icis china gas market webinar · the icis china lng supply/demand & investment opportunities...

32
ICIS China Gas Market Webinar 13 November 2014 Ricki Wang, Senior Industry Analyst – ICIS China Ben Wetherall, Head of Gas – ICIS Energy Click here to access the recording of the webinar - http://bcove.me/41zphdnz

Upload: others

Post on 10-Jul-2020

1 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

ICIS China Gas Market Webinar

13 November 2014 Ricki Wang Senior Industry Analyst ndash ICIS China

Ben Wetherall Head of Gas ndash ICIS Energy

Click here to access the recording of the webinar - httpbcoveme41zphdnz

ICIS Market intelligence for the energy chemical

and fertilizer industries

You can rely on ICIS to stay up to date with the latest developments in China natural gas

Reliable pricing information The ICIS China Gas Markets Report enables you to understand price drivers and fluctuations and settle your contract prices more confidently by giving you access to delivered and import LNG prices as well as information on shipping information market moving news operating rates and turnaround schedules

Comprehensive supply and demand data and analysis The ICIS China LNG SupplyDemand amp Investment Opportunities Report provides detailed information on the LNG demand outlook for China ndash broken down by 24 key provinces autonomous regions and municipalities In addition it provides important information on domestic policies infrastructure developments and other key factors for consideration when making investment-related decisions

Request a sample report gtgt

Enquire about the report gtgt

Content

Overview of Chinarsquos Gas Market

Chinarsquos Energy Mix (2006-2020)

68 68 6963

56

19 19 18

18

17

4 5 5

8

12

8 8 8 11 15

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2015E 2020E

Coal Petroleum Natural Gas Non-fossil Energy

Source NBS ICIS C1 Energy

Chinarsquos Energy Mix

Under environment pressure

Chinese government is

encouraging clean energy

usage

Natural gas consumption is

going to reach 15 of total

primary energy mix by 2020

Chinarsquos natural gas Supply and Demand

67

123

170

25

26

43

14

62

148

20

1312

0

5

10

15

20

25

0

100

200

300

400

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E 2019E

Net Import Export Production Consumption Growth Rate

bcm

Source ICIS

13

Forecast of Chinarsquos Natural Gas (2007-2019E)

Gas Consumption by region in 2012

7

Xinjiang Uygur autonomous region

Tibet autonomous region

Qinghai

Gansu Inner Mongolia autonomous region

Ningxia

Sichuan

Yunnan

Guizhou

Guangxi

Hainan

Guangdong

Macao Hong Kong

Hunan

Chongqing

Hubei

Jiangxi

Fujian

Zhejiang

Anhui Jiangsu Henan Shaanxi

Shanxi Hebei

Shandong

Tianjin Beijing

Liaoning

Jilin

Heilongjiang

Shanghai

Consumption volume Large Small

Source ICIS C1 Energy

LNG Consumption by region in 2013

Large

Small

Gas Distribution

City Gas Industry

Fertilizer Gas

Power Plant

29 35

22 14

Forecast of Chinas Natural Gas Consumption by Sector (2013-2017E)

0

20

40

60

80

100

2013E 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017ECity gas IndustrialCommercial fuelChemical feedstock Fuel for power plants

Source ICIS C1 Energy

2013 Chinarsquos NG consumption by Sector

Domestic Gas Supply

PetroChina is the largest gas supplier

Most of the conventional gas belongs

to PetroChina Sinopec CNOOC

Domestic Natural Gas Supply

666

1232 1321

1697

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E 2019E

Production Growth RateSource ICIS

bcm

Forecast of Chinarsquos Gas Production (2007-2019)

PetroChina

Yanchang Petroleum Group

Sinopec CNOOC

C China

NW China

N China

S China

SW China

E China

Unconventional Gas Development

Conventi

al Gas

57

Import

Pipeline

18

Import

LNG

14

SNG

4 CBM

Shale Gas

3

2015

Conventional Gas

ImportPipeline

Gas

ImportLNG SNG CBM Shale Gas

2015 1385 45 347 10 9 652017 165 65 472 32 17 10

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180billion cubic meters

Source ICIS C1 Energy

Supply target set by China government (2015 2017)

49

19

14

10

5 3

2017

Unconventional Gas Distribution

Northern China

North East China

East China

Southern China

Central China

South West China

North West China

Shale Gas

Shale Gas

Shale Gas

Shale Gas

CBM

SNG

SNG

Gas Import in China

Chinarsquos Gas Import

Forecast of Chinarsquos Gas Import (2007-2019E)

Chinarsquos Gas Import (2006-2014E)

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

4500

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 E

NG Import LNG Import Annual Growth Rate

10000 tonne

Source GAC

39

642 761

1526

3239

212 186 188

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E 2019E

Import Growth RateSource ICIS

bcm

来源安迅思息旺能源

Shanghai

Putian

Ningbo

Qingdao

Tangshan

Dalian

Shenzhen

JOVO

Hainan

Tianjin

Guangxi

Zhoushan

Rudong

East-west P II

East-West P III

China Russia Gas Pipeline

Myanmar Gas Pipeline

East-West P IV

Import LNG

Zhuhai

Gas Import Infrastructure

Gas Import by Source

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 E

Qatar LNG Australia LNG IndonesiaLNG Malaysia LNG

Other Countries LNG Turkmenistan Others

10000 tonne

Source Gac

Import Gas Price

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 E

Qatar Import LNG price

Australia Import LNG price

Indonesia Import LNG price

Malaysia Import LNG price

Other Countries Import LNG

priceTurkmenistan Pipeline

Import priceOther Pipelien Import price

$MMBtu

Source GAC

Content

Price Reform

Evaluation of Chinarsquos Gas Pricing Mechanism

Base on Cost

Base on Cost

Before 2005 2010 2012 2013-2015 After 2020

Price Reform Two Tier Pricing +

Base on Cost

Two Tier Pricing

Hub Price

Government Set and Guide the Price

Market Orientation

Price Formula

Coefficient

Import Price Import Price

VAT Thermal Value

Regional Gas Price

Government-capped City-gate Prices of Natural Gas by ProvinceMunicipalityRegion

ProvinceMunicipalityRegion

Price for existing consumption Price for outstanding consumption

RMB Yuancbm

USD $MMBtu RMB Yuancbm

USD $MMBtu

Beijing 2660 1168 3140 1379

Tianjin 2660 1168 3140 1379

Hebei 2640 1159 3120 1370

Shanxi 2570 1129 3050 1340

Inner Mongolia 2000 878 2480 1089

Guangdong 2860 1256 3320 1458

Guangxi 2690 1181 3150 1383

Heilongjiang 2420 1063 2900 1274

Shanghai 2840 1247 3320 1458

Jiangsu 2820 1239 3300 1449

Zhejiang 2830 1243 3310 1454

Anhui 2750 1208 3230 1419

Jiangxi 2620 1151 3100 1362

Shandong 2640 1159 3120 1370

Note The price is inclusive of value-added tax (VAT)

Source National Development and Reform Commission

Impact of Price Reform

Upstream

Middle stream

Downstream

Gas Power Plant Industry Vehicle Fertilizer

Supplier

LNG terminal

Domestic LNG plant Pipeline

Import LNG

Government PoliciesmdashPipeline Gas

Commercial

Gas Field Purify Pipeline City Gate Pipeline

Fertilizer

City Gas

Gas Power Plant

Industry

Vehicle

Citizen

Upstream Transportation

Downstream

LNG trucks

Vehicle

Gas refill station

Domestic LNG plant

Government PoliciesmdashLNG

Commercial

LNG trucks

Vehicle

City Gas

Gas Power Plant

Vehicle

Citizen

Industry

Import LNG

Shipping LNG terminal

Gas refill station

Pipeline

Content

Chinese gas market reforms in a regional context

Chinese import requirements uncertain but will impact wider region

bull Chinese domestic shale gas production uncertain Government cuts targets ndash 30Bcm by 2020 down from 60-100Bcm in original 2011-2015 development plan

bull Imports from Turkmenistan set to reach 30Bcm in 2014 up to 65Bcm by 2021

bull Russia-China pipeline agreement via Eastern Route ndash up to 38Bcmyear

bull Gazprom-CNPC sign framework agreement in Nov lsquo14 for 30Bcmyear via Altai (Western Route)

bull Chinese buyers have signed SPAs to import more than 50mtpa of LNG in 2020

38

5 6

24

6

17

4

China holds more than 50mtpa in LNG SPAs in 2020

Australia

Indonesia

Malaysia

Qatar

Russia

Portfolio Supply

Papua New Guinea

Chinarsquos LNG imports compared with NE Asia

rsquo08 lsquo09 lsquo10 rsquo11 rsquo12 rsquo13 rsquo14 end Sept

China LNG imports (mt)

337 574 960

131 1465 186 1467

Chinese LNG imports as percentage of regional demand

NE Asia

305 547 772 94 962 1165 1235

New Russian pipeline imports competitive with LNG

1000

1100

1200

1300

1400

1500

1600

LNG

Pric

es -

$M

MB

tu

Selected LNG and pipeline import prices to China on forward curve (12 Nov 2014)

US liquefaction DES Asia (Cheniere) QatarChina DES

Russia-China (Shanghai delivery estimate) AustraliaChina 201112

AustraliaChina CSG S-Curve from Corpus Christi statement - March 2014

source ICIS CME and NYMEX

Japan tries to align liberalisation and lower price goals

Chinese price reform raises questions for new contestable LNG supply

bull Eni and Anadarko developing multi-train

project in Mozambique Eni also plan 25mtpa FLNG project offshore Area 4

bull CNPC holds a 30 stake in Eni-led consortium developing Area 4

East Africa

bull Nine liquefaction projects at various stages of development in Western Canada have been given export approval

bull PetroChina and Sinopec stakeholders in two LNG projects

bull Cost challenges and uncertainty over royalty tax bull Regulatory issues over Western US greenfield projects

North America

bull Australian greenfield and FLNG projects under costs pressure ndash Browse Bonaparte Scarborough

bull Russian LNG ndash (Sakhalin expansionVladivostok Yamal LNG) ndash questions over financing technology

AustraliaRussia

You can rely on ICIS to stay up to date with the latest developments in China natural gas

Reliable pricing information The ICIS China Gas Markets Report enables you to understand price drivers and fluctuations and settle your contract prices more confidently by giving you access to delivered and import LNG prices as well as information on shipping information market moving news operating rates and turnaround schedules

Comprehensive supply and demand data and analysis The ICIS China LNG SupplyDemand amp Investment Opportunities Report provides detailed information on the LNG demand outlook for China ndash broken down by 24 key provinces autonomous regions and municipalities In addition it provides important information on domestic policies infrastructure developments and other key factors for consideration when making investment-related decisions

Request a sample report gtgt

Enquire about the report gtgt

Thank you very much

For other enquiries email us at enquiryiciscom Interested in our next webinars Visit wwwiciscomresourceswebinars

Click here to access the recording of the webinar - httpbcoveme41zphdnz

  • ICIS China Gas Market Webinar
  • Slide Number 2
  • Slide Number 3
  • Content
  • Slide Number 5
  • Chinarsquos natural gas Supply and Demand
  • Gas Consumption by region in 2012
  • LNG Consumption by region in 2013
  • Gas Distribution
  • Slide Number 10
  • Domestic Natural Gas Supply
  • Unconventional Gas Development
  • Unconventional Gas Distribution
  • Slide Number 14
  • Chinarsquos Gas Import
  • Gas Import Infrastructure
  • Gas Import by Source
  • Import Gas Price
  • Content
  • Evaluation of Chinarsquos Gas Pricing Mechanism
  • Price Formula
  • Regional Gas Price
  • Impact of Price Reform
  • Government PoliciesmdashPipeline Gas
  • Slide Number 25
  • Content
  • Chinese import requirements uncertain but will impact wider region
  • New Russian pipeline imports competitive with LNG
  • Japan tries to align liberalisation and lower price goals
  • Chinese price reform raises questions for new contestable LNG supply
  • Slide Number 31
  • Slide Number 32

ICIS Market intelligence for the energy chemical

and fertilizer industries

You can rely on ICIS to stay up to date with the latest developments in China natural gas

Reliable pricing information The ICIS China Gas Markets Report enables you to understand price drivers and fluctuations and settle your contract prices more confidently by giving you access to delivered and import LNG prices as well as information on shipping information market moving news operating rates and turnaround schedules

Comprehensive supply and demand data and analysis The ICIS China LNG SupplyDemand amp Investment Opportunities Report provides detailed information on the LNG demand outlook for China ndash broken down by 24 key provinces autonomous regions and municipalities In addition it provides important information on domestic policies infrastructure developments and other key factors for consideration when making investment-related decisions

Request a sample report gtgt

Enquire about the report gtgt

Content

Overview of Chinarsquos Gas Market

Chinarsquos Energy Mix (2006-2020)

68 68 6963

56

19 19 18

18

17

4 5 5

8

12

8 8 8 11 15

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2015E 2020E

Coal Petroleum Natural Gas Non-fossil Energy

Source NBS ICIS C1 Energy

Chinarsquos Energy Mix

Under environment pressure

Chinese government is

encouraging clean energy

usage

Natural gas consumption is

going to reach 15 of total

primary energy mix by 2020

Chinarsquos natural gas Supply and Demand

67

123

170

25

26

43

14

62

148

20

1312

0

5

10

15

20

25

0

100

200

300

400

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E 2019E

Net Import Export Production Consumption Growth Rate

bcm

Source ICIS

13

Forecast of Chinarsquos Natural Gas (2007-2019E)

Gas Consumption by region in 2012

7

Xinjiang Uygur autonomous region

Tibet autonomous region

Qinghai

Gansu Inner Mongolia autonomous region

Ningxia

Sichuan

Yunnan

Guizhou

Guangxi

Hainan

Guangdong

Macao Hong Kong

Hunan

Chongqing

Hubei

Jiangxi

Fujian

Zhejiang

Anhui Jiangsu Henan Shaanxi

Shanxi Hebei

Shandong

Tianjin Beijing

Liaoning

Jilin

Heilongjiang

Shanghai

Consumption volume Large Small

Source ICIS C1 Energy

LNG Consumption by region in 2013

Large

Small

Gas Distribution

City Gas Industry

Fertilizer Gas

Power Plant

29 35

22 14

Forecast of Chinas Natural Gas Consumption by Sector (2013-2017E)

0

20

40

60

80

100

2013E 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017ECity gas IndustrialCommercial fuelChemical feedstock Fuel for power plants

Source ICIS C1 Energy

2013 Chinarsquos NG consumption by Sector

Domestic Gas Supply

PetroChina is the largest gas supplier

Most of the conventional gas belongs

to PetroChina Sinopec CNOOC

Domestic Natural Gas Supply

666

1232 1321

1697

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E 2019E

Production Growth RateSource ICIS

bcm

Forecast of Chinarsquos Gas Production (2007-2019)

PetroChina

Yanchang Petroleum Group

Sinopec CNOOC

C China

NW China

N China

S China

SW China

E China

Unconventional Gas Development

Conventi

al Gas

57

Import

Pipeline

18

Import

LNG

14

SNG

4 CBM

Shale Gas

3

2015

Conventional Gas

ImportPipeline

Gas

ImportLNG SNG CBM Shale Gas

2015 1385 45 347 10 9 652017 165 65 472 32 17 10

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180billion cubic meters

Source ICIS C1 Energy

Supply target set by China government (2015 2017)

49

19

14

10

5 3

2017

Unconventional Gas Distribution

Northern China

North East China

East China

Southern China

Central China

South West China

North West China

Shale Gas

Shale Gas

Shale Gas

Shale Gas

CBM

SNG

SNG

Gas Import in China

Chinarsquos Gas Import

Forecast of Chinarsquos Gas Import (2007-2019E)

Chinarsquos Gas Import (2006-2014E)

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

4500

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 E

NG Import LNG Import Annual Growth Rate

10000 tonne

Source GAC

39

642 761

1526

3239

212 186 188

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E 2019E

Import Growth RateSource ICIS

bcm

来源安迅思息旺能源

Shanghai

Putian

Ningbo

Qingdao

Tangshan

Dalian

Shenzhen

JOVO

Hainan

Tianjin

Guangxi

Zhoushan

Rudong

East-west P II

East-West P III

China Russia Gas Pipeline

Myanmar Gas Pipeline

East-West P IV

Import LNG

Zhuhai

Gas Import Infrastructure

Gas Import by Source

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 E

Qatar LNG Australia LNG IndonesiaLNG Malaysia LNG

Other Countries LNG Turkmenistan Others

10000 tonne

Source Gac

Import Gas Price

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 E

Qatar Import LNG price

Australia Import LNG price

Indonesia Import LNG price

Malaysia Import LNG price

Other Countries Import LNG

priceTurkmenistan Pipeline

Import priceOther Pipelien Import price

$MMBtu

Source GAC

Content

Price Reform

Evaluation of Chinarsquos Gas Pricing Mechanism

Base on Cost

Base on Cost

Before 2005 2010 2012 2013-2015 After 2020

Price Reform Two Tier Pricing +

Base on Cost

Two Tier Pricing

Hub Price

Government Set and Guide the Price

Market Orientation

Price Formula

Coefficient

Import Price Import Price

VAT Thermal Value

Regional Gas Price

Government-capped City-gate Prices of Natural Gas by ProvinceMunicipalityRegion

ProvinceMunicipalityRegion

Price for existing consumption Price for outstanding consumption

RMB Yuancbm

USD $MMBtu RMB Yuancbm

USD $MMBtu

Beijing 2660 1168 3140 1379

Tianjin 2660 1168 3140 1379

Hebei 2640 1159 3120 1370

Shanxi 2570 1129 3050 1340

Inner Mongolia 2000 878 2480 1089

Guangdong 2860 1256 3320 1458

Guangxi 2690 1181 3150 1383

Heilongjiang 2420 1063 2900 1274

Shanghai 2840 1247 3320 1458

Jiangsu 2820 1239 3300 1449

Zhejiang 2830 1243 3310 1454

Anhui 2750 1208 3230 1419

Jiangxi 2620 1151 3100 1362

Shandong 2640 1159 3120 1370

Note The price is inclusive of value-added tax (VAT)

Source National Development and Reform Commission

Impact of Price Reform

Upstream

Middle stream

Downstream

Gas Power Plant Industry Vehicle Fertilizer

Supplier

LNG terminal

Domestic LNG plant Pipeline

Import LNG

Government PoliciesmdashPipeline Gas

Commercial

Gas Field Purify Pipeline City Gate Pipeline

Fertilizer

City Gas

Gas Power Plant

Industry

Vehicle

Citizen

Upstream Transportation

Downstream

LNG trucks

Vehicle

Gas refill station

Domestic LNG plant

Government PoliciesmdashLNG

Commercial

LNG trucks

Vehicle

City Gas

Gas Power Plant

Vehicle

Citizen

Industry

Import LNG

Shipping LNG terminal

Gas refill station

Pipeline

Content

Chinese gas market reforms in a regional context

Chinese import requirements uncertain but will impact wider region

bull Chinese domestic shale gas production uncertain Government cuts targets ndash 30Bcm by 2020 down from 60-100Bcm in original 2011-2015 development plan

bull Imports from Turkmenistan set to reach 30Bcm in 2014 up to 65Bcm by 2021

bull Russia-China pipeline agreement via Eastern Route ndash up to 38Bcmyear

bull Gazprom-CNPC sign framework agreement in Nov lsquo14 for 30Bcmyear via Altai (Western Route)

bull Chinese buyers have signed SPAs to import more than 50mtpa of LNG in 2020

38

5 6

24

6

17

4

China holds more than 50mtpa in LNG SPAs in 2020

Australia

Indonesia

Malaysia

Qatar

Russia

Portfolio Supply

Papua New Guinea

Chinarsquos LNG imports compared with NE Asia

rsquo08 lsquo09 lsquo10 rsquo11 rsquo12 rsquo13 rsquo14 end Sept

China LNG imports (mt)

337 574 960

131 1465 186 1467

Chinese LNG imports as percentage of regional demand

NE Asia

305 547 772 94 962 1165 1235

New Russian pipeline imports competitive with LNG

1000

1100

1200

1300

1400

1500

1600

LNG

Pric

es -

$M

MB

tu

Selected LNG and pipeline import prices to China on forward curve (12 Nov 2014)

US liquefaction DES Asia (Cheniere) QatarChina DES

Russia-China (Shanghai delivery estimate) AustraliaChina 201112

AustraliaChina CSG S-Curve from Corpus Christi statement - March 2014

source ICIS CME and NYMEX

Japan tries to align liberalisation and lower price goals

Chinese price reform raises questions for new contestable LNG supply

bull Eni and Anadarko developing multi-train

project in Mozambique Eni also plan 25mtpa FLNG project offshore Area 4

bull CNPC holds a 30 stake in Eni-led consortium developing Area 4

East Africa

bull Nine liquefaction projects at various stages of development in Western Canada have been given export approval

bull PetroChina and Sinopec stakeholders in two LNG projects

bull Cost challenges and uncertainty over royalty tax bull Regulatory issues over Western US greenfield projects

North America

bull Australian greenfield and FLNG projects under costs pressure ndash Browse Bonaparte Scarborough

bull Russian LNG ndash (Sakhalin expansionVladivostok Yamal LNG) ndash questions over financing technology

AustraliaRussia

You can rely on ICIS to stay up to date with the latest developments in China natural gas

Reliable pricing information The ICIS China Gas Markets Report enables you to understand price drivers and fluctuations and settle your contract prices more confidently by giving you access to delivered and import LNG prices as well as information on shipping information market moving news operating rates and turnaround schedules

Comprehensive supply and demand data and analysis The ICIS China LNG SupplyDemand amp Investment Opportunities Report provides detailed information on the LNG demand outlook for China ndash broken down by 24 key provinces autonomous regions and municipalities In addition it provides important information on domestic policies infrastructure developments and other key factors for consideration when making investment-related decisions

Request a sample report gtgt

Enquire about the report gtgt

Thank you very much

For other enquiries email us at enquiryiciscom Interested in our next webinars Visit wwwiciscomresourceswebinars

Click here to access the recording of the webinar - httpbcoveme41zphdnz

  • ICIS China Gas Market Webinar
  • Slide Number 2
  • Slide Number 3
  • Content
  • Slide Number 5
  • Chinarsquos natural gas Supply and Demand
  • Gas Consumption by region in 2012
  • LNG Consumption by region in 2013
  • Gas Distribution
  • Slide Number 10
  • Domestic Natural Gas Supply
  • Unconventional Gas Development
  • Unconventional Gas Distribution
  • Slide Number 14
  • Chinarsquos Gas Import
  • Gas Import Infrastructure
  • Gas Import by Source
  • Import Gas Price
  • Content
  • Evaluation of Chinarsquos Gas Pricing Mechanism
  • Price Formula
  • Regional Gas Price
  • Impact of Price Reform
  • Government PoliciesmdashPipeline Gas
  • Slide Number 25
  • Content
  • Chinese import requirements uncertain but will impact wider region
  • New Russian pipeline imports competitive with LNG
  • Japan tries to align liberalisation and lower price goals
  • Chinese price reform raises questions for new contestable LNG supply
  • Slide Number 31
  • Slide Number 32

You can rely on ICIS to stay up to date with the latest developments in China natural gas

Reliable pricing information The ICIS China Gas Markets Report enables you to understand price drivers and fluctuations and settle your contract prices more confidently by giving you access to delivered and import LNG prices as well as information on shipping information market moving news operating rates and turnaround schedules

Comprehensive supply and demand data and analysis The ICIS China LNG SupplyDemand amp Investment Opportunities Report provides detailed information on the LNG demand outlook for China ndash broken down by 24 key provinces autonomous regions and municipalities In addition it provides important information on domestic policies infrastructure developments and other key factors for consideration when making investment-related decisions

Request a sample report gtgt

Enquire about the report gtgt

Content

Overview of Chinarsquos Gas Market

Chinarsquos Energy Mix (2006-2020)

68 68 6963

56

19 19 18

18

17

4 5 5

8

12

8 8 8 11 15

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2015E 2020E

Coal Petroleum Natural Gas Non-fossil Energy

Source NBS ICIS C1 Energy

Chinarsquos Energy Mix

Under environment pressure

Chinese government is

encouraging clean energy

usage

Natural gas consumption is

going to reach 15 of total

primary energy mix by 2020

Chinarsquos natural gas Supply and Demand

67

123

170

25

26

43

14

62

148

20

1312

0

5

10

15

20

25

0

100

200

300

400

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E 2019E

Net Import Export Production Consumption Growth Rate

bcm

Source ICIS

13

Forecast of Chinarsquos Natural Gas (2007-2019E)

Gas Consumption by region in 2012

7

Xinjiang Uygur autonomous region

Tibet autonomous region

Qinghai

Gansu Inner Mongolia autonomous region

Ningxia

Sichuan

Yunnan

Guizhou

Guangxi

Hainan

Guangdong

Macao Hong Kong

Hunan

Chongqing

Hubei

Jiangxi

Fujian

Zhejiang

Anhui Jiangsu Henan Shaanxi

Shanxi Hebei

Shandong

Tianjin Beijing

Liaoning

Jilin

Heilongjiang

Shanghai

Consumption volume Large Small

Source ICIS C1 Energy

LNG Consumption by region in 2013

Large

Small

Gas Distribution

City Gas Industry

Fertilizer Gas

Power Plant

29 35

22 14

Forecast of Chinas Natural Gas Consumption by Sector (2013-2017E)

0

20

40

60

80

100

2013E 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017ECity gas IndustrialCommercial fuelChemical feedstock Fuel for power plants

Source ICIS C1 Energy

2013 Chinarsquos NG consumption by Sector

Domestic Gas Supply

PetroChina is the largest gas supplier

Most of the conventional gas belongs

to PetroChina Sinopec CNOOC

Domestic Natural Gas Supply

666

1232 1321

1697

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E 2019E

Production Growth RateSource ICIS

bcm

Forecast of Chinarsquos Gas Production (2007-2019)

PetroChina

Yanchang Petroleum Group

Sinopec CNOOC

C China

NW China

N China

S China

SW China

E China

Unconventional Gas Development

Conventi

al Gas

57

Import

Pipeline

18

Import

LNG

14

SNG

4 CBM

Shale Gas

3

2015

Conventional Gas

ImportPipeline

Gas

ImportLNG SNG CBM Shale Gas

2015 1385 45 347 10 9 652017 165 65 472 32 17 10

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180billion cubic meters

Source ICIS C1 Energy

Supply target set by China government (2015 2017)

49

19

14

10

5 3

2017

Unconventional Gas Distribution

Northern China

North East China

East China

Southern China

Central China

South West China

North West China

Shale Gas

Shale Gas

Shale Gas

Shale Gas

CBM

SNG

SNG

Gas Import in China

Chinarsquos Gas Import

Forecast of Chinarsquos Gas Import (2007-2019E)

Chinarsquos Gas Import (2006-2014E)

