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Page 1: IBOR Transition Overview - BMO · 2020. 9. 3. · BMO’s IBOR Transition Program has faced challenges including resourcing and prioritization during this time, but it continues to

IBOR Transition Overview

Updated as of September 3, 2020

Page 2: IBOR Transition Overview - BMO · 2020. 9. 3. · BMO’s IBOR Transition Program has faced challenges including resourcing and prioritization during this time, but it continues to

Background

2

Global Reform

Alternative Risk-Free Rates by Jurisdiction

Jurisdiction Old Benchmark RFR Secured/

Unsecured Underlying Asset Expected Publication Date

UK GBP LIBOR SONIA Unsecured Money

Markets/Deposits

April 2016 (Reformed as of April 23, 2018)

US USD LIBOR SOFR Secured Repos Published as of April 3, 2018

Euro Area EURIBOR,

EONIA,

EUR LIBOR

€STR Unsecured Money

Markets/Deposits

Published as of October 2, 2019

SUI CHF LIBOR SARON Secured Repos Published as of August 25, 2009

JPN JPY LIBOR TONAR Unsecured Money Markets Published late 2016

CAN CDOR Enhanced CORRA Secured Repos Published as of June 15, 2020

Unlike other regulatory changes with defined rulemaking – IBOR transition is about changes to market structure and liquidity.

Regulators are asking the market to adapt to the transition before any rules or guidelines are available.

Jurisdictional nuance – some jurisdictions are multi-rate and RFRs will vary by jurisdiction; different administrators and different timelines for

cessation.

Why is this Different than other Regulatory Reforms?

The Interbank Offered Rates (IBORs) have been a crucial element of the global financial services industry for more than 40 years.

Transition working groups have been established in all major jurisdictions with each group selecting their own preferred alternative to their

currency’s IBOR (some jurisdictions are moving faster than others).

The Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) plays a key international role as the regulator of ICE Benchmark Administrator which in turn is LIBOR’s

administrator.

All IBORs under FCA’s purview are slated to be replaced by RFRs; local benchmarks like CDOR and EURIBOR are also poised to be reformed to

comply with the International Organization of Securities Commissions (IOSCO) benchmark standards and will exist in parallel with their respective

RFRs until further notice.

Page 3: IBOR Transition Overview - BMO · 2020. 9. 3. · BMO’s IBOR Transition Program has faced challenges including resourcing and prioritization during this time, but it continues to

3

SOFR Transaction Volume (USD$ in bn as at July 23, 2020)

Source: FRBNY

The Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) is an overnight, secured reference rate administered by the New York Fed that broadly measures the cost of borrowing cash overnight with U.S. Treasuries as collateral – i.e. the U.S. Treasury Repo Market.

2014 – The Federal Reserve convened the Alternative Reference Rate Committee (ARRC) to identify alternative reference rates to replace USD LIBOR.

June 22, 2017 – The ARRC chose the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) as its preferred alternative.

April 2018 – The Federal Reserve began publishing SOFR.

SOFR is a volume-weighted median of three types of repo transactions collateralized by U.S. Treasuries: (1) Tri-Party GC Repo; (2) GCF Repo; and (3) Cleared bilateral repo.

According to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, over $750 billion of daily transactions are executed in the U.S. Treasury overnight repo market, dwarfing the current volumes underlying LIBOR.

Volumes underlying SOFR are larger than in any other U.S. money market.

SOFR is transaction-based and reflects the cost of secured financing across a variety of market participants. Trading volumes remain strong in times of stress.

Bottom 25% of transactions trimmed to omit specials.

Average Daily Volumes in U.S. Money Markets (USD$ in bn) Source: Federal Reserve, FINRA, DTCC Solutions,

SOFR is from Inception to July 23, 2020

SOFR Introduction

500

700

900

1100

1300

1500

$ b

n

SOFR Transaction Volume

0

200

400

600

800

1000

SOFR Overnightbank

funding rate

Fed Fundsrate

3-monthbills

3-monthLIBOR

3-month AACP

957

197

79 13 0.5 0.34

Page 4: IBOR Transition Overview - BMO · 2020. 9. 3. · BMO’s IBOR Transition Program has faced challenges including resourcing and prioritization during this time, but it continues to

IBOR Enterprise Transition Program - SOFR Market Update

July saw USD$ 47B of SOFR notes issued, mostly by

GSEs.

BMO issued USD$ 100 million in SOFR funding.

Total SOFR issuance has been about USD$ 758B since

inception with 538B currently outstanding.

In response to the COVID-19 pandemic, the Federal

Reserve took unprecedented actions to increase liquidity

in the financial system;

Fed’s policy target rate was cut from 1.25-1.5 to 0-0.25 in

under two weeks and multiple liquidity-injecting facilities

were established;

Increases in the Fed’s overnight and term repurchase

operations kept SOFR stable and very close to EFFR

during a period of record volatility across all asset

classes;

During the same period, LIBOR exhibited a sharp

increase reflecting high bank credit risk and constrained

borrowing liquidity; the LIBOR to SOFR spread still

remains elevated relative to historical spreads;

While banks had a negative reaction to the market

volatility from SOFR, clients would find this

advantageous.

