introduction, workshop goal, and report on bering sea operational objectives gordon h. kruse...

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Introduction, Workshop Introduction, Workshop Goal, and Report on Bering Goal, and Report on Bering Sea Operational Objectives Sea Operational Objectives Gordon H. Kruse Gordon H. Kruse University of Alaska Fairbanks University of Alaska Fairbanks School of Fisheries & Ocean Sciences School of Fisheries & Ocean Sciences Juneau, Alaska. U.S.A. Juneau, Alaska. U.S.A. Diana Evans Diana Evans North Pacific Fishery Management Council North Pacific Fishery Management Council Anchorage, Alaska. U.S.A. Anchorage, Alaska. U.S.A.

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Page 1: Introduction, Workshop Goal, and Report on Bering Sea Operational Objectives Gordon H. Kruse University of Alaska Fairbanks School of Fisheries & Ocean

Introduction, Workshop Goal, Introduction, Workshop Goal, and Report on Bering Sea and Report on Bering Sea

Operational ObjectivesOperational Objectives

Gordon H. Kruse Gordon H. Kruse University of Alaska Fairbanks University of Alaska Fairbanks

School of Fisheries & Ocean SciencesSchool of Fisheries & Ocean SciencesJuneau, Alaska. U.S.A.Juneau, Alaska. U.S.A.

Diana EvansDiana EvansNorth Pacific Fishery Management CouncilNorth Pacific Fishery Management Council

Anchorage, Alaska. U.S.A.Anchorage, Alaska. U.S.A.

Page 2: Introduction, Workshop Goal, and Report on Bering Sea Operational Objectives Gordon H. Kruse University of Alaska Fairbanks School of Fisheries & Ocean

Project ObjectivesProject Objectives● Report on the current understanding Report on the current understanding of ecosystem indicators in the BS/AIof ecosystem indicators in the BS/AI

● Evaluate pros and cons of existing Evaluate pros and cons of existing indicatorsindicators

● Identify next steps toward developing Identify next steps toward developing and/or validating indicators and and/or validating indicators and evaluating their performance evaluating their performance

● Describe how indicators can best be Describe how indicators can best be used as a tool for resource managersused as a tool for resource managers

Page 3: Introduction, Workshop Goal, and Report on Bering Sea Operational Objectives Gordon H. Kruse University of Alaska Fairbanks School of Fisheries & Ocean

Project ApproachProject Approach

1.1. Workshop of regional Workshop of regional experts:experts:

● Develop a set of Develop a set of operational objectives for operational objectives for the southeast Bering Sea the southeast Bering Sea ecosystemecosystem

● Address challenges of Address challenges of developing indicators and developing indicators and evaluating their utilityevaluating their utility

Page 4: Introduction, Workshop Goal, and Report on Bering Sea Operational Objectives Gordon H. Kruse University of Alaska Fairbanks School of Fisheries & Ocean

Project ApproachProject Approach

2.2. Evaluate two ecosystem status reports:Evaluate two ecosystem status reports:

North Pacific North Pacific Ecosystem Status Ecosystem Status

Report (PICES)Report (PICES)

Ecosystem Ecosystem Considerations Chapter Considerations Chapter

(NPFMC)(NPFMC)

Page 5: Introduction, Workshop Goal, and Report on Bering Sea Operational Objectives Gordon H. Kruse University of Alaska Fairbanks School of Fisheries & Ocean

Project Components (continued)Project Components (continued)

3.3. Investigate whole-system Investigate whole-system methodologies for methodologies for indicators of structural indicators of structural changes changes

4.4. Identify next steps:Identify next steps:

● validating indicators validating indicators performanceperformance

● improving monitoring improving monitoring system system

● integration into integration into predictive modelspredictive models

Page 6: Introduction, Workshop Goal, and Report on Bering Sea Operational Objectives Gordon H. Kruse University of Alaska Fairbanks School of Fisheries & Ocean

Large Marine Ecosystems of AlaskaLarge Marine Ecosystems of Alaska

Focus - SE Bering Sea Focus - SE Bering Sea (center of one LME)(center of one LME)

