in power plants opportunities for
TRANSCRIPT
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Powergen Asia 2002Powergen Asia 2002 11
IMTE AG IMTE AG SSWITZERLANDWITZERLAND
&&CCONNECONNEC--T ST SDNDN BBHDHD
MMALAYSIAALAYSIA
SOUTHEAST ASIA REGIONSOUTHEAST ASIA REGIONININ
POWER PLANTSPOWER PLANTSOPPORTUNITIES OPPORTUNITIES FORFOR BIOMASSBIOMASS
PPOWERGENOWERGEN AASIASIA 200220022. 2. -- 4. O4. OCTOBERCTOBER 20022002
SSINGAPOREINGAPORE
Miro R. SustaMiro R. SustaMiro R. Susta Tan Cheng HuatTan Cheng HuatTan Cheng Huat
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Palm Oil ProductionPalm Oil Production
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Palm Oil ProductionPalm Oil Production
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Palm Oil ProductionPalm Oil Production
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Palm Oil ProductionPalm Oil Production
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Palm Oil ProductionPalm Oil Production
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-15.42-17.60MJ/kgLow calorific value
18.3816.6820.7718.90MJ/kgGross calorific value
-9.1-9.0%Moisture
3.273.00.750.7%Ash
13.3312.121.219.3%Fixed carbon
83.475.878.0571%Volatile matter
Dry-FiberFiberDry-Shell ShellUnit
6.035.52----60
8.167.54----50
--9.18.37--40
--11.3510.78--30
--18.8417.2520
18.8417.5820.7219.6820.9320.7210
OilyPureOilyPureOilyPure( % )
Bunch stalkFiberShellMoisture
Industrial Analysis of Mill Oil Palm Waste
Moisture Content (%) and Low Calorific Value of Mill Oil Palm Waste (MJ/kg)
Oil Palm Biomass Waste Specifications
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Problem??Problem??
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Problem??Problem??
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Problem??Problem??
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Problem??Problem??
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CO ECO EMISSIONS PER MISSIONS PER CCAPITA IN APITA IN SSELECTED ELECTED CCOUNTRIESOUNTRIES
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000Year
Ton
s / C
apita
/ Ye
ar
Thailand Vietnam Malaysia Philippines Indonesia
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Solution?Solution?
Yes!Yes!Please follow Please follow carefully this carefully this presentation.presentation.
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EENERGY NERGY PPOTENTIAL OF OTENTIAL OF BBIOMASS IOMASS WWASTE ASTE FFUELSUELSININ SSOUTHEASTOUTHEAST AASIASIA
0
10
20
30
40
50
%
% 22 24 27 42 45
Thailand Indonesia Malaysia Philippines Vietnam
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BBIOMASS IOMASS EENERGY NERGY CCONSUMPTION IN SELECTED ONSUMPTION IN SELECTED
CCOUNTRIESOUNTRIES
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
Mio
GJ
Mio GJ 117 315 478 605 1758 2623 3671 5196 11092
Malaysia Viet nam Phi l ippines Thai land Indonesia China IndiaRest of
AsiaAsia Tot al
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PPRICERICE CCOMPARISONOMPARISON
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
%
% 100 130 170 330 500 650
Coal CCGT Biomass Nuclear Wind Solar
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MalaysiaMalaysia
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OIL PALM WASTE ENERGY POTENTIAL IN MALAYSIA
Processing of 42 Mio Tons
Fresh Fruit Bunches leave behind approximately
16 Mio Tons of Biomass Waste each Year
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OIL PALM WASTE ENERGY POTENTIAL IN MALAYSIA
Processing of 42 Mio Tons
Fresh Fruit Bunches leave behind approximately
16 Mio Tons of Biomass Waste each Year
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Powergen Asia 2002Powergen Asia 2002 2020
OIL PALM WASTE ENERGY POTENTIAL IN MALAYSIA
Processing of 42 Mio Tons
Fresh Fruit Bunches leave behind approximately
16 Mio Tons of Biomass Waste each Year
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OIL PALM WASTE ENERGY POTENTIAL IN MALAYSIA
Processing of 42 Mio Tons
Fresh Fruit Bunches leave behind approximately
16 Mio Tons of Biomass Waste each Year
Possible Diesel Oil Saving :
3 Mio Tonsequivalent to
23 Mio barrelsper Year
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TTYPICALYPICAL PPROJECTROJECT TTIMEIME SSCHEDULECHEDULE