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

4500

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 E

NG Import LNG Import Annual Growth Rate

10000 tonne

Source GAC

39

642 761

1526

3239

212 186 188

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E 2019E

Import Growth RateSource ICIS

bcm

来源安迅思息旺能源

Shanghai

Putian

Ningbo

Qingdao

Tangshan

Dalian

Shenzhen

JOVO

Hainan

Tianjin

Guangxi

Zhoushan

Rudong

East-west P II

East-West P III

China Russia Gas Pipeline

Myanmar Gas Pipeline

East-West P IV

Import LNG

Zhuhai

Gas Import Infrastructure

Gas Import by Source

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 E

Qatar LNG Australia LNG IndonesiaLNG Malaysia LNG

Other Countries LNG Turkmenistan Others

10000 tonne

Source Gac

Import Gas Price

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 E

Qatar Import LNG price

Australia Import LNG price

Indonesia Import LNG price

Malaysia Import LNG price

Other Countries Import LNG

priceTurkmenistan Pipeline

Import priceOther Pipelien Import price

$MMBtu

Source GAC

Content

Price Reform

Evaluation of Chinarsquos Gas Pricing Mechanism

Base on Cost

Base on Cost

Before 2005 2010 2012 2013-2015 After 2020

Price Reform Two Tier Pricing +

Base on Cost

Two Tier Pricing

Hub Price

Government Set and Guide the Price

Market Orientation

Price Formula

Coefficient

Import Price Import Price

VAT Thermal Value

Regional Gas Price

Government-capped City-gate Prices of Natural Gas by ProvinceMunicipalityRegion

ProvinceMunicipalityRegion

Price for existing consumption Price for outstanding consumption

RMB Yuancbm

USD $MMBtu RMB Yuancbm

USD $MMBtu

Beijing 2660 1168 3140 1379

Tianjin 2660 1168 3140 1379

Hebei 2640 1159 3120 1370

Shanxi 2570 1129 3050 1340

Inner Mongolia 2000 878 2480 1089

Guangdong 2860 1256 3320 1458

Guangxi 2690 1181 3150 1383

Heilongjiang 2420 1063 2900 1274

Shanghai 2840 1247 3320 1458

Jiangsu 2820 1239 3300 1449

Zhejiang 2830 1243 3310 1454

Anhui 2750 1208 3230 1419

Jiangxi 2620 1151 3100 1362

Shandong 2640 1159 3120 1370

Note The price is inclusive of value-added tax (VAT)

Source National Development and Reform Commission

Impact of Price Reform

Upstream

Middle stream

Downstream

Gas Power Plant Industry Vehicle Fertilizer

Supplier

LNG terminal

Domestic LNG plant Pipeline

Import LNG

Government PoliciesmdashPipeline Gas

Commercial

Gas Field Purify Pipeline City Gate Pipeline

Fertilizer

City Gas

Gas Power Plant

Industry

Vehicle

Citizen

Upstream Transportation

Downstream

LNG trucks

Vehicle

Gas refill station

Domestic LNG plant

Government PoliciesmdashLNG

Commercial

LNG trucks

Vehicle

City Gas

Gas Power Plant

Vehicle

Citizen

Industry

Import LNG

Shipping LNG terminal

Gas refill station

Pipeline

Content

Chinese gas market reforms in a regional context

Chinese import requirements uncertain but will impact wider region

bull Chinese domestic shale gas production uncertain Government cuts targets ndash 30Bcm by 2020 down from 60-100Bcm in original 2011-2015 development plan

bull Imports from Turkmenistan set to reach 30Bcm in 2014 up to 65Bcm by 2021

bull Russia-China pipeline agreement via Eastern Route ndash up to 38Bcmyear

bull Gazprom-CNPC sign framework agreement in Nov lsquo14 for 30Bcmyear via Altai (Western Route)

bull Chinese buyers have signed SPAs to import more than 50mtpa of LNG in 2020

38

5 6

24

6

17

4

China holds more than 50mtpa in LNG SPAs in 2020

Australia

Indonesia

Malaysia

Qatar

Russia

Portfolio Supply

Papua New Guinea

Chinarsquos LNG imports compared with NE Asia

rsquo08 lsquo09 lsquo10 rsquo11 rsquo12 rsquo13 rsquo14 end Sept

China LNG imports (mt)

337 574 960

131 1465 186 1467

Chinese LNG imports as percentage of regional demand

NE Asia

305 547 772 94 962 1165 1235

New Russian pipeline imports competitive with LNG

1000

1100

1200

1300

1400

1500

1600

LNG

Pric

es -

$M

MB

tu

Selected LNG and pipeline import prices to China on forward curve (12 Nov 2014)

US liquefaction DES Asia (Cheniere) QatarChina DES

Russia-China (Shanghai delivery estimate) AustraliaChina 201112

AustraliaChina CSG S-Curve from Corpus Christi statement - March 2014

source ICIS CME and NYMEX

Japan tries to align liberalisation and lower price goals

Chinese price reform raises questions for new contestable LNG supply

bull Eni and Anadarko developing multi-train

project in Mozambique Eni also plan 25mtpa FLNG project offshore Area 4

bull CNPC holds a 30 stake in Eni-led consortium developing Area 4

East Africa

bull Nine liquefaction projects at various stages of development in Western Canada have been given export approval

bull PetroChina and Sinopec stakeholders in two LNG projects

bull Cost challenges and uncertainty over royalty tax bull Regulatory issues over Western US greenfield projects

North America

bull Australian greenfield and FLNG projects under costs pressure ndash Browse Bonaparte Scarborough

bull Russian LNG ndash (Sakhalin expansionVladivostok Yamal LNG) ndash questions over financing technology

AustraliaRussia

You can rely on ICIS to stay up to date with the latest developments in China natural gas

Reliable pricing information The ICIS China Gas Markets Report enables you to understand price drivers and fluctuations and settle your contract prices more confidently by giving you access to delivered and import LNG prices as well as information on shipping information market moving news operating rates and turnaround schedules

Comprehensive supply and demand data and analysis The ICIS China LNG SupplyDemand amp Investment Opportunities Report provides detailed information on the LNG demand outlook for China ndash broken down by 24 key provinces autonomous regions and municipalities In addition it provides important information on domestic policies infrastructure developments and other key factors for consideration when making investment-related decisions

Request a sample report gtgt

Enquire about the report gtgt

Thank you very much

For other enquiries email us at enquiryiciscom Interested in our next webinars Visit wwwiciscomresourceswebinars

Click here to access the recording of the webinar - httpbcoveme41zphdnz

  • ICIS China Gas Market Webinar
  • Slide Number 2
  • Slide Number 3
  • Content
  • Slide Number 5
  • Chinarsquos natural gas Supply and Demand
  • Gas Consumption by region in 2012
  • LNG Consumption by region in 2013
  • Gas Distribution
  • Slide Number 10
  • Domestic Natural Gas Supply
  • Unconventional Gas Development
  • Unconventional Gas Distribution
  • Slide Number 14
  • Chinarsquos Gas Import
  • Gas Import Infrastructure
  • Gas Import by Source
  • Import Gas Price
  • Content
  • Evaluation of Chinarsquos Gas Pricing Mechanism
  • Price Formula
  • Regional Gas Price
  • Impact of Price Reform
  • Government PoliciesmdashPipeline Gas
  • Slide Number 25
  • Content
  • Chinese import requirements uncertain but will impact wider region
  • New Russian pipeline imports competitive with LNG
  • Japan tries to align liberalisation and lower price goals
  • Chinese price reform raises questions for new contestable LNG supply
  • Slide Number 31
  • Slide Number 32

Content

Overview of Chinarsquos Gas Market

Chinarsquos Energy Mix (2006-2020)

68 68 6963

56

19 19 18

18

17

4 5 5

8

12

8 8 8 11 15

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2015E 2020E

Coal Petroleum Natural Gas Non-fossil Energy

Source NBS ICIS C1 Energy

Chinarsquos Energy Mix

Under environment pressure

Chinese government is

encouraging clean energy

usage

Natural gas consumption is

going to reach 15 of total

primary energy mix by 2020

Chinarsquos natural gas Supply and Demand

67

123

170

25

26

43

14

62

148

20

1312

0

5

10

15

20

25

0

100

200

300

400

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E 2019E

Net Import Export Production Consumption Growth Rate

bcm

Source ICIS

13

Forecast of Chinarsquos Natural Gas (2007-2019E)

Gas Consumption by region in 2012

7

Xinjiang Uygur autonomous region

Tibet autonomous region

Qinghai

Gansu Inner Mongolia autonomous region

Ningxia

Sichuan

Yunnan

Guizhou

Guangxi

Hainan

Guangdong

Macao Hong Kong

Hunan

Chongqing

Hubei

Jiangxi

Fujian

Zhejiang

Anhui Jiangsu Henan Shaanxi

Shanxi Hebei

Shandong

Tianjin Beijing

Liaoning

Jilin

Heilongjiang

Shanghai

Consumption volume Large Small

Source ICIS C1 Energy

LNG Consumption by region in 2013

Large

Small

Gas Distribution

City Gas Industry

Fertilizer Gas

Power Plant

29 35

22 14

Forecast of Chinas Natural Gas Consumption by Sector (2013-2017E)

0

20

40

60

80

100

2013E 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017ECity gas IndustrialCommercial fuelChemical feedstock Fuel for power plants

Source ICIS C1 Energy

2013 Chinarsquos NG consumption by Sector

Domestic Gas Supply

PetroChina is the largest gas supplier

Most of the conventional gas belongs

to PetroChina Sinopec CNOOC

Domestic Natural Gas Supply

666

1232 1321

1697

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E 2019E

Production Growth RateSource ICIS

bcm

Forecast of Chinarsquos Gas Production (2007-2019)

PetroChina

Yanchang Petroleum Group

Sinopec CNOOC

C China

NW China

N China

S China

SW China

E China

Unconventional Gas Development

Conventi

al Gas

57

Import

Pipeline

18

Import

LNG

14

SNG

4 CBM

Shale Gas

3

2015

Conventional Gas

ImportPipeline

Gas

ImportLNG SNG CBM Shale Gas

2015 1385 45 347 10 9 652017 165 65 472 32 17 10

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180billion cubic meters

Source ICIS C1 Energy

Supply target set by China government (2015 2017)

49

19

14

10

5 3

2017

Unconventional Gas Distribution

Northern China

North East China

East China

Southern China

Central China

South West China

North West China

Shale Gas

Shale Gas

Shale Gas

Shale Gas

CBM

SNG

SNG

Gas Import in China

Chinarsquos Gas Import

Forecast of Chinarsquos Gas Import (2007-2019E)

Chinarsquos Gas Import (2006-2014E)

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

4500

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 E

NG Import LNG Import Annual Growth Rate

10000 tonne

Source GAC

39

642 761

1526

3239

212 186 188

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E 2019E

Import Growth RateSource ICIS

bcm

来源安迅思息旺能源

Shanghai

Putian

Ningbo

Qingdao

Tangshan

Dalian

Shenzhen

JOVO

Hainan

Tianjin

Guangxi

Zhoushan

Rudong

East-west P II

East-West P III

China Russia Gas Pipeline

Myanmar Gas Pipeline

East-West P IV

Import LNG

Zhuhai

Gas Import Infrastructure

Gas Import by Source

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 E

Qatar LNG Australia LNG IndonesiaLNG Malaysia LNG

Other Countries LNG Turkmenistan Others

10000 tonne

Source Gac

Import Gas Price

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 E

Qatar Import LNG price

Australia Import LNG price

Indonesia Import LNG price

Malaysia Import LNG price

Other Countries Import LNG

priceTurkmenistan Pipeline

Import priceOther Pipelien Import price

$MMBtu

Source GAC

Content

Price Reform

Evaluation of Chinarsquos Gas Pricing Mechanism

Base on Cost

Base on Cost

Before 2005 2010 2012 2013-2015 After 2020

Price Reform Two Tier Pricing +

Base on Cost

Two Tier Pricing

Hub Price

Government Set and Guide the Price

Market Orientation

Price Formula

Coefficient

Import Price Import Price

VAT Thermal Value

Regional Gas Price

Government-capped City-gate Prices of Natural Gas by ProvinceMunicipalityRegion

ProvinceMunicipalityRegion

Price for existing consumption Price for outstanding consumption

RMB Yuancbm

USD $MMBtu RMB Yuancbm

USD $MMBtu

Beijing 2660 1168 3140 1379

Tianjin 2660 1168 3140 1379

Hebei 2640 1159 3120 1370

Shanxi 2570 1129 3050 1340

Inner Mongolia 2000 878 2480 1089

Guangdong 2860 1256 3320 1458

Guangxi 2690 1181 3150 1383

Heilongjiang 2420 1063 2900 1274

Shanghai 2840 1247 3320 1458

Jiangsu 2820 1239 3300 1449

Zhejiang 2830 1243 3310 1454

Anhui 2750 1208 3230 1419

Jiangxi 2620 1151 3100 1362

Shandong 2640 1159 3120 1370

Note The price is inclusive of value-added tax (VAT)

Source National Development and Reform Commission

Impact of Price Reform

Upstream

Middle stream

Downstream

Gas Power Plant Industry Vehicle Fertilizer

Supplier

LNG terminal

Domestic LNG plant Pipeline

Import LNG

Government PoliciesmdashPipeline Gas

Commercial

Gas Field Purify Pipeline City Gate Pipeline

Fertilizer

City Gas

Gas Power Plant

Industry

Vehicle

Citizen

Upstream Transportation

Downstream

LNG trucks

Vehicle

Gas refill station

Domestic LNG plant

Government PoliciesmdashLNG

Commercial

LNG trucks

Vehicle

City Gas

Gas Power Plant

Vehicle

Citizen

Industry

Import LNG

Shipping LNG terminal

Gas refill station

Pipeline

Content

Chinese gas market reforms in a regional context

Chinese import requirements uncertain but will impact wider region

bull Chinese domestic shale gas production uncertain Government cuts targets ndash 30Bcm by 2020 down from 60-100Bcm in original 2011-2015 development plan

bull Imports from Turkmenistan set to reach 30Bcm in 2014 up to 65Bcm by 2021

bull Russia-China pipeline agreement via Eastern Route ndash up to 38Bcmyear

bull Gazprom-CNPC sign framework agreement in Nov lsquo14 for 30Bcmyear via Altai (Western Route)

bull Chinese buyers have signed SPAs to import more than 50mtpa of LNG in 2020

38

5 6

24

6

17

4

China holds more than 50mtpa in LNG SPAs in 2020

Australia

Indonesia

Malaysia

Qatar

Russia

Portfolio Supply

Papua New Guinea

Chinarsquos LNG imports compared with NE Asia

rsquo08 lsquo09 lsquo10 rsquo11 rsquo12 rsquo13 rsquo14 end Sept

China LNG imports (mt)

337 574 960

131 1465 186 1467

Chinese LNG imports as percentage of regional demand

NE Asia

305 547 772 94 962 1165 1235

New Russian pipeline imports competitive with LNG

1000

1100

1200

1300

1400

1500

1600

LNG

Pric

es -

$M

MB

tu

Selected LNG and pipeline import prices to China on forward curve (12 Nov 2014)

US liquefaction DES Asia (Cheniere) QatarChina DES

Russia-China (Shanghai delivery estimate) AustraliaChina 201112

AustraliaChina CSG S-Curve from Corpus Christi statement - March 2014

source ICIS CME and NYMEX

Japan tries to align liberalisation and lower price goals

Chinese price reform raises questions for new contestable LNG supply

bull Eni and Anadarko developing multi-train

project in Mozambique Eni also plan 25mtpa FLNG project offshore Area 4

bull CNPC holds a 30 stake in Eni-led consortium developing Area 4

East Africa

bull Nine liquefaction projects at various stages of development in Western Canada have been given export approval

bull PetroChina and Sinopec stakeholders in two LNG projects

bull Cost challenges and uncertainty over royalty tax bull Regulatory issues over Western US greenfield projects

North America

bull Australian greenfield and FLNG projects under costs pressure ndash Browse Bonaparte Scarborough

bull Russian LNG ndash (Sakhalin expansionVladivostok Yamal LNG) ndash questions over financing technology

AustraliaRussia

You can rely on ICIS to stay up to date with the latest developments in China natural gas

Reliable pricing information The ICIS China Gas Markets Report enables you to understand price drivers and fluctuations and settle your contract prices more confidently by giving you access to delivered and import LNG prices as well as information on shipping information market moving news operating rates and turnaround schedules

Comprehensive supply and demand data and analysis The ICIS China LNG SupplyDemand amp Investment Opportunities Report provides detailed information on the LNG demand outlook for China ndash broken down by 24 key provinces autonomous regions and municipalities In addition it provides important information on domestic policies infrastructure developments and other key factors for consideration when making investment-related decisions

Request a sample report gtgt

Enquire about the report gtgt

Thank you very much

For other enquiries email us at enquiryiciscom Interested in our next webinars Visit wwwiciscomresourceswebinars

Click here to access the recording of the webinar - httpbcoveme41zphdnz

  • ICIS China Gas Market Webinar
  • Slide Number 2
  • Slide Number 3
  • Content
  • Slide Number 5
  • Chinarsquos natural gas Supply and Demand
  • Gas Consumption by region in 2012
  • LNG Consumption by region in 2013
  • Gas Distribution
  • Slide Number 10
  • Domestic Natural Gas Supply
  • Unconventional Gas Development
  • Unconventional Gas Distribution
  • Slide Number 14
  • Chinarsquos Gas Import
  • Gas Import Infrastructure
  • Gas Import by Source
  • Import Gas Price
  • Content
  • Evaluation of Chinarsquos Gas Pricing Mechanism
  • Price Formula
  • Regional Gas Price
  • Impact of Price Reform
  • Government PoliciesmdashPipeline Gas
  • Slide Number 25
  • Content
  • Chinese import requirements uncertain but will impact wider region
  • New Russian pipeline imports competitive with LNG
  • Japan tries to align liberalisation and lower price goals
  • Chinese price reform raises questions for new contestable LNG supply
  • Slide Number 31
  • Slide Number 32

Chinarsquos Energy Mix (2006-2020)

68 68 6963

56

19 19 18

18

17

4 5 5

8

12

8 8 8 11 15

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2015E 2020E

Coal Petroleum Natural Gas Non-fossil Energy

Source NBS ICIS C1 Energy

Chinarsquos Energy Mix

Under environment pressure

Chinese government is

encouraging clean energy

usage

Natural gas consumption is

going to reach 15 of total

primary energy mix by 2020

Chinarsquos natural gas Supply and Demand

67

123

170

25

26

43

14

62

148

20

1312

0

5

10

15

20

25

0

100

200

300

400

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E 2019E

Net Import Export Production Consumption Growth Rate

bcm

Source ICIS

13

Forecast of Chinarsquos Natural Gas (2007-2019E)

Gas Consumption by region in 2012

7

Xinjiang Uygur autonomous region

Tibet autonomous region

Qinghai

Gansu Inner Mongolia autonomous region

Ningxia

Sichuan

Yunnan

Guizhou

Guangxi

Hainan

Guangdong

Macao Hong Kong

Hunan

Chongqing

Hubei

Jiangxi

Fujian

Zhejiang

Anhui Jiangsu Henan Shaanxi

Shanxi Hebei

Shandong

Tianjin Beijing

Liaoning

Jilin

Heilongjiang

Shanghai

Consumption volume Large Small

Source ICIS C1 Energy

LNG Consumption by region in 2013

Large

Small

Gas Distribution

City Gas Industry

Fertilizer Gas

Power Plant

29 35

22 14

Forecast of Chinas Natural Gas Consumption by Sector (2013-2017E)

0

20

40

60

80

100

2013E 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017ECity gas IndustrialCommercial fuelChemical feedstock Fuel for power plants

Source ICIS C1 Energy

2013 Chinarsquos NG consumption by Sector

Domestic Gas Supply

PetroChina is the largest gas supplier

Most of the conventional gas belongs

to PetroChina Sinopec CNOOC

Domestic Natural Gas Supply

666

1232 1321

1697

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E 2019E

Production Growth RateSource ICIS

bcm

Forecast of Chinarsquos Gas Production (2007-2019)

PetroChina

Yanchang Petroleum Group

Sinopec CNOOC

C China

NW China

N China

S China

SW China

E China

Unconventional Gas Development

Conventi

al Gas

57

Import

Pipeline

18

Import

LNG

14

SNG

4 CBM

Shale Gas

3

2015

Conventional Gas

ImportPipeline

Gas

ImportLNG SNG CBM Shale Gas

2015 1385 45 347 10 9 652017 165 65 472 32 17 10

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180billion cubic meters

Source ICIS C1 Energy

Supply target set by China government (2015 2017)

49

19

14

10

5 3

2017

Unconventional Gas Distribution

Northern China

North East China

East China

Southern China

Central China

South West China

North West China

Shale Gas

Shale Gas

Shale Gas

Shale Gas

CBM

SNG

SNG

Gas Import in China

Chinarsquos Gas Import

Forecast of Chinarsquos Gas Import (2007-2019E)

Chinarsquos Gas Import (2006-2014E)

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

4500

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 E

NG Import LNG Import Annual Growth Rate

10000 tonne

Source GAC

39

642 761

1526

3239

212 186 188

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E 2019E

Import Growth RateSource ICIS

bcm

来源安迅思息旺能源

Shanghai

Putian

Ningbo

Qingdao

Tangshan

Dalian

Shenzhen

JOVO

Hainan

Tianjin

Guangxi

Zhoushan

Rudong

East-west P II

East-West P III

China Russia Gas Pipeline

Myanmar Gas Pipeline

East-West P IV

Import LNG

Zhuhai

Gas Import Infrastructure

Gas Import by Source

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 E

Qatar LNG Australia LNG IndonesiaLNG Malaysia LNG

Other Countries LNG Turkmenistan Others

10000 tonne

Source Gac

Import Gas Price

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 E

Qatar Import LNG price

Australia Import LNG price

Indonesia Import LNG price

Malaysia Import LNG price

Other Countries Import LNG

priceTurkmenistan Pipeline

Import priceOther Pipelien Import price

$MMBtu

Source GAC

Content

Price Reform

Evaluation of Chinarsquos Gas Pricing Mechanism

Base on Cost

Base on Cost

Before 2005 2010 2012 2013-2015 After 2020

Price Reform Two Tier Pricing +

Base on Cost

Two Tier Pricing

Hub Price

Government Set and Guide the Price

Market Orientation

Price Formula

Coefficient

Import Price Import Price

VAT Thermal Value

Regional Gas Price

Government-capped City-gate Prices of Natural Gas by ProvinceMunicipalityRegion

ProvinceMunicipalityRegion

Price for existing consumption Price for outstanding consumption

RMB Yuancbm

USD $MMBtu RMB Yuancbm

USD $MMBtu

Beijing 2660 1168 3140 1379

Tianjin 2660 1168 3140 1379

Hebei 2640 1159 3120 1370

Shanxi 2570 1129 3050 1340

Inner Mongolia 2000 878 2480 1089

Guangdong 2860 1256 3320 1458

Guangxi 2690 1181 3150 1383

Heilongjiang 2420 1063 2900 1274

Shanghai 2840 1247 3320 1458

Jiangsu 2820 1239 3300 1449

Zhejiang 2830 1243 3310 1454

Anhui 2750 1208 3230 1419

Jiangxi 2620 1151 3100 1362

Shandong 2640 1159 3120 1370

Note The price is inclusive of value-added tax (VAT)

Source National Development and Reform Commission

Impact of Price Reform

Upstream

Middle stream

Downstream

Gas Power Plant Industry Vehicle Fertilizer

Supplier

LNG terminal

Domestic LNG plant Pipeline

Import LNG

Government PoliciesmdashPipeline Gas

Commercial

Gas Field Purify Pipeline City Gate Pipeline

Fertilizer

City Gas

Gas Power Plant

Industry

Vehicle

Citizen

Upstream Transportation

Downstream

LNG trucks

Vehicle

Gas refill station

Domestic LNG plant

Government PoliciesmdashLNG

Commercial

LNG trucks

Vehicle

City Gas

Gas Power Plant

Vehicle

Citizen

Industry

Import LNG

Shipping LNG terminal

Gas refill station

Pipeline

Content

Chinese gas market reforms in a regional context

Chinese import requirements uncertain but will impact wider region

bull Chinese domestic shale gas production uncertain Government cuts targets ndash 30Bcm by 2020 down from 60-100Bcm in original 2011-2015 development plan

bull Imports from Turkmenistan set to reach 30Bcm in 2014 up to 65Bcm by 2021

bull Russia-China pipeline agreement via Eastern Route ndash up to 38Bcmyear

bull Gazprom-CNPC sign framework agreement in Nov lsquo14 for 30Bcmyear via Altai (Western Route)

bull Chinese buyers have signed SPAs to import more than 50mtpa of LNG in 2020

38

5 6

24

6

17

4

China holds more than 50mtpa in LNG SPAs in 2020

Australia

Indonesia

Malaysia

Qatar

Russia

Portfolio Supply

Papua New Guinea

Chinarsquos LNG imports compared with NE Asia

rsquo08 lsquo09 lsquo10 rsquo11 rsquo12 rsquo13 rsquo14 end Sept

China LNG imports (mt)

337 574 960

131 1465 186 1467

Chinese LNG imports as percentage of regional demand

NE Asia

305 547 772 94 962 1165 1235

New Russian pipeline imports competitive with LNG

1000

1100

1200

1300

1400

1500

1600

LNG

Pric

es -

$M

MB

tu

Selected LNG and pipeline import prices to China on forward curve (12 Nov 2014)

US liquefaction DES Asia (Cheniere) QatarChina DES

Russia-China (Shanghai delivery estimate) AustraliaChina 201112

AustraliaChina CSG S-Curve from Corpus Christi statement - March 2014

source ICIS CME and NYMEX

Japan tries to align liberalisation and lower price goals

Chinese price reform raises questions for new contestable LNG supply

bull Eni and Anadarko developing multi-train

project in Mozambique Eni also plan 25mtpa FLNG project offshore Area 4

bull CNPC holds a 30 stake in Eni-led consortium developing Area 4

East Africa

bull Nine liquefaction projects at various stages of development in Western Canada have been given export approval

bull PetroChina and Sinopec stakeholders in two LNG projects

bull Cost challenges and uncertainty over royalty tax bull Regulatory issues over Western US greenfield projects

North America

bull Australian greenfield and FLNG projects under costs pressure ndash Browse Bonaparte Scarborough

bull Russian LNG ndash (Sakhalin expansionVladivostok Yamal LNG) ndash questions over financing technology

AustraliaRussia

You can rely on ICIS to stay up to date with the latest developments in China natural gas

Reliable pricing information The ICIS China Gas Markets Report enables you to understand price drivers and fluctuations and settle your contract prices more confidently by giving you access to delivered and import LNG prices as well as information on shipping information market moving news operating rates and turnaround schedules

Comprehensive supply and demand data and analysis The ICIS China LNG SupplyDemand amp Investment Opportunities Report provides detailed information on the LNG demand outlook for China ndash broken down by 24 key provinces autonomous regions and municipalities In addition it provides important information on domestic policies infrastructure developments and other key factors for consideration when making investment-related decisions

Request a sample report gtgt

Enquire about the report gtgt

Thank you very much

For other enquiries email us at enquiryiciscom Interested in our next webinars Visit wwwiciscomresourceswebinars

Click here to access the recording of the webinar - httpbcoveme41zphdnz

  • ICIS China Gas Market Webinar
  • Slide Number 2
  • Slide Number 3
  • Content
  • Slide Number 5
  • Chinarsquos natural gas Supply and Demand
  • Gas Consumption by region in 2012
  • LNG Consumption by region in 2013
  • Gas Distribution
  • Slide Number 10
  • Domestic Natural Gas Supply
  • Unconventional Gas Development
  • Unconventional Gas Distribution
  • Slide Number 14
  • Chinarsquos Gas Import
  • Gas Import Infrastructure
  • Gas Import by Source
  • Import Gas Price
  • Content
  • Evaluation of Chinarsquos Gas Pricing Mechanism
  • Price Formula
  • Regional Gas Price
  • Impact of Price Reform
  • Government PoliciesmdashPipeline Gas
  • Slide Number 25
  • Content
  • Chinese import requirements uncertain but will impact wider region
  • New Russian pipeline imports competitive with LNG
  • Japan tries to align liberalisation and lower price goals
  • Chinese price reform raises questions for new contestable LNG supply
  • Slide Number 31
  • Slide Number 32

Chinarsquos natural gas Supply and Demand

67

123

170

25

26

43

14

62

148

20

1312

0

5

10

15

20

25

0

100

200

300

400

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E 2019E

Net Import Export Production Consumption Growth Rate

bcm

Source ICIS

13

Forecast of Chinarsquos Natural Gas (2007-2019E)