Intent - provide insights, findings Intent - provide insights, findings and recommendations more and recommendations more

broadly applicable to North Pacificbroadly applicable to North Pacific

Page 7: Introduction, Workshop Goal, and Report on Bering Sea Operational Objectives Gordon H. Kruse University of Alaska Fairbanks School of Fisheries & Ocean

DefinitionsDefinitions

Page 8: Introduction, Workshop Goal, and Report on Bering Sea Operational Objectives Gordon H. Kruse University of Alaska Fairbanks School of Fisheries & Ocean

A geographically specified and A geographically specified and adaptive process which:adaptive process which:

● takes into account ecosystem takes into account ecosystem knowledge and uncertainties, knowledge and uncertainties,

● considers multiple external influences, considers multiple external influences, and and

● strives to balance diverse societal strives to balance diverse societal objectives.objectives.

NOAA’s Ecosystems Principles Advisory NOAA’s Ecosystems Principles Advisory Panel (1999)Panel (1999)

Ecosystem Approach to ManagementEcosystem Approach to Management

Page 9: Introduction, Workshop Goal, and Report on Bering Sea Operational Objectives Gordon H. Kruse University of Alaska Fairbanks School of Fisheries & Ocean

Benefits that people receive from ecosystemsBenefits that people receive from ecosystems

Ecosystem ServicesEcosystem Services

ProvisioningProvisioning

Food, fiber, etc.Food, fiber, etc.

RegulatingRegulating

Climate, disease, etc.Climate, disease, etc.

CulturalCultural

Tourism, aesthetics,Tourism, aesthetics,education, etc.education, etc.

SupportingSupporting

Nutrient cycling,Nutrient cycling,primary prod., etc.primary prod., etc.

Page 10: Introduction, Workshop Goal, and Report on Bering Sea Operational Objectives Gordon H. Kruse University of Alaska Fairbanks School of Fisheries & Ocean

Making EAM OperationalMaking EAM Operational

Page 11: Introduction, Workshop Goal, and Report on Bering Sea Operational Objectives Gordon H. Kruse University of Alaska Fairbanks School of Fisheries & Ocean

Setting ObjectivesSetting Objectives

High-level Policy GoalsHigh-level Policy Goals(economic, social, environmental)(economic, social, environmental)

Broad Objective for FisheryBroad Objective for Fishery

Priority IssuesPriority Issues(level at which management can address)(level at which management can address)

Operational ObjectivesOperational Objectives

Indicators and Performance MeasuresIndicators and Performance Measures

Monitoring ReviewMonitoring Reviewand Performance Evaluationand Performance Evaluation

Page 12: Introduction, Workshop Goal, and Report on Bering Sea Operational Objectives Gordon H. Kruse University of Alaska Fairbanks School of Fisheries & Ocean

An ExampleAn ExampleHigh-level Policy Goal:High-level Policy Goal:

● Maintain ecosystem structure and functionMaintain ecosystem structure and function

Broad Objective for Fishery:Broad Objective for Fishery:

● Maintain predators within ecologically viable levelsMaintain predators within ecologically viable levels

Operational Objectives:Operational Objectives:

● Maintaining the spawning biomass of predators (e.g., Maintaining the spawning biomass of predators (e.g., sharks, cod, and halibut) at sharks, cod, and halibut) at ≥35% of unfished levels ≥35% of unfished levels while banning the harvest of forage species (e.g., while banning the harvest of forage species (e.g., capelin, eulachon, sand lance) to maintain natural capelin, eulachon, sand lance) to maintain natural fluctuations in prey abundancefluctuations in prey abundance

Indicator and Performance Measure:Indicator and Performance Measure:

● Biomass estimates of predators (indicator) relative to Biomass estimates of predators (indicator) relative to estimates of unfished biomass (performance measure)estimates of unfished biomass (performance measure)

Page 13: Introduction, Workshop Goal, and Report on Bering Sea Operational Objectives Gordon H. Kruse University of Alaska Fairbanks School of Fisheries & Ocean

