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1 India Agrometeorological Advisory Service (AAS) Case Study INDEPENDENT STUDY OF THE AAS PROGRAM FROM A FARMER PERSPECTIVE: ASSESSING VIEWS FROM THE FRONTLINE FINAL REPORT October 15, 2012

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India  Agrometeorological  Advisory  Service  (AAS)  Case  Study  

 

INDEPENDENT  STUDY  OF  THE  AAS  PROGRAM  FROM  A  FARMER  PERSPECTIVE:    

ASSESSING  VIEWS  FROM  THE  FRONTLINE  

 

FINAL  REPORT    

October  15,  2012  

 

 

       

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Cover  Photo:    

 

 

 

 

 

 

Report  By:  Kalpana  Venkatasubramanian,  Arame  Tall,  James  Hansen,  Pramod  K.  Aggarwal,  Matthias  Pfeffer,  Vivienne  Dersin.  

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cite  as:  

 

©  CCAFS  2012  

   

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Table  of  Contents    

 I. INTRODUCTION:                        CCAFS’  INDEPENDENT  EVALUATION  OF  THE  AAS  PROGRAM  IN  INDIA    ................  4  

 

II. BACKGROUND………………………………………………………………………………………………….5      

III. ASSESSMENT  METHODS………………………………………………………………..……………….12        

IV. FINDINGS……………………………………………………………………………….……..……………….16  4.1. ANDHRA  PRADESH………………………………………………………………….………16    4.2. HIMACHAL  PRADESH.…………………………………………………………………….  24  4.3. PUNJAB.………………………………………………………………………………………..  33  4.4. WEST  BENGAL…..…………………………………………………………………………..  41  4.5. TAMIL  NADU.………………………………………………………………………………..  49  4.6. GUJARAT.……………………………………………………………………………………..  57  

   

V. DISCUSSION………………………………………………………………………….……..……………….63      

VI. SUMMARY  OF  LESSONS  LEARNT………………………………………………………………….75  

 

VII.  CONCLUSIONS  &  POLICY  RECOMMENDATIONS…………………………………………..84  

 

VIII. ANNEXES………………………………………………………………………………………….90  8.1.  METHODS  PRIMER  

 

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I. INTRODUCTION:    CCAFS’  INDEPENDENT  EVALUATION  OF  THE  AAS  PROGRAM  IN  INDIA  

 

Managing  the  risk  associated  with  climate  variability  is  integral  to  any  comprehensive  strategy  for  adapting  agriculture  and  food  systems  to  a  changing  climate.    Although  farming  communities  throughout  the  world  have  survived  by  mastering  the  ability  to  adapt  to  widely  varying  weather  and  climatic  conditions,  increasingly  erratic  climate  variability  and  the  rapid  pace  of  other  drivers  of  change  are  overwhelming  indigenous  knowledge  and  traditional  coping  practices.  Effective  climate  information  and  advisory  services  offer  great  potential  to  inform  farmer  decision-­‐making  in  the  face  of  increasing  uncertainty,  improve  management  of  climate-­‐related  agricultural  risk,  and  help  farmers  adapt  to  change.    

CCAFS  Theme  2  seeks  to  enable  promising  innovations  for  managing  climate-­‐related  agricultural  risk  at  local  and  regional  levels,  addressing  existing  gaps  and  supporting  improvements  in  climate-­‐related  information  products  and  services  that  enable  a  range  of  agricultural  risk  management  interventions.    Within  this  Theme,  one  of  the  three  objectives  is  to  support  risk  management  through  enhanced  climate  information  and  services.    

Several  challenges  however  confront  efforts  to  use  climate-­‐related  information  to  improve  the  lives  of  smallholder  farmers,  including:  

• Credibility:  providing  timely  access  to  accurate  climate  information  and  services  for  remote  rural  communities  with  marginal  infrastructure.  

• Salience:  tailoring  content,  scale,  format  and  lead-­‐time  to  farm  decision-­‐making.  • Legitimacy:  giving  farmers  an  effective  voice  in  the  design  and  delivery  of  climate  services.  • Equity:  ensuring  that  women,  poor  and  socially  marginalized  groups  are  served.  

Several  initiatives  in  sub-­‐Saharan  Africa  and  South  Asia  have  used  innovative  approaches  to  overcome  these  challenges.  A  few  national  agrometeorlogical  advisory  services  reach  a  significant  proportion  of  their  farming  populations  on  a  sustained  basis  with  information  and  guidance.  One  of  the  oldest  and  longest  standing  of  these  national  initiatives  is  the  agrometeorological  advisory  services  in  India  (which  recently  announced  plans  to  scale  up  to  10  million  farmers  in  2012).  

CCAFS  partnering  with  IMD  and  ICRISAT  decided  to  conduct  an  in-­‐depth  study  of  the  agrometeorlogical  advisory  services  in  India  (which  recently  announced  plans  to  scale  up  to  10  million  farmers  in  2012),  with  a  focus  on  capturing  what  is  happening  at  the  village  level  and  how  it  is  impacting  the  rural  communities.      

The  overall  objective  of  India’s  Agro-­‐Advisory  Service  (AAS)  case  study  assessment  was  to  provide  evidence  of  use  and  benefit  at  the  village  level;  and  insights  about  factors  that  have  contributed  to  their  uptake,  impact  and  sustainability.  Although  India’s  national  initiative  still  features  difficulties  grappling  with  the  complexities  of  communicating  and  applying  seasonal  forecast  information,  it  demonstrates  good  practice  and  provides  valuable  insights.  The  time  is  

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right  to  learn  from  and  build  on  examples  of  good  practice  in  farmer-­‐focused  climate  information  and  advisory  services.  

Several  recent  developments  made  this  assessment  timely,  hand  in  hand  with  the  increase  in  global  attention  received  by  Climate  services:    

• At   the  World   Climate   Conference-­‐III   (WMO,   Geneva,   September   2009),   delegates   of   155  nations   endorsed   a   Global   Framework   for   Climate   Services   (GFCS)   “to   strengthen   the  production,   availability,   delivery   and   application   of   science-­‐based   climate   prediction   and  services.”  The  GFCS  implementation  plan  targets  gaps  in  climate  services  in  support  of  four  key  climate-­‐sensitive  sectors,  including  agriculture,  in  vulnerable  developing  countries.      

• The  CSP,  launched  at  the  International  Conference  on  Climate  Services  (New  York,  October  2011),   is   a   global   network   of   climate   service   providers,   users,   funders   and   researchers.   It  aims   to   advance   climate   services   worldwide   by   fostering   collaboration,   capturing   and  sharing  knowledge;  and  filling  gaps  in  knowledge  and  evidence.    

• Improving   climate-­‐related   information   products   and   services   for   agriculture   and   food  security  is  part  of  the  agenda  of  the  CGIAR  research  program  on  Climate  Change,  Agriculture  and  Food  Securing  (CCAFS),  under  its  Theme,  “Adaptation  through  Managing  Climate  Risk.”  The   program   is   connecting   the   considerable   research   capacity   of   the   CGIAR   with   new  climate  science  and  climate  service  partners,  including  the  CSP.    

• India’s  AAS  has  recently  received  a  lot  of  publicity  for  reaching  3  million  farmers  via  mobile  phone,  and  for  the  recently-­‐announced  plan  to  scale  up  to  10  million  farmers  in  2012.  

• An  international  South-­‐south  learning  workshop  on  “Scaling  Up  climate  services  for  farmers  in  Africa  and  South  Asia”  planned  for  December  10-­‐12  in  Dakar,  Senegal,  to  share  elements  of  good  practice  between  Africa  and  South  Asia.  The  objectives  of  this  meeting  are  synthesize  aspects  of  good  practice  that  can  guide  investment  in  climate/weather  services  for  farmers  elsewhere  in  Africa,  S.  Asia;  Strengthen  evidence  and  transferrable  lessons,  by  capturing  the  perspectives  of  farmers  in  select  locations;  and  Showcase  as  a  case  study  of  good  practice  at  the  planned  S-­‐S  workshop.  

 

The  expected  outputs  from  this  joint  CCAFS-­‐partners  assessment  were  an  independent  report  to  be  shared  ahead  of  the  Dakar  South  –  South  workshop,  as  well  as  a  number  of  academic  journal  publications   in   collaboration  with   colleagues   in   India   from   all   participating   institutions   of   this  study.  

 

II. Background  

The  Integrated  Agrometeorology  Advisory  Services  (AAS)  is  a  project  of  the  India  Meteorological  Department   that   aims   to   provide   a   variety   of   services   to   farmers   including   meteorological  (weather   observation   and   forecasting),   agricultural   advisories   (identifying   weather   related  stresses    and   providing   advisories   based   on   weather   forecasts),   extension   services   (two   way  communication   with   users),   and   information   dissemination   (through   media   and   other   local  agencies).   The   project,   which   was   integrated   under   the   IMD   in   2007,   is   being   implemented  through  a  five-­‐tier  structure  that  form  different  components  in  the  service  spectrum.  Agro-­‐met  

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Advisory  Bulletins  are  issued  at  the  out  to  the  state  and  district  levels  to  cater  to  the  needs  from  national  to  local  scales.      

To   facilitate   the   design   and   implementation   of   similar   programs   in   other   countries,  mostly   in  Africa,  requires  detailed  information  about  the  institutional  context  in  which  the  project  was  set  up   and   run,   the   scientific   information   used   to   inform   the   forecasts   and   other   information  conveyed  to  participant  farmers,  the  ways  in  which  this  project  has  impacted  farming  practices  related   to   local   livelihoods,   and   how   those   impacts   on   farming   practice   came   to   pass.     The  proposed   assessment   addresses   each   of   these   needs   independently.     Data   from   the   scientific  and  field  assessments  will  be  combined  to  determine  the  quality  and  utility  of  the  information  from   the  perspective   of   local-­‐level   farmer   project   participants,   and   the  perception  of   impacts  and  changes  in  farmer  behavior  following  utilization.    The  institutional  assessment  will  be  used  to   contextualize   the   products   of   the   scientific/field   assessment   analysis   for   use   by   interested  meteorological  services  across  Africa.    

2.1  AAS  Program  in  India    

Agriculture  being  the  mainstay  of  a  majority  of  people  in  India  and  an  important  contributor  to  economic  growth,  advances  in  agrometeorological  expertise  and  its  application  in  agricultural  planning  and  production  has  been  a  significant  agenda  of  the  Indian  Government  as  early  as  the  1930s  when  the  division  of  agrometeorology  was  started.  Since  then,  a  number  of  initiatives  have  been  undertaken  to  improve  and  expand  on  agrometeorological  faculties  and  facilities  across  the  country.  Agrometeorological  advisories  were  first  initiated  in  1976  to  provide  state  level  forecast-­‐based  advisories  to  farmers  based  on  short-­‐range  weather  forecasts  issued  by  the  Indian  Meteorological  Department  (IMD).  Made  available  to  farmers  one  day  in  advance,  these  advisories  were  inadequate  for  planning  weather  based  agricultural  practices  and/or  undertake  precautionary  measures,  which  required  a  much  longer  lead-­‐time.    

 In  agriculture,  location-­‐specific  weather  forecasts  in  the  medium  range  held  greater  salience.  In  addition,  forecast  issued  had  to  be  fine-­‐tuned  to  the  specific  requirements  of  farmers,  particularly  in  recommending  activities  and  modifications  to  specific  agricultural  practices.  Keeping  these  in  mind,  the  National  Center  for  Medium  Range  Weather  Forecasting    (NCMRWF)  was  established  in  1988  by  the  Government  of  India  as  a  scientific  mission  to  develop  operational  Numerical  Weather  Prediction  (NWP)  models  for  forecasting  weather  in  the  medium  range  (3-­‐10  days  in  advance)  scale.  For  disseminating  these  forecasts  and  for  building  forecast  based  agricultural  advisories,  Agro  Advisory  Service  Units  (AASUs)  were  envisioned  across  the  country  in  all  delineated  127  agroclimatic  zones.  The  mammoth  task  received  infrastructural  and  technical  support  jointly  from  the  Department  of  Science  and  Technology  (DST),  Indian  Meteorological  Department  (IMD),  Indian  Council  of  Agricultural  Research  (ICAR)  and  State  Agricultural  Universities  around  the  country.      

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By  2006,  86  fully  functioning  Agro  Advisory  Field  Units  (AAUs)  located  in  State  Agricultural  Universities  and  representing  a  range  of  agroclimatic  zones  were  receiving  medium  range  weather  forecasts  twice  a  week  valid  for  a  four-­‐five  day  period  from  the  NCMRWF.  Based  on  these  forecasts,  the  AAUs  prepared  weather-­‐based  agro  advisory  bulletins  in  consultation  with  a  team  of  agricultural  scientists.  The  advisory,  prepared  in  both  English  and  a  local  language  was  then  disseminated  to  farmers  through  a  variety  of  communication  channels  including  radio,  television,  newspapers  and  telephones.  Due  to  the  expansive  nature  of  its  production  and  dissemination  the  AAS  was  soon  held  as  an  example  of  a  successful  multi-­‐institutional  and  multi-­‐disciplinary  operation  to  render  an  invaluable  service  to  the  farming  community  in  India.    In  2007,  the  AAS  was  integrated  with  the  Indian  Meteorological  Dept  (IMD)  under  the  Ministry  of  Earth  Sciences  and  District-­‐level  Agrometeorological  Advisory  Service  (DAAS)  was  launched  in  June  2008.  DAAS  aims  to  generate  district  level  agrometeorological  advisories  based  on  weather  forecasts  and  improve  dissemination  of  the  same  to  farmers  to  help  with  decision  making  in  crop  and  livestock  management.  DAAS  continues  to  be  a  multi-­‐institutional  project  involving  a  variety  of  stakeholders  including  the  Indian  Council  for  Agricultural  Research  (ICAR),  State  Agricultural  Universities  (SAUs),  Krishi  Vigyan  Kendras  (KVKs),  Department  of  Agriculture  &  Cooperation,  State  Departments  of  Agriculture/Horticulture/Animal  Husbandry/Forestry,  NGOs  and  Media  agencies  (Fig  1).  The  entire  project  runs  through  a  series  of  services  across  a  five-­‐tier  structure  which  includes  meteorological  (weather  observation  and  forecasting),  agricultural  (identification  of  weather-­‐sensitive  stress  and  preparing  suitable  advisory  using  weather  forecast),  extension  (two-­‐way  communication  with  user)  and  information  dissemination  (Media,  IT  and  others).  In  2011,  experimental  block  level  forecasts  for  a  few  states  was  initiated  and  is  currently  in  the  process  of  expansion.    

 

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Fig  1.  Collaborating  organizations  and  their  linkages  under  Integrated  Agromet  Advisory  Services  Source:  IMD,  New  Delhi  

District Level Agriculture Extension set up (612)

DAO/KVK

ATMA

NCMRWF –Location Specific Weather Forecast development

Dept. of Agriculture & Coop. NCFC/ATMA/CWWG

ICAR- R & D Inputs

Dept. of Space- Crop information

Prasar Bharti

Dept. of Info. Technology

 

 

 

 

 

 

IMD

Agro-Met Services

State Meteorological Centre (23)

IMD

 

State Crop Weather Watch Group (CWWG)

1. Drought Monitoring Center

2. State RS application centres

3. DAO/KVK/NGOs

 

 

 

 

AMFU (128 Agro Climatic Zones)- SAUs/ ICAR

Institutions/ IITs

State Department of

Agriculture

Extension Directorate of University

Local Media (AIR/TV/Print)

NGOs

Block Level (B.D.O)

(Farm Input Management)

NGOs

MSSRF  

Ministry of Earth Sciences

Government of India

(AAS steering committee)

Village Level

(CSC, DIT)

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2.2  Current  Institutional  Mechanism  and  Infrastructure  

Today,  IMD  issues  quantitative  district  level  weather  forecasts  up  to  5  days  twice  a  week  based  on  a  Multi  Model  Ensemble  (MME)  technique.  Weather  forecasts  for  seven  parameters,  namely,  rainfall,  maximum  and  minimum  temperatures,  wind  speed  and  direction,  relative  humidity  and  cloudiness  as  well  as  weekly  cumulative  rainfall  forecasts  are  generated.  These  products  are  disseminated  to  Regional  Meteorological  Centres  and  Meteorological  Centres  of  IMD  located  in  different  states.  Experts  in  these  centres  value-­‐add  to  IMD  forecast  products  which  are  then  communicated  to  130  AgroMet  Field  Units  (AMFUs)  located  within  State  Agricultural  Universities,  Indian  Council  of  Agricultural  Research  Institutes  (ICAR),  and  Indian  Institute  of  Technology  (IITs).    

The  AMFUs,  established  by  the  Ministry  of  Earth  Sciences,  represent  each  of  the  130  agro-­‐climatic  zones  in  the  country,  each  covering  4-­‐6  districts.    Apart  from  recording  agrometeorological  observations  for  their  zone  through  manual  and  automatic  weather  stations  in  their  zone,  these  units  are  assisted  by  an  advisory  board  consisting  of  agricultural  scientists  representing  a  wide  spectrum  of  agricultural  disciplines  to  prepare  district-­‐wise  agro-­‐advisories.  These  advisories  contain  location  specific  and  crop    specific    farm    level    advisories  as  well  as  description    of    prevailing  weather,    soil  &    crop    condition,    and    suggestions    for  taking  appropriate  measures  to  minimize  the  loss  and  also,  optimize  input  in  the  form  of  irrigation,  fertilizer  or  pesticides.  

The  AMFUs  are  also  responsible  of  dissemination  of  advisory  bulletins  to  farmers  in  their  respective  zone.  This  is  done  through  several  communication  channels  (Fig  2)  such  as  mass  media  (newspapers,  TV  and  radio)  and  through  the  involvement  of  district  level  agencies  (District  Agricultural  Offices,  Krishi  Vigyan  Kendras  (KVKs),  Kisan  Call  Centres,  NGOs)  to  build  on  existing  extension  channels.  More  recently,  cellular  phones  (voice  mails  (IVRS)  and  SMS)  and  internet  are  also  becoming  popular  channels  of  dissemination.  SMS  service  already  reaches  2.5  million  farmer  users  across  16  states  while  IVRS  reaches  30000  farmers  across  5  states  in  India.  In  addition  to  reaching  famers  to  communication  agroadvisory  bulletins,  a  feedback  mechanism  has  also  been  developed  in  order  to  receive  inputs  from  farmers  on  quality  of  forecasts,  relevance  of  advisory  and  effectiveness  of  dissemination  channels.  New  initiatives  are  constantly  underway  to  improve  and  expand  dissemination  to  reach  more  farmers  in  a  timely  manner.    

Web-­‐based  services  have  been  greatly  improved  and  expanded  to  provide  agrometeorological  information  to  users  at  all  times  through  the  Internet.  Beginning  with  25  centres  across  different  agroclimatic  zones  in  the  country,  AICRPAM  (ICAR)  has  launched  a  website  (Crop  Weather  Outlook)  for  easy  and  immediate  access  to  agromet  information  and  value  added  services  provided  by  agricultural  institutions.  In  several  states,  district-­‐wise  advisories  issued  bi-­‐weekly  are  available  online  for  immediate  use  by  users.  Linkages  are  

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also  provided  to  other  institutional  web-­‐links  that  can  provide  further  information  on  agrometeorological  operations  to  users.    

 

 

Fig  2.  AAS  Institutional  Mechanism  to  reach  farmers  Source:  IMD,  New  Delhi  

   

2.3  Progress  and  Assessment  of  AAS  program  

Progress  and  future  plans  

Several  important  investments  have  been  made  to  expand  the  meteorological  infrastructure  to  improve  data  collection.  Automatic  Weather  Stations  (AWS)  are  being  installed  in  all  AMFUs  across  the  country.  Currently  more  than  40  have  been  installed  with  AWS  which  relays  weather  data  directly  to  the  Earth  Station  at  Pune  for  further  processing.    

IMD  issues  district-­‐level  forecasts  for  over  500  districts  across  India  for  preparation  of  district  level  agro-­‐advisories  to  130  AMFUs.  AMFUs  value-­‐add  to  the  weather  forecasts  and  prepare  agro-­‐advisories.  They  are  also  engaged  in  collecting  weather  indicators  through  Manual  Weather  Stations  (MWS)  in  their  districts.  In  several  cases,  farmers  have  been  trained  to  record  weather  data  everyday  and  facilitate  in  their  compilation.  To  improve  dissemination  of  advisories  and  reach,  linkages  have  been  established  with  Krishi  Vigyan  Kendras  (KVKs)  in  all  districts  who  help  organize  vocational  training  programs  for  farmers  to  impart  

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information  on  latest  technologies.  Further,  links  are  also  being  made  with  the  ATMA  (Agricultural  Technology  Management  Agency)  program  which  has  a  well-­‐defined  structure  at  state,  district  and  block  level  to  help  with  dissemination  of  DAAS.  

Going  forward,  block-­‐level  advisories  based  on  medium  range  weather  forecasts  at  the  block  level  are  being  contemplated  and  already  underway  on  an  experimental  basis  in  a  few  states  since  2011.  Elaborate  plans  are  being  drawn  in  identified  areas  to  increase  application  of  agrometeorological  expertise  and  reduce  farmer  vulnerability  including  agri-­‐insurance  greater  links  with  fisheries  and  livestock  sectors.  Use  of  remote  sensing  techniques  as  well  as  crop  growth  simulation  models  are  further  being  considered  to  improve  reliability  and  relevance  of  agro-­‐advisories.  Finally,  plans  to  augment  extension  services  to  scale  up  services  from  3  to  10  million  farmers  include  establishment  of  AMFU  at  district  level,  linkages  with  Common  Service  Centers  (CSCs)  being  set  up  by  the  Department  of  Information  Technology,  Government  of  India  that  provide  a  range  of  services  to  the  farming  community,    

2003-­‐2007  AAS  evaluation  (to  be  elaborated)  

•National  Centre  for  Agriculture  Economics  and  Policy  Research,  commissioned  by  NCMRWF  

•15  of  the  127  AAUs  

•6  seasons  during  2003–2007  

•80  farmers:  40  responding  and  40  non-­‐responding  farmers  

•10-­‐15%  increase  in  yield  

•2-­‐5%  reduction  in  the  cost  of  cultivation  

 

2.4  Feedback  from  AAS  stake  holders  and  recommendations  

Discussions  with  staff  at  IMD,  Regional  Met  Offices,  Agromet  Field  Units  and  other  institutional  representatives  (NGOs,  Krishi  Vigyan  Kendra’s)  involved  in  the  development  of  the  forecast  advisories  and  in  its  dissemination  revealed  important  aspects  of  the  functioning  of  the  program.  This  section  presents  the  overall  feedback  received  from  their  offices  for  further  improvement  of  the  DAAS  program.    

• Several  KVK  officers  contended  that  those  farmers  who  received  and  had  begun  to  use  the  advisories  to  inform  their  decision-­‐making  had  begun  to  trust  and  value  the  information  and  benefit  from  them.  However,  they  added  that  was  still  scope  for  integrating  farmers  perspectives  and  knowledge  into  the  AAS  process,  which  would  greatly  enhance  reach  and  usability  amongst  the  farming  community.    

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• Representatives  from  AMFUs  and  KVKs  sought  greater  support  for  collaborating  with  and  training  of  local  bodies  like  village  Panchayats,  farmer  clubs,  women’s  groups  and  local  community  organizations  to  use  their  existing  links  with  farmers  in  dissemination  of  AAS.    

• Greater  infrastructural  support,  particularly  enhancement  of  IT  capacity  at  the  district/village  level  was  recommended  to  ensure  speedy  receipt  of  advisories  through  the  internet  and  their  timely  dissemination  in  the  village.    

• Representatives  from  AMFUs  opined  that  the  uptake  and  response  from  use  of  AAS  was  very  encouraging  amongst  ‘progressive  farmers’.  However,  amongst  small  and  marginal  farmers,  awareness  was  still  low.  More  trainings  were  required  to  generate  interest  and  motivate  farmers  to  learn  about  the  AAS  and  use  it.  Moreover,  targeted  trainings  were  necessary,  to  ensure  that  all  marginal  groups  are  comprehensively  included.  Sustained  efforts  were  required  to  encourage  use  of  AAS  in  decision  making,  enhance  trust  and  aid  effective  use.    

• In  some  states,  AMFU  and  Regional  Met  Centre  representatives  indicated  the  need  the  strengthen  capacities  of  KVKs  and  improve  coordination  between  KVK  and  AMFUs.  This  was  crucial  to  plug  the  current  loopholes  in  dissemination.  

• While  ties  with  other  departments  were  a  part  and  parcel  of  the  AAS  process,  representatives  recommended  more  systematic  ties  and  procedures  with  the  Department  of  Agriculture,  Horticulture,  Soil  Services  and  Animal  Husbandry  on  the  dissemination  front  to  leverage  the  vast  network  and  resources  for  reaching  the  end-­‐users.    

• Representatives  in  several  AMFUs  lamented  the  delay  in  receiving  salaries  and  budgeted  resources  for  AAS  which  hampered  activities  and  reduced  quality  of  operations  considerably.    

 

III. ASSESSMENT  METHODS      

3.1. INTENT  AND  GOAL    

In  partnership  with  Indian  Meteorological  Department  (IMD),  State  Agricultural  Universities,  ICRISAT  the  CCAFS  Case  Study  on  the  AAS  aims  to  synthesize  aspects  of  good  practices  in  climate  services  in  India  by  capturing  evidences  of  use  of  climate  services  at  the  village  level  and  its  impact  on  rural  communities.  It  envisages  strengthening  of  evidence  and  offering  transferrable  lessons  that  can  guide  investment  in  climate/weather  services  elsewhere  in  the  world.  The  goal  is  to  showcase  best  practice  in  India  in  climate  services  by  focusing  on  farmer  perceptions  without  trying  to  quantify  economic  benefit.  The  documentation  of  best  practices  and  challenges  in  the  provision  and  use  of  agroadvisories  is  expected  to  guide  further  investment  and  targeted  efforts  in  climate/weather  services  in  India,  rest  of  S  Asia  and  Africa.    

3.2. Methods    

A  comprehensive  understanding  of  the  pathways  through  which  this  project  has  come  to  impact  the   lives   of   participants   was   beyond   the   scope   and   added   value   of   this   evaluation.     Such   an  

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effort  would   require  village-­‐level   studies  of   individual   farmer  behavior  and  social  networks,  as  well   as   a   comprehensive   effort   to   gauge   both   current   agricultural   production   and  measure   it  against   some   form  of   reconstructed  production  baseline.     Besides,   an   assessment  on   the  AAS  program  has  already  been  conducted  in  2008  by  the  National  Center  for  Short  Range  Weather  Forecasts  (NCSRWF),  with  probing  results  on  the  economic  added  value  of  farmer-­‐focused  agro-­‐meteorological  advisories  in  India  (c.f  NCSRWF  assessment  report,  2008).  

What  we   aimed   for   instead  was   an   independent   study   of   IMD’s   AAS   program   from   a   farmer  perspective,  collecting  farmers’  perspectives  on  the  products  provided  by  the  program  (in  terms  of   their   legitimacy,   credibility,   salience   and   equity)   and   impacts   on   farming   practices   and  livelihoods.   Insights   from  this  study  will  hopefully   inform  future  AAS  plans,  and  be  shared  at  a  South  –  South  workshop  on  farmer-­‐focused  climate  services,  due  to  be  held  in  Senegal  in  early  December,  2012.      

3.3. FIELD  SITE  SELECTION  

In  consultation  with  the  IMD,  6  states  across  the  length  and  breadth  of  India  were  chosen  for  the  study.  These  were  Punjab  in  the  northwest,  Himachal  Pradesh  in  the  north,  West  Bengal  in  the  East,  Andhra  Pradesh  in  the  southeast,  Tamil  Nadu  in  the  south  and  Gujarat  in  the  west.  In  each  state,  3  villages  from  3  different  agroclimatic  zones1  were  selected.  To  ensure  good  representation  and  also  to  identify  and  emphasize  variability  in  forecasts  based  advisories  and  their  applicability  and  use,  we  selected  our  villages  from  three  different  agroclimatic  zones  in  each  state.  

 

                                                                                                                         1  Across  India,  a  total  of  130  agroclimatic  zones  have  been  identified  under  the  National  Agricultural  Research  Project  (NARP)  in  order  to  better  plan  agricultural  activities  in  each  region.  These  zones  are  characterized  by  homogenous  soil,  climate  (temperature),  rainfall  and  other  agrometeorological  characteristics,  as  well  as  other  indicators,  such  as  availability  of  water  for  irrigation,  existing  crops  and  cropping  patterns  and  such.  Each  state  in  India  thus  can  get  divided  into  anywhere  from  2  to  9  agroclimatic  zones.    

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Map  1  :  CCAFS  Study  Site  Selection.  6  states  were    selected  across  India.  In  each  state,  3  villages  from  three  different  agroclimatic  zones  were  randomly  selected.    

 

3.4. Methodology  (refer  to  annex  1:  Methods  Primer)    

The  study  relies  on  a  mix  of  quantitative  and  qualitative  data  to  offer  a  narrative  that  helps  strengthen  evidence  and  offer  transferable  lessons  in  climate/weather  services  for  farmers.    

The  methodology  includes  a  combination  of  the  following:  

• Brief  review  of  program  documents  (Source:  IMD,  Regional  Meteorological  Offices,  Agromet  Field  Units)  

• Discussions  with  staff  at  IMD,  Regional  Met  Offices,  Agromet  Field  Units  and  other  institutional  representatives  (NGOs,  Krishi  Vigyan  Kendra’s)  involved  in  the  development  of  the  forecast  advisories  and  in  its  dissemination  

• Focus  Group  Discussions  with  male  and  female  farmer  groups  in  chosen  villages  • Structured  interviews  with  male  and  female  farmers  in  selected  villages          

 

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FIELD  METHODS  

Fieldwork  for  the  project  was  conducted  over  a  period  of  approximately  2  months  from  15th  June  to  15th  August  2012.    

