Human Population Project

Advanced BiologyAdvanced BiologyDigital Poster PresentationsDigital Poster Presentations

2007-20082007-2008

Ashley Arribeno, Erick Verduzco, Marco Sanchez, & Oscar Quezada

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, International Data Base.

Country Arable Land

Permanent Crops

Other Change in 2050?

France 33.46% 2.03% 64.51% +Tanzania 4.23% 1.16% 94.61% +United States

18.01% 0.21% 81.78% +

2008 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050France 100.1 101.2 105.5 108.2 109.5 109

Tanzania 45.4 47.3 56.4 63.8 70.1 75.4United States 33.2 33.2 36.7 39.7 42.8 45.9

Density (Persons per sq. km.)

Density (Persons per sq. km.)

Land Use Land use refers to the amount of Land use refers to the amount of land there is in a country. As land there is in a country. As

you can see on the table below you can see on the table below we divided it into three different we divided it into three different types of land use. Arable land is types of land use. Arable land is the land cultivated for crops like the land cultivated for crops like wheat, maize, and rice that are wheat, maize, and rice that are replanted after each harvestreplanted after each harvest.

The Permanent crops is the land used to cultivate but is not

replanted after each harvest. And other refers to, forests and

woodlands, built-on areas, roads, barren land, etc

Adult MortalityImpact of Curing Malaria and Heart Disease

Tanzania

United States

France

Curing Malaria

Curing Heart Disease

Impact on Adult Mortality

No Impact

45,000 people would live

Malaria isn’t common in developed countries. If we cure heart disease then our population would increase and adult mortality would decrease.

No Impact

106,000 people would live

There is no impact if we cure malaria because we have more resources. Heart Disease on the other hand, is the leading cause of death in developed countries because of lack of exercise and diet. Adult mortality would decrease.

56,000 people would live

14,000 people would live

Curing malaria and heart disease would cause the population to explode. The consumption would increase and the quality of life will decrease because of overpopulation. And starvation would replace malaria.

By: Pedro A., Alexandra M., Zefora O., Ileana P. Source:nationmaster.com

Populations of France, The United States of America, and Tanzania

Total Population 2008

64,057,790

Growth Rate

0.6%

Births (in thousands)

815

Deaths (in thousands)

543

Predicted Population of 2050

69,768,223

Total Population 2008

303,824,646

Growth Rate

0.9%

Births (in thousands)

4,308

Deaths (in thousands)

2,513

Predicted Population of 2050

420,080,587

Total Population 2008

40,213,162

Growth Rate

2.1%

Births (in thousands)

1,412

Deaths (in thousands)

520

Predicted Population of 2050

66,843,312

By: Katie, LeAnna, Sam, and Molly

Life ExpectancyHow would the cure of Malaria & heart disease impact developed and undeveloped nations?

Blake Mays, Lakiesha Wickliffe, Dalhia Medina

UnitedStates

France Tanzania

Life expectancy (in years) :

71 81 51 Births(in thousands):

4,308 815 1,412 Heart Disease Major impact

With a lot of obesity and not enough exercise heart disease is common curing

heart disease will cause a higher number of elderly and people to reproduce.

Major impactDue to the amount of people that smoke

curing heart disease will increase life expectancy which will give more time for reproduction and have a higher number

of elderly

No impactHeart disease is not common in

undeveloped nations because they have a healthy diet and exercise is a

daily routine

MalariaNo impact

Malaria is not common in developed nations

No impactMalaria is not common in developed

countries.

Major ImpactMalaria kills a majority of the children

year 0-5 years old and pregnant women. If cured it will increase the reproduction rate immensely and

more kids will be born

Source: US Census Bureau

Impact of curing malaria and heart disease on variable

Sarkis Nalian & Zach Carr

France Tanzania U.S.