Indicator and Performance MeasuresIndicator and Performance Measures

Time

Indi

cato

rIndicator Performance

measures

Reference point (limit)

Reference point (target)

Page 14: Introduction, Workshop Goal, and Report on Bering Sea Operational Objectives Gordon H. Kruse University of Alaska Fairbanks School of Fisheries & Ocean

Current Ecosystem Current Ecosystem Considerations in Fisheries Considerations in Fisheries Management in the Eastern Management in the Eastern

Bering SeaBering Sea

Page 15: Introduction, Workshop Goal, and Report on Bering Sea Operational Objectives Gordon H. Kruse University of Alaska Fairbanks School of Fisheries & Ocean

BS/AI Catch SpecificationsBS/AI Catch Specifications

● Ban on forage fish fisheriesBan on forage fish fisheries● Conservative catch levels for harvested species Conservative catch levels for harvested species

Page 16: Introduction, Workshop Goal, and Report on Bering Sea Operational Objectives Gordon H. Kruse University of Alaska Fairbanks School of Fisheries & Ocean

BS/AI Groundfish Catch SpecificationsBS/AI Groundfish Catch Specifications

Page 17: Introduction, Workshop Goal, and Report on Bering Sea Operational Objectives Gordon H. Kruse University of Alaska Fairbanks School of Fisheries & Ocean

Effort ControlsEffort Controls● License limitationsLicense limitations● IFQs, CDQs, IFQs, CDQs,

cooperativescooperatives

Gear RestrictionsGear Restrictions● bottom trawls banned bottom trawls banned

for pollockfor pollock

Closed AreasClosed Areas● ~381,000 nm~381,000 nm2 2 closed to closed to

trawling to protect trawling to protect habitat, ~60,000 nmhabitat, ~60,000 nm22 for for Steller sea lionsSteller sea lions

Habitat ConservationHabitat Conservation

Page 18: Introduction, Workshop Goal, and Report on Bering Sea Operational Objectives Gordon H. Kruse University of Alaska Fairbanks School of Fisheries & Ocean
Page 19: Introduction, Workshop Goal, and Report on Bering Sea Operational Objectives Gordon H. Kruse University of Alaska Fairbanks School of Fisheries & Ocean

Management of Bycatch and DiscardsManagement of Bycatch and Discards

Year1993 95 97 99 2001

0

5

10

15

20

Discard Rates of Alaska Groundfish● Bycatch limitsBycatch limits

for prohibited for prohibited species – crab, species – crab, salmon, halibut, salmon, halibut, and herringand herring

● Gear restrictionsGear restrictions such as required such as required streamer lines to streamer lines to avoid seabirdsavoid seabirds

● Full retentionFull retention for for pollock and codpollock and cod

Page 20: Introduction, Workshop Goal, and Report on Bering Sea Operational Objectives Gordon H. Kruse University of Alaska Fairbanks School of Fisheries & Ocean

Need for Further EAM? Need for Further EAM?

● No overfishing in 58 assessed stocks off Alaska No overfishing in 58 assessed stocks off Alaska (2004)(2004)

● 4 (crabs) of 32 assessed stocks were overfished 4 (crabs) of 32 assessed stocks were overfished (2004)(2004)

● ““Depleted” not “overfished”?Depleted” not “overfished”?● Other historical declines: Other historical declines:

●Steller sea cowSteller sea cow●WhalesWhales●Sea ottersSea otters●Steller sea lionSteller sea lion●Northern fur sealNorthern fur seal●Spectacled & Steller’s eidersSpectacled & Steller’s eiders

Page 21: Introduction, Workshop Goal, and Report on Bering Sea Operational Objectives Gordon H. Kruse University of Alaska Fairbanks School of Fisheries & Ocean

Goals & Objectives for the Bering SeaGoals & Objectives for the Bering Sea

High-level Policy GoalsHigh-level Policy Goals

Broad Objective for FisheryBroad Objective for Fishery

Priority IssuesPriority Issues

Operational ObjectivesOperational Objectives

Indicators and Performance MeasuresIndicators and Performance Measures

Monitoring ReviewMonitoring Reviewand Performance Evaluationand Performance Evaluation