Focus  Group  Discussions  

In  each  village  we  began  our  field  interactions  by  holding  focus  group  discussions  with  separate  male  and  female  groups  of  farmers.  In  FGDs  we  followed  a  funnel  approach,  whereby,  we  began  by  asking  farmers  a  number  of  questions  related  to  their  agricultural  practices.  These  included  questions  about  kinds  of  crops  (livestock)  grown  (maintained),  reasons,  main  activities  in  each  crop  (livestock),  crop  wise  and  activity  wise  constraints,  overall  constraints  in  agriculture  (livestock),  ways  to  deal  with  adversities  and  such.  The  main  purpose  was  to  involve  farmers  in  discussions  regarding  challenges  in  agriculture  and  in  their  livelihoods  and  in  doing  so  observe  the  extent  to  which  weather/climate  and  associated  variabilities  played  a  significant  role  in  influencing  their  activities,  livelihoods  and  decision  making.    

If,  and  only  if,  farmers  directly  or  indirectly  eluded  to  weather/climate  related  factors  as  a  significant  influence  and  mentioned  forecast  based  advisories  as  useful,  were  more  direct  questions  about  the  relevance  and  usefulness  of  AAS  brought  up  in  the  FGDs.    FGDs  with  male  and  female  farmers  lasted  approximately  an  hour  and  a  half  each.    

FGDs  with  male  and  female  farmers  were  followed  with  structured  individual  interviews  with  3  to  4  farmers  identified  from  each  group.  (Selection  criteria  for  individual  interviewees  –  cover  a  broad  range  of  socio-­‐economic  classes  wherever  possible,  variable  knowledge  of  AAS,  extent  and  use  of  AAS,  extent  of  participation  in  the  FGDs  to  ensure  that  those  who  did  not  speak  much  in  FGD  are  selected  for  individual  interactions  etc.)  

Individual  interviews  were  specifically  focused  on  gaining  feedback  on  reliability,  relevance  and  utility  of  AAS.  The  emphasis  here  was  to  seek  farmers  out  on  specific  instances  of  use  of  AAS,  the  kinds  of  information  used,  channels  through  which  advisories  are  received,  perceived  gaps  in  content  or  communication  channels  and  suggestions.    

Based  on  village  level  data  for  each  state,  best  practices  in  AAS  in  India  will  be  determined  along  with  specific  areas  of  future  intervention  for  further  improvement.    

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IV. Findings:  State-­‐Wise  Farmer  Appraisals  of  the  AAS  Program  

This  chapter  will  present  key  findings  from  state-­‐wise  appraisals  undertaken  across  India.  In  each  state,  2  to  3  agroclimatic  zones  were  chosen  for  the  purposes  of  surveying  farmers.  These  zones  were  chosen  for  their  variability  in  geography,  climate,  agricultural  landscape  and  crops  farmed,  thus  enabling  the  examination  of  AAS  across  variable  contexts.    

While  contextual  variations  abound  within  each  state,  here  we  present  state-­‐wise  farmer  appraisal  of  AAS  according  to  the  following  four  assessment  criteria  of:  

• Credibility/Skill:   providing   access   to   accurate   climate   information   and   services   for   remote  rural  communities  with  marginal  infrastructure.  

• Salience:  tailoring  content,  scale,  format  and  lead-­‐time  to  farm  decision-­‐making.  • Legitimacy:  giving  farmers  an  effective  voice  in  the  design  and  delivery  of  climate  services.  • Equity:  ensuring  that  women,  poor  and  socially  marginalized  groups  are  served.  

In  each  village,  focus  group  discussions  and  interviews  conducted  with  male  and  female  members  enabled  us  to  glean  answers  on  these  four  assessment  criteria.  

 4.1 STATE  1:  ANDHRA  PRADESH  (AP)  

 

 

4.1.1 Agriculture  in  the  State  of  Andhra  Pradesh    

India’s  fourth  largest  state  by  area  and  fifth  by  population,  Andhra  Pradesh  lies  on  the  southeastern  coast  of  India,  bordered  to  the  East  by  the  Bay  of  Bengal  and  inland  by  the  states  of,  from  north  to  south,  Orissa,  Chhattisgarh,  Maharashtra,  Karnataka  and  Tamil  Nadu.  With  rice  as  its  main  crop,  AP  has  been  historically  known  as  the  rice  bowl  of  India.  

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Andhra  Pradesh  is  sub-­‐divided  into  nine  agroclimatic  zones  in  all.  Rainfall  differences  are  stark  across  different  zones,  and  crops  diversified.  Manifestations  of  climate  change  have  become  evident  in  recent  years.  Table  xx  details  the  specific  agro-­‐climatic  features  of  each  zone.  

 

Fig.  xx:  Nine  agroclimate  zones  in  the  State  of  Andhra  Pradesh  (Source:  ANGRAU)  

 

 

 

 

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Fig.  xx:  Rainfall  variability  and  Change  within  one  region  of  Andhra  Pradesh  state      (Source:  ANGRAU)  

 

Out  of  the  nine  agro-­‐climate  zones  of  Andhra  Pradesh,  the  CCAFS  team  selected  2  zones  for  its  investigation:  Central  Telangana  Zone  (Warangal  district)  and  Southern  Telangana  Zone  (Nalgonda  district  and  Mahbubnagar  district).  In  each  zone,  one  village  was  randomly  chosen  to  conduct  the  survey,  respectively  Baironpalli,  Nemani  and  Gorita.    

Large  distances  and  the  short  time  available  to  the  CCAFS  evaluation  team  precluded  outreach  to  farther  areas  in  the  state  that  may  have  not  have  been  as  well  served  and  reached  as  the  three  areas  selected  for  the  survey.  This  bias  ought  to  noted  in  the  interpretation  of  the  findings  from  AP.    

Agro-­‐climate  zones   Monsoonal  Rainfall  (mm)  

Crops  harvested  

1. Krishna-­‐Godavari   800-­‐1100   paddy,  groundnut,  jowar,  bajra,  tobacco,  cotton,  chilies,  sugar,  hort  crops  

2. Southern  Zone    

700-­‐1100   paddy,  groundnut,  cotton,  sugar,  millets,  hort  

3. Southern  Telangana    

700-­‐900   paddy,  sunflower,  safflower,  grapevine,  sorghum,  millets,  pulses,  orch  

4. High  Altitude  and  Tribal  Areas  

>1400   hort,  millets,  pulses,  chilies,  turmeric  

5. North  Coastal  Zone   1000-­‐1100   paddy,  groundnut,  jowar,  bajra,  mesta,  jute,  sunhemp,  sesamum,  blackgram,  hort  

6. North  Telangana  Zone    

900-­‐1500   paddy,  sugar,  castor,  jowar,  maize,  sunflower,  turmeric,  pulses,  chilies  

7. Scarce  Rainfall  Zone   500-­‐750   cotton,  korra,  sorghum,  millets,  groundnut,  pulses,  paddy  

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In  total,  114  farmers  participated  in  the  appraisal  in  the  state  of  Andhra  Pradesh,  of  which  44  female  and  70  male,  characterized  as  follows:  

State  of  Andhra  Pradesh  –  Respondent  Characteristics  

Village  Name   Female  Farmers   Male  Farmers   Total  N°  of  Farmers  surveyed  N°  surveyed   Avg.  

farm  size  (acres)  

%  non-­‐OC*  surveyed  

N°  surveyed   Avg.  farm  size  (acres)  

%  non-­‐OC*  surveyed  

1. Baironpalli   20   4.2   20%   20   n/a   n/a   40  

2. Nimmani   7   4.4   n/a   15   4.9   n/a   22  

3. Gorita   17   3.0   n/a   35   4.7   86%   52  

Total   44   3.9   -­‐   70   4.8   -­‐   114  

*%  non-­‐OC  surveyed:  %  Non  Open  Category,  a  measure  of  socio-­‐economic  marginalization  in  India;  this  includes  Scheduled  Castes  (SC),  Backward  Castes  (BC)  and  other  Backward  Castes  (OBC).  

In  all  three  villages  surveyed,  agriculture  served  as  the  primary  source  of  livelihood.  In  addition  livestock  (cow,  bulls,  sheep,  goat  and  poultry)  provided  supplementary  support  and  livelihood.  Few  male  farmers  also  engaged  in  day  wage  and  local  businesses.  In  addition,  farmers  also  engaged  in  opportunities  with  the  National  Rural  Employment  Guarantee  Scheme  (NREGA).  Key  crops  across  the  villages  were  cotton,  paddy,  maize,  turmeric,  pulses,  castor  and  vegetables.  All  villages  face  water  shortages.  Groundwater  is  available  but  in  short  supply.  Thus  irrigation  is  done  only  for  a  few  crops,  prominently  paddy  in  all  villages.  The  rest  of  the  crops  are  predominantly  rainfed.  

4.1.2 Products  delivered  by  the  AAS  Program  

Across  the  three  villages,  farmers  mentioned  several  parameters  that  they  associated  with  the  advisories,  which  influenced  their  decision-­‐making.  These  were  weather  parameters  such  as  rainfall  and  temperature  forecasts  and  advisories  on  pest  and  disease  management,  crop  choices,  fertilizer  mixes,  harvesting  decisions,  and  seed  information.    

 4.1.3 Communication  channels  used  

Farmers  across  the  three  villages  surveyed  in  Andhra  Pradesh  receive  forecasts  and  weather-­‐based  agro  advisories  through  a  collection  of  channels,  some  more  effective  than  others.  These,  as  enumerated  by  farmers  and  aggregated  here,  include:  

• AAS  bulletins  distributed  by  the  village  Met  Centre  representative,    • AAS  bulletins  displayed  at  prominent  spots  in  the  village,  

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• meetings  with  the  village  representative  associated  with  local  NGO,    • word  of  mouth  and  discussions  with  agro-­‐met  scientists  or  representatives,    • farmers  club  meetings  in  villages,    • announcements  over  microphone    • and  local  TV  channels  and  radio  stations.    

 4.1.4 Assessment  Criteria:  How  salient   Is  the  AAS  Program  to  support   local  

farmer  decision-­‐making?    4.1.4.1 Awareness  of  the  AAS  Program  at  Village  Level  

We   found   that   90   to   95%   of   farmers   in   the   three   communities   surveyed   knew   of   the   AAS  program.  As  such,  awareness  about  the  AAS  program  was  very  high  in  all  three  villages  surveyed  and  amongst  both  male   and   female   farmers.   These   farmers   also   indicated   that   they  used   the  forecasts   regularly.   Role   of   women   being   high   in   agriculture,   awareness   and   usability   of  advisories  were   high   amongst  women  who  were   also   keen   on   knowing   through   the   AAS   and  improving  their  understanding  of  it.    

4.1.4.2 Credibility/Skill  

Across  all  the  villages  perceived  skill  level  and  reliability  of  forecasts  ranged  between  60%  to  90%  for  eighty  percent  of  farmers  interviewed.  About  80%  of  farmers  said  that  they  refer  to  the  advisories  more  often  now  than  2  years  ago.    

4.1.4.3 Salience  to  local  farmer  needs  

Products  delivered  

Of  all  the  advisories  received  (weather  parameters  such  as  rainfall  and  temperature  forecasts  and  advisories  on  pest  and  disease  management,  crop  choices,  fertilizer  mixes,  harvesting  decisions,  and  seed  information),  in  all  the  three  villages  farmers,  particularly  women  farmers  said  that  they  found  rainfall  forecasts  as  most  crucial  to  their  decision  making.  Farmers  felt  that  for  the  most  part  the  information  was  received  in  good  time,  either  the  day  before  or  the  morning  when  they  were  going  to  take  decisions.  

Uses  of  AAS  advisories:  Translating  advisories  into  action  to  overcome  constraints  to  Agriculture  

Constraint  #1:  Rainfall  Variability    

Deficit  rainfall,  farmers  opined,  was  the  biggest  problem  in  all  three  villages.  This  happened  usually  during  the  SW  monsoon  time,  June-­‐July-­‐Aug-­‐Sep.  This  came  up  as  the  no.1  constraint  encountered  in  agriculture,  but  could  be  attributed  perhaps  to  the  fact  that  we  had  gone  at  a  time  when  the  rains  were  much  delayed  and  farmers  were  facing  problems.  Low  rains  meant  low  productivity,  or  delay  in  sowing.  Sometimes  they  sowed  their  seeds  and  then  the  rains  didn’t  come,  and  they  would  loose  all  their  seeds.      

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AAS  has  been  particularly  useful  by  offering  rainfall  forecasts,  which  were  crucial  to  determine  sowing  period,  especially  if  showers  on  a  day  were  followed  by  a  long  drought  stretch  during  the  monsoon  months.  Moreover,  the  bulletin  also  gave  the  exact  data  on  the  quantity  (mm)  of  rainfall,  which  helped  farmers  judge  whether  soil  moisture  was  good  enough  for  sowing  operations  after  a  rainfall  event.    

Another  important  use  of  AAS  was  during  harvest  time.  Untimely  rainfall  at  harvest  was  another  weather  related  risk  that  ruined  crops,  particularly  paddy  and  cotton.  Farmers  felt  that  getting  rain  forecasts  during  these  months  helped  to  determine  the  right  harvest  time  and  evade  crop  losses.    

Constraint  #2:  Pest  and  Diseases    

Crop  diseases,  usually  in  July,  August  and  September,  came  out  as  the  second  most  important  source  of  constraint  in  agriculture.    Diseases  reduced  yield  quantity  as  well  as  quality  of  yield,  and  also  increased  costs  of  production  due  to  pesticide  input.    

Sharing  their  experiences  about  the  AAS,  farmers  said  that  earlier  they  used  to  use  expensive  and  concentrated  pesticides,  which  was  destructive  to  crop  yields  as  well  as  personal  health.  From  the  advisories,  they  learnt  about  using  low  concentration  and  low  cost  pesticides,  which  saved  money  by  avoiding  wastage  and  also  improved  health.  Timing  of  pesticide  application  was  also  crucial,  since  rains  right  after  an  application  would  wash  it  all  away.  Now,  farmers  used  rainfall  forecasts  to  plan  pesticide  application.    

 

Documented  stories  of  AAS  use  by  farmers    

 

Male  farmer  from  AP  

“I  have  less  land.  I  used  to  apply  DAP  fertilizer  every  30  days.  Then  I  started  listening  to  the  forecasts  and  advisories,  which  said  that  it  should  be  applied  every  15-­‐20  days.  Since  then,  I  have  been  able  to  increase  yields  in  cotton  by  4  quintals/acre.    

Male  farmer  from  AP  

“In  vegetables,  the  advisories  informed  us  to  use  vermicompost.  I  did  so,  and  was  able  to  increase  yields  by  5-­‐6  bags  (50  kgs.  per  bag).  This  started  4  years  back”  

Female  farmer  from  AP  

“Earlier  we  used  to  spray  fertilizers  all  over  and  a  lot  used  to  get  wasted.  We  knew  that,  but  still  we  did  it  since  it  was  the  easiest  thing  to  do.  But  we  learnt  from  the  advisories  that  by  spraying,  not  only  is  fertilizer  wasted,  but  also  yield  is  less.  It  recommended  crop  

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based  application  of  fertilizers  where  quantity  of  fertilizer  is  less,  but  yield  is  more.  Another  thing  is,  fertilizer  spraying  could  be  done  only  by  men,  because  the  equipment  used  for  spraying  was  heavy.  With  crop  based  application  on  the  other  hand,    women  can  do  it  too,  so  I  find  it  beneficial”    

Female  farmer  from  AP  

“Three  years  ago,  I  found  out  from  a  weekly  advisory  that  rain  was  forecast  and  transplantation  of  paddy  was  recommended.  I  followed  the  advice  and  reaped  a  good  crop.  Farmers  who  did  not  follow  the  recommendation,  delayed  transplantation  by  15-­‐20  days  and  had  lesser  yields”  

 

Salience  of  Communication  Channels  used  

• A  Go-­‐to  Met  person  at  the  village  level:  Women  farmers  particularly  appreciated  that  they  could  openly  speak  to  local  village  representative  from  the  Met  office  at  the  village  about  the  advisories  and  learn  more  from  him.    

• Broadcast  of  AAS  advisories  at  the  local  level:  Broadcast  of  AAS  information  over  the  microphone  came  out  as  very  helpful  too,  especially  for  farmers  who  could  not  read  the  bulletins  or  required  help  to  interpret  them.      

4.1.4.4 Equity  in  reach  

Both  male  and  female  farmers  were  equally  aware  of  AAS  in  the  three  villages  surveyed  in  AP.  However,  they  were  not  equally  reached  by  the  AAS  advisories.  Indeed,  amongst  farmers,  those  who  were  members  of  farmers  club,  particularly  in  Baironpalli,  were  the  ones  who  could  participate  in  its  activities  and  by  extension  also  had  better  knowledge  about  the  AAS  and  could  use  it  for  their  benefit.  In  addition,  women  farmers  in  Baironpalli  expressed  concern  that  only  male  members  could  be  part  of  the  farmers  club.  That  also  meant  that  families  with  no  male  members  were  excluded  from  membership.  Membership  was  also  based  on  an  annual  fee,  which  some  farmers’  felt  was  unaffordable,  thus  keeping  them  out  of  farmers  club.    

As  such,  membership  in  a  farmers’  clubs  (main  outlet  for  transmission  of  agromet  advisories)  ended  up  as  a  barrier  to  women  and  other  socially  marginalized  groups’  access  to  agromet  advisories  and  climate  information.  

4.1.1 Conclusions:  Lessons  Learnt  &  Best  practices  from  the  State  of  AP  

Overall  Use  of  AAS  advisories  

Farmers  across  all  villages  pointed  out  that  in  the  last  two  to  three  years,  use  of  the  AAS  had  increased  considerably  in  all  the  three  villages.  While  farmers  noted  that  they  have  traditionally  relied  on  personal  experience  and  on  the  lunar  calendar  to  determine  type  and  timing  of  

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agricultural  operations,  they  were  now  increasingly  relying  on  the  AAS  to  inform  their  decision  making.    

This  was  particularly  true  in  Baironpalli,  where  improved  communication  channels  such  as  displaying  the  bulletin  in  prominent  places  in  the  village  and  announcements  over  the  microphone,  as  well  as  interventions  by  local  NGO  to  make  AAS  program  more  useful  for  farmers,  has  improved  usability  amongst  farmers.  Farmers  in  Baironpalli  added  that  they  tend  to  exclusively  rely  on  AAS  now  instead  of  going  by  their  traditional  practices  to  inform  farm-­‐based  activities.  AAS  were  beginning  to  make  a  significant  influence  on  farm-­‐based  decision-­‐making  in  Nemani  and  Gorita  as  well.    

The  AAS  program  was  ranked  number  2  in  a  list  of  agricultural  support  services,  with  crop  compensation  schemes  and  reduction  on  crop  loan  interests  at  the  top.      

However,  membership  in  a  farmers’  clubs  (main  outlet  for  transmission  of  agromet  advisories)  remains  a  barrier  to  women  and  other  socially  marginalized  groups’  access  to  agromet  advisories  and  climate  information.  Other  more  widely  reachable  means  of  communication  –such  as  displaying  the  bulletin  in  prominent  places  in  the  village  and  announcements  over  the  microphone,  as  well  as  interventions  by  local  NGO  to  make  AAS  program  more  useful  for  farmers  –  will  have  to  be  privileged.  

Farmer  recommendations  for  improvement  of  the  AAS  Program  (Table)  

Additional  information  sought  through  AAS  

Additional  needs   Suggested  Best  practices  for  Scaling  up  

1.  On  alternate  crop  choices,  especially  during  shortage  or  delay  or  rains.  

2.  On  organic  cultivation.    

1.  More  training:  More  village  level  trainings  for  both  male  and  female  farmers  is  required  to  help  with  better  interpretation  and  use  of  advisories.  

2.  Picture  messages:  Bulletins  will  be  easier  to  interpret  if  textual  information  is  elaborated  with  pictures  to  improve  understanding  on  kinds  of  pests  etc.  

• A  Go-­‐to  Met  ressource  person  at  the  village  level  

• Broadcast  of  AAS  advisories  on  the  microphone:  

• Display  of  bulletins  in  prominent  places  in  the  village    

• Collaboration  with  local  NGO  to  make  AAS  program  more  useful  for  farmers    

 

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4.2 STATE  2:  HIMACHAL  PRADESH  (HP)    

4.2.1 Agriculture  in  the  State  of  Himachal  Pradesh    

Literally  translated  from  Sanskrit  as  “in  the  lap  of  the  Himalayas”,  Himachal  Pradesh  lies  in  the  northern  tip  of  India,  at  the  foothills  of  the  Himalayas,  bordered  by  Jammu  and  Kashmir  to  the  north,  to  the  West  by  Punjab,  South  by  Haryana  and  Uttar  Pradesh,  Uttarakhand  on  the  south-­‐east,  and  by  the  Tibet  Autonomous  region  to  the  East.  With  agriculture,  notably  horticulture,  as  the  state’s  main  source  of  income,  HP  is  India’s  fastest  growing  economy  and  produces  hydroelectric  power  from  its  abundant  rivers  which  it  sells  to  neighboring  states.  

Himachal  Pradesh  is  sub-­‐divided  into  four  agroclimatic  zones  in  all.  Rainfall  differences  are  stark  from  the  hilly  to  valley  zones.  Table  xx  details  the  specific  agro-­‐climatic  features  of  each  zone.  

 

Fig.  xx:  Four  agroclimate  zones  in  the  State  of  Himachal  Pradesh  (Source:  HP  Agr  University)  

 

 

 

 

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Sub  Region   Monsoonal  Rainfall    (mm)  

Climate   Soil  type   Crops  grown  

1. Cold  &  Dry  zones  

165   Humid    to  cold  arid  

Hill  soils,  mountain,  

meadow  skeletal,  tarai  

Wheat,  maize,  rice,  Jowar.  

2. High  hills    

2000   Humid   Brown  Hill   Rice,  maize,  wheat,  rapeseed  

3. Low  Hills   400   Sub-­‐humid   Sub-­‐mountain,  mountain  

skeletal,  meadow  

Wheat,  maize,  rice,  sugarcane.  

4. Mid-­‐hills    

1030   Semi-­‐arid  to  humid  

Alluvial  (Recent),  brown  hills.  

Wheat,  barley,  potato.  

Fig.  xx:  Agroclimate  zones  of  Himachal  Pradesh  state  

Out  of  the  four  agro-­‐climate  zones  of  Himachal  Pradesh,  the  CCAFS  team  selected  3  zones  for  its  investigation:  the  mid  hills  (Kangra  district),  the  low  hills  (Una  district)  and  the  high  hills  (Kullu  district).  In  each  zone,  one  village  was  randomly  chosen  to  conduct  the  survey,  respectively  Amtrar  in  the  middle  hills  of  Kangra,  Bhanjal  in  the  valley  area  of  Una,  and  Chong  in  the  highlands  Kullu.  

Large  distances  and  the  short  time  available  to  the  CCAFS  evaluation  team  precluded  outreach  to  the  farthest  areas  of  the  state,  i.e.  the  dry  and  cold  zones.  As  such,  results  from  this  analysis  do  not  reflect  the  needs  of  this  last  zone.  This  bias  ought  to  noted  in  the  interpretation  of  the  findings  from  HP.    

In  total,  114  farmers  participated  in  the  appraisal  in  the  state  of  Andhra  Pradesh,  of  which  44  female  and  70  male,  characterized  as  follows:  

State  of  Himachal  Pradesh  –  Respondent  Characteristics  

Village  Name  (District)  

Female  Farmers   Male  Farmers   Total  N°  of  Farmers  surveyed  N°   Avg.  farm   %  non-­‐

OC*  N°   Avg.  

farm  %  non-­‐OC*  

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surveyed   size  (acres)   surveyed   surveyed   size  (acres)  

surveyed  

1. Amtrar  (Kangra)  

33   1,075   97%   12   1,25   100%   45  

2. Bhanjal  (Una)  

10   4,2   10%   13   3   0%   23  

3. Chong  (Kullu)  

22   0,775   14%   13   n/a     n/a   35  

Total   65   2,02   40%   38   2,125   50%   103  

*%  non-­‐OC  surveyed:  %  Non  Open  Category,  a  measure  of  socio-­‐economic  marginalization  in  India;  this  includes  Scheduled  Castes  (SC),  Backward  Castes  (BC)  and  other  Backward  Castes  (OBC).  

Agriculture  and  Horticulture  provided  primary  livelihood  to  farmers.  In  addition  livestock  (cow,  bulls,  sheep  and  goat)  provided  supplementary  support  and  livelihood.  Few  male  farmers  also  engaged  in  day  labour  in  nearby  towns  and  women  were  involved  in  commercial  stitching  and  tailoring  activities  as  well.  Key  crops  across  all  villages  were  wheat,  paddy,  maize  and  vegetables.  In  the  hilly  village  of  Chong,  horticulture  dominated  with  apples,  plums,  peaches  and  apricot  being  the  important  crops.  Irrigation,  in    Amtrar  and  Chong  was  provided  through  canal  water  and  check  dams.  Bhanjal,  being  closer  to  the  plains,  were  predominantly  dependent  on  rainfall  and  faced  water  shortages  often.  This  year,  with  delayed  monsoon,  Bhanjal  was  already  reeling  under  water  distress  when  the  team  visited.  They  relied  on  a  government  provided  rig  for  drinking  water.    

4.2.2 Products  delivered  by  the  AAS  Program  

Across  the  three  villages,  farmers  mentioned  several  parameters  that  they  associated  with  the  advisories,  which  influenced  their  decision-­‐making.  These  were  rainfall  forecasts,  temperature,  wind  speed  and  direction,  humidity,  pest  related  information  and  pest  management  strategies,  information  on  seed  inputs,  vermicomposting,  and  horticulture  management  (specifically  in  Chong).    

 4.2.3 Communication  channels  used  

Farmers  across  the  three  villages  receive  forecasts  and  weather-­‐based  agro  advisories  through  a  collection  of  channels,  some  more  effective  than  others.    

These,  as  enumerated  by  farmers  and  aggregated  here,  include:  

• farmer  meetings  at  the  block  level  with  Agricultural  University  scientists  and  experts,  • Radio,    • news  programs  on  television,    • local  newspapers,    

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• through  organizations  like  NABARD  working  in  select  villages,    • through  active  womens’  collectives  (especially  in  Amtrar),    • panchayat  (village  level  governing  body)  meetings  in  villages,    • village  level  programs  such  as  water  shed  program  by  World  Bank  in  Chong,    • and  through  KVK  extension  officers  in  some  villages  (Bhanjal).      

   

4.2.4 Assessment  Criteria:  How  salient   Is  the  AAS  Program  to  support   local  farmer  decision-­‐making?    4.2.4.1 Awareness  of  the  AAS  Program  at  Village  Level  

We   found   variable   levels   of   awareness   of   the   AAS   program   among   farmers   in   the   three  communities  surveyed.  Farmers  in  Amtrar  displayed  the  highest  knowledge  and  usability  of  AAS  amongst  all  the  villages  with  75%  of  male  farmers  and  100%  of  women  farmers  acknowledging  they   knew   of   the   program.   In   Chong,   while   male   farmers   displayed   negligible   awareness   or  understanding,   women   farmers   showed   greater   awareness   of   AAS   and   information   from   the  Horticulture   Department   in   nearby   town   of   Bijora,   especially   in   one-­‐on-­‐one   interviews   with  them.  Farmers   in  Bhanjal  said  they  had  only  minimum  knowledge  about  the  AAS,  mainly   from  occasional  meetings  held  by  KVK  (Krishi  Vigyan  Kendra)  extension  officers  in  the  village.    

4.2.4.2 Credibility/Skill    

Amtrar  ranked  topmost  in  relevance  and  accuracy  perceptions.  Male  farmers  found  the  advisories  anywhere  from  50-­‐90%  accurate,  where  as  female  farmers  found  it  more  relevant  and  almost  100%  accurate.  Women  farmers  also  found  AAS  more  accurate  (50-­‐95%)  and  useful  than  male  farmers  in  Chong  village.  In  both  the  villages,  women  played  a  much  larger  role  in  agriculture  and  had  also  been  organized  into  community  groups  who  often  attended  trainings  in  agricultural  university,  horticulture  department,  interacted  with  agrometeorologists  and  agricultural  and  horticultural  scientists  and  received  information  on  AAS  directly.    

In  Bhanjal,  however  farmers  felt  that  the  advisories,  particularly  the  forecasts  fared  very  badly.    They  pegged  the  accuracy  of  forecasts  at  around  50%  adding  that  forecasts  they  heard  on  radio  for  Punjab  state  were  more  relevant  to  them.  Yet,  across  all  villages,  when  cross-­‐questioned  about  agricultural  support  services  that  farmers  found  useful,  advisories  and  agricultural  related  information  that  farmers  received  from  the  agricultural  university  and  trainings  at  Horticulture  research  centre  came  out  as  most  pertinent  and  useful.  Kissan  Mela’s  (Farmers  Fairs)  and  block  level  meetings  with  agricultural  experts  were  also  mentioned  as  particularly  favourable  in  receiving  information  on  type  and  quality  of  seeds  and  other  related  matters.    

 4.2.4.3 Salience  to  local  farmer  needs  

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Products  delivered  

Of  all  the  advisories  received  (weather  parameters  such  as  rainfall  and  temperature  forecasts  and  advisories  on  pest  and  disease  management,  crop  choices,  fertilizer  mixes,  harvesting  decisions,  and  seed  information),  in  all  the  three  villages  farmers,  particularly  women  farmers  said  that  they  found  rainfall  forecasts  as  most  crucial  to  their  decision  making.  Farmers  felt  that  for  the  most  part  the  information  was  received  in  good  time,  either  the  day  before  or  the  morning  when  they  were  going  to  take  decisions.  