3.53.53.53.500Basic engineering & main equipment selectionBasic engineering & main equipment selection
DurationDuration
(Months)(Months)
Lead Time Lead Time EndingEnding(Month)(Month)
Lead Time Lead Time StartingStarting(Month)(Month)
ActivityActivity
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Powergen Asia 2002Powergen Asia 2002 2323
TTYPICALYPICAL PPROJECTROJECT TTIMEIME SSCHEDULECHEDULE
556622Detail engineering Detail engineering
3.53.53.53.500Basic engineering & main equipment selectionBasic engineering & main equipment selection
DurationDuration
(Months)(Months)
Lead Time Lead Time EndingEnding(Month)(Month)
Lead Time Lead Time StartingStarting(Month)(Month)
ActivityActivity
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TTYPICALYPICAL PPROJECTROJECT TTIMEIME SSCHEDULECHEDULE
1414151522Main equipment manufacturing & delivery to siteMain equipment manufacturing & delivery to site
556622Detail engineering Detail engineering
3.53.53.53.500Basic engineering & main equipment selectionBasic engineering & main equipment selection
DurationDuration
(Months)(Months)
Lead Time Lead Time EndingEnding(Month)(Month)
Lead Time Lead Time StartingStarting(Month)(Month)
ActivityActivity
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TTYPICALYPICAL PPROJECTROJECT TTIMEIME SSCHEDULECHEDULE
1010121233BOP equipment manufacturing & delivery to siteBOP equipment manufacturing & delivery to site
1414151522Main equipment manufacturing & delivery to siteMain equipment manufacturing & delivery to site
556622Detail engineering Detail engineering
3.53.53.53.500Basic engineering & main equipment selectionBasic engineering & main equipment selection
DurationDuration
(Months)(Months)
Lead Time Lead Time EndingEnding(Month)(Month)
Lead Time Lead Time StartingStarting(Month)(Month)
ActivityActivity
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TTYPICALYPICAL PPROJECTROJECT TTIMEIME SSCHEDULECHEDULE
1010151566Site construction & erection worksSite construction & erection works
1010121233BOP equipment manufacturing & delivery to siteBOP equipment manufacturing & delivery to site
1414151522Main equipment manufacturing & delivery to siteMain equipment manufacturing & delivery to site
556622Detail engineering Detail engineering
3.53.53.53.500Basic engineering & main equipment selectionBasic engineering & main equipment selection
DurationDuration
(Months)(Months)
Lead Time Lead Time EndingEnding(Month)(Month)
Lead Time Lead Time StartingStarting(Month)(Month)
ActivityActivity
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TTYPICALYPICAL PPROJECTROJECT TTIMEIME SSCHEDULECHEDULE
1115151515Interconnection to TNB distribution networkInterconnection to TNB distribution network
1010151566Site construction & erection worksSite construction & erection works
1010121233BOP equipment manufacturing & delivery to siteBOP equipment manufacturing & delivery to site
1414151522Main equipment manufacturing & delivery to siteMain equipment manufacturing & delivery to site
556622Detail engineering Detail engineering
3.53.53.53.500Basic engineering & main equipment selectionBasic engineering & main equipment selection
DurationDuration
(Months)(Months)
Lead Time Lead Time EndingEnding(Month)(Month)
Lead Time Lead Time StartingStarting(Month)(Month)
ActivityActivity
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TTYPICALYPICAL PPROJECTROJECT TTIMEIME SSCHEDULECHEDULE
5518181414Commissioning & testingCommissioning & testing
1115151515Interconnection to TNB distribution networkInterconnection to TNB distribution network
1010151566Site construction & erection worksSite construction & erection works
1010121233BOP equipment manufacturing & delivery to siteBOP equipment manufacturing & delivery to site
1414151522Main equipment manufacturing & delivery to siteMain equipment manufacturing & delivery to site
556622Detail engineering Detail engineering
3.53.53.53.500Basic engineering & main equipment selectionBasic engineering & main equipment selection
DurationDuration
(Months)(Months)
Lead Time Lead Time EndingEnding(Month)(Month)
Lead Time Lead Time StartingStarting(Month)(Month)
ActivityActivity
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Estimated Quantity of Biomass Waste necessary for 10 MW Power Plant.