Gas Consumption by region in 2012

7

Xinjiang Uygur autonomous region

Tibet autonomous region

Qinghai

Gansu Inner Mongolia autonomous region

Ningxia

Sichuan

Yunnan

Guizhou

Guangxi

Hainan

Guangdong

Macao Hong Kong

Hunan

Chongqing

Hubei

Jiangxi

Fujian

Zhejiang

Anhui Jiangsu Henan Shaanxi

Shanxi Hebei

Shandong

Tianjin Beijing

Liaoning

Jilin

Heilongjiang

Shanghai

Consumption volume Large Small

Source ICIS C1 Energy

LNG Consumption by region in 2013

Large

Small

Gas Distribution

City Gas Industry

Fertilizer Gas

Power Plant

29 35

22 14

Forecast of Chinas Natural Gas Consumption by Sector (2013-2017E)

0

20

40

60

80

100

2013E 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017ECity gas IndustrialCommercial fuelChemical feedstock Fuel for power plants

Source ICIS C1 Energy

2013 Chinarsquos NG consumption by Sector

Domestic Gas Supply

PetroChina is the largest gas supplier

Most of the conventional gas belongs

to PetroChina Sinopec CNOOC

Domestic Natural Gas Supply

666

1232 1321

1697

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E 2019E

Production Growth RateSource ICIS

bcm

Forecast of Chinarsquos Gas Production (2007-2019)

PetroChina

Yanchang Petroleum Group

Sinopec CNOOC

C China

NW China

N China

S China

SW China

E China

Unconventional Gas Development

Conventi

al Gas

57

Import

Pipeline

18

Import

LNG

14

SNG

4 CBM

Shale Gas

3

2015

Conventional Gas

ImportPipeline

Gas

ImportLNG SNG CBM Shale Gas

2015 1385 45 347 10 9 652017 165 65 472 32 17 10

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180billion cubic meters

Source ICIS C1 Energy

Supply target set by China government (2015 2017)

49

19

14

10

5 3

2017

Unconventional Gas Distribution

Northern China

North East China

East China

Southern China

Central China

South West China

North West China

Shale Gas

Shale Gas

Shale Gas

Shale Gas

CBM

SNG

SNG

Gas Import in China

Chinarsquos Gas Import

Forecast of Chinarsquos Gas Import (2007-2019E)

Chinarsquos Gas Import (2006-2014E)

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

4500

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 E

NG Import LNG Import Annual Growth Rate

10000 tonne

Source GAC

39

642 761

1526

3239

212 186 188

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E 2019E

Import Growth RateSource ICIS

bcm

来源安迅思息旺能源

Shanghai

Putian

Ningbo

Qingdao

Tangshan

Dalian

Shenzhen

JOVO

Hainan

Tianjin

Guangxi

Zhoushan

Rudong

East-west P II

East-West P III

China Russia Gas Pipeline

Myanmar Gas Pipeline

East-West P IV

Import LNG

Zhuhai

Gas Import Infrastructure

Gas Import by Source

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 E

Qatar LNG Australia LNG IndonesiaLNG Malaysia LNG

Other Countries LNG Turkmenistan Others

10000 tonne

Source Gac

Import Gas Price

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 E

Qatar Import LNG price

Australia Import LNG price

Indonesia Import LNG price

Malaysia Import LNG price

Other Countries Import LNG

priceTurkmenistan Pipeline

Import priceOther Pipelien Import price

$MMBtu

Source GAC

Content

Price Reform

Evaluation of Chinarsquos Gas Pricing Mechanism

Base on Cost

Base on Cost

Before 2005 2010 2012 2013-2015 After 2020

Price Reform Two Tier Pricing +

Base on Cost

Two Tier Pricing

Hub Price

Government Set and Guide the Price

Market Orientation

Price Formula

Coefficient

Import Price Import Price

VAT Thermal Value

Regional Gas Price

Government-capped City-gate Prices of Natural Gas by ProvinceMunicipalityRegion

ProvinceMunicipalityRegion

Price for existing consumption Price for outstanding consumption

RMB Yuancbm

USD $MMBtu RMB Yuancbm

USD $MMBtu

Beijing 2660 1168 3140 1379

Tianjin 2660 1168 3140 1379

Hebei 2640 1159 3120 1370

Shanxi 2570 1129 3050 1340

Inner Mongolia 2000 878 2480 1089

Guangdong 2860 1256 3320 1458

Guangxi 2690 1181 3150 1383

Heilongjiang 2420 1063 2900 1274

Shanghai 2840 1247 3320 1458

Jiangsu 2820 1239 3300 1449

Zhejiang 2830 1243 3310 1454

Anhui 2750 1208 3230 1419

Jiangxi 2620 1151 3100 1362

Shandong 2640 1159 3120 1370

Note The price is inclusive of value-added tax (VAT)

Source National Development and Reform Commission

Impact of Price Reform

Upstream

Middle stream

Downstream

Gas Power Plant Industry Vehicle Fertilizer

Supplier

LNG terminal

Domestic LNG plant Pipeline

Import LNG

Government PoliciesmdashPipeline Gas

Commercial

Gas Field Purify Pipeline City Gate Pipeline

Fertilizer

City Gas

Gas Power Plant

Industry

Vehicle

Citizen

Upstream Transportation

Downstream

LNG trucks

Vehicle

Gas refill station

Domestic LNG plant

Government PoliciesmdashLNG

Commercial

LNG trucks

Vehicle

City Gas

Gas Power Plant

Vehicle

Citizen

Industry

Import LNG

Shipping LNG terminal

Gas refill station

Pipeline

Content

Chinese gas market reforms in a regional context

Chinese import requirements uncertain but will impact wider region

bull Chinese domestic shale gas production uncertain Government cuts targets ndash 30Bcm by 2020 down from 60-100Bcm in original 2011-2015 development plan

bull Imports from Turkmenistan set to reach 30Bcm in 2014 up to 65Bcm by 2021

bull Russia-China pipeline agreement via Eastern Route ndash up to 38Bcmyear

bull Gazprom-CNPC sign framework agreement in Nov lsquo14 for 30Bcmyear via Altai (Western Route)

bull Chinese buyers have signed SPAs to import more than 50mtpa of LNG in 2020

38

5 6

24

6

17

4

China holds more than 50mtpa in LNG SPAs in 2020

Australia

Indonesia

Malaysia

Qatar

Russia

Portfolio Supply

Papua New Guinea

Chinarsquos LNG imports compared with NE Asia

rsquo08 lsquo09 lsquo10 rsquo11 rsquo12 rsquo13 rsquo14 end Sept

China LNG imports (mt)

337 574 960

131 1465 186 1467

Chinese LNG imports as percentage of regional demand

NE Asia

305 547 772 94 962 1165 1235

New Russian pipeline imports competitive with LNG

1000

1100

1200

1300

1400

1500

1600

LNG

Pric

es -

$M

MB

tu

Selected LNG and pipeline import prices to China on forward curve (12 Nov 2014)

US liquefaction DES Asia (Cheniere) QatarChina DES

Russia-China (Shanghai delivery estimate) AustraliaChina 201112

AustraliaChina CSG S-Curve from Corpus Christi statement - March 2014

source ICIS CME and NYMEX

Japan tries to align liberalisation and lower price goals

Chinese price reform raises questions for new contestable LNG supply

bull Eni and Anadarko developing multi-train

project in Mozambique Eni also plan 25mtpa FLNG project offshore Area 4

bull CNPC holds a 30 stake in Eni-led consortium developing Area 4

East Africa

bull Nine liquefaction projects at various stages of development in Western Canada have been given export approval

bull PetroChina and Sinopec stakeholders in two LNG projects

bull Cost challenges and uncertainty over royalty tax bull Regulatory issues over Western US greenfield projects

North America

bull Australian greenfield and FLNG projects under costs pressure ndash Browse Bonaparte Scarborough

bull Russian LNG ndash (Sakhalin expansionVladivostok Yamal LNG) ndash questions over financing technology

AustraliaRussia

You can rely on ICIS to stay up to date with the latest developments in China natural gas

Reliable pricing information The ICIS China Gas Markets Report enables you to understand price drivers and fluctuations and settle your contract prices more confidently by giving you access to delivered and import LNG prices as well as information on shipping information market moving news operating rates and turnaround schedules

Comprehensive supply and demand data and analysis The ICIS China LNG SupplyDemand amp Investment Opportunities Report provides detailed information on the LNG demand outlook for China ndash broken down by 24 key provinces autonomous regions and municipalities In addition it provides important information on domestic policies infrastructure developments and other key factors for consideration when making investment-related decisions

Request a sample report gtgt

Enquire about the report gtgt

Thank you very much

For other enquiries email us at enquiryiciscom Interested in our next webinars Visit wwwiciscomresourceswebinars

Click here to access the recording of the webinar - httpbcoveme41zphdnz

  • ICIS China Gas Market Webinar
  • Slide Number 2
  • Slide Number 3
  • Content
  • Slide Number 5
  • Chinarsquos natural gas Supply and Demand
  • Gas Consumption by region in 2012
  • LNG Consumption by region in 2013
  • Gas Distribution
  • Slide Number 10
  • Domestic Natural Gas Supply
  • Unconventional Gas Development
  • Unconventional Gas Distribution
  • Slide Number 14
  • Chinarsquos Gas Import
  • Gas Import Infrastructure
  • Gas Import by Source
  • Import Gas Price
  • Content
  • Evaluation of Chinarsquos Gas Pricing Mechanism
  • Price Formula
  • Regional Gas Price
  • Impact of Price Reform
  • Government PoliciesmdashPipeline Gas
  • Slide Number 25
  • Content
  • Chinese import requirements uncertain but will impact wider region
  • New Russian pipeline imports competitive with LNG
  • Japan tries to align liberalisation and lower price goals
  • Chinese price reform raises questions for new contestable LNG supply
  • Slide Number 31
  • Slide Number 32

Gas Consumption by region in 2012

7

Xinjiang Uygur autonomous region

Tibet autonomous region

Qinghai

Gansu Inner Mongolia autonomous region

Ningxia

Sichuan

Yunnan

Guizhou

Guangxi

Hainan

Guangdong

Macao Hong Kong

Hunan

Chongqing

Hubei

Jiangxi

Fujian

Zhejiang

Anhui Jiangsu Henan Shaanxi

Shanxi Hebei

Shandong

Tianjin Beijing

Liaoning

Jilin

Heilongjiang

Shanghai

Consumption volume Large Small

Source ICIS C1 Energy

LNG Consumption by region in 2013

Large

Small

Gas Distribution

City Gas Industry

Fertilizer Gas

Power Plant

29 35

22 14

Forecast of Chinas Natural Gas Consumption by Sector (2013-2017E)

0

20

40

60

80

100

2013E 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017ECity gas IndustrialCommercial fuelChemical feedstock Fuel for power plants

Source ICIS C1 Energy

2013 Chinarsquos NG consumption by Sector

Domestic Gas Supply

PetroChina is the largest gas supplier

Most of the conventional gas belongs

to PetroChina Sinopec CNOOC

Domestic Natural Gas Supply

666

1232 1321

1697

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E 2019E

Production Growth RateSource ICIS

bcm

Forecast of Chinarsquos Gas Production (2007-2019)

PetroChina

Yanchang Petroleum Group

Sinopec CNOOC

C China

NW China

N China

S China

SW China

E China

Unconventional Gas Development

Conventi

al Gas

57

Import

Pipeline

18

Import

LNG

14

SNG

4 CBM

Shale Gas

3

2015

Conventional Gas

ImportPipeline

Gas

ImportLNG SNG CBM Shale Gas

2015 1385 45 347 10 9 652017 165 65 472 32 17 10

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180billion cubic meters

Source ICIS C1 Energy

Supply target set by China government (2015 2017)

49

19

14

10

5 3

2017

Unconventional Gas Distribution

Northern China

North East China

East China

Southern China

Central China

South West China

North West China

Shale Gas

Shale Gas

Shale Gas

Shale Gas

CBM

SNG

SNG

Gas Import in China

Chinarsquos Gas Import

Forecast of Chinarsquos Gas Import (2007-2019E)

Chinarsquos Gas Import (2006-2014E)

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

4500

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 E

NG Import LNG Import Annual Growth Rate

10000 tonne

Source GAC

39

642 761

1526

3239

212 186 188

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E 2019E

Import Growth RateSource ICIS

bcm

来源安迅思息旺能源

Shanghai

Putian

Ningbo

Qingdao

Tangshan

Dalian

Shenzhen

JOVO

Hainan

Tianjin

Guangxi

Zhoushan

Rudong

East-west P II

East-West P III

China Russia Gas Pipeline

Myanmar Gas Pipeline

East-West P IV

Import LNG

Zhuhai

Gas Import Infrastructure

Gas Import by Source

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 E

Qatar LNG Australia LNG IndonesiaLNG Malaysia LNG

Other Countries LNG Turkmenistan Others

10000 tonne

Source Gac

Import Gas Price

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 E

Qatar Import LNG price

Australia Import LNG price

Indonesia Import LNG price

Malaysia Import LNG price

Other Countries Import LNG

priceTurkmenistan Pipeline

Import priceOther Pipelien Import price

$MMBtu

Source GAC

Content

Price Reform

Evaluation of Chinarsquos Gas Pricing Mechanism

Base on Cost

Base on Cost

Before 2005 2010 2012 2013-2015 After 2020

Price Reform Two Tier Pricing +

Base on Cost

Two Tier Pricing

Hub Price

Government Set and Guide the Price

Market Orientation

Price Formula

Coefficient

Import Price Import Price

VAT Thermal Value

Regional Gas Price

Government-capped City-gate Prices of Natural Gas by ProvinceMunicipalityRegion

ProvinceMunicipalityRegion

Price for existing consumption Price for outstanding consumption

RMB Yuancbm

USD $MMBtu RMB Yuancbm

USD $MMBtu

Beijing 2660 1168 3140 1379

Tianjin 2660 1168 3140 1379

Hebei 2640 1159 3120 1370

Shanxi 2570 1129 3050 1340

Inner Mongolia 2000 878 2480 1089

Guangdong 2860 1256 3320 1458

Guangxi 2690 1181 3150 1383

Heilongjiang 2420 1063 2900 1274

Shanghai 2840 1247 3320 1458

Jiangsu 2820 1239 3300 1449

Zhejiang 2830 1243 3310 1454

Anhui 2750 1208 3230 1419

Jiangxi 2620 1151 3100 1362

Shandong 2640 1159 3120 1370

Note The price is inclusive of value-added tax (VAT)

Source National Development and Reform Commission

Impact of Price Reform

Upstream

Middle stream

Downstream

Gas Power Plant Industry Vehicle Fertilizer

Supplier

LNG terminal

Domestic LNG plant Pipeline

Import LNG

Government PoliciesmdashPipeline Gas

Commercial

Gas Field Purify Pipeline City Gate Pipeline

Fertilizer

City Gas

Gas Power Plant

Industry

Vehicle

Citizen

Upstream Transportation

Downstream

LNG trucks

Vehicle

Gas refill station

Domestic LNG plant

Government PoliciesmdashLNG

Commercial

LNG trucks

Vehicle

City Gas

Gas Power Plant

Vehicle

Citizen

Industry

Import LNG

Shipping LNG terminal

Gas refill station

Pipeline

Content

Chinese gas market reforms in a regional context

Chinese import requirements uncertain but will impact wider region

bull Chinese domestic shale gas production uncertain Government cuts targets ndash 30Bcm by 2020 down from 60-100Bcm in original 2011-2015 development plan

bull Imports from Turkmenistan set to reach 30Bcm in 2014 up to 65Bcm by 2021

bull Russia-China pipeline agreement via Eastern Route ndash up to 38Bcmyear

bull Gazprom-CNPC sign framework agreement in Nov lsquo14 for 30Bcmyear via Altai (Western Route)

bull Chinese buyers have signed SPAs to import more than 50mtpa of LNG in 2020

38

5 6

24

6

17

4

China holds more than 50mtpa in LNG SPAs in 2020

Australia

Indonesia

Malaysia

Qatar

Russia

Portfolio Supply

Papua New Guinea

Chinarsquos LNG imports compared with NE Asia

rsquo08 lsquo09 lsquo10 rsquo11 rsquo12 rsquo13 rsquo14 end Sept

China LNG imports (mt)

337 574 960

131 1465 186 1467

Chinese LNG imports as percentage of regional demand

NE Asia

305 547 772 94 962 1165 1235

New Russian pipeline imports competitive with LNG

1000

1100

1200

1300

1400

1500

1600

LNG

Pric

es -

$M

MB

tu

Selected LNG and pipeline import prices to China on forward curve (12 Nov 2014)

US liquefaction DES Asia (Cheniere) QatarChina DES

Russia-China (Shanghai delivery estimate) AustraliaChina 201112

AustraliaChina CSG S-Curve from Corpus Christi statement - March 2014

source ICIS CME and NYMEX

Japan tries to align liberalisation and lower price goals

Chinese price reform raises questions for new contestable LNG supply

bull Eni and Anadarko developing multi-train

project in Mozambique Eni also plan 25mtpa FLNG project offshore Area 4

bull CNPC holds a 30 stake in Eni-led consortium developing Area 4

East Africa

bull Nine liquefaction projects at various stages of development in Western Canada have been given export approval

bull PetroChina and Sinopec stakeholders in two LNG projects

bull Cost challenges and uncertainty over royalty tax bull Regulatory issues over Western US greenfield projects

North America

bull Australian greenfield and FLNG projects under costs pressure ndash Browse Bonaparte Scarborough

bull Russian LNG ndash (Sakhalin expansionVladivostok Yamal LNG) ndash questions over financing technology

AustraliaRussia

You can rely on ICIS to stay up to date with the latest developments in China natural gas

Reliable pricing information The ICIS China Gas Markets Report enables you to understand price drivers and fluctuations and settle your contract prices more confidently by giving you access to delivered and import LNG prices as well as information on shipping information market moving news operating rates and turnaround schedules

Comprehensive supply and demand data and analysis The ICIS China LNG SupplyDemand amp Investment Opportunities Report provides detailed information on the LNG demand outlook for China ndash broken down by 24 key provinces autonomous regions and municipalities In addition it provides important information on domestic policies infrastructure developments and other key factors for consideration when making investment-related decisions

Request a sample report gtgt

Enquire about the report gtgt

Thank you very much

For other enquiries email us at enquiryiciscom Interested in our next webinars Visit wwwiciscomresourceswebinars

Click here to access the recording of the webinar - httpbcoveme41zphdnz

  • ICIS China Gas Market Webinar
  • Slide Number 2
  • Slide Number 3
  • Content
  • Slide Number 5
  • Chinarsquos natural gas Supply and Demand
  • Gas Consumption by region in 2012
  • LNG Consumption by region in 2013
  • Gas Distribution
  • Slide Number 10
  • Domestic Natural Gas Supply
  • Unconventional Gas Development
  • Unconventional Gas Distribution
  • Slide Number 14
  • Chinarsquos Gas Import
  • Gas Import Infrastructure
  • Gas Import by Source
  • Import Gas Price
  • Content
  • Evaluation of Chinarsquos Gas Pricing Mechanism
  • Price Formula
  • Regional Gas Price
  • Impact of Price Reform
  • Government PoliciesmdashPipeline Gas
  • Slide Number 25
  • Content
  • Chinese import requirements uncertain but will impact wider region
  • New Russian pipeline imports competitive with LNG
  • Japan tries to align liberalisation and lower price goals
  • Chinese price reform raises questions for new contestable LNG supply
  • Slide Number 31
  • Slide Number 32

LNG Consumption by region in 2013

Large

Small

Gas Distribution

City Gas Industry

Fertilizer Gas

Power Plant

29 35

22 14

Forecast of Chinas Natural Gas Consumption by Sector (2013-2017E)

0

20

40

60

80

100

2013E 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017ECity gas IndustrialCommercial fuelChemical feedstock Fuel for power plants

Source ICIS C1 Energy

2013 Chinarsquos NG consumption by Sector

Domestic Gas Supply

PetroChina is the largest gas supplier

Most of the conventional gas belongs

to PetroChina Sinopec CNOOC

Domestic Natural Gas Supply

666

1232 1321

1697

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E 2019E

Production Growth RateSource ICIS

bcm

Forecast of Chinarsquos Gas Production (2007-2019)

PetroChina

Yanchang Petroleum Group

Sinopec CNOOC

C China

NW China

N China

S China

SW China

E China

Unconventional Gas Development

Conventi

al Gas

57

Import

Pipeline

18

Import

LNG

14

SNG

4 CBM

Shale Gas

3

2015

Conventional Gas

ImportPipeline

Gas

ImportLNG SNG CBM Shale Gas

2015 1385 45 347 10 9 652017 165 65 472 32 17 10

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180billion cubic meters

Source ICIS C1 Energy

Supply target set by China government (2015 2017)

49

19

14

10

5 3

2017

Unconventional Gas Distribution

Northern China

North East China

East China

Southern China

Central China

South West China

North West China

Shale Gas

Shale Gas

Shale Gas

Shale Gas

CBM

SNG

SNG

Gas Import in China

Chinarsquos Gas Import

Forecast of Chinarsquos Gas Import (2007-2019E)

Chinarsquos Gas Import (2006-2014E)

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

4500

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 E

NG Import LNG Import Annual Growth Rate

10000 tonne

Source GAC

39

642 761

1526

3239

212 186 188

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E 2019E

Import Growth RateSource ICIS

bcm

来源安迅思息旺能源

Shanghai

Putian

Ningbo

Qingdao

Tangshan

Dalian

Shenzhen

JOVO

Hainan

Tianjin

Guangxi

Zhoushan

Rudong

East-west P II

East-West P III

China Russia Gas Pipeline

Myanmar Gas Pipeline

East-West P IV

Import LNG

Zhuhai

Gas Import Infrastructure

Gas Import by Source

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 E

Qatar LNG Australia LNG IndonesiaLNG Malaysia LNG

Other Countries LNG Turkmenistan Others

10000 tonne

Source Gac

Import Gas Price

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 E

Qatar Import LNG price

Australia Import LNG price

Indonesia Import LNG price

Malaysia Import LNG price

Other Countries Import LNG

priceTurkmenistan Pipeline

Import priceOther Pipelien Import price

$MMBtu

Source GAC

Content

Price Reform

Evaluation of Chinarsquos Gas Pricing Mechanism

Base on Cost

Base on Cost

Before 2005 2010 2012 2013-2015 After 2020

Price Reform Two Tier Pricing +

Base on Cost

Two Tier Pricing

Hub Price

Government Set and Guide the Price

Market Orientation

Price Formula

Coefficient

Import Price Import Price

VAT Thermal Value

Regional Gas Price

Government-capped City-gate Prices of Natural Gas by ProvinceMunicipalityRegion

ProvinceMunicipalityRegion

Price for existing consumption Price for outstanding consumption

RMB Yuancbm

USD $MMBtu RMB Yuancbm

USD $MMBtu

Beijing 2660 1168 3140 1379

Tianjin 2660 1168 3140 1379

Hebei 2640 1159 3120 1370

Shanxi 2570 1129 3050 1340

Inner Mongolia 2000 878 2480 1089

Guangdong 2860 1256 3320 1458

Guangxi 2690 1181 3150 1383

Heilongjiang 2420 1063 2900 1274

Shanghai 2840 1247 3320 1458

Jiangsu 2820 1239 3300 1449

Zhejiang 2830 1243 3310 1454

Anhui 2750 1208 3230 1419

Jiangxi 2620 1151 3100 1362

Shandong 2640 1159 3120 1370

Note The price is inclusive of value-added tax (VAT)

Source National Development and Reform Commission

Impact of Price Reform

Upstream

Middle stream

Downstream

Gas Power Plant Industry Vehicle Fertilizer

Supplier

LNG terminal

Domestic LNG plant Pipeline

Import LNG

Government PoliciesmdashPipeline Gas

Commercial

Gas Field Purify Pipeline City Gate Pipeline

Fertilizer

City Gas

Gas Power Plant

Industry

Vehicle

Citizen

Upstream Transportation

Downstream

LNG trucks

Vehicle

Gas refill station

Domestic LNG plant

Government PoliciesmdashLNG

Commercial

LNG trucks

Vehicle

City Gas

Gas Power Plant

Vehicle

Citizen

Industry

Import LNG

Shipping LNG terminal

Gas refill station

Pipeline

Content

Chinese gas market reforms in a regional context

Chinese import requirements uncertain but will impact wider region

bull Chinese domestic shale gas production uncertain Government cuts targets ndash 30Bcm by 2020 down from 60-100Bcm in original 2011-2015 development plan

bull Imports from Turkmenistan set to reach 30Bcm in 2014 up to 65Bcm by 2021

bull Russia-China pipeline agreement via Eastern Route ndash up to 38Bcmyear

bull Gazprom-CNPC sign framework agreement in Nov lsquo14 for 30Bcmyear via Altai (Western Route)

bull Chinese buyers have signed SPAs to import more than 50mtpa of LNG in 2020

38

5 6

24

6

17

4

China holds more than 50mtpa in LNG SPAs in 2020

Australia

Indonesia

Malaysia

Qatar

Russia

Portfolio Supply

Papua New Guinea

Chinarsquos LNG imports compared with NE Asia

rsquo08 lsquo09 lsquo10 rsquo11 rsquo12 rsquo13 rsquo14 end Sept

China LNG imports (mt)

337 574 960

131 1465 186 1467

Chinese LNG imports as percentage of regional demand

NE Asia

305 547 772 94 962 1165 1235

New Russian pipeline imports competitive with LNG

1000

1100

1200

1300

1400

1500

1600

LNG

Pric

es -

$M

MB

tu

Selected LNG and pipeline import prices to China on forward curve (12 Nov 2014)

US liquefaction DES Asia (Cheniere) QatarChina DES

Russia-China (Shanghai delivery estimate) AustraliaChina 201112

AustraliaChina CSG S-Curve from Corpus Christi statement - March 2014

source ICIS CME and NYMEX

Japan tries to align liberalisation and lower price goals

Chinese price reform raises questions for new contestable LNG supply

bull Eni and Anadarko developing multi-train

project in Mozambique Eni also plan 25mtpa FLNG project offshore Area 4

bull CNPC holds a 30 stake in Eni-led consortium developing Area 4

East Africa

bull Nine liquefaction projects at various stages of development in Western Canada have been given export approval

bull PetroChina and Sinopec stakeholders in two LNG projects

bull Cost challenges and uncertainty over royalty tax bull Regulatory issues over Western US greenfield projects

North America

bull Australian greenfield and FLNG projects under costs pressure ndash Browse Bonaparte Scarborough

bull Russian LNG ndash (Sakhalin expansionVladivostok Yamal LNG) ndash questions over financing technology

AustraliaRussia

You can rely on ICIS to stay up to date with the latest developments in China natural gas

Reliable pricing information The ICIS China Gas Markets Report enables you to understand price drivers and fluctuations and settle your contract prices more confidently by giving you access to delivered and import LNG prices as well as information on shipping information market moving news operating rates and turnaround schedules

Comprehensive supply and demand data and analysis The ICIS China LNG SupplyDemand amp Investment Opportunities Report provides detailed information on the LNG demand outlook for China ndash broken down by 24 key provinces autonomous regions and municipalities In addition it provides important information on domestic policies infrastructure developments and other key factors for consideration when making investment-related decisions

Request a sample report gtgt

Enquire about the report gtgt

Thank you very much

For other enquiries email us at enquiryiciscom Interested in our next webinars Visit wwwiciscomresourceswebinars