Uses  of  AAS  advisories:  Translating  advisories  into  action  to  overcome  constraints  to  Agriculture  

Constraint  #1:  Rainfall  Variability    

Rainfall  variability  and  erraticity  ranked  topmost  in  climate  related  risks  thus  rainfall  forecasts  both  during  monsoon  season  (June  –  October)  and  rainfall  indications  during  winter  months  (January  –  April)  were  important  parameters  in  influencing  decisions.  In  particular,  farmers  mentioned  rainfall  forecast  as  being  crucial  for  determining  sowing  operations  in  monsoon  months,  and  for  managing  harvest  operations  which  often  face  risks  from  excess  rainfall  during  harvesting  time  (January  –  March)  that  destroy  harvested  crop.  Rainfall  forecasts  were  also  associated  with  better  planning  and  water  management.    

Constraint  #2:  Temperature  Variations    

In  HP,  a  second  source  of  climate  risk  emerged,  associated  with  sudden  changes  in  temperature,  especially  in  the  high  altitudes.  A  particularly  vexing  problem  farmers  noted  was  that  of  frost  during  March-­‐April.  Cold,  freezing  wind  during  the  flowering  stage  destroyed  the  flowers  thus  preventing  formation  of  fruits.  On  the  other  hand,  higher  average  temperatures  were  associated  with  higher  pest  incidence  and  associated  threats.  Temperature  related  forecasts  were  therefore  another  crucial  parameter  associated  with  advisories.  It  helped  farmers  to  know  in  advance  how  temperatures  were  going  to  vary  in  order  to  take  mitigating  measures  such  as  lighting  fires  around  orchards  to  increase  temperatures  when  cold  onset  was  indicated.    

Constraint  #3:  Pest  and  Diseases    

Pest  and  diseases  were  amongst  the  top  three  agricultural  constraints  mentioned  by  farmers.  Pests  and  diseases  were  often  linked  to  variability  in  weather-­‐based  parameters  such  as  rainfall,  temperatures  and  humidity.  Some  common  diseases  were  flies  and  ants  and  bacterial  infection  in  vegetables  during  March  –  July,  seed  related  infections  in  paddy  in  August-­‐October,  and  stem  borer  in  kidney  beans.  Farmers  thus  found  pest  related  information  in  advisories  very  helpful.    

 

Documented  stories  of  AAS  use  by  farmers    

Male  farmer  from  Amtrar,  Himachal  Pradesh    

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“Three  years  ago,  I  found  out  from  a  weekly  advisory  that  rain  was  forecast  and  transplantation  of  paddy  was  recommended.  I  followed  the  advice  and  reaped  a  good  crop.  Farmers  who  did  not  follow  the  recommendation  were  delayed  transplantation  by  15-­‐20  days  and  had  lesser  yields”  

 

Male  farmer  from  Amtrar,  Himachal  Pradesh  

 

“Two  years  ago,  the  advisory  recommended  delaying  harvesting  of  wheat  crop  based  on  heavy  rainfall  forecast.  I  did  so  and  saved  my  crop.  If  I  had  harvested,  then  heavy  rains  would  have  destroyed  the  harvested  grains  left  in  the  field”  

 

Female  farmer  from  Amtrar,  Himachal  Pradesh  

 

“Through  the  meetings  with  agricultural  experts  I  learnt  how  to  protect  my  cucumber  crops.  I  got  an  apparatus  which  traps  the  flies  that  sit  on  the  plant  and  destroy  it.  I  have  been  using  it  for  5  months  now  and  it  has  been  very  helpful  in  preventing  fly  attacks”  

 

Female  farmer  in  Amtrar,  Himachal  Pradesh  

 

“I  got  to  know  about  vermicomposting  through  the  advisories.  I  started  using  it  on  my  onion  crop  and  found  the  yield  to  be  higher  and  the  quality  of  onions  also  improved”  

 

Female  farmer  from  Chong,  Himachal  Pradesh  

 

“My  cabbage  crop  used  to  get  infected  with  diseases.  I  used  to  spray  pesticides  but  to  no  avail.  I  learnt  from  trainings  that  I  should  spray  the  pesticides  at  evening,  instead  of  afternoon  and  then  they  become  much  more  effective”  

 

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Salience  of  Communication  Channels  used  

In  addition,  farmers  also  provided  feedback  on  communication  channels  and  why  certain  channels  were  not  appropriate  or  did  not  work  as  well.    

Both  male  and  female  farmers  supported  trainings  and  discussions  in  villages  as  superior  forms  of  dissemination  channels.  Moreover,  the  team  also  observed  that  Amtrar  being  in  closer  geographical  proximity  to  Agricultural  University  in  Palampur,  was  better  able  to  establish  channels  of  communication  with  the  University  for  timely  dissemination  of  advisories.      

4.2.4.4 Equity  in  reach  

Across  the  3  villages,  female  farmers  came  out  as  more  aware  of  the  AAS  program  than  male  farmers.  This  arguably,  was  linked  to  the  role  women  played  in  agriculture.  In  Amtrar,  women  had  a  larger  role  to  play  in  agriculture  and  took  interest  in  using  the  advisories  and  benefitted  from  it.  They  participated  in  block  level  meetings  held  by  agricultural  scientists  and  agrometeorologist  and  upon  return  would  also  share  the  information  amongst  other  women  and  men  in  the  village.    

This  was  true  in  Chong  as  well.  All  the  women  interviewed  were  part  of  the  local  women  collectives  who  played  an  active  role  in  attending  trainings  and  camps  at  the  Horticulture  Research  Centre  at  Bijora  and  took  greater  initiative  in  learning  more  about  the  AAS  and  applying  it  to  their  decision-­‐making.  While  the  KVK  at  Chong  had  appointed  one  of  the  women  farmers  to  further  disseminate  AAS  related  information  in  the  village,  she  had  yet  to  make  a  significant  impact  on  improving  awareness  and  usability  in  the  village.    

With  respect  to  information  through  extension  officers  from  KVKs,  women  farmers  in  Bhanjal  lamented  that  such  dissemination  was  restricted  to  larger  landholders  in  the  village  only  and  a  majority  of  small  farmers  were  not  part  of  this  network.  There  also  seemed  to  be  gender  differences  in  they  type  of  channel  preferred.  While  male  farmers  in  both  Amtrar  and  Bhanjal  rated  radio  and  television  as  good  channels  to  reach  them,  women  farmers  expressed  their  inability  to  listen  to  radio  or  watch  television  during  the  day  due  to  lack  of  time  and  engagement  with  other  household  and  field  related  activities.    

Both  male  and  female  farmers  supported  trainings  and  discussions  in  villages  as  superior  forms  of  dissemination  channels.    

4.2.5 Conclusions:  Lessons  Learnt  &  Best  practices  from  the  State  of  HP  

Overall  Use  of  AAS  advisories  

In  all  3  villages  surveyed,  90%  farmers  said  they  used  personal  experience  and  relied  on  traditional  farming  practices  in  undertaking  farm-­‐based  decisions.  In  addition,  they  also  used  local  lunar  calendars,  traditional  indicators  as  well  as  their  own  observations  on  weather  and  crop  patterns  to  determine  farm  level  activities.    

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Only  in  Amtrar  did  farmers  add  that  they  refer  to  advisories  they  receive  from  agricultural  university,  on  radio  and  on  TV  too  to  help  with  decision-­‐making.    

What  made  advisories  penetrate  so  successfully  in  Amtrar  relative  to  the  other  two  sites  where  use  of  AAS  was  poor?  

From  HP,  we  learnt  the  following:  

-­‐ When  women  farmers  are  fully  engaged,  the  appropriation  and  use  of  AAS  is  maximal  (lesson  from  Amtrar  village);  

-­‐ Trainings  and  discussions  in  villages  are  the  superior  forms  of  dissemination  channels:  regular  trainings  at  the  horticulture  department  of  the  university  for  Amtrar  farmers  proved  critical.  When  there  is  sustained  Interaction  between  farmers  and  agrometeorologists,  agricultural  and  horticultural  scientists,  high  use  of  advisories  ensues;  

-­‐ Advisories  need  to  be  locally  salient.  Indeed,  even  within  a  state,  high  agroclimate  differences  are  high.  This  was  evident  between  Palampur  Agricultural  University  (knowledge  hub  of  AAS  advisory  generation)  and  the  remote  low  hill  parts  of  Una  districts  (closest  to  Punjab  in  terms  of  agro-­‐climate  features)  where  surveyed  Una  district  farmers  did  not  find  provided  agro-­‐met  advisories  accurate  at  all  nor  salient  to  their  local  decision-­‐making  under  a  variable  climate.  As  such,  local  downscaling  and  value-­‐addition  is  paramount  to  ensure  salience  to  local  farmer  needs  and  usability  by  farmers.  

Farmer  recommendations  for  improvement  of  the  AAS  Program  in  HP  

Additional  information  sought  through  AAS  

Additional  needs   Lessons  Learnt/Suggested  Best  practices  for  Scaling  up  

1.  On  water  management,  especially  during  times  of  shortage  

2.  Access  to  good  quality  seeds      

1.  Advisories  through  cell  phones  (voice  mails  and  text  messages)  

2.Elaborate  advisories  through  television  in  addition  to  state  level  forecasts  currently  relayed  

3.  Printed  advisory  bulletins  displayed  in  all  central  points  in  the  village.  

• Trainings  and  discussions  in  villages  as  superior  forms  of  dissemination  channels.    

• Local  downscaling  and  value-­‐addition  is  paramount  to  ensure  salience  to  local  farmer  needs  and  

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usability  by  farmers.  

 

 

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4.3 STATE  3:  PUNJAB      

4.3.1 Agriculture  in  the  State  of  Punjab    

Punjab  displays  a  wide  diversity  in  agro-­‐climate  zones.  Straddling  both  the  low  plains  and  western  Himalayas  regions,  Punjab  offers  an  interesting  mix  of  plain  and  hill  agriculture.  The  state  lies  in  the  northwest  of  India,  bordered  by  Paskistan  to  the  West,  South  by  Rajhastan  and  Haryana,  and  to  the  east  by  Himachal  Pradesh.  With  agriculture,  notably  horticulture,  as  the  state’s  main  source  of  income,  HP  is  India’s  fastest  growing  economy  and  produces  hydroelectric  power  from  its  abundant  rivers  which  it  sells  to  neighboring  states.  

Himachal  Pradesh  is  sub-­‐divided  into  four  agroclimatic  zones  in  all.  Rainfall  differences  are  stark  from  the  hilly  to  valley  zones.  Table  xx  details  the  specific  agro-­‐climatic  features  of  each  zone.  

§ Agro  Climatic  Region:  Trans-Gangetic Plains Region

Sub  Region   Rainfall    mm)   Climate   Soil   Crop  1. Central  Plain  

Zone  (Ludhiana  and  surroundings)  

561  Semi-­‐arid  to  Dry  sub-­‐humid  

Alluvial  (Recent)  Rice,  Wheat,  Maize,  

Groundnut,  Cotton,  Gram,  Barley,  Pear,  Guava.  

2.  Western  Plain  Zone  

(Faridkot  and  surroundings)  

890  semi-­‐arid  to  Dry  sub-­‐humid  

Calcareous  

Rice,  Wheat,  Maize,  Bajra,  Barley,  Sugarcane,  Gram,  

Moong,  Arhar,  Oilseed,Vegetables.  

3.  Southwest    Zone  (Bhatinda  and  surroundings)  

Scarce  Rainfall  arid  region  

360   Arid  and  Extreme  arid  

Calcareous,  Sierozemic,  Alluvial  

(Recent),  desert  

Wheat,  cotton,  gram,  Bajra,  rice  

 § Agro  Climatic  Region:  Western Himalaya Sub Region

4. Foothills  of  

Shivalik  &  Himalayas    

 Undulating  Plain  

Zone  

variable  (see  table  below)  

various  (see  table  below)  

various  (see  table  below)  

Rice,  Wheat,  Maize,  Sugarcane,  Groundnut,  ,Sesamum,  Kharif  

Pulses,(Moong,  Mesh,  Arhar),  gram,  Rape&  

Mustard,  Linseed,  Lentil,  Peas,  Fruits,  Vegetables,.  

Agro  Climatic  Features  of  the  Western  Himalaya  Sub  Region  in  Punjab  State  

Sub  Region   Rainfall  (mm)   Climate   Soil   Crop  

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High  altitude  temperate   165   Humid  to  cold  

arid  

Hill  soils,  mountain,  meadow  

skeletal,  tarai  

Wheat,  maize,  rice,  Jowar.  

Hill  temperate   2000   Humid   Brown  Hill   Rice,  maize,  wheat,  rapeseed  

Valley  temperate   400   Sub-­‐humid  

Sub-­‐mountain,  mountain  skeletal,  meadow  

Wheat,  maize,  rice,  sugarcane.  

Sub-­‐tropical   1030   Semi-­‐arid  to  humid  

Alluvial  (Recent),  brown  

hills.  Wheat,  barley,  potato.  

Table.  xx:  Agroclimate  zones  of  Punjab  State,  from  the  Plain  

(Source:  http://dacnet.nic.in/farmer/new/dac/AgroClimaticZones.asp?SCod=16)  

Fig.  xx:  Four  agroclimate  zones  in  the  State  of  Punjab  (Source:  Ludhiana  Agr  University)  

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Out  of  the  four  agro-­‐climate  zones  of  Punjab,  the  CCAFS  team  selected  3  zones  for  its  investigation:  the  Piedmond  alluvial  /  Central  plain  zone  (Ludhiana  district),  the  Southwest  alluvial  plain  (Bhatinda  district)  and  the  Undulating  subregion/Siwalik  hills  (Hoshiarpur  district).  In  each  zone,  one  village  was  randomly  chosen  to  conduct  the  survey,  respectively  Panglian  (in  Ludhiana),  Mehma  Sarja  (in  Bhatinda)  and  Achalpur  (in  Hoshiarpur).    

In  Punjab  the  wide  diversity  in  agroclimate  features  was  captured,  in  an  effort  to  capture  the  perspectives  of  farmers  from  diverse  agricultural  contexts.  We  give  below  the  most  significant  elements  of  this  appraisal.    

In  total,  86  farmers  participated  in  the  appraisal  in  the  state  of  Punjab,  of  which  37  female  and  49  male,  characterized  as  follows:  

State  of  PUNJAB  –  Respondent  Characteristics  Village  Name   Female  Farmers   Male  Farmers   Total  N°  of  

Farmers  surveyed  

N°  surveyed  

Avg.  farm  size  (acres)  

%  non-­‐OC*  surveyed  

N°  surveyed  

Avg.  farm  size  (acres)  

%  non-­‐OC*  surveyed  

1.            Panglian  

18   1   39%   13   3,2   0%   31  

2.          Mehma-­‐  Sarja  

10   5,7   0%   28   9,7   4%   38  

3.            Achal  Pur  

9   1,8   0%   8   3,5   13%   17  

Total   37   2,8   13%   49   5,5   6%   86  

*%  non-­‐OC  surveyed:  %  Non  Open  Category,  a  measure  of  socio-­‐economic  marginalization  in  India;  this  includes  Scheduled  Castes  (SC),  Backward  Castes  (BC)  and  other  Backward  Castes  (OBC).  

Agriculture  served  as  primary  livelihood  for  farmers.  In  addition  livestock  (buffalo,  cows,  sheep,  goat  and  bulls)  provided  supplementary  support  and  livelihood.  Key  crops  across  all  villages  were  wheat  (winter  crop),  paddy  (summer  crop),  cotton,  maize,  millet  (sorghum  and  pearl  millet)  and  vegetables.  In  Panglian  and  Mehma  Sarja,  farmers  relied  on  groundwater  (extracted  through  tubewells)  for  irrigation  purposes.  In  Achalpur,  reliance  on  rainwater  was  more,  though  some  farmers  used  groundwater  to  irrigate  a  small  proportion  of  their  fields.  

 

4.3.2 Products  delivered  by  the  AAS  Program    

Across  the  three  villages,  farmers  mentioned  several  parameters  that  they  associated  with  the  advisories,  which  influenced  their  decision-­‐making.  These  were  rainfall  forecasts,  temperature,  humidity,  pest  related  information  and  pest  management  strategies,  fertilizer  application,  information  on  seeds,  green  manuring,  and  irrigation  decisions.    

   

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4.3.3 Communication  channels  used  

Farmers  across  the  three  villages  receive  forecasts  and  weather-­‐based  agro  advisories  through  a  collection  of  channels,  some  more  effective  than  others.    

These,  as  enumerated  by  farmers  and  aggregated  here,  include:  

• interactions  with  AMFUs  or  agricultural  university  experts,    • agricultural  programs  on  television,    • newspapers,    • Kisan  Mela’s  (farmer  fairs)  in  the  village,    • SMS    • Internet.    

 4.3.4 Assessment  Criteria:  How  salient   Is  the  AAS  Program  to  support   local  

farmer  decision-­‐making?    4.3.4.1 Awareness  of  the  AAS  Program  at  Village  Level  

We   found   variable   levels   of   awareness   of   the   AAS   program   among   farmers   in   the   three  communities   surveyed.   Male   farmers   in   Panglian   had   the   highest   awareness   about   AAS.   In  comparison,  only  50%  of  male  farmers  in  Mehma  Sarja  and  Achalpur  displayed  knowledge  about  AAS.    

Women  farmers,  across  all  three  villages,  had  no  knowledge  about  the  AAS  and  had  never  used  it  to  influence  their  decisions.  This  was  arguably   linked  to  their  minimal  to  non-­‐existent  role  in  agriculture.  Women  were  primarily  housekeepers  in  addition  to  taking  care  of  livestock  in  some  cases.  Thus  women  were   left  out  of  most  trainings  and  discussions  with  agricultural  university  experts  or  with  extension  officers.    

 

4.3.4.2 Credibility/Skill    

Farmers  pegged  the  accuracy  of  forecasts  anywhere  from  20%  -­‐  90%,  with  higher  accuracy  levels  in  Mehma  Sarja  and  Achalpur.  In  Mehma  Sarja,  farmers  added  that  they  received  the  advisories  at  appropriate  times,  especially  during  harvesting  and  sowing  time  where  weather  information  was  crucial  in  decision  making.  In  Panglian,  farmers  found  information on pests and also diseases in livestock and medicine important and useful. In Mehma Sarja and Achalpur male farmers felt that advisories were very  useful  and  relevant.  90%  said  they  followed  the  advice  regularly.  However,  while  farmers  here  found  the  advisories  relevant,  majority  of  farmers  in  Panglian  and  Achalpur  felt  the  advisories  were  not  sufficient  for  farm  management  strategies  because  forecasts  was  not  accurate  at  all  times  and  also  was  not  received  on  time.  In  addition,  farmers  

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with  less  than  an  acre  of  land  felt  that  advisories  were  not  of  much  relevance  to  them  due  to  the  small  scale  of  operations.  

 4.3.4.3 Salience  to  local  farmer  needs  

Products  delivered  

Of  all  the  advisories  received  (weather  parameters  such  as  rainfall  and  temperature  forecasts  and  advisories  on  pest  and  disease  management,  crop  choices,  fertilizer  mixes,  harvesting  decisions,  and  seed  information),  in  all  the  three  villages  farmers,  particularly  women  farmers  said  that  they  found  rainfall  forecasts  as  most  crucial  to  their  decision  making.  Farmers  felt  that  for  the  most  part  the  information  was  received  in  good  time,  either  the  day  before  or  the  morning  when  they  were  going  to  take  decisions.  

Uses  of  AAS  advisories:  Translating  advisories  into  action  to  overcome  constraints  to  Agriculture  

Constraint  #1:  Difficult  Irrigation  Planning  

Male  farmers  perceived  irrigation  related  issues  as  most  crucial  and  important.  In  Panglian  and  Mehma  Sarja,  erratic  supply  and  shortages  in  electricity  caused  severe  obstructions  in  irrigation.  In  addition,  sudden  rains  during  harvest  time  (March-­‐April)  also  damaged  crops.  In  Achalpur,  poor  rains  in  winter  (Dec-­‐March)  negatively  affected  the  wheat  crop  and  maize  crop.    Advisories,  in  addition  to  giving  rainfall  forecasts,  provided  important  information  on  laser  levelling,  which  determined  the  optimal  level  of  irrigation  in  a  given  field,  thus  aiding  better  management  of  irrigation.    

Constraint  #2:  Temperature  Variations    

In  casual  discussions  with  large  farm  holding  farmers  before  the  interviews,  they  mentioned  severe  temperature  changes  in  2003,  2004  and  2012  which  resulted  in  more  diseases  and  consequently  crop  failure.  Early  forecasts  in  temperature  variations  apart  from  helping  better  prepare  and  mitigate  disease  on-­‐set,  are  also  crucial  for  containing  diseases  and  infection  in  livestock  triggered  by  sudden  temperature  changes.    

Documented  stories  of  AAS  use  by  farmers    

Male  farmer  from  Panglian,  Punjab  

“Agrometeorologists  came  for  a  meeting  in  a  nearby  village.  They  informed  us  about  a  big  rainfall  event  in  2009  in  2  days.  I  had  earlier  delayed  nitrogen  fertilizer  application  for  wheat.  When  I  heard  about  the  forecast,  I  immediately  hired  labor  and  applied  the  fertilizer.  That  was  very  helpful  in  keeping  my  crops  healthy”  

Male  farmer  from  Mehma  Sarja,  Punjab  

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“I  learnt  about  new  cotton  seeds  through  the  advisories.  I  tried  them  and  harvested  a  good  crop  with  it”  

 

Salience  of  Communication  Channels  used  

In  addition,  farmers  also  provided  feedback  on  communication  channels  and  why  certain  channels  were  not  appropriate  or  did  not  work  as  well.    

Both  male  and  female  farmers  supported  trainings  and  discussions  in  villages  as  superior  forms  of  dissemination  channels.  Moreover,  the  team  also  observed  that  Amtrar  being  in  closer  geographical  proximity  to  Agricultural  University  in  Palampur,  was  better  able  to  establish  channels  of  communication  with  the  University  for  timely  dissemination  of  advisories.      

4.3.4.4 Equity  in  reach  

Women  in  all  the  three  villages  were  completely  unaware  or  had  little  knowledge  about  the  AAS  program.    They  lamented  being  left  out  of  trainings  or  meetings  in  the  village  and  felt  that  exclusive  trainings  should  be  held  for  them.    

In  Panglian  and  Mehma  Sarja,  the  richer  and  progressive  farmers  received  the  AAS  information  regularly  and  were  able  to  benefit  from  it.  They  had  better  access  to  it  due  to  their  connections  with  AMFUs  or  extension  officers  and  resources  such  as  internet  access.  In  some  cases  they  helped  organize  trainings  in  the  village  to  disseminate  information  to  others  farmers,  however  this  was  not  always  the  case.  Moreover,  in  case  of  special  projects  in  a  village,  such  as  the  ‘Climate  Change’  project  in  Achalpur,  those  associated  with  it  were  more  likely  to  know  about  the  advisories  and  benefit  from  it  than  those  who  were  not  part  of  the  project,  thus  creating  information  asymmetries.    

4.3.5 Conclusions:  Lessons  Learnt  &  Best  practices  from  the  State  of  HP  

Overall  Use  of  AAS  advisories  

Majority  of  farmers  noted  that  they  relied  predominantly  upon  personal  experience  and  traditional  knowledge  and  practices  to  take  farm-­‐based  decisions.  In  Achalpur,  a  few  farmers  who  are  associated  with  an  on-­‐going  project  on  climate  change  added  that  they  refer  to  advisories  received  through  the  project.    In  Mehma  Sarja  farmers  referred  to  farm  calendars  that  they  received  during  periodical  Kisan  Mela’s  (Farmers  Fairs).      

From  Punjab,  we  learnt  the  following:  

-­‐ Use  of  an  NGO  or  local  project  to  promote  the  use  of  advisories  serves  to  increase  reach  and  appropriation  of  available  agromet  advisories,  and  indent  its  use  in  local  practice  (lesson  from  Achal  pur).  In  the  case  of  the  ‘Climate  Change’  project  in  Achalpur,  those  associated  with  it  were  more  likely  to  know  about  the  advisories  and  

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benefit  from  it  than  those  who  were  not  part  of  the  project,  thus  creating  information  asymmetries.    

-­‐ For  smallholder  farmers  with  farm  sizes  of  less  than  an  acre,  agromet  advisories  are  not  of  much  relevance  due  to  the  small  scale  of  operations.    

Farmer  recommendations  for  improvement  of  the  AAS  Program  in  Punjab  

Additional  information  sought  through  AAS  

Additional  needs   Lessons  Learnt/Suggested  Best  practices  for  Scaling  

up  

1.  Information  on  new  varieties  of  seeds;  also  on  why  certain  seeds  failed  and  how  to  prevent  it.  

2.  Wind  speed  to  help  decide  time  for  spraying  of  pesticide,  weedicide  and  fungicide  

3.  Harvest  time  for  wheat  

4.  What  to  do  during  sudden  frost  in  winter  

5.  Information  on  market  prices  

6.  Information  on  mechanization  possibilities  on  the  farm  

7.  Timely  and  accurate  rainfall  forecasts.  

1.  Display  textual  copies  of  advisories  in  prominent  locations  in  the  village  such  as  the  Gurudwara  (Sikh  temple).  Common  areas  also  ensure  information  is  evenly  disseminated  and  not  restricted  to  few  factions  or  privileged  sections.    

2.  Specific  trainings  and  meetings  for  women  farmers  in  the  village.    

3.  Advisories  through  SMS  and  voice  mails.      

4.  24/7  TV  Channel  exclusively  on  agriculture.    

6.  Organize  farmers  into  Kisan  groups  (Farmers’  Group)  on  a  voluntary  basis  to  help  disseminate  vital  information  in  the  village.    

7.  Appoint  village  level  volunteers  who  could  receive  biweekly  advisories  from  the  AMFU  and  communicate  them  to  the  rest  of  the  village.  

• Use  of  an  NGO  or  local  project  to  promote  the  use  of  advisories  serves  to  increase  reach  and  appropriation  of  available  agromet  advisories,  and  indent  its  use  in  local  practice  (lesson  from  Achal  pur)  

• For  smallholder  farmers  with  farm  sizes  of  less  than  an  acre,  agromet  advisories  are  not  of  much  relevance  due  to  the  small  scale  of  operations.      

 

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4.4 STATE  4:  WEST  BENGAL  (WB)    

4.4.1 Agriculture  in  the  State  of  West  Bengal    

India’s  fourth  most  populous  state  with  over  91  million  inhabitants,  home  of  Kolokota,  West  Bengal  is  bordered  by  the  countries  of  Nepal,  Bhutan  and  Bangladesh,  and,  from  east  to  south,  by  the  Indian  states  of  Assam,  Sikim,  Bihar,  Jharkhand  and  Orissa.  A  major  agricultural  producer  of  mainly  paddy,  jute  and  tea,  the  state  of  WB  is  the  6th  largest  contributor  to  India’s  net  domestic  product.  

 

Fig.  xx:  WB  in  India  (Source:  Maps  of  India.com)  

WB  is  sub-­‐divided  into  five  main  agroclimatic  zones.  Rainfall,  topography  and  climate  differences  are  stark  from  the  hilly  to  valley  zones.  Table  xx  details  the  specific  agro-­‐climatic  features  of  each  zone.  

 

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Zone   Rainfall  (mm)  

Climate   Soil   Crops  

1. Himalayan  Hills    

2441   Per  humid  to  humid  

Brown  Hills   Rice,  maize,  Ragi,  potato  

2. North-­‐East  Hills    

3528   Per  humid  to  humid  

Red  sandy  laterite   Rice,  rapeseed,  maize  

3. Upper  Brahmaputra  

2809   Humid  to  per  humid  

Alluvial,  red  loamy  

Rice,  jute,  rapeseed,  wheat  

4. Southern  Hills   2052   Per  humid  to  humid  

Acidic  soils   Rice,  maize,  sesame,  sugarcane  

5. Lower  Brahmaputra  

(Terai  floodplain)  

1840   Per  humid  to  humid  

Alluvial,  red  loamy,  tarai  soils  

Rice,  rapeseed,  wheat,  jute,  potato  

Table.  xx:  The  five  agroclimate  zones  of  the  State  of  West  Bengal  

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Fig.  xx:  Agroclimate  zones  of  West  Bengal  state    

(Source:  NABARD,  State  Agricultural  Plan  for  West  Bengal)  

Out  of  the  five  agro-­‐climate  zones  of  WB,  the  CCAFS  team  selected  3  zones  for  its  investigation:  the  Gangetic  floodplain  zone  (Nadia  district),  the  coastal  floodplain  region  (South  24  Parganas  district)  and  the  Undulating  lateritic  region  (Pashim  Midinipur  district).  In  each  zone,  one  village  was  randomly  chosen  to  conduct  the  survey,  respectively  Chandamari  (Nadia),  Prasadpur  (South  24  Parganas)  and  Keshpur  (Pashim  Medinipur).  

In  total,  65  farmers  participated  in  the  appraisal  in  the  state  of  Andhra  Pradesh,  of  which  23  female  and  42  male,  characterized  as  follows:  

State  of  West  Bengal  –  Respondent  Characteristics  Village  Name   Female  Farmers   Male  Farmers   Total  N°  

of  Farmers  surveyed  

N°  surveyed  

Avg.  farm  size  (acres)  

%  non-­‐OC*  surveyed  

N°  surveyed  

Avg.  farm  size  (acres)  

%  non-­‐OC*  surveyed  

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1.          Chandamari  

8   1,6   0%   10   1,9   0%   18  

2.          Prasadpur  

7   0,4   100%   9   1,266666667   100%   16  

3.            Keshpur   8   0,8   50%   23   3,1   35%   31  

Total   23   0,95   50%   42   2,09   45%   65  

*%  non-­‐OC  surveyed:  %  Non  Open  Category,  a  measure  of  socio-­‐economic  marginalization  in  India;  this  includes  Scheduled  Castes  (SC),  Backward  Castes  (BC)  and  other  Backward  Castes  (OBC).  