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Estimated Quantity of Biomass Waste necessary for 10 MW Power Plant.
Fresh Fruit Bunches (FFB) contain approximately 21 % palm oil, 6-7 % palm kernel. The resulting waste together with fiber and shells amounts to 42 % ofthe FFB.
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Estimated Quantity of Biomass Waste necessary for 10 MW Power Plant.
Fresh Fruit Bunches (FFB) contain approximately 21 % palm oil, 6-7 % palm kernel. The resulting waste together with fiber and shells amounts to 42 % ofthe FFB. For low-pressure systems an energy conversion rate of 2.5 kg of palm oilwaste material per kWh is assumed. 2.5 kg/kWh means 25 tons/hr for 10 MW power plant.
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Estimated Quantity of Biomass Waste necessary for 10 MW Power Plant.
Fresh Fruit Bunches (FFB) contain approximately 21 % palm oil, 6-7 % palmkernel. The resulting waste together with fiber and shells amounts to 42 % ofthe FFB. For low-pressure systems an energy conversion rate of 2.5 kg of palm oilwaste material per kWh is assumed. 2.5 kg/kWh means 25 tons/hr for 10 MWpower plant.
Supporting Figures Power Plant Gross Output P = 10 MW Power Plant Gross Efficiency η = 25% Power Plant Energy Input QIN = 40 MW Fuel Low Heating Value Hu = 10’018 MJ/ton Theoretical Fuel Consumption Fth = 40/10’180 *3600= 14.14 tons/hr Safety Margin for Drying SM = 35% Expected Fuel Consumption FC = 14.14/0.65=21.75 tons/hr Palm Oil Waste (POW) from FFB POW = 30% POW from 40 tons/hr PO Mill POW1= 40*0.30=12.0 tons/hr Mill Operating Hours/Day OHM = 16 Daily POW Production DPOW = 16*12.0=192 tons/day Real Plant Consumption FCR = 0.8*25*24=480 tons/day Number of 40 ton/hr Mills/Plant NMills = 480/92=2.5
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MMODULARODULAR DDESIGNESIGN CCONCEPTONCEPT
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Powergen Asia 2002Powergen Asia 2002 3434
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AssumptionsAssumptions
Total Investment CostsTotal Investment Costs 12.5 Mio US$12.5 Mio US$
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AssumptionsAssumptions
Total Investment CostsTotal Investment Costs 12.5 Mio US$12.5 Mio US$Net CapacityNet Capacity 10 MW10 MWCapacity FactorCapacity Factor 80 %80 %Power Plant AvailabilityPower Plant Availability 87.587.5
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AssumptionsAssumptions
Total Investment CostsTotal Investment Costs 12.5 Mio US$12.5 Mio US$Net CapacityNet Capacity 10 MW10 MWCapacity FactorCapacity Factor 80 %80 %Power Plant AvailabilityPower Plant Availability 87.587.5PPA PeriodPPA Period 21 years21 yearsPPA TariffPPA Tariff 0.0442 US$/kWh0.0442 US$/kWh
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AssumptionsAssumptions
Total Investment CostsTotal Investment Costs 12.5 Mio US$12.5 Mio US$Net CapacityNet Capacity 10 MW10 MWCapacity FactorCapacity Factor 80 %80 %Power Plant AvailabilityPower Plant Availability 87.587.5PPA PeriodPPA Period 21 years21 yearsPPA TariffPPA Tariff 0.0442 US$/kWh0.0442 US$/kWhDebt Repayment PeriodDebt Repayment Period 12 years12 yearsDeveloper’s EquityDeveloper’s Equity 25 %25 %Interest RateInterest Rate 6.5 %6.5 %
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AssumptionsAssumptions
