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Improving the Quality of Public Services: Evidence from Nigeria, Uganda, and Elsewhere Daniel Rogger Africa Growth Forum, 13/12/13 UCL/IFS Dan Rogger Africa Growth Forum, 13/12/13 1 / 15

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Page 1: Improving the Quality of Public Services: Evidence from ... · PDF fileImproving the Quality of Public Services: Evidence from Nigeria, Uganda, ... to project peculiarities. Performance

Improving the Quality of Public Services:Evidence from Nigeria, Uganda, and Elsewhere

Daniel Rogger

Africa Growth Forum, 13/12/13

UCL/IFS Dan Rogger Africa Growth Forum, 13/12/13 1 / 15

Page 2: Improving the Quality of Public Services: Evidence from ... · PDF fileImproving the Quality of Public Services: Evidence from Nigeria, Uganda, ... to project peculiarities. Performance

Delivering public services

Public services matter: 12% of Uganda’s economy and directimpacts on the private sector

Room for improvement in public sector outputs e.g. Chaudhury etal (2006) study public worker absence in Uganda:

I 27% of teachers absent from primary schools (19%)I 37% of medical workers absent from primary health centres (35%)

Motivation of civil servants is central to the provision of publicservices

UCL/IFS Dan Rogger Africa Growth Forum, 13/12/13 2 / 15

Page 3: Improving the Quality of Public Services: Evidence from ... · PDF fileImproving the Quality of Public Services: Evidence from Nigeria, Uganda, ... to project peculiarities. Performance

Research question

How do we motivate civil servants to increasepublic sector output?

Core civil servants: Policy makers, designers, managers

Frontline civil servants: Teachers, nurses, tax collectors

UCL/IFS Dan Rogger Africa Growth Forum, 13/12/13 3 / 15

Page 4: Improving the Quality of Public Services: Evidence from ... · PDF fileImproving the Quality of Public Services: Evidence from Nigeria, Uganda, ... to project peculiarities. Performance

Research question

How do we motivate civil servants to increasepublic sector output?

Core civil servants: Policy makers, designers, managers

Frontline civil servants: Teachers, nurses, tax collectors

UCL/IFS Dan Rogger Africa Growth Forum, 13/12/13 3 / 15

Page 5: Improving the Quality of Public Services: Evidence from ... · PDF fileImproving the Quality of Public Services: Evidence from Nigeria, Uganda, ... to project peculiarities. Performance

Using external incentives

Politicians provide ‘top-down’ incentivesI Ferraz and Finan (2011): Brazilian politicians faced by political

competition improve bureaucratic output

I Rogger (2013): Nigerian politicians facing political competitiondelegate to autonomous civil servants and provide informalincentives

Citizens provide ‘bottom-up’ incentivesI Reinikka and Svensson (2003): Ugandan schools receive an

average of 13% of capitation grants

I Reinikka and Svensson (2005): Ugandan newspaper campaignreduced capture of public funds

UCL/IFS Dan Rogger Africa Growth Forum, 13/12/13 4 / 15

Page 6: Improving the Quality of Public Services: Evidence from ... · PDF fileImproving the Quality of Public Services: Evidence from Nigeria, Uganda, ... to project peculiarities. Performance

Using internal incentives

Rasul and Rogger (2013): Focus on management ofcore civil servants

Autonomy:I Bureaucrats can input into policy formulation; and,I Flexibility with which bureaucrats can respond to project

peculiarities.

Performance management:I Collect performance indicators;I Review them at regular intervals; and,I Provide associated rewards.

UCL/IFS Dan Rogger Africa Growth Forum, 13/12/13 5 / 15

Page 7: Improving the Quality of Public Services: Evidence from ... · PDF fileImproving the Quality of Public Services: Evidence from Nigeria, Uganda, ... to project peculiarities. Performance

Using internal incentives

Rasul and Rogger (2013): Focus on management ofcore civil servants

Autonomy:I Bureaucrats can input into policy formulation; and,I Flexibility with which bureaucrats can respond to project

peculiarities.

Performance management:I Collect performance indicators;I Review them at regular intervals; and,I Provide associated rewards.

UCL/IFS Dan Rogger Africa Growth Forum, 13/12/13 5 / 15

Page 8: Improving the Quality of Public Services: Evidence from ... · PDF fileImproving the Quality of Public Services: Evidence from Nigeria, Uganda, ... to project peculiarities. Performance

Using internal incentives

Rasul and Rogger (2013): Focus on management ofcore civil servants

Autonomy:I Bureaucrats can input into policy formulation; and,I Flexibility with which bureaucrats can respond to project

peculiarities.