Agriculture   served   as   the   primary   livelihood   for   farmers   across   the   three   villages.   In   addition  livestock  (cow,  goat,  chicken)  provided  supplementary  support  and  livelihood.  Male  farmers  also  indicated   to   a   growing   trend  of   seasonal   labour   requiring   farmers   to  migrate   out   into   nearby  cities,   other   states   and   even   out   of   the   country.   Farmers   (both  male   and   female)   engaged   in  local  business  as  well..  Key  crops  across  all  villages  were  paddy,  jute  and  mustard  (Chandamari),  Betel   leaves   (Prasadpur),   sesame   oil   and   groundnut   (Keshpur)   and   vegetables.   Irrigation,   in  Chandamari  and  to  some  extent  in  Keshpur  was  provided  through  shallow  pumps  and  mini  wells  respectively.  In  Prasadpur,  agriculture  was  predominantly  rainfed.  

 

4.4.2 Products  delivered  by  the  AAS  Program  

Across  the  three  villages,  farmers  mentioned  several  parameters  that  they  associated  with  the  advisories,  which  influenced  their  decision-­‐making.  These  were  weather  related  information  including  rainfall  forecasts,  temperature,  wind  speed  and  direction,  fog,  storms,  hailstorms  and  humidity,  advisories  about  choice  of  crops,  sowing  time,  new  seeds,  pest  and  pest  management,  and  irrigation  activities.    

 4.4.3 Communication  channels  used  

Farmers  across  the  three  villages  receive  forecasts  and  weather-­‐based  agro  advisories  through  a  collection  of  channels,  some  more  effective  than  others.    

These,  as  enumerated  by  farmers  and  aggregated  here,  include:  

• seminars  and  discussions  with  Agricultural  University  agrometeorological  scientists  (BCKV),    

• through  local  NGOs  (Ramakrishna  Mission),    • womens’  self  help  groups,    • discussions  amongst  farmers  in  village  teashops,    • newspapers,    • television    • and  radio.  

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4.4.4 Assessment  Criteria:  How  salient   Is  the  AAS  Program  to  support   local  farmer  decision-­‐making?    4.4.4.1 Awareness  of  the  AAS  Program  at  Village  Level  

Across  all  three  villages,  we  found  that  male  and  female  farmers  had  very  minimal  knowledge  about  the  AAS  program.  During  interviews  and  more  probing,  male  farmers  revealed  greater  knowledge  about  them  and  some  information  on  weather  and  weather  related  advisories  they  had  received  on  occasion.  In  Chandamari,  while  farmers  said  they  didn’t  know  about  the  AAS  during  FGD,  in  interviews,  3  out  of  4  had  received  some  form  of  information  about  AAS.    In  Prasadpur,  only  3  out  of  the  12  farmers  knew  about  the  AAS.  In  Keshpur,  60%  of  male  farmers  and  25%  of  female  farmers  from  the  FGD  seem  to  know  about  AAS  bulletins.    

Most  information,  however,  farmers  felt,  was  received  and  used  by  few  selective  farmers  in  the  village  depending  upon  their  socio-­‐economic  positions  and  status  in  the  village.  

4.4.4.2 Credibility/Skill  

In  West  Bengal,  AAS  forecasts  were  found  to  be  of  low  credibility  and  relevance.  Across  the  3  villages,  the  accuracy  of  the  forecasts  from  FGDs  and  interviews  was  pegged  from  anywhere  between  10-­‐20%  to  about  50-­‐60%.  About  80%  of  farmers  across  all  the  3  villages  expressed  dissatisfaction  with  the  advisories.  They  said  that  they  don’t  find  the  advisories  very  relevant  and  don’t  use  the  advisories.  They  added  that  they  don’t  trust  the  forecasts  enough  to  use  them.  Women  in  Keshpur  said  that  they  found  the  advisories  useful  but  did  not  find  the  forecasts  accurate.  In  terms  of  timeliness,  60%  of  farmers  across  the  3  villages  said  they  needed  the  forecasts  at  least  a  week  in  advance.    

 4.4.4.3 Salience  to  local  farmer  needs  

Products  delivered  

Of  all  the  advisories  received  (weather  parameters  such  as  rainfall  and  temperature  forecasts  and  advisories  on  pest  and  disease  management,  crop  choices,  fertilizer  mixes,  harvesting  decisions,  and  seed  information),  in  all  the  three  villages  farmers,  particularly  women  farmers  said  that  they  found  rainfall  forecasts  as  most  crucial  to  their  decision  making.  Farmers  felt  that  for  the  most  part  the  information  was  received  in  good  time,  either  the  day  before  or  the  morning  when  they  were  going  to  take  decisions.  

Uses  of  AAS  advisories:  Translating  advisories  into  action  to  overcome  constraints  to  Agriculture  

Constraint  #1:  Rainfall  Variability    

In  all  the  three  villages,  erratic  rainfall  is  a  seasonal  occurrence.  In  Chandamari  and  Prasadpur,  paucity  of  rains  during  monsoon  season  negatively  effects  jute  harvesting  as  well  as  

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transplantation  activities  in  paddy.  On  the  other  hand,  untimely  heavy  rains  during  harvest  season  for  rice  (October-­‐November)  destroys  the  crop  as  a  result  of  germination  of  the  grains  in  the  field.  In  Keshpur  too,  excess  rainfall  in  July-­‐October  results  in  flooding  from  Tomal,  Silai  and  Kasai  rivers  and  destruction  of  fields  and  crops.  Farmers  say  that  rainfall  forecasts  are  crucial  during  such  times,  but  on  several  occasions  forecasts  are  unable  to  predict  with  accuracy.  Farmers  in  Keshpur  also  added  that  advisories  on  transplantation  technique  and  seed  quality  was  also  very  helpful.    

Constraint  #2:  Pest  and  Diseases      

Several  diseases  are  linked  with  seasonal  variations.  In  Prasadpur,  ‘Angari’  disease  that  infects  betel  leaves  occurs  during  monsoon  season.  Replenishment  of  soil  every  2-­‐3  years  and  use  of  large  quantity  of  pesticides  are  the  only  mitigation.  In  Keshpur  too,  diseases  in  potato  are  associated  with  fog  conditions,  while  paddy  crop  suffers  during  severe  winter  conditions.  Farmers  say  that  while  pesticide  information  in  advisories  are  very  important,  more  often  than  not  they  have  to  rely  on  pesticides  available  in  the  local  market  which  may  be  different  from  the  ones  recommended  in  the  advisories.    

 

Documented  stories  of  AAS  use  by  farmers    

Male  farmer  from  Chandamari,  West  Bengal    

“I  find  rainfall  forecast  useful  in  deciding  time  of  sowing  of  Aman  rice.  Rainfall  data  helps  in  irrigation  operation”  

Male  farmer  from  Keshpur,  West  Bengal  

“Yes,  Til  and  groundnut  production  have  increased  a  lot  since  they’ve  been  using  the  advice”  

 

Salience  of  Communication  Channels  used  

In  addition,  farmers  also  provided  feedback  on  communication  channels  and  why  certain  channels  were  not  appropriate  or  did  not  work  as  well.  In  particular,  farmers  in  both  Chandamari  and  Prasadpur  pointed  out  only  a  few  selective  farmers  who  had  links  with  the  BCKV  or  were  part  of  experimental  projects  had  knowledge  about  the  AAS  program  and  were  in  a  position  to  benefit  from  it.  While  local  NGOs  such  as  the  Ramakrishna  Mission  or  Sahid  Khudiram  Sheba  Mission  did  not  deliver  AAS  bulletins,  farmers  appreciated  the  agricultural  related  information  on  seeds,  soil  quality  and  extreme  weather  forecasts,  that  were  disseminated  through  these  organizations.  Particularly  noteworthy  was  that  Bangladesh  radio  was  favoured  over  local  radio  by  farmers  in  Prasadpur!  

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4.4.4.4 Equity  in  reach  

Women  farmers  for  the  most  part  lamented  that  they  were  not  part  of  any  meetings  and  did  not  directly  receive  any  information  about  the  AAS.  They  only  got  some  information  through  their  husbands  and  other  male  farmers.  They  insisted  that  they  be  included  in  trainings  and  meetings  on  AAS  and  other  agriculture  related  ones.    

Male  farmers  in  both  Chandamari  and  Prasadpur  pointed  out  that  only  a  few  farmers,  those  who  were  closely  associated  with  the  agrometeorological  experts  at  the  Agricultural  University,  and  those  who  were  part  of  experimental  projects  in  Prasadpur  received  most  of  the  information  from  AAS  and  in  a  position  to  use  the  information  appropriately.  The  majority,  they  said,  were  left  out  of  the  communication.    

 

 Women  for  the  most  part  were  not  aware  of  the  AAS  program,  except  few  women  in  Keshpur  who  had  some  knowledge  of  it.  This  could  also  be  linked  to  their  minimal  role  in  agriculture,  as  women  across   the   state  are  mostly   involved   in  household   related  work.   In  one  of   the  villages  (Prasadpur)   women   help   with   livestock.   In   agriculture,   women   go   to   the   fields   only   when  additional  labour  is  required.    

 

4.4.5 Conclusions:  Lessons  Learnt  &  Best  practices  from  the  State  of  WB  

 

Overall  Use  of  AAS  advisories  

Across  the  three  villages  surveyed  in  West  Bengal,  male  and  female  farmers  noted  that  they  relied  solely  on  traditional  practices  and  their  own  understanding  and  experience  to  take  farm  based  decisions.    

Further,  they  women  farmers  added  that  experts  from  the  agricultural  university  came  for  discussions  in  the  village  sometimes,  but  those  were  limited  to  male  farmers  only.  They  are  not  included  in  any  kind  of  discussions  with  agricultural  experts  who  at  best  only  invite  certain  male  farmers  for  such  meetings.  

In  sum,  in  West  Bengal,  improvements  in  the  reach  of  AAS  advisories  and  their  salience  to  local  farmer  needs  are  urgent.  Farmers  suggested  a  number  of  needed  steps  to  improve  the  usability  of  the  AAS  program;  these  are  summarized  in  the  table  below.  They  appreciated  this  study  which  came  to  ask  them  this  question,  and  gave  them  an  opportunity  to  air  their  views.    

It  is  hoped  that  if  these  steps  are  proceeded  with,  significant  improvements  in  farmers’  use  of  AAS  advisories  will  ensue.  

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From  WB,  we  learnt  the  following:  

-­‐ Village  discussions/trainings  on  Agromet  advisories  is  a  good  strategy  to  increase  the  reach  of  advisories.  However,  Wide  community  mobilization  and  inclusion  of  all  farmers  within  the  community  (not  only  male  farmers  of  high  socio-­‐economic  status)  is  critical  during  village  discussions  by  Agricultural  experts  to  ensure  widespread  appropriation  and  use  of  AAS  advisories.  This  is  a  critical  strategy  to  avoid  a  situation  where  the  majority  is  left  out  and  only  those  who  are  closely  associated  with  the  knowledge  providers  (agrometeorological  experts  at  the  Agricultural  University,  etc.)  and  those  who  are  part  of  experimental  projects  receive  most  of  the  information  from  AAS  and  in  a  position  to  use  the  information  appropriately  

-­‐ Use  of  local  NGOs  is  instrumental  in  this  regard  to  widely  mobilize  community  towards  use  of  agricultural  information.  

Farmer  recommendations  for  improvement  of  the  AAS  Program  in  WB  

Additional  information  sought  through  AAS  

Additional  needs   Lessons  Learnt/Suggested  Best  practices  for  Scaling  up  

 

1.    Crop  related  information  –  for  example,  advance  advisories  on  how  to  protect  cauliflower  crop  during  higher  than  average  temperatures  in  winter.    

2.  Information  on  new  techniques  to  reduce  cost  of  cultivation,  new  methods  of  cultivation  and  technology,  seed  varieties,  better  fertilizer  mix,  suitable  pesticides,  and  unknown  diseases.  

3.  Soil  nutrient  management  strategies  

4.  Choice  of  alternative  crops  during  monsoon  and  winter  season  

1.Detailed  weather  forecasts  on  TV  at  least  2  -­‐3  times  a  day  

2.  Door  to  door  information  through  an  appointed  volunteer  in  the  village  

3.  Newspapers  

4.  More  face-­‐to-­‐face  meetings  and  discussions  in  the  village  with  agricultural  experts  that  all  farmers  could  attend  

6.  A  toll  free  number  for  agromet  advice.  

7.  Advisories  to  be  displayed  on  notice  boards  in  key  locations  in  the  village.    

 

• Face-­‐to-­‐face  meetings  and  discussions  in  the  village  with  agricultural  experts  that  all  farmers  can  attend  

Wide  community  mobilization  and  inclusion  of  all  farmers  within  the  community  (not  only  male  farmers  of  high  socio-­‐economic  status)  is  critical  during  village  discussions  by  Agricultural  experts  to  ensure  widespread  appropriation  and  use  of  AAS  advisories.    

• Use  of  local  NGOs  instrumental  to  widely  mobilize  community  towards  use  of  agricultural  information.  

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4.5 STATE  5:  TAMIL  NADU  (TN)    

4.5.1 Agriculture  in  the  State  of  Tamil  Nadu    

Home  of  the  Tamil  people  since  the  era  of  500  BCE,  Tamil  Nadu  lies  on  the  southernmost  part  of  the  Indian  peninsula.  Bordered,  from  north  to  west,  by  the  Union  territory  of  Pondicherry,  the  states  of  Andhra  Pradesh,  Karnataka  and  Kerala  ,  Tamil  Nadu  is  bound  by  the  Eastern  Ghats  in  its  northern  flanks,  the  Nilgiris,  Anamalai  Hills  and  Palakkad  to  the  west,  by  the  Bay  of  Bengal,  the  Gulf  of  Mannar  and  Palk  Straight  to  the  east  and  south  East,  and  finally,  by  the  Indian  Ocean  in  the  South.    

This  wide  diversity  of  climates  endows  Tamil  Nadu  with    seven  agroclimatic  zones  in  all.  Table  xx  details  the  specific  agro-­‐climatic  features  of  each  zone.  

Zone   Rainfall  (mm)   Crops  

Cauvery  Delta   956.3   paddy,  sugar,  cotton,  groundnut,  sunflower,  banana,  ginger  

Northeastern   1109   paddy,  cholam,  cumbu,  ragi,  groundnut,  sugar,  cashew  

Western   653.7   paddy,  jowar,  ragi,  turmeric,  cotton,  oilseeds  

Northwestern   849   paddy,  wheat,  maize,  ragi,  bajra,  sugar,  groundnut,  cotton,  sunflower,  tobacco,  mango  

High  Altitude   1857   paddy,  groundnut,  tea,  coffee,  vegs  

Southern   816.5   paddy,  cholam,  ragi,  cumbu,  groundnut,  cotton,  banana,  tobacco  

High  Rainfall   1456   paddy,  coconut,  vegs,  tea,  cashew,  banana,  rubber  

Fig.  xx:  7  Agroclimate  zones  in  the  State  of  Tamil  Nadu  (Source:  Coimatore  Agr  University)  

 

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Out  of  the  seven  agro-­‐climate  zones  of  Tamil  Nadu,  the  CCAFS  team  selected  3  zones  for  its  investigation:  the  Western  zone  (Dhindugul  district),  the  High  altitude  and  hilly  zone  (Nilgiris  district)  and  the  Northwestern  zone  (Namakkal  district).  In  each  zone,  one  village  was  randomly  chosen  to  conduct  the  survey,  respectively  Kannivadi  (Dhindugul),  Melchowhutty  (Nilgiris)  and  Vadavattur  (Namakkal).  

Large  distances  and  the  short  time  available  to  the  CCAFS  evaluation  team  precluded  outreach  to  all  agroclimate  regions  of  the  state,  notably  the  Cauvery  delta  zone,  Southern,  Northeastern  and  high  rainfall  zones  were  left  out  of  this  assessment.  As  such,  results  from  this  analysis  should  be  interpreted  witin  the  bounds  our  sampling,  and  do  not  reflect  the  needs  of  farmers  across  all  agroclimate  zones  in  the  state.  Please  refer  to  other  states  where  sampling  already  captured  farmer  perspectives  in  the  context  of  omitted  agroclimate  zones.  

In  total,  46  farmers  participated  in  the  appraisal  in  the  state  of  Tamil  Nadu,  of  which  19  female  and  26  male,  characterized  as  follows:  

State  of  Tamil  Nadu  –  Respondent  Characteristics  Village  Name   Female  Farmers   Male  Farmers   Total  N°  of  

Farmers  surveyed  

N°  surveyed  

Avg.  farm  size  (acres)  

%  non-­‐OC*  surveyed  

N°  surveyed  

Avg.  farm  size  (acres)  

%  non-­‐OC*  surveyed  

1.            Kannivadi    

9   2,4       15   5,6   93%   24  

2.      Melchowhutty  

                         

3.            Vadavattur  

10   3,4   50%   11   3,7   35%   21  

Total   19   2,9   50%   26   4,65   64%   45  *%  non-­‐OC  surveyed:  %  Non  Open  Category,  a  measure  of  socio-­‐economic  marginalization  in  India;  this  includes  Scheduled  Castes  (SC),  Backward  Castes  (BC)  and  other  Backward  Castes  (OBC).  

 

In  all  villages  surveyed,  agriculture  served  as  the  primary  source  of  livelihood.  In  addition  livestock  (cow,  buffaloes,  goat,  chicken)  provided  supplementary  support  and  livelihood.  Few  male  farmers  also  engaged  in  agricultural  labour.  In  addition,  farmers  also  engaged  in  opportunities  with  the  National  Rural  Employment  Guarantee  Scheme  (NREGA).  Women  farmers  mentioned  tailoring  and  stitching  and  social  work  as  other  side  occupations.  Key  crops  across  the  villages  were  different  for  each  village.  In  Kannivadi,  maize,  cotton  and  coconut  were  main  crops,  in  Melchohutty,  potato,  tea  and  vegetables  dominated  and  in  Vadavattur,  onion,  groundnut  and  fodder  crops  (sorghum  and  maize)  were  primary.    

In  all  villages  agriculture  is  predominantly  rainfed.  Some  part  of  it  though  (less  than  50%)  is  served  by  groundwater  irrigation  through  tubewells.    

 

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4.5.2 Products  delivered  by  the  AAS  Program  

Across  the  three  villages,  farmers  mentioned  several  parameters  that  they  associated  with  the  advisories,  which  influenced  their  decision-­‐making.  These  were  weather  parameters  such  as  rainfall  and  temperature  forecasts,  wind  speed  and  direction,  cloud  cover,  dewfall,  frost  forecast  and  advisories  on  crop  selection,  disease  forecast  and  pest  management  in  crops  and  livestock.    

 4.5.3 Communication  channels  used  

Farmers  across  the  three  villages  receive  forecasts  and  weather-­‐based  agro  advisories  through  a  collection  of  channels,  some  more  effective  than  others.    

These,  as  enumerated  by  farmers  and  aggregated  here,  include:  

• display  of  AAS  at  village  bulletin  boards,    • trainings  conducted  by  local  institutions  or  extension  units  (MSSRF  in  Kannivadi,  

Horticulture  Research  Station  in  Melchowhutty,  and  KVK  in  Vadavattur),    • SMS,    • Phone  calls,    • forecasts  on  local  television  channels,    • and  Internet.    

 

 4.5.4 Assessment  Criteria:  How  salient   Is  the  AAS  Program  to  support   local  

farmer  decision-­‐making?    4.5.4.1 Awareness  of  the  AAS  Program  at  Village  Level  

Farmers  surveyed  in  Tamil  Nadu  displayed  high  levels  of  knowledge  on  the  AAS  program.  Awareness  about  the  AAS  program  was  high  (100%)  amongst  male  farmers  in  all  three  villages  surveyed.  Women  farmers  surveyed  in  Kannivadi  and  Melchowhutty  also  had  knowledge  about  the  AAS  program,  with  100%  awareness  in  the  former  and  75%  in  the  latter.  In  Vadavattur,  awareness  amongst  women  farmers  was  much  lower,  and  women  represented  only  10%  of  those  surveyed  with  some  knowledge  about  the  AAS.    

4.5.4.2 Credibility/Skill    

Across  the  three  villages,  farmers  perceived  the  accuracy  of  AAS  as  between  50-­‐90  per  cent.  Skill  and  accuracy  was  perceived  higher  by  male  farmers  than  by  female  farmers,  though  in  Kannivadi,  both  male  and  female  farmers  found  the  AAS  highly  reliable,  and  both  displayed  considerable  confidence  in  AAS  forecasts  and  advisories  and  in  using  them.    

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4.5.4.3 Salience  to  local  farmer  needs  

Lead  time  of  Products  delivered  

Farmers  across  all  villages  held  that  they  received  the  information  with  sufficient  time  to  carry  out  operations.  However,  they  added  that  it  would  be  favourable  to  lengthen  lead  time  by  a  week  to  ten  days.    

For  the  most  part,  farmers  across  the  board  said  the  lead  time  was  sufficient  to  carry  out  operations.  But  they  also  added  that  it  would  be  better  to  lengthen  lead  time  by  a  week  to  10  days.  

 

Uses  of  AAS  advisories:  Translating  advisories  into  action  to  overcome  constraints  to  Agriculture  

Constraint  #1:  Rainfall  Variability    

Shortage  of  rainfall  and  scarcity  of  water  came  out  as  the  biggest  concern  across  all  three  villages.  It  affected  sowing  dates  and  output.  In  Kannivadi,  farmers  opined  that  delayed  sowing  lead  to  other  issues  as  well,  especially  pest  infestation.  Drought  or  delayed  rains  during  July-­‐August  affected  cotton  crop  the  most.  Based  on  advisories  they  undertook  mulching  (to  conserve  soil  moisture  they  cover  the  soil  with  coir  and  other  natural  stuff)  and  drip  irrigation  to  extend  the  evaporation  process.  The  other  big  concern  was  untimely  rains,  particularly  in  Melchowhutty  and  Vadavattur.  Farmers  in  Vadavattur  conveyed  that  untimely  rainfall  destroyed  the  onion  crop.  They  frequently  delayed  harvesting  operations  if  rainfall  was  indicated  in  the  forecasts.    

Constraint  #2:  Temperature  Variations  

In  Melchowhutty,  due  to  its  hilly  location,  sudden  temperature  variations  affect  the  tea  crop  and  string  beans.  In  tea,  temperature  increases  causes  blight  disease,  while  in  beans,  temperature  increases  increased  looper  (pest)  infestation  Farmers  relied  on  advisories  to  determine  pesticide  application.  

Documented  stories  of  AAS  use  by  farmers    

Male  farmer  from  Kannivadi  

“I  use  the  wind  speed  and  direction  forecast  to  inform  pesticide  spray  and  to  provide  structural  support  for  crops.  I  also  use  rainfall  forecasts  to  determine  when  to  harvest”      

Male  farmer  from  Vadavattur,  Tamil  Nadu  

“The  advisories  are  useful  for  livestock  management.  I  learnt  that  we  should  allow  the  animals  to  graze  immediately  after  rainfall.  I  also  rely  on  it  for  treating  diseases  in  livestock”  

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Male  farmer  from  Kannivadi  

“If  rains  are  forecast  then  I  postpone  irrigation  and  that  saves  labour  costs  associated  with  it.  Rainfall  forecasts  also  help  me  decide  on  weeding  and  fertilizer  application”  

Female  farmer  from  Melchowhutty  

“I  have  changed  weeding  operations  based  on  AAS  information.  I  also  decide  on  harvesting  operations  now  by  referring  to  the  bulletin”  

 

Salience  of  Communication  Channels  used  

Farmers  also  shared  feedback  on  the  channels  through  which  they  received  advisories.    

In  Kannivadi,  farmers  remarked  that  while  voice  mails  through  cellular  phones  was  a  great  way  to  receive  information,  it  was  not  working  well  so  far  due  network  issues  in  the  village.  With  respect  to  receiving  information  through  MSSRF,  farmers  expressed  concern  that  farmers  who  were  not  members  with  MSSRF  found  it  difficult  to  receive  AAS  as  regularly  and  benefit  from  them  as  much  as  members.    

In  Melchowhutty,  farmers  did  receive  advisories  on  their  cellular  phones  through  SMS,  however  several  of  them  could  not  read  it  because  it  was  in  English  and  not  their  local  language.  Farmers  were  also  not  familiar  with  reading  SMS  messages  on  their  phones  and  required  additional  training  in  such  cases.    

 4.5.4.4 Equity  in  reach  

In  Kannivadi  and  Vadavatur,  both  male  and  female  farmers  were  aware  of  the  AAS.  However,  in  Kannivadi,  farmers  indicated  that  reach  and  use  of  AAS  was  more  in  the  case  of  farmers  who  were  members  with  the  MSSRF  Knowledge  Centre  at  the  village.  Most  information  was  communicated  through  trainings,  which  only  members  could  attend.  Non-­‐members  are  therefore  unable  access  this  information  on  the  same  scale  and  depth  that  the  members  are  able  to.    

In  Kannivadi,  women  farmers  engaged  in  agriculture  typically  during  the  sowing,  weeding  and  harvesting  time.  Women  farmers  however  have  taken  a  significant  interest  and  initiative  in  getting  information  from  the  MSSRF  (M  S  Swaninathan  Research  Foundation)  Knowledge  Centre  in  the  village  about  AAS  and  other  agriculture  related  information.  One  of  the  women  farmers  has  also  been  a  volunteer  for  recording  of  weather  data  from  the  Manual  Weather  Station  in  the  village.  Due  to  her  interaction  with  other  women  farmers  in  the  village,  there  was  a  great  deal  of  enthusiasm  amongst  women  farmers  in  the  village  about  the  usefulness  of  AAS  and  on  further  improvements  in  it.    

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4.5.5 Conclusions:  Lessons  Learnt  &  Best  practices  from  the  State  of  HP  

Overall  Use  of  AAS  advisories  

In  all  three  villages,  farmers  ranked  agro-­‐advisories  and  agricultural  information  as  topmost  amongst  agricultural  support  services  that  they  received  from  local  institutions  or  extension  services.    

However,  significant  cross-­‐village  differences  in  the  use  of  advisories  are  to  noted.  In  Kannivadi,  men  and  women  both  displayed  considerable  confidence  in  AAS  forecasts  and  advisories  and  in  using  them.  They  receive  them  regularly  from  the  MSSRF  Knowledge  centre  and  use  them  to  determine  sowing  time,  pesticide  and  fertilizer  application  and  harvesting  time.  They  also  attend  trainings  on  agro-­‐advisories  held  by  the  knowledge  centre.    

In  Melchowhutty  and  Vadavattur,  use  of  AAS  advisories  is  more  timid,  as  farmers  have  only  recently  become  familiar  with  AAS.  Men  in  both  villages  mentioned  relying  primarily  on  traditional  knowledge  and  practices  to  take  decisions  on  crop  management.  However,  in  Melchowhutty,  they  have  started  referring  to  weather  forecasts  while  in  Vadavattur,  they  use  the  information  (which  is  more  tuned  to  livestock  advisories)  for  pests  and  disease  management    for  animals.  Women  farmers  in  both  villages  agreed  that  they  had  a  traditional  sowing  period  based  on  rains  for  the  crops,  which  they  followed.  Further,  they  depended  upon  market  prices  to  decide  which  crops  to  sow.  Moreover,  they  also  shared  information  with  other  farmers  during  village  festivals.  In  the  last  two  villages,  thus  advisories  are  not  yet  the  main  basis  for  farm  decisions;  market  prices  and  traditional  sowing  calendars  still  reigning  supreme.  

Overall  the  reach  and  farmer  use  of  AAS  advisories  in  TN  is  encouraging.  Improvements  are  still  needed  nonetheless,  as  identified  by  farmers  in  the  following  table.  

 

From  TN,  we  learnt  the  following:  

-­‐ Smallholder  farmers  can  be  successfully  reached  with  agromet  information  using  a  diversity  of  communication  channels  (extension,  local  knowledge  center,  face-­‐to-­‐face  village  meetings  and  trainings  by  agricultural  experts,  SMS  and  voice  messages,  …).  Designing  and  harnessing  the  power  of  a  tailor-­‐made  fleet  of  communication  solutions  is  what  it  takes  to  reach  remote  smallholder  farmers  at  scale;  

-­‐ Presence  of  a  local  agrometeorological  knowledge  center  (the  MSSRF  Knowledge  Centre  at  the  village)  improved  access  and  usability  of  AAS  advisories;  

-­‐ SMS  based  dissemination  and  phone  calls  are  effective  preferred  channels  to  reach  farmers.  For  those  who  cannot  read  advisories,  voice  messages  on  the  phone  are  preferred.    

 

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Farmer  recommendations  for  improvement  of  the  AAS  Program  in  TN  

Additional  information  sought  through  AAS  

Additional  needs   Lessons  Learnt/Suggested  Best  practices  for  Scaling  

up  

1.  Improved  Resolution  -­‐  Information  is  sufficient  to  manage  crop  based  activities  but  the  resolution  needs  to  be  improved  for  the  forecasts,  particularly  rainfall  forecasts.    

 2.  Pest  management  -­‐  Information  on  new  pests  expected  in  each  season.  More  trainings  on  pest  management.    

3.  Information  on  rganic  farming.  At  the  moment  the  advice  is  tailored  to  conventional  chemical  based  farming  and  therefore  some  farmers  dont  find  it  useful.  

4.  On  new  mechanization  tecniques-­‐  In  the  past  farmers  grew  ragi,  wheat,  and  other  cereals.  Now  they  don’t,  because  of  labour  shortage.  Famers  wants  to  find  out  about  machines  for  harvesting  and  for  sowing  seeds.  