N 63,681,742 39,384,223 301,139,940

R 272,000 892,000 1,795,000

G .6% 2.1% .9%

Curing Malaria

No effect because

malaria isn’t prevalent

Dramatic increase in

population if malaria was

cured

No effect because

malaria isn’t prevalent

Curing Heart Disease

Increase in life expectancy/ increase in population

No effect on developing countries

Increase in life expectancy/ increase in population

G = N x RSource: http://www.census.gov/ipc/www/ibd/

Key:

N: whole population

R: net rate

G: growth rate

Andrew Jacobs, Zach Tomp, Steven Brush, Parker Munoz USA France Tanzania

NetMigration

887,000 95,000 -60,000

Effect of Heart Disease

If we cured heart disease then there would be no effect because the same amount of people would still come, and people still would not want to leave

If we cured heart disease in France then the emigration would increase because more people would be mobile and be able to leave

If we cured heart disease in Tanzania then there would be no effect because not many people are effected by heart disease in Tanzania

Effect of Malaria

If we cured malaria in the USA the there would be no effect because not many people are effected by malaria in the USA

If we cured malaria in France the there would be no effect because not many people are effected by malaria in France

If we cured malaria in Tanzania then more people would leave because more people would be able to get permits because other countries only want healthy people coming into their countries

0

2

4

6

8

Amount of Water

(thousand cubic

meters)

France Tanzania U.S.

Country

Water Supply Amount/Quality

2003

By:

Evelyn Contreras

Lauren Mundell

Victor Muñoz

Diana Nguyen

Source:http://www.nationmaster.com/graph/env_wat_ava-environment-water-availability

Water Supply and Quality Impact Comparison from 2003 v.s. 2050

However, if the water supply and quality increases it will mostly affect the areas of France and Tanzania. Due to our already decent quality of water it will not have such an impact on the U.S.

If the population increases, then the availability of the water supply for each country will decrease. However, the U.S. won’t be affected as much as France or Tanzania, since the U.S. have around 7 thousand cubic meters of water now, while France and Tanzania only have around 3 thousand cubic meters.

Infant Mortality

United States

Tanzania France

Infant Mortality

Rate

6 deaths

(per 1000 births)

70 deaths

(per 1000 births)

3 deaths

(per 1000 births)

Curing Malaria

NO IMPACTMalaria has little to no

effect in developed countries.

HIGH IMPACTMalaria mainly affects pregnant women. 90%

of malaria deaths occur in sub-Saharan

Africa.

NO IMPACTMalaria has little to no

effect in developed countries.

Curing Heart

Disease

HIGH IMPACTHeart disease is the

leading cause of death in developed

countries.

NO IMPACTHeart disease has little

to no impact in developing countries.

HIGH IMPACTHeart disease is the

leading cause of death in developed

countries.

By: Kaylen Bryan, Luisito Moreno, Ellysha Sunga, Luis Dominguez

Source: U.S. Census Bureau-IDB

Ecological Footprint: 2050 vs. Today

Renelde Foiles Amelianne HaskinsAndrew Collier Jordan Lostritto

Ecological Footprint United States France Tanzania

Consumption of Oil 20,730,000 barrels per day

197,000 barrels per day

23,000 barrels per day

Consumption of Bottled Water

*1 litres=.264 gallons

46.8 litres of water consumed

146.6 litres of water consumed

Only 60% of the population has access

to reliable water

Total Land Use 9,161,920 km² of land used

550,100 km² of land used

883,590 km² of land used

Prediction for 2050 Oil- Decrease *due to the rising gas prices

Water- Increase*the growing population

Land- Decrease*over population

Oil- No change*most use public trans.

Water- Increase*the growing population

Land- Decrease*the growing population

Oil- No change*is a 3rd world countryWater- No change

*not enough have access to water

Land- Increase*growing population room

to expand

nfant ortality

7.025.68

6.373.76

3.043.41

78.84

64.33

71.69

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

U.S.A France Tanzania

Males Females Total (average)

Curing Heart Disease

Curing Malaria

U.S No impact- Heart disease is not a factor of infant mortality

No impact- There is no risk of Malaria in the U.S

France No impact- Heart disease is not a factor of infant mortality

No impact- There is no risk of Malaria in France

Tanzania No impact- Heart disease is not a factor of infant mortality

It would decrease the amount of infant mortality and increase the populationSources

http://www.traveldoctor.co.uk/malaria.htm

http://dying.about.com/od/causes/tp/infantdeath.htm

https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/index.html

Jordy Adamski, Dillon Polito, Danielle Brown, Alycia Dawson

Variable: Immigration Emigration

Source: http://www.census.gov/ipc/www/idb/By: Deanna Rahim, Vannesa Rodriges, Lupita Sandoval , Period 