During this time, LIBOR would have been more

beneficial for banks where as SOFR/ARRs are better

from a client’s point of view;

Concept of a credit spread adjustment will be debated

given that SOFR and LIBOR behave differently in a

credit stressed environment.

4

0.00%

0.50%

1.00%

1.50%

2.00%

2.50%

2/3/2020 3/3/2020 4/3/2020 5/3/2020 6/3/2020 7/3/2020

Realized 3M Compounded SOFR 3M USD LIBOR

3M USD Libor vs. 3M Compounded SOFR (Illustrative) (SOFR as at July 14, 2020; Libor as at April 9, 2020)

Market Volatility & Impact of COVID-19 SOFR Issuance (in USD$ bn, as at July 31, 2020)

Source: Bloomberg

Page 5: IBOR Transition Overview - BMO · 2020. 9. 3. · BMO’s IBOR Transition Program has faced challenges including resourcing and prioritization during this time, but it continues to

IBOR Transition – Industry Update The IBOR transition is moving ahead as anticipated. Regulators acknowledge the challenges the industry is facing due to COVID-19, however the

transition date remains the same, end of 2021. BMO’s IBOR Transition Program has faced challenges including resourcing and prioritization

during this time, but it continues to progress forward to meet industry timelines.

*The September 30, 2020 date for consumer loans refers to new applications for closed-end residential mortgages using USD LIBOR

and maturing after 2021.

ISDA Protocol

ISDA will be releasing the ISDA Fallback

Protocol and amendments to the 2006

Definitions in July/August 2020. Once

published, it will become effective in four

months (Nov/Dec 2020).

Upcoming Key Milestones

Sterling LIBOR-linked

Loan Timelines

End of Q3 2020 – lenders should be in the

position to offer non-LIBOR linked

products to their customers.

End of Q1 2021 – all new issuance of

sterling LIBOR-referencing loan products

that expire after the end of 2021 should

cease.

Product Hardwired fallbacks

incorporated by:

Tech/Ops vendor

readiness

Target for

cessation of new

use of USD LIBOR

Anticipated fallback rates

to be chosen by

FRNs 6/30/2020 6/30/2020

12/31/2020 6 months prior to reset after

LIBOR’s end

Business Loans 9/30/2020 9/30/2020 6/30/2021 6 months prior to reset after

LIBOR’s end

Consumer Loans Mortgage: 6/30/2020

Student Loans: 9/30/20

Mortgages: 9/30/2020 Mortgages:

9/30/2020*

In accordance with relevant

consumer regulations

Securitizations 6/30/2020 12/31/2020 CLOs: 9/30/2021

Others: 6/30/2021

6 months prior to reset after

LIBOR’s end

Derivatives Not later than 4 months

after publication of the

ISDA 2006 Definition

amendments

Dealers to take steps

to provide liquid

SOFR derivatives

markets to clients

6/30/2021

ARRC Guidance on Near-term Transition Steps

ARRC: Spread Adjustments for Cash Products, Further Details

The ARRC has decided on two further technical details for its recommended spread adjustments for cash products referencing USD LIBOR:

1. Matching ISDA’s Spread Adjustment Value: for cash products, other than consumer products, the ARRC’s recommended spread adjustment will match the value of ISDA’s spread adjustments to USD LIBOR. The ARRC is further considering the issue of methodology versus value for consumer products.

2. Matching ISDA’s Spread Adjustment Timing for Pre-Cessation Event: for all cash products, in a pre-cessation event, the ARRC’s recommended 5-year historical median spread adjustments will be determined at the same time as the ISDA’s spread adjustments, which will be at the time of any announcement that LIBOR will or has ceased/become no longer representative.

This is a positive milestone for the transition as consistency between cash and derivatives products is critical in minimizing market disruption.

Transition to SOFR

Discounting

On October 16, 2020 LCH Limited and

CME Group plan to move from EFFR to

SOFR discounting on all USD-

denominated SwapClear contracts.

Impacted groups within BMO are working

towards having all systems prepared for

the switch.

5

Page 6: IBOR Transition Overview - BMO · 2020. 9. 3. · BMO’s IBOR Transition Program has faced challenges including resourcing and prioritization during this time, but it continues to

Enhanced CORRA Overview

6

The enhanced Canadian Overnight Repo Rate Average (enhanced CORRA) is a proposed overnight, secured reference rate that is intended to broadly measure the cost of borrowing cash overnight with Government of Canada bonds and treasury bills as collateral.

March 2018 – the Bank of Canada launched the Canadian Alternative Reference

Rate Working Group (CARR) to review CORRA and assess the need to develop a

term RFR benchmark in Canada.

July, 2018 – The CARR agreed on the current enhanced CORRA benchmark as the

Canadian RFR. Enhancements would focus on increasing the rate’s transaction

base and ensuring its compliance with benchmark principles published by the

International Organization of Securities Commissions (IOSCO).