Performance management:I Collect performance indicators;I Review them at regular intervals; and,I Provide associated rewards.

UCL/IFS Dan Rogger Africa Growth Forum, 13/12/13 5 / 15

Page 9: Improving the Quality of Public Services: Evidence from ... · PDF fileImproving the Quality of Public Services: Evidence from Nigeria, Uganda, ... to project peculiarities. Performance

We collected credible measures of output

Independent evaluations of 4,700 public projects across 63organisations (2006/7 Nigerian federal budget)

‘OPEN evaluation process’ used independent engineers and civilsociety to documented project progress and quality

They provided reports in standardised logframes, photographs,and video with respect to agreed benchmarks

“The OPEN initiative was a means to understand where the leakswere in our systems of public service” Nigerian Government

UCL/IFS Dan Rogger Africa Growth Forum, 13/12/13 6 / 15

Page 10: Improving the Quality of Public Services: Evidence from ... · PDF fileImproving the Quality of Public Services: Evidence from Nigeria, Uganda, ... to project peculiarities. Performance

We collected credible measures of output

Independent evaluations of 4,700 public projects across 63organisations (2006/7 Nigerian federal budget)

‘OPEN evaluation process’ used independent engineers and civilsociety to documented project progress and quality

They provided reports in standardised logframes, photographs,and video with respect to agreed benchmarks

“The OPEN initiative was a means to understand where the leakswere in our systems of public service” Nigerian Government

UCL/IFS Dan Rogger Africa Growth Forum, 13/12/13 6 / 15

Page 11: Improving the Quality of Public Services: Evidence from ... · PDF fileImproving the Quality of Public Services: Evidence from Nigeria, Uganda, ... to project peculiarities. Performance

We collected credible measures of output

Independent evaluations of 4,700 public projects across 63organisations (2006/7 Nigerian federal budget)

‘OPEN evaluation process’ used independent engineers and civilsociety to documented project progress and quality

They provided reports in standardised logframes, photographs,and video with respect to agreed benchmarks

“The OPEN initiative was a means to understand where the leakswere in our systems of public service” Nigerian Government

UCL/IFS Dan Rogger Africa Growth Forum, 13/12/13 6 / 15

Page 12: Improving the Quality of Public Services: Evidence from ... · PDF fileImproving the Quality of Public Services: Evidence from Nigeria, Uganda, ... to project peculiarities. Performance

We collected credible measures of output

Independent evaluations of 4,700 public projects across 63organisations (2006/7 Nigerian federal budget)

‘OPEN evaluation process’ used independent engineers and civilsociety to documented project progress and quality

They provided reports in standardised logframes, photographs,and video with respect to agreed benchmarks

“The OPEN initiative was a means to understand where the leakswere in our systems of public service” Nigerian Government

UCL/IFS Dan Rogger Africa Growth Forum, 13/12/13 6 / 15

Page 13: Improving the Quality of Public Services: Evidence from ... · PDF fileImproving the Quality of Public Services: Evidence from Nigeria, Uganda, ... to project peculiarities. Performance

We collected detailed measures of management

Surveys of management staff at each of the 63 organisations

Translated existing management surveys to civil service setting(Bloom and Van Reenen, 2007)

Run in collaboration with the Presidency and the Head of CivilService of the Federation

I Questionnaire developed in collaboration with public officials

Interviews enumerated by Nigerian civil servantsI Directorate staff formed consensus for each question as well as

filled their own surveys

UCL/IFS Dan Rogger Africa Growth Forum, 13/12/13 7 / 15

Page 14: Improving the Quality of Public Services: Evidence from ... · PDF fileImproving the Quality of Public Services: Evidence from Nigeria, Uganda, ... to project peculiarities. Performance

We collected detailed measures of management

Surveys of management staff at each of the 63 organisations

Translated existing management surveys to civil service setting(Bloom and Van Reenen, 2007)

Run in collaboration with the Presidency and the Head of CivilService of the Federation

I Questionnaire developed in collaboration with public officials

Interviews enumerated by Nigerian civil servantsI Directorate staff formed consensus for each question as well as

filled their own surveys

UCL/IFS Dan Rogger Africa Growth Forum, 13/12/13 7 / 15

Page 15: Improving the Quality of Public Services: Evidence from ... · PDF fileImproving the Quality of Public Services: Evidence from Nigeria, Uganda, ... to project peculiarities. Performance

