introduction to energy systems keywan riahi [email protected]

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ESA 1 ESA-1 Introduction to Energy Systems Keywan Riahi [email protected] Energy Systems Analysis

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Page 1: Introduction to Energy Systems Keywan Riahi riahi@iiasa.ac

ESA 1ESA-1

Introduction to Energy Systems

Keywan [email protected]

Energy Systems Analysis

Page 2: Introduction to Energy Systems Keywan Riahi riahi@iiasa.ac

Energy SystemsInteraction between:

Society-- Society-- Economy

T h l-- Technology-- Policythat shape both-- Demand-- Supplyin terms of quantity, quality, costs, impacts.

Energy Systems Analysis

in terms of quantity, quality, costs, impacts.

Page 3: Introduction to Energy Systems Keywan Riahi riahi@iiasa.ac

Definitions & SI Units• Energy: Capacity to do work• Power: Rate of energy transfer• Power: Rate of energy transfer

Ne ton (N) 1 kg m/s2 (force)• Newton (N): 1 kg m/s2 (force)• Joule (J): 1 N applied over 1 m (energy)

W tt (W) 1 J/ d ( )• Watt (W): 1 J/second (power)

• Example: 1 HP = 745 W (745 J/s) for 1 hr = 0.745 kWh

Energy Systems Analysis

Page 4: Introduction to Energy Systems Keywan Riahi riahi@iiasa.ac

Examples of Power and Energy (ranked by power ratings)( y p g )

PowerW

TimeSec’s

EnergyJ (Ws)

Solar energy to earth per year 1.8 E 17 3.2 E 7 5.5 E 24Earthquake 8 Richter scale 2.0 E 15 3.0 E 1 6.0 E 16Global energy use for 2000 1 4 E 13 3 2 E 7 4 4 E 20Global energy use for 2000 1.4 E 13 3.2 E 7 4.4 E 20Thunderstorm (kinetic energy) 1.0 E 11 1.2 E 3 1.2 E 14Space shuttle lift-off 1.2 E 10 1.2 E 2 1.4 E 12pB 747 flight Tokyo-Frankfurt 1.1 E 8 4.0 E 4 4.4 E 12Energy/day for a supermarket 2.0 E 5 4.3 E 4 8.6 E 9Daily metabolism of adult 1.0 E 2 8.6 E 4 8.6 E 6Burning a small candle 3.0 E 0 1.8 E 3 5.4 E 3

2

Energy Systems Analysis

E = exponent to basis 10, i.e. E 2 = 102 = 100

Based on Smil, 1991

Page 5: Introduction to Energy Systems Keywan Riahi riahi@iiasa.ac

Some Orders of Magnitude g(EJ = 1018 J)

5 500 000 EJ A l l i fl5,500,000 EJ Annual solar influx 1,000,000 EJ Fossil occurrences

50,000 EJ Fossil reserves500 EJ World energy use 2005500 EJ World energy use 2005<1 EJ NY city energy use/yr0 000004 EJ B 747 fli ht0.000004 EJ B-747 flight

Tokyo-Frankfurt

Energy Systems Analysis

Page 6: Introduction to Energy Systems Keywan Riahi riahi@iiasa.ac

Energy Units and Scales(Source: GEA Primer)

Energy Systems Analysis

Page 7: Introduction to Energy Systems Keywan Riahi riahi@iiasa.ac

Rough Equivalences10 Gtoe = 420 EJ1 Gtoe = 42 EJ1 Gtoe = 42 EJ1 Quad = 1 EJ1 Mt 42 PJ1 Mtoe = 42 PJ1 toe = 42 GJ1 boe = 6 GJ1 m3 gas = 40 MJ1 kWh = 4 MJ1 Btu = 1 kJ

Energy Systems Analysis

1 Btu 1 kJ

Page 8: Introduction to Energy Systems Keywan Riahi riahi@iiasa.ac

Energy Flow Characteristics• Physical: chemical, kinetic, electric,

radiant,…ad a t,• Processing depth:

primary→secondary→finalp y y• Transaction levels:

producer→producerp pproducer→consumerconsumer→consumer (future?)

