imta 2011 technical aptitude pres ii

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Predicting Technical Aptitude: Relations between Predictor Variables, Technical Aptitude and Technical Training Performance (O.N.R. Contracts Nr. N00014-10-M-0087 & N00014-10-C-0505) Ryan Glaze & Martin J. Ippel CogniMetrics, Inc., San Antonio, TX 1 Paper presented at the 53 rd Annual Conference of the International Military Testing Association, Bali (Indonesia). October 31 November 4, 2011

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Page 1: IMTA 2011 Technical Aptitude Pres II

Predicting Technical Aptitude: Relations between Predictor Variables,

Technical Aptitude and Technical Training Performance

(O.N.R. Contracts Nr. N00014-10-M-0087 & N00014-10-C-0505)

Ryan Glaze & Martin J. Ippel

CogniMetrics, Inc., San Antonio, TX

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Paper presented at the 53rd Annual Conference of the International Military Testing Association, Bali (Indonesia).

October 31 – November 4, 2011

Page 2: IMTA 2011 Technical Aptitude Pres II

Preview

Analysis I

Overview of ASVAB and Technical Knowledge Tests

Introduction to Technical Aptitude

Proposed Model

Methods, Results, and Discussion

Analysis II

Incremental Validity Analysis Predicting Technical Aptitude with ASVAB Selection Composites and the ITAB

Methods, Results, and Discussion

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Page 3: IMTA 2011 Technical Aptitude Pres II

ASVAB

US Armed Forces must select, classify, and train personnel to work in highly technical work environment

ASVAB and Technical Knowledge Subtests used for technical Navy Ratings

General Science (GS)

Mechanical Comprehension (MC)

Auto Shop (AS)

Electrical Information (EI)

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Page 4: IMTA 2011 Technical Aptitude Pres II

Technical Knowledge Subtests

Technical Knowledge Subtests have several limitations:

Represent arbitrary and limited sample of domain

Measures Technical Knowledge but not Technical Skills

Provide modest predictive validity

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Page 5: IMTA 2011 Technical Aptitude Pres II

Technical Aptitude

Technical Aptitude (Ippel & Glaze, 2011)

Technical Knowledge Aptitude (TKA) Aptitude to learn technical knowledge (concepts)

Derived from performance on eight common knowledge tests

Technical Skill Aptitude (TSA) Aptitude to learn technical skills

Derived from performance on seven common skill tests

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Page 6: IMTA 2011 Technical Aptitude Pres II

Technical Aptitude

Technical Aptitude (TA)

Represents a construct with a short logical distance to criterion performance in Apprentice Technical Training (ATT) performance

Will be used to assess construct validity of TK subtests

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Page 7: IMTA 2011 Technical Aptitude Pres II

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GS

Post-Test

Analysis I

Page 8: IMTA 2011 Technical Aptitude Pres II

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Post-Test

GS

Technical Aptitude

Page 9: IMTA 2011 Technical Aptitude Pres II

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Technical Aptitude

AFQT

GS

Post-Test

Page 10: IMTA 2011 Technical Aptitude Pres II

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Technical Aptitude

AFQT

GS MC AS EI

Post-Test

Page 11: IMTA 2011 Technical Aptitude Pres II

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Technical Aptitude

AFQT

GS MC AS EI

Post-Test

Page 12: IMTA 2011 Technical Aptitude Pres II

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Technical Aptitude

AFQT

GS MC AS EI

Post-Test

Page 13: IMTA 2011 Technical Aptitude Pres II

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Technical Aptitude

AFQT

GS MC AS EI

Post-Test

Page 14: IMTA 2011 Technical Aptitude Pres II

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Technical Aptitude

AFQT

GS MC AS EI

Post-Test

Page 15: IMTA 2011 Technical Aptitude Pres II

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Technical Aptitude

AFQT

GS MC AS EI

Post-Test

Page 16: IMTA 2011 Technical Aptitude Pres II

Method

410 Navy Recruits participating in A.T.T. program

ASVAB

TK Subtests: GS, MC, AS, EI

AFQT Considered a measure of crystallized intelligence

A.T.T. post-training test scores

Eight common knowledge tests

Seven common skill tests

Dichotomously scored (Pass/Fail with 70 point cut score)

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Page 17: IMTA 2011 Technical Aptitude Pres II

Method

Technical Knowledge Aptitude

IRT-based ability estimate derived from common eight knowledge tests

Technical Skill Aptitude

IRT-based ability estimate derived from common seven skill tests

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Page 18: IMTA 2011 Technical Aptitude Pres II

Results: First Knowledge Test

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RMSEA = 0.000 PClose = 0.886 WRMR = 0.040

Technical Aptitude

AFQT

GS MC AS EI

Post-Test

Page 19: IMTA 2011 Technical Aptitude Pres II

Technical Aptitude

AFQT

GS MC AS EI

Post-Test

Results: First Knowledge Test

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.508*

.316* .189*

.226*

.084

.352*

Page 20: IMTA 2011 Technical Aptitude Pres II

Results: First Knowledge Test

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Technical Aptitude

AFQT

GS MC AS EI

Post-Test

.137 .130

.175 .530*

Page 21: IMTA 2011 Technical Aptitude Pres II

Results: First Knowledge Test

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Technical Aptitude

AFQT

GS MC AS EI

Post-Test

.217* .017 -.119 -.021

Page 22: IMTA 2011 Technical Aptitude Pres II

Results: All Knowledge Tests

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MeanRMSEA = 0.000 MeanPClose = 0.868 MeanWRMR = 0.039