Click here to access the recording of the webinar - httpbcoveme41zphdnz

  • ICIS China Gas Market Webinar
  • Slide Number 2
  • Slide Number 3
  • Content
  • Slide Number 5
  • Chinarsquos natural gas Supply and Demand
  • Gas Consumption by region in 2012
  • LNG Consumption by region in 2013
  • Gas Distribution
  • Slide Number 10
  • Domestic Natural Gas Supply
  • Unconventional Gas Development
  • Unconventional Gas Distribution
  • Slide Number 14
  • Chinarsquos Gas Import
  • Gas Import Infrastructure
  • Gas Import by Source
  • Import Gas Price
  • Content
  • Evaluation of Chinarsquos Gas Pricing Mechanism
  • Price Formula
  • Regional Gas Price
  • Impact of Price Reform
  • Government PoliciesmdashPipeline Gas
  • Slide Number 25
  • Content
  • Chinese import requirements uncertain but will impact wider region
  • New Russian pipeline imports competitive with LNG
  • Japan tries to align liberalisation and lower price goals
  • Chinese price reform raises questions for new contestable LNG supply
  • Slide Number 31
  • Slide Number 32

Gas Distribution

City Gas Industry

Fertilizer Gas

Power Plant

29 35

22 14

Forecast of Chinas Natural Gas Consumption by Sector (2013-2017E)

0

20

40

60

80

100

2013E 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017ECity gas IndustrialCommercial fuelChemical feedstock Fuel for power plants

Source ICIS C1 Energy

2013 Chinarsquos NG consumption by Sector

Domestic Gas Supply

PetroChina is the largest gas supplier

Most of the conventional gas belongs

to PetroChina Sinopec CNOOC

Domestic Natural Gas Supply

666

1232 1321

1697

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E 2019E

Production Growth RateSource ICIS

bcm

Forecast of Chinarsquos Gas Production (2007-2019)

PetroChina

Yanchang Petroleum Group

Sinopec CNOOC

C China

NW China

N China

S China

SW China

E China

Unconventional Gas Development

Conventi

al Gas

57

Import

Pipeline

18

Import

LNG

14

SNG

4 CBM

Shale Gas

3

2015

Conventional Gas

ImportPipeline

Gas

ImportLNG SNG CBM Shale Gas

2015 1385 45 347 10 9 652017 165 65 472 32 17 10

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180billion cubic meters

Source ICIS C1 Energy

Supply target set by China government (2015 2017)

49

19

14

10

5 3

2017

Unconventional Gas Distribution

Northern China

North East China

East China

Southern China

Central China

South West China

North West China

Shale Gas

Shale Gas

Shale Gas

Shale Gas

CBM

SNG

SNG

Gas Import in China

Chinarsquos Gas Import

Forecast of Chinarsquos Gas Import (2007-2019E)

Chinarsquos Gas Import (2006-2014E)

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

4500

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 E

NG Import LNG Import Annual Growth Rate

10000 tonne

Source GAC

39

642 761

1526

3239

212 186 188

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E 2019E

Import Growth RateSource ICIS

bcm

来源安迅思息旺能源

Shanghai

Putian

Ningbo

Qingdao

Tangshan

Dalian

Shenzhen

JOVO

Hainan

Tianjin

Guangxi

Zhoushan

Rudong

East-west P II

East-West P III

China Russia Gas Pipeline

Myanmar Gas Pipeline

East-West P IV

Import LNG

Zhuhai

Gas Import Infrastructure

Gas Import by Source

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 E

Qatar LNG Australia LNG IndonesiaLNG Malaysia LNG

Other Countries LNG Turkmenistan Others

10000 tonne

Source Gac

Import Gas Price

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 E

Qatar Import LNG price

Australia Import LNG price

Indonesia Import LNG price

Malaysia Import LNG price

Other Countries Import LNG

priceTurkmenistan Pipeline

Import priceOther Pipelien Import price

$MMBtu

Source GAC

Content

Price Reform

Evaluation of Chinarsquos Gas Pricing Mechanism

Base on Cost

Base on Cost

Before 2005 2010 2012 2013-2015 After 2020

Price Reform Two Tier Pricing +

Base on Cost

Two Tier Pricing

Hub Price

Government Set and Guide the Price

Market Orientation

Price Formula

Coefficient

Import Price Import Price

VAT Thermal Value

Regional Gas Price

Government-capped City-gate Prices of Natural Gas by ProvinceMunicipalityRegion

ProvinceMunicipalityRegion

Price for existing consumption Price for outstanding consumption

RMB Yuancbm

USD $MMBtu RMB Yuancbm

USD $MMBtu

Beijing 2660 1168 3140 1379

Tianjin 2660 1168 3140 1379

Hebei 2640 1159 3120 1370

Shanxi 2570 1129 3050 1340

Inner Mongolia 2000 878 2480 1089

Guangdong 2860 1256 3320 1458

Guangxi 2690 1181 3150 1383

Heilongjiang 2420 1063 2900 1274

Shanghai 2840 1247 3320 1458

Jiangsu 2820 1239 3300 1449

Zhejiang 2830 1243 3310 1454

Anhui 2750 1208 3230 1419

Jiangxi 2620 1151 3100 1362

Shandong 2640 1159 3120 1370

Note The price is inclusive of value-added tax (VAT)

Source National Development and Reform Commission

Impact of Price Reform

Upstream

Middle stream

Downstream

Gas Power Plant Industry Vehicle Fertilizer

Supplier

LNG terminal

Domestic LNG plant Pipeline

Import LNG

Government PoliciesmdashPipeline Gas

Commercial

Gas Field Purify Pipeline City Gate Pipeline

Fertilizer

City Gas

Gas Power Plant

Industry

Vehicle

Citizen

Upstream Transportation

Downstream

LNG trucks

Vehicle

Gas refill station

Domestic LNG plant

Government PoliciesmdashLNG

Commercial

LNG trucks

Vehicle

City Gas

Gas Power Plant

Vehicle

Citizen

Industry

Import LNG

Shipping LNG terminal

Gas refill station

Pipeline

Content

Chinese gas market reforms in a regional context

Chinese import requirements uncertain but will impact wider region

bull Chinese domestic shale gas production uncertain Government cuts targets ndash 30Bcm by 2020 down from 60-100Bcm in original 2011-2015 development plan

bull Imports from Turkmenistan set to reach 30Bcm in 2014 up to 65Bcm by 2021

bull Russia-China pipeline agreement via Eastern Route ndash up to 38Bcmyear

bull Gazprom-CNPC sign framework agreement in Nov lsquo14 for 30Bcmyear via Altai (Western Route)

bull Chinese buyers have signed SPAs to import more than 50mtpa of LNG in 2020

38

5 6

24

6

17

4

China holds more than 50mtpa in LNG SPAs in 2020

Australia

Indonesia

Malaysia

Qatar

Russia

Portfolio Supply

Papua New Guinea

Chinarsquos LNG imports compared with NE Asia

rsquo08 lsquo09 lsquo10 rsquo11 rsquo12 rsquo13 rsquo14 end Sept

China LNG imports (mt)

337 574 960

131 1465 186 1467

Chinese LNG imports as percentage of regional demand

NE Asia

305 547 772 94 962 1165 1235

New Russian pipeline imports competitive with LNG

1000

1100

1200

1300

1400

1500

1600

LNG

Pric

es -

$M

MB

tu

Selected LNG and pipeline import prices to China on forward curve (12 Nov 2014)

US liquefaction DES Asia (Cheniere) QatarChina DES

Russia-China (Shanghai delivery estimate) AustraliaChina 201112

AustraliaChina CSG S-Curve from Corpus Christi statement - March 2014

source ICIS CME and NYMEX

Japan tries to align liberalisation and lower price goals

Chinese price reform raises questions for new contestable LNG supply

bull Eni and Anadarko developing multi-train

project in Mozambique Eni also plan 25mtpa FLNG project offshore Area 4

bull CNPC holds a 30 stake in Eni-led consortium developing Area 4

East Africa

bull Nine liquefaction projects at various stages of development in Western Canada have been given export approval

bull PetroChina and Sinopec stakeholders in two LNG projects

bull Cost challenges and uncertainty over royalty tax bull Regulatory issues over Western US greenfield projects

North America

bull Australian greenfield and FLNG projects under costs pressure ndash Browse Bonaparte Scarborough

bull Russian LNG ndash (Sakhalin expansionVladivostok Yamal LNG) ndash questions over financing technology

AustraliaRussia

You can rely on ICIS to stay up to date with the latest developments in China natural gas

Reliable pricing information The ICIS China Gas Markets Report enables you to understand price drivers and fluctuations and settle your contract prices more confidently by giving you access to delivered and import LNG prices as well as information on shipping information market moving news operating rates and turnaround schedules

Comprehensive supply and demand data and analysis The ICIS China LNG SupplyDemand amp Investment Opportunities Report provides detailed information on the LNG demand outlook for China ndash broken down by 24 key provinces autonomous regions and municipalities In addition it provides important information on domestic policies infrastructure developments and other key factors for consideration when making investment-related decisions

Request a sample report gtgt

Enquire about the report gtgt

Thank you very much

For other enquiries email us at enquiryiciscom Interested in our next webinars Visit wwwiciscomresourceswebinars

Click here to access the recording of the webinar - httpbcoveme41zphdnz

  • ICIS China Gas Market Webinar
  • Slide Number 2
  • Slide Number 3
  • Content
  • Slide Number 5
  • Chinarsquos natural gas Supply and Demand
  • Gas Consumption by region in 2012
  • LNG Consumption by region in 2013
  • Gas Distribution
  • Slide Number 10
  • Domestic Natural Gas Supply
  • Unconventional Gas Development
  • Unconventional Gas Distribution
  • Slide Number 14
  • Chinarsquos Gas Import
  • Gas Import Infrastructure
  • Gas Import by Source
  • Import Gas Price
  • Content
  • Evaluation of Chinarsquos Gas Pricing Mechanism
  • Price Formula
  • Regional Gas Price
  • Impact of Price Reform
  • Government PoliciesmdashPipeline Gas
  • Slide Number 25
  • Content
  • Chinese import requirements uncertain but will impact wider region
  • New Russian pipeline imports competitive with LNG
  • Japan tries to align liberalisation and lower price goals
  • Chinese price reform raises questions for new contestable LNG supply
  • Slide Number 31
  • Slide Number 32

Domestic Gas Supply

PetroChina is the largest gas supplier

Most of the conventional gas belongs

to PetroChina Sinopec CNOOC

Domestic Natural Gas Supply

666

1232 1321

1697

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E 2019E

Production Growth RateSource ICIS

bcm

Forecast of Chinarsquos Gas Production (2007-2019)

PetroChina

Yanchang Petroleum Group

Sinopec CNOOC

C China

NW China

N China

S China

SW China

E China

Unconventional Gas Development

Conventi

al Gas

57

Import

Pipeline

18

Import

LNG

14

SNG

4 CBM

Shale Gas

3

2015

Conventional Gas

ImportPipeline

Gas

ImportLNG SNG CBM Shale Gas

2015 1385 45 347 10 9 652017 165 65 472 32 17 10

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180billion cubic meters

Source ICIS C1 Energy

Supply target set by China government (2015 2017)

49

19

14

10

5 3

2017

Unconventional Gas Distribution

Northern China

North East China

East China

Southern China

Central China

South West China

North West China

Shale Gas

Shale Gas

Shale Gas

Shale Gas

CBM

SNG

SNG

Gas Import in China

Chinarsquos Gas Import

Forecast of Chinarsquos Gas Import (2007-2019E)

Chinarsquos Gas Import (2006-2014E)

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

4500

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 E

NG Import LNG Import Annual Growth Rate

10000 tonne

Source GAC

39

642 761

1526

3239

212 186 188

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E 2019E

Import Growth RateSource ICIS

bcm

来源安迅思息旺能源

Shanghai

Putian

Ningbo

Qingdao

Tangshan

Dalian

Shenzhen

JOVO

Hainan

Tianjin

Guangxi

Zhoushan

Rudong

East-west P II

East-West P III

China Russia Gas Pipeline

Myanmar Gas Pipeline

East-West P IV

Import LNG

Zhuhai

Gas Import Infrastructure

Gas Import by Source

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 E

Qatar LNG Australia LNG IndonesiaLNG Malaysia LNG

Other Countries LNG Turkmenistan Others

10000 tonne

Source Gac

Import Gas Price

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 E

Qatar Import LNG price

Australia Import LNG price

Indonesia Import LNG price

Malaysia Import LNG price

Other Countries Import LNG

priceTurkmenistan Pipeline

Import priceOther Pipelien Import price

$MMBtu

Source GAC

Content

Price Reform

Evaluation of Chinarsquos Gas Pricing Mechanism

Base on Cost

Base on Cost

Before 2005 2010 2012 2013-2015 After 2020

Price Reform Two Tier Pricing +

Base on Cost

Two Tier Pricing

Hub Price

Government Set and Guide the Price

Market Orientation

Price Formula

Coefficient

Import Price Import Price

VAT Thermal Value

Regional Gas Price

Government-capped City-gate Prices of Natural Gas by ProvinceMunicipalityRegion

ProvinceMunicipalityRegion

Price for existing consumption Price for outstanding consumption

RMB Yuancbm

USD $MMBtu RMB Yuancbm

USD $MMBtu

Beijing 2660 1168 3140 1379

Tianjin 2660 1168 3140 1379

Hebei 2640 1159 3120 1370

Shanxi 2570 1129 3050 1340

Inner Mongolia 2000 878 2480 1089

Guangdong 2860 1256 3320 1458

Guangxi 2690 1181 3150 1383

Heilongjiang 2420 1063 2900 1274

Shanghai 2840 1247 3320 1458

Jiangsu 2820 1239 3300 1449

Zhejiang 2830 1243 3310 1454

Anhui 2750 1208 3230 1419

Jiangxi 2620 1151 3100 1362

Shandong 2640 1159 3120 1370

Note The price is inclusive of value-added tax (VAT)

Source National Development and Reform Commission

Impact of Price Reform

Upstream

Middle stream

Downstream

Gas Power Plant Industry Vehicle Fertilizer

Supplier

LNG terminal

Domestic LNG plant Pipeline

Import LNG

Government PoliciesmdashPipeline Gas

Commercial

Gas Field Purify Pipeline City Gate Pipeline

Fertilizer

City Gas

Gas Power Plant

Industry

Vehicle

Citizen

Upstream Transportation

Downstream

LNG trucks

Vehicle

Gas refill station

Domestic LNG plant

Government PoliciesmdashLNG

Commercial

LNG trucks

Vehicle

City Gas

Gas Power Plant

Vehicle

Citizen

Industry

Import LNG

Shipping LNG terminal

Gas refill station

Pipeline

Content

Chinese gas market reforms in a regional context

Chinese import requirements uncertain but will impact wider region

bull Chinese domestic shale gas production uncertain Government cuts targets ndash 30Bcm by 2020 down from 60-100Bcm in original 2011-2015 development plan

bull Imports from Turkmenistan set to reach 30Bcm in 2014 up to 65Bcm by 2021

bull Russia-China pipeline agreement via Eastern Route ndash up to 38Bcmyear

bull Gazprom-CNPC sign framework agreement in Nov lsquo14 for 30Bcmyear via Altai (Western Route)

bull Chinese buyers have signed SPAs to import more than 50mtpa of LNG in 2020

38

5 6

24

6

17

4

China holds more than 50mtpa in LNG SPAs in 2020

Australia

Indonesia

Malaysia

Qatar

Russia

Portfolio Supply

Papua New Guinea

Chinarsquos LNG imports compared with NE Asia

rsquo08 lsquo09 lsquo10 rsquo11 rsquo12 rsquo13 rsquo14 end Sept

China LNG imports (mt)

337 574 960

131 1465 186 1467

Chinese LNG imports as percentage of regional demand

NE Asia

305 547 772 94 962 1165 1235

New Russian pipeline imports competitive with LNG

1000

1100

1200

1300

1400

1500

1600

LNG

Pric

es -

$M

MB

tu

Selected LNG and pipeline import prices to China on forward curve (12 Nov 2014)

US liquefaction DES Asia (Cheniere) QatarChina DES

Russia-China (Shanghai delivery estimate) AustraliaChina 201112

AustraliaChina CSG S-Curve from Corpus Christi statement - March 2014

source ICIS CME and NYMEX

Japan tries to align liberalisation and lower price goals

Chinese price reform raises questions for new contestable LNG supply

bull Eni and Anadarko developing multi-train

project in Mozambique Eni also plan 25mtpa FLNG project offshore Area 4

bull CNPC holds a 30 stake in Eni-led consortium developing Area 4

East Africa

bull Nine liquefaction projects at various stages of development in Western Canada have been given export approval

bull PetroChina and Sinopec stakeholders in two LNG projects

bull Cost challenges and uncertainty over royalty tax bull Regulatory issues over Western US greenfield projects

North America

bull Australian greenfield and FLNG projects under costs pressure ndash Browse Bonaparte Scarborough

bull Russian LNG ndash (Sakhalin expansionVladivostok Yamal LNG) ndash questions over financing technology

AustraliaRussia

You can rely on ICIS to stay up to date with the latest developments in China natural gas

Reliable pricing information The ICIS China Gas Markets Report enables you to understand price drivers and fluctuations and settle your contract prices more confidently by giving you access to delivered and import LNG prices as well as information on shipping information market moving news operating rates and turnaround schedules

Comprehensive supply and demand data and analysis The ICIS China LNG SupplyDemand amp Investment Opportunities Report provides detailed information on the LNG demand outlook for China ndash broken down by 24 key provinces autonomous regions and municipalities In addition it provides important information on domestic policies infrastructure developments and other key factors for consideration when making investment-related decisions

Request a sample report gtgt

Enquire about the report gtgt

Thank you very much

For other enquiries email us at enquiryiciscom Interested in our next webinars Visit wwwiciscomresourceswebinars

Click here to access the recording of the webinar - httpbcoveme41zphdnz

  • ICIS China Gas Market Webinar
  • Slide Number 2
  • Slide Number 3
  • Content
  • Slide Number 5
  • Chinarsquos natural gas Supply and Demand
  • Gas Consumption by region in 2012
  • LNG Consumption by region in 2013
  • Gas Distribution
  • Slide Number 10
  • Domestic Natural Gas Supply
  • Unconventional Gas Development
  • Unconventional Gas Distribution
  • Slide Number 14
  • Chinarsquos Gas Import
  • Gas Import Infrastructure
  • Gas Import by Source
  • Import Gas Price
  • Content
  • Evaluation of Chinarsquos Gas Pricing Mechanism
  • Price Formula
  • Regional Gas Price
  • Impact of Price Reform
  • Government PoliciesmdashPipeline Gas
  • Slide Number 25
  • Content
  • Chinese import requirements uncertain but will impact wider region
  • New Russian pipeline imports competitive with LNG
  • Japan tries to align liberalisation and lower price goals
  • Chinese price reform raises questions for new contestable LNG supply
  • Slide Number 31
  • Slide Number 32

PetroChina is the largest gas supplier

Most of the conventional gas belongs

to PetroChina Sinopec CNOOC

Domestic Natural Gas Supply

666

1232 1321

1697

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E 2019E

Production Growth RateSource ICIS

bcm

Forecast of Chinarsquos Gas Production (2007-2019)

PetroChina

Yanchang Petroleum Group

Sinopec CNOOC

C China

NW China

N China

S China

SW China

E China

Unconventional Gas Development

Conventi

al Gas

57

Import

Pipeline

18

Import

LNG

14

SNG

4 CBM

Shale Gas

3

2015

Conventional Gas

ImportPipeline

Gas

ImportLNG SNG CBM Shale Gas

2015 1385 45 347 10 9 652017 165 65 472 32 17 10

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180billion cubic meters

Source ICIS C1 Energy

Supply target set by China government (2015 2017)

49

19

14

10

5 3

2017

Unconventional Gas Distribution

Northern China

North East China

East China

Southern China

Central China

South West China

North West China

Shale Gas

Shale Gas

Shale Gas

Shale Gas

CBM

SNG

SNG

Gas Import in China

Chinarsquos Gas Import

Forecast of Chinarsquos Gas Import (2007-2019E)

Chinarsquos Gas Import (2006-2014E)

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

4500

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 E

NG Import LNG Import Annual Growth Rate

10000 tonne

Source GAC

39

642 761

1526

3239

212 186 188

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E 2019E

Import Growth RateSource ICIS

bcm

来源安迅思息旺能源

Shanghai

Putian

Ningbo

Qingdao

Tangshan

Dalian

Shenzhen

JOVO

Hainan

Tianjin

Guangxi

Zhoushan

Rudong

East-west P II

East-West P III

China Russia Gas Pipeline

Myanmar Gas Pipeline

East-West P IV

Import LNG

Zhuhai

Gas Import Infrastructure

Gas Import by Source

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 E

Qatar LNG Australia LNG IndonesiaLNG Malaysia LNG

Other Countries LNG Turkmenistan Others

10000 tonne

Source Gac

Import Gas Price

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 E

Qatar Import LNG price

Australia Import LNG price

Indonesia Import LNG price

Malaysia Import LNG price

Other Countries Import LNG

priceTurkmenistan Pipeline

Import priceOther Pipelien Import price

$MMBtu

Source GAC

Content

Price Reform

Evaluation of Chinarsquos Gas Pricing Mechanism

Base on Cost

Base on Cost

Before 2005 2010 2012 2013-2015 After 2020

Price Reform Two Tier Pricing +

Base on Cost

Two Tier Pricing

Hub Price

Government Set and Guide the Price

Market Orientation

Price Formula

Coefficient

Import Price Import Price

VAT Thermal Value

Regional Gas Price

Government-capped City-gate Prices of Natural Gas by ProvinceMunicipalityRegion

ProvinceMunicipalityRegion

Price for existing consumption Price for outstanding consumption

RMB Yuancbm

USD $MMBtu RMB Yuancbm

USD $MMBtu

Beijing 2660 1168 3140 1379

Tianjin 2660 1168 3140 1379

Hebei 2640 1159 3120 1370

Shanxi 2570 1129 3050 1340

Inner Mongolia 2000 878 2480 1089

Guangdong 2860 1256 3320 1458

Guangxi 2690 1181 3150 1383

Heilongjiang 2420 1063 2900 1274

Shanghai 2840 1247 3320 1458

Jiangsu 2820 1239 3300 1449

Zhejiang 2830 1243 3310 1454

Anhui 2750 1208 3230 1419

Jiangxi 2620 1151 3100 1362

Shandong 2640 1159 3120 1370

Note The price is inclusive of value-added tax (VAT)

Source National Development and Reform Commission

Impact of Price Reform

Upstream

Middle stream

Downstream

Gas Power Plant Industry Vehicle Fertilizer

Supplier

LNG terminal

Domestic LNG plant Pipeline

Import LNG

Government PoliciesmdashPipeline Gas

Commercial

Gas Field Purify Pipeline City Gate Pipeline

Fertilizer

City Gas

Gas Power Plant

Industry

Vehicle

Citizen

Upstream Transportation

Downstream

LNG trucks

Vehicle

Gas refill station

Domestic LNG plant

Government PoliciesmdashLNG

Commercial

LNG trucks

Vehicle

City Gas

Gas Power Plant

Vehicle

Citizen

Industry

Import LNG

Shipping LNG terminal

Gas refill station

Pipeline

Content

Chinese gas market reforms in a regional context

Chinese import requirements uncertain but will impact wider region

bull Chinese domestic shale gas production uncertain Government cuts targets ndash 30Bcm by 2020 down from 60-100Bcm in original 2011-2015 development plan

bull Imports from Turkmenistan set to reach 30Bcm in 2014 up to 65Bcm by 2021

bull Russia-China pipeline agreement via Eastern Route ndash up to 38Bcmyear

bull Gazprom-CNPC sign framework agreement in Nov lsquo14 for 30Bcmyear via Altai (Western Route)

bull Chinese buyers have signed SPAs to import more than 50mtpa of LNG in 2020

38

5 6

24

6

17

4

China holds more than 50mtpa in LNG SPAs in 2020

Australia

Indonesia

Malaysia

Qatar

Russia

Portfolio Supply

Papua New Guinea

Chinarsquos LNG imports compared with NE Asia

rsquo08 lsquo09 lsquo10 rsquo11 rsquo12 rsquo13 rsquo14 end Sept

China LNG imports (mt)

337 574 960

131 1465 186 1467

Chinese LNG imports as percentage of regional demand

NE Asia

305 547 772 94 962 1165 1235

New Russian pipeline imports competitive with LNG

1000

1100

1200

1300

1400

1500

1600

LNG

Pric

es -

$M

MB

tu

Selected LNG and pipeline import prices to China on forward curve (12 Nov 2014)

US liquefaction DES Asia (Cheniere) QatarChina DES

Russia-China (Shanghai delivery estimate) AustraliaChina 201112

AustraliaChina CSG S-Curve from Corpus Christi statement - March 2014

source ICIS CME and NYMEX

Japan tries to align liberalisation and lower price goals

Chinese price reform raises questions for new contestable LNG supply

bull Eni and Anadarko developing multi-train

project in Mozambique Eni also plan 25mtpa FLNG project offshore Area 4

bull CNPC holds a 30 stake in Eni-led consortium developing Area 4

East Africa

bull Nine liquefaction projects at various stages of development in Western Canada have been given export approval

bull PetroChina and Sinopec stakeholders in two LNG projects

bull Cost challenges and uncertainty over royalty tax bull Regulatory issues over Western US greenfield projects

North America

bull Australian greenfield and FLNG projects under costs pressure ndash Browse Bonaparte Scarborough

bull Russian LNG ndash (Sakhalin expansionVladivostok Yamal LNG) ndash questions over financing technology

AustraliaRussia

You can rely on ICIS to stay up to date with the latest developments in China natural gas

Reliable pricing information The ICIS China Gas Markets Report enables you to understand price drivers and fluctuations and settle your contract prices more confidently by giving you access to delivered and import LNG prices as well as information on shipping information market moving news operating rates and turnaround schedules

Comprehensive supply and demand data and analysis The ICIS China LNG SupplyDemand amp Investment Opportunities Report provides detailed information on the LNG demand outlook for China ndash broken down by 24 key provinces autonomous regions and municipalities In addition it provides important information on domestic policies infrastructure developments and other key factors for consideration when making investment-related decisions

Request a sample report gtgt

Enquire about the report gtgt

Thank you very much

For other enquiries email us at enquiryiciscom Interested in our next webinars Visit wwwiciscomresourceswebinars

Click here to access the recording of the webinar - httpbcoveme41zphdnz

  • ICIS China Gas Market Webinar
  • Slide Number 2
  • Slide Number 3
  • Content
  • Slide Number 5
  • Chinarsquos natural gas Supply and Demand
  • Gas Consumption by region in 2012
  • LNG Consumption by region in 2013
  • Gas Distribution
  • Slide Number 10
  • Domestic Natural Gas Supply
  • Unconventional Gas Development
  • Unconventional Gas Distribution
  • Slide Number 14
  • Chinarsquos Gas Import
  • Gas Import Infrastructure
  • Gas Import by Source
  • Import Gas Price
  • Content
  • Evaluation of Chinarsquos Gas Pricing Mechanism
  • Price Formula
  • Regional Gas Price
  • Impact of Price Reform
  • Government PoliciesmdashPipeline Gas
  • Slide Number 25
  • Content
  • Chinese import requirements uncertain but will impact wider region
  • New Russian pipeline imports competitive with LNG
  • Japan tries to align liberalisation and lower price goals
  • Chinese price reform raises questions for new contestable LNG supply
  • Slide Number 31
  • Slide Number 32

Unconventional Gas Development

Conventi

al Gas

57

Import

Pipeline

18

Import

LNG

14

SNG

4 CBM

Shale Gas

3

2015

Conventional Gas

ImportPipeline

Gas

ImportLNG SNG CBM Shale Gas

2015 1385 45 347 10 9 652017 165 65 472 32 17 10

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180billion cubic meters

Source ICIS C1 Energy

Supply target set by China government (2015 2017)