• System boundaries:secondary→final→useful→service

Energy Systems Analysis

Page 9: Introduction to Energy Systems Keywan Riahi riahi@iiasa.ac

Examples of Energy

Conversions, Devices and

( t )(1st Law) Efficiencies

Source: SciAmer, 1972

Energy Systems Analysis

Page 10: Introduction to Energy Systems Keywan Riahi riahi@iiasa.ac

What means….• Primary energy: Resources as extracted from

nature (crude oil solar heat)nature (crude oil, solar heat)• Secondary energy: Processed/converted

energy (gasoline from crude oil electricityenergy (gasoline from crude oil, electricity from coal or hydropower)

• Final energy (as delivered to consumer)a e e gy (as de e ed to co su e )• Useful energy (converted by final appliances

(heat from radiator, light from bulb)( , g )• Services = actual demand: comfort,

illumination, mobility,… (units ephemeral)

Energy Systems Analysis

Page 11: Introduction to Energy Systems Keywan Riahi riahi@iiasa.ac

System Boundaries

• Energy sector: Primary→ Final (domain of supply bias)(domain of supply bias)

• Energy end-use: Final→Useful (d i f bi )(domain of consumer bias)

• Energy Integration (IRM, LC): Primary→Useful/Services

• Full Integration (IA): Whole environment g ( )(incl. “externalities”)

Energy Systems Analysis

Page 12: Introduction to Energy Systems Keywan Riahi riahi@iiasa.ac

Global Energy Flows 1990 (in Gtoe)

Crude oil Coal

Source: IIASA-WEC, 1995&1998

Energy Systems Analysis

Source: IIASA WEC, 1995&1998

Page 13: Introduction to Energy Systems Keywan Riahi riahi@iiasa.ac

Energy Flow: Coal to Light(2005)(2005)

Energy Systems Analysis

Page 14: Introduction to Energy Systems Keywan Riahi riahi@iiasa.ac

Global Energy Flows (EJ in 2005)

Energy Systems Analysis

Page 15: Introduction to Energy Systems Keywan Riahi riahi@iiasa.ac

Laws of Thermodynamics( li f )(no policy can escape from)

• 1st (conservation) Law• 2nd (entropy) Law• 2 (entropy) Law

Thermodynamically no machineThermodynamically, no machine (conversion process) operates in a closed system: i.e. energyclosed system: i.e. energy exchanges with the environment (friction losses, waste heat)

Energy Systems Analysis

( , )

Page 16: Introduction to Energy Systems Keywan Riahi riahi@iiasa.ac

Perpetuum Mobile: Impossible in a Thermodynamically Closed Systemy y y

Energy Systems Analysis

Page 17: Introduction to Energy Systems Keywan Riahi riahi@iiasa.ac

Laws• 1st (conservation) Law: In closed system: energy

can neither be created or destroyedyBUT: Energy devices generally operate in open system (→1st Law efficiency)

• 2nd (entropy) Law: General movement towards lower form values of energy ( l t i t hi h t h t l t h t)(e.g. electricty→high temp.heat→low temp.heat), or increase in ‘disorder’ (entropy); e g candle = flame→light→heat (flame→room)e.g. candle = flame→light→heat (flame→room)MIND: Efficiency depends on adequacy of energy form value for task at hand (→2nd Law efficiency)

Energy Systems Analysis

( y)

Page 18: Introduction to Energy Systems Keywan Riahi riahi@iiasa.ac

Energy Efficiency 1

1st Law efficiency: Ratio of energy output to input;Ratio of energy output to input;

Varying systems boundaries:y g yConversion (gas furnace): ~100% (gas→heat)Device (furnace+exhaust)*: 90%Device (furnace+exhaust) : 90%Final/Useful (furnace→radiator): 60-80%Total system (house heating): ~5% (→2nd Law)