Page 22: Introduction, Workshop Goal, and Report on Bering Sea Operational Objectives Gordon H. Kruse University of Alaska Fairbanks School of Fisheries & Ocean

NPFMC’s Policy StatementNPFMC’s Policy Statement

… … to apply judicious and responsible to apply judicious and responsible fisheries management practices, based fisheries management practices, based on sound scientific research and on sound scientific research and analysis, proactively rather than analysis, proactively rather than reactively, to ensure the sustainability reactively, to ensure the sustainability of fishery resources and associated of fishery resources and associated ecosystems for the benefit of future, as ecosystems for the benefit of future, as well as current generations.well as current generations.

Page 23: Introduction, Workshop Goal, and Report on Bering Sea Operational Objectives Gordon H. Kruse University of Alaska Fairbanks School of Fisheries & Ocean

NPFMC’s Broad ObjectivesNPFMC’s Broad Objectives

● provide sound conservation of the living provide sound conservation of the living marine resources; marine resources; ● provide socially and economically viable provide socially and economically viable fisheries for the well-being of fishing fisheries for the well-being of fishing communities; communities; ● minimize human-caused threats to minimize human-caused threats to protected species; protected species; ● maintain a healthy marine resource maintain a healthy marine resource habitat; andhabitat; and● incorporate ecosystem-based incorporate ecosystem-based considerations into management decisionsconsiderations into management decisions

Page 24: Introduction, Workshop Goal, and Report on Bering Sea Operational Objectives Gordon H. Kruse University of Alaska Fairbanks School of Fisheries & Ocean

NPFMC’s Priority Conservation Issues NPFMC’s Priority Conservation Issues with Examples of Operational with Examples of Operational Objectives and IndicatorsObjectives and Indicators● Prevent overfishingPrevent overfishing

● Operational ObjectiveOperational Objective – maintain harvest – maintain harvest rates below those defined to be overfishing, rates below those defined to be overfishing, FFOFLOFL

● IndicatorIndicator – estimated annual fishing – estimated annual fishing mortality, i.e., mortality, i.e.,

landings + discards + landings + discards + bycatchbycatch

biomass estimatebiomass estimateIndicator = Indicator =

Page 25: Introduction, Workshop Goal, and Report on Bering Sea Operational Objectives Gordon H. Kruse University of Alaska Fairbanks School of Fisheries & Ocean

NPFMC’s Priority Conservation Issues NPFMC’s Priority Conservation Issues with Examples of Operational with Examples of Operational Objectives and IndicatorsObjectives and Indicators

● Preserve food webPreserve food web

● Operational ObjectiveOperational Objective – do not “fish down the – do not “fish down the food web” by maintaining trophic level within food web” by maintaining trophic level within 3.3 to 3.7 (mean 3.6) over 1954-19763.3 to 3.7 (mean 3.6) over 1954-1976

● IndicatorIndicator –mean trophic level of the catch –mean trophic level of the catch

Page 26: Introduction, Workshop Goal, and Report on Bering Sea Operational Objectives Gordon H. Kruse University of Alaska Fairbanks School of Fisheries & Ocean

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000

Year

Lan

din

gs

(mill

ion

s m

t)

0

1

2

3

4

5

Tro

ph

ic L

evel

of

Cat

ch

Landings (Millions mt)

Trophic Level of Catch

Landings and Trophic Level of CatchLandings and Trophic Level of Catch

Page 27: Introduction, Workshop Goal, and Report on Bering Sea Operational Objectives Gordon H. Kruse University of Alaska Fairbanks School of Fisheries & Ocean

NPFMC’s Priority Conservation Issues NPFMC’s Priority Conservation Issues with Examples of Operational with Examples of Operational Objectives and IndicatorsObjectives and Indicators

● Manage incidental catch and reduce bycatch Manage incidental catch and reduce bycatch and wasteand waste

● Operational ObjectiveOperational Objective – reduce discarded – reduce discarded bycatch by 40% from levels estimated bycatch by 40% from levels estimated during 1994-1997during 1994-1997

