9(9-8"

&#'$()*$#)"0,-*$%.,/"

M"NDO"

M"NDP"

M"QDO"

M"QDP"

M"PDO"

M"P" R$%"@&7"&#0$?A.#("

J*;88;.#(L"

Three investment scenarios Impact on the epidemic

Page 9: Investment framwork tanzania_cs-powerpoint

!

"

#!

#"

$!

$"

$!## $!#$ $!#% $!#& $!#" $!#' $!#( $!#) $!#* $!$!

>54"JK;88;.#(L"

E1$"#$%";#'$()*$#)"0,-*$%.,/"

+.?9(".#"%1-)"*-/$("-"<;T$,$#?$"

K-(;?"U,.F,-**$"

!?A';A$("

V,;A?-8"W#-=8$,("

5:#$,F;$("

Page 10: Investment framwork tanzania_cs-powerpoint

!" #!" $!" %!" &!" '!" (!" )!" *!" +!"

#!!"

,'!! %'!-&++ $'!-%&+ $!!-$&+ #!!-#++ '!-++ .'! V4X"V.9#)"J?$88(Y*8L

V.'$,-F$

ART coverage in 2015 by CD4 count

!" #!" $!" %!" &!" '!" (!" )!" *!" +!"

#!!"

,'!! %'!-&++ $'!-%&+ $!!-$&+ #!!-#++ '!-++ .'! V4X"V.9#)"J?$88(Y*8L

V.'$,-F$

13.1 million (health)

CD4 350

15 million

T4P

Page 11: Investment framwork tanzania_cs-powerpoint

Returns on investment of new investment framework (2011-2020)

Outcomes

Total infections averted More than 12 million

Infant infections averted 1.9 million

Deaths averted 7.4 million

Life years gained 29.4 million

Page 12: Investment framwork tanzania_cs-powerpoint

New investment framework: the tipping point

R$%8:"$8;F;=8$"0.,"),$-)*$#)"

R$%8:";#0$?)$<"

Page 13: Investment framwork tanzania_cs-powerpoint

New infections, behaviour change and treatment coverage in Botswana

Behaviour change

New infections and treatment coverage

Page 14: Investment framwork tanzania_cs-powerpoint

Cost and economic returns 2011 to 2020

Cost/Returns Total additional investment (over 10 years) US$46.5 Billion

Future treatment need averted US$40 Billion

Life years gained US$1,060 per life year gained

Page 15: Investment framwork tanzania_cs-powerpoint

Investment framework projections for new HIV infections

Optimized investment will lead to rapid declines in new HIV infections in many countries

Page 16: Investment framwork tanzania_cs-powerpoint

V.**9#;):"*.=;8;Z-A.#"-((9*3A.#(";#")1$"

;#'$()*$#)"0,-*$%.,/""V.()"$#'$8.3$["?.**9#;):"*.=;8;(-A.#"?.*3.#$#)".0")1$"

?,;A?-8"$#-=8$,("""

"

////$!##//0!1%23/ //$!#'/0!1(/23// /$!$!/0#1!/23///!((9*3A.#(["

•  43567897:/5;<<=3>?@/58A85>?@//•  >3567897:/5;<<=3>?@/976B>57/:7C>B76@///•  377:/D;6/67<=3768E;3/;D/5;<<=3>?@/83:/C8@/F;6G769//•  377:/D;6/?68>3>3HI/H=>:8357I/9=A76B>9>;3/•  A86E5>A8E;3/;D/A7;AC7/C>B>3H/F>?J/K4L/

Page 17: Investment framwork tanzania_cs-powerpoint

V.**9#;):"*.=;8;Z-A.#["*-/$("(?-8$"93"3.((;=8$""

•  R9*=$,".0"3$.38$")$()$<")1,.9F1"?.**9#;):"*.=;8;Z-A.#""

/$!#!M/&(/<>CC>;3/NLOPQ/// /$!#'M/#!+/<>CC>;3///

•  5$,';?$"<$8;'$,:"?.()("J),$-)*$#)L""

/$!#!M/0#)+/A76/@786////$!$!M/0#$'/A76/@786/N0#)/>3/C;F/>35;<7/5;=3?6>79Q//

/

•  4,;';#F"?.()("<.%#["0$%$,".9)3-A$#)"';(;)(B"?.**9#;):"(933.,)"($,';?$"*.<-8;A$("

•  K$\$,"@$-8)1"]9)?.*$("

