idaho national laboratory “defense acquisition system
TRANSCRIPT
Idaho National Laboratory “Defense Acquisition System” System of Systems Engineering
Abstract ID: #19736
For:
NDIA
20th Annual Systems Engineering Conference
23-26 October 2017
Prepared by:
Idaho National Laboratory (INL)
Larry Dean Harding
Systems Engineering
INL Systems Analyses & Engineering Contacts
INL Systems Analyses & Engineering Web Page
https://systemsengineering.inl.gov
Ron KlinglerDepartment Manager
(208) 526-0183
Mitchell KermanDivision Director
(208) [email protected]
Larry HardingSystems Engineer
(208) 526-6111
Shyam NairGroup Lead for
Process & Data Sciences
(208) 526-3071
John CollinsGroup Lead for
Energy & Environment
Projects
(208) 526-3372
Jody HenleyGroup Lead for
Nuclear Projects
(208) 526-1979
NDIA Presenter
2INL/MIS-17-42149
Core Functions –
INL Systems Analyses & Engineering
2
• Technical, Functional, and Operational Analysis
• Requirements Elicitation, Clarification,
Derivation, and Tracking
• Traceability, Change Control, and Impact
Analysis
• Requirements Verification and Validation
Planning
3
• Analysis of Alternatives
• Decision Metrics
• Organization Analysis & Visualization of
Complex and Big Data
• Uncertainty Analysis & Probabilistic Risk
Assessment
• Risk-informed Decision-making
• Integration of Viable Solutions
• Chemical Process Engineering & Analysis
• Chemical Process Control
• Computational Fluid Dynamics
4
• Risk Identification and Tracking
• Justification for Funding Contingency
• Risk Handling Strategy
• Risk Reduction Plan
• Risk-informed Path Forward
5
• Technology Maturity Analysis
• Technology Development
Roadmap/Path Forward
• Roadblock Identification & Mitigation
• System Assessments (e.g., Energy
Systems)
6
• Program & Project Integration
• Laboratory-wide R&D
Integration
• Laboratories/Industries/ Universities Integration
• Integration of System
Elements
• Systems of Systems Analyses
7• Verification of System Performance
and Functionality
• Validation of System Specification and Design Parameters
• Test Planning and Implementation
1
• Concise Problem Definition
• Understanding Important Customer Needs
• Concise System/Project Boundaries
• Strategic Planning & Baselines
• “Concept” of Operations
• Stakeholder Buy-in
• Acquisition Strategy
• White Papers
3INL/MIS-17-42149
“Defense Acquisition System” System of Systems Engineering
The Defense Acquisition System is a Joint Services process with the primary function to develop and provide DoD military capabilities. Because all branches of the military use this common system, by nature it is a very complex and lengthy process. The Integrated Defense Acquisition, Technology, and Logistics Life Cycle Management System, is composed of three major lanes of authority: (1) The Defense Acquisition System; (2) Joint Capabilities Integration & Development System (JCIDS); and (3) Planning, Programming, Budgeting & Execution Process. The purpose of this presentation is to introduce the Idaho National Laboratory’s (INL) seven step process and a holistic approach of systems integration techniques directed at these three lanes of authority.