Total Investment CostsTotal Investment Costs 12.5 Mio US$12.5 Mio US$Net CapacityNet Capacity 10 MW10 MWCapacity FactorCapacity Factor 80 %80 %Power Plant AvailabilityPower Plant Availability 87.587.5PPA PeriodPPA Period 21 years21 yearsPPA TariffPPA Tariff 0.0442 US$/kWh0.0442 US$/kWhDebt Repayment PeriodDebt Repayment Period 12 years12 yearsDeveloper’s EquityDeveloper’s Equity 25 %25 %Interest RateInterest Rate 6.5 %6.5 %Construction PeriodConstruction Period 18 Months18 MonthsFuel PriceFuel Price 0.19 US$/GJ0.19 US$/GJ
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Project Net Present ValueProject Net Present ValueNet Present Value / IRR
-20.0-10.0
0.010.020.030.040.050.060.070.080.090.0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16Discount Rate (%)
Mio
RM
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Project Net Present ValueProject Net Present ValueNet Present Value / IRR
-20.0-10.0
0.010.020.030.040.050.060.070.080.090.0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16Discount Rate (%)
Mio
RM
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Project Net Present ValueProject Net Present ValueNet Present Value
-5.0
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16Discount Rate / IRR (%)
NPV
Mio
US$
IRR=13.5%
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MMAJORAJOR PPROJECTROJECT RRISKISK AASPECTSSPECTS
COMPLETION TIMECOMPLETION TIME DDelays in construction will result in delays in operations.elays in construction will result in delays in operations.CONSTRUCTION COSTCONSTRUCTION COST Construction cost will exceed the projections.Construction cost will exceed the projections.PERMITING & APPROVALSPERMITING & APPROVALS Delay in issuance of certain permits and approvals.Delay in issuance of certain permits and approvals.PROJECT PERFORMANCEPROJECT PERFORMANCE The completed power plant will not perform as guaranteed.The completed power plant will not perform as guaranteed.TECHNOLOGYTECHNOLOGY Applied technology will fail causing additional replacement costApplied technology will fail causing additional replacement costs. s. MARKET DEMAND & PRICEMARKET DEMAND & PRICE Increased competition in the power industry reduces power Increased competition in the power industry reduces power
demand.demand.ENERGY DISPATCHENERGY DISPATCH Power plant dispatch at a low level.Power plant dispatch at a low level.OPERATION & MAINTENANCEOPERATION & MAINTENANCE O & M costs will exceed projections.O & M costs will exceed projections.BIOMASS FUEL SUPPLYBIOMASS FUEL SUPPLY Unreliable fuel supply.Unreliable fuel supply.BIOMASS FUEL PRICEBIOMASS FUEL PRICE Increases in the price of oil palm biomass waste.Increases in the price of oil palm biomass waste.EQUIPMENT BREAKDOWNEQUIPMENT BREAKDOWN Unexpected failure of certain equipment.Unexpected failure of certain equipment.ENVIRONMENTALENVIRONMENTAL Adoption of new laws or regulations, or changes in the interAdoption of new laws or regulations, or changes in the inter--
pretationpretation or application of existing laws or regulations.or application of existing laws or regulations.INFLATIONINFLATION Revenues may not be sufficiently adjusted to compensate for Revenues may not be sufficiently adjusted to compensate for
inflation in operating costs.inflation in operating costs.EXCHANGE RATESEXCHANGE RATES Project capital and operating costs may be in foreign currenciesProject capital and operating costs may be in foreign currencies, ,
the financing and revenues for the Project are in local currencythe financing and revenues for the Project are in local currencyFORCE MAJEUREFORCE MAJEURE The Investor may be subject to certain additional costs.The Investor may be subject to certain additional costs.