49

19

14

10

5 3

2017

Unconventional Gas Distribution

Northern China

North East China

East China

Southern China

Central China

South West China

North West China

Shale Gas

Shale Gas

Shale Gas

Shale Gas

CBM

SNG

SNG

Gas Import in China

Chinarsquos Gas Import

Forecast of Chinarsquos Gas Import (2007-2019E)

Chinarsquos Gas Import (2006-2014E)

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

4500

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 E

NG Import LNG Import Annual Growth Rate

10000 tonne

Source GAC

39

642 761

1526

3239

212 186 188

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E 2019E

Import Growth RateSource ICIS

bcm

来源安迅思息旺能源

Shanghai

Putian

Ningbo

Qingdao

Tangshan

Dalian

Shenzhen

JOVO

Hainan

Tianjin

Guangxi

Zhoushan

Rudong

East-west P II

East-West P III

China Russia Gas Pipeline

Myanmar Gas Pipeline

East-West P IV

Import LNG

Zhuhai

Gas Import Infrastructure

Gas Import by Source

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 E

Qatar LNG Australia LNG IndonesiaLNG Malaysia LNG

Other Countries LNG Turkmenistan Others

10000 tonne

Source Gac

Import Gas Price

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 E

Qatar Import LNG price

Australia Import LNG price

Indonesia Import LNG price

Malaysia Import LNG price

Other Countries Import LNG

priceTurkmenistan Pipeline

Import priceOther Pipelien Import price

$MMBtu

Source GAC

Content

Price Reform

Evaluation of Chinarsquos Gas Pricing Mechanism

Base on Cost

Base on Cost

Before 2005 2010 2012 2013-2015 After 2020

Price Reform Two Tier Pricing +

Base on Cost

Two Tier Pricing

Hub Price

Government Set and Guide the Price

Market Orientation

Price Formula

Coefficient

Import Price Import Price

VAT Thermal Value

Regional Gas Price

Government-capped City-gate Prices of Natural Gas by ProvinceMunicipalityRegion

ProvinceMunicipalityRegion

Price for existing consumption Price for outstanding consumption

RMB Yuancbm

USD $MMBtu RMB Yuancbm

USD $MMBtu

Beijing 2660 1168 3140 1379

Tianjin 2660 1168 3140 1379

Hebei 2640 1159 3120 1370

Shanxi 2570 1129 3050 1340

Inner Mongolia 2000 878 2480 1089

Guangdong 2860 1256 3320 1458

Guangxi 2690 1181 3150 1383

Heilongjiang 2420 1063 2900 1274

Shanghai 2840 1247 3320 1458

Jiangsu 2820 1239 3300 1449

Zhejiang 2830 1243 3310 1454

Anhui 2750 1208 3230 1419

Jiangxi 2620 1151 3100 1362

Shandong 2640 1159 3120 1370

Note The price is inclusive of value-added tax (VAT)

Source National Development and Reform Commission

Impact of Price Reform

Upstream

Middle stream

Downstream

Gas Power Plant Industry Vehicle Fertilizer

Supplier

LNG terminal

Domestic LNG plant Pipeline

Import LNG

Government PoliciesmdashPipeline Gas

Commercial

Gas Field Purify Pipeline City Gate Pipeline

Fertilizer

City Gas

Gas Power Plant

Industry

Vehicle

Citizen

Upstream Transportation

Downstream

LNG trucks

Vehicle

Gas refill station

Domestic LNG plant

Government PoliciesmdashLNG

Commercial

LNG trucks

Vehicle

City Gas

Gas Power Plant

Vehicle

Citizen

Industry

Import LNG

Shipping LNG terminal

Gas refill station

Pipeline

Content

Chinese gas market reforms in a regional context

Chinese import requirements uncertain but will impact wider region

bull Chinese domestic shale gas production uncertain Government cuts targets ndash 30Bcm by 2020 down from 60-100Bcm in original 2011-2015 development plan

bull Imports from Turkmenistan set to reach 30Bcm in 2014 up to 65Bcm by 2021

bull Russia-China pipeline agreement via Eastern Route ndash up to 38Bcmyear

bull Gazprom-CNPC sign framework agreement in Nov lsquo14 for 30Bcmyear via Altai (Western Route)

bull Chinese buyers have signed SPAs to import more than 50mtpa of LNG in 2020

38

5 6

24

6

17

4

China holds more than 50mtpa in LNG SPAs in 2020

Australia

Indonesia

Malaysia

Qatar

Russia

Portfolio Supply

Papua New Guinea

Chinarsquos LNG imports compared with NE Asia

rsquo08 lsquo09 lsquo10 rsquo11 rsquo12 rsquo13 rsquo14 end Sept

China LNG imports (mt)

337 574 960

131 1465 186 1467

Chinese LNG imports as percentage of regional demand

NE Asia

305 547 772 94 962 1165 1235

New Russian pipeline imports competitive with LNG

1000

1100

1200

1300

1400

1500

1600

LNG

Pric

es -

$M

MB

tu

Selected LNG and pipeline import prices to China on forward curve (12 Nov 2014)

US liquefaction DES Asia (Cheniere) QatarChina DES

Russia-China (Shanghai delivery estimate) AustraliaChina 201112

AustraliaChina CSG S-Curve from Corpus Christi statement - March 2014

source ICIS CME and NYMEX

Japan tries to align liberalisation and lower price goals

Chinese price reform raises questions for new contestable LNG supply

bull Eni and Anadarko developing multi-train

project in Mozambique Eni also plan 25mtpa FLNG project offshore Area 4

bull CNPC holds a 30 stake in Eni-led consortium developing Area 4

East Africa

bull Nine liquefaction projects at various stages of development in Western Canada have been given export approval

bull PetroChina and Sinopec stakeholders in two LNG projects

bull Cost challenges and uncertainty over royalty tax bull Regulatory issues over Western US greenfield projects

North America

bull Australian greenfield and FLNG projects under costs pressure ndash Browse Bonaparte Scarborough

bull Russian LNG ndash (Sakhalin expansionVladivostok Yamal LNG) ndash questions over financing technology

AustraliaRussia

You can rely on ICIS to stay up to date with the latest developments in China natural gas

Reliable pricing information The ICIS China Gas Markets Report enables you to understand price drivers and fluctuations and settle your contract prices more confidently by giving you access to delivered and import LNG prices as well as information on shipping information market moving news operating rates and turnaround schedules

Comprehensive supply and demand data and analysis The ICIS China LNG SupplyDemand amp Investment Opportunities Report provides detailed information on the LNG demand outlook for China ndash broken down by 24 key provinces autonomous regions and municipalities In addition it provides important information on domestic policies infrastructure developments and other key factors for consideration when making investment-related decisions

Request a sample report gtgt

Enquire about the report gtgt

Thank you very much

For other enquiries email us at enquiryiciscom Interested in our next webinars Visit wwwiciscomresourceswebinars

Click here to access the recording of the webinar - httpbcoveme41zphdnz

  • ICIS China Gas Market Webinar
  • Slide Number 2
  • Slide Number 3
  • Content
  • Slide Number 5
  • Chinarsquos natural gas Supply and Demand
  • Gas Consumption by region in 2012
  • LNG Consumption by region in 2013
  • Gas Distribution
  • Slide Number 10
  • Domestic Natural Gas Supply
  • Unconventional Gas Development
  • Unconventional Gas Distribution
  • Slide Number 14
  • Chinarsquos Gas Import
  • Gas Import Infrastructure
  • Gas Import by Source
  • Import Gas Price
  • Content
  • Evaluation of Chinarsquos Gas Pricing Mechanism
  • Price Formula
  • Regional Gas Price
  • Impact of Price Reform
  • Government PoliciesmdashPipeline Gas
  • Slide Number 25
  • Content
  • Chinese import requirements uncertain but will impact wider region
  • New Russian pipeline imports competitive with LNG
  • Japan tries to align liberalisation and lower price goals
  • Chinese price reform raises questions for new contestable LNG supply
  • Slide Number 31
  • Slide Number 32

Unconventional Gas Distribution

Northern China

North East China

East China

Southern China

Central China

South West China

North West China

Shale Gas

Shale Gas

Shale Gas

Shale Gas

CBM

SNG

SNG

Gas Import in China

Chinarsquos Gas Import

Forecast of Chinarsquos Gas Import (2007-2019E)

Chinarsquos Gas Import (2006-2014E)

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

4500

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 E

NG Import LNG Import Annual Growth Rate

10000 tonne

Source GAC

39

642 761

1526

3239

212 186 188

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E 2019E

Import Growth RateSource ICIS

bcm

来源安迅思息旺能源

Shanghai

Putian

Ningbo

Qingdao

Tangshan

Dalian

Shenzhen

JOVO

Hainan

Tianjin

Guangxi

Zhoushan

Rudong

East-west P II

East-West P III

China Russia Gas Pipeline

Myanmar Gas Pipeline

East-West P IV

Import LNG

Zhuhai

Gas Import Infrastructure

Gas Import by Source

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 E

Qatar LNG Australia LNG IndonesiaLNG Malaysia LNG

Other Countries LNG Turkmenistan Others

10000 tonne

Source Gac

Import Gas Price

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 E

Qatar Import LNG price

Australia Import LNG price

Indonesia Import LNG price

Malaysia Import LNG price

Other Countries Import LNG

priceTurkmenistan Pipeline

Import priceOther Pipelien Import price

$MMBtu

Source GAC

Content

Price Reform

Evaluation of Chinarsquos Gas Pricing Mechanism

Base on Cost

Base on Cost

Before 2005 2010 2012 2013-2015 After 2020

Price Reform Two Tier Pricing +

Base on Cost

Two Tier Pricing

Hub Price

Government Set and Guide the Price

Market Orientation

Price Formula

Coefficient

Import Price Import Price

VAT Thermal Value

Regional Gas Price

Government-capped City-gate Prices of Natural Gas by ProvinceMunicipalityRegion

ProvinceMunicipalityRegion

Price for existing consumption Price for outstanding consumption

RMB Yuancbm

USD $MMBtu RMB Yuancbm

USD $MMBtu

Beijing 2660 1168 3140 1379

Tianjin 2660 1168 3140 1379

Hebei 2640 1159 3120 1370

Shanxi 2570 1129 3050 1340

Inner Mongolia 2000 878 2480 1089

Guangdong 2860 1256 3320 1458

Guangxi 2690 1181 3150 1383

Heilongjiang 2420 1063 2900 1274

Shanghai 2840 1247 3320 1458

Jiangsu 2820 1239 3300 1449

Zhejiang 2830 1243 3310 1454

Anhui 2750 1208 3230 1419

Jiangxi 2620 1151 3100 1362

Shandong 2640 1159 3120 1370

Note The price is inclusive of value-added tax (VAT)

Source National Development and Reform Commission

Impact of Price Reform

Upstream

Middle stream

Downstream

Gas Power Plant Industry Vehicle Fertilizer

Supplier

LNG terminal

Domestic LNG plant Pipeline

Import LNG

Government PoliciesmdashPipeline Gas

Commercial

Gas Field Purify Pipeline City Gate Pipeline

Fertilizer

City Gas

Gas Power Plant

Industry

Vehicle

Citizen

Upstream Transportation

Downstream

LNG trucks

Vehicle

Gas refill station

Domestic LNG plant

Government PoliciesmdashLNG

Commercial

LNG trucks

Vehicle

City Gas

Gas Power Plant

Vehicle

Citizen

Industry

Import LNG

Shipping LNG terminal

Gas refill station

Pipeline

Content

Chinese gas market reforms in a regional context

Chinese import requirements uncertain but will impact wider region

bull Chinese domestic shale gas production uncertain Government cuts targets ndash 30Bcm by 2020 down from 60-100Bcm in original 2011-2015 development plan

bull Imports from Turkmenistan set to reach 30Bcm in 2014 up to 65Bcm by 2021

bull Russia-China pipeline agreement via Eastern Route ndash up to 38Bcmyear

bull Gazprom-CNPC sign framework agreement in Nov lsquo14 for 30Bcmyear via Altai (Western Route)

bull Chinese buyers have signed SPAs to import more than 50mtpa of LNG in 2020

38

5 6

24

6

17

4

China holds more than 50mtpa in LNG SPAs in 2020

Australia

Indonesia

Malaysia

Qatar

Russia

Portfolio Supply

Papua New Guinea

Chinarsquos LNG imports compared with NE Asia

rsquo08 lsquo09 lsquo10 rsquo11 rsquo12 rsquo13 rsquo14 end Sept

China LNG imports (mt)

337 574 960

131 1465 186 1467

Chinese LNG imports as percentage of regional demand

NE Asia

305 547 772 94 962 1165 1235

New Russian pipeline imports competitive with LNG

1000

1100

1200

1300

1400

1500

1600

LNG

Pric

es -

$M

MB

tu

Selected LNG and pipeline import prices to China on forward curve (12 Nov 2014)

US liquefaction DES Asia (Cheniere) QatarChina DES

Russia-China (Shanghai delivery estimate) AustraliaChina 201112

AustraliaChina CSG S-Curve from Corpus Christi statement - March 2014

source ICIS CME and NYMEX

Japan tries to align liberalisation and lower price goals

Chinese price reform raises questions for new contestable LNG supply

bull Eni and Anadarko developing multi-train

project in Mozambique Eni also plan 25mtpa FLNG project offshore Area 4

bull CNPC holds a 30 stake in Eni-led consortium developing Area 4

East Africa

bull Nine liquefaction projects at various stages of development in Western Canada have been given export approval

bull PetroChina and Sinopec stakeholders in two LNG projects

bull Cost challenges and uncertainty over royalty tax bull Regulatory issues over Western US greenfield projects

North America

bull Australian greenfield and FLNG projects under costs pressure ndash Browse Bonaparte Scarborough

bull Russian LNG ndash (Sakhalin expansionVladivostok Yamal LNG) ndash questions over financing technology

AustraliaRussia

You can rely on ICIS to stay up to date with the latest developments in China natural gas

Reliable pricing information The ICIS China Gas Markets Report enables you to understand price drivers and fluctuations and settle your contract prices more confidently by giving you access to delivered and import LNG prices as well as information on shipping information market moving news operating rates and turnaround schedules

Comprehensive supply and demand data and analysis The ICIS China LNG SupplyDemand amp Investment Opportunities Report provides detailed information on the LNG demand outlook for China ndash broken down by 24 key provinces autonomous regions and municipalities In addition it provides important information on domestic policies infrastructure developments and other key factors for consideration when making investment-related decisions

Request a sample report gtgt

Enquire about the report gtgt

Thank you very much

For other enquiries email us at enquiryiciscom Interested in our next webinars Visit wwwiciscomresourceswebinars

Click here to access the recording of the webinar - httpbcoveme41zphdnz

  • ICIS China Gas Market Webinar
  • Slide Number 2
  • Slide Number 3
  • Content
  • Slide Number 5
  • Chinarsquos natural gas Supply and Demand
  • Gas Consumption by region in 2012
  • LNG Consumption by region in 2013
  • Gas Distribution
  • Slide Number 10
  • Domestic Natural Gas Supply
  • Unconventional Gas Development
  • Unconventional Gas Distribution
  • Slide Number 14
  • Chinarsquos Gas Import
  • Gas Import Infrastructure
  • Gas Import by Source
  • Import Gas Price
  • Content
  • Evaluation of Chinarsquos Gas Pricing Mechanism
  • Price Formula
  • Regional Gas Price
  • Impact of Price Reform
  • Government PoliciesmdashPipeline Gas
  • Slide Number 25
  • Content
  • Chinese import requirements uncertain but will impact wider region
  • New Russian pipeline imports competitive with LNG
  • Japan tries to align liberalisation and lower price goals
  • Chinese price reform raises questions for new contestable LNG supply
  • Slide Number 31
  • Slide Number 32

Gas Import in China

Chinarsquos Gas Import

Forecast of Chinarsquos Gas Import (2007-2019E)

Chinarsquos Gas Import (2006-2014E)

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

4500

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 E

NG Import LNG Import Annual Growth Rate

10000 tonne

Source GAC

39

642 761

1526

3239

212 186 188

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E 2019E

Import Growth RateSource ICIS

bcm

来源安迅思息旺能源

Shanghai

Putian

Ningbo

Qingdao

Tangshan

Dalian

Shenzhen

JOVO

Hainan

Tianjin

Guangxi

Zhoushan

Rudong

East-west P II

East-West P III

China Russia Gas Pipeline

Myanmar Gas Pipeline

East-West P IV

Import LNG

Zhuhai

Gas Import Infrastructure

Gas Import by Source

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 E

Qatar LNG Australia LNG IndonesiaLNG Malaysia LNG

Other Countries LNG Turkmenistan Others

10000 tonne

Source Gac

Import Gas Price

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 E

Qatar Import LNG price

Australia Import LNG price

Indonesia Import LNG price

Malaysia Import LNG price

Other Countries Import LNG

priceTurkmenistan Pipeline

Import priceOther Pipelien Import price

$MMBtu

Source GAC

Content

Price Reform

Evaluation of Chinarsquos Gas Pricing Mechanism

Base on Cost

Base on Cost

Before 2005 2010 2012 2013-2015 After 2020

Price Reform Two Tier Pricing +

Base on Cost

Two Tier Pricing

Hub Price

Government Set and Guide the Price

Market Orientation

Price Formula

Coefficient

Import Price Import Price

VAT Thermal Value

Regional Gas Price

Government-capped City-gate Prices of Natural Gas by ProvinceMunicipalityRegion

ProvinceMunicipalityRegion

Price for existing consumption Price for outstanding consumption

RMB Yuancbm

USD $MMBtu RMB Yuancbm

USD $MMBtu

Beijing 2660 1168 3140 1379

Tianjin 2660 1168 3140 1379

Hebei 2640 1159 3120 1370

Shanxi 2570 1129 3050 1340

Inner Mongolia 2000 878 2480 1089

Guangdong 2860 1256 3320 1458

Guangxi 2690 1181 3150 1383

Heilongjiang 2420 1063 2900 1274

Shanghai 2840 1247 3320 1458

Jiangsu 2820 1239 3300 1449

Zhejiang 2830 1243 3310 1454

Anhui 2750 1208 3230 1419

Jiangxi 2620 1151 3100 1362

Shandong 2640 1159 3120 1370

Note The price is inclusive of value-added tax (VAT)

Source National Development and Reform Commission

Impact of Price Reform

Upstream

Middle stream

Downstream

Gas Power Plant Industry Vehicle Fertilizer

Supplier

LNG terminal

Domestic LNG plant Pipeline

Import LNG

Government PoliciesmdashPipeline Gas

Commercial

Gas Field Purify Pipeline City Gate Pipeline

Fertilizer

City Gas

Gas Power Plant

Industry

Vehicle

Citizen

Upstream Transportation

Downstream

LNG trucks

Vehicle

Gas refill station

Domestic LNG plant

Government PoliciesmdashLNG

Commercial

LNG trucks

Vehicle

City Gas

Gas Power Plant

Vehicle

Citizen

Industry

Import LNG

Shipping LNG terminal

Gas refill station

Pipeline

Content

Chinese gas market reforms in a regional context

Chinese import requirements uncertain but will impact wider region

bull Chinese domestic shale gas production uncertain Government cuts targets ndash 30Bcm by 2020 down from 60-100Bcm in original 2011-2015 development plan

bull Imports from Turkmenistan set to reach 30Bcm in 2014 up to 65Bcm by 2021

bull Russia-China pipeline agreement via Eastern Route ndash up to 38Bcmyear

bull Gazprom-CNPC sign framework agreement in Nov lsquo14 for 30Bcmyear via Altai (Western Route)

bull Chinese buyers have signed SPAs to import more than 50mtpa of LNG in 2020

38

5 6

24

6

17

4

China holds more than 50mtpa in LNG SPAs in 2020

Australia

Indonesia

Malaysia

Qatar

Russia

Portfolio Supply

Papua New Guinea

Chinarsquos LNG imports compared with NE Asia

rsquo08 lsquo09 lsquo10 rsquo11 rsquo12 rsquo13 rsquo14 end Sept

China LNG imports (mt)

337 574 960

131 1465 186 1467

Chinese LNG imports as percentage of regional demand

NE Asia

305 547 772 94 962 1165 1235

New Russian pipeline imports competitive with LNG

1000

1100

1200

1300

1400

1500

1600

LNG

Pric

es -

$M

MB

tu

Selected LNG and pipeline import prices to China on forward curve (12 Nov 2014)

US liquefaction DES Asia (Cheniere) QatarChina DES

Russia-China (Shanghai delivery estimate) AustraliaChina 201112

AustraliaChina CSG S-Curve from Corpus Christi statement - March 2014

source ICIS CME and NYMEX

Japan tries to align liberalisation and lower price goals

Chinese price reform raises questions for new contestable LNG supply

bull Eni and Anadarko developing multi-train

project in Mozambique Eni also plan 25mtpa FLNG project offshore Area 4

bull CNPC holds a 30 stake in Eni-led consortium developing Area 4

East Africa

bull Nine liquefaction projects at various stages of development in Western Canada have been given export approval

bull PetroChina and Sinopec stakeholders in two LNG projects

bull Cost challenges and uncertainty over royalty tax bull Regulatory issues over Western US greenfield projects

North America

bull Australian greenfield and FLNG projects under costs pressure ndash Browse Bonaparte Scarborough

bull Russian LNG ndash (Sakhalin expansionVladivostok Yamal LNG) ndash questions over financing technology

AustraliaRussia

You can rely on ICIS to stay up to date with the latest developments in China natural gas

Reliable pricing information The ICIS China Gas Markets Report enables you to understand price drivers and fluctuations and settle your contract prices more confidently by giving you access to delivered and import LNG prices as well as information on shipping information market moving news operating rates and turnaround schedules

Comprehensive supply and demand data and analysis The ICIS China LNG SupplyDemand amp Investment Opportunities Report provides detailed information on the LNG demand outlook for China ndash broken down by 24 key provinces autonomous regions and municipalities In addition it provides important information on domestic policies infrastructure developments and other key factors for consideration when making investment-related decisions

Request a sample report gtgt

Enquire about the report gtgt

Thank you very much

For other enquiries email us at enquiryiciscom Interested in our next webinars Visit wwwiciscomresourceswebinars

Click here to access the recording of the webinar - httpbcoveme41zphdnz

  • ICIS China Gas Market Webinar
  • Slide Number 2
  • Slide Number 3
  • Content
  • Slide Number 5
  • Chinarsquos natural gas Supply and Demand
  • Gas Consumption by region in 2012
  • LNG Consumption by region in 2013
  • Gas Distribution
  • Slide Number 10
  • Domestic Natural Gas Supply
  • Unconventional Gas Development
  • Unconventional Gas Distribution
  • Slide Number 14
  • Chinarsquos Gas Import
  • Gas Import Infrastructure
  • Gas Import by Source
  • Import Gas Price
  • Content
  • Evaluation of Chinarsquos Gas Pricing Mechanism
  • Price Formula
  • Regional Gas Price
  • Impact of Price Reform
  • Government PoliciesmdashPipeline Gas
  • Slide Number 25
  • Content
  • Chinese import requirements uncertain but will impact wider region
  • New Russian pipeline imports competitive with LNG
  • Japan tries to align liberalisation and lower price goals
  • Chinese price reform raises questions for new contestable LNG supply
  • Slide Number 31
  • Slide Number 32

Chinarsquos Gas Import

Forecast of Chinarsquos Gas Import (2007-2019E)

Chinarsquos Gas Import (2006-2014E)

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

4500

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 E

NG Import LNG Import Annual Growth Rate

10000 tonne

Source GAC

39

642 761

1526

3239

212 186 188

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E 2019E

Import Growth RateSource ICIS

bcm

来源安迅思息旺能源

Shanghai

Putian

Ningbo

Qingdao

Tangshan

Dalian

Shenzhen

JOVO

Hainan

Tianjin

Guangxi

Zhoushan

Rudong

East-west P II

East-West P III

China Russia Gas Pipeline

Myanmar Gas Pipeline

East-West P IV

Import LNG

Zhuhai

Gas Import Infrastructure

Gas Import by Source

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 E

Qatar LNG Australia LNG IndonesiaLNG Malaysia LNG

Other Countries LNG Turkmenistan Others

10000 tonne

Source Gac

Import Gas Price

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 E

Qatar Import LNG price

Australia Import LNG price

Indonesia Import LNG price

Malaysia Import LNG price

Other Countries Import LNG

priceTurkmenistan Pipeline

Import priceOther Pipelien Import price

$MMBtu

Source GAC

Content

Price Reform

Evaluation of Chinarsquos Gas Pricing Mechanism

Base on Cost

Base on Cost

Before 2005 2010 2012 2013-2015 After 2020

Price Reform Two Tier Pricing +

Base on Cost

Two Tier Pricing

Hub Price

Government Set and Guide the Price

Market Orientation

Price Formula

Coefficient

Import Price Import Price

VAT Thermal Value

Regional Gas Price

Government-capped City-gate Prices of Natural Gas by ProvinceMunicipalityRegion

ProvinceMunicipalityRegion

Price for existing consumption Price for outstanding consumption

RMB Yuancbm

USD $MMBtu RMB Yuancbm

USD $MMBtu

Beijing 2660 1168 3140 1379

Tianjin 2660 1168 3140 1379

Hebei 2640 1159 3120 1370

Shanxi 2570 1129 3050 1340

Inner Mongolia 2000 878 2480 1089

Guangdong 2860 1256 3320 1458

Guangxi 2690 1181 3150 1383

Heilongjiang 2420 1063 2900 1274

Shanghai 2840 1247 3320 1458

Jiangsu 2820 1239 3300 1449

Zhejiang 2830 1243 3310 1454

Anhui 2750 1208 3230 1419

Jiangxi 2620 1151 3100 1362

Shandong 2640 1159 3120 1370

Note The price is inclusive of value-added tax (VAT)

Source National Development and Reform Commission

Impact of Price Reform

Upstream

Middle stream

Downstream

Gas Power Plant Industry Vehicle Fertilizer

Supplier

LNG terminal

Domestic LNG plant Pipeline

Import LNG

Government PoliciesmdashPipeline Gas

Commercial

Gas Field Purify Pipeline City Gate Pipeline

Fertilizer

City Gas

Gas Power Plant

Industry

Vehicle

Citizen

Upstream Transportation

Downstream

LNG trucks

Vehicle

Gas refill station

Domestic LNG plant

Government PoliciesmdashLNG

Commercial

LNG trucks

Vehicle

City Gas

Gas Power Plant

Vehicle

Citizen

Industry

Import LNG

Shipping LNG terminal

Gas refill station

Pipeline

Content

Chinese gas market reforms in a regional context

Chinese import requirements uncertain but will impact wider region

bull Chinese domestic shale gas production uncertain Government cuts targets ndash 30Bcm by 2020 down from 60-100Bcm in original 2011-2015 development plan

bull Imports from Turkmenistan set to reach 30Bcm in 2014 up to 65Bcm by 2021

bull Russia-China pipeline agreement via Eastern Route ndash up to 38Bcmyear

bull Gazprom-CNPC sign framework agreement in Nov lsquo14 for 30Bcmyear via Altai (Western Route)

bull Chinese buyers have signed SPAs to import more than 50mtpa of LNG in 2020

38

5 6

24

6

17

4

China holds more than 50mtpa in LNG SPAs in 2020

Australia

Indonesia

Malaysia

Qatar

Russia

Portfolio Supply

Papua New Guinea

Chinarsquos LNG imports compared with NE Asia

rsquo08 lsquo09 lsquo10 rsquo11 rsquo12 rsquo13 rsquo14 end Sept

China LNG imports (mt)

337 574 960

131 1465 186 1467

Chinese LNG imports as percentage of regional demand

NE Asia

305 547 772 94 962 1165 1235

New Russian pipeline imports competitive with LNG

1000

1100

1200

1300

1400

1500

1600

LNG

Pric

es -

$M

MB

tu

Selected LNG and pipeline import prices to China on forward curve (12 Nov 2014)