4INL/MIS-17-42149
Chrysler's Mini Van Platform
Platform
Concept
Engineering Design Procurement Production
5INL/MIS-17-42149
Chrysler's Mini Van Platform
Platform
ConceptEngineering ProcurementDesign Production
Cross
Functional
Product
Teams
Keiretsu
Enhanced Communications and Coordination
Improve Efficiency
Applicable to Several Vehicle Platforms
6INL/MIS-17-42149
JCIDS
Defense
Acquisition System
Planning,
Programming,
Budgeting &
Execution
Analysis of
Alternatives
Requirements
Definition and
Derivation
Risk
Management
Technology
Readiness
Assessments
Technology
Development
Roadmaps
Technology
DevelopmentDeployment
INL Seven Step Integration Methods
7INL/MIS-17-42149
8INL/MIS-17-42149
9INL/MIS-17-42149
Risk vs. Technology Readiness
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Current TRL Maturity Score
No
rma
lize
d R
isk
Sc
ore
Build the Roadmap &
Define Path Forward
Execute the Roadmap
& Refine Path Forward
TRL8
Secondary
Fluid
Candidates
Candidate
Designs
Candidate
Materials
Decision Discriminators
Decision Discriminators
Decision Discriminators
Intermediate Heat Exchanger Technology Development Roadmap
230
800H
617
Hastelloy X
Ceramics
800H
617Material
Down
Selection
Shell &
Tube
Printed
Circuit
Plate & Fin
He
N2/He
Molten
Salts
Design
Down
Selection
Helical
Tube
Helical
Tube
Steam
Secondary
Fluid Down
Selection
He
Material,
Design, Fluid
Down
Selection
Consider:
-Material, design, fluid compatibility
-Required Delivery Temp
-Distance
-User Requirements
-Operating Conditions
-Transient performance
-Bonding
-Thin section performance
4/29/08
DRAFT
-Creep Fatigue
-Embrittlement
-Thermal Expansion
-Thermal Fatigue
Crack Resistance
-Oxidation Resistance
-Carburization
Resistance
-Thermal Conductivity
-Max Operating
Temperature
Adequate Data for
Prediction Effects
Effects
Environmental
Thermal
Radiation
Performance in
Impure He
Performance
Models/tests to Predict
Max Life Reduction at
Weld Site
Fusion of Large
Sections
Diffusion Bonding /
Joining of Thin
Sheets
Can be put into use
by 2021?
Receipt
Inspectability
Inservice
Inspectability
Localized Stress/
Strain
Localized Erosion
Transient Condition
Acceptability
Localized Corrosion
Tritium Migration
Allowance
Dust
Susceptibility(fouling)
Repairability
Can be put into use
by 2021?
Compactness
Heat Transfer Rate
(performance)
Costs
Ease of Codification
Ease of Licensing
Equipment &
Operating costs
Infiltration to Primary
in Accident Scenario
Consider accident
scenarios and ease of
recovery
Purification Capability
Consider ability to
separate Tritium
from 2nd
Fluid
Cost
Consider mitigation
requirements for
certain fluids
Availability of Fluid
Inspectability (RAMI)
Piping/Valving
Complexity
Technology Readiness Levels
Basic
Principles
Observed
Proof of
Concept
Bench Scale
TestingComponent
Demonstrated at
Experimental
Scale
System
Demonstrated at
Engineering ScaleIntegrated
Prototype Tested
and Qualified Plant
Operational
Application
Formulated Subsystem
Demonstrated at
Pilot Scale
Technology Component Subsystem System Plant
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Commercial
scale – Multiple
Units
Manufacturability
to section III
Performance under
off-normal conditions
Replacement
Frequency
Develop thermal/fluid, stress/strain, and
performance models
Provide experimentally based constitutive models that are the
foundation of the inelastic design analyses required by Subsection NH
of Section III of the ASME Boiler and Pressure Vessel Code
TRL5
Experimental Scale
Pe
rfo
rma
nc
e C
rite
ria
TRL6 TRL7
Involute
Capillary
Tube
Plate
Stamped
Cost
-Steady State
-Depressurized
-Conduction
-Cool Down
Licensing Risks
MW/m3
Pressure Drop
Integration
-Integration with
vessels & piping
-Compatibility with
multi-stage/module
designs
Note: Can implement
multiple designs (for
different process loops)
Test and evaluate Experimental Scale of IHX
design(s) in relevant environment
Fabricate Experimental
Scale heat exchanger(s)
Develop manufacturing processes for selected design
Test and evaluate Pilot Scale of heat
exchanger design(s) in relevant
environment
Fabricate Pilot Scale heat
exchanger(s)
Test and evaluate Engineering
Scale of IHX design(s) in
integrated relevant environment
Fabricate Engineering
Scale heat exchanger(s)
Fabricate NGNP heat exchanger(s)
Validate analytical model predictions
Revision:
Date:
Changed by:
11
12/12/08
Layne Pincock
Develop final design for NGNP prototype IHX
Design
Engineering
Scale IHX
Design Pilot
Scale IHX