We collected detailed measures of management

Surveys of management staff at each of the 63 organisations

Translated existing management surveys to civil service setting(Bloom and Van Reenen, 2007)

Run in collaboration with the Presidency and the Head of CivilService of the Federation

I Questionnaire developed in collaboration with public officials

Interviews enumerated by Nigerian civil servantsI Directorate staff formed consensus for each question as well as

filled their own surveys

UCL/IFS Dan Rogger Africa Growth Forum, 13/12/13 7 / 15

Page 16: Improving the Quality of Public Services: Evidence from ... · PDF fileImproving the Quality of Public Services: Evidence from Nigeria, Uganda, ... to project peculiarities. Performance

We collected detailed measures of management

Surveys of management staff at each of the 63 organisations

Translated existing management surveys to civil service setting(Bloom and Van Reenen, 2007)

Run in collaboration with the Presidency and the Head of CivilService of the Federation

I Questionnaire developed in collaboration with public officials

Interviews enumerated by Nigerian civil servantsI Directorate staff formed consensus for each question as well as

filled their own surveys

UCL/IFS Dan Rogger Africa Growth Forum, 13/12/13 7 / 15

Page 17: Improving the Quality of Public Services: Evidence from ... · PDF fileImproving the Quality of Public Services: Evidence from Nigeria, Uganda, ... to project peculiarities. Performance
Page 18: Improving the Quality of Public Services: Evidence from ... · PDF fileImproving the Quality of Public Services: Evidence from Nigeria, Uganda, ... to project peculiarities. Performance
Page 19: Improving the Quality of Public Services: Evidence from ... · PDF fileImproving the Quality of Public Services: Evidence from Nigeria, Uganda, ... to project peculiarities. Performance
Page 20: Improving the Quality of Public Services: Evidence from ... · PDF fileImproving the Quality of Public Services: Evidence from Nigeria, Uganda, ... to project peculiarities. Performance

Management in Nigeria

High degree of variation in management practices acrossorganisations

I Tenure based system of progression into management

Positive correlation between autonomy management andperformance management (0.24)

Distinct managers from the same organisation had similarmanagement scores

UCL/IFS Dan Rogger Africa Growth Forum, 13/12/13 11 / 15

Page 21: Improving the Quality of Public Services: Evidence from ... · PDF fileImproving the Quality of Public Services: Evidence from Nigeria, Uganda, ... to project peculiarities. Performance

What did we find?

Correlate proxies of organisation output with managementpractice:

OLS estimates (1) Proportioncompleted

(2) Quality-adjusted

Index of autonomy 0.18*** 0.11***

(0.03) (0.04)

Index of performance management -0.14*** -0.08***

(0.02) (0.02)

Other management practices 0.08*** 0.08***(0.02) (0.02)

Organisation and Project Controls Yes YesObservations (clusters) 4,721 (201) 4,721 (201)

UCL/IFS Dan Rogger Africa Growth Forum, 13/12/13 12 / 15

Page 22: Improving the Quality of Public Services: Evidence from ... · PDF fileImproving the Quality of Public Services: Evidence from Nigeria, Uganda, ... to project peculiarities. Performance

How do we explain our results?

UCL/IFS Dan Rogger Africa Growth Forum, 13/12/13 13 / 15

Page 23: Improving the Quality of Public Services: Evidence from ... · PDF fileImproving the Quality of Public Services: Evidence from Nigeria, Uganda, ... to project peculiarities. Performance

Conclusions

Core civil servants are critical to the delivery of public services:Evidence from Uganda on capture

External incentives increase public sector outputs: an additionalnewspaper leads to 5% higher enrollment

Management practice has substantial impacts on productivity:32% increase in output for standard deviation change

I Proxies of government output in Uganda?I Civil servants and management surveys of public sector?

For more complex tasks, engaging in a partnership with civilservants (targets, flexibility) may be more effective than judgingthem using performance targets

UCL/IFS Dan Rogger Africa Growth Forum, 13/12/13 14 / 15

Page 24: Improving the Quality of Public Services: Evidence from ... · PDF fileImproving the Quality of Public Services: Evidence from Nigeria, Uganda, ... to project peculiarities. Performance

Thank you

Thank you

UCL/IFS Dan Rogger Africa Growth Forum, 13/12/13 15 / 15