Page 18: Investment framwork tanzania_cs-powerpoint

V.**9#;):"*.=;8;Z-A.#[""

;#?,$-($("$T$?A'$#$(("•  O;<<=3>?@/<;2>C>98E;3/>3567897:/K4L/?79E3H/68?79/D;=6-

D;C:/>3/P83R83>8I/S><282F7I/T;=?J/UD6>58/83:/PJ8>C83:1///•  O;39>9?73?/5;3:;</=97/>3/A89?/#$/<;3?J9/&/E<79/J>HJ76/>3/

5;<<=3>E79/F>?J/H;;:/5;<<=3>?@/73H8H7<73?/NV73@8Q////•  K@A;?J7E58C/5>65=<5>9>;3/<;:7C/VF8S=C=-W8?8C/M//

–  5;67/>3?76B73E;3M//$&!I!!!/>3D75E;39/8B76?7:/;B76/?73/@7869/–  F>?J/7382C769M/&$!I!!!/>3D75E;39/8B76?7:I/F>?J/<;:79?/<86H>38C/>3567897/>3/5;9?9/

/

Page 19: Investment framwork tanzania_cs-powerpoint

Investement framework allocation in 2015

Page 20: Investment framwork tanzania_cs-powerpoint

E-#Z-#;-["-##9-8"#$%"@&7";#0$?A.#(B"NPQQMNPNP"

!/

$!!!!/

&!!!!/

(!!!!/

*!!!!/

#!!!!!/

#$!!!!/

#&!!!!/

#(!!!!/

$!##/ $!#$/ $!#%/ $!#&/ $!#'/ $!#(/ $!#)/ $!#*/ $!#+/ $!$!/

K-($8;#$"J=9(;#$(("-("9(9-8L"

&#'$()*$#)"+,-*$%.,/"

K-($8;#$"J=9(;#$(("-("9(9-8L"

&#'$()*$#)"+,-*$%.,/"

Page 21: Investment framwork tanzania_cs-powerpoint

E-#Z-#;-["-##9-8"!&45"<$-)1(B"NPQQMNPNP"

!/

$!!!!/

&!!!!/

(!!!!/

*!!!!/

#!!!!!/

#$!!!!/

#&!!!!/

$!##/$!#$/$!#%/$!#&/$!#'/$!#(/$!#)/$!#*/$!#+/$!$!/

K-($8;#$"J=9(;#$(("-("9(9-8L"

&#'$()*$#)"+,-*$%.,/"

Page 22: Investment framwork tanzania_cs-powerpoint
Page 23: Investment framwork tanzania_cs-powerpoint
Page 24: Investment framwork tanzania_cs-powerpoint

Resources available for HIV in low and middle income countries, globally, 2002-2010

Page 25: Investment framwork tanzania_cs-powerpoint

Percentage of care and treatment expenditure from international sources

Page 26: Investment framwork tanzania_cs-powerpoint

Few donors meet the development assistance targets

Net development assistance in 2001 as % of gross national income

Norway Luxembourg

Sweden Denmark

Netherlands Belgium

United Kingdom Finland Ireland France Spain

Switzerland Germany

Canada Austria

Australia Portugal

New Zealand United States

Japan Greece

Italy Korea

1.10% 1.09%

0.97% 0.90%

0.81%

0.50% 0.43% 0.41%

0.38% 0.33% 0.32% 0.32%

0.29% 0.26%

0.21% 0.20%

0.17% 0.15%

0.12%

0.64% 0.56%

0.55% 0.53%

0% 0.3% 0.5% 1% 1.2% 0.7%

Page 27: Investment framwork tanzania_cs-powerpoint

Measuring national commitment to AIDS: the Domestic Investment Priority Index

SOURCE: UNAIDS expenditure data; WHO data on the burden disease; and economic data from the International Monetary Fund World Economic Outlook database

Page 28: Investment framwork tanzania_cs-powerpoint

Economic growth in Africa, 1970–2010 Third-fastest growing region in the World

Page 29: Investment framwork tanzania_cs-powerpoint

Three options for increasing domestic public HIV investment in Africa

Page 30: Investment framwork tanzania_cs-powerpoint

Projected resource needs (in USD billion) Assumed increases of domestic contributions by BRICS and others within ability to pay (economic growth and towards Abudja targets)