Material qualification/codification
Establish reference specifications
& procure mat’ls for testing
Determine performance of weldments and discontinuities
Determine thermal, physical & mechanical properties
Evaluate effects of thermal aging &
environmental exposure
Assess effects of grain size & section thickness
Determine corrosion allowances
Establish criteria for structural integrity of IHX
Constitutive modeling and analysis
Temp: 950˚C
Pressure: 9MPa
Cyclic Testing: TBD
Satisfactory testing of IHX candidate designs at experimental scale
Full Scale
Pe
rfo
rma
nc
e C
rite
ria
Temp: 950˚C
Pressure: 9MPa
Temp Δ: >400˚C
Pressure Δ: <200kPa
Mass Flow: 10 kg/s
Op Time: >5,000 hrs
Cyclic Testing: TBD
Engineering Scale
Temp: 950˚C
Pressure: 9MPa
Temp Δ: >300˚C
Pressure Δ: <500kPa
Mass Flow: 10 kg/s
Op Time: 5,000 hrs
Cyclic Testing: TBDPe
rfo
rma
nc
e C
rite
riaPilot Scale
Temp: 950˚C
Pressure: 9MPa
Temp Δ: >250˚C
Pressure Δ: <600kPa
Mass Flow: 5 kg/s
Op Time: 500 hrs
Cyclic Testing: TBDPe
rfo
rma
nc
e C
rite
ria
Satisfactory testing of 1.2MWt IHX
Full Scale IHX operated successfully
Plate
Stamped
Establish simplified design procedures
Printed
Circuit
Maturity of Material
Data
Properties
Availability
R&D Status
Service Experience
ASME Code
Qualification
Cobalt Scaling
Fabricability
Availability
Design Margin
Material Thickness
FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018 FY 2019 FY 2020 FY 2021
Complete NGNP
Conceptual Design
Complete NGNP
Preliminary Design
Complete NGNP
Final Design
Submit COLA for
Selected Design
NRC Issues
COL
CTF Construction
Complete
Absence of IHX qualification plan
Principal
Risks
Mitigated
by R&D
FY 2022
Fouling effects on IHX
IHX design and materials stress issues
IHX creep and fatigue
IHX alloy thickness
IHX A
IHX B
Test and qualify full scale NGNP prototype heat exchanger
design(s) in integrated operational environment (non-rad
ops)
NRC Licensing
Determine the effects of cyclic loading on creep and fatigueExtrapolation of creep data to 60 years for 800H
Assist in the development of a guideline for inelastic
analysis and life prediction
Helical
Tube
Printed
Circuit
Determine flaw assessment and leak before
break
Develop joining procedures
TRL4
Bench Scale
Pe
rfo
rma
nc
e C
rite
ria
Obtain necessary ASME code approvals
Demonstrate in-service inspectability for inelastic
design method
Evaluate effects of thermal aging &
environmental exposure
Develop joining procedures
Obtain codification of Inconel 617
Performance Tests
Design Tasks
Licensing/Codification
Tasks to advance TRL & reduce risk
Key:
Current TRL
TRL3
Advance TRLs
& Reduce Risk
Assess
Technology
Maturity
NGNP
Area Min
System TRL
NGNP 3
Nuclear Heat Supply System (NHSS) 4
Reactor Pressure Vessel 4
Reactor Vessel Internals 4
Reactor Core and Core Structure 4
Fuel Elements 4
Reserve Shutdown System 5
Reactivity Control System 4
Core Conditioning System 4
Reactor Cavity Cooling System 4
Heat Transfer System (HTS) 3
Circulators 5
Intermediate Heat Exchanger 3
Cross Vessel Piping 4
High Temperature Valves - Flapper 6
High Temperature Valves - Iso, Relief 4
Power Conversion System (PCS) 4
Steam Generator 4
Balance of Plant (BOP) 3
Fuel Handling System - Prismatic 4
Fuel Handling System - Pebble Bed 5
Instrumentation & Control 3
• Select Systems, Structures, Components
• Rate Technology Readiness Level
• Develop Technology Maturation Steps
• Define Decision Points
• Establish Performance Metrics
• Develop Risk Register
• Systematically Reduce Risk
• Execute to Risk – Work – off Metric
10INL/MIS-17-42149
PM’s/PEO’s
Soldier
Systems
USACE
Contingency
Basing
Ground
Platforms
Air
Platforms
Water Craft
ASA(ALT) G3TRADOCAMC ASA(IE&E) G4 G8
POM oversight
Acquisition
Logistics
Policy
DOTMLPF
Concepts
Requirements
Cap. Gaps
NIE
CPDs
CPPs
COEs
ACD
CPRs
HQDA Ops
REF
Technology
Developers
RDECOM
Policy
Budget
certification
HQDA
Staffing for
OE
Funding
POM
Systems
Developer
Providers
Technology
Developer
Engineering
Services
Water
Craft
S&T
Roadmap
Air
S&T
Roadmap
Ground
S&T
Roadmap
CB
S&T
Roadmap
Soldier
S&T
Roadmap
Industry /Academia
Government Agencies
11INL/MIS-17-42149
12INL/MIS-17-42149
“Defense Acquisition System” System of Systems Engineering
In general there are several hundred relationship nodes that are embedded in the Acquisition Process that presents numerous stopping points due to analysis, reviews, and approvals and in some cases contention due to stove pipe lines of authority and friction between organizations.
