imc bhaskar ghosh-indusindppt
TRANSCRIPT
Future of Retail Banking
- Bhaskar Ghose, Managing Director,
IndusInd Bank
Recent trends
Aggressive entry strategies of foreign banks to Retail Segment
Customer retention initiatives by PSU Banks
Aggressive price-war on Retail Credit
Recent trends contd…
Rapid penetration of Personal Computers, Mobile phones and on-line Trading and purchase options encouraged increased usage of technology banking
Booming economy and continuous per capita income will further push the living standards of people
Recent trends contd…
Customers’ preference to more and more alternate channels for convenience
Fee based income from remittance is shrinking due to RTGS and other technology initiatives
Higher short term interest and flatter yield curves
Recent trends contd…
Phenomenal rise in nuclear and dual income families & enhanced spending power
Increasing literacy levels Higher adaptability to technology
banking
Recent trends contd….
Growing consumerism Fiscal incentives to Housing loans Fastest economic growth over the
decade
Retail Liabilities Banks continue to offer valued added
Products and Services for customer acquisition and retention
Retail Banking technology is gaining its importance due to the continued demand
Customer Relationship Management (CRM) is going to be a mandatory requirement for banks to leverage the existing relationship
Retail Liabilities contd…..
Retail Banking customers are demanding more and more features and product differentiation
More and more Retail customers in the age group of 20-35 with high saving potential
Future of Retail Liabilities would be from Tier II & Tier III locations
Retail Liabilities contd… Alternate delivery channels, channel
integration and single sign on expectation from customers
Branch Banking channels are going to be business expansion channel than Transaction processing centre
More and more customers are moving out of the Branch Banking channel to other alternate delivery channels
Retail Liabilities -Future Rate of growth of deposit may be
affected by other investment opportunities like Mutual Funds and Bonds
Banks may prefer to have sharing arrangements
Smart Card/Stored value card would gain importance
Retail Credit Retail Credit business shifted from
Private Money lenders to NBFCs and Banks in the last decade
Now, the shift is from NBFC s to Banks
In future, the shift is expected from inefficient Banks to Banks with set processes and quick delivery systems
Retail Credit contd…. Loan to GDP ratio is less than 40%,
which is only a fraction, compared to the developed economy
Every Bank has enough opportunities to perform without unhealthy competition
Business potential in Semi urban and Rural areas are very high, which is yet to be explored
Retail Credit contd….
Banks overtake HFCs in Home Loans
Banks overtake NBFCs in Auto loans
The same trend would continue for next few years
Retail Credit contd…. Basel II implementation and
necessity to have stringent Risk Management systems would exert pressure on Retail lending in future
Banks with well defined systems and procedures would emerge as leaders in Retail Credit
Retail Credit contd….
Home Loan is expected to grow at 30%
Housing loan as % of GDP will touch 10%
Used Car finance is growing over 20% rate and is expected to continue
Retail Credit contd…. Mix of Retail Credit is expected
at – Home Loan 49%, Auto loans 28%, Personal loans 16% and Consumer durables 7%
Educational loans which are at a low ebb also expected to grow at 20% in the coming years
Retail Credit contd….
Housing and Auto loans together, would continue to contribute to the level of 18%
Other Retail advances would move from 8 to 13%
Agricultural segment is expected maintain the 10% level
Retail Credit contd…. Personal loan segment is also
expected to grow @ 20% with higher yield ranging from 12-16%
Gross Retail Advances would move to over 40% of total advances in the next 5 years
Credit Card business Credit Card issuance at 50% growth rate
in 2004-05, compared to 36% growth during the pervious year
Credit Card growth is estimated at CAGR of 20%
Draft guidelines on Credit Card operations would affect the Credit Card growth
Single overall limit for Credit Cards would ensure lower delinquency rate under the segment
Retail Credit - Challenges Customer tendency to borrow more
and repay less may adversely affect the NPA levels in future
Future delinquency rates are not properly factored in fixing the Retail credit pricing by few banks
Increased risk weight of Consumer Credit
Retail Credit – Challenges contd….
Liquidity mismatches may emerge as an issue
Slight change in economic scenario may affect the whole system
Existing Retail scoring models may not predict impact of mild recession
Retail Credit –Challenges contd….
Lack of Credit information of Retail customers from the Banking system
CIBIL is addressing the issue only to a certain extent
No system to eliminate multiple finances, including Personal Loans
Higher level of NPA from Personal Loans
Retail Credit –Challenges contd….
Higher Loan-to-value ratio may emerge as a problem during recession
Sale of assets without any control from the bank in the case of Consumer Credit
Growing incidents of frauds and cyber crimes
Future- for the Customer
Future of Retail Banking is for the CUSTOMER
Pricing is determined by Customer Competition among Banks would
ensure him better service at cheaper rate
Customer would be able to discount his future earnings as Retail Credit for his higher standard of living
Thank You