5.  Information  related  to  marketing,  cold  storage  facilities  and  self  help  group  trainings.  

1.  TV  channels  need  to  have  fixed  channels  and  timings  to  relay  advisories  and  other  information  related  to  agriculture.  Flash  news  on  all  channels  on  important  weather  events  is  necessary.  

2.  For  those  who  cannot  read  advisories,  voice  messages  on  the  phone  are  preferred.    

3.  Mobile  phone  application  for  AAS  should  be  started.  

5.  Larger  role  of  farmers  in  dissemination  activities  through  voluntary  involvement  and  enlistment  

6.  Specific  FM  radio  station  for  weather  based  agro  and  livestock  advisories.    

7.  Call  centre  where  farmers  could  call  for  additional  information  and  assistance.    

• Smallholder  farmers  can  be  successfully  reached  with  agromet  information  using  a  diversity  of  communication  channels  (extension,  local  knowledge  center/hub,  face-­‐to-­‐face  village  meetings  and  trainings  by  agricultural  experts,  SMS  and  voice  messages,  …).  Designing  a  tailor-­‐made  fleet  of  communication  solutions  is  what  it  takes  to  reach  remote  smallholder  farmers  at  scale;  

• Presence  of  a  local  agromet  knowledge  center/hub  (the  MSSRF  Knowledge  Centre  at  the  village)  improved  access  and  usability  of  AAS  advisories;  

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• SMS  based  dissemination  and  phone  calls  are  effective  preferred  channels  to  reach  farmers.  For  those  who  cannot  read  advisories,  voice  messages  on  the  phone  are  preferred.    

• Local  downscaling  and  improved  resolution  of  the  rainfall  forecasts  is  paramount  to  ensure  salience  to  local  farmer  needs  and  usability  by  farmers.  

 

 

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4.6 STATE  6:  GUJARAT    

4.6.1 Agriculture  in  the  State  of  Gujarat    

With  a  coastline  of  1600km  and  over  60  million  inhabitants,  Gujarat  is  an  ancient  land  believed  to  be  home  to  one  of  the  oldest  ports  in  the  world,  whose  contributions  to  the  history  and  economic  evolution  of  India  are  no  longer  contested.    

Gujarat  is  sub-­‐divided  into  eight  agroclimatic  zones  in  all.  Cross-­‐zonal  rainfall  differences  are  stark.  Table  xx  details  the  specific  agro-­‐climatic  features  of  each  zone.  

Agro-­‐climate  

zone  Rainfall  (mm)   Crops   Soils  

South   1000-­‐1500   cotton,  jowar,  wheat,  sugar,  hort  

black  clay  

Middle   800-­‐1000   cotton,  bajra,  tobacco,  pulses,  

wheat,  paddy,  maize,  jowar,  sugar  

black  soil  and  some  sand  

North   625-­‐875   tobacco,  wheat,  jowar,  millet,  vegs,  spices,  oilseeds  

sandy  loam  to  sandy  soils  

Heavy  Rain  (South)  

>1500     salty  and  black  

Bhal  and  Coastal   625-­‐1000   groundnut,  cotton,  bajra,  dry  wheat  pulse,  jowar  

medium  black  and  salty  

South  Saurastra   625-­‐750   groundnut,  cotton,  pulses,  wheat,  bajra,  

jowar,  sugar  

shallow  medium  black  calcareous  

North  Saurastra   400-­‐700   groundnut,  cotton,  wheat,  bajra,  jowar,  

sugar  

shallow,  medium  black  

Northwest   250-­‐500   cotton,  jowar,  groundnut,  bajra,  

wheat  

sandy  and  salty  

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Fig.  xx:  Agroclimate  zones  of  Gujarat  (Source:  Maps  of  India.com)  

Out  of  the  eight  agro-­‐climate  zones  of  Gujarat,  the  CCAFS  team  selected  3  zones  for  its  investigation:  North  Gujarat  (Ahmedabad  district),  Middle  Gujarat  (Kheda  district)  and  Southern  Gujarat  (Bharuch  district).  In  each  zone,  one  village  was  randomly  chosen  to  conduct  the  survey,  respectively  Arnej  (Ahmedabad),  Dharampura  (Kheda)  and  Nikora  (Bharuch).  

Large  distances  and  the  short  time  available  to  the  CCAFS  evaluation  team  precluded  sampling  to  the  remaining  regions  of  the  state,  i.e.  the  dry  and  cold  zones.  However  sampling  in  the  other  states  captures  perspectives  from  farmers  operating  in  most  of  the  agroclimate  features  left  out.    

In  total,  77  farmers  participated  in  the  appraisal  in  the  state  of  Gujarat,  of  which  34  female  and  43  male,  characterized  as  follows:  

State  of  Tamil  Nadu  –  Respondent  Characteristics  Village  Name   Female  Farmers   Male  Farmers   Total  N°  of  

Farmers  surveyed  

N°  surveyed  

Avg.  farm  size  (acres)  

%  non-­‐OC*  surveyed  

N°  surveyed  

Avg.  farm  size  (acres)  

%  non-­‐OC*  surveyed  

1.            Arnej  

9   17,3   0%               9  

2.      Dharampura  

14   0,53   100%   15   1,95       29  

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3.            Nikora  

11   6,3   50%   28   10,8   35%   39  

Total   34   8,043333333   50%   43   6,375   35%   77  *%  non-­‐OC  surveyed:  %  Non  Open  Category,  a  measure  of  socio-­‐economic  marginalization  in  India;  this  includes  Scheduled  Castes  (SC),  Backward  Castes  (BC)  and  other  Backward  Castes  (OBC).  

In  all  villages  surveyed,  agriculture  served  as  the  primary  source  of  livelihood.  In  Arnej  however,  agriculture  is  practiced  only  once  a  year  during  the  dry  season  from  November  to  April.  In  addition  livestock  (cow,  buffaloes)  provide  supplementary  support  and  livelihood.  Male  farmers  also  engaged  in  agricultural  labour  and  other  jobs  around  the  village.  Key  crops  across  the  villages  were  wheat,  cotton,  millet,  sugarcane,  potato,  chick  pea  and  banana.  In  two  out  of  3  villages,  agriculture  was  based  on  tubewell  irrigation.  In  Arnej,  where  dry  season  agriculture  was  practiced,  agriculture  was  largely  rainfed.    

 4.6.2 Products  delivered  by  the  AAS  Program  

Across  the  three  villages,  farmers  mentioned  several  parameters  that  they  associated  with  the  advisories,  which  influenced  their  decision-­‐making.  These  were  weather  parameters  such  as  rainfall  and  temperature  forecasts,  cloud  cover  and  advisories  on  pest  management  and  application  of  fertilizers.    

 4.6.3 Communication  channels  used  

Farmers  across  the  three  villages  receive  forecasts  and  weather-­‐based  agro  advisories  through  a  collection  of  channels,  some  more  effective  than  others.    

These,  as  enumerated  by  farmers  and  aggregated  here,  include:  

• interactions  with  agricultural  university  or  KVK  staff  at  Dharampura,    • local  television  channels,    • and  through  AAS  bulletins  on  the  village  notice  board.    

   

4.6.4 Assessment  Criteria:  How  salient   Is  the  AAS  Program  to  support   local  farmer  decision-­‐making?    4.6.4.1 Awareness  of  the  AAS  Program  at  Village  Level  

We  found  minimal  levels  of  awareness  of  the  AAS  program  among  farmers  surveyed  in  Gujarat.  Across  the  three  villages,  about  30-­‐40%  male  famers  were  aware  about  the  AAS.  In  Arnej,  though  farmers  knew  about  it  they  said  that  they  have  received  it  only  once  from  the  KVK  but  never  again  since.  Women  farmers  in  none  of  the  villages  were  aware  about  the  AAS.  This  is  

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arguably  linked  to  their  minimal  involvement  in  agriculture.  They  are  not  part  of  any  meetings,  trainings  or  discussions  with  extension  officers  or  agricultural  scientists.  

4.6.4.2 Credibility/Skill  

Perceptions  on  accuracy  of  AAS  were  low  across  the  villages  ranging  from  25  percent  to  60  percent  amongst  the  farmers  interviewed.  In  Nikora,  male  famers  opined  that  since  they  only  sow  once  a  year  when  there  is  not  much  variation  in  weather,  weekly  advisories  were  not  of  much  relevance.  If  at  all,  they  added  that  forecasts  were  inaccurate  and  hence  they  rarely  ever  used  advisories  in  decision-­‐making.  However,  in  interviews,  farmers  mentioned  getting  useful  information  on  cotton  crop  from  the  Cotton  Research  Centre.  In  Dharampura,  50%  of  those  who  knew  about  the  AAS  said  that  the  forecasts  were  not  accurate  at  the  village  level  and  hence  they  were  not  very  relevant.    

4.6.4.3 Salience  to  local  farmer  needs  

Products  delivered  

Of  all  the  advisories  received  (weather  parameters  such  as  rainfall  and  temperature  forecasts  and  advisories  on  pest  and  disease  management,  crop  choices,  fertilizer  mixes,  harvesting  decisions,  and  seed  information),  in  all  the  three  villages  farmers,  particularly  women  farmers  said  that  they  found  rainfall  forecasts  as  most  crucial  to  their  decision  making.  Farmers  felt  that  for  the  most  part  the  information  was  received  in  good  time,  either  the  day  before  or  the  morning  when  they  were  going  to  take  decisions.  

Uses  of  AAS  advisories:  Translating  advisories  into  action  to  overcome  constraints  to  Agriculture  

Constraint  #1:  Rainfall  Variability    

Water  deficiency  is  a  crucial  issue  across  all  the  villages.  It  primarily  owes  to  lack  of  irrigation  facility  and  depleted  groundwater  or  saline  water  incursion.  Monsoonal  variability  or  poor  rains  in  rainfall  implies  wells  don’t  recharge.  The  Narmada  canal  provides  water  but  only  for  drinking  purposes  or  for  irrigation  in  a  limited  number  of  crops  and  few  times  in  a  season.  Low  rainfall  is  also  associated  with  high  pest  incidence  in  crops.  Advisories,  farmers  said,  were  useful  in  preparing  their  fields  to  adjust  to  variations  in  rainfall.  However,  farmers  felt  that  inaccurate  weather  forecasts  were  also  problematic  and  caused  losses.    

Farmers  opined  that  advisories  on  pests  and  diseases  were  useful.  However,  they  added  that  sometimes  recommendations  on  pesticides  were  not  successful  since  some  pests  became  resistant  to  certain  pesticides.  Moreover,  some  of  the  recommended  pesticides  were  not  available  in  the  local  market  thus  forcing  them  to  purchase  what  was  available.  

Documented  stories  of  AAS  use  by  farmers    

Male  farmer  from  Dharmapura  

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“Once  rains  were  forecast,  but  I  did  not  trust  the  advisory  and  still  decided  to  harvest.  It  rained  and  my  harvest  was  destroyed.  Now  if  I  know  its  going  to  rain,  I  harvest  early”  

Male  farmer  from  Nikora  

“Last  year,  my  neighbouring  farmer  put  something  in  his  fields  that  resulted  in  a  virus  that  started  affecting  my  crop  too.  I  took  it  to  the  Cotton  Research  Institute  who  recommended  a  certain  type  of  medicine  which  helped  to  get  rid  of  the  virus”  

Female  farmer  from  Nikora  

“Advisories  on  fertilizer  application  and  pesticide  application  are  very  useful  to  me”  

 

4.6.4.4 Equity  in  reach  

In  all  three  villages,  women  didn’t  participate  much  in  agriculture.  They  were  not  much  aware  of  AAS  nor  did  they  receive  any  AAS  information  directly  and  if  at  all,  only  through  their  husbands.  They  were  also  not  invited  for  agricultural  trainings,  meetings  or  discussions  and  felt  that  special  efforts  needed  to  be  taken  to  include  them  in  trainings  and  in  information  dissemination  channels.    

Additionally,  Political  divisions  were  rife  in  one  of  the  villages.  Therein,  the  current  Sarpanch  (Head  of  the  village)  was  found  to  be  part  of  a  political  faction,  which  is  different  from  the  previous  one.  Thus  the  village  was  divided  into  two  groups,  and  when  meetings  are  arranged  in  the  village,  if  one  group  came  the  other  stayed  out  of  it.  This  has  created  problems  of  uneven  dissemination  in  the  village  with  asymmetry  in  access  and  use  of  advisories.    

4.6.5 Conclusions:  Lessons  Learnt  &  Best  practices  from  the  State  of  Gujarat  

Overall  Use  of  AAS  advisories  

Across  all  three  villages,  farmers  shared  that  they  largely  rely  on  traditional  knowledge  and  customs  as  well  as  personal  experience  to  inform  their  agricultural  decisions.    

A  handful  of  women  surveyed  in  Arnej  noted  adjusting  sowing  dates  and  select  cultural  operations  such  fertilizer  application,  weeding  etc.  based  on  information  from  agricultural  university.  However,  a  review  of  the  socio-­‐economic  status  of  surveyed  women  in  Arnej  demonstrates  their  high  socio-­‐economic  status,  large  land  oznership  and  assumed  access  to  knowledge.  Moreover,  farmers  in  Nikora  mentioned  contacting  the  Cotton  Research  Institute  for  pests  and  pesticide  application  in  cotton  crop.    

Why  was  use  of  AAS  so  poor  among  surveyed  farmers  in  Gujarat?  

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From  Gujarat,  we  learnt  that  for  agromet  advisories  to  be  used  by  farmers  and  useful  to  support    farmer  decision  making,  they  need  to:  

-­‐ Be  salient  to  local  agroclimate  and  farmer  needs  -­‐ Be  Inlusive  of  all  sections  of  the  community,  including  women  and  other  marginalized  

subgroups,  and  transcend  political  and  caste  divisions.  Participation  of  the  latter  groups  during  village  agromet  discussions  /  training  needs  to  become  a  priority.  

Farmer  recommendations  for  improvement  of  the  AAS  Program  in  Gujarat  

Additional  information  sought  through  AAS  

Additional  needs   Lessons  Learnt/Suggested  Best  practices  for  Scaling  up  

1.  Higher  resolution  forecasts,  particularly  rainfall.    

2.    Information  on  alternate  crops,  particularly  during  drought  years  or  poor  rains  which  are  sustainable.  

3.  Information  on  market  price  of  produce.  

4.  Help  with  dealing  with  wild  animals,  particularly  wild  boars  that  attack  crops  and  farmers.      

6.  Sharing  of  new  research  in  agriculture,  especially  recommendations  in  new  technology  and  equipment.    

 

1.  More  village  level  trainings  with  farmers  

2.  Detailed  advisories  on  local  TV  channels  

3.  AAS  through  mobile  phones  

4.  Special  trainings  for  women  in  villages  

 

Agrometeorological  advisories  need  to:  

• Be  salient  to  local  agroclimate  features  in  order  to  support  farm  decisions  

• Be  Inclusive  of  all  sections  of  the  community,  including  women  and  other  marginalized  subgroups,  and  transcend  political  and  caste  divisions.  Participation  of  the  latter  groups  during  village  agromet  discussions  /  training  needs  to  become  a  priority.  

 

 

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V. DISCUSSION  OF  RESULTS:  All-­‐India  Appraisal  of  the  AAS  Program  

 BACKGROUND    

Main  Livelihoods    

Amongst  all  the  states  surveyed,  agriculture  was  the  main  source  of  livelihood  and  practiced  through  out  the  year  except  in  Arnej,  Gujarat,  where  agriculture  is  done  only  once  during  the  dry  season  from  November  to  April,  right  after  the  monsoon  and  harvest  in  March  –  April.    In  addition  to  agriculture,  livestock  in  the  form  of  cows,  buffaloes,  bulls,  goat,  sheep,  and  chicken,  provide  support  and  supplementary  resources  such  as  milk,  meat,  manure,  and  draught  power.    

Apart  from  this,  several  farmers  also  engaged  in  other  occupations  either  seasonally  or  yearly  for  supplementary  income,  such  as  day  labour  or  jobs  in  nearby  towns  and  villages,  local  businesses  (stitching  and  tailoring  for  women  in  particular)  and  NREGA.  

Key  crops  

While  it  is  difficult  to  rank  key  crops  across  all  villages,  one  can  identify  major  crops  that  are  more  common  than  others  and  other  crops  which  serve  as  key  in  specific  regions.  The  more  common  crops  across  the  6  states  are  wheat,  paddy,  maize,  cotton,  mustard,  sugarcane,  millets  and  a  variety  of  vegetables.  The  more  region  specific  crops  are  betel  leaves  in  Prasadpur  (West  Bengal)  tea  in  Melchowhutty  (Tamil  Nadu),  and  horticulture  in  Chong  (Himachal  Pradesh)  consisting  of  primarily  apple,  followed  by  pears,  plums,  peaches,  apricot  and  pomegranate.  

Primary  water  resources  

In  ten  out  of  eighteen  villages  surveyed,  agriculture  was  predominantly  rainfed.  This  was  particularly  so  in  Andhra  Pradesh  and  Tamil  Nadu  where  groundwater  was  in  less  supply,  and  less  so  in  the  other  states  were  some  form  of  irrigation  (canals,  check  dams  and  groundwater)  did  exist.  

Role  of  women  in  agriculture  -­‐  In  two  out  of  the  six  states  surveyed  –  namely  Himachal  Pradesh  and  Andhra  Pradesh,  women  continue  to  play  a  significant  role  in  agriculture.  In  other  states,  women  participated  in  agriculture  to  a  much  lower  extent  or  not  at  all.  What  is  interesting  it  to  note  that  across  all  states,  women  farmers  who  played  a  larger  role  in  agriculture  also  displayed  higher  awareness  about  the  AAS.  In  villages  where  this  was  so,  it  was  also  observed  that  overall  awareness  of  AAS  was  higher  owing  to  greater  women’s  participation  in  the  process  of  information  dissemination  and  use.  

Overall  constraints  in  agriculture    

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Across  all  the  states,  shortage  of  water  was  the  top  most  cited  and  perceived  constraint  in  agriculture,  the  predominant  reason  being  erratic  and  irregular  monsoon  rains  and  poor  irrigation  facilities.    

The  team  however  had  good  reason  to  believe  the  citing  of  water  shortage  as  the  chief  constraint  may  well  be  associated  with  the  delayed  monsoon  in  India,  at  the  time  of  field  work,  which  was  already  beginning  to  affect  water  availability  and  by  extension,  crop  sowing  times,  choice  of  crops,  and  other  significant  decisions  for  the  season.    

Irregular  and  erratic  rainfall  was  indicated  as  associated  with  several  problems.  Delayed  rainfall  (particularly  during  SW  monsoon)  led  to  reduced  water  for  land  preparation,  delayed  sowing,  or  on  certain  occasions  completely  abandoning  staple  crops  for  alternative  options  or  simply  leaving  the  field  fallow.  Extended  interruptions  in  rainfall  also  led  to  poor  irrigation,  and  poor  crop  quality.  Erratic  rainfall  was  also  linked  with  wastage  of  fertilizers  and  pesticides,  particularly  if  rainfall  event  followed  an  application  resulting  in  washing  away  of  chemicals.  Unanticipated  rainfall  during  harvest  time  (October-­‐November),  particularly  in  rice  and  wheat  also  posed  risk  for  harvested  grains  and  their  rotting  and  germination.  Finally,  excess  rainfall  proved  challenging  for  water  drainage  from  the  fields  with  risk  of  water  logging  in  fields  and  rotting  of  crops.  

Mitigation  in  these  cases  was  often  post-­‐event  unless  farmers  rely  on  advisories  and  advisories  themselves  prove  accurate  in  predicting  such  events.  Post-­‐event  mitigation  included  tapping  into  groundwater  resources  in  case  of  low  or  delayed  rainfall  (this  was  not  possible  in  regions  where  groundwater  levels  were  already  depleted  such  as  in  Gujarat  or  turns  saline  as  one  goes  deeper  like  in  West  Bengal.  In  case  of  rains  during  harvest,  most  farmers  held  that  there  was  significant  risk  of  damage  to  harvested  crop  unless  it  is  transported  away  to  storage  facilities  fast  enough,  or  put  out  to  dry.  

Following  water  shortages,  pests  and  diseases  was  mentioned  as  the  second  most  important  constraint  in  agriculture  across  all  states.  Reasons  for  heavy  pest  and  disease  incidence  were  associated  with  weather  parameters,  foremost  being  rainfall,  temperature  and  humidity.  Examples  include  ‘angari’  disease  in  betel  leaves  during  monsoon  time  (Prasadpur,  West  Bengal);  thrifts  in  bitter  gourd  due  to  irregular  rainfall  (Chandamari,  West  Bengal);  insects  in  mustard  during  winter  (Keshpur,  West  Bengal);  potato  disease  due  to  heavy  fog  in  winter  (Keshpur,  West  Bengal);  looper  pest  in  beans  due  to  sudden  temperature  increases  (Melchowhutty,  Tamil  Nadu);  blight  disease  in  tea  leaves  due  to  sudden  increases  in  temperature  (Melchowhutty,  Tamil  Nadu);  sheath  blight  in  onion  due  to  frost  (Vadavattur,  Tamil  Nadu);  untimely  frost  in  April  destroys  apple  flowers  and  reduces  fruit  formation.    

Other  important  constraints  mentioned  were  wild  animal  attacks  (wild  boars,  wild  cows),  low  profits  due  to  high  input  costs  and  decreasing  market  rates  from  selling  agriculture  produce,  and  labour  issues.  

In  the  case  of  both  rainfall  variations  and  pest  and  disease  constraints,  farmers  often  got  into  heavy  debts  due  to  loss  of  crop,  low  yields,  or  when  they  borrow  to  re-­‐sow  their  lands.  In  

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particularly  drought-­‐ridden  years,  they  look  for  alternate  sources  of  employment  and  income.    Pest  and  diseases  call  for  higher  investment  in  pesticides  and  add  further  to  cost  of  produce  without  any  equivalent  increase  in  price  of  produce  in  the  market,  which  leads  to  low  profits,  sometimes  not  even  enough  to  cover  input  costs  and  save  for  the  following  seasons’  cultivation.    

The  two  chief  constraints  being  associated  with  weather  parameters  thus  make  evident  the  potential  and  scope  for  weather  based  agro-­‐advisories  to  influence  agricultural  decision  making,  but  more  importantly  mitigate  constraints  and  improve  management  of  limited  resources.  In  several  cases,  farmers  disclosed  that  early  forecasting  of  rainfall  event,  or  variations  in  rainfall  and  other  weather  indicators  helped  to  better  prepare  and  manage  potential  losses  associated  with  weather  issues  and  pests  and  diseases.  

Factors  influencing  farm-­‐based  decision-­‐making  amongst  farmers    

In  four  out  of  the  6  states  surveyed  –  namely,  Himachal  Pradesh,  Punjab,  West  Bengal,  and  Gujarat  –  farmers  disclosed  that  they  predominantly  rely  on  personal  experience,  traditional  framing  practices,  lunar  calendar  and  traditional  agricultural  festivals  as  indicators  for  farm-­‐based  decision-­‐making.  In  some  cases  they  added  that  they  received  information  on  advisories  from  the  agricultural  university  (this  was  usually  in  the  village  at  closest  geographical  proximity  to  the  agricultural  university),  while  some  also  mentioned  referring  to  the  agricultural  calendars  that  they  received  during  Kisan  Melas  (Farmer  Fairs)  in  their  village  (Punjab).  While  radio  and  TV  were  mentioned  as  a  source  of  information  on  weather  forecasts,  these  farmers  observed  were  not  very  specific  to  their  village  and  hence  not  helpful.    

In  Andhra  Pradesh  and  Tamil  Nadu,  famers  expressed  considerable  confidence  in  AAS.  In  Andhra  Pradesh,  farmers  noted  that  since  the  last  2  years  with  better  communication  of  advisories  in  their  villages,  they  were  increasingly  relying  exclusively  upon  AAS  to  take  decisions.  In  Tamil  Nadu,  farmers  added  that  they  regularly  used  AAS  to  determine  sowing  time,  pesticide  and  fertilizer  application  and  harvesting  time  (Kannivadi,  TN).  In  Vadavattur,  livestock  farmers  observed  that  advisories  had  been  very  useful  for  them  to  decide  on  livestock  management  and  they  relied  upon  it  often.  

In  three  out  of  six  states  –  namely  Himachal  Pradesh,  Andhra  Pradesh  and  Tamil  Nadu  –  farmers  ranked  advisories  and  related  support  from  the  agricultural  university/research  station  or  local  NGO/extension  institution  like  the  KVK,  high  on  the  list  of  agricultural  support  services  they  received.  In  two  cases  (HP  and  TN)  it  was  top  most.  In  the  other  three  states,  farmers  did  not  declare  any  support  services  as  preferential.  

OVERALL  AAS  PROGRAM  IMPACT  &  RELEVANCE  FROM  FARMER  PERSPECTIVE  –  ALL  INDIA  

This  section  draws  from  interviews  conducted  with  male  and  female  farmers  across  the  six  states  selected.  The  village’s  chosen  for  site  visits  in  each  state  were  based  on  the  need  to  make  the  survey  geographically  varied  and  yet  adequately  representative.  However,  contextual  

 

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variations  at  the  village-­‐level  owing  to  various  social,  political  and  economic  factors  as  well  as  presence  and  absence  of  interventions  by  local  and  international  organizations  indeed  rules  out  expectations  of  evenness  or  similarities  amongst  villages.  The  results  presented  here  are  intended  to  capture  some  salient  aspects  of  the  AAS  intervention  from  farmers’  perspectives  and  needs  to  be  treated  more  as  an  indication  of  diversity  rather  than  aiming  to  be  exhaustive.    

I.  Farmer  Awareness  

Farmers’  awareness  in  all  states  was  based  upon  their  knowledge  about  AAS.  While  in  some  cases,  farmers  may  be  aware  and  may  use  the  services  to  greater  or  lesser  extent,  there  may  be  a  few  cases  where  farmers  may  have  heard  about  it  once  or  twice,  but  since  then  have  neither  received  it  nor  used  it  in  their  decision-­‐making.  Keeping  this  in  mind,  we  find  that  across  the  6  states,  a  total  of  67%  of  farmers  had  some  awareness  about  the  AAS.  Amongst  this,  men  fared  far  better  than  women  with  88  per  cent  awareness  while  only  49  per  cent  of  all  women  farmers  interviewed  had  any  awareness  of  AAS.  State-­‐wise,  male  and  female  farmers  in  selected  villages  in  Andhra  Pradesh  and  Tamil  Nadu  were  collectively  more  aware  about  AAS  as  compared  to  other  states.  In  Punjab,  while  male  farmers  were  as  aware  as  in  Andhra  Pradesh  and  Tamil  Nadu,  women  farmers  had  no  knowledge  about  AAS.  In  these  states,  awareness  amongst  women  was  much  higher  than  in  other  states.  Moreover,  in  states  where  women’s  participation  in  agriculture  was  higher  (Andhra  Pradesh,  Tamil  Nadu  and  Himachal  Pradesh)  the  percentage  of  women  who  knew  about  the  AAS  was  higher  than  in  other  states.  In  Punjab  and  Gujarat,  while  the  percentage  of  male  farmers  who  knew  about  the  AAS  was  high,  women  farmers  were  woefully  left  out  of  dissemination  channels.    In  both  states,  this  coupled  with  negligible  to  no  women  participation  in  agriculture.  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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State-­‐wise  AAS  awareness  amongst  farmers  (in  %)  

 

State-­‐wise  gender  disaggregated  AAS  awareness  amongst  Farmers  (in  %)  

 

 

0  

10  

20  

30  

40  

50  

60  

70  

80  

90  

100  

Himachal  Pradesh  

Punjab   West  Bengal   Andhra  Pradesh  

Tamil  Nadu   Gujarat  

0  

20  

40  

60  

80  

100  

120  

Himachal  Pradesh  

Punjab   West  Bengal   Andhra  Pradesh  

Tamil  Nadu   Gujarat  

%  Women  Awareness   %  Male  Awareness  

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II.  Use  of  AAS  

Evidently,  there  is  a  clear  distinction  between  farmers  knowing  about  the  AAS  and  farmers  being  able  to  use  it  for  their  purposes.  To  determine  usability  we  have  used  specific  instances  of  AAS  use  as  well  as  affirmations  by  farmers  about  a  change  in  behaviour  and  agricultural  decision  making  during  interviews.    In  all  of  the  states,  usability  of  AAS  was  lower  than  awareness  of  it.  This  could  be  attributable  to  a  number  of  reasons  including  low  access  to  information,  irregular  receipt  of  information,  inability  to  apply  the  information  to  decision  making,  acknowledgement  of  low  relevancy  of  AAS  information  in  case  of  some  farmers,  and  lack  of  trust  in  AAS.  In  several  cases,  “progressive  farmers”  (usually  socio-­‐economically  better  off  farmers  with  medium  to  large  land  holdings  and  more  resources  to  access  and  apply  AAS  information)  were  in  a  better  position  to  access  and  use  the  advisories  in  their  decision-­‐making.  Other  reasons  for  low  usability  amongst  farmers  who  knew  about  the  AAS  include  –    

1. Small  size  of  land  and  scale  of  operations  –  Some  small  farmers  observed  that  information  from  the  advisory  didn’t  matter  to  them  much  and  their  traditional  practices  and  experience  were  enough  to  manage  their  fields.    

2. Poor  access  to  advisories  –  In  several  cases,  particularly  that  of  women  farmers,  they  could  not  use  advisories  to  inform  their  decision  making  due  to  inability  to  read  the  advisories,  lack  of  time  to  watch  radio  or  television  where  advisories  were  relayed  or  low  participation  in  dissemination  activities  including  meetings  and  discussions  in  the  village.  In  a  few  villages,  sexist  cultural  norms  prevented  women  farmers  from  participating  or  joining  discussions  and  trainings  which  were  solely  attended  by  male  farmers.      