Having both CDOR and CORRA as existing benchmarks, Canada is considered a

“multi-rate” jurisdiction. The Bank of Canada has stated it is anticipated that

CORRA will become the predominant reference rate used in financial markets.

This evolution would be consistent with the widespread migration from IBORs to

risk free rates in the other major currency markets.

As CDOR is based on lending transactions using Bankers’ Acceptance (BA) facilities, there have not been reports of problems with CDOR similar to those with LIBOR1, which is largely judgment-based.

Enhanced CORRA is a trimmed median repo rate comprised of both inter-dealer and

dealer-to-client trades where data can be obtained.

The lower volume-weighted 25th percentile is trimmed with the intent to exclude

“specials” and just include general collateral.

The new framework harmonizes enhanced CORRA with SOFR which uses a similar

methodology.

CARR estimates that the enhanced rate will be based on CAD $10-20 billion of daily

transactions.2

1. OSFI, http://www.osfi-bsif.gc.ca/eng/docs/e20_gias.pdf

2,3. Bank of Canada

Comparing CDOR and Enhanced CORRA

Unsecured rate at which banks are

willing to lend

Canadian BA market participants

Based on submissions solely from

major Canadian banks

Forward-looking rate with term rates

Built-in credit component based on

credit conditions in the Canadian BA

market

Monthly volume of CAD$ 200 – 250

billion3

Secured borrowing rate (nearly

risk-free)

Broad array of market participants

(multiple industries)

Fully based on repo transactions

Currently a backward-looking

overnight rate

No credit component; comparing

relative value will need an

adjustment

Expected to be based on CAD$10-

20 billion of underlying daily

transactions

Enhanced CORRA CDOR VS

Outlook

BMO has participated in two CARR-organized and two CBA

(Canadian Bankers Association)-organized working groups:

(i) The Transition Subgroup –focuses on the transition

toward the widespread use of CORRA as a reference

rate in Canadian dollar financial products.

(ii) The Term Rate Subgroup –focuses on the need for,

and the construction of a term risk-free rate

benchmark.

(iii) The CBA Benchmark Transition Specialists Group -

focuses on the global transition from IBORs to

alternative rates and the impact to the Canadian market

(iv) The CBA Treasury Subgroup – deals with issues

related to hedging and fund transfer pricing.

Effective June 15, 2020, The Bank of Canada will take over the

responsibility for calculating and publishing Enhanced CORRA.

CARR is currently circulating proposed fallback language for

Enhanced CORRA amongst its members for feedback.

Page 7: IBOR Transition Overview - BMO · 2020. 9. 3. · BMO’s IBOR Transition Program has faced challenges including resourcing and prioritization during this time, but it continues to

Transition Challenges and Opportunities

7

Challenges

Derivatives Markets

• Developing a term structure and curve that goes beyond LIBOR cessation.

• Lack of global coordination, regulatory guidance, and clarity as to the direction in which the transition is going.

• Dependency on the transition efforts of other businesses (i.e. hedging loans).

• Potential for reputational and litigation risk if the transition negatively impacts clients.

• Client education and outreach is critical to a seamless transition.

Cash Markets

• Developing a forward looking term rate.

• Developing an industry approach for a credit sensitive spread.

• Amending legacy contracts that reference LIBOR to incorporate evolving fallback language.

• High potential for reputational and litigation risk if the transition negatively impacts clients.

• Client education and outreach is critical to a seamless transition.

Risk

• Models will need to be maintained in parallel during the transition.

• Limited historical data for most RFRs.

• Coordinated approach needed to reconstruct RFR-based transaction data.

• Divergent approaches for different currencies removes what previously was a ‘one size fits all’ approach for valuation and risk

modelling.

Legal

• Identifying and managing legacy contracts with IBOR exposure.

• Existing IBOR fallbacks were not written in contemplation of a permanent cessation of IBOR.

• Renegotiation and/or amendments of impacted contracts based on product-specific market conventions.

• Client education and outreach is critical to a seamless transition.

Technology and

Ops

• Impacted systems must support pricing, risk, and P & L model updates.

• Impacted systems will need to accommodate overnight rates in all stages of the trade/product lifecycle.

• Payments, settlements and collateral management processes will face updates.

• Dependencies exist on vendors, clients, and market infrastructure to be ready to transition.

Finance and

Corporate Treasury

• Large stress impact in P&L and liquidity by transitioning to RFRs from credit-sensitive rates.

• Hedge accounting processes will need to accommodate the shift in hedging activities from IBORs to RFRs.

• The FTP framework will need to accommodate the transition from IBORs to RFRs.

• Issuance and securitization programs will need to plan for IBOR cessation and its impact on legacy notes and funding

activities.

Opportunities

Create efficient risk management processes by centralizing risk and exposures.

Support lines of business in their efforts to realize strategic opportunities.

Build stronger relationships with clients with educational resources, expertise and support throughout the transition.