*Without latent heat from condensation = LHV

Energy Systems Analysis

Without latent heat from condensation = LHVIncluding latent heat from condensation = HHV

Page 19: Introduction to Energy Systems Keywan Riahi riahi@iiasa.ac

Energy Efficiency 2

2nd Law efficiency: Minimum amount of exergy required for a particular task /exergy required for a particular task /actual exergy spent in completing the t ktask

Exergy = availability (capacity to do usefulwork) = inverse of entropy) py

Hence: Quality and adequacy mattersEnergy Systems Analysis

Hence: Quality and adequacy matters.

Page 20: Introduction to Energy Systems Keywan Riahi riahi@iiasa.ac

Examples for 2nd Law EfficiencyExergy “Quality” of HeatExergy Quality of Heat

(T – T0) / T

Home heating: outside temp = 0 oCHome heating: outside temp. 0 Cdesired indoor = 21 oC

(294K 273K)/273K 0 077 8%=> (294K-273K)/273K = 0.077 = 8%Process heat: Steam = 700 oC

outside temp. = 20 oC => (973K-293K)/973K = 0 698 = 70%

Energy Systems Analysis

> (973K 293K)/973K 0.698 70%

Page 21: Introduction to Energy Systems Keywan Riahi riahi@iiasa.ac

First and Second Law Efficiencies of Energy Conversion

Source: Gilli et al., 1995

Energy Systems Analysis

Page 22: Introduction to Energy Systems Keywan Riahi riahi@iiasa.ac

Energy Conversion Losses

%EJ

100400Primary energy

75300Final energy

33150Useful energy

<15<60Energy service

Energy Systems Analysis

Page 23: Introduction to Energy Systems Keywan Riahi riahi@iiasa.ac

WORLD-Exergy Efficiency (as percent of primary exergy)( p p y gy)

Energy Systems Analysis

Page 24: Introduction to Energy Systems Keywan Riahi riahi@iiasa.ac

Implications:Rules of thumb for engineers and policy makersg p y

• Largest leverage: Extending system’s boundary for designs and policiesfor designs and policies

• Look at exergy rather than energy alone• Largest possible efficiency gains: End-use andLargest possible efficiency gains: End use and

service efficiency, heat cascading (industrial symbiosis)BUT:

• Efficiency not all (→valuation)• Main scope outside energy engineering/policy:

Architecture, urban & transport planning, lifestyles

Energy Systems Analysis

lifestyles,….

Page 25: Introduction to Energy Systems Keywan Riahi riahi@iiasa.ac

Energy Systems Constraints: I t ti D d S lIntegration Demand - Supply

Physical• Matching form value (purpose?)• Matching spatial scales

M t hi t l l• Matching temporal scalesSocietal: Availability of:C it l• Capital

• Information • Incentives• Incentives• Policy attention

Energy Systems Analysis

Page 26: Introduction to Energy Systems Keywan Riahi riahi@iiasa.ac

Energy Constraints

• Spatial mismatch supply-demand: World trade in fuels 630 Billion $World trade in fuels ~630 Billion $ (~50% of all primary products exports)T l i t h l d d• Temporal mismatch supply-demand (load curves): Need for storage & i t ti ( it l i t i )interconnection (capital intensive)

• Magnitude mismatch supply-demand: Power densities, e.g. renewables vs. urban energy use

Energy Systems Analysis

Page 27: Introduction to Energy Systems Keywan Riahi riahi@iiasa.ac

Energy Systems Analysishttp://www.bp.com/centres/energy2002/gas/trademovement.asp#