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SSUMMARYUMMARY && CCONCLUSIONS ONCLUSIONS –– AABBIOMASSIOMASS UUTILIZATIONTILIZATION AASPECTSSPECTS
Biomass includes all kind of wet and dry agricultural byBiomass includes all kind of wet and dry agricultural by--products, products, forestry wood waste products and also including residues;forestry wood waste products and also including residues;Biomass has the potential to Biomass has the potential to sustainablysustainably provide a major proportion of provide a major proportion of the primary global energy supply;the primary global energy supply;Biomass is a renewable source of energy; its use does not contBiomass is a renewable source of energy; its use does not contribute ribute to global warming;to global warming;Biomass fuels have negligible Biomass fuels have negligible sulphursulphur content and therefore do not content and therefore do not contribute to sulphur dioxide emissions, which cause acid rain;contribute to sulphur dioxide emissions, which cause acid rain;The combustion of biomass generally produces less ash thaThe combustion of biomass generally produces less ash than coal n coal combustion, and the ash produced can be used as a soil additive;combustion, and the ash produced can be used as a soil additive;Biomass is a domestic resource, which is not subject to worBiomass is a domestic resource, which is not subject to world price ld price fluctuations or the supply uncertainties of imported fuels;fluctuations or the supply uncertainties of imported fuels;An exciting alternative economic model promises a better lifAn exciting alternative economic model promises a better life everye every--where without destroying the earth's natural support systems;where without destroying the earth's natural support systems;The new economy will be not powered by fossil fuels, but by The new economy will be not powered by fossil fuels, but by various various sources of wind energy, solar energy (where also biomasssources of wind energy, solar energy (where also biomass energy energy belongs to) and hydrogen;belongs to) and hydrogen;
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SSUMMARYUMMARY && CCONCLUSIONS ONCLUSIONS –– BBBBIOMASSIOMASS PPOWEROWER PPLANTLANT DDESIGNER’SESIGNER’S AASPECTSSPECTS..
Work closely with a few number of larger biomass suppliers Work closely with a few number of larger biomass suppliers rather than a large number of small suppliers;rather than a large number of small suppliers;Be aware that biomass waste do not "travel well,“ and Be aware that biomass waste do not "travel well,“ and require special fuel handling systems;require special fuel handling systems;Know that when purchasing biomass, the moisture content Know that when purchasing biomass, the moisture content and the calorific value must be accounted for;and the calorific value must be accounted for;Be careful in accepting resource assessment studies, which Be careful in accepting resource assessment studies, which promise huge supplies of biomass. There is a big difference promise huge supplies of biomass. There is a big difference between promised gross volumes and what is economically between promised gross volumes and what is economically viable to recover and use;viable to recover and use;Locate the new biomass waste fired power plant as much Locate the new biomass waste fired power plant as much as possible near by the biomass waste source and close to as possible near by the biomass waste source and close to the power distribution network.the power distribution network.
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SSUMMARYUMMARY && CCONCLUSIONS ONCLUSIONS –– CCEEXPECTATIONSXPECTATIONS FROMFROM GGOVERNMENTALOVERNMENTAL AAUTHORITIESUTHORITIES
Grant full support to new biomass based power generation Grant full support to new biomass based power generation projects; projects; A forwardA forward--looking and committed national power distribution looking and committed national power distribution companies management;companies management;Ensure guaranteed access for electricity generated in biomass Ensure guaranteed access for electricity generated in biomass fueled power plant to the national power distribution network;fueled power plant to the national power distribution network;To streamline and simplify administrative procedures for thTo streamline and simplify administrative procedures for the e installation of biomass fueled power plants;installation of biomass fueled power plants;Ensure that the calculation of tariffs for connecting biomEnsure that the calculation of tariffs for connecting biomass ass waste fueled power plants to the national grid are fair and nonwaste fueled power plants to the national grid are fair and non--discriminatory;discriminatory;Introduce a bonus system for surplus production;Introduce a bonus system for surplus production;Provide clear and concise information to the general public and Provide clear and concise information to the general public and producers about the environmental and economic costs and producers about the environmental and economic costs and benefits of new biomass based power generation technology.benefits of new biomass based power generation technology.
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Powergen Asia 2002Powergen Asia 2002 4747