Leverage technology infrastructure across the bank and establish AI-enabled contract management system.

Page 8: IBOR Transition Overview - BMO · 2020. 9. 3. · BMO’s IBOR Transition Program has faced challenges including resourcing and prioritization during this time, but it continues to

Simplified US Transition Scenario

8

1 Loans

Derivatives

FRNs

2 3

e.g. 3M LIBOR 3M Term or Compounded

SOFR + Spread Adjustment

e.g. 3M LIBOR 3M Compounded SOFR +

Spread Adjustment

4

e.g. 3M LIBOR 3M Term or Compounded

SOFR + Spread Adjustment

FCA will not compel member banks to

submit LIBOR quotes after December

31, 2021. Hypothetical cessation

announcement.

1

2

3

4

Uncertainty

Lenders and borrowers adopt ARRC’s recommended fallback language

for new and legacy loans. SOFR-linked loans grow. (4Q of 2019)

ISDA to publish updated definitions and protocols with new LIBOR

fallback terms including the credit spread methodology. (2H of 2020)

Active reduction of LIBOR exposures through close-out, compression

and increased adoption of SOFR.

Issuers adopt ARRC’s recommended fallback language for new

FRNs. Alternatively to avoid a cessation event, issuers may prefer to

issue in SOFR. (4Q of 2019)

Potential Market Developments on the Radar:

1. LCH and CME adopting SOFR for

discounting and PAI and the resulting

liquidity of SOFR and EFFR. (Oct. 2020)

2. RFR-IBOR basis curves aligning with

ISDA’s prescribed spread adjustment terms.

3. Any differences in prices of cash products

with new fallback language and without.

LIBOR Exposure Decreases

LIBOR Exposure Decreases

LIBOR Exposure Decreases

Page 9: IBOR Transition Overview - BMO · 2020. 9. 3. · BMO’s IBOR Transition Program has faced challenges including resourcing and prioritization during this time, but it continues to

USD LIBOR Fallbacks for Derivatives and Cash

9

Permanent Cessation

1) Administrator: the benchmark has or will cease to be provided.

2) Regulator, applicable central bank, or other specified authority: the

administrator has or will cease providing the benchmark.

Pre-Cessation

1) Administrator: the benchmark is no longer capable of being

representative

2) Regulator, applicable central bank, or other specified authority:

determines the benchmark is non-representative

Fallbacks Fallback

Hardwired (proactive language written into an agreement):

1) Term SOFR + Adjustment

2) Compounded SOFR + Adjustment

Daily Simple SOFR + Adjustment

3) Relevant Governmental Body Selected Rate + Adjustment

Borrower and Administrative Agent Selected Rate + Adjustment

Lender Selected Rate + Adjustment

4) ISDA Fallback Rate + Adjustment

5) Transaction-specific Fallback Rate (Optional) + Adjustment

Hedged Loan Approach

Replication of ISDA triggers and fallback language.

Permanent Cessation

1) Administrator: the benchmark has or will cease to be provided.

2) Regulator, applicable central bank, or other specified authority: the

administrator has or will cease providing the benchmark.

3) Regulator: the benchmark is no longer representative.

4) The Asset Replacement Percentage (ARP)*

5) Administrative agent or Required Lenders: decide to incorporate a

new benchmark.

Dark red – found in securitizations and FRNs language; the ARP trigger is only in securitization

Blue – found in syndicated loans language

Green – found in bilateral loans language

Compounded SOFR in arrears + Spread Adjustment

o Market participants prefer compounding in arrears for the term

adjustment and historical median for the credit adjustment.

o Majority of participants in ISDA’s consultation on the final

parameters regarding adjustments indicated that they prefer a

historical median approach over a five-year lookback period.

o ISDA expects to finalize the updates to the 2006 Definitions and

the amendment protocol by Q3 2020.

Consideration

o Term rates will not reflect future expectations and will be

unavailable until the end of the accrual period.

ISDA

Triggers

ARRC

Triggers

Pre-Cessation

Early “Opt-in” Trigger

Page 10: IBOR Transition Overview - BMO · 2020. 9. 3. · BMO’s IBOR Transition Program has faced challenges including resourcing and prioritization during this time, but it continues to

ARRC Fallback Updates for Loans

10

The Waterfall order has changed Compounding in Arrears and Daily Simple SOFR have flipped their order. The new Waterfall order:

1. Term SOFR

2. Daily Simple SOFR

3. Borrower and Administrative Agent Selected Rate

Individual lenders may still use the Compounding in Arrears in a different sequence on the waterfall, however this would be straying from standard market conventions.

Tenor by tenor language revisions have been made to keep the first waterfall fallback option of Term SOFR as long as possible. In the event a LIBOR tenor becomes unavailable while other LIBOR tenors are still being published, this language directs to use nearest Term LIBOR available first, changing the length of the interest periods to mat the Term LIBOR or Term SOFR selected.