Technical Aptitude

AFQT

GS MC AS EI

Post-Test

Page 23: IMTA 2011 Technical Aptitude Pres II

Results: All Knowledge Tests

The paths between Technical Knowledge Aptitude, Technical Knowledge Subtests, AFQT were nearly identical for all knowledge tests

Focus will be on:

AFQT → Post-test

TA → Post-test

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Page 24: IMTA 2011 Technical Aptitude Pres II

Results: All Knowledge Tests

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Technical Aptitude

AFQT

GS MC AS EI

Post-Test

.530* .084

Page 25: IMTA 2011 Technical Aptitude Pres II

Results: All Knowledge Tests

AFQT was related to all Technical Knowledge Tests, but not post-training test scores

Technical Knowledge Aptitude was related to post-training test scores, but not Technical Knowledge test scores

Indirect effects of Technical Knowledge Aptitude on post-training test scores via TK subtests were not significant

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Page 26: IMTA 2011 Technical Aptitude Pres II

Results: First Skill Test

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RMSEA = 0.024 PClose = 0.477 WRMR = 0.187

Technical Aptitude

AFQT

GS MC AS EI

Post-Test

Page 27: IMTA 2011 Technical Aptitude Pres II

Results: First Skill Test

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Technical Aptitude

AFQT

GS MC AS EI

Post-Test

.066

.373* .536* .179* .267*

Page 28: IMTA 2011 Technical Aptitude Pres II

Results: First Skill Test

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Technical Aptitude

AFQT

GS MC AS EI

Post-Test

.218*

.174* .032 .064

Page 29: IMTA 2011 Technical Aptitude Pres II

Results: First Skill Test

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Technical Aptitude

AFQT

GS MC AS EI

Post-Test

.076 .062 -.029 .062

Page 30: IMTA 2011 Technical Aptitude Pres II

Results: All Skill Tests

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MeanRMSEA = 0.024 MeanPClose = 0.477 MeanWRMR = 0.187

Technical Aptitude

AFQT

GS MC AS EI

Post-Test

Page 31: IMTA 2011 Technical Aptitude Pres II

Results: All Skill Tests

The paths between Technical Skill Aptitude, Technical Knowledge Subtests, AFQT were nearly identical for all skill tests

Focus will be on:

AFQT → Post-test

TA → Post-test

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Page 32: IMTA 2011 Technical Aptitude Pres II

Results: All Skill Tests

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Technical Aptitude

AFQT

GS MC AS EI

Post-Test

.218* .066

Page 33: IMTA 2011 Technical Aptitude Pres II

Results: All Skill Tests

AFQT was related to all Technical Knowledge Tests, but not post-training test scores

Technical Skill Aptitude was related to post-training test scores, but not Technical Knowledge test scores

Indirect effects of Technical Knowledge Aptitude on post-training test scores via TK subtests were not significant

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Page 34: IMTA 2011 Technical Aptitude Pres II

Results: Technical Aptitude

Technical Knowledge Aptitude was only slightly related to Technical Skill Aptitude (r = .136)

Technical Aptitude was related to post-training test scores, but not Technical Knowledge test

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Page 35: IMTA 2011 Technical Aptitude Pres II

Analysis II

Results of Analysis I suggest Technical Aptitude was related to post-training test scores, but Technical Knowledge was not

Analysis II seeks to identify predictors of Technical Aptitude

Current predictors of training performance consist of various ASVAB Selection Composites (ASC)

I.T. Aptitude Battery (ITAB) was designed to measure technical aptitude

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Page 36: IMTA 2011 Technical Aptitude Pres II

Method

Two selection composites that the Navy currently uses to assign recruits to ratings

ASC01 consists of WK, PC, AR, and MC

ASC02 consists of MK, AR, GS, and EI

ITAB consists of two fully interactive tests

Hidden Target Test

Battery Test

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Page 37: IMTA 2011 Technical Aptitude Pres II

Results

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Variable 1. 2. 3. 4.

1. ITAB

2. ASC01 .33

3. ASC02 .31 .78

4. TSA .17 .16 .34

5. TKA .30 .44 .69 0.14

All Correlations significant at p < .01.

Page 38: IMTA 2011 Technical Aptitude Pres II

Results

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Predictors Multiple R Incremental Validity

Selection

Composite Test ASC ITAB R2 F Sig ΔR2 %ΔR2 F sig

ASC01 TKA 0.383 0.174 0.22 57.66 p < .0001 0.027 13.99% 14.11 p < .001

ASC02 TKA 0.66 0.095 0.484 191.1 p < .0001 0.008 1.68% 6.504 p < .05

ASC01 TSA 0.117 0.132 0.041 8.703 p < .01 0.015 57.69% 6.574 p < .05

ASC02 TSA 0.318 0.071 0.12 27.81 p < .0001 0.005 4.35% 2.146 p > .05

Page 39: IMTA 2011 Technical Aptitude Pres II

Results

Selection composites (ASC01 and ASC02) significantly predicted Technical Knowledge Aptitude and Technical Skill Aptitude

Technical Knowledge Aptitude

ITAB provided incremental validity over selection composites for Technical Knowledge Aptitude

Technical Skill Aptitude

ITAB provided incremental validity over ASC01, but not ASC02, for Technical Skill Aptitude

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Page 40: IMTA 2011 Technical Aptitude Pres II

Thank You

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