LI 9.7

11.3 11.9

13.0 13.6 13.5 12.7 11.8 10.7 9.4 8.0

LMI

UMI

Developm

ent Assistance

Dom

estic financing XY4OT/

Page 31: Investment framwork tanzania_cs-powerpoint

T;<7/Z=79E;39/

•  [J8?/867/?J7/9?68?7H>5/;A73>3H9/D;6/8/37F/:>8C;H=7/86;=3:/7\5>735@]/

•  U67/?J767/;2B>;=9/<>9-<8?5J79/27?F773/?J7/7A>:7<>5/83:/?J7/679A;397]/

•  [J>5J/867/?J7/D85?;69/?J8?/<8G7/>?/:>\5=C?/?;/958C7/=A/289>5/A6;H68<<7/5;<A;373?9]//

•  K;F/5;=C:/A86?3769/J7CA/>3/8AAC>58E;3/;D/?J7/4^/8AA6;85J/

Page 32: Investment framwork tanzania_cs-powerpoint

The beginning of the end of AIDS is in our hands

Page 33: Investment framwork tanzania_cs-powerpoint
Page 34: Investment framwork tanzania_cs-powerpoint

Y785J>3H/A7;AC7/F>?J/976B>579M/_`8<AC79/D;6/$!#'/

V.'$,-F$"J3.398-A.#",$-?1$<L"

O;3:;<9/N:>95;6:83?/5;=AC79Q/ (!"/O;3:;<9/NJ>HJ/6>9G/A;AQ/ '!"/T7`/F;6G/ (!"/aTa/A6;H68<<79/ (!"/4bc/A6;H68<<79/ (!"/

6;88;.#"

K4L/?79E3H/ %$!/UYP/NOb&/%'!I/P&dQ/ ?;F86:9/#'/

Page 35: Investment framwork tanzania_cs-powerpoint

O;9?/A76/A8E73?/A76/@786//NF7>HJ?7:/8B768H7/>3/cT0Q/

" " " " "NPQP " "NPQO " "NPNP"

/e82/N37F/A8E73?9Q/////// /#*!//// / /#$+/ / /)+///e82/N5;3?/A8E73?9Q//////// /#*!/ / /#$*/ / /)(///T76B>57/:7C>B76@/ / /#)(/ / /#&&/ / /##$///#9?/e>37/UYL9/ / / /#'' / /#&)/ / /')///$3:/e>37/UYL9// / /#()* / /+*& / /$+'//

Page 36: Investment framwork tanzania_cs-powerpoint

P79E3H/83:/O;=397C>3H/O;B768H7/83:/5;9?/A76/A769;3/

!"#$%&'(%)*+',$%)"-,#'**'.%/,.%$'#$'.

01

021

031

041

051

061

071

081

091

0:1

1;1<12;

1<14;

1<16;

1<31;

1<51;

1<86; 6; 26

;36;

46;

56;

66;

76;

86;

96;

:6;

!"='(/>'

Page 37: Investment framwork tanzania_cs-powerpoint

fTP/O;9?/U99=<AE;39/

V.()".0"6$)1-<.#$[""

•  %%5/D;6/*!<H/>3/4683/?;/0$1!(/D;6/*!<H/>3/43:;379>8/

•  U2;=?/cTb/#!!!/A76/A769;3/@786/

•  g;>3H/:;F3/2@/$!"/>3/$!#'/83:/2@/J8CD/>3/$!$!/

Page 38: Investment framwork tanzania_cs-powerpoint

•  e>hC7/7B>:7357/D;6/7i75EB73799/•  e>hC7/>3D;6<8E;3/;3/5;9?/•  U9/8/A6;`@M/5;9?/F;6GAC857/A6;H68<9/N2@/$!#'I/'!"/5;B768H7/;D/?J7/#&*/<>CC>;3/7<AC;@779/>3/?J7/D;6<8C/975?;6/>3/5;=3?6>79/F>?J/H73768C>R7:/7A>:7<>59I/8B768H7/=3>?/5;9?/;D/cT0/+/A76/7<AC;@77/A76/@786Q//

X7J8B>;6/OJ83H7/d6;H68<<79/

Page 39: Investment framwork tanzania_cs-powerpoint

•  e>hC7/>3D;6<8E;3/;3/5;9?//

•  O;=3?6@/67B>7F9/NcTb/#/?;/#&/A76/8:=C?/A;A=C8E;3Q//

•  O;<<=3>?@/K78C?J/[;6G769/Nj/cTb/$/A76/8:=C?/A;A=C8E;3Q//

O;<<=3>?@/a;2>C>R8E;3/