Opt-in Trigger has been defined in more detail and sets a specific threshold for a set number of SOFR syndicated loans observed in the marketplace. This could be any type of SOFR loan, not one specific variant. Once observed, Opt-in can be triggered by Borrower, Agent, or both.

□ Negative Consent – if no written objection raised by the Lender within five (5) business days, change to SOFR takes place for the loan.

Benchmark replacement spread adjustment:

□ In the event of an early opt-in, would pull from indicative spread adjustment published by the ARRC or ISDA;

□ Spreads would be a set at the beginning of an interest period, using lookback as defined for observation date as defined in the loan. Subsequent period would refresh the spread adjustment up to the point of pre-cessation trigger or LIBOR cessation at which point the spread adjustment becomes static.

Floors: new language considers both the SOFR rate + Spread Adjustment as a replacement for LIBOR floor.

Updated Hardwired Fallback Language (Syndicated Loans)

ARRC published proposed Hardwired Fallback language for syndicated loans on June 30, 2020.

Triggers updated to remove the general reference to “central bank for the currency of the Benchmark” and replaced with “Federal Reserve Board and the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.”

Removes the previous, alternative recommendation for an “Amendment Approach”

Early opt-in trigger has been broadened by not requiring other outstanding credit facilities reference any specific SOFR rate.

Bi-lateral loans are leveraging the work completed on Syndicated loans and expect to be finalized by the end of July

Page 11: IBOR Transition Overview - BMO · 2020. 9. 3. · BMO’s IBOR Transition Program has faced challenges including resourcing and prioritization during this time, but it continues to

BMO’s Approach

11

BMO is taking a proactive approach to the IBOR transition with an emphasis on identifying opportunities and coordinating efforts to

ensure efficiency and a positive client experience.

BMO’s IBOR Transition Office

CLIENT FOCUS

EDUCATIONAL RESOURCES

INDUSTRY LEADERSHIP AND ENGAGEMENT

Created a robust communication and client engagement strategy.

Established a project plan for both the enterprise and capital markets.

Formed project Work Streams such as Legal, Corporate Treasury, T&O, Commercial Banking and Risk.

Enterprise governance structure in place with the Steering Committee and Operating Committee operationalized.

BMO has developed educational resources to better prepare our employees and clients for the transition

(including in-depth information on SOFR).

Clients and BMO employees can contact the IBOR Transition Office at

[email protected] for more information.

Client outreach to assess interest and operational readiness to trade SOFR.

Client feedback is addressed through personalized client meetings.

One-on-one teach-ins hosted by BMO’s IBOR Transition Office and FICC Strategy team.

Dedicated research articles published bi-weekly by the BMO FICC Strategy team.

BMO is actively participating in major industry forums, working groups, and consultations.

BMO is actively engaged in the emerging SOFR market:

BMO issued USD $3.55B of SOFR funding YTD; USD $7B since inception

BMO underwrote 13 deals totaling USD $6B

One BMO

Page 12: IBOR Transition Overview - BMO · 2020. 9. 3. · BMO’s IBOR Transition Program has faced challenges including resourcing and prioritization during this time, but it continues to

BMO’s Communication & Client Engagement Strategy

Communication, education and client engagement are key to a smooth and successful transition. To ensure BMO and its clients are well educated

and informed of all aspects of the transition from IBOR to RFRs, BMO has established a robust communication and client engagement strategy.

BMO’s communication and client engagement strategy includes: timely updates, education pieces and monthly newsletters etc.

Internal Education Materials

Additional internal education information include:

Client Education Materials

The IBOR Transition Office has developed and

distributed the following client education pieces:

The IBOR Transition Office, in partnership with the

FICC Strategy team, also offers client teach-ins on

the following topics:

• IBOR Transition

Program Set-up and

Checklist

• ARRC Fallback

Language for

Syndicated Loans,

Bilateral Loans,

Securitizations and

FRNs

• SOFR FRN

Conventions

• SOFR 101

• SOFR Calculations

• Historical Credit Spread

Adjustment

• IBOR Transition Whitepaper

– “The LIBORious Transition

to SOFR”

• Introduction to SONIA and

€STR

• Enhanced CORRA

• External Monthly

Newsletters

• SOFR 101

• SONIA 101

IBOR Transition Office Websites

Internal Website: The intranet site launched in

October 2019 and is a central hub for IBOR

information including:

• Communications Library

o Client education materials

o Internal education materials

• FAQs

• IBOR Transition Podcast

External Website: The IBOR Transition Office

launched an external website for clients in June

2020.

http://ibortransition.bmo.com/

• Learning sessions for SOFR and SONIA

• Fallback Language guidance

• FAQs

• IBOR Transition Program Monthly Newsletter

o Provides updates on IBOR Transition

Office work efforts, industry

engagement, industry issuances, and

industry news

12

Page 13: IBOR Transition Overview - BMO · 2020. 9. 3. · BMO’s IBOR Transition Program has faced challenges including resourcing and prioritization during this time, but it continues to

IBOR Transition Checklist

13

Despite industry efforts to guide market participants in this transition, individual firms will need to make their own plans for the transition.