US liquefaction DES Asia (Cheniere) QatarChina DES

Russia-China (Shanghai delivery estimate) AustraliaChina 201112

AustraliaChina CSG S-Curve from Corpus Christi statement - March 2014

source ICIS CME and NYMEX

Japan tries to align liberalisation and lower price goals

Chinese price reform raises questions for new contestable LNG supply

bull Eni and Anadarko developing multi-train

project in Mozambique Eni also plan 25mtpa FLNG project offshore Area 4

bull CNPC holds a 30 stake in Eni-led consortium developing Area 4

East Africa

bull Nine liquefaction projects at various stages of development in Western Canada have been given export approval

bull PetroChina and Sinopec stakeholders in two LNG projects

bull Cost challenges and uncertainty over royalty tax bull Regulatory issues over Western US greenfield projects

North America

bull Australian greenfield and FLNG projects under costs pressure ndash Browse Bonaparte Scarborough

bull Russian LNG ndash (Sakhalin expansionVladivostok Yamal LNG) ndash questions over financing technology

AustraliaRussia

You can rely on ICIS to stay up to date with the latest developments in China natural gas

Reliable pricing information The ICIS China Gas Markets Report enables you to understand price drivers and fluctuations and settle your contract prices more confidently by giving you access to delivered and import LNG prices as well as information on shipping information market moving news operating rates and turnaround schedules

Comprehensive supply and demand data and analysis The ICIS China LNG SupplyDemand amp Investment Opportunities Report provides detailed information on the LNG demand outlook for China ndash broken down by 24 key provinces autonomous regions and municipalities In addition it provides important information on domestic policies infrastructure developments and other key factors for consideration when making investment-related decisions

Request a sample report gtgt

Enquire about the report gtgt

Thank you very much

For other enquiries email us at enquiryiciscom Interested in our next webinars Visit wwwiciscomresourceswebinars

Click here to access the recording of the webinar - httpbcoveme41zphdnz

  • ICIS China Gas Market Webinar
  • Slide Number 2
  • Slide Number 3
  • Content
  • Slide Number 5
  • Chinarsquos natural gas Supply and Demand
  • Gas Consumption by region in 2012
  • LNG Consumption by region in 2013
  • Gas Distribution
  • Slide Number 10
  • Domestic Natural Gas Supply
  • Unconventional Gas Development
  • Unconventional Gas Distribution
  • Slide Number 14
  • Chinarsquos Gas Import
  • Gas Import Infrastructure
  • Gas Import by Source
  • Import Gas Price
  • Content
  • Evaluation of Chinarsquos Gas Pricing Mechanism
  • Price Formula
  • Regional Gas Price
  • Impact of Price Reform
  • Government PoliciesmdashPipeline Gas
  • Slide Number 25
  • Content
  • Chinese import requirements uncertain but will impact wider region
  • New Russian pipeline imports competitive with LNG
  • Japan tries to align liberalisation and lower price goals
  • Chinese price reform raises questions for new contestable LNG supply
  • Slide Number 31
  • Slide Number 32

来源安迅思息旺能源

Shanghai

Putian

Ningbo

Qingdao

Tangshan

Dalian

Shenzhen

JOVO

Hainan

Tianjin

Guangxi

Zhoushan

Rudong

East-west P II

East-West P III

China Russia Gas Pipeline

Myanmar Gas Pipeline

East-West P IV

Import LNG

Zhuhai

Gas Import Infrastructure

Gas Import by Source

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 E

Qatar LNG Australia LNG IndonesiaLNG Malaysia LNG

Other Countries LNG Turkmenistan Others

10000 tonne

Source Gac

Import Gas Price

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 E

Qatar Import LNG price

Australia Import LNG price

Indonesia Import LNG price

Malaysia Import LNG price

Other Countries Import LNG

priceTurkmenistan Pipeline

Import priceOther Pipelien Import price

$MMBtu

Source GAC

Content

Price Reform

Evaluation of Chinarsquos Gas Pricing Mechanism

Base on Cost

Base on Cost

Before 2005 2010 2012 2013-2015 After 2020

Price Reform Two Tier Pricing +

Base on Cost

Two Tier Pricing

Hub Price

Government Set and Guide the Price

Market Orientation

Price Formula

Coefficient

Import Price Import Price

VAT Thermal Value

Regional Gas Price

Government-capped City-gate Prices of Natural Gas by ProvinceMunicipalityRegion

ProvinceMunicipalityRegion

Price for existing consumption Price for outstanding consumption

RMB Yuancbm

USD $MMBtu RMB Yuancbm

USD $MMBtu

Beijing 2660 1168 3140 1379

Tianjin 2660 1168 3140 1379

Hebei 2640 1159 3120 1370

Shanxi 2570 1129 3050 1340

Inner Mongolia 2000 878 2480 1089

Guangdong 2860 1256 3320 1458

Guangxi 2690 1181 3150 1383

Heilongjiang 2420 1063 2900 1274

Shanghai 2840 1247 3320 1458

Jiangsu 2820 1239 3300 1449

Zhejiang 2830 1243 3310 1454

Anhui 2750 1208 3230 1419

Jiangxi 2620 1151 3100 1362

Shandong 2640 1159 3120 1370

Note The price is inclusive of value-added tax (VAT)

Source National Development and Reform Commission

Impact of Price Reform

Upstream

Middle stream

Downstream

Gas Power Plant Industry Vehicle Fertilizer

Supplier

LNG terminal

Domestic LNG plant Pipeline

Import LNG

Government PoliciesmdashPipeline Gas

Commercial

Gas Field Purify Pipeline City Gate Pipeline

Fertilizer

City Gas

Gas Power Plant

Industry

Vehicle

Citizen

Upstream Transportation

Downstream

LNG trucks

Vehicle

Gas refill station

Domestic LNG plant

Government PoliciesmdashLNG

Commercial

LNG trucks

Vehicle

City Gas

Gas Power Plant

Vehicle

Citizen

Industry

Import LNG

Shipping LNG terminal

Gas refill station

Pipeline

Content

Chinese gas market reforms in a regional context

Chinese import requirements uncertain but will impact wider region

bull Chinese domestic shale gas production uncertain Government cuts targets ndash 30Bcm by 2020 down from 60-100Bcm in original 2011-2015 development plan

bull Imports from Turkmenistan set to reach 30Bcm in 2014 up to 65Bcm by 2021

bull Russia-China pipeline agreement via Eastern Route ndash up to 38Bcmyear

bull Gazprom-CNPC sign framework agreement in Nov lsquo14 for 30Bcmyear via Altai (Western Route)

bull Chinese buyers have signed SPAs to import more than 50mtpa of LNG in 2020

38

5 6

24

6

17

4

China holds more than 50mtpa in LNG SPAs in 2020

Australia

Indonesia

Malaysia

Qatar

Russia

Portfolio Supply

Papua New Guinea

Chinarsquos LNG imports compared with NE Asia

rsquo08 lsquo09 lsquo10 rsquo11 rsquo12 rsquo13 rsquo14 end Sept

China LNG imports (mt)

337 574 960

131 1465 186 1467

Chinese LNG imports as percentage of regional demand

NE Asia

305 547 772 94 962 1165 1235

New Russian pipeline imports competitive with LNG

1000

1100

1200

1300

1400

1500

1600

LNG

Pric

es -

$M

MB

tu

Selected LNG and pipeline import prices to China on forward curve (12 Nov 2014)

US liquefaction DES Asia (Cheniere) QatarChina DES

Russia-China (Shanghai delivery estimate) AustraliaChina 201112

AustraliaChina CSG S-Curve from Corpus Christi statement - March 2014

source ICIS CME and NYMEX

Japan tries to align liberalisation and lower price goals

Chinese price reform raises questions for new contestable LNG supply

bull Eni and Anadarko developing multi-train

project in Mozambique Eni also plan 25mtpa FLNG project offshore Area 4

bull CNPC holds a 30 stake in Eni-led consortium developing Area 4

East Africa

bull Nine liquefaction projects at various stages of development in Western Canada have been given export approval

bull PetroChina and Sinopec stakeholders in two LNG projects

bull Cost challenges and uncertainty over royalty tax bull Regulatory issues over Western US greenfield projects

North America

bull Australian greenfield and FLNG projects under costs pressure ndash Browse Bonaparte Scarborough

bull Russian LNG ndash (Sakhalin expansionVladivostok Yamal LNG) ndash questions over financing technology

AustraliaRussia

You can rely on ICIS to stay up to date with the latest developments in China natural gas

Reliable pricing information The ICIS China Gas Markets Report enables you to understand price drivers and fluctuations and settle your contract prices more confidently by giving you access to delivered and import LNG prices as well as information on shipping information market moving news operating rates and turnaround schedules

Comprehensive supply and demand data and analysis The ICIS China LNG SupplyDemand amp Investment Opportunities Report provides detailed information on the LNG demand outlook for China ndash broken down by 24 key provinces autonomous regions and municipalities In addition it provides important information on domestic policies infrastructure developments and other key factors for consideration when making investment-related decisions

Request a sample report gtgt

Enquire about the report gtgt

Thank you very much

For other enquiries email us at enquiryiciscom Interested in our next webinars Visit wwwiciscomresourceswebinars

Click here to access the recording of the webinar - httpbcoveme41zphdnz

  • ICIS China Gas Market Webinar
  • Slide Number 2
  • Slide Number 3
  • Content
  • Slide Number 5
  • Chinarsquos natural gas Supply and Demand
  • Gas Consumption by region in 2012
  • LNG Consumption by region in 2013
  • Gas Distribution
  • Slide Number 10
  • Domestic Natural Gas Supply
  • Unconventional Gas Development
  • Unconventional Gas Distribution
  • Slide Number 14
  • Chinarsquos Gas Import
  • Gas Import Infrastructure
  • Gas Import by Source
  • Import Gas Price
  • Content
  • Evaluation of Chinarsquos Gas Pricing Mechanism
  • Price Formula
  • Regional Gas Price
  • Impact of Price Reform
  • Government PoliciesmdashPipeline Gas
  • Slide Number 25
  • Content
  • Chinese import requirements uncertain but will impact wider region
  • New Russian pipeline imports competitive with LNG
  • Japan tries to align liberalisation and lower price goals
  • Chinese price reform raises questions for new contestable LNG supply
  • Slide Number 31
  • Slide Number 32

Gas Import by Source

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 E

Qatar LNG Australia LNG IndonesiaLNG Malaysia LNG

Other Countries LNG Turkmenistan Others

10000 tonne

Source Gac

Import Gas Price

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 E

Qatar Import LNG price

Australia Import LNG price

Indonesia Import LNG price

Malaysia Import LNG price

Other Countries Import LNG

priceTurkmenistan Pipeline

Import priceOther Pipelien Import price

$MMBtu

Source GAC

Content

Price Reform

Evaluation of Chinarsquos Gas Pricing Mechanism

Base on Cost

Base on Cost

Before 2005 2010 2012 2013-2015 After 2020

Price Reform Two Tier Pricing +

Base on Cost

Two Tier Pricing

Hub Price

Government Set and Guide the Price

Market Orientation

Price Formula

Coefficient

Import Price Import Price

VAT Thermal Value

Regional Gas Price

Government-capped City-gate Prices of Natural Gas by ProvinceMunicipalityRegion

ProvinceMunicipalityRegion

Price for existing consumption Price for outstanding consumption

RMB Yuancbm

USD $MMBtu RMB Yuancbm

USD $MMBtu

Beijing 2660 1168 3140 1379

Tianjin 2660 1168 3140 1379

Hebei 2640 1159 3120 1370

Shanxi 2570 1129 3050 1340

Inner Mongolia 2000 878 2480 1089

Guangdong 2860 1256 3320 1458

Guangxi 2690 1181 3150 1383

Heilongjiang 2420 1063 2900 1274

Shanghai 2840 1247 3320 1458

Jiangsu 2820 1239 3300 1449

Zhejiang 2830 1243 3310 1454

Anhui 2750 1208 3230 1419

Jiangxi 2620 1151 3100 1362

Shandong 2640 1159 3120 1370

Note The price is inclusive of value-added tax (VAT)

Source National Development and Reform Commission

Impact of Price Reform

Upstream

Middle stream

Downstream

Gas Power Plant Industry Vehicle Fertilizer

Supplier

LNG terminal

Domestic LNG plant Pipeline

Import LNG

Government PoliciesmdashPipeline Gas

Commercial

Gas Field Purify Pipeline City Gate Pipeline

Fertilizer

City Gas

Gas Power Plant

Industry

Vehicle

Citizen

Upstream Transportation

Downstream

LNG trucks

Vehicle

Gas refill station

Domestic LNG plant

Government PoliciesmdashLNG

Commercial

LNG trucks

Vehicle

City Gas

Gas Power Plant

Vehicle

Citizen

Industry

Import LNG

Shipping LNG terminal

Gas refill station

Pipeline

Content

Chinese gas market reforms in a regional context

Chinese import requirements uncertain but will impact wider region

bull Chinese domestic shale gas production uncertain Government cuts targets ndash 30Bcm by 2020 down from 60-100Bcm in original 2011-2015 development plan

bull Imports from Turkmenistan set to reach 30Bcm in 2014 up to 65Bcm by 2021

bull Russia-China pipeline agreement via Eastern Route ndash up to 38Bcmyear

bull Gazprom-CNPC sign framework agreement in Nov lsquo14 for 30Bcmyear via Altai (Western Route)

bull Chinese buyers have signed SPAs to import more than 50mtpa of LNG in 2020

38

5 6

24

6

17

4

China holds more than 50mtpa in LNG SPAs in 2020

Australia

Indonesia

Malaysia

Qatar

Russia

Portfolio Supply

Papua New Guinea

Chinarsquos LNG imports compared with NE Asia

rsquo08 lsquo09 lsquo10 rsquo11 rsquo12 rsquo13 rsquo14 end Sept

China LNG imports (mt)

337 574 960

131 1465 186 1467

Chinese LNG imports as percentage of regional demand

NE Asia

305 547 772 94 962 1165 1235

New Russian pipeline imports competitive with LNG

1000

1100

1200

1300

1400

1500

1600

LNG

Pric

es -

$M

MB

tu

Selected LNG and pipeline import prices to China on forward curve (12 Nov 2014)

US liquefaction DES Asia (Cheniere) QatarChina DES

Russia-China (Shanghai delivery estimate) AustraliaChina 201112

AustraliaChina CSG S-Curve from Corpus Christi statement - March 2014

source ICIS CME and NYMEX

Japan tries to align liberalisation and lower price goals

Chinese price reform raises questions for new contestable LNG supply

bull Eni and Anadarko developing multi-train

project in Mozambique Eni also plan 25mtpa FLNG project offshore Area 4

bull CNPC holds a 30 stake in Eni-led consortium developing Area 4

East Africa

bull Nine liquefaction projects at various stages of development in Western Canada have been given export approval

bull PetroChina and Sinopec stakeholders in two LNG projects

bull Cost challenges and uncertainty over royalty tax bull Regulatory issues over Western US greenfield projects

North America

bull Australian greenfield and FLNG projects under costs pressure ndash Browse Bonaparte Scarborough

bull Russian LNG ndash (Sakhalin expansionVladivostok Yamal LNG) ndash questions over financing technology

AustraliaRussia

You can rely on ICIS to stay up to date with the latest developments in China natural gas

Reliable pricing information The ICIS China Gas Markets Report enables you to understand price drivers and fluctuations and settle your contract prices more confidently by giving you access to delivered and import LNG prices as well as information on shipping information market moving news operating rates and turnaround schedules

Comprehensive supply and demand data and analysis The ICIS China LNG SupplyDemand amp Investment Opportunities Report provides detailed information on the LNG demand outlook for China ndash broken down by 24 key provinces autonomous regions and municipalities In addition it provides important information on domestic policies infrastructure developments and other key factors for consideration when making investment-related decisions

Request a sample report gtgt

Enquire about the report gtgt

Thank you very much

For other enquiries email us at enquiryiciscom Interested in our next webinars Visit wwwiciscomresourceswebinars

Click here to access the recording of the webinar - httpbcoveme41zphdnz

  • ICIS China Gas Market Webinar
  • Slide Number 2
  • Slide Number 3
  • Content
  • Slide Number 5
  • Chinarsquos natural gas Supply and Demand
  • Gas Consumption by region in 2012
  • LNG Consumption by region in 2013
  • Gas Distribution
  • Slide Number 10
  • Domestic Natural Gas Supply
  • Unconventional Gas Development
  • Unconventional Gas Distribution
  • Slide Number 14
  • Chinarsquos Gas Import
  • Gas Import Infrastructure
  • Gas Import by Source
  • Import Gas Price
  • Content
  • Evaluation of Chinarsquos Gas Pricing Mechanism
  • Price Formula
  • Regional Gas Price
  • Impact of Price Reform
  • Government PoliciesmdashPipeline Gas
  • Slide Number 25
  • Content
  • Chinese import requirements uncertain but will impact wider region
  • New Russian pipeline imports competitive with LNG
  • Japan tries to align liberalisation and lower price goals
  • Chinese price reform raises questions for new contestable LNG supply
  • Slide Number 31
  • Slide Number 32

Import Gas Price

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 E

Qatar Import LNG price

Australia Import LNG price

Indonesia Import LNG price

Malaysia Import LNG price

Other Countries Import LNG

priceTurkmenistan Pipeline

Import priceOther Pipelien Import price

$MMBtu

Source GAC

Content

Price Reform

Evaluation of Chinarsquos Gas Pricing Mechanism

Base on Cost

Base on Cost

Before 2005 2010 2012 2013-2015 After 2020

Price Reform Two Tier Pricing +

Base on Cost

Two Tier Pricing

Hub Price

Government Set and Guide the Price

Market Orientation

Price Formula

Coefficient

Import Price Import Price

VAT Thermal Value

Regional Gas Price

Government-capped City-gate Prices of Natural Gas by ProvinceMunicipalityRegion

ProvinceMunicipalityRegion

Price for existing consumption Price for outstanding consumption

RMB Yuancbm

USD $MMBtu RMB Yuancbm

USD $MMBtu

Beijing 2660 1168 3140 1379

Tianjin 2660 1168 3140 1379

Hebei 2640 1159 3120 1370

Shanxi 2570 1129 3050 1340

Inner Mongolia 2000 878 2480 1089

Guangdong 2860 1256 3320 1458

Guangxi 2690 1181 3150 1383

Heilongjiang 2420 1063 2900 1274

Shanghai 2840 1247 3320 1458

Jiangsu 2820 1239 3300 1449

Zhejiang 2830 1243 3310 1454

Anhui 2750 1208 3230 1419

Jiangxi 2620 1151 3100 1362

Shandong 2640 1159 3120 1370

Note The price is inclusive of value-added tax (VAT)

Source National Development and Reform Commission

Impact of Price Reform

Upstream

Middle stream

Downstream

Gas Power Plant Industry Vehicle Fertilizer

Supplier

LNG terminal

Domestic LNG plant Pipeline

Import LNG

Government PoliciesmdashPipeline Gas

Commercial

Gas Field Purify Pipeline City Gate Pipeline

Fertilizer

City Gas

Gas Power Plant

Industry

Vehicle

Citizen

Upstream Transportation

Downstream

LNG trucks

Vehicle

Gas refill station

Domestic LNG plant

Government PoliciesmdashLNG

Commercial

LNG trucks

Vehicle

City Gas

Gas Power Plant

Vehicle

Citizen

Industry

Import LNG

Shipping LNG terminal

Gas refill station

Pipeline

Content

Chinese gas market reforms in a regional context

Chinese import requirements uncertain but will impact wider region

bull Chinese domestic shale gas production uncertain Government cuts targets ndash 30Bcm by 2020 down from 60-100Bcm in original 2011-2015 development plan

bull Imports from Turkmenistan set to reach 30Bcm in 2014 up to 65Bcm by 2021

bull Russia-China pipeline agreement via Eastern Route ndash up to 38Bcmyear

bull Gazprom-CNPC sign framework agreement in Nov lsquo14 for 30Bcmyear via Altai (Western Route)

bull Chinese buyers have signed SPAs to import more than 50mtpa of LNG in 2020

38

5 6

24

6

17

4

China holds more than 50mtpa in LNG SPAs in 2020

Australia

Indonesia

Malaysia

Qatar

Russia

Portfolio Supply

Papua New Guinea

Chinarsquos LNG imports compared with NE Asia

rsquo08 lsquo09 lsquo10 rsquo11 rsquo12 rsquo13 rsquo14 end Sept

China LNG imports (mt)

337 574 960

131 1465 186 1467

Chinese LNG imports as percentage of regional demand

NE Asia

305 547 772 94 962 1165 1235

New Russian pipeline imports competitive with LNG

1000

1100

1200

1300

1400

1500

1600

LNG

Pric

es -

$M

MB

tu

Selected LNG and pipeline import prices to China on forward curve (12 Nov 2014)

US liquefaction DES Asia (Cheniere) QatarChina DES

Russia-China (Shanghai delivery estimate) AustraliaChina 201112

AustraliaChina CSG S-Curve from Corpus Christi statement - March 2014

source ICIS CME and NYMEX

Japan tries to align liberalisation and lower price goals

Chinese price reform raises questions for new contestable LNG supply

bull Eni and Anadarko developing multi-train

project in Mozambique Eni also plan 25mtpa FLNG project offshore Area 4

bull CNPC holds a 30 stake in Eni-led consortium developing Area 4

East Africa

bull Nine liquefaction projects at various stages of development in Western Canada have been given export approval

bull PetroChina and Sinopec stakeholders in two LNG projects

bull Cost challenges and uncertainty over royalty tax bull Regulatory issues over Western US greenfield projects

North America

bull Australian greenfield and FLNG projects under costs pressure ndash Browse Bonaparte Scarborough

bull Russian LNG ndash (Sakhalin expansionVladivostok Yamal LNG) ndash questions over financing technology

AustraliaRussia

You can rely on ICIS to stay up to date with the latest developments in China natural gas

Reliable pricing information The ICIS China Gas Markets Report enables you to understand price drivers and fluctuations and settle your contract prices more confidently by giving you access to delivered and import LNG prices as well as information on shipping information market moving news operating rates and turnaround schedules

Comprehensive supply and demand data and analysis The ICIS China LNG SupplyDemand amp Investment Opportunities Report provides detailed information on the LNG demand outlook for China ndash broken down by 24 key provinces autonomous regions and municipalities In addition it provides important information on domestic policies infrastructure developments and other key factors for consideration when making investment-related decisions

Request a sample report gtgt

Enquire about the report gtgt

Thank you very much

For other enquiries email us at enquiryiciscom Interested in our next webinars Visit wwwiciscomresourceswebinars

Click here to access the recording of the webinar - httpbcoveme41zphdnz

  • ICIS China Gas Market Webinar
  • Slide Number 2
  • Slide Number 3
  • Content
  • Slide Number 5
  • Chinarsquos natural gas Supply and Demand
  • Gas Consumption by region in 2012
  • LNG Consumption by region in 2013
  • Gas Distribution
  • Slide Number 10
  • Domestic Natural Gas Supply
  • Unconventional Gas Development
  • Unconventional Gas Distribution
  • Slide Number 14
  • Chinarsquos Gas Import
  • Gas Import Infrastructure
  • Gas Import by Source
  • Import Gas Price
  • Content
  • Evaluation of Chinarsquos Gas Pricing Mechanism
  • Price Formula
  • Regional Gas Price
  • Impact of Price Reform
  • Government PoliciesmdashPipeline Gas
  • Slide Number 25
  • Content
  • Chinese import requirements uncertain but will impact wider region
  • New Russian pipeline imports competitive with LNG
  • Japan tries to align liberalisation and lower price goals
  • Chinese price reform raises questions for new contestable LNG supply
  • Slide Number 31
  • Slide Number 32

Content

Price Reform

Evaluation of Chinarsquos Gas Pricing Mechanism

Base on Cost

Base on Cost

Before 2005 2010 2012 2013-2015 After 2020

Price Reform Two Tier Pricing +

Base on Cost

Two Tier Pricing

Hub Price

Government Set and Guide the Price

Market Orientation

Price Formula

Coefficient

Import Price Import Price

VAT Thermal Value

Regional Gas Price

Government-capped City-gate Prices of Natural Gas by ProvinceMunicipalityRegion

ProvinceMunicipalityRegion

Price for existing consumption Price for outstanding consumption

RMB Yuancbm

USD $MMBtu RMB Yuancbm

USD $MMBtu

Beijing 2660 1168 3140 1379

Tianjin 2660 1168 3140 1379

Hebei 2640 1159 3120 1370

Shanxi 2570 1129 3050 1340

Inner Mongolia 2000 878 2480 1089

Guangdong 2860 1256 3320 1458

Guangxi 2690 1181 3150 1383

Heilongjiang 2420 1063 2900 1274

Shanghai 2840 1247 3320 1458

Jiangsu 2820 1239 3300 1449

Zhejiang 2830 1243 3310 1454

Anhui 2750 1208 3230 1419

Jiangxi 2620 1151 3100 1362

Shandong 2640 1159 3120 1370

Note The price is inclusive of value-added tax (VAT)

Source National Development and Reform Commission

Impact of Price Reform

Upstream

Middle stream

Downstream

Gas Power Plant Industry Vehicle Fertilizer

Supplier

LNG terminal

Domestic LNG plant Pipeline

Import LNG

Government PoliciesmdashPipeline Gas

Commercial

Gas Field Purify Pipeline City Gate Pipeline

Fertilizer

City Gas

Gas Power Plant

Industry

Vehicle

Citizen

Upstream Transportation

Downstream

LNG trucks

Vehicle

Gas refill station

Domestic LNG plant

Government PoliciesmdashLNG

Commercial

LNG trucks

Vehicle

City Gas

Gas Power Plant

Vehicle

Citizen

Industry

Import LNG

Shipping LNG terminal

Gas refill station

Pipeline

Content

Chinese gas market reforms in a regional context

Chinese import requirements uncertain but will impact wider region

bull Chinese domestic shale gas production uncertain Government cuts targets ndash 30Bcm by 2020 down from 60-100Bcm in original 2011-2015 development plan

bull Imports from Turkmenistan set to reach 30Bcm in 2014 up to 65Bcm by 2021

bull Russia-China pipeline agreement via Eastern Route ndash up to 38Bcmyear

bull Gazprom-CNPC sign framework agreement in Nov lsquo14 for 30Bcmyear via Altai (Western Route)

bull Chinese buyers have signed SPAs to import more than 50mtpa of LNG in 2020

38

5 6

24

6

17

4

China holds more than 50mtpa in LNG SPAs in 2020

Australia

Indonesia

Malaysia

Qatar

Russia

Portfolio Supply

Papua New Guinea

Chinarsquos LNG imports compared with NE Asia

rsquo08 lsquo09 lsquo10 rsquo11 rsquo12 rsquo13 rsquo14 end Sept

China LNG imports (mt)

337 574 960

131 1465 186 1467

Chinese LNG imports as percentage of regional demand

NE Asia

305 547 772 94 962 1165 1235

New Russian pipeline imports competitive with LNG

1000

1100

1200

1300

1400

1500

1600

LNG

Pric

es -

$M

MB

tu

Selected LNG and pipeline import prices to China on forward curve (12 Nov 2014)

US liquefaction DES Asia (Cheniere) QatarChina DES

Russia-China (Shanghai delivery estimate) AustraliaChina 201112

AustraliaChina CSG S-Curve from Corpus Christi statement - March 2014

source ICIS CME and NYMEX

Japan tries to align liberalisation and lower price goals

Chinese price reform raises questions for new contestable LNG supply

bull Eni and Anadarko developing multi-train

project in Mozambique Eni also plan 25mtpa FLNG project offshore Area 4

bull CNPC holds a 30 stake in Eni-led consortium developing Area 4

East Africa

bull Nine liquefaction projects at various stages of development in Western Canada have been given export approval

bull PetroChina and Sinopec stakeholders in two LNG projects

bull Cost challenges and uncertainty over royalty tax bull Regulatory issues over Western US greenfield projects