● IndicatorIndicator – estimated discards as a – estimated discards as a percentage of total groundfish catchpercentage of total groundfish catch

Page 28: Introduction, Workshop Goal, and Report on Bering Sea Operational Objectives Gordon H. Kruse University of Alaska Fairbanks School of Fisheries & Ocean

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004Year

Dis

card

s (1

000

mt)

0

0.02

0.04

0.06

0.08

0.1

0.12

0.14

0.16

Dis

card

Rat

e

DiscardsDiscard Rate

Discards and Discard Rate for GroundfishDiscards and Discard Rate for Groundfish

Page 29: Introduction, Workshop Goal, and Report on Bering Sea Operational Objectives Gordon H. Kruse University of Alaska Fairbanks School of Fisheries & Ocean

NPFMC’s Priority Conservation Issues NPFMC’s Priority Conservation Issues with Examples of Operational with Examples of Operational Objectives and IndicatorsObjectives and Indicators● Avoid impacts to seabirds and marine Avoid impacts to seabirds and marine

mammalsmammals

● Operational ObjectiveOperational Objective – reduce total seabird – reduce total seabird bycatch on longline vessels by 30% from bycatch on longline vessels by 30% from levels during 1995-1998levels during 1995-1998

● IndicatorIndicator – estimated seabird bycatch based – estimated seabird bycatch based on counts on vessels with observers on counts on vessels with observers extrapolated to the total longline fleetextrapolated to the total longline fleet

Page 30: Introduction, Workshop Goal, and Report on Bering Sea Operational Objectives Gordon H. Kruse University of Alaska Fairbanks School of Fisheries & Ocean

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003Year

Bir

d B

ycat

ch (

nu

mb

ers)

0

0.02

0.04

0.06

0.08

0.1

0.12

0.14

0.16

Bir

ds

per

1,0

00 h

oo

ks

BycatchBycatch Rate

BS/AI Longline Seabird Catch and Catch RateBS/AI Longline Seabird Catch and Catch Rate

Page 31: Introduction, Workshop Goal, and Report on Bering Sea Operational Objectives Gordon H. Kruse University of Alaska Fairbanks School of Fisheries & Ocean

NPFMC’s Priority Conservation Issues NPFMC’s Priority Conservation Issues with Examples of Operational with Examples of Operational Objectives and IndicatorsObjectives and Indicators

● Reduce and avoid impacts to habitatReduce and avoid impacts to habitat

● Operational ObjectiveOperational Objective – reduce bottom – reduce bottom habitat disturbance by 25% from the base habitat disturbance by 25% from the base period, 1991-1998period, 1991-1998

● IndicatorIndicator – annual bottom trawl effort (days – annual bottom trawl effort (days fished)fished)

Page 32: Introduction, Workshop Goal, and Report on Bering Sea Operational Objectives Gordon H. Kruse University of Alaska Fairbanks School of Fisheries & Ocean

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004

Year

Bo

tto

m T

raw

l Eff

ort

(d

ay

s)

Bering Sea Bottom Trawl EffortBering Sea Bottom Trawl Effort

Page 33: Introduction, Workshop Goal, and Report on Bering Sea Operational Objectives Gordon H. Kruse University of Alaska Fairbanks School of Fisheries & Ocean

Reflections from Previous Reflections from Previous “Pre-workshops”“Pre-workshops”

Page 34: Introduction, Workshop Goal, and Report on Bering Sea Operational Objectives Gordon H. Kruse University of Alaska Fairbanks School of Fisheries & Ocean

Some Previous CommentsSome Previous Comments

● Indicators may change – e.g., sea ice may become Indicators may change – e.g., sea ice may become useless for the BS, but remain useful in Arcticuseless for the BS, but remain useful in Arctic

● We try to maintain the mean but eliminate variance. We try to maintain the mean but eliminate variance. What if the variance matters most? What if the variance matters most?

● Use functional groups, such as winter spawners vs. Use functional groups, such as winter spawners vs. summer spawners, or different feeding guilds, etc.summer spawners, or different feeding guilds, etc.