Project Governance/ Management

Exposure Analysis and

Impact Assessment

Transition Strategies

Risk Management Contractual Remediation

Infrastructure Readiness

Identify:

• Executive Sponsor(s)

• business/ workstream

leads

• project management

staff

Mobilize:

• Steering Committee

with Accountable

Senior Executive(s)

from each impacted

area

Develop:

• implementation

roadmap

Confirm:

• resource and budget

needs

Establish:

• project management

framework to monitor

progress of the

implementation plan,

identify and escalate

risks

Notional exposures:

Determine exposures to

IBOR, including by risk

sensitivity where

possible

Products:

Use exposure analysis

to determine which

products reference

IBORs

Systems/ Processes:

For each product, define

direct and indirect

impacts to systems/

processes

Contractual impacts:

Identify and assess

contractual impacts,

number of contracts,

timing of contracts (e.g.

maturing before or after

2021) and type

Stakeholder/

Counterparty impacts:

Determine which

stakeholders/

counterparties are

impacted

Develop transition

plans for the following:

• Business strategy by

group;

• New products;

• communication

Business Strategy:

• Define strategy and

timeline for reducing

reliance on IBORs

Product Strategy:

• Define timeline for

offering new RFR-

linked products

• Define risk and new

product approval

requirements

Communication:

• Develop a robust

internal and external

communication

strategy, including

senior management

and Board reporting

• Educate internal

stakeholders

• Provide clear

messaging on

transition to external

counterparties

Key risks:

Define key transition

risks (including market

readiness, business

impacts, financial,

operational and legal

risks)

Measure/Monitor:

Establish processes to

measure and monitor

the identified material

risks under transition

scenarios

Mitigation:

Identify mitigating

actions to address

identified transition

risks with focus on

product, basis,

operational, and

conduct risk

Model impact:

Assess impact to risk

models and develop

processes for updating

guidelines for

validation

requirements

Existing IBOR-related

Contracts:

• Review to determine

the impact of

fallbacks, identify:

triggers, terms

requiring change,

financial impacts,

external counterparty

impacts, and legal

interpretations

• Create an inventory of

identified triggers

• Define approach and

prioritization for

renegotiating/

repapering contracts.

New contracts:

• Make every effort to

incorporate available,

recommended fallback

language (developed

by ISDA, ARRC, and

other industry working

groups)

Operational and

Technology:

• Assess where IBORs

are used across all

businesses and

operations

• Inventory technology,

operations, and

modeling tools to

understand where they

are using IBORs

Accounting/ Reporting:

• Identify impact on

finance systems,

operations and reporting

• Identify and understand

impacts to hedge

accounting standards

and processes

Taxation and Regulation:

• Determine tax,

accounting and

compliance implications

• determine impact of tax

on regulatory capital

• determine tax reporting

requirements

Page 14: IBOR Transition Overview - BMO · 2020. 9. 3. · BMO’s IBOR Transition Program has faced challenges including resourcing and prioritization during this time, but it continues to

Appendix

1. USD Industry Timeline

2. Industry Work Effort

3. SOFR v. Effective Fed Funds

4. SOFR and LIBOR Comparison

Page 15: IBOR Transition Overview - BMO · 2020. 9. 3. · BMO’s IBOR Transition Program has faced challenges including resourcing and prioritization during this time, but it continues to

USD LIBOR Transition Timeline

Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr Q3 End Q4

OCT 16 – 19 ’20

US CCPs switch to

SOFR to discount

USD swaps.

SEPT ’20

Publication of revised

2006 ISDA Definitions

and protocols with

new IBOR fallback

provisions.

2020 2021

SEPT 30 ‘20

Hardwired fallbacks incorporated in business loans and

student loans.

Target cessation for new applications for close-end residential

mortgages using USD LIBOR and maturing after 2021.

Business and consumer loans technology/ operations vendors

to be ready to transact SOFR.

SOFR-based ARMs to be accepted beginning Q3 2020.

JUNE 30 ‘21

Target for cessation of new

use of USD LIBOR for

business loans, securitization

and derivatives.

SEPT 30 ‘21

Target for cessation of new

use of USD LIBOR for CLOs.

Dec 31 ‘21

FCA will no longer

compel panel

banks to submit

LIBOR quotes.

BMO client engagement & education: The ITO has established client communication lines on IBOR Transition developments, and conveys relevant industry changes to BMO Working Groups & Committees.

BMO staff training: The ITO and BMO Working Groups are developing internal training on the IBOR Transition and materials to educate BMO staff across the enterprise.

BMO system preparedness: Internal systems preparedness to support ARRs through:

• Impact assessments • Adopt vendor system updates • Product strategy

NOV/DEC ‘20

Hardwired fallbacks incorporated in

derivatives no later than 4 months

after the amendments to ISDA

2006 Definitions are published.

DEC 31 ‘20

Target for cessation of new use of

USD LIBOR for FRNs.

Securitizations technology/

operations vendors to be ready to

transact SOFR.

