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Mark LeBel Associate Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP) ® 50 State Street, Suite 3 Montpelier, Vermont 05602 USA 802-498-0732 [email protected] raponline.org July 15, 2020 Boston Bar Virtual Energy Law Conference Incentives and Utility Business Model Reform

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Page 1: Incentives and Utility Business Model Reform · Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® •Understand what the incentives are and how they affect behavior •Traditional cost-of-service

Mark LeBelAssociateRegulatory Assistance Project (RAP)®

50 State Street, Suite 3Montpelier, Vermont 05602USA

[email protected]

July 15, 2020

Boston Bar Virtual Energy Law Conference

Incentives and Utility Business Model Reform

Page 2: Incentives and Utility Business Model Reform · Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® •Understand what the incentives are and how they affect behavior •Traditional cost-of-service

Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)®

• Understand what the incentives are and how they affect behavior

• Traditional cost-of-service regulation often considered the baseline

• Range of alternatives and additions around for decades; new options being explored around U.S.

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All regulation is incentive regulation

Page 3: Incentives and Utility Business Model Reform · Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® •Understand what the incentives are and how they affect behavior •Traditional cost-of-service

Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)®

• Throughput incentive• Traditional regulation sets prices, not revenues• More kilowatt-hours sold = more $ utility makes

• Capital investment bias• Utility profits based on capital investments in rate base

• Asymmetric information• Utilities have more information than the regulators or other

stakeholders

3

Issues with “traditional” regulation

Page 4: Incentives and Utility Business Model Reform · Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® •Understand what the incentives are and how they affect behavior •Traditional cost-of-service

Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)®

• Restructuring and competition move away from traditional cost of service model

• Decoupling and “revenue regulation” can break link between sales and profits

• Multi-year rate plans and integrated planning can mitigate bias toward capital projects

• Financial incentives for service quality and energy efficiency programs exist in many places

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Menu of solutions

Page 5: Incentives and Utility Business Model Reform · Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® •Understand what the incentives are and how they affect behavior •Traditional cost-of-service

Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)®

• Financial incentives and metrics linked to outcomes

• Multi-year determination/formula for allowed revenue

• Decoupling • Earnings sharing mechanisms

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What is performance-based regulation?

Not all of these will be present in every PBR established

Page 6: Incentives and Utility Business Model Reform · Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® •Understand what the incentives are and how they affect behavior •Traditional cost-of-service

Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)®

• The incentives to control costs can be independent from level of revenue

• Multi-year rate plans that increase over time are not unusual

• Negative productivity factors in a revenue formula appear to be unusual

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Multi-year rate plans

Page 7: Incentives and Utility Business Model Reform · Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® •Understand what the incentives are and how they affect behavior •Traditional cost-of-service

Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)®

• Theoretical issues• Why would you see a negative productivity

factor?• Analytical issues

• What is the right analysis?• Application issues

• How should the analysis be used?

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Productivity factors

Page 8: Incentives and Utility Business Model Reform · Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® •Understand what the incentives are and how they affect behavior •Traditional cost-of-service

Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)®

Pacific Northwest Bell

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• Customer service cut• Charged for customer service

phone access• Incentive to keep customers

on hold

Carte blanche for cost cutting

Photo by Quino Al on Unsplash

Page 9: Incentives and Utility Business Model Reform · Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® •Understand what the incentives are and how they affect behavior •Traditional cost-of-service

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Page 10: Incentives and Utility Business Model Reform · Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® •Understand what the incentives are and how they affect behavior •Traditional cost-of-service

Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)®

• Set baseline performance level• Determine incentive type

• Penalty only• Rewards only• Penalties and rewards

• Establish formula for penalties/rewards

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Going from metrics to incentives

Page 11: Incentives and Utility Business Model Reform · Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® •Understand what the incentives are and how they affect behavior •Traditional cost-of-service

Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)®

• Service quality standards and penalties• Reliability and customer service

• Grid modernization metrics• Framework established in 2014 order• Statewide performance metrics approved July

2019• PBR metrics

• New proceeding for Eversource compliance filing began in June 2018

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Current status in Massachusetts

Page 12: Incentives and Utility Business Model Reform · Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® •Understand what the incentives are and how they affect behavior •Traditional cost-of-service

Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)®

• Modest reforms to date• Multi-year rate plans and decoupling• Requirements for non-wires alternative solicitations• Earnings adjustment mechanisms• Platform service revenues

• Earlier orders included longer term vision for broader reform, including Distribution System Platform Provider

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Reforming the Energy Vision in NY

Page 13: Incentives and Utility Business Model Reform · Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® •Understand what the incentives are and how they affect behavior •Traditional cost-of-service

Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)®

• Modestly sized reward-only outcome-based performance incentives

• ConEd January 2020 settlement approved EAMs for:• Deeper EE lifetime savings• Beneficial electrification GHG reductions• DER utilization• Electric system peak reductions• Load factor in constrained areas of network

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NY Earnings Adjustment Mechanisms

Page 14: Incentives and Utility Business Model Reform · Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® •Understand what the incentives are and how they affect behavior •Traditional cost-of-service

Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® 14

Vision for revenue within NY REV

Source: Mitchell, C. (2016). US Regulatory Reform: NY utility transformation.US Regulatory Reform Series.

Page 15: Incentives and Utility Business Model Reform · Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® •Understand what the incentives are and how they affect behavior •Traditional cost-of-service

Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)®

• PBR is a package of reforms that differs from place to place

• Broader context is effort to remedy deficiencies in traditional cost of service regulation for utilities

• Massachusetts has implemented multi-year rate plans and service quality standards• Slow progress on other metrics

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Takeaways

Page 16: Incentives and Utility Business Model Reform · Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® •Understand what the incentives are and how they affect behavior •Traditional cost-of-service

Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)®

äElectricity Regulation in the US: A Guide—Second Edition

äNext-Generation Performance-Based Regulation: Volume 1 (Introduction—Global Lessons for Success)

äNext-Generation Performance-Based Regulation: Volume 2 (Primer—Essential Elements of Design and Implementation)

äNext-Generation Performance-Based Regulation: Volume 3 (Innovative Examples from Around the World)

äraponline.org

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Resources

Page 17: Incentives and Utility Business Model Reform · Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® •Understand what the incentives are and how they affect behavior •Traditional cost-of-service

Mark LeBelAssociateRegulatory Assistance Project (RAP)®

[email protected]

50 State Street, Suite 3Montpelier, Vermont 05602USA

About RAPThe Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® is an independent, non-governmental organization dedicated to accelerating the transition to a clean, reliable, and efficient energy future.

Learn more about our work at raponline.org