● Use species that we don’t interact with directly – Use species that we don’t interact with directly – e.g., walrus in the BS that feed on clams. Use these e.g., walrus in the BS that feed on clams. Use these for comparison to those we do affect. for comparison to those we do affect.

● Use indicators that are useful in degraded systemsUse indicators that are useful in degraded systems

● Focus on indicators relevant to managementFocus on indicators relevant to management

Page 35: Introduction, Workshop Goal, and Report on Bering Sea Operational Objectives Gordon H. Kruse University of Alaska Fairbanks School of Fisheries & Ocean

Outline of Workshop andOutline of Workshop andRole of ParticipantsRole of Participants

Page 36: Introduction, Workshop Goal, and Report on Bering Sea Operational Objectives Gordon H. Kruse University of Alaska Fairbanks School of Fisheries & Ocean

● Alaska ecosystem considerations report Alaska ecosystem considerations report ● PICES North Pacific ecosystem status reportPICES North Pacific ecosystem status report● Charge to workshop: synthesis and Charge to workshop: synthesis and

complexitycomplexity● Overview of ecosystem indicators relative to Overview of ecosystem indicators relative to

guidelines and operational objectivesguidelines and operational objectives● Use of indicators in other regions and Use of indicators in other regions and

suggestions for the North Pacificsuggestions for the North Pacific● Status of the eastern Bering SeaStatus of the eastern Bering Sea● Report on change detection algorithms Report on change detection algorithms

Day 1Day 1

Page 37: Introduction, Workshop Goal, and Report on Bering Sea Operational Objectives Gordon H. Kruse University of Alaska Fairbanks School of Fisheries & Ocean

Day 2Day 2● Comments on two ecosystem reportsComments on two ecosystem reports● Breakout groups: discuss objectives and use of Breakout groups: discuss objectives and use of

indicators in the North Pacificindicators in the North Pacific● Group reportsGroup reports● Topic breakout groups:Topic breakout groups:

● Matching indicators to objectivesMatching indicators to objectives● Methods to monitor ecosystem structural change Methods to monitor ecosystem structural change ● Monitoring networks: validating indicatorsMonitoring networks: validating indicators● Communicating resultsCommunicating results

Day 3Day 3● North Pacific Research Board perspectiveNorth Pacific Research Board perspective● Review and discuss contributed indicator listReview and discuss contributed indicator list

Page 38: Introduction, Workshop Goal, and Report on Bering Sea Operational Objectives Gordon H. Kruse University of Alaska Fairbanks School of Fisheries & Ocean

● Contributions toward operational objectives Contributions toward operational objectives and ecosystem indicatorsand ecosystem indicators● MaintainMaintain biomass levels or biomass levels or maintainmaintain natural natural

variability?variability?● Are directional actions more appropriate – e.g., Are directional actions more appropriate – e.g.,

reducereduce mortality, etc. mortality, etc.● What indicators are most appropriate for What indicators are most appropriate for

identified operational objectives?identified operational objectives?

● Best ways to monitor structural changeBest ways to monitor structural change● Multivariate statistical analysisMultivariate statistical analysis● Ecological approaches - e.g., based functional Ecological approaches - e.g., based functional

groups of speciesgroups of species● Monitor changes in ecological processes or ratesMonitor changes in ecological processes or rates

Role of ParticipantsRole of Participants

Page 39: Introduction, Workshop Goal, and Report on Bering Sea Operational Objectives Gordon H. Kruse University of Alaska Fairbanks School of Fisheries & Ocean

● Feedback on synthesis and complexityFeedback on synthesis and complexity● Possible to render long lists of indicators Possible to render long lists of indicators

into most meaningful ones?into most meaningful ones?

● Data gaps and monitoring networksData gaps and monitoring networks● What variables or indicators are missing?What variables or indicators are missing?● Ways to involve fishermen and others? Ways to involve fishermen and others?

● How to communicate resultsHow to communicate results● How to involve stakeholders?How to involve stakeholders?● How to incorporate social and economic How to incorporate social and economic

considerations?considerations?● Lessons from other regions?Lessons from other regions?

Role of ParticipantsRole of Participants