H1 ‘21

Forward-looking term SOFR

rate to be published.

Q2 ‘21

CCPs to no longer accept new

swap contracts for clearing with

EFFR as PAI and discounting.

15

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Industry Work Effort

Transition Timeline

Industry working groups and individual firms are preparing and executing their transition plans and will likely continue to do so into 2022. Key industry work includes:

Q2 ‘21

CCPs to no longer accept

new swap contracts for

clearing with EFFR as PAI

and discounting.

JUNE 15 ‘20

Bank of Canada will take over

the responsibility of publishing

enhanced CORRA.

DEC 31 ‘21

FCA will no longer compel

panel banks to submit

LIBOR quotes.

2020 2021 Past Milestones

DEC 31 ‘21

EMMI to cease publication of

EONIA rates.

€ RFR Working Group

recommends firms introduce

fallback language before Dec.

31, 2021

OCT 16 ‘20

LCH Limited and CME

Group plan to move

SOFR discounting on

all USD denominated

SwapClear contracts.

Q3 ‘20

Forward looking term versions of

SONIA to be available in the loan

market.

By the end of Q3 2020 lenders should

be in a position to offer non-LIBOR

linked products to their customers.

1H ‘20

IBOR fallback rates based

on adjusted RFRs for key

IBORS will be calculated &

published by Bloomberg

2H ‘20

IASB to publish guidance on

hedge accounting treatment

of loans, bonds & derivatives.

AUG 03 ‘20

BoE to publish daily

SONIA

Compounded

Index.

SEPT 30 ‘20

Hardwired fallbacks incorporated in business

loans and student loans.

Develop resource guides to support market

participants’ efforts to develop consumer

education and outreach.

Target cessation for new applications for

close-end residential mortgages using USD

LIBOR and maturing after 2021.

Business and consumer loans technology/

operations vendors to be ready to transact

SOFR.

APR 01 ‘21

BoE will increase

haircuts on

LIBOR-linked pre-

positioned

collateral.

NOV ‘20

FSB to publish report on

LIBOR transition

progress.

JULY 27 ’20

EU central counterparties

(CCPs) have set discounting

switch for cleared EUR

denominated derivatives.

SEPT ’20

Publication of revised 2006 ISDA

Definitions and protocols with new

IBOR fallback provisions.

Q3 ’20

SOFR-based ARMs to be

accepted beginning Q3 2020.

End Q1 ‘21

Cease all new issuance of

sterling LIBOR-referencing loan

products that expire after the end

of 2021.

JUNE 30 ’20

Hardwired fallbacks

incorporated in FRNs,

securitizations, and mortgages.

FRN technology/ operations

vendors to be ready to transact

SOFR.

NOV/DEC ‘20

Hardwired fallbacks

incorporated in derivatives no

later than 4 months after the

amendments to ISDA 2006

Definitions are published.

H1 ‘21

Forward-looking term

SOFR rate to be published.

JAN 1 ‘21

GSEs will no longer

purchase LIBOR-

indexed ARMs.

DEC 31 ‘20

Target for cessation of new use of

USD LIBOR for FRNs.

Securitizations technology/

operations vendors to be ready to

transact SOFR

JUNE 30 ‘21

Target for cessation of new use

of USD LIBOR for business

loans, securitization and

derivatives.

SEPT 30 ‘21

Target for cessation of new

use of USD LIBOR for

CLOs.

16

NOV/DEC ‘20

Earliest UK FCA may announce

the timing and manner of

LIBOR’s discontinuation

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Repo trades traditionally trade below Fed Funds; however recently

SOFR has been trading above Fed Funds.

Futures suggest this should persist through 2020. This is likely caused

by:

An elevated bill supply.

Lowest 25% of transactions are trimmed from the SOFR

calculation to remove specials.

This methodology biases SOFR higher as lowest GC transactions are

omitted.

SOFR effectively becomes the median of the highest 75% of volume-

weighted transactions.

17

SOFR – Effective Fed Funds Spread Source: Bloomberg as at July 23, 2020

1M SOFR Futures vs Fed Fund Futures Source: Bloomberg as at July 23, 2020

Historical SOFR – Effective Fed Funds Spread Source: Bloomberg as at July 23, 2020

September 17, 2019 spread of 295bps has been omitted from the graph due to outlier effects.

SOFR vs Effective Fed Funds

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

80

Oct-

15

Jan

-16

Ap

r-16

Jul-1

6

Oct-

16

Jan

-17

Ap

r-17

Jul-1

7

Oct-

17

Jan

-18

Ap

r-18

Jul-1

8

Oct-

18

Jan

-19

Ap

r-19

Jul-1

9

Oct-

19

Jan

-20

Ap

r-20

Jul-2

0

bp

SOFR-EFFR

-16

-14

-12

-10

-8

-6

-4

-2

0

2

4

3/1

9/2

020

4/2

/202

0

4/1

6/2

020

4/3

0/2

020

5/1

4/2

020

5/2

8/2

020

6/1

1/2

020

6/2

5/2

020

7/9

/202

0

7/2

3/2

020

bp

SOFR - EFFR (Median) SOFR - EFFR (25th Percentile)

0.01

0.03

0.05

0.07

0.09

0.11

Jul-20 Aug-20 Sep-20 Oct-20 Nov-20 Dec-20 Jan-21 Feb-21 Mar-21

%

SOFR Fed Funds

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SOFR and LIBOR Comparison

18

Key Differences Between LIBOR and

SOFR

Unsecured rate.