North America

bull Australian greenfield and FLNG projects under costs pressure ndash Browse Bonaparte Scarborough

bull Russian LNG ndash (Sakhalin expansionVladivostok Yamal LNG) ndash questions over financing technology

AustraliaRussia

You can rely on ICIS to stay up to date with the latest developments in China natural gas

Reliable pricing information The ICIS China Gas Markets Report enables you to understand price drivers and fluctuations and settle your contract prices more confidently by giving you access to delivered and import LNG prices as well as information on shipping information market moving news operating rates and turnaround schedules

Comprehensive supply and demand data and analysis The ICIS China LNG SupplyDemand amp Investment Opportunities Report provides detailed information on the LNG demand outlook for China ndash broken down by 24 key provinces autonomous regions and municipalities In addition it provides important information on domestic policies infrastructure developments and other key factors for consideration when making investment-related decisions

Request a sample report gtgt

Enquire about the report gtgt

Thank you very much

For other enquiries email us at enquiryiciscom Interested in our next webinars Visit wwwiciscomresourceswebinars

Click here to access the recording of the webinar - httpbcoveme41zphdnz

  • ICIS China Gas Market Webinar
  • Slide Number 2
  • Slide Number 3
  • Content
  • Slide Number 5
  • Chinarsquos natural gas Supply and Demand
  • Gas Consumption by region in 2012
  • LNG Consumption by region in 2013
  • Gas Distribution
  • Slide Number 10
  • Domestic Natural Gas Supply
  • Unconventional Gas Development
  • Unconventional Gas Distribution
  • Slide Number 14
  • Chinarsquos Gas Import
  • Gas Import Infrastructure
  • Gas Import by Source
  • Import Gas Price
  • Content
  • Evaluation of Chinarsquos Gas Pricing Mechanism
  • Price Formula
  • Regional Gas Price
  • Impact of Price Reform
  • Government PoliciesmdashPipeline Gas
  • Slide Number 25
  • Content
  • Chinese import requirements uncertain but will impact wider region
  • New Russian pipeline imports competitive with LNG
  • Japan tries to align liberalisation and lower price goals
  • Chinese price reform raises questions for new contestable LNG supply
  • Slide Number 31
  • Slide Number 32

Evaluation of Chinarsquos Gas Pricing Mechanism

Base on Cost

Base on Cost

Before 2005 2010 2012 2013-2015 After 2020

Price Reform Two Tier Pricing +

Base on Cost

Two Tier Pricing

Hub Price

Government Set and Guide the Price

Market Orientation

Price Formula

Coefficient

Import Price Import Price

VAT Thermal Value

Regional Gas Price

Government-capped City-gate Prices of Natural Gas by ProvinceMunicipalityRegion

ProvinceMunicipalityRegion

Price for existing consumption Price for outstanding consumption

RMB Yuancbm

USD $MMBtu RMB Yuancbm

USD $MMBtu

Beijing 2660 1168 3140 1379

Tianjin 2660 1168 3140 1379

Hebei 2640 1159 3120 1370

Shanxi 2570 1129 3050 1340

Inner Mongolia 2000 878 2480 1089

Guangdong 2860 1256 3320 1458

Guangxi 2690 1181 3150 1383

Heilongjiang 2420 1063 2900 1274

Shanghai 2840 1247 3320 1458

Jiangsu 2820 1239 3300 1449

Zhejiang 2830 1243 3310 1454

Anhui 2750 1208 3230 1419

Jiangxi 2620 1151 3100 1362

Shandong 2640 1159 3120 1370

Note The price is inclusive of value-added tax (VAT)

Source National Development and Reform Commission

Impact of Price Reform

Upstream

Middle stream

Downstream

Gas Power Plant Industry Vehicle Fertilizer

Supplier

LNG terminal

Domestic LNG plant Pipeline

Import LNG

Government PoliciesmdashPipeline Gas

Commercial

Gas Field Purify Pipeline City Gate Pipeline

Fertilizer

City Gas

Gas Power Plant

Industry

Vehicle

Citizen

Upstream Transportation

Downstream

LNG trucks

Vehicle

Gas refill station

Domestic LNG plant

Government PoliciesmdashLNG

Commercial

LNG trucks

Vehicle

City Gas

Gas Power Plant

Vehicle

Citizen

Industry

Import LNG

Shipping LNG terminal

Gas refill station

Pipeline

Content

Chinese gas market reforms in a regional context

Chinese import requirements uncertain but will impact wider region

bull Chinese domestic shale gas production uncertain Government cuts targets ndash 30Bcm by 2020 down from 60-100Bcm in original 2011-2015 development plan

bull Imports from Turkmenistan set to reach 30Bcm in 2014 up to 65Bcm by 2021

bull Russia-China pipeline agreement via Eastern Route ndash up to 38Bcmyear

bull Gazprom-CNPC sign framework agreement in Nov lsquo14 for 30Bcmyear via Altai (Western Route)

bull Chinese buyers have signed SPAs to import more than 50mtpa of LNG in 2020

38

5 6

24

6

17

4

China holds more than 50mtpa in LNG SPAs in 2020

Australia

Indonesia

Malaysia

Qatar

Russia

Portfolio Supply

Papua New Guinea

Chinarsquos LNG imports compared with NE Asia

rsquo08 lsquo09 lsquo10 rsquo11 rsquo12 rsquo13 rsquo14 end Sept

China LNG imports (mt)

337 574 960

131 1465 186 1467

Chinese LNG imports as percentage of regional demand

NE Asia

305 547 772 94 962 1165 1235

New Russian pipeline imports competitive with LNG

1000

1100

1200

1300

1400

1500

1600

LNG

Pric

es -

$M

MB

tu

Selected LNG and pipeline import prices to China on forward curve (12 Nov 2014)

US liquefaction DES Asia (Cheniere) QatarChina DES

Russia-China (Shanghai delivery estimate) AustraliaChina 201112

AustraliaChina CSG S-Curve from Corpus Christi statement - March 2014

source ICIS CME and NYMEX

Japan tries to align liberalisation and lower price goals

Chinese price reform raises questions for new contestable LNG supply

bull Eni and Anadarko developing multi-train

project in Mozambique Eni also plan 25mtpa FLNG project offshore Area 4

bull CNPC holds a 30 stake in Eni-led consortium developing Area 4

East Africa

bull Nine liquefaction projects at various stages of development in Western Canada have been given export approval

bull PetroChina and Sinopec stakeholders in two LNG projects

bull Cost challenges and uncertainty over royalty tax bull Regulatory issues over Western US greenfield projects

North America

bull Australian greenfield and FLNG projects under costs pressure ndash Browse Bonaparte Scarborough

bull Russian LNG ndash (Sakhalin expansionVladivostok Yamal LNG) ndash questions over financing technology

AustraliaRussia

You can rely on ICIS to stay up to date with the latest developments in China natural gas

Reliable pricing information The ICIS China Gas Markets Report enables you to understand price drivers and fluctuations and settle your contract prices more confidently by giving you access to delivered and import LNG prices as well as information on shipping information market moving news operating rates and turnaround schedules

Comprehensive supply and demand data and analysis The ICIS China LNG SupplyDemand amp Investment Opportunities Report provides detailed information on the LNG demand outlook for China ndash broken down by 24 key provinces autonomous regions and municipalities In addition it provides important information on domestic policies infrastructure developments and other key factors for consideration when making investment-related decisions

Request a sample report gtgt

Enquire about the report gtgt

Thank you very much

For other enquiries email us at enquiryiciscom Interested in our next webinars Visit wwwiciscomresourceswebinars

Click here to access the recording of the webinar - httpbcoveme41zphdnz

  • ICIS China Gas Market Webinar
  • Slide Number 2
  • Slide Number 3
  • Content
  • Slide Number 5
  • Chinarsquos natural gas Supply and Demand
  • Gas Consumption by region in 2012
  • LNG Consumption by region in 2013
  • Gas Distribution
  • Slide Number 10
  • Domestic Natural Gas Supply
  • Unconventional Gas Development
  • Unconventional Gas Distribution
  • Slide Number 14
  • Chinarsquos Gas Import
  • Gas Import Infrastructure
  • Gas Import by Source
  • Import Gas Price
  • Content
  • Evaluation of Chinarsquos Gas Pricing Mechanism
  • Price Formula
  • Regional Gas Price
  • Impact of Price Reform
  • Government PoliciesmdashPipeline Gas
  • Slide Number 25
  • Content
  • Chinese import requirements uncertain but will impact wider region
  • New Russian pipeline imports competitive with LNG
  • Japan tries to align liberalisation and lower price goals
  • Chinese price reform raises questions for new contestable LNG supply
  • Slide Number 31
  • Slide Number 32

Price Formula

Coefficient

Import Price Import Price

VAT Thermal Value

Regional Gas Price

Government-capped City-gate Prices of Natural Gas by ProvinceMunicipalityRegion

ProvinceMunicipalityRegion

Price for existing consumption Price for outstanding consumption

RMB Yuancbm

USD $MMBtu RMB Yuancbm

USD $MMBtu

Beijing 2660 1168 3140 1379

Tianjin 2660 1168 3140 1379

Hebei 2640 1159 3120 1370

Shanxi 2570 1129 3050 1340

Inner Mongolia 2000 878 2480 1089

Guangdong 2860 1256 3320 1458

Guangxi 2690 1181 3150 1383

Heilongjiang 2420 1063 2900 1274

Shanghai 2840 1247 3320 1458

Jiangsu 2820 1239 3300 1449

Zhejiang 2830 1243 3310 1454

Anhui 2750 1208 3230 1419

Jiangxi 2620 1151 3100 1362

Shandong 2640 1159 3120 1370

Note The price is inclusive of value-added tax (VAT)

Source National Development and Reform Commission

Impact of Price Reform

Upstream

Middle stream

Downstream

Gas Power Plant Industry Vehicle Fertilizer

Supplier

LNG terminal

Domestic LNG plant Pipeline

Import LNG

Government PoliciesmdashPipeline Gas

Commercial

Gas Field Purify Pipeline City Gate Pipeline

Fertilizer

City Gas

Gas Power Plant

Industry

Vehicle

Citizen

Upstream Transportation

Downstream

LNG trucks

Vehicle

Gas refill station

Domestic LNG plant

Government PoliciesmdashLNG

Commercial

LNG trucks

Vehicle

City Gas

Gas Power Plant

Vehicle

Citizen

Industry

Import LNG

Shipping LNG terminal

Gas refill station

Pipeline

Content

Chinese gas market reforms in a regional context

Chinese import requirements uncertain but will impact wider region

bull Chinese domestic shale gas production uncertain Government cuts targets ndash 30Bcm by 2020 down from 60-100Bcm in original 2011-2015 development plan

bull Imports from Turkmenistan set to reach 30Bcm in 2014 up to 65Bcm by 2021

bull Russia-China pipeline agreement via Eastern Route ndash up to 38Bcmyear

bull Gazprom-CNPC sign framework agreement in Nov lsquo14 for 30Bcmyear via Altai (Western Route)

bull Chinese buyers have signed SPAs to import more than 50mtpa of LNG in 2020

38

5 6

24

6

17

4

China holds more than 50mtpa in LNG SPAs in 2020

Australia

Indonesia

Malaysia

Qatar

Russia

Portfolio Supply

Papua New Guinea

Chinarsquos LNG imports compared with NE Asia

rsquo08 lsquo09 lsquo10 rsquo11 rsquo12 rsquo13 rsquo14 end Sept

China LNG imports (mt)

337 574 960

131 1465 186 1467

Chinese LNG imports as percentage of regional demand

NE Asia

305 547 772 94 962 1165 1235

New Russian pipeline imports competitive with LNG

1000

1100

1200

1300

1400

1500

1600

LNG

Pric

es -

$M

MB

tu

Selected LNG and pipeline import prices to China on forward curve (12 Nov 2014)

US liquefaction DES Asia (Cheniere) QatarChina DES

Russia-China (Shanghai delivery estimate) AustraliaChina 201112

AustraliaChina CSG S-Curve from Corpus Christi statement - March 2014

source ICIS CME and NYMEX

Japan tries to align liberalisation and lower price goals

Chinese price reform raises questions for new contestable LNG supply

bull Eni and Anadarko developing multi-train

project in Mozambique Eni also plan 25mtpa FLNG project offshore Area 4

bull CNPC holds a 30 stake in Eni-led consortium developing Area 4

East Africa

bull Nine liquefaction projects at various stages of development in Western Canada have been given export approval

bull PetroChina and Sinopec stakeholders in two LNG projects

bull Cost challenges and uncertainty over royalty tax bull Regulatory issues over Western US greenfield projects

North America

bull Australian greenfield and FLNG projects under costs pressure ndash Browse Bonaparte Scarborough

bull Russian LNG ndash (Sakhalin expansionVladivostok Yamal LNG) ndash questions over financing technology

AustraliaRussia

You can rely on ICIS to stay up to date with the latest developments in China natural gas

Reliable pricing information The ICIS China Gas Markets Report enables you to understand price drivers and fluctuations and settle your contract prices more confidently by giving you access to delivered and import LNG prices as well as information on shipping information market moving news operating rates and turnaround schedules

Comprehensive supply and demand data and analysis The ICIS China LNG SupplyDemand amp Investment Opportunities Report provides detailed information on the LNG demand outlook for China ndash broken down by 24 key provinces autonomous regions and municipalities In addition it provides important information on domestic policies infrastructure developments and other key factors for consideration when making investment-related decisions

Request a sample report gtgt

Enquire about the report gtgt

Thank you very much

For other enquiries email us at enquiryiciscom Interested in our next webinars Visit wwwiciscomresourceswebinars

Click here to access the recording of the webinar - httpbcoveme41zphdnz

  • ICIS China Gas Market Webinar
  • Slide Number 2
  • Slide Number 3
  • Content
  • Slide Number 5
  • Chinarsquos natural gas Supply and Demand
  • Gas Consumption by region in 2012
  • LNG Consumption by region in 2013
  • Gas Distribution
  • Slide Number 10
  • Domestic Natural Gas Supply
  • Unconventional Gas Development
  • Unconventional Gas Distribution
  • Slide Number 14
  • Chinarsquos Gas Import
  • Gas Import Infrastructure
  • Gas Import by Source
  • Import Gas Price
  • Content
  • Evaluation of Chinarsquos Gas Pricing Mechanism
  • Price Formula
  • Regional Gas Price
  • Impact of Price Reform
  • Government PoliciesmdashPipeline Gas
  • Slide Number 25
  • Content
  • Chinese import requirements uncertain but will impact wider region
  • New Russian pipeline imports competitive with LNG
  • Japan tries to align liberalisation and lower price goals
  • Chinese price reform raises questions for new contestable LNG supply
  • Slide Number 31
  • Slide Number 32

Regional Gas Price

Government-capped City-gate Prices of Natural Gas by ProvinceMunicipalityRegion

ProvinceMunicipalityRegion

Price for existing consumption Price for outstanding consumption

RMB Yuancbm

USD $MMBtu RMB Yuancbm

USD $MMBtu

Beijing 2660 1168 3140 1379

Tianjin 2660 1168 3140 1379

Hebei 2640 1159 3120 1370

Shanxi 2570 1129 3050 1340

Inner Mongolia 2000 878 2480 1089

Guangdong 2860 1256 3320 1458

Guangxi 2690 1181 3150 1383

Heilongjiang 2420 1063 2900 1274

Shanghai 2840 1247 3320 1458

Jiangsu 2820 1239 3300 1449

Zhejiang 2830 1243 3310 1454

Anhui 2750 1208 3230 1419

Jiangxi 2620 1151 3100 1362

Shandong 2640 1159 3120 1370

Note The price is inclusive of value-added tax (VAT)

Source National Development and Reform Commission

Impact of Price Reform

Upstream

Middle stream

Downstream

Gas Power Plant Industry Vehicle Fertilizer

Supplier

LNG terminal

Domestic LNG plant Pipeline

Import LNG

Government PoliciesmdashPipeline Gas

Commercial

Gas Field Purify Pipeline City Gate Pipeline

Fertilizer

City Gas

Gas Power Plant

Industry

Vehicle

Citizen

Upstream Transportation

Downstream

LNG trucks

Vehicle

Gas refill station

Domestic LNG plant

Government PoliciesmdashLNG

Commercial

LNG trucks

Vehicle

City Gas

Gas Power Plant

Vehicle

Citizen

Industry

Import LNG

Shipping LNG terminal

Gas refill station

Pipeline

Content

Chinese gas market reforms in a regional context

Chinese import requirements uncertain but will impact wider region

bull Chinese domestic shale gas production uncertain Government cuts targets ndash 30Bcm by 2020 down from 60-100Bcm in original 2011-2015 development plan

bull Imports from Turkmenistan set to reach 30Bcm in 2014 up to 65Bcm by 2021

bull Russia-China pipeline agreement via Eastern Route ndash up to 38Bcmyear

bull Gazprom-CNPC sign framework agreement in Nov lsquo14 for 30Bcmyear via Altai (Western Route)

bull Chinese buyers have signed SPAs to import more than 50mtpa of LNG in 2020

38

5 6

24

6

17

4

China holds more than 50mtpa in LNG SPAs in 2020

Australia

Indonesia

Malaysia

Qatar

Russia

Portfolio Supply

Papua New Guinea

Chinarsquos LNG imports compared with NE Asia

rsquo08 lsquo09 lsquo10 rsquo11 rsquo12 rsquo13 rsquo14 end Sept

China LNG imports (mt)

337 574 960

131 1465 186 1467

Chinese LNG imports as percentage of regional demand

NE Asia

305 547 772 94 962 1165 1235

New Russian pipeline imports competitive with LNG

1000

1100

1200

1300

1400

1500

1600

LNG

Pric

es -

$M

MB

tu

Selected LNG and pipeline import prices to China on forward curve (12 Nov 2014)

US liquefaction DES Asia (Cheniere) QatarChina DES

Russia-China (Shanghai delivery estimate) AustraliaChina 201112

AustraliaChina CSG S-Curve from Corpus Christi statement - March 2014

source ICIS CME and NYMEX

Japan tries to align liberalisation and lower price goals

Chinese price reform raises questions for new contestable LNG supply

bull Eni and Anadarko developing multi-train

project in Mozambique Eni also plan 25mtpa FLNG project offshore Area 4

bull CNPC holds a 30 stake in Eni-led consortium developing Area 4

East Africa

bull Nine liquefaction projects at various stages of development in Western Canada have been given export approval

bull PetroChina and Sinopec stakeholders in two LNG projects

bull Cost challenges and uncertainty over royalty tax bull Regulatory issues over Western US greenfield projects

North America

bull Australian greenfield and FLNG projects under costs pressure ndash Browse Bonaparte Scarborough

bull Russian LNG ndash (Sakhalin expansionVladivostok Yamal LNG) ndash questions over financing technology

AustraliaRussia

You can rely on ICIS to stay up to date with the latest developments in China natural gas

Reliable pricing information The ICIS China Gas Markets Report enables you to understand price drivers and fluctuations and settle your contract prices more confidently by giving you access to delivered and import LNG prices as well as information on shipping information market moving news operating rates and turnaround schedules

Comprehensive supply and demand data and analysis The ICIS China LNG SupplyDemand amp Investment Opportunities Report provides detailed information on the LNG demand outlook for China ndash broken down by 24 key provinces autonomous regions and municipalities In addition it provides important information on domestic policies infrastructure developments and other key factors for consideration when making investment-related decisions

Request a sample report gtgt

Enquire about the report gtgt

Thank you very much

For other enquiries email us at enquiryiciscom Interested in our next webinars Visit wwwiciscomresourceswebinars

Click here to access the recording of the webinar - httpbcoveme41zphdnz

  • ICIS China Gas Market Webinar
  • Slide Number 2
  • Slide Number 3
  • Content
  • Slide Number 5
  • Chinarsquos natural gas Supply and Demand
  • Gas Consumption by region in 2012
  • LNG Consumption by region in 2013
  • Gas Distribution
  • Slide Number 10
  • Domestic Natural Gas Supply
  • Unconventional Gas Development
  • Unconventional Gas Distribution
  • Slide Number 14
  • Chinarsquos Gas Import
  • Gas Import Infrastructure
  • Gas Import by Source
  • Import Gas Price
  • Content
  • Evaluation of Chinarsquos Gas Pricing Mechanism
  • Price Formula
  • Regional Gas Price
  • Impact of Price Reform
  • Government PoliciesmdashPipeline Gas
  • Slide Number 25
  • Content
  • Chinese import requirements uncertain but will impact wider region
  • New Russian pipeline imports competitive with LNG
  • Japan tries to align liberalisation and lower price goals
  • Chinese price reform raises questions for new contestable LNG supply
  • Slide Number 31
  • Slide Number 32

Impact of Price Reform

Upstream

Middle stream

Downstream

Gas Power Plant Industry Vehicle Fertilizer

Supplier

LNG terminal

Domestic LNG plant Pipeline

Import LNG

Government PoliciesmdashPipeline Gas

Commercial

Gas Field Purify Pipeline City Gate Pipeline

Fertilizer

City Gas

Gas Power Plant

Industry

Vehicle

Citizen

Upstream Transportation

Downstream

LNG trucks

Vehicle

Gas refill station

Domestic LNG plant

Government PoliciesmdashLNG

Commercial

LNG trucks

Vehicle

City Gas

Gas Power Plant

Vehicle

Citizen

Industry

Import LNG

Shipping LNG terminal

Gas refill station

Pipeline

Content

Chinese gas market reforms in a regional context

Chinese import requirements uncertain but will impact wider region

bull Chinese domestic shale gas production uncertain Government cuts targets ndash 30Bcm by 2020 down from 60-100Bcm in original 2011-2015 development plan

bull Imports from Turkmenistan set to reach 30Bcm in 2014 up to 65Bcm by 2021

bull Russia-China pipeline agreement via Eastern Route ndash up to 38Bcmyear

bull Gazprom-CNPC sign framework agreement in Nov lsquo14 for 30Bcmyear via Altai (Western Route)

bull Chinese buyers have signed SPAs to import more than 50mtpa of LNG in 2020

38

5 6

24

6

17

4

China holds more than 50mtpa in LNG SPAs in 2020

Australia

Indonesia

Malaysia

Qatar

Russia

Portfolio Supply

Papua New Guinea

Chinarsquos LNG imports compared with NE Asia

rsquo08 lsquo09 lsquo10 rsquo11 rsquo12 rsquo13 rsquo14 end Sept

China LNG imports (mt)

337 574 960

131 1465 186 1467

Chinese LNG imports as percentage of regional demand

NE Asia

305 547 772 94 962 1165 1235

New Russian pipeline imports competitive with LNG

1000

1100

1200

1300

1400

1500

1600

LNG

Pric

es -

$M

MB

tu

Selected LNG and pipeline import prices to China on forward curve (12 Nov 2014)

US liquefaction DES Asia (Cheniere) QatarChina DES

Russia-China (Shanghai delivery estimate) AustraliaChina 201112

AustraliaChina CSG S-Curve from Corpus Christi statement - March 2014

source ICIS CME and NYMEX

Japan tries to align liberalisation and lower price goals

Chinese price reform raises questions for new contestable LNG supply

bull Eni and Anadarko developing multi-train

project in Mozambique Eni also plan 25mtpa FLNG project offshore Area 4

bull CNPC holds a 30 stake in Eni-led consortium developing Area 4

East Africa

bull Nine liquefaction projects at various stages of development in Western Canada have been given export approval

bull PetroChina and Sinopec stakeholders in two LNG projects

bull Cost challenges and uncertainty over royalty tax bull Regulatory issues over Western US greenfield projects

North America

bull Australian greenfield and FLNG projects under costs pressure ndash Browse Bonaparte Scarborough

bull Russian LNG ndash (Sakhalin expansionVladivostok Yamal LNG) ndash questions over financing technology

AustraliaRussia

You can rely on ICIS to stay up to date with the latest developments in China natural gas

Reliable pricing information The ICIS China Gas Markets Report enables you to understand price drivers and fluctuations and settle your contract prices more confidently by giving you access to delivered and import LNG prices as well as information on shipping information market moving news operating rates and turnaround schedules

Comprehensive supply and demand data and analysis The ICIS China LNG SupplyDemand amp Investment Opportunities Report provides detailed information on the LNG demand outlook for China ndash broken down by 24 key provinces autonomous regions and municipalities In addition it provides important information on domestic policies infrastructure developments and other key factors for consideration when making investment-related decisions

Request a sample report gtgt

Enquire about the report gtgt

Thank you very much

For other enquiries email us at enquiryiciscom Interested in our next webinars Visit wwwiciscomresourceswebinars

Click here to access the recording of the webinar - httpbcoveme41zphdnz

  • ICIS China Gas Market Webinar
  • Slide Number 2
  • Slide Number 3
  • Content
  • Slide Number 5
  • Chinarsquos natural gas Supply and Demand
  • Gas Consumption by region in 2012
  • LNG Consumption by region in 2013
  • Gas Distribution
  • Slide Number 10
  • Domestic Natural Gas Supply
  • Unconventional Gas Development
  • Unconventional Gas Distribution
  • Slide Number 14
  • Chinarsquos Gas Import
  • Gas Import Infrastructure
  • Gas Import by Source
  • Import Gas Price
  • Content
  • Evaluation of Chinarsquos Gas Pricing Mechanism
  • Price Formula
  • Regional Gas Price
  • Impact of Price Reform
  • Government PoliciesmdashPipeline Gas
  • Slide Number 25
  • Content
  • Chinese import requirements uncertain but will impact wider region
  • New Russian pipeline imports competitive with LNG
  • Japan tries to align liberalisation and lower price goals
  • Chinese price reform raises questions for new contestable LNG supply
  • Slide Number 31
  • Slide Number 32

Government PoliciesmdashPipeline Gas

Commercial

Gas Field Purify Pipeline City Gate Pipeline

Fertilizer

City Gas

Gas Power Plant

Industry

Vehicle

Citizen

Upstream Transportation

Downstream

LNG trucks

Vehicle

Gas refill station

Domestic LNG plant

Government PoliciesmdashLNG

Commercial

LNG trucks

Vehicle

City Gas

Gas Power Plant

Vehicle

Citizen

Industry

Import LNG

Shipping LNG terminal

Gas refill station

Pipeline

Content

Chinese gas market reforms in a regional context

Chinese import requirements uncertain but will impact wider region

bull Chinese domestic shale gas production uncertain Government cuts targets ndash 30Bcm by 2020 down from 60-100Bcm in original 2011-2015 development plan

bull Imports from Turkmenistan set to reach 30Bcm in 2014 up to 65Bcm by 2021

bull Russia-China pipeline agreement via Eastern Route ndash up to 38Bcmyear

bull Gazprom-CNPC sign framework agreement in Nov lsquo14 for 30Bcmyear via Altai (Western Route)

bull Chinese buyers have signed SPAs to import more than 50mtpa of LNG in 2020

38

5 6

24

6

17

4

China holds more than 50mtpa in LNG SPAs in 2020

Australia

Indonesia

Malaysia

Qatar

Russia

Portfolio Supply

Papua New Guinea

Chinarsquos LNG imports compared with NE Asia

rsquo08 lsquo09 lsquo10 rsquo11 rsquo12 rsquo13 rsquo14 end Sept

China LNG imports (mt)

337 574 960

131 1465 186 1467

Chinese LNG imports as percentage of regional demand

NE Asia

305 547 772 94 962 1165 1235

New Russian pipeline imports competitive with LNG

1000

1100

1200

1300

1400

1500

1600

LNG

Pric

es -

$M

MB

tu

Selected LNG and pipeline import prices to China on forward curve (12 Nov 2014)