3. Low  relevance  -­‐  Marginal  farmers  with  low  resources  often  found  it  difficult  to  follow  the  recommended  doses  of  fertilizers  or  pesticides  due  to  high  costs  or  shortage  of  fertilizers  in  the  local  market.  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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State-­‐wise  AAS  awareness  amongst  farmers  (in  %)  

 

Several  factors  come  together  to  ensure  that  farmers  are  aware  and  are  able  to  use  AAS  to  inform  their  decision-­‐making.  Here  we  give  a  few  important  indications  of  what  worked  to  increase  awareness  and  use  of  AAS  in  the  surveyed  states  -­‐-­‐  

• Andhra  Pradesh  –  In  recent  years  improvements  in  channels  of  dissemination  has  played  a  big  role  in  increasing  awareness  and  use  of  advisories  in  the  villages  visited.  Improved  communications  include  regular  (biweekly)  display  of  AAS  bulletin  in  prominent  places  in  the  village,  announcements  over  the  microphone,  dissemination  of  advisories  through  local  NGOs  or  through  representatives  of  international  projects.  Farmers,  particularly  women  farmers  expressed  satisfaction  with  increased  ability  to  openly  access  information  through  NGO  representatives  in  the  village  who  visit  often.  Broadcast  of  AAS  information  over  the  microphone  was  also  very  helpful,  especially  for  farmers  who  could  not  read  the  bulletins  or  required  help  to  interpret  them.  Finally,  appointment  of  local  farmers  from  villages  to  manage  and  record  data  from  manual  weather  stations  in  the  village  also  goes  a  long  way  in  making  the  process  of  information  collection  and  dissemination  more  inclusive  and  open.  It  also  increases  discussions  amongst  farmers  and  spreads  information  through  word  of  mouth.      

• Tamil  Nadu  –  Presence  of  local  agriculture  related  organizations  particularly  MSSRF  (M  S  Swaninathan  Research  Foundation)  Knowledge  Centre  in  villages  (in  Kannivadi  for  example)  has  increases  both  awareness  and  use  of  advisories.  Presence  of  such  an  organization  also  helps  to  ensure  regular  dissemination  of  advisories.  One  of  the  women  farmers  has  also  been  a  volunteer  for  recording  of  weather  data  from  the  manual  weather  station  in  the  village.  Her  role  as  key  personnel  in  collection  of  weather  data  has  improved  awareness  

0  

10  

20  

30  

40  

50  

60  

70  

80  

90  

100  

Himachal  Pradesh  

Punjab   West  Bengal   Andhra  Pradesh  

Tamil  Nadu   Gujarat  

%  Awareness  of  AAS   %  Use  of  AAS  

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amongst  other  women.  Her  interaction  with  other  women  farmers  in  the  village  has  created  a  great  deal  of  enthusiasm  amongst  women  farmers  in  the  village  about  the  usefulness  of  AAS  and  on  further  improvements  in  it.  Regular  trainings  and  discussions  with  the  knowledge  centre  as  well  as  scientists  with  agricultural  university  has  also  helped  to  improve  comprehension  and  use  of  AAS.    Specialized  AAS  -­‐  In  Vadavattur,  advisories  are  focussed  on  livestock  and  developed  by  Veterinary  Laboratory.  They  focus  on  the  providing  livestock  related  advisories  based  on  weather  forecasts  and  came  out  as  extremely  useful  for  livestock  farmers.      

• Himachal  Pradesh  -­‐  In  some  villages  (Chong  and  Amtrar)  women  played  a  much  larger  role  in  agriculture  and  had  also  been  organized  into  community  groups  who  often  attended  trainings  in  agricultural  university,  horticulture  department,  interacted  with  agrometeorologists  and  agricultural  and  horticultural  scientists  and  received  information  on  AAS  directly.  These  women’s  groups  were  useful  to  gather  important  information  and  disseminate  it  in  their  village  through  discussions  and  word  of  mouth.  They  have  also  been  useful  to  increase  trust  in  advisories  by  encouraging  use  and  showcasing  benefits  through  personal  experience.  In  addition,  advisories  and  agricultural  related  information  that  farmers  received  from  the  agricultural  university  and  trainings  at  Horticulture  research  centre  came  out  as  most  pertinent  and  useful.  Kissan  Mela’s  (Farmers  Fairs)  and  block  level  meetings  with  agricultural  experts  were  also  mentioned  as  particularly  favourable  in  receiving  information  on  type  and  quality  of  seeds  and  other  related  matters.      

• Punjab  -­‐  In  some  villages  (Panglian  and  Mehma  Sarja)  progressive  farmers  received  the  AAS  information  regularly  through  their  initiative  and  were  able  to  benefit  from  it.  They  had  better  access  to  it  due  to  their  connections  with  AMFUs  or  extension  officers  and  resources  such  as  internet  and  phone  access.  Progressive  farmers  also  helped  organize  trainings  in  the  village  with  other  farmers  to  disseminate  information  about  AAS  and  regarding  its  uses.  This  greatly  helped  in  improving  awareness  and  usability.  Moreover,  in  case  of  special  projects  in  a  village,  such  as  the  ‘Climate  Change’  project  in  Achalpur,  those  associated  with  it  were  also  exposed  to  AAS  information  and  how  to  use  it  to  inform  their  decision-­‐making.      

• West  Bengal  -­‐  Farmers  here  emphasized  seminars  and  discussions  with  scientists  from  Agricultural  University,  Agromet  Field  Units  (AMFUs)  and  information  channels  through  local  NGOs  (Ramakrishna  Mission)  as  very  useful.  In  some  villages  women  mentioned  receiving  information  through  womens’  self  help  groups.  Improved  awareness  was  also  due  to  increased  discussions  amongst  farmers  in  village  teashops  as  was  noted  by  farmers.    

 • Gujarat  –  Farmers  perceived  dissemination  of  AAS  through  Agriculture  University  extension  

officers  as  an  important  and  useful  communication  channel.  In  addition,  farmers  also  receive  specific  information  through  personal  contacts  with  the  Cotton  Research  Institute,  particularly  for  pests  and  pesticide  application  in  cotton  crop.  

 

   

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III.  Skill  and  Relevance  of  AAS  

Perceptions  about  accuracy  and  relevance  of  AAS  across  all  states  varied  depending  upon  a  number  of  factors.  While  farmers  in  various  villages  remarked  on  the  need  for  higher  resolution  forecasts,  more  accuracy  in  predictions,  as  well  as  longer  lead-­‐times,  perceptions  on  accuracy  and  relevance  seem  to  have  a  lot  to  do  with  how  much  of  AAS  information  is  available  to  farmers  and  influences  their  decision-­‐making.  From  the  data,  it  is  revealing  that  villages  where  accuracy  and  skill  level  perceptions  of  AAS  were  higher  were  also  where  awareness  and  usability  of  AAS  was  high  amongst  male  and  female  farmers.  This  came  out  as  particularly  true  in  villages  where  farmers  had  asserted  that  they  received  AAS  information  regularly  and  on  time,  there  were  fewer  gaps  in  information,  they  trusted  the  information  more  and  they  were  able  to  better  interpret  advisories  and  use  it  to  inform  their  decision-­‐making.    

Farmer  perceived  skill  and  relevance  of  AAS  across  States  

• Andhra  Pradesh  –  Across  all  the  villages  perceived  skill  level  and  reliability  of  forecasts  ranged  from  60%  to  90%  for  eighty  percent  of  farmers  (male  and  female  farmers  together)  interviewed.  About  80%  of  farmers  said  that  they  refer  to  the  advisories  more  often  now  than  2  years  ago  because  of  greater  access  to  it  and  also  increased  understanding  of  its  relevance  to  their  decision-­‐making.  AAS  program  ranked  number  2  in  list  of  agricultural  support  services,  with  crop  compensation  schemes  and  reduction  on  crop  loan  interests  at  the  top.  In  all  the  three  villages  farmers,  particularly  women  farmers  said  that  they  found  rainfall  forecasts  as  most  crucial  to  their  decision-­‐making.  Farmers  felt  that  for  the  most  part  the  information  was  received  in  good  time,  either  the  day  before  or  the  morning  when  they  were  going  to  take  decisions.    

• Tamil  Nadu  –  Accuracy  of  AAS  was  perceived  by  farmers  anywhere  from  50-­‐90  per  cent  across  all  the  villages  surveyed.  Skill  and  accuracy  was  perceived  higher  by  male  farmers  than  by  female  farmers,  though  in  Kannivadi,  both  male  and  female  farmers  found  the  AAS  highly  reliable.  In  all  three  villages,  farmers  ranked  agro-­‐advisories  and  agricultural  information  that  they  received  from  local  institutions  or  extension  services  as  topmost  amongst  agricultural  support  services.  For  the  most  part,  farmers  across  the  board  said  the  lead-­‐time  was  sufficient  to  carry  out  operations.  But  they  also  added  that  it  would  be  better  to  lengthen  lead-­‐time  by  a  week  to  10  days.    

• Himachal  Pradesh  –    Male  farmers  in  Amtrar  perceived  advisories  anywhere  from  50-­‐90%  accurate,  where  as  female  farmers  found  it  more  relevant  and  almost  100%  accurate.  Women  farmers  also  found  AAS  more  accurate  (50-­‐95%)  and  useful  than  male  farmers  in  Chong  village.  In  Bhanjal,  however  farmers  felt  that  the  advisories,  particularly  the  forecasts  fared  very  badly.    They  pegged  the  accuracy  of  forecasts  at  around  50%  adding  that  forecasts  they  heard  on  radio  for  Punjab  state  were  more  relevant  to  them.  Rainfall  variability  and  irregularity  ranked  high  in  climate  related  risks  and  thus  rainfall  forecasts  both  during  monsoon  season  (June  –  October)  and  during  winter  months  (January  –  April)  were  important  parameters  in  influencing  decisions.    

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• Punjab  –  Farmers  pegged  the  accuracy  of  forecasts  anywhere  from  20%  -­‐  90%,  with  higher  accuracy  levels  in  Mehma  Sarja  and  Achalpur.  In  Mehma  Sarja,  male  farmers  added  that  they  received  the  advisories  at  appropriate  times,  especially  during  harvesting  and  sowing  time  where  weather  information  was  crucial  in  decision  making.  In  Panglian,  male  farmers  found  information on pests and also diseases in livestock and medicine important and useful. In Mehma Sarja and Achalpur male farmers felt that advisories were very  useful  and  relevant.  90%  said  they  followed  the  advice  regularly.    

 • West  Bengal  -­‐  Across  the  3  villages,  the  accuracy  of  the  forecasts  from  FGDs  and  interviews  

was  pegged  low  from  anywhere  between  10  and  60%.  About  80%  of  farmers  across  all  the  3  villages  expressed  dissatisfaction  with  the  advisories.  They  said  that  they  didn’t  find  the  advisories  very  relevant  and  don’t  use  the  advisories.  They  added  that  they  don’t  trust  the  forecasts  enough  to  use  them.  Women  in  Keshpur  said  that  they  found  the  advisories  useful  but  did  not  find  the  forecasts  accurate.  They  noted  that  advisories  on  transplantation  technique  and  seed  quality  was  also  very  helpful.  Farmers  divulged  that  while  pesticide  information  in  advisories  were  very  important,  more  often  than  not  they  had  to  rely  on  different  pesticides  available  in  the  local  market  due  to  unavailability  of  recommended  pesticides  in  the  market.  In  terms  of  timeliness,  60%  of  farmers  across  the  3  villages  said  they  needed  the  forecasts  atleast  a  week  in  advance.  

 • Gujarat  –  Perceptions  on  accuracy  of  AAS  were  low  across  the  villages  ranging  from  25  

percent  to  60  percent  amongst  the  farmers  interviewed.  In  Nikora,  male  famers  opined  that  since  they  only  sow  once  a  year  when  there  is  not  much  variation  in  weather,  weekly  advisories  were  not  of  much  relevance.  If  at  all,  they  added  that  forecasts  were  inaccurate  and  hence  they  rarely  ever  used  advisories  in  decision-­‐making.  However,  in  interviews,  farmers  mentioned  getting  useful  information  on  cotton  crop  from  the  Cotton  Research  Centre.  In  Dharampura,  50%  of  those  who  knew  about  the  AAS  said  that  the  forecasts  were  not  accurate  at  the  village  level  and  hence  they  were  not  very  relevant.  

 

Perceptions  about  accuracy  and  relevance  of  AAS  across  all  states  varied  depending  upon  a  number  of  factors.  While  farmers  in  various  villages  remarked  on  the  need  for  higher  resolution  forecasts  and  more  accuracy  in  predictions,  perceptions  on  accuracy  seem  to  have  a  lot  to  do  with  how  much  of  the  information  is  available  to  farmers  and  influences  their  decision-­‐making.  From  the  data,  it  is  revealing  that  villages  where  accuracy  and  skill  level  perceptions  of  AAS  were  higher,  awareness  and  usability  of  AAS  was  high  amongst  male  and  female  farmers.  This  came  out  as  particularly  true  in  villages  where  farmers  had  asserted  that  they  received  AAS  information  regularly  and  on  time,  there  were  fewer  gaps  in  information,  they  trusted  the  information  more  and  they  were  able  to  better  interpret  advisories  and  use  it  to  inform  their  decision-­‐making.    

 

 

 

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IV.  Channels  of  Communication    

Across  the  six  states,  farmers  commonly  mentioned  the  following  channels  through  which  they  received  AAS  information.  These  are  summarized  as  follows:  

• Farmer  meetings  with  agro-­‐met  scientists/extension  officers  from  agricultural  university  (or  AMFUs)  or  related  institutions  like  KVK  or  research  centres.  These  meetings  and  discussions  are  preferred  when  done  in  the  villages,  but  some  farmers  also  take  the  initiative  to  contact  key  personnel  from  these  institutions  for  specific  information.    

• Through  local  NGOs  working  in  the  village  on  agricultural  related  issues  who  help  disseminate  the  advisories.    

• AAS  bulletins  distributed  in  the  village  or  displayed  on  notice  board  in  key  locations  in  the  village.    

• Kisan  Melas  (Farmer  Fairs)  organized  in  the  village  • Media  –  Newspapers,  Radio  and  Television  • Voice  messages  and  SMS    

Challenges  in  dissemination  

1.  On  some  occasions  farmers  divulged  that  extension  officers  from  KVK  or  agricultural  university  tended  to  hold  meetings  and  impart  information  with  a  few  select  farmers  in  a  village,  while  a  majority  remained  outside  the  information  circuit  (Bhanjal,  HP;  Panglian  and  Mehma  Sarja,  Punjab;  Chandamari  and  Prasadpur,  West  Bengal).  This  was  also  the  case  when  information  was  based  on  membership  to  farmers’  clubs  (Baironpalli,  AP)  or  through  a  certain  experimental  project,  where  only  those  associated  with  such  clubs  or  projects  had  easier  access  to  the  information.      

2.  In  some  cases,  women  farmers  felt  radio  and  TV  were  not  enough  since  they  never  found  time  to  listen/watch  it  and  hence  missed  out  on  programs  (Amtrar,  HP)  

3.  While  SMS  services  and  voice  mails  were  popular,  in  some  cases  network  problems  have  prevented  them  from  making  a  big  impact  (Kannivadi,  Tamil  Nadu)  

4.  For  farmers  who  are  unable  to  read,  AAS  bulletins  on  display  in  the  village  was  not  of  help.  Farmers  also  mentioned  that  even  when  they  knew  how  to  read  the  information,  they  found  it  hard  to  comprehend  it  due  to  the  heavy  technical  language.  

 

 

 

 

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V.  Farmer  Recommendations  

Additional  information  sought  through  AAS   Suggestions  on  communication  channels  

 

• Water  management,  especially  during  times  of  shortage  • New  varieties  of  seeds;  also  on  why  certain  seeds  failed  

and  how  to  prevent  it.  • Wind  speed  to  help  decide  time  for  spraying  of  pesticide,  

weedicide  and  fungicide  • Determining  harvest  time  for  specific  crops  • Dealing  with  sudden  frost  in  winter  • Information  on  market  prices  of  produce  • Information  on  mechanization  possibilities  on  the  farm  • Crop  related  information  related  to  protecting  crop  

during  sudden  variations  in  temperature  • Information  on  better  fertilizer  mix  • Soil  nutrient  management  strategies  • Choice  of  alternative  crops  during  delays  or  breaks  in  

rains.  • Information  on  new  pests  expected  in  each  season  and  

suitable  pesticides  • Information  on  organic  farming.  At  the  moment  the  

advice  is  tailored  to  conventional  chemical  based  farming  and  therefore  some  farmers  want  to  know  how  to  switch  to  organic  farming.  Those  already  on  organic  farming  want  more  information  tailored  to  it  in  the  AAS.    

• On  new  mechanization  techniques  to  reduce  cost  of  cultivation,  new  machines  for  harvesting  and  sowing  seeds.    

• Information  related  to  cold  storage  facilities    • Help  with  dealing  with  wild  animals,  particularly  wild  

boars  that  attack  crops  and  farmers.      • Sharing  of  new  research  in  agriculture  

 

 • Advisories  through  cell  phones  (voice  mails  and  

text  messages)    • Elaborate  advisories  through  television  channels  

in  addition  to  state  level  forecasts  currently  relayed  

• Flash  news  on  all  channels  on  important  weather  events    

• Printed  advisory  bulletins  displayed  in  all  central  points  in  the  village  accessible  to  all  (temples,  bulletin  boards,  shops,  milk  collection  booths  etc)  

• Specific trainings and discussions on AAS for women farmers in the village  

• Organizing  farmers  into  Kisan  groups  (Farmers’  Group)  to  attend  meetings  with  AMFUs  and  help  disseminate  vital  information  in  the  village.    

• Larger  farmer  role  in  dissemination  activities  through  appointment  of  village  level  volunteers  who  could  receive  biweekly  advisories  from  AMFUs  and  communicate  them  to  the  rest  of  the  village.  

• Regular  trainings  and  interactions  in  the  village  with  scientists  that  all  farmers  can  attend  

•  A  toll  free  number  (call  centre)  for  agromet  advice  that  farmers  can  call  on  for  information  and  clarifications.    

• Use  of  pictures  in  textual  advisories  to  make  them  more  comprehensible  

• Use  of  less  technical  language  in  advisories  for  easy  interpretation  

• Mobile  phone  application  for  AAS  related  information  

• Specific  FM  radio  station  for  weather  based  agro  and  livestock  advisories.    

 

 

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VI. Summary  of  Lessons  Learnt:  All-­‐India  Appraisal  of  the  AAS  Program    

6.1. Best  practices  in  provision  of  AAS  in  India  Cross-­‐state  aggregate  analysis:  what  worked  in  provision  of  agro-­‐met  advisories?  What  did  not  work?  Under  which  specific  contexts?    

 Summary  of  Farmer  recommendations  for  improvement  of  the  AAS  Program  (Table)  

State   Additional  information  sought  through  AAS  

Additional  needs   Lessons  Learnt/  Suggested  Best  practices  for  Scaling  up  

AP   1.  On  alternate  crop  choices,  especially  during  shortage  or  delay  or  rains.  

2.  On  organic  cultivation.    

1.  More  training:  More  village  level  trainings  for  both  male  and  female  farmers  is  required  to  help  with  better  interpretation  and  use  of  advisories.  

2.  Picture  messages:  Bulletins  will  be  easier  to  interpret  if  textual  information  is  elaborated  with  pictures  to  improve  understanding  on  kinds  of  pests  etc.  

• A  Go-­‐to  Met  person  at  the  village  level  

• Broadcast  of  AAS  advisories  on  the  microphone:  

• Display  of  bulletins  in  prominent  places  in  the  village    

• Collaboration  with  local  NGO  to  make  AAS  program  more  useful  for  farmers    

HP   1.  On  water  management,  especially  during  times  of  shortage  

2.  Access  to  good  quality  seeds      

1.  Advisories  through  cell  phones  (voice  mails  and  text  messages)  

2.Elaborate  advisories  through  television  in  addition  to  state  level  forecasts  currently  relayed  

3.  Printed  advisory  bulletins  displayed  in  all  central  points  in  the  village.  

• Trainings  and  discussions  in  villages  as  superior  forms  of  dissemination  channels.    

• Local  downscaling  and  value-­‐addition  is  paramount  to  ensure  salience  to  local  farmer  needs  and  usability  by  farmers.  

Punjab   1.  Information  on  new   1.  Display  textual  copies   • Use  of  an  NGO  or  local  

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varieties  of  seeds;  also  on  why  certain  seeds  failed  and  how  to  prevent  it.  

2.  Wind  speed  to  help  decide  time  for  spraying  of  pesticide,  weedicide  and  fungicide  

3.  Harvest  time  for  wheat  

4.  What  to  do  during  sudden  frost  in  winter  

5.  Information  on  market  prices  

6.  Information  on  mechanization  possibilities  on  the  farm  

7.  Timely  and  accurate  rainfall  forecasts.  

of  advisories  in  prominent  locations  in  the  village  such  as  the  Gurudwara  (Sikh  temple).  Common  areas  also  ensure  information  is  evenly  disseminated  and  not  restricted  to  few  factions  or  privileged  sections.    

2.  Specific  trainings  and  meetings  for  women  farmers  in  the  village.    

3.  Advisories  through  SMS  and  voice  mails.      

4.  24/7  TV  Channel  exclusively  on  agriculture.    

6.  Organize  farmers  into  Kisan  groups  (Farmers’  Group)  on  a  voluntary  basis  to  help  disseminate  vital  information  in  the  village.    

7.  Appoint  village  level  volunteers  who  could  receive  biweekly  advisories  from  the  AMFU  and  communicate  them  to  the  rest  of  the  village.  

project  to  promote  the  use  of  advisories  serves  to  increase  reach  and  appropriation  of  available  agromet  advisories,  and  indent  its  use  in  local  practice  (lesson  from  Achal  pur)  

• For  smallholder  farmers  with  farm  sizes  of  less  than  an  acre,  agromet  advisories  are  not  of  much  relevance  due  to  the  small  scale  of  operations.      

West  Bengal  

 

1.    Crop  related  information  –  for  example,  advance  advisories  on  how  to  protect  cauliflower  crop  

1.Detailed  weather  forecasts  on  TV  at  least  2  -­‐3  times  a  day  

2.  Door  to  door  information  through  an  

• Face-­‐to-­‐face  meetings  and  discussions  in  the  village  with  agricultural  experts  that  all  farmers  can  attend  

Wide  community  mobilization  and  

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during  higher  than  average  temperatures  in  winter.    

2.  Information  on  new  techniques  to  reduce  cost  of  cultivation,  new  methods  of  cultivation  and  technology,  seed  varieties,  better  fertilizer  mix,  suitable  pesticides,  and  unknown  diseases.  

3.  Soil  nutrient  management  strategies  

4.  Choice  of  alternative  crops  during  monsoon  and  winter  season  

appointed  volunteer  in  the  village  

3.  Newspapers  

4.  More  face-­‐to-­‐face  meetings  and  discussions  in  the  village  with  agricultural  experts  that  all  farmers  could  attend  

6.  A  toll  free  number  for  agromet  advice.  

7.  Advisories  to  be  displayed  on  notice  boards  in  key  locations  in  the  village.    

 

inclusion  of  all  farmers  within  the  community  (not  only  male  farmers  of  high  socio-­‐economic  status)  is  critical  during  village  discussions  by  Agricultural  experts  to  ensure  widespread  appropriation  and  use  of  AAS  advisories.    

• Use  of  local  NGOs  instrumental  to  widely  mobilize  community  towards  use  of  agricultural  information.  

Tamil  Nadu  

1.  Improved  Resolution  -­‐  Information  is  sufficient  to  manage  crop  based  activities  but  the  resolution  needs  to  be  improved  for  the  forecasts,  particularly  rainfall  forecasts.    

 2.  Pest  management  -­‐  Information  on  new  pests  expected  in  each  season.  More  trainings  on  pest  management.    

3.  Information  on  rganic  farming.  At  the  moment  the  advice  is  tailored  to  conventional  chemical  based  farming  and  therefore  some  farmers  dont  find  it  useful.  

4.  On  new  mechanization  tecniques-­‐  In  the  past  farmers  grew  ragi,  wheat,  and  other  cereals.  Now  

1.  TV  channels  need  to  have  fixed  channels  and  timings  to  relay  advisories  and  other  information  related  to  agriculture.  Flash  news  on  all  channels  on  important  weather  events  is  necessary.  

2.  For  those  who  cannot  read  advisories,  voice  messages  on  the  phone  are  preferred.    

3.  Mobile  phone  application  for  AAS  should  be  started.  

5.  Larger  role  of  farmers  in  dissemination  activities  through  voluntary  involvement  and  enlistment  

6.  Specific  FM  radio  station  for  weather  based  agro  and  livestock  

• Smallholder  farmers  can  be  successfully  reached  with  agromet  information  using  a  diversity  of  communication  channels  (extension,  local  knowledge  center/hub,  face-­‐to-­‐face  village  meetings  and  trainings  by  agricultural  experts,  SMS  and  voice  messages,..    

Designing  a  tailor-­‐made  fleet  of  communication  solutions  is  what  it  takes  to  reach  remote  smallholder  farmers  at  scale;  

• Presence  of  a  local  agromet  knowledge  center/hub  (the  MSSRF  Knowledge  Centre  at  the  village)  improved  access  and  usability  of  AAS  advisories;  

• SMS  based  dissemination  and  phone  calls  are  effective  preferred  

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they  don’t,  because  of  labour  shortage.  Famers  wants  to  find  out  about  machines  for  harvesting  and  for  sowing  seeds.  

5.  Information  related  to  marketing,  cold  storage  facilities  and  self  help  group  trainings.  

advisories.    

7.  Call  centre  where  farmers  could  call  for  additional  information  and  assistance.    

channels  to  reach  farmers.  For  those  who  cannot  read  advisories,  voice  messages  on  the  phone  are  preferred.    

• Local  downscaling  and  improved  resolution  of  the  rainfall  forecasts  is  paramount  to  ensure  salience  to  local  farmer  needs  and  usability  by  farmers.  

Gujarat   1.  Higher  resolution  forecasts,  particularly  rainfall.    

2.    Information  on  alternate  crops,  particularly  during  drought  years  or  poor  rains  which  are  sustainable.  

3.  Information  on  market  price  of  produce.  

4.  Help  with  dealing  with  wild  animals,  particularly  wild  boars  that  attack  crops  and  farmers.      

6.  Sharing  of  new  research  in  agriculture,  especially  recommendations  in  new  technology  and  equipment.    

 

1.  More  village  level  trainings  with  farmers  

2.  Detailed  advisories  on  local  TV  channels  

3.  AAS  through  mobile  phones  

4.  Special  trainings  for  women  in  villages  

 

Agrometeorological  advisories  need  to:  

• Be  salient  to  local  agroclimate  features  in  order  to  support  farm  decisions  

• Be  Inclusive  of  all  sections  of  the  community,  including  women  and  other  marginalized  subgroups,  and  transcend  political  and  caste  divisions.  Participation  of  the  latter  groups  during  village  agromet  discussions  /  training  needs  to  become  a  priority.  

 

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6.2 Challenges  and  Opportunities  with  AAS  to  support  smallholder  farmers  agricultural  decision-­‐making  Cross-­‐state  aggregate  analysis:  Challenges  and  Opportunities  in  the  provision  of  salient  farmer-­‐focused  climate  services  in  India  

 

Uses  of  AAS  advisories:  Translating  advisories  into  action  to  overcome  constraints  to  Agriculture  

Constraints  encountered  in  Agriculture  

Climate/Agricultural  Information  provided  

Decision-­‐making  process  supported  by  agro-­‐met  Information  

Uses  made  of  information  by  surveyed  Farmers-­‐  Farmer  testimonies  

Constraint  #1:  Rainfall  Variability  /  erraticity  

(came  up  in  all  states)  

Short-­‐range  rainfall  forecasts  

• Crucial  for  determining  sowing  operations  in  monsoon  months:  especially  if  showers  on  a  day  were  followed  by  a  long  drought  stretch  during  the  monsoon  month.  Bulletin  also  gave  the  exact  data  on  the  quantity  (mm)  of  rainfall,  which  helped  farmers  judge  whether  soil  moisture  was  good  enough  for  sowing  operations  after  a  rainfall  event.    

• Important  for  managing  harvest  operations  which  often  face  risks  from  excess  rainfall  during  harvesting  time  (January  –  March)  that  destroy  harvested  crop  (AP,  HP):  Farmers  felt  that  getting  rain  forecasts  during  these  months  helped  to  determine  the  right  harvest  time  and  evade  crop  

Female  farmer  from  AP:  “Three  years  ago,  I  found  out  from  a  weekly  advisory  that  rain  was  forecast  and  transplantation  of  paddy  was  recommended.  I  followed  the  advice  and  reaped  a  good  crop.  Farmers  who  did  not  follow  the  recommendation,  delayed  transplantation  by  15-­‐20  days  and  had  lesser  yields”  

Male  farmer  from  Amtrar,  Himachal  Pradesh  :  “Three  years  ago,  I  found  out  from  a  weekly  advisory  that  rain  was  forecast  and  transplantation  of  paddy  was  recommended.  I  followed  the  advice  and  reaped  a  good  crop.  Farmers  who  did  not  follow  the  recommendation  were  delayed  transplantation  

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losses.     by  15-­‐20  days  and  had  lesser  yields”  

Male  farmer  from  Amtrar,  Himachal  Pradesh:  “Two  years  ago,  the  advisory  recommended  delaying  harvesting  of  wheat  crop  based  on  heavy  rainfall  forecast.  I  did  so  and  saved  my  crop.  If  I  had  harvested,  then  heavy  rains  would  have  destroyed  the  harvested  grains  left  in  the  field”  

Male  farmer  from  Vadavattur,  Tamil  Nadu:  “The  advisories  are  useful  for  livestock  management.  I  learnt  that  we  should  allow  the  animals  to  graze  immediately  after  rainfall.  I  also  rely  on  it  for  treating  diseases  in  livestock”  

Constraint  #2:  Pest  and  Diseases    

(came  up  in  all  states)  

Short  range  Rainfall  forecasts  

pest  related  information  in  advisories    

• Earlier  they  used  to  use  expensive  and  concentrated  pesticides,  which  was  destructive  to  crop  yields  as  well  as  personal  health.  From  the  advisories,  they  learnt  about  using  low  concentration  and  low  cost  pesticides,  which  saved  money  by  avoiding  wastage  and  also  improved  health  

• Timing  of  pesticide  application:  since  rains  

Male  farmer  from  AP:  “I  have  less  land.  I  used  to  apply  DAP  fertilizer  every  30  days.  Then  I  started  listening  to  the  forecasts  and  advisories,  which  said  that  it  should  be  applied  every  15-­‐20  days.  Since  then,  I  have  been  able  to  increase  yields  in  cotton  by  4  quintals/acre.  