The construct provides three dimensional integration and applies the INL seven step integration methods to create technology roadmaps and expedited material solutions that could be directly applied to the Defense Acquisition Process and the JCIDS process.
• Early Development Planning
• Architecture
• Interoperability & Systems Integration
• Systems-of-Systems Systems Engineering
• Systems Engineering Effectiveness
13INL/MIS-17-42149
Backup Slides
14
Technology Readiness Assessment
The structures, systems, and components (SSC) comprising the Defense Acquisition Process are synthesized
and evaluated through a Technology Readiness Assessment and assigned Technology Readiness Levels
(TRL) based on technical maturity. For lower TRLs, assessments typically occur at an individual technology
or component level. To mature the technology or component, integrated testing or modeling must occur at
increasingly larger scales, with integrated components, and in increasingly relevant environments, thus
achieving higher TRL ratings as the project progresses. A validated TRL baseline is established for the
proposed physical design and is periodically reassessed throughout the project life cycle. Validated TRLs
provide project management one measure of the level of technological risk encountered by the project.
Technology Readiness Levels
1
Plant
OperationalPrototype
Engineering
Scale
Pilot
ScaleExperimental
Scale
Bench
Scale
Proof of
ConceptApplication
Formulated
Basic
Principle
Technology
Component Subsystem System Plant
Commercial
scale
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Component Testing Capability
Cold Testing Hot Operations
Area
15INL/MIS-17-42149
Technology Development Roadmaps
With the baseline TRLs in place, technology development roadmaps (TDRMs) can then be generated to
define the decision discriminators, forecast down selection timeframes, and focus project research and
development and engineering tasks on increasing levels of technical maturity. TDRMs provide the required
structure and are the primary means to systematically perform risk-informed decision making, quantify
uncertainty, down select technologies, and mature technologies in a cost-effective and timely manner. Tasks
include modeling, testing, bench-scale demonstrations, pilot-scale demonstrations, and full integrated
prototype demonstrations. TDRMs for critical SSC are developed to:
• Set the project vision for technology maturation and risk resolution
• Identify the key selection discriminators and drive uncertainty reduction to inform technology and
design down selection
• Ensure technology readiness is demonstrated through testing, modeling, simulations, piloting, and
prototyping
• Provide early identification and resolution of technical risks
• Avoid late project technical challenges, which manifest themselves as cost overruns and schedule
delays
16INL/MIS-17-42149
Risk-Informed Project Readiness Assessment
The tasks needed to mature the technologies, as documented in the TDRMs, also reduce the technical
project risk. Technical and programmatic risks including political decisions, social acceptance, and market
demand are reviewed and risk handling strategies developed to reduce the probability of the risk event and
lessen its damage should the event occur. While advancing project readiness, and engineering design.
The resulting RISK-Informed Project Readiness Assessment serves to:
• Identify the tasks that provide the most efficient risk resolution
• Provide a path forward for reducing risk over the life of the project
• Link risk to project schedule and integrated priority list
• Integrate multiple stakeholders viewpoints into risk-informed path forward
• Provide a “Risk Work-off Metric” for the project to track risk to acceptable levels
17INL/MIS-17-42149
18
Questions?
Larry HardingSystems Engineer
(208) 526-6111