india's election 2014 - presentation by mohan guruswamy

48
The Greatest Show on Earth! Mohan Guruswamy

Upload: avidas

Post on 09-May-2015

378 views

Category:

News & Politics


3 download

DESCRIPTION

Mohan Guruswamy's presentation on Election 2014

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: India's Election 2014 - Presentation by Mohan Guruswamy

The Greatest Show on Earth!

• Mohan Guruswamy

Page 2: India's Election 2014 - Presentation by Mohan Guruswamy

The National Actors.

Page 3: India's Election 2014 - Presentation by Mohan Guruswamy

The Democracy Card!

Page 4: India's Election 2014 - Presentation by Mohan Guruswamy

Market democracy.

Page 5: India's Election 2014 - Presentation by Mohan Guruswamy

760 giant public meetings in 12

weeks.

Page 6: India's Election 2014 - Presentation by Mohan Guruswamy

Different hats to identify with different people.

Page 7: India's Election 2014 - Presentation by Mohan Guruswamy

Where the claims to fame and fortune are decided!

Page 8: India's Election 2014 - Presentation by Mohan Guruswamy
Page 9: India's Election 2014 - Presentation by Mohan Guruswamy
Page 10: India's Election 2014 - Presentation by Mohan Guruswamy
Page 11: India's Election 2014 - Presentation by Mohan Guruswamy
Page 12: India's Election 2014 - Presentation by Mohan Guruswamy
Page 13: India's Election 2014 - Presentation by Mohan Guruswamy

Getting better educated?

Page 14: India's Election 2014 - Presentation by Mohan Guruswamy

Women voters matter more now.

Page 15: India's Election 2014 - Presentation by Mohan Guruswamy

The slow and slippery down downwards.

Page 16: India's Election 2014 - Presentation by Mohan Guruswamy

The road up with many downs.

Page 17: India's Election 2014 - Presentation by Mohan Guruswamy

The sheer scale of it all.

Page 18: India's Election 2014 - Presentation by Mohan Guruswamy
Page 19: India's Election 2014 - Presentation by Mohan Guruswamy
Page 20: India's Election 2014 - Presentation by Mohan Guruswamy

Big elections need big government.

Page 21: India's Election 2014 - Presentation by Mohan Guruswamy
Page 22: India's Election 2014 - Presentation by Mohan Guruswamy
Page 23: India's Election 2014 - Presentation by Mohan Guruswamy

Percentage of the votes.

Page 24: India's Election 2014 - Presentation by Mohan Guruswamy

The first past the post system.

Page 25: India's Election 2014 - Presentation by Mohan Guruswamy

The saffron surge!

Page 26: India's Election 2014 - Presentation by Mohan Guruswamy

The change in fortunes.

Page 27: India's Election 2014 - Presentation by Mohan Guruswamy

The changing color of India.

Page 28: India's Election 2014 - Presentation by Mohan Guruswamy
Page 29: India's Election 2014 - Presentation by Mohan Guruswamy

Uttar Pradesh has the maximum number of voters in the country followed by Maharashtra, West Bengal, Andhra Pradesh and Bihar.

As per the electoral data of 2014 released by the EC, of the 814,591,184 voters, Uttar Pradesh has 16.4 percent of the total voters and Maharashtra has 9.6 percent followed by West Bengal at 7.699 percent, Andhra Pradesh at 7.659 percent and Bihar at 7.624 percent.

With 3.62 lakh voters or 0.044 percent of the national electorate, Sikkim has the smallest number of voters.

The EC said the 28 states together account for 98.27 percent of the voters while the seven union territories constitute the remaining 1.73 percent.

Delhi accounts for 1.48 percent of the voters while the other six union territories constitute 0.253 percent of the Indian electorate.

Page 30: India's Election 2014 - Presentation by Mohan Guruswamy
Page 31: India's Election 2014 - Presentation by Mohan Guruswamy
Page 32: India's Election 2014 - Presentation by Mohan Guruswamy

The power of the Regional Parties.

Page 33: India's Election 2014 - Presentation by Mohan Guruswamy

Regional parties are slowly losing steam.

Page 34: India's Election 2014 - Presentation by Mohan Guruswamy

The scenario now and the task.

• Congress is facing an existential crisis.• The regional parties are under pressure.• India gets a one party government after

a quarter of a century.• Single party government with a strong

leader, but without a majority mandate.• The fate of the ruling party in the next

elections is decided by the index of opposition unity. How to keep them divided?

Page 35: India's Election 2014 - Presentation by Mohan Guruswamy
Page 36: India's Election 2014 - Presentation by Mohan Guruswamy
Page 37: India's Election 2014 - Presentation by Mohan Guruswamy
Page 38: India's Election 2014 - Presentation by Mohan Guruswamy
Page 39: India's Election 2014 - Presentation by Mohan Guruswamy

The checklist is long, but the four critical areas to focus on are fiscal belt-tightening, improving the business climate, complementing anti-inflation efforts and sustaining the improvement in the current account deficit, according to economists.

The deficit is forecast to come in at around 4.6 percent in the 2013-2014 financial year ended in March 2014, down from 4.9 percent in 2012-2013 and 5.8 percent in 2011-2012. This is significantly higher than China, for example, which recorded a fiscal deficit of 2.1 percent of gross domestic product (GDP) last year.

If the authorities choose to expedite capital spending to orchestrate a cyclical turn in the investment cycle and boost long-term growth, the short-term casualty will be the debt/gross domestic product ratio,

mproving the business climate should be the anchor of the new government's agenda

Page 40: India's Election 2014 - Presentation by Mohan Guruswamy

In power, it would be the de-nationalization of the coal sector and creation of a National Power Distribution Company (NPDC), along the lines of PowerGrid. NPDC could be mandated to pick up the output of stranded capacities and India can stop waiting forever for state discoms to reform themselves. It should also give a fillip to "open access".

On infra finance, it would be to create an enabling environment for rapid ramp-up of infra debt funds to address the issue of non-availability of long-term funding and the clear constraints of the commercial banking system.

To clear infra logjams, an energetic infrastructure ministry should be created by reshaping the ministry of programme implementation.

Land bank corporations should be set up at the central level and mirror-imaged at the state level. They should acquire large tracts of unused, unusable or waste land and develop them ex-ante for industrial, commercial, social and institutional

Page 41: India's Election 2014 - Presentation by Mohan Guruswamy

The checklist is long, but the four critical areas to focus on are fiscal belt-tightening, improving the business climate, complementing anti-inflation efforts and sustaining the improvement in the current account deficit, according to economists.

Page 42: India's Election 2014 - Presentation by Mohan Guruswamy
Page 43: India's Election 2014 - Presentation by Mohan Guruswamy
Page 44: India's Election 2014 - Presentation by Mohan Guruswamy
Page 45: India's Election 2014 - Presentation by Mohan Guruswamy
Page 46: India's Election 2014 - Presentation by Mohan Guruswamy
Page 47: India's Election 2014 - Presentation by Mohan Guruswamy
Page 48: India's Election 2014 - Presentation by Mohan Guruswamy