Male  farmer  from  Kannivadi,  Tamil  Nadu:  “I  use  the  wind  speed  and  direction  forecast  

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right  after  an  application  would  wash  it  all  away.  Now,  farmers  used  rainfall  forecasts  to  plan  pesticide  application.    

to  inform  pesticide  spray  and  to  provide  structural  support  for  crops.  I  also  use  rainfall  forecasts  to  determine  when  to  harvest”        

Constraint  #3:  Temperature  Variations    

(came  up  for  hilly  temperate  climate  zones)  

sudden  changes  in  temperature,  especially  in  the  high  altitudes  

Temperature  related  forecasts    

• Helped  farmers  to  know  in  advance  how  temperatures  were  going  to  vary  in  order  to  take  mitigating  measures  such  as  lighting  fires  around  orchards  to  increase  temperatures  when  cold  onset  was  indicated  

 

Constraint  #4:  Difficult  Irrigation  planning  

Due  to  erratic  supply  and  shortages  in  electricity  +  rainfall  variability/erraticity  

Advisories  providing  information  on  laser  levelling  

• Helps  farmers  determine  the  optimal  level  of  irrigation  in  a  given  field,  thus  aiding  better  management  of  irrigation.    

 

Constraint  #5:  Limited  traditional  knowledge  to  cope  with  new  threats  /  old  constraints  to  Agricultural  output  

Training  and  advisories  on  new  agricultural  techniques  to  use  

 

Putting  the  outputs  of  Agricultural  research  in  the  hands  of  farmers  

• Helps  farmers  gain  access  to  the  outputs  of  frontier  agricultural  research,  and  test/put  in  practice  new  techniques,  fruit  of  modern  agricultural  research,  to  overcome  constraints  encountered  in  their  agriculture.      

Male  farmer  from  Mehma  Sarja,  Punjab:  “I  learnt  about  new  cotton  seeds  through  the  advisories.  I  tried  them  and  harvested  a  good  crop  with  it”  

Female  farmer  from  AP:  “Earlier  we  used  to  spray  fertilizers  all  over  and  a  lot  used  to  get  wasted.  We  knew  that,  but  still  we  did  it  since  it  was  the  easiest  thing  to  do.  But  we  learnt  from  the  advisories  that  by  spraying,  not  

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only  is  fertilizer  wasted,  but  also  yield  is  less.  It  recommended  crop  based  application  of  fertilizers  where  quantity  of  fertilizer  is  less,  but  yield  is  more.  Another  thing  is,  fertilizer  spraying  could  be  done  only  by  men,  because  the  equipment  used  for  spraying  was  heavy.  With  crop  based  application  on  the  other  hand,    women  can  do  it  too,  so  I  find  it  beneficial”    

Female  farmer  from  Amtrar,  Himachal  Pradesh:  “Through  the  meetings  with  agricultural  experts  I  learnt  how  to  protect  my  cucumber  crops.  I  got  an  apparatus  which  traps  the  flies  that  sit  on  the  plant  and  destroy  it.  I  have  been  using  it  for  5  months  now  and  it  has  been  very  helpful  in  preventing  fly  attacks”  

Male  farmer  from  AP:  “In  vegetables,  the  advisories  informed  us  to  use  vermicompost.  I  did  so,  and  was  able  to  increase  yields  by  5-­‐6  bags  (50  kgs.  per  

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bag).  This  started  4  years  back”  

Female  farmer  in  Amtrar,  Himachal  Pradesh:  “I  got  to  know  about  vermicomposting  through  the  advisories.  I  started  using  it  on  my  onion  crop  and  found  the  yield  to  be  higher  and  the  quality  of  onions  also  improved”  

Female  farmer  from  Chong,  Himachal  Pradesh:  “My  cabbage  crop  used  to  get  infected  with  diseases.  I  used  to  spray  pesticides  but  to  no  avail.  I  learnt  from  trainings  that  I  should  spray  the  pesticides  at  evening,  instead  of  afternoon  and  then  they  become  much  more  effective”  

 

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VII. CONCLUSIONS  &  POLICY  RECOMMENDATIONS    

7.1. Summary  of  Lessons  Learnt/  Scalable  Best  Practices    

Ø Himachal  Pradesh:  

From  HP,  we  learnt  the  following:  

-­‐ When  women  farmers  are  fully  engaged,  the  appropriation  and  use  of  AAS  is  maximal  (lesson  from  Amtrar  village);  

-­‐ Trainings  and  discussions  in  villages  are  the  superior  forms  of  dissemination  channels:  regular  trainings  at  the  horticulture  department  of  the  university  for  Amtrar  farmers  proved  critical.  When  there  is  sustained  Interaction  between  farmers  and  agrometeorologists,  agricultural  and  horticultural  scientists,  high  use  of  advisories  ensues;  

-­‐ Advisories  need  to  be  locally  salient.  Indeed,  even  within  a  state,  high  agroclimate  differences  are  high.  This  was  evident  between  Palampur  Agricultural  University  (knowledge  hub  of  AAS  advisory  generation)  and  the  remote  low  hill  parts  of  Una  districts  (closest  to  Punjab  in  terms  of  agro-­‐climate  features)  where  surveyed  Una  district  farmers  did  not  find  provided  agro-­‐met  advisories  accurate  at  all  nor  salient  to  their  local  decision-­‐making  under  a  variable  climate.  As  such,  local  downscaling  and  value-­‐addition  is  paramount  to  ensure  salience  to  local  farmer  needs  and  usability  by  farmers.  

-­‐ Information  is  not  enough:  Farmers  need  to  be  provided  with  accompanying  agricultural  measures  to  ensure  use  of  AAS  advisories.  These  include:  Facilitate  access  to  good  quality  seeds          

Ø PUNJAB    

From  Punjab,  we  learnt  the  following:  

-­‐ Use  of  an  NGO  or  local  project  to  promote  the  use  of  advisories  serves  to  increase  reach  and  appropriation  of  available  agromet  advisories,  and  indent  its  use  in  local  practice  (lesson  from  Achal  pur).  In  the  case  of  the  ‘Climate  Change’  project  in  Achalpur,  those  associated  with  it  were  more  likely  to  know  about  the  advisories  and  benefit  from  it  than  those  who  were  not  part  of  the  project,  thus  creating  information  asymmetries.    

-­‐ For  smallholder  farmers  with  farm  sizes  of  less  than  an  acre,  agromet  advisories  are  not  of  much  relevance  due  to  the  small  scale  of  operations.    

 Ø WEST  BENGAL:  

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From  WB,  we  learnt  that  wide  inclusion  is  fundamental  in  the  endeavor  to  provide  salient  advisories  to  remote  farmers.  Agrometeorological  advisories  will  not  generate  impact  nor  be  useful  until  ALL  farmers  are  included  in  the  AAS  outrach  efforts.  Notably:  

-­‐ Village  discussions/trainings  on  Agromet  advisories  is  a  good  strategy  to  increase  the  reach  of  advisories.  However,  Wide  community  mobilization  and  inclusion  of  all  farmers  within  the  community  (not  only  male  farmers  of  high  socio-­‐economic  status)  is  critical  during  village  discussions  by  Agricultural  experts  to  ensure  widespread  appropriation  and  use  of  AAS  advisories.  This  is  a  critical  strategy  to  avoid  a  situation  where  the  majority  is  left  out  and  only  those  who  are  closely  associated  with  the  knowledge  providers  (agrometeorological  experts  at  the  Agricultural  University,  etc.)  and  those  who  are  part  of  experimental  projects  receive  most  of  the  information  from  AAS  and  in  a  position  to  use  the  information  appropriately    

-­‐ Use  of  local  NGOs  is  instrumental  in  this  regard  to  widely  mobilize  community  towards  use  of  agricultural  information.  

 

Ø TAMIL  NADU:  

From  TN,  we  learnt  the  following:  

-­‐ Smallholder  farmers  can  be  successfully  reached  with  agromet  information  using  a  diversity  of  communication  channels  (extension,  local  knowledge  center,  face-­‐to-­‐face  village  meetings  and  trainings  by  agricultural  experts,  SMS  and  voice  messages,  …).  Designing  and  harnessing  the  power  of  a  tailor-­‐made  fleet  of  communication  solutions  is  what  it  takes  to  reach  remote  smallholder  farmers  at  scale;  

-­‐ Presence  of  a  local  agrometeorological  knowledge  center  (the  MSSRF  Knowledge  Centre  at  the  village)  improved  access  and  usability  of  AAS  advisories;  

-­‐ SMS  based  dissemination  and  phone  calls  are  effective  preferred  channels  to  reach  farmers.  For  those  who  cannot  read  advisories,  voice  messages  on  the  phone  are  preferred.    

 

Ø Gujarat:  

 

 6.2 CCAFS  Team  Recommendations    

   

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The  AAS  aims  to  reach  10  million  farmers  by  2012.  To  meet  this  ambitious  aim,  AAS  Progam  directors  we’ll  need  to  proceed  through  the  steps  outline  below.  This  is  what  farmers  are  saying.  May  their  perspectives  serve  to  guide  the  next  steps  of  AAS  development  in  India,  and  beyond.  

Ø In  Andhra  Pradesh:  -­‐ Provide  additional  farmer  requested  information,  notably:  

1.  On  alternate  crop  choices,  especially  during  shortage  or  delay  or  rains.  

2.  On  organic  cultivation.    

-­‐ Information  is  not  enough:  Provide  needed  accompanying  agricultural  measures  to  ensure  use  of  AAS  advisories:  Facilitate  access  to  good  quality  seeds      

-­‐ Diversify  and  multiply  communication  channels,  as  follows:  

1.  More  training:  More  village  level  trainings  for  both  male  and  female  farmers  is  required  to  help  with  better  interpretation  and  use  of  advisories.  

2.  Picture  messages:  Bulletins  will  be  easier  to  interpret  if  textual  information  is  elaborated  with  pictures  to  improve  understanding  on  kinds  of  pests  etc.  

-­‐ Move  away  from  the  model  of  membership  in  a  farmers’  clubs  (currently  main  outlet  for  transmission  of  agromet  advisories),  this  is  remains  a  barrier  to  women  and  other  socially  marginalized  groups’  access  to  agromet  advisories  and  climate  information.  

-­‐ Transition  towards  More  widely  reachable  means  of  communication  –such  as  displaying  the  bulletin  in  prominent  places  in  the  village  and  broadcasting  of  the  forecast/advisory  over  the  microphone–  will  have  to  be  privileged.  Improved  communication  channels  improves  usability  amongst  farmers.  Farmers  in  a  surveyed  village  of  AP  (Baironpalli)  added  that  they  tend  to  exclusively  rely  on  AAS  now  instead  of  going  by  their  traditional  practices  to  inform  farm-­‐based  activities.  The  use  of  such  democratic  means  of  communication  in  AP  has  rendered  The  AAS  program  number  2  in  a  list  of  agricultural  support  services,  with  crop  compensation  schemes  and  reduction  on  crop  loan  interests  at  the  top.      

-­‐ Encourage  Collaboration  with  local  NGO  to  make  AAS  program  more  useful  for  farmers  and  increase  penetration  /  access.    

-­‐ Encourage  the  presence  of  Go-­‐to  met  representative  /  ressourc  eperson  at  the  village  level  

 

Ø In  Himachal  Pradesh:  -­‐ Provide  additional  farmer  requested  information,  notably  on  water  management,  

especially  during  times  of  shortage  -­‐ Information  is  not  enough:  Provide  needed  accompanying  agricultural  measures  to  

ensure  use  of  AAS  advisories:  Facilitate  access  to  good  quality  seeds      

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-­‐ Diversify  and  multiply  communication  channels,  as  follows:  

1.  Advisories  through  cell  phones  (voice  mails  and  text  messages)  

2.Elaborate  advisories  through  television  in  addition  to  state  level  forecasts  currently  relayed  

3.  Printed  advisory  bulletins  displayed  in  all  central  points  in  the  village.  

 

Ø In  Punjab:  -­‐ Provide  additional  farmer  requested  information,  to  make  AAS  advisories  salient  to  

meet  their  needs:  

1.  Information  on  new  varieties  of  seeds;  also  on  why  certain  seeds  failed  and  how  to  prevent  it.  

2.  Wind  speed  to  help  decide  time  for  spraying  of  pesticide,  weedicide  and  fungicide  

3.  Harvest  time  for  wheat  

4.  What  to  do  during  sudden  frost  in  winter  

5.  Information  on  market  prices  

6.  Information  on  mechanization  possibilities  on  the  farm  

7.  Timely  and  accurate  rainfall  forecasts.  

-­‐ Make  use  of  NGOs  and  local  ongoing  projects  to  increase  the  reach  and  appropriation  of  available  AAS  advisories;    

-­‐ Diversify  and  multiply  communication  channels,  as  follows:  

1.  Display  textual  copies  of  advisories  in  prominent  locations  in  the  village  such  as  the  Gurudwara  (Sikh  temple).  Common  areas  also  ensure  information  is  evenly  disseminated  and  not  restricted  to  few  factions  or  privileged  sections.    

2.  Specific  trainings  and  meetings  for  women  farmers  in  the  village.    

3.  Advisories  through  SMS  and  voice  mails.      

4.  24/7  TV  Channel  exclusively  on  agriculture.    

6.  Organize  farmers  into  Kisan  groups  (Farmers’  Group)  on  a  voluntary  basis  to  help  disseminate  vital  information  in  the  village.    

7.  Appoint  village  level  volunteers  who  could  receive  biweekly  advisories  from  the  AMFU  and  communicate  them  to  the  rest  of  the  village.  

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Ø In  West  Bengal:  -­‐ Provide  additional  farmer  requested  information,  to  make  AAS  advisories  salient  to  

meet  their  needs:  

1.    Crop  related  information  –  for  example,  advance  advisories  on  how  to  protect  cauliflower  crop  during  higher  than  average  temperatures  in  winter.    

2.  Information  on  new  techniques  to  reduce  cost  of  cultivation,  new  methods  of  cultivation  and  technology,  seed  varieties,  better  fertilizer  mix,  suitable  pesticides,  and  unknown  diseases.  

3.  Soil  nutrient  management  strategies  

4.  Choice  of  alternative  crops  during  monsoon  and  winter  season  

-­‐ Make  use  of  NGOs  and  local  ongoing  projects  to  increase  the  reach  and  appropriation  of  available  AAS  advisories;    

-­‐ Diversify  and  multiply  communication  channels,  as  follows:  

1.Detailed  weather  forecasts  on  TV  at  least  2  -­‐3  times  a  day  

2.  Door  to  door  information  through  an  appointed  volunteer  in  the  village  

3.  Newspapers  

4.  More  face-­‐to-­‐face  meetings  and  discussions  in  the  village  with  agricultural  experts  that  all  farmers  could  attend  

6.  A  toll  free  number  for  agromet  advice.  

7.  Advisories  to  be  displayed  on  notice  boards  in  key  locations  in  the  village.    

Ø In  TAMIL  NADU:  -­‐ Provide  additional  farmer  requested  information,  as  follows:  

1.  Improved  Resolution  -­‐  Information  is  sufficient  to  manage  crop  based  activities  but  the  resolution  needs  to  be  improved  for  the  forecasts,  particularly  rainfall  forecasts.    

 2.  Pest  management  -­‐  Information  on  new  pests  expected  in  each  season.  More  trainings  on  pest  management.    

3.  Information  on  rganic  farming.  At  the  moment  the  advice  is  tailored  to  conventional  chemical  based  farming  and  therefore  some  farmers  dont  find  it  useful.  

4.  On  new  mechanization  techniques-­‐  In  the  past  farmers  grew  ragi,  wheat,  and  other  cereals.  Now  they  don’t,  because  of  labour  shortage.  Famers  wants  to  find  out  about  new  mechanization  techniques,  and  have  access  to  such  machines.  

5.  Information  related  to  marketing,  cold  storage  facilities  and  self  help  group  trainings.  

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-­‐ Information  is  not  enough:  Provide  needed  accompanying  agricultural  measures  to  ensure  use  of  AAS  advisories:  Facilitate  access  to  machinery  for  harvesting  and  for  sowing  seeds.    

-­‐ Diversify  and  multiply  communication  channels,  as  follows:  

1.  TV  channels  need  to  have  fixed  channels  and  timings  to  relay  advisories  and  other  information  related  to  agriculture.  Flash  news  on  all  channels  on  important  weather  events  is  necessary.  

2.  For  those  who  cannot  read  advisories,  voice  messages  on  the  phone  are  preferred.    

3.  Mobile  phone  application  for  AAS  should  be  started.  

5.  Larger  role  of  farmers  in  dissemination  activities  through  voluntary  involvement  and  enlistment  

6.  Specific  FM  radio  station  for  weather  based  agro  and  livestock  advisories.    

7.  Call  centre  where  farmers  could  call  for  additional  information  and  assistance.    

 

Ø In  Gujarat:  -­‐ Provide  additional  farmer  requested  information,  notably  on  water  management,  

especially  during  times  of  shortage  

1.  Higher  resolution  forecasts,  particularly  rainfall.    

2.    Information  on  alternate  crops,  particularly  during  drought  years  or  poor  rains  which  are  sustainable.  

3.  Information  on  market  price  of  produce.  

4.  Help  with  dealing  with  wild  animals,  particularly  wild  boars  that  attack  crops  and  farmers.      

6.  Sharing  of  new  research  in  agriculture,  especially  recommendations  in  new  technology  and  equipment.    

-­‐ Diversify  and  multiply  communication  channels,  as  follows:  

1.  More  village  level  trainings  with  farmers  

2.  Detailed  advisories  on  local  TV  channels  

3.  AAS  through  mobile  phones  

4.  Special  trainings  for  women  in  villages

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India  Agrometeorological  Advisory  Service  (AAS)  Case  Study  

 

Independent  Study  of  IMD’s  AAS  Program  from  a  Farmer  Perspective:    

Views  from  the  Frontline  

 

METHODS  BRIEF  

 

Introduction  

The  Integrated  Agrometeorology  Advisory  Services  (AAS)  is  a  project  of  the  India  Meteorological  Department   that   aims   to   provide   a   variety   of   services   to   farmers   including   meteorological  (weather   observation   and   forecasting),   agricultural   advisories   (identifying   weather   related  stresses    and   providing   advisories   based   on   weather   forecasts),   extension   services   (two   way  communication   with   users),   and   information   dissemination   (through   media   and   other   local  agencies).   The   project,   which   was   integrated   under   the   IMD   in   2007,   is   being   implemented  through  a  five-­‐tier  structure  that  form  different  components  in  the  service  spectrum.  Agro-­‐met  Advisory  Bulletins  are  issued  at  the  out  to  the  state  and  district  levels  to  cater  to  the  needs  from  national  to  local  scales.      

To   facilitate   the   design   and   implementation   of   similar   programs   in   other   countries,  mostly   in  Africa,  requires  detailed  information  about  the  institutional  context  in  which  the  project  was  set  up   and   run,   the   scientific   information   used   to   inform   the   forecasts   and   other   information  conveyed  to  participant  farmers,  the  ways  in  which  this  project  has  impacted  farming  practices  related   to   local   livelihoods,   and   how   those   impacts   on   farming   practice   came   to   pass.     The  proposed   assessment   addresses   each   of   these   needs   independently.     Data   from   the   scientific  and  field  assessments  will  be  combined  to  determine  the  quality  and  utility  of  the  information  from   the  perspective   of   local-­‐level   farmer   project   participants,   and   the  perception  of   impacts  and  changes  in  farmer  behavior  following  utilization.    The  institutional  assessment  will  be  used  to   contextualize   the   products   of   the   scientific/field   assessment   analysis   for   use   by   interested  meteorological  services  across  Africa.    

 

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1. OBJECTIVES  

 

A  comprehensive  understanding  of  the  pathways  through  which  this  project  has  come  to  impact  the  lives  of  participants  is  beyond  the  scope  and  added  value  of  this  evaluation.    Such  an  effort  would  require  village-­‐level  studies  of  individual  farmer  behavior  and  social  networks,  as  well  as  a  comprehensive   effort   to   gauge   both   current   agricultural   production   and   measure   it   against  some  form  of  reconstructed  production  baseline.    Besides,  an  assessment  on  the  AAS  program  has  already  been  conducted  in  2008  by  the  National  Center  for  Short  Range  Weather  Forecasts  (NCSRWF),   with   probing   results   on   the   economic   added   value   of   farmer-­‐focused   agro-­‐meteorological  advisories  in  India  (c.f  NCSRWF  assessment  report,  2008).  

What   we   are   aiming   for   is   an   independent   study   of   IMD’s   AAS   program   from   a   farmer  perspective,  collecting  farmers’  perspectives  on  the  products  provided  by  the  program  (in  terms  of   their   legitimacy,   credibility   and   equity)   and   impacts   on   farming   practices   and   livelihoods.  Insights  from  this  study  will  hopefully  inform  future  AAS  plans,  and  be  shared  at  a  South  –  South  workshop   on   farmer-­‐focused   climate   services,   due   to   be   held   in   Arusha   Tanzania   in   early  November,  2012.      

The  expected  outputs  from  this  work  will  be  an  independent  report  to  be  shared  ahead  of  the  Arusha   South   –   South   workshop,   as   well   as   a   number   of   academic   journal   publications   in  collaboration  with  colleagues  in  India  from  all  participating  institutions  of  this  study.  

 2. METHODOLOGY  

To  facilitate  the  above  output,  we  will  conduct  an  assessment  with  three  main  components:    

To  facilitate  the  above  output,  we  will  conduct  an  assessment  with  three  main  components:    

§ An  Institutional  Assessment    § A  Science  Assessment  § and  a  Field  assessment.    

Details   on   the   methods   that   will   be   utilized   under   each   component   of   this   assessment   are  details  in  sub-­‐sections  below.  

2.1.   Institutional  assessment  

a. Developing  a  historical  description  of  the  program:  National  Level  

A  narrative  describing  the  program  should  cover:  

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• The   origins,   rationale,   the   problem   that   led   to   the   program   (derived   from   primary  documents,   including   program   and   project   documents,   triangulated   with   key   informant  interviews).    This  should  include  the  identification  of  the  early  champions  that  initiated  the  idea  and   implemented   it,  as  well  as   those  who  carried   the  project   forward   (key   informant  interviews,  triangulated  where  possible  with  a  review  of  primary  documents).  

• The   organizational   flowchart   and   narrative,   showing   roles   of   key   institutions,   interactions  among   institutions,   interactions   across   scales.     It   should   cover   the   range   of   geographic  scales,  which   ranges   from   village-­‐level   governance   and  process,   up   to   regional   and   global  climate   providers   (derived   from   key   informant   interviews,   triangulated   with   primary  documents  where  applicable).  

• The   various   overlapping   initiatives   that   contribute   to/are   affected   by   this   program.     It  appears  that  multiple  projects,  with  overlapping  but  different  objectives,  have  contributed  to  what  now  appears  to  be  a  single  program  (derived  from  primary  documents,  triangulated  with  key  informants  and  independent  sources).  

• A  narrative  timeline  about  how  the  program  evolved.    Key  information  we  are  seeking:    o The  start  and  end  of  project  funding  (from  project  documents,  triangulated  with  key  

informants  where  needed)  § External  funding  § Government  of  Mali  funding  

o The  key  institutional  and  political  decisions  that  shaped  the  project  over  time  (from  key   informant   interviews,   triangulated   with   independent   sources   and   primary  documents).    

§ This  should  be  linked  to  funding  shifts  (or  not)  o Any   high-­‐profile   meetings   or   other   events   in   which   this   project/program   was  

highlighted  (from  primary  documents,  triangulated  with  key  informant  interviews)  o Any  changes  in  geographic  coverage  and  numbers  of  farmers  participating  (from  key  

informants,  triangulated  with  primary  documents  where  they  are  available.  This  may  also  require  triangulation  with  independent  sources  and  the  field-­‐based  component  of  the  assessment)  

§ This  should  be  linked  to  funding  shifts  (or  not)  o Any  history  of  evaluations  of  the  project  –  who  conducted  them  and  why?  (from  key  

informant  interviews,  to  be  triangulated  with  evaluation  documents  if  possible).    

• Descriptions   of   the   clients/final   end-­‐users.   How  were   target   users   for   this   project   initially  identified,  and  how  has  this  group  changed  over  time  (i.e.  location,  scope,  etc.)?    How  many  participants  are  there  now,  and  how  has  that  number  changed  over  time?    Does  the  project  target,  or  has   it  ever   targeted,  anyone  else  besides   farmers?   (derived   from  key   informants  unless  primary  documents  are  available)  

• Specific  products  and  services  that  are  provided,  and  how  these  have  evolved  over  time  • Specific  communication  channels  utilized  to  reach  remote  villages,  and  these  have  evolved  

over  the  course  of  the  project  • Processes  such  as  high-­‐level  planning,  communication,  monitoring  and  evaluation,  response  

to  feedback  from  farmers  and  other  end  users.  

Consulting   primary   sources   of   information   (e.g.,   project   or   program   documents,   minutes   of  meetings   where   key   decisions   were   made,   interviews   with   current   and   past   leaders/GTPA  members),   and   triangulating   with   independent   sources,   should   provide   a   solid   historical  description  of  the  program.  

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b. Identifying   key   institutional   stakeholders:   Project   Institutional   Setup   from  National  to  Local  levels  

A  changing  confluence  of   factors  has  shaped  this  project/program  and   its  outcomes.    Through  key   informant   interviews,   triangulated   where   necessary   with   independent   sources   and  documents,  we  will  explore  the  following  factors  that  either  or  enable  or  constrain  the  current  program  in  India,  as  a  way  to  inform  the  experiences  of  other  countries  that  saw  less  success  in  starting  up  similar  programs:  

Key  questions  we  will  be  exploring  are  as  follows:  

-­‐ Who  does   information  flow  from  national  to   local   levels,  and  back?  Who  are  the  key  stakeholders?  

o How  do  we  go   from   Information  to  Advisories:   is   the  Gap  between  weather  and  agricultural  research  bridged,  from  the  national  to  the  local  levels?  

o Are  there  any  canals  built-­‐in  to  enable  feedback  from  farmers  back  to  IMD  (two-­‐way  communication)?  

 

Other  related  questions  of  interest  we  will  be  seeking  answers  are:  

• The  institutional  and  program  mandates  of  the  organizational  actors  relevant  to  this  project,  from  national  to  local  levels  

• The  character  of  the  interactions  among  the  institutions  working  on  this  program  • The   resources   available   to   support   this   project   (external   grants,   government   funding,   any  

private  sector   investment,   in-­‐kind  contributions  of  human  resources)  and  changes   in  those  resources  over  time.  

• The  character  and  quality  of  institutional  processes  such  as  design  of  products  and  services,  targeting,  monitoring  an  evaluation,  and  learning  mechanisms  to  incorporate  feedback.  

• The   flow   of   information,   products,   services,   feedback,   influence,   etc.,   between   regional  institutions,  national  institutions  and  farm/village-­‐level  users.  

• The   quality   and   function   of   governance   and   accountability   mechanisms   at   national   and  regional  scales.    

All  of  these  factors,  and  perhaps  others  that  will  emerge  through  the  key  informant  interviews,  combined  in  different  ways  at  different  times  to   influence  the  success  of  the  project/program,  as   well   as   limit   its   impact.     Understanding   how   these   factors   and   others   were   configured   at  different  stages  of  the  program,  and  how  those  configurations  impacted  the  project,  suggest  an  approach  focused  on  impact  pathways.    This  approach  will  focus  on  understanding  the  different  stages  of  learning  through  which  the  program  evolved,  elaborating  two  things:  

1) The   changing   causal   chains   of   activities,   outputs   and   outcomes   through   which   this  project/program  has  achieved  its  goals  

2) The   networks   of   evolving   relationships   between   stakeholders   (donors,   implementing  organizations,   and   ultimate   beneficiaries)   that   shaped   the   outcomes   of   this  project/program  

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This   approach   will   provide   a   framework   for   either   describing   the   chain   of   factors   that   has  allowed   program   outputs   to   lead   to   uptake   and   benefit   down   to   the   level   of   farmers   and  villages,  or  identifying  gaps  in  implementing  an  intended  or  plausible  impact  pathway.      

In   India,   this   information   will   be   integrated   with   the   science   assessment   and   the   field  assessment  to  develop  a  comprehensive  picture  of  the  functioning  of  this  program.  Results  from  this  assessment  will  inform  other  countries’  development  of  similar  programs  seeking  to  provide  farmer-­‐focused  climate  services  at  the  village-­‐level.  

v OUTCOME:   Identifying   key   institutional   factors   that   enable   or   constrain  production,  delivery,  uptake,   impact  and  sustainability  of  farmer-­‐focused  climate  services.  

 

   

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2.2.    Science  Assessment  

List  of  Products  delivered:  

-­‐ Hazards  covered  relevant  for  area?  Any  new  emerging  hazards?  -­‐ What  products  have  had  most  added  value  to  inform  farming  decisions  at  local  level?  