US liquefaction DES Asia (Cheniere) QatarChina DES

Russia-China (Shanghai delivery estimate) AustraliaChina 201112

AustraliaChina CSG S-Curve from Corpus Christi statement - March 2014

source ICIS CME and NYMEX

Japan tries to align liberalisation and lower price goals

Chinese price reform raises questions for new contestable LNG supply

bull Eni and Anadarko developing multi-train

project in Mozambique Eni also plan 25mtpa FLNG project offshore Area 4

bull CNPC holds a 30 stake in Eni-led consortium developing Area 4

East Africa

bull Nine liquefaction projects at various stages of development in Western Canada have been given export approval

bull PetroChina and Sinopec stakeholders in two LNG projects

bull Cost challenges and uncertainty over royalty tax bull Regulatory issues over Western US greenfield projects

North America

bull Australian greenfield and FLNG projects under costs pressure ndash Browse Bonaparte Scarborough

bull Russian LNG ndash (Sakhalin expansionVladivostok Yamal LNG) ndash questions over financing technology

AustraliaRussia

You can rely on ICIS to stay up to date with the latest developments in China natural gas

Reliable pricing information The ICIS China Gas Markets Report enables you to understand price drivers and fluctuations and settle your contract prices more confidently by giving you access to delivered and import LNG prices as well as information on shipping information market moving news operating rates and turnaround schedules

Comprehensive supply and demand data and analysis The ICIS China LNG SupplyDemand amp Investment Opportunities Report provides detailed information on the LNG demand outlook for China ndash broken down by 24 key provinces autonomous regions and municipalities In addition it provides important information on domestic policies infrastructure developments and other key factors for consideration when making investment-related decisions

Request a sample report gtgt

Enquire about the report gtgt

Thank you very much

For other enquiries email us at enquiryiciscom Interested in our next webinars Visit wwwiciscomresourceswebinars

Click here to access the recording of the webinar - httpbcoveme41zphdnz

  • ICIS China Gas Market Webinar
  • Slide Number 2
  • Slide Number 3
  • Content
  • Slide Number 5
  • Chinarsquos natural gas Supply and Demand
  • Gas Consumption by region in 2012
  • LNG Consumption by region in 2013
  • Gas Distribution
  • Slide Number 10
  • Domestic Natural Gas Supply
  • Unconventional Gas Development
  • Unconventional Gas Distribution
  • Slide Number 14
  • Chinarsquos Gas Import
  • Gas Import Infrastructure
  • Gas Import by Source
  • Import Gas Price
  • Content
  • Evaluation of Chinarsquos Gas Pricing Mechanism
  • Price Formula
  • Regional Gas Price
  • Impact of Price Reform
  • Government PoliciesmdashPipeline Gas
  • Slide Number 25
  • Content
  • Chinese import requirements uncertain but will impact wider region
  • New Russian pipeline imports competitive with LNG
  • Japan tries to align liberalisation and lower price goals
  • Chinese price reform raises questions for new contestable LNG supply
  • Slide Number 31
  • Slide Number 32

Government PoliciesmdashLNG

Commercial

LNG trucks

Vehicle

City Gas

Gas Power Plant

Vehicle

Citizen

Industry

Import LNG

Shipping LNG terminal

Gas refill station

Pipeline

Content

Chinese gas market reforms in a regional context

Chinese import requirements uncertain but will impact wider region

bull Chinese domestic shale gas production uncertain Government cuts targets ndash 30Bcm by 2020 down from 60-100Bcm in original 2011-2015 development plan

bull Imports from Turkmenistan set to reach 30Bcm in 2014 up to 65Bcm by 2021

bull Russia-China pipeline agreement via Eastern Route ndash up to 38Bcmyear

bull Gazprom-CNPC sign framework agreement in Nov lsquo14 for 30Bcmyear via Altai (Western Route)

bull Chinese buyers have signed SPAs to import more than 50mtpa of LNG in 2020

38

5 6

24

6

17

4

China holds more than 50mtpa in LNG SPAs in 2020

Australia

Indonesia

Malaysia

Qatar

Russia

Portfolio Supply

Papua New Guinea

Chinarsquos LNG imports compared with NE Asia

rsquo08 lsquo09 lsquo10 rsquo11 rsquo12 rsquo13 rsquo14 end Sept

China LNG imports (mt)

337 574 960

131 1465 186 1467

Chinese LNG imports as percentage of regional demand

NE Asia

305 547 772 94 962 1165 1235

New Russian pipeline imports competitive with LNG

1000

1100

1200

1300

1400

1500

1600

LNG

Pric

es -

$M

MB

tu

Selected LNG and pipeline import prices to China on forward curve (12 Nov 2014)

US liquefaction DES Asia (Cheniere) QatarChina DES

Russia-China (Shanghai delivery estimate) AustraliaChina 201112

AustraliaChina CSG S-Curve from Corpus Christi statement - March 2014

source ICIS CME and NYMEX

Japan tries to align liberalisation and lower price goals

Chinese price reform raises questions for new contestable LNG supply

bull Eni and Anadarko developing multi-train

project in Mozambique Eni also plan 25mtpa FLNG project offshore Area 4

bull CNPC holds a 30 stake in Eni-led consortium developing Area 4

East Africa

bull Nine liquefaction projects at various stages of development in Western Canada have been given export approval

bull PetroChina and Sinopec stakeholders in two LNG projects

bull Cost challenges and uncertainty over royalty tax bull Regulatory issues over Western US greenfield projects

North America

bull Australian greenfield and FLNG projects under costs pressure ndash Browse Bonaparte Scarborough

bull Russian LNG ndash (Sakhalin expansionVladivostok Yamal LNG) ndash questions over financing technology

AustraliaRussia

You can rely on ICIS to stay up to date with the latest developments in China natural gas

Reliable pricing information The ICIS China Gas Markets Report enables you to understand price drivers and fluctuations and settle your contract prices more confidently by giving you access to delivered and import LNG prices as well as information on shipping information market moving news operating rates and turnaround schedules

Comprehensive supply and demand data and analysis The ICIS China LNG SupplyDemand amp Investment Opportunities Report provides detailed information on the LNG demand outlook for China ndash broken down by 24 key provinces autonomous regions and municipalities In addition it provides important information on domestic policies infrastructure developments and other key factors for consideration when making investment-related decisions

Request a sample report gtgt

Enquire about the report gtgt

Thank you very much

For other enquiries email us at enquiryiciscom Interested in our next webinars Visit wwwiciscomresourceswebinars

Click here to access the recording of the webinar - httpbcoveme41zphdnz

  • ICIS China Gas Market Webinar
  • Slide Number 2
  • Slide Number 3
  • Content
  • Slide Number 5
  • Chinarsquos natural gas Supply and Demand
  • Gas Consumption by region in 2012
  • LNG Consumption by region in 2013
  • Gas Distribution
  • Slide Number 10
  • Domestic Natural Gas Supply
  • Unconventional Gas Development
  • Unconventional Gas Distribution
  • Slide Number 14
  • Chinarsquos Gas Import
  • Gas Import Infrastructure
  • Gas Import by Source
  • Import Gas Price
  • Content
  • Evaluation of Chinarsquos Gas Pricing Mechanism
  • Price Formula
  • Regional Gas Price
  • Impact of Price Reform
  • Government PoliciesmdashPipeline Gas
  • Slide Number 25
  • Content
  • Chinese import requirements uncertain but will impact wider region
  • New Russian pipeline imports competitive with LNG
  • Japan tries to align liberalisation and lower price goals
  • Chinese price reform raises questions for new contestable LNG supply
  • Slide Number 31
  • Slide Number 32

Content

Chinese gas market reforms in a regional context

Chinese import requirements uncertain but will impact wider region

bull Chinese domestic shale gas production uncertain Government cuts targets ndash 30Bcm by 2020 down from 60-100Bcm in original 2011-2015 development plan

bull Imports from Turkmenistan set to reach 30Bcm in 2014 up to 65Bcm by 2021

bull Russia-China pipeline agreement via Eastern Route ndash up to 38Bcmyear

bull Gazprom-CNPC sign framework agreement in Nov lsquo14 for 30Bcmyear via Altai (Western Route)

bull Chinese buyers have signed SPAs to import more than 50mtpa of LNG in 2020

38

5 6

24

6

17

4

China holds more than 50mtpa in LNG SPAs in 2020

Australia

Indonesia

Malaysia

Qatar

Russia

Portfolio Supply

Papua New Guinea

Chinarsquos LNG imports compared with NE Asia

rsquo08 lsquo09 lsquo10 rsquo11 rsquo12 rsquo13 rsquo14 end Sept

China LNG imports (mt)

337 574 960

131 1465 186 1467

Chinese LNG imports as percentage of regional demand

NE Asia

305 547 772 94 962 1165 1235

New Russian pipeline imports competitive with LNG

1000

1100

1200

1300

1400

1500

1600

LNG

Pric

es -

$M

MB

tu

Selected LNG and pipeline import prices to China on forward curve (12 Nov 2014)

US liquefaction DES Asia (Cheniere) QatarChina DES

Russia-China (Shanghai delivery estimate) AustraliaChina 201112

AustraliaChina CSG S-Curve from Corpus Christi statement - March 2014

source ICIS CME and NYMEX

Japan tries to align liberalisation and lower price goals

Chinese price reform raises questions for new contestable LNG supply

bull Eni and Anadarko developing multi-train

project in Mozambique Eni also plan 25mtpa FLNG project offshore Area 4

bull CNPC holds a 30 stake in Eni-led consortium developing Area 4

East Africa

bull Nine liquefaction projects at various stages of development in Western Canada have been given export approval

bull PetroChina and Sinopec stakeholders in two LNG projects

bull Cost challenges and uncertainty over royalty tax bull Regulatory issues over Western US greenfield projects

North America

bull Australian greenfield and FLNG projects under costs pressure ndash Browse Bonaparte Scarborough

bull Russian LNG ndash (Sakhalin expansionVladivostok Yamal LNG) ndash questions over financing technology

AustraliaRussia

You can rely on ICIS to stay up to date with the latest developments in China natural gas

Reliable pricing information The ICIS China Gas Markets Report enables you to understand price drivers and fluctuations and settle your contract prices more confidently by giving you access to delivered and import LNG prices as well as information on shipping information market moving news operating rates and turnaround schedules

Comprehensive supply and demand data and analysis The ICIS China LNG SupplyDemand amp Investment Opportunities Report provides detailed information on the LNG demand outlook for China ndash broken down by 24 key provinces autonomous regions and municipalities In addition it provides important information on domestic policies infrastructure developments and other key factors for consideration when making investment-related decisions

Request a sample report gtgt

Enquire about the report gtgt

Thank you very much

For other enquiries email us at enquiryiciscom Interested in our next webinars Visit wwwiciscomresourceswebinars

Click here to access the recording of the webinar - httpbcoveme41zphdnz

  • ICIS China Gas Market Webinar
  • Slide Number 2
  • Slide Number 3
  • Content
  • Slide Number 5
  • Chinarsquos natural gas Supply and Demand
  • Gas Consumption by region in 2012
  • LNG Consumption by region in 2013
  • Gas Distribution
  • Slide Number 10
  • Domestic Natural Gas Supply
  • Unconventional Gas Development
  • Unconventional Gas Distribution
  • Slide Number 14
  • Chinarsquos Gas Import
  • Gas Import Infrastructure
  • Gas Import by Source
  • Import Gas Price
  • Content
  • Evaluation of Chinarsquos Gas Pricing Mechanism
  • Price Formula
  • Regional Gas Price
  • Impact of Price Reform
  • Government PoliciesmdashPipeline Gas
  • Slide Number 25
  • Content
  • Chinese import requirements uncertain but will impact wider region
  • New Russian pipeline imports competitive with LNG
  • Japan tries to align liberalisation and lower price goals
  • Chinese price reform raises questions for new contestable LNG supply
  • Slide Number 31
  • Slide Number 32

Chinese import requirements uncertain but will impact wider region

bull Chinese domestic shale gas production uncertain Government cuts targets ndash 30Bcm by 2020 down from 60-100Bcm in original 2011-2015 development plan

bull Imports from Turkmenistan set to reach 30Bcm in 2014 up to 65Bcm by 2021

bull Russia-China pipeline agreement via Eastern Route ndash up to 38Bcmyear

bull Gazprom-CNPC sign framework agreement in Nov lsquo14 for 30Bcmyear via Altai (Western Route)

bull Chinese buyers have signed SPAs to import more than 50mtpa of LNG in 2020

38

5 6

24

6

17

4

China holds more than 50mtpa in LNG SPAs in 2020

Australia

Indonesia

Malaysia

Qatar

Russia

Portfolio Supply

Papua New Guinea

Chinarsquos LNG imports compared with NE Asia

rsquo08 lsquo09 lsquo10 rsquo11 rsquo12 rsquo13 rsquo14 end Sept

China LNG imports (mt)

337 574 960

131 1465 186 1467

Chinese LNG imports as percentage of regional demand

NE Asia

305 547 772 94 962 1165 1235

New Russian pipeline imports competitive with LNG

1000

1100

1200

1300

1400

1500

1600

LNG

Pric

es -

$M

MB

tu

Selected LNG and pipeline import prices to China on forward curve (12 Nov 2014)

US liquefaction DES Asia (Cheniere) QatarChina DES

Russia-China (Shanghai delivery estimate) AustraliaChina 201112

AustraliaChina CSG S-Curve from Corpus Christi statement - March 2014

source ICIS CME and NYMEX

Japan tries to align liberalisation and lower price goals

Chinese price reform raises questions for new contestable LNG supply

bull Eni and Anadarko developing multi-train

project in Mozambique Eni also plan 25mtpa FLNG project offshore Area 4

bull CNPC holds a 30 stake in Eni-led consortium developing Area 4

East Africa

bull Nine liquefaction projects at various stages of development in Western Canada have been given export approval

bull PetroChina and Sinopec stakeholders in two LNG projects

bull Cost challenges and uncertainty over royalty tax bull Regulatory issues over Western US greenfield projects

North America

bull Australian greenfield and FLNG projects under costs pressure ndash Browse Bonaparte Scarborough

bull Russian LNG ndash (Sakhalin expansionVladivostok Yamal LNG) ndash questions over financing technology

AustraliaRussia

You can rely on ICIS to stay up to date with the latest developments in China natural gas

Reliable pricing information The ICIS China Gas Markets Report enables you to understand price drivers and fluctuations and settle your contract prices more confidently by giving you access to delivered and import LNG prices as well as information on shipping information market moving news operating rates and turnaround schedules

Comprehensive supply and demand data and analysis The ICIS China LNG SupplyDemand amp Investment Opportunities Report provides detailed information on the LNG demand outlook for China ndash broken down by 24 key provinces autonomous regions and municipalities In addition it provides important information on domestic policies infrastructure developments and other key factors for consideration when making investment-related decisions

Request a sample report gtgt

Enquire about the report gtgt

Thank you very much

For other enquiries email us at enquiryiciscom Interested in our next webinars Visit wwwiciscomresourceswebinars

Click here to access the recording of the webinar - httpbcoveme41zphdnz

  • ICIS China Gas Market Webinar
  • Slide Number 2
  • Slide Number 3
  • Content
  • Slide Number 5
  • Chinarsquos natural gas Supply and Demand
  • Gas Consumption by region in 2012
  • LNG Consumption by region in 2013
  • Gas Distribution
  • Slide Number 10
  • Domestic Natural Gas Supply
  • Unconventional Gas Development
  • Unconventional Gas Distribution
  • Slide Number 14
  • Chinarsquos Gas Import
  • Gas Import Infrastructure
  • Gas Import by Source
  • Import Gas Price
  • Content
  • Evaluation of Chinarsquos Gas Pricing Mechanism
  • Price Formula
  • Regional Gas Price
  • Impact of Price Reform
  • Government PoliciesmdashPipeline Gas
  • Slide Number 25
  • Content
  • Chinese import requirements uncertain but will impact wider region
  • New Russian pipeline imports competitive with LNG
  • Japan tries to align liberalisation and lower price goals
  • Chinese price reform raises questions for new contestable LNG supply
  • Slide Number 31
  • Slide Number 32

New Russian pipeline imports competitive with LNG

1000

1100

1200

1300

1400

1500

1600

LNG

Pric

es -

$M

MB

tu

Selected LNG and pipeline import prices to China on forward curve (12 Nov 2014)

US liquefaction DES Asia (Cheniere) QatarChina DES

Russia-China (Shanghai delivery estimate) AustraliaChina 201112

AustraliaChina CSG S-Curve from Corpus Christi statement - March 2014

source ICIS CME and NYMEX

Japan tries to align liberalisation and lower price goals

Chinese price reform raises questions for new contestable LNG supply

bull Eni and Anadarko developing multi-train

project in Mozambique Eni also plan 25mtpa FLNG project offshore Area 4

bull CNPC holds a 30 stake in Eni-led consortium developing Area 4

East Africa

bull Nine liquefaction projects at various stages of development in Western Canada have been given export approval

bull PetroChina and Sinopec stakeholders in two LNG projects

bull Cost challenges and uncertainty over royalty tax bull Regulatory issues over Western US greenfield projects

North America

bull Australian greenfield and FLNG projects under costs pressure ndash Browse Bonaparte Scarborough

bull Russian LNG ndash (Sakhalin expansionVladivostok Yamal LNG) ndash questions over financing technology

AustraliaRussia

You can rely on ICIS to stay up to date with the latest developments in China natural gas

Reliable pricing information The ICIS China Gas Markets Report enables you to understand price drivers and fluctuations and settle your contract prices more confidently by giving you access to delivered and import LNG prices as well as information on shipping information market moving news operating rates and turnaround schedules

Comprehensive supply and demand data and analysis The ICIS China LNG SupplyDemand amp Investment Opportunities Report provides detailed information on the LNG demand outlook for China ndash broken down by 24 key provinces autonomous regions and municipalities In addition it provides important information on domestic policies infrastructure developments and other key factors for consideration when making investment-related decisions

Request a sample report gtgt

Enquire about the report gtgt

Thank you very much

For other enquiries email us at enquiryiciscom Interested in our next webinars Visit wwwiciscomresourceswebinars

Click here to access the recording of the webinar - httpbcoveme41zphdnz

  • ICIS China Gas Market Webinar
  • Slide Number 2
  • Slide Number 3
  • Content
  • Slide Number 5
  • Chinarsquos natural gas Supply and Demand
  • Gas Consumption by region in 2012
  • LNG Consumption by region in 2013
  • Gas Distribution
  • Slide Number 10
  • Domestic Natural Gas Supply
  • Unconventional Gas Development
  • Unconventional Gas Distribution
  • Slide Number 14
  • Chinarsquos Gas Import
  • Gas Import Infrastructure
  • Gas Import by Source
  • Import Gas Price
  • Content
  • Evaluation of Chinarsquos Gas Pricing Mechanism
  • Price Formula
  • Regional Gas Price
  • Impact of Price Reform
  • Government PoliciesmdashPipeline Gas
  • Slide Number 25
  • Content
  • Chinese import requirements uncertain but will impact wider region
  • New Russian pipeline imports competitive with LNG
  • Japan tries to align liberalisation and lower price goals
  • Chinese price reform raises questions for new contestable LNG supply
  • Slide Number 31
  • Slide Number 32

Japan tries to align liberalisation and lower price goals

Chinese price reform raises questions for new contestable LNG supply

bull Eni and Anadarko developing multi-train

project in Mozambique Eni also plan 25mtpa FLNG project offshore Area 4

bull CNPC holds a 30 stake in Eni-led consortium developing Area 4

East Africa

bull Nine liquefaction projects at various stages of development in Western Canada have been given export approval

bull PetroChina and Sinopec stakeholders in two LNG projects

bull Cost challenges and uncertainty over royalty tax bull Regulatory issues over Western US greenfield projects

North America

bull Australian greenfield and FLNG projects under costs pressure ndash Browse Bonaparte Scarborough

bull Russian LNG ndash (Sakhalin expansionVladivostok Yamal LNG) ndash questions over financing technology

AustraliaRussia

You can rely on ICIS to stay up to date with the latest developments in China natural gas

Reliable pricing information The ICIS China Gas Markets Report enables you to understand price drivers and fluctuations and settle your contract prices more confidently by giving you access to delivered and import LNG prices as well as information on shipping information market moving news operating rates and turnaround schedules

Comprehensive supply and demand data and analysis The ICIS China LNG SupplyDemand amp Investment Opportunities Report provides detailed information on the LNG demand outlook for China ndash broken down by 24 key provinces autonomous regions and municipalities In addition it provides important information on domestic policies infrastructure developments and other key factors for consideration when making investment-related decisions

Request a sample report gtgt

Enquire about the report gtgt

Thank you very much

For other enquiries email us at enquiryiciscom Interested in our next webinars Visit wwwiciscomresourceswebinars

Click here to access the recording of the webinar - httpbcoveme41zphdnz

  • ICIS China Gas Market Webinar
  • Slide Number 2
  • Slide Number 3
  • Content
  • Slide Number 5
  • Chinarsquos natural gas Supply and Demand
  • Gas Consumption by region in 2012
  • LNG Consumption by region in 2013
  • Gas Distribution
  • Slide Number 10
  • Domestic Natural Gas Supply
  • Unconventional Gas Development
  • Unconventional Gas Distribution
  • Slide Number 14
  • Chinarsquos Gas Import
  • Gas Import Infrastructure
  • Gas Import by Source
  • Import Gas Price
  • Content
  • Evaluation of Chinarsquos Gas Pricing Mechanism
  • Price Formula
  • Regional Gas Price
  • Impact of Price Reform
  • Government PoliciesmdashPipeline Gas
  • Slide Number 25
  • Content
  • Chinese import requirements uncertain but will impact wider region
  • New Russian pipeline imports competitive with LNG
  • Japan tries to align liberalisation and lower price goals
  • Chinese price reform raises questions for new contestable LNG supply
  • Slide Number 31
  • Slide Number 32

Chinese price reform raises questions for new contestable LNG supply

bull Eni and Anadarko developing multi-train

project in Mozambique Eni also plan 25mtpa FLNG project offshore Area 4

bull CNPC holds a 30 stake in Eni-led consortium developing Area 4

East Africa

bull Nine liquefaction projects at various stages of development in Western Canada have been given export approval

bull PetroChina and Sinopec stakeholders in two LNG projects

bull Cost challenges and uncertainty over royalty tax bull Regulatory issues over Western US greenfield projects

North America

bull Australian greenfield and FLNG projects under costs pressure ndash Browse Bonaparte Scarborough

bull Russian LNG ndash (Sakhalin expansionVladivostok Yamal LNG) ndash questions over financing technology

AustraliaRussia

You can rely on ICIS to stay up to date with the latest developments in China natural gas

Reliable pricing information The ICIS China Gas Markets Report enables you to understand price drivers and fluctuations and settle your contract prices more confidently by giving you access to delivered and import LNG prices as well as information on shipping information market moving news operating rates and turnaround schedules

Comprehensive supply and demand data and analysis The ICIS China LNG SupplyDemand amp Investment Opportunities Report provides detailed information on the LNG demand outlook for China ndash broken down by 24 key provinces autonomous regions and municipalities In addition it provides important information on domestic policies infrastructure developments and other key factors for consideration when making investment-related decisions

Request a sample report gtgt

Enquire about the report gtgt

Thank you very much

For other enquiries email us at enquiryiciscom Interested in our next webinars Visit wwwiciscomresourceswebinars

Click here to access the recording of the webinar - httpbcoveme41zphdnz

  • ICIS China Gas Market Webinar
  • Slide Number 2
  • Slide Number 3
  • Content
  • Slide Number 5
  • Chinarsquos natural gas Supply and Demand
  • Gas Consumption by region in 2012
  • LNG Consumption by region in 2013
  • Gas Distribution
  • Slide Number 10
  • Domestic Natural Gas Supply
  • Unconventional Gas Development
  • Unconventional Gas Distribution
  • Slide Number 14
  • Chinarsquos Gas Import
  • Gas Import Infrastructure
  • Gas Import by Source
  • Import Gas Price
  • Content
  • Evaluation of Chinarsquos Gas Pricing Mechanism
  • Price Formula
  • Regional Gas Price
  • Impact of Price Reform
  • Government PoliciesmdashPipeline Gas
  • Slide Number 25
  • Content
  • Chinese import requirements uncertain but will impact wider region
  • New Russian pipeline imports competitive with LNG
  • Japan tries to align liberalisation and lower price goals
  • Chinese price reform raises questions for new contestable LNG supply
  • Slide Number 31
  • Slide Number 32

You can rely on ICIS to stay up to date with the latest developments in China natural gas

Reliable pricing information The ICIS China Gas Markets Report enables you to understand price drivers and fluctuations and settle your contract prices more confidently by giving you access to delivered and import LNG prices as well as information on shipping information market moving news operating rates and turnaround schedules

Comprehensive supply and demand data and analysis The ICIS China LNG SupplyDemand amp Investment Opportunities Report provides detailed information on the LNG demand outlook for China ndash broken down by 24 key provinces autonomous regions and municipalities In addition it provides important information on domestic policies infrastructure developments and other key factors for consideration when making investment-related decisions

Request a sample report gtgt

Enquire about the report gtgt

Thank you very much

For other enquiries email us at enquiryiciscom Interested in our next webinars Visit wwwiciscomresourceswebinars

Click here to access the recording of the webinar - httpbcoveme41zphdnz

  • ICIS China Gas Market Webinar
  • Slide Number 2
  • Slide Number 3
  • Content
  • Slide Number 5
  • Chinarsquos natural gas Supply and Demand
  • Gas Consumption by region in 2012
  • LNG Consumption by region in 2013
  • Gas Distribution
  • Slide Number 10
  • Domestic Natural Gas Supply
  • Unconventional Gas Development
  • Unconventional Gas Distribution
  • Slide Number 14
  • Chinarsquos Gas Import
  • Gas Import Infrastructure
  • Gas Import by Source
  • Import Gas Price
  • Content
  • Evaluation of Chinarsquos Gas Pricing Mechanism
  • Price Formula
  • Regional Gas Price
  • Impact of Price Reform
  • Government PoliciesmdashPipeline Gas
  • Slide Number 25
  • Content
  • Chinese import requirements uncertain but will impact wider region
  • New Russian pipeline imports competitive with LNG
  • Japan tries to align liberalisation and lower price goals
  • Chinese price reform raises questions for new contestable LNG supply
  • Slide Number 31
  • Slide Number 32

Thank you very much

For other enquiries email us at enquiryiciscom Interested in our next webinars Visit wwwiciscomresourceswebinars

Click here to access the recording of the webinar - httpbcoveme41zphdnz

  • ICIS China Gas Market Webinar
  • Slide Number 2
  • Slide Number 3
  • Content
  • Slide Number 5
  • Chinarsquos natural gas Supply and Demand
  • Gas Consumption by region in 2012
  • LNG Consumption by region in 2013
  • Gas Distribution
  • Slide Number 10
  • Domestic Natural Gas Supply
  • Unconventional Gas Development
  • Unconventional Gas Distribution
  • Slide Number 14
  • Chinarsquos Gas Import
  • Gas Import Infrastructure
  • Gas Import by Source
  • Import Gas Price
  • Content
  • Evaluation of Chinarsquos Gas Pricing Mechanism
  • Price Formula
  • Regional Gas Price
  • Impact of Price Reform
  • Government PoliciesmdashPipeline Gas
  • Slide Number 25
  • Content
  • Chinese import requirements uncertain but will impact wider region
  • New Russian pipeline imports competitive with LNG
  • Japan tries to align liberalisation and lower price goals
  • Chinese price reform raises questions for new contestable LNG supply
  • Slide Number 31
  • Slide Number 32