Page 28: Introduction to Energy Systems Keywan Riahi riahi@iiasa.ac

Load Curves: Tokyo

Energy Systems Analysis

Source: Mogouro et al., 2002

Page 29: Introduction to Energy Systems Keywan Riahi riahi@iiasa.ac

Li kiLinking Space and

Time in Tokyo: yPower

Density ofDensity of Demand

Source: Mouguro et al., 2002

Energy Systems Analysis

Page 30: Introduction to Energy Systems Keywan Riahi riahi@iiasa.ac

Spatial Power Densities of Energy Production and Consumptionp

Oil fi ld

Thermalpowerplants

Oil fieldsCoal fields

High-rises

Photovoltaics

Houses

Photovoltaics

Supermarkets

Flat plate collectorsIndustry

TidalPhotovoltaics

Hydro

CitiesSteel mills,refineries

Tidal

Wind

y

Photosynthesis

Centralsolar

towers

PhotosynthesisPhotosynthesisPhotosynthesis

Source: Adapted from Smil 1991:243

Energy Systems Analysis

Page 31: Introduction to Energy Systems Keywan Riahi riahi@iiasa.ac

Tokyo – Electricity Demand S l E S lvs. Solar Energy Supply

100000kWh

10000

100000Electricity demand

1000

0000

Solar radiation

100 Solar radiation converted to electricity

10

210 1000 2000 3000

km2

Source: TEPCO & NIES, 2002

Page 32: Introduction to Energy Systems Keywan Riahi riahi@iiasa.ac

Valuation: Multicriteria overall performance

• Efficiency (energy, exergy)• Productivity (per service rendered, e.g. y (p g

value added) = Energy Intensity• Costs (money, time, information)Costs (money, time, information)• Externalities (social, environmental)

P t i t f t• Paramount importance of systems boundaries (“who pays”)

Energy Systems Analysis

Page 33: Introduction to Energy Systems Keywan Riahi riahi@iiasa.ac

Cooking Stoves Energy Efficiency and (Capital and Time) CostsEnergy Efficiency and (Capital and Time) Costs

70 80

s ($

)

y (%

)

athe

ring

60

5060

Cap

ital c

ost

Stov

e ef

ficie

ncy

Stove efficiency nute

s fo

r fue

l g40

30

40

Capital costs

S y

Min20

10

20

Time costs

Animaldung intraditionalstoves

Agriculturalwaste intraditionalstoves

Traditionalwoodstoves

Traditionalcharcoalstoves

Improvedwoodstoves

Improvedcharcoalstoves

KerosenewickstovesKerosenepressurestoves

LPGstoves

Eletricstoves

Electrichot plate

0 0

Energy Systems Analysis

stoves

Source: Adapted from OTA, 1992.

Page 34: Introduction to Energy Systems Keywan Riahi riahi@iiasa.ac

Examples of Different Costs of Energy• Supply costs (producer perspective):

$/gal to station• Consumer purchase costs (incl taxes• Consumer purchase costs (incl. taxes,

DOE perspective): $/gal from station• Direct end-use costs (consumer perspective):

h & i t f $/ lpurchase & maintenance of car + $/gal• IRM: producer + consumer costs• Neglected costs:• Neglected costs:

-- inconvenience costs: riding a small, efficient car; heating with gas ($$$) not coal ($)heating with gas ($$$), not coal ($)

-- social externalities (accidents)-- environmental externalities (pollution)

Energy Systems Analysis

environmental externalities (pollution)

Page 35: Introduction to Energy Systems Keywan Riahi riahi@iiasa.ac

Implications:R l f th b f i t d li kRules of thumb for economists and policy makers

(very rough orders of magnitude)

At wellhead: 1 $/bblBefore Prod. Gov.: 3 $/bbl

Extraction company

TUpstream (trade): 10 $/bblBefore Cons. Gov.: 30 $/bbl

Tax

TraderT

Consumer: >100 $/bblTotal energy: >300 $/bbl

Taxe.g. incl. deviceSocial

t liti gy $Society: >1000 $/bblTotal system: >3000 $/bbl

externalities(accidents, death, ..)Environmental

externalities

Energy Systems Analysis

Total system: 3000 $/bblexternalities