Any  particular  stories  of  behavioral  change  following  reception  of  a  forecast?  -­‐ Which  forecast  products  are  least  useful?  -­‐  Constraints  to  forecast  usability:  communication?    

Farmer   Appraisal   of   the   AAS   program   will   be   conducted   based   on   the   following   Criteria   of  information  services  usefulness  to  decision-­‐making  at  local  level:  

1. Credibility  -­‐ Skill  level  -­‐ Confidence  in  information  provided    

2. Legitimacy:  Giving  Farmers  a  Voice  in  Information  their  Receive  -­‐ Trust  -­‐ Have  a  voice  -­‐ Relating  IMD  info  with  traditional  forecasters    

3. Salience  to  local  needs  -­‐ Products  -­‐ Geographic  scale  -­‐ Timing  -­‐ Translation  into  early  action  advisories  -­‐ Appropriate  communication  channels  to  reach  remote  rural  community      

4. Equity  (gender)  -­‐  Access  by  socially  marginal  groups  (does  info  reach  the  most  vulnerable)  -­‐  Once  information  reaches  community,  who  gets  the  info?        

v OUTCOME:      

-­‐ Which   climate   services   were   useful?   Which   were   not?   Which  institutional   setup/communication  channels  were  effective?  How  has  the  project   impacted   farming  practices   in  participating   villages?  How  has  receiving  weather  advisories  impacted  lives  and  livelihoods?    

-­‐ Identification  of  GAPS  between  supply  and  demand  -­‐ Identification  of  obstacles  to  Scalability  and  Transferability  

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2.3.  Field  assessment  

The  field  assessment  rests  on  qualitative  and  quantitative  data  gathering  that  will  be  conducted  at  village-­‐level  In  each  target  sites  selected,  to  understand  which  climate  services  work  and  why  from  a  farmer  perspective.  

 

Figure  1:  Project  field  methods  as  a  daylong  program  

The  assessment  team  will  sample  participating  villages  within  a  stratified  sample  of  Agromet  Advisory  Units  (AAUs)  of  different  agro-­‐climate  features  that  controls  for  bias  in  program  reach  and  local  service.  Each  village  will  be  subject  to  a  one-­‐day,  intensive  investigation  by  a  team  of  four  fieldworkers  (see  Figure  1  for  an  overview).    Village  visits  will  four  focus  groups,  each  run  by  one  of  the  field  team  members.    The  focus  groups  will  be  stratified  by  gender  and  any  other  community  stratification  criteria  deemed  important  to  control  for  major  social  cleavages  that  might  constrain  the  answers  of  community  members.    These  focus  groups  will  examine  largely  non-­‐controversial  issues  related  to  livelihoods  and  agriculture  in  an  effort  to  gain  an  understanding  of  baseline  practices  in  the  village  (see  discussion  below).  To  avoid  moving  focus  group  participants  toward  “correct”  answers,  climate  and  climate  information  will  NOT  be  raised  directly  by  field  team  members  in  the  focus  group  setting  –  if  the  topic  emerges  organically,  it  

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will  be  noted  and  followed  by  the  field  team  member,  but  otherwise  these  groups  will  focus  on  understanding  livelihoods  and  agriculture  in  the  village.  These  focus  groups  will  create  a  set  of  information  on  which  to  draw  for  interviews  with  key  players  in  each  focus  group.    

At  the  conclusion  of  each  focus  group,  the  field  team  member  will  identify  2-­‐4  key  participants  in  the  focus  group  with  which  to  follow  up  in  one-­‐on-­‐one,  semi-­‐structured  interviews.    These  interviews  will  explore  issues  of  income  and  productivity  in  a  setting  that  avoids  forcing  individual  farmers  to  discuss  such  personal  information  in  a  group  setting.    Further,  these  interviews  will  probe  for  individual  deviation  from  consensus  views  established  in  the  focus  groups.    For  example,  while  a  focus  group  might  produce  a  list  of  a  few  key  crops/varieties  grown  in  the  village,  an  individual  interview  might  identify  new  varieties  not  mentioned  in  the  focus  group.    Such  discrepancies  can  serve  as  productive  starting  points  for  deeper  probing  of  livelihoods  and  agricultural  practice  that  open  pathways  to  discussion  of  agro-­‐meteorological  advisories  provided  by  the  AAS  program.    Away  from  other  villagers  and  staff  of  the  program,  and  with  their  anonymity  protected,  farmers  will  likely  feel  more  comfortable  telling  evaluation  staff  what  information  they  do  and  do  not  use  to  shape  agricultural  and  livelihoods  practice,  how  they  use  that  information,  and  what  information  they  want  that  they  do  not  yet  have.      

The  overall  strategy  of  the  field  assessment  in  each  village  is  to  move  toward  explicit  probing  of  the  program’s  impacts  slowly  and  obliquely  until  the  end  of  interviews,  when  the  project  is  explicitly  discussed  in  a  context  that  will  make  “correct  answers”  easier  to  identify  and  move  beyond  in  our  evaluation  (see  Figure  2).  

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Figure  2:  Strategic  approach  for  the  field  assessment  

 

Site  Selection  Protocol  

Sampling  method:  Stratified  sampling  based  on  an  area  map  of  India’s  agro-­‐climatic  zones,  superposed  with  map  of  AAS  program  participating  states,  AAUs  and  villages.      This  sampling  will  lead  to  the  selection  of  five  to  six  main  sites  across  India  that  represent  India’s  main  agro-­‐climatic  zones  and  production  systems  (Andhra  Pradesh,  Tamil  Nadu,  West  Bengal,  Himachal  Pradesh,  Punjab,  Gujarat).    Then  participating  villages  within  each  state  will  be  selected  based  on  a  stratified  sample  of  AAUs  within  the  state  (for  a  maximum  of  18  villages  pan-­‐India,  with  an  average  of  3  per  site).      Criteria  for  selection  of  villages  within  AAUs  will  have  to  be  defined  jointly  with  IMD.  Overall,  Villages  selected  across  India  for  the  purposes  of  this  evaluation  will  need  to  provide  an  overall  picture  of  the  main  agro-­‐climatic  zones  and  production  systems  in  the  country.  

 

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At  the  most  basic   level,   this  assessment  will   interview  project  participating  farmers  and  assess  their   perspectives   on   project   outcomes   and   changes   in   agricultural   practices,   looking   for   the  following  differences  from  the  baseline:  

1) The  preparation  period  before  planting,  including  the  timing  of  tillage  2) The  choice  of  crops  and  varieties  by  farmers  3) The  timing  of  sowing,  thinning,  weeding,  fertilizer  application  and  harvest  4) The  amount  of  need  for  replanting  due  to  crop  failure  5) The  amount  of  time  needed  in  the  fields  to  ensure  an  adequate  harvest  6) The  ability  to  use  fertilizers  and  pesticides  efficiently  and  effectively  (from  the  perspective  of  

the  farmer)  7) Expected  and  realized  yields  

The   evaluation   sampling   strategy  will   control   for   several   factors   that  might   also   impact   these  differences.      

 

Village  Surveying  Protocol  

-­‐ Surveying  technique:  o 1  team/car  to  interview  participating  village  o Constant  reshuffling  of  team  members  across  focus  groups  from  village  to  

village  target  to  minimize  data  collection  bias  -­‐ Community  surveys:  

o 2  Focus  groups:  by  gender;  within  groups:  by  age  and  farm  size  o Individual  interviews  with  2-­‐4  farmers  

-­‐ Data  translation  -­‐ Data  analysis    

 

Focus  Groups  

During  the  field  assessment,  teams  will  conduct  focus  groups,  working  with  several  groups  of  5-­‐6  people  in  each  sampling  zone.    These  groups  will  separately  engage  groups  of  male  and  female  project  participants.    The  advantages  of  focus  groups  are  twofold.    First,  they  facilitate  the  rapid  interaction   with   a   large   number   of   participants   (and   non-­‐participants)   in   a   relatively   short  amount  of  time.    Second,  they  serve  to  minimize  the  bias  created  by  the  limitations  of  individual  memories  and  motivations  in  reporting,  as  members  of  the  group  are  likely  to  be  aware  of  any  individual  misreporting  and  will  question  such  answers.    However,   focus  groups  can  also  have  the  effect  of  homogenizing  heterogeneous  answers  as  dominant  personalities  or  a  majority  of  the  group  might  effectively  silence  significant  minority  answers.    To  control  for  known  hierarchy  and  power  issues  in  India,  focus  groups  will  be  segregated  by  gender.  Within  each  gender  focus  group,    (where  the  most  senior  men,  typically  50  and  over,  and  the  most  senior  women,  typically  45  and  over,  would  be  steered  to  distinct  sides  within  the  focus  groups).      

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Every   community   will   likely   have   place-­‐specific   issues   of   hierarchy   and   power,   and   for   this  reason,  the  evaluation  teams  will  include  a  qualitative  data  collector  who  will  have  responsibility  for  recording  group  dynamics  and  divergent  opinions  before  they  are  homogenized  into  a  single  group  answer  (see  team  structure  below).    Should  the  field  teams  find  that  the  focus  groups  are  clearly  over-­‐aggregating  responses  (as  evidenced  in  significant  dissent  and  disagreement  in  the  focus  groups  over   answers   to  a   large  number  of  questions),   there  are   two  possible   remedies.    First,  the  teams  can  identify  the  source  of  this  dissent  and  disagreement,  and  in  so  doing  identify  new  subdivisions  of  participants  and/or  non-­‐participants  that  better  capture  relevant  livelihoods  and  social  dynamics.    Second,  teams  can  abandon  focus  groups  and  work  with  individual  farmers  in  semi-­‐structured  interviews,  using  the  same  questions  designed  for  the  focus  groups,  and  the  same  adaptive  methodology  to  hone  the  questions  over  time.      

At  the  end  of  each  field  day,  the  team  should  meet  and  review  the  outcomes  of  the  focus  groups  and  establish  a  shared  understanding  of  group  dynamics,  trends  in  the  questions,  questions  that  should   be   discarded   and   questions   that   need   to   be   added   to   future   focus   groups.     This  information  should  then  be  communicated  to  the  other  field  teams  and  discussed  to  come  to  a  project-­‐wide   agreement   on   modifications   to   the   questions   for   focus   groups,   and   to   rapidly  transfer  lessons  learned  about  conducting  these  groups  through  the  project  staff.  

 

Field  Team  structure  

The   field   evaluation  will   be   carried   out   by   teams   of   three   people:   a   rapporteur,   a   qualitative  note-­‐taker,  and  a  quantitative  data  recorder.    The  rapporteur  will  lead  the  focus  groups,  posing  questions  and   following  up  on  answers  as  appropriate.    The  rapporteur  must  have  experience  with  qualitative  work  in  rural  communities,  and  display  sensitivity  to  group  dynamics  and  local  context  in  the  phrasing  of  questions  and  follow-­‐up.    The  qualitative  note-­‐taker  will  have  a  dual  role.    The  first   is  to  carefully  record  the  answers  to  the  various  questions.  The  second,  equally  important  role  is  to  record  information  about  the  group  dynamic,  such  as  moments  of  significant  disagreement   among   the   group,   and  how   that   disagreement  was   resolved   (a   single   dominant  voice,  a  trend  toward  consensus,  etc.).    This  second  role  is  critical  for  interpreting  the  findings  of  the  focus  groups  after  the  fact.    Finally,  the  quantitative  data  recorder  will  record  all  answers  to  questions  with   quantitative   answers,   ideally   using   a   handheld   device   to   digitize   the   results   in  real   time,   allowing   for   rapid   analysis   of   some   aspects   of   the   focus   group   findings.     Where  necessary,  these  groups  should  be  accompanied  by  an  interpreter.  

Ideally,  the  evaluation  will  work  with  four  teams,  two  comprised  of  men  and  two  comprised  of  women.    The  gender  of  the  rapporteur   is  especially   important  here,  as  efforts  to  elicit  gender-­‐specific  information  are  often  facilitated  by  conversations  with  investigators  of  the  same  gender.        

A  significant  challenge  in  qualitative  research  is   investigator  bias  –  in  the  context  of  qualitative  research  conducted  by  multiple  field  teams  there  have  been  many  cases,  including  a  particular  well-­‐known  case  documented  by  Robert  Chambers,  of  research  where  differences  in  responses  

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were   attributable   to   the   people   doing   the   interview/focus   group,   not   to   actual   differences  between  people  or  groups.    To  control  for  this  problem,  sampling  zones  will  not  be  the  exclusive  province  of  a  single  team.     Instead,  all  teams  will  work  in  all  sampling  zones  at  the  same  time,  and  discrepancies   in  their   findings  will  be  captured   in  the  daily  report-­‐outs  to  the  wider  team.    The  teams  will  discuss  and  resolve  these  discrepancies,  identifying  investigator  biases  wherever  possible  and  making  adjustments  to  address  those  biases  on  the  fly.  

 

A  note  on  Focus  Group  data  quality    

Qualitative  data  collection  does  not  always  require  a  preset  minimum  number  of  interviews  to  establish   rigor   and   validity.     Instead,   the   project   will   adopt   a   grounded   theory   approach,  iteratively  revising  its  questions  until  the  point  that  focus  group  sessions  no  longer  produce  new  questions   to   pursue,   or   surprising   answers.     In   short,   once   the   assessment   teams   can   predict  with  some  certainty  what   the  participants   in  a   focus  group  will   say   in   the  course  of   the  group  discussion  based  on  who  is  participating  (i.e.  men  of  a  particular  ethnicity  practicing  a  particular  livelihood  near  a  road),  they  will  have  achieved  what  is  known  as  “theoretical  saturation,”  and  can  assume  a  level  of  rigor  and  validity  in  their  data.    Field  experience  in  other  contexts  suggests  that  saturation  can  occur  in  as  few  as  10  interviews/focus  groups,  if  the  initial  set  of  questions  is  well-­‐framed  and  quickly  reshaped  to  reflect  learning  from  initial  interviews  and  focus  groups.  

A  note  on  Ethics:  Data  Collection  and  Management  

While   informed   consent   is   an   important   part   of   ethical   research   and   participant   risk  management,   the   data   collection   and   management   strategies   for   the   assessment   must   also  minimize   these   risks   to   ensure   the   well-­‐being   of   the   participants,   and   the   collection   of  information   that   most   closely   mirror   the   assessment   participants’   view   of   the   project.   To  address   these   concerns,   data   collection   will   occur   via   focus   groups   segregated   by   these   key  cleavages.    Wives  will  not  be  asked  to  contradict  their  husbands  in  a  public  place,  nor  will  junior  members  of  the  community  will  not  be  asked  to  challenge  their  elders,  just  to  make  their  voices  heard.     This   first   layer  of  participant   risk  management  will   be  augmented  by  anonymizing   the  data   after   collection.    Names  will   be   recorded   at   the   point   of   the   focus   group   to   ensure   that  there  is  no  duplicate  engagement  of  individuals  in  multiple  groups.    However,  once  the  team  has  left   a   sampling   zone   and   the   data   is   formally   recorded   and   transcribed,   all   names   will   be  removed   from   the  data   and   replaced  with   identification  numbers.    While   the  assessment  will  require  that  we  gather  personal   information,  such  as  age,  gender,  and  marital  status,  of   focus  group   participants,   there   is   no   reason   to   link   the   names   of   the   participants   to   the   data   for  analysis.     If   possible,   village   of   origin   will   also   be   removed,   as   the   stratified   sample   should  provide  enough  context  to  interpret  the  data.    In  short,  we  will  make  it  as  difficult  as  possible  to  trace   a   particular   set   of   answers   to   a   particular   individual,   focus   group   or   community.     Once  transcribed,  all  field  notes  and  files  that  contain  the  names  of  participants  will  be  destroyed.    For  the  purposes  of   revisiting  data   integrity   in   the   future,   a   single  document   linking   identification  

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numbers   to  names  and   villages  will   reside  with   the  principal   investigator,   in   a   locked   cabinet.    This  document  will  only  be  used  if  the  scientific  legitimacy  of  the  evaluation’s  sampling  is  called  into  question.  

2. CONCLUSION  REPLICABILITY  &   TRANSFERABILITY:   Identifying   gaps   in   services   relative   to  demand,  and  opportunities  to  address  gaps    

 

In  India,  this  aspect  of  the  assessment  will  identify  opportunities  to  strengthen  the  impact  of  the  current  program,  and  potential  opportunities  to  consider  when  upscaling.    It  goes  beyond  using  the  current  program  as  a  complete  package  for  potential  upscaling.    The  village-­‐level  component  should   provide   good   information   about   demand   that   the   program   does   not   currently   cover  effectively.    However,  experience,  awareness  of  the  literature  and  preliminary  interactions  with  key   stakeholders   should   suggest   some   products   and   services   that   may   be   provided   in   other  agricultural  advisory  programs,  that  might  meet  known  needs   in  Mali  agriculture,  and  that  are  not   part   of   the   current   program.     This   falls   at   the   intersection   of   institutional   analysis,   the  planned  climate  science  analysis,  and  village-­‐level  evaluation.  

 

 

 

 

 

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FIELD  RESEARCH  TASK  LIST  &  TIMELINE  

 

Preparation  Tasks:  

1) Field  sites  selection  a. Tentatively:  Andhra  Pradesh,  Tamil  Nadu,  West  Bengali,  Gujarat,  Punjab.  

2) Field  site  background  research  (Lead:  Vivienne):  a. Location  b. Development  indicators  &  livelihoods  c. Agricultural/farming  context:  farming  system,  irrigation,  wealth  of  farmers,  intensity  

of  farming  d. AAS  program  e. Literature  and  document  search  for  any  and  all  livelihoods  and  agricultural  baseline  

data  for   India  from  xxx  and  xxx.    This  search  should  identify,  obtain  and  assess  the  contents   and   quality   of   any   such   data.   Also   Literature   search   for   detailed  ethnographic   studies  of   relevant  parts  of   India   (these  areas  will  be  determined  by  the  sampling  zone  map)  from  xxx  to  xxx.    This  literature  should  be  rapidly  assessed  to   identify   information   on   livelihoods,   social   structure   and   roles   and   land   tenure  (among  other  things),  which  will  inform  the  initial  question  sets  used  by  field  teams.  

3) METHODS  development:  Field  survey  questionnaire  development  and  validation    4) Establish  Schedule  calendar  (Leads:  Arame  /  Kalpana)  5) Establishment   of   a   sampling   map   that   illustrates   homogeneous   sampling   zones   and   the  

location  of  participant  villages  in  those  zones:  stratified  random  sampling  based  on  an  area  map  of  India’s  xxx  regions  superposed  with  map  of  project  participating  villages.    This  can  be  overlain  with  a  layer  of  roads  to  help  with  sampling  within  sampling  zones.  

6) Field   team  composition,   and   identification  of   local   institutions   to  get  buy-­‐in   from.   In  each  site  needed:  

a. Graduate  student  to  serve  as  Translator/Facilitator  (x1)  b. Local  project  staff  based  in  target  villages  (x1)  c. Identification  of  appropriate  teams  to  conduct  the  field  assessment.     Ideally,   there  

would  be  four  teams  –  two  comprised  of  men,  and  two  comprised  of  women.  d. Identification   of   equipment   and   infrastructure   needs   to   conduct   the   fieldwork,  

including  transportation,  communication  and  data  collection/entry  needs  7) Training  of  survey  team  (2  teams  of  4each,  gender-­‐balanced)    8) Advance  notice  to  village  authorities  and  entry  point  to  facilitate  time.    

 

 

 

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TIMELINE  AND  DELIVERABLES  

1.1. Sequence  of  Field  site  visits  

 

Dates   Site   Selected  Districts  (agro-­‐climatic  zone)  

Selected  Villages  

June  21  –  28   Andhra  Pradesh   1) Nalgonda  2) Mahboobnagr  3) Warangal  

1) Nimani  2) Gorita  3) Bairon

pally  June  28  –  July  4   Himachal  Pradesh   1) Kangra  

2) Una  3) Kullu  

1) Radh  2) ?  3) ?  

July  5  –  July  11   Punjab   -­‐    July  12  –  July  20     West  Bengal   -­‐    July  20  –  July  29   Tamil  Nadu   -­‐    July  30  –  August  8   Gujarat      August  8   Return  to  Delhi        

 

1.2. Field  &  Institutional  Assessment  Schedule    

Date   Activity   Responsibility   Deliverables  Thursday  June  21:  ANDRAH  PRADESH  

Arrival  in  Hyderabad    Institutional  meetings:    § Meeting  with  program  coordinator  at  Hyderabad  Agricultural  University    

§ Other  university  staff  involved    

§ Head  of  university  

Field  team   § Selection  of  target  AAUs  and  villages  

§ Assignment  of  graduate  student  and  field  staff  to  facilitate  field  visits  

§ Arrangement  of  meetings  with  all  relevant  stakeholders  

Friday  22  June   ICRISAT   Field  team   ICRISAT  HQ  visit  Cash  advance  and  wire  to  field  coordinator  account  

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Saturday  June  23   Institutional  meetings  cont’d:    § Training  of  graduate  student  and  local  staff    

§ Field  work  logistical  preparation  

Field  team   Appropriation  of  field  methods  

Sunday  June  24   Village  1   -­‐    Monday  June  25   Village  2   -­‐    Tuesday  June  26   Village  3   -­‐    Wednesday  June  27   Meeting  back  with  

Hyderabad  Agricultural  University:  follow-­‐up  visit    

-­‐   Report  back  to  Agricultural  University  on  field  activities  

Thursday  June  28:  HIMACHAL  PRADESH  

Departure  for  Dharamsala,  Himanchal  Pradesh      Drive  to  Palampur,  Himachal  Pradesh  (1h)      Institutional  Meetings:    Meeting  with  nodal  coordinator  at  HP  Agricultural  Institute  

  § Selection  of  target  AAUs  and  villages  

§ Assignment  of  graduate  student  and  field  staff  to  facilitate  field  visits  

§ Arrangement  of  meetings  with  all  relevant  stakeholders  

Friday  June  29     Institutional  Meetings  cont’d:  § HP  Agricultural  university  staff  involved    

§ Training  of  graduate  student  and  local  staff  

 Drive  to  Kangra  

   

Saturday  June  30   Village  1      Sunday  July  1   Village  2      Monday  July  2   Drive  to  Kullu  (7  hours)  

§ Stop  at  Palampur:  Meeting  back  with  HP  Agricultural  Institute:  follow-­‐up  visit    

  Report  back  to  Agricultural  University  on  field  activities  

Tuesday  July  3   Village  3      Wednesday  July  4   Data  Synthesis  

 Matthias  arrives  in  Chandigarh  

  Synthesize  and  triangulate  all  data  for  State  

Thursday  July  5:    PUNJAB    

Drive  to  Chandigarh,  Punjab  (5  hours)    

§ Team  meeting  

   

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 Arame  Departs  

Friday  July  6    

Institutional  meetings:      § Meet  with  Met  Center  at  Chandigarh  

   Drive  to  Ludhiana  (2hr)    § Meeting  with  program  coordinator  at  Ludhiana  Agricultural  University  

§ Other  university  staff  involved  in  AAS  program    

  § Selection  of  target  AAUs  and  villages  

§ Assignment  of  graduate  student  and  field  staff  to  facilitate  field  visits  

§ Arrangement  of  meetings  with  other  relevant  stakeholders  

Saturday  July  7    

Institutional  Meetings  (cont’d):  § Training  of  graduate  student  and  local  staff  +  Matthias  

   

Sunday  July  8   Village  1      Monday  July  9   Village  2      Tuesday  July  10   Village  3      Wednesday  July  11      

Data  Synthesis  Day     Synthesize  and  triangulate  all  data  for  State  

Thursday  July  12    

Meeting  with  Ludhiana  Agricultural  University:  follow-­‐up  visit    Drive  back  to  Chandigarh  (2hour)  

   

Friday  July  13:  WEST  BENGAL  

Departure  for  Calcutta,  West  Bengal      Drive  to  Kalyani  (1  hour)    Institutional  meetings:    § Meeting  with  nodal  coordinator  at  West  Bengal  Agricultural  University    

  § Selection  of  target  AAUs  and  villages  

§ Assignment  of  graduate  student  and  field  staff  to  facilitate  field  visits  

§ Arrangement  of  meetings  with  other  relevant  stakeholders  

Saturday  July  14     Institutional  meetings  cont’d:  § Met  Center  visit  § Head  of  university  § Training  of  graduate  student  and  local  staff    

  Field  work  logistical  preparation  

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 Sunday  July  15   Village  1      Monday  July  16   Village  2      Tuesday  July  17   Village  3      Wednesday  July  18   Data  Synthesis  Day     Synthesize  and  

triangulate  all  data  for  State  

Thursday  July  19   Meeting  with  West  Bengal  Agricultural  University:  follow-­‐up  visit    Drive  back  to  Kolkata  (1h)  

   

Friday  July  20:  TAMIL  NADU  

Depart  for  Coimbatore,  TN    Institutional  meetings:    § Meeting  with  program  coordinator  at  Tamil  Nadu  Agricultural  University    

§ Other  university  staff  involved    

§ Head  of  university  

  § Selection  of  target  AAUs  and  villages  

§ Assignment  of  graduate  student  and  field  staff  to  facilitate  field  visits  

§ Arrangement  of  meetings  with  other  relevant  stakeholders  

Saturday  July  21     Institutional  meetings  cont’d:  

§ Training  of  graduate  student  and  local  staff  

   

Sunday  July  22   Village  1      Monday  July  23   Village  2      Tuesday  July  24   Travel  day      Wednesday  July  25   Village  3      Thursday  July  26   Data  Synthesis  Day     Synthesize  and  

triangulate  all  data  for  State  

Friday  July  27    

Meeting  back  with  TN  Agr.  University:  follow-­‐up  visit    Drive  to  Chennai  (4  hour)    Meeting  with  Met  Center  (afternoon)  

   

Saturday  July  28  -­‐  Sunday    July  29  

Off      

Monday  July  30:  GUJARAT  

Departure  for  Anand,  Gujarat  (Ahmadabad  airport)  

  § Selection  of  target  AAUs  and  villages  

§ Assignment  of  

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 Institutional  meetings:    § Meeting  with  program  coordinator  at  Anand  Agricultural  University  

graduate  student  and  field  staff  to  facilitate  field  visits  

§ Arrangement  of  meetings  with  other  relevant  stakeholders  

Tuesday  July  31   Institutional  meetings  cont’d:    § Other  university  staff  involved    

§ Head  of  university  § Training  of  graduate  student  and  local  staff  

-­‐    

Wednesday  August  1   Village  1       -­‐    Thursday  August  2   Village  2   -­‐    Friday  August  3   Travel  

Vivienne  &  Matthias  Depart      

Saturday  August  4   Village  3   -­‐    Sunday  August  5   Data  Synthesis  Day     Synthesize  and  

triangulate  all  data  for  State  

Monday  August  6   Meeting  back  with  Gujarat  Agricultural  University:  follow-­‐up  visit  

   

Tuesday  August  7   Contingency  Day      Wednesday  August  8   Return  to  Delhi   -­‐              

       

1.3. Fieldwork  Schedule  

AAS  STUDY  DAILY  FIELDWORK  PROTOCOL  &  TASKLIST:  CHECKLIST  

TOWARDS  INCREASED  EFFICIENCY  IN  DATA  COLLECTION,  SYSTEMATIZATION  AND  ANALYSIS  

VILLAGE  NAME  (DISTRICT/STATE):  …………………….………………………………  

 

 

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Timeline   Task   Lead   Check  

Upon  arrival  in  village  

Collect  data  to  fill  out  Observation  &  Qualitative  Data  Report,  based  on:  

-­‐ Interview  with  NGO/development  worker  in  community  (village  baseline  info)  

-­‐ Interview  with  group  of  Village  elders  (to  complete  Timeline  of  climate  risks)  

-­‐ Village  observation  of  Vulnerabilities  &  Capacities  

-­‐ Other  interviews  

Vivienne  /  Kalpana  

 

Morning:    

During  Focus  Groups  

Data  entry  (on  computer,  in  English)  at  the  same  time  as  data  collection  

All  field  team  members  

 

As  FGDs  proceed   Coordinate  video  footage:  

1. Capture  of  FGDs  process  2. Images  of  village  landscape,  

vulnerabilities  &  capacities  (+any  other    

3. Case  Interviews  of  targeted  farmers  (5  female  farmers,  5  male  farmers),  Ask  each  farmer:  

.  What  constraints/difficulties  do  you  face  in  practicing  Agriculture?  .  Why  do  you  stay  in  Agriculture  despite  all  these  problems?  .  Is  the  AAS  program/its  advisories  helping  in  any  way  to  face  these  constraints?  

Matthias    

(with  translator)  

 

Upon  leaving  village  

Keep  log  of  data  quality  limitations:  

-­‐ Across  FGDs  -­‐ Across  village  

Kalpana    

LUNCH  BREAK  

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After  lunch   Enter  Remaining  Data:  

Enter  data  from  4  male  interviews  &  4  female  interviews,  into  Interview  Data  Synthesis  Template.  

 

Conduct  Daily  Village  Synthesis:    

FILL  VILLAGE  SYNTHESIS  TABLE,  based  on  triangulated  information  from:  

-­‐ Observation  &  Qualitative  data  report  2  GFDs  

-­‐ 4  women  farmer  interviews  

-­‐ 4  male  farmer  interviews  

All  field  team  members  

 

Evening   Pull  out  graphs  from  available  daily  triangulated  data  

Matthias    

END  OF  FIELD  VISITS  

Data  Synthesis  Day   Triangulate  data  from  across  3  villages,  displaying:  

-­‐ Synthesis  for  women  -­‐ Synthesis  for  men  -­‐ Village  

All  field  team  members  

 

Data  Synthesis  Evening  

Put  together  PPT  presentation  of  AAS  Assessment  preliminary  results  for  State    

Vivienne    

-­‐   Draft  Preliminary  AAS  Study  Report  for  the  Stare  

Kalpana