Interbank funding market participants (panel

banks).

Consensus-based; depends on expert

judgements.

May be prone to the risk of manipulation.

Forward-looking rate with a term structure.

Built-in credit component based on credit

conditions amongst panel banks.

$500 million underlying transactions*.

Not durable during stressed market conditions.

*Note this is for 3-month USD LIBOR as it the most

widely used.

Secured rate.

Broad array of market participants (multiple

industries).

Fully transaction-based.

Not subject to same risks of manipulation.

Backward-looking overnight rate.

Historical credit adjustment relative to LIBOR

needs to be added.

$850 billion underlying daily transactions.

Historically durable during stressed market

conditions.

SOFR USD LIBOR VS

LIBOR vs SOFR During Stress Source: Bloomberg as at July 23, 2020

Moving from LIBOR to SOFR requires progress in four key areas:

1. New debt linked to the new reference rate must be issued.

2. Futures and swaps markets that reference the new rate must grow.

3. Industry has to develop more robust fallback language for new and legacy contracts.

4. The development of term rates is essential to successfully transitioning from LIBOR to SOFR.

The ARRC is currently exploring how to build a forward-looking SOFR term rate as part of its transition plan and aims to publish indicative rates using derivatives.

The process requires new futures and swaps to be launched and become sufficiently liquid. Currently, both CME and the ICE offer 1M and 3M SOFR futures

trading, and the LCH group and CME both have started clearing SOFR swaps (SOFR OIS, SOFR vs LIBOR Basis Swap, and SOFR vs Fed Funds Basis Swap).

Current proposal suggests segmenting 3-month horizon into regimes separated by Federal Open Market Committee dates, and uses SOFR futures to bootstrap

term rate.

However, a methodology incorporating 3-month futures and SOFR swaps could increase flexibility and robustness of the term structure algorithm.

Challenges in Transitioning to SOFR

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

Ap

r-16

Jul-1

6

Oct-

16

Jan

-17

Ap

r-17

Jul-1

7

Oct-

17

Jan

-18

Ap

r-18

Jul-1

8

Oct-

18

Jan

-19

Ap

r-19

Jul-1

9

Oct-

19

Jan

-20

Ap

r-20

bp

3m Libor-3m SOFR

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Disclaimer

19

This material has been prepared with the assistance of employees of Bank of Montreal (“BMO”) who are involved in derivatives sales and marketing efforts.

We are not soliciting any specific action based on this material. It is for the general information of our clients. It does not constitute a recommendation or a suggestion that any investment or strategy referenced herein may be suitable for you. It does not take into account the particular investment objectives, financial conditions, or needs of individual clients.

Nothing in this material constitutes investment, legal, accounting or tax advice, or a representation that any investment or strategy is suitable or appropriate to your unique circumstances, or otherwise constitutes an opinion or a recommendation to you. BMO is not providing advice regarding the value or advisability of trading in commodity interests, including futures contracts and commodity options or any other activity which would cause BMO or any of its affiliates to be considered a commodity trading advisor under the U.S. Commodity Exchange Act. BMO is not undertaking to act as a swap advisor to you or in your best interests and you, to the extent applicable, will rely solely on advice from your qualified independent representative in making hedging or trading decisions. This material is not to be relied upon in substitution for the exercise of independent judgment. Any recipient of these materials should conduct its own independent analysis of the matters referred to herein, together with its qualified independent representative, if applicable. Any discussion of tax matters in these materials (i) is not intended to be used, and cannot be used or relied upon, for the purposes of avoiding any tax penalties and (ii) may have been written in connection with the “promotion or marketing” of the transaction or matter described herein. Accordingly, the recipient should seek advice based on its particular circumstances from its own independent financial, tax, legal, accounting and other professional advisors (including, without limitation, its qualified independent representative, if applicable).

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Disclaimer

20

TO INDONESIAN RESIDENTS: No registration statement has been filed with the Financial Services Authority (Otoritas Jasa Keuangan - OJK) and no information contained herein should be considered as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any financial products in a manner which constitutes a public offering under the Indonesian capital market laws and regulations. BMO and its affiliates do not represent that the Information may be lawfully distributed, or that any financial products may be lawfully offered, in compliance with any applicable registration or other requirements in Indonesia, or pursuant to an exemption available thereunder, or assume any responsibility for facilitating any such distribution or offering. You are advised to exercise caution in relation to the Information contained herein. If you are in doubt about any of the content of these documents, you should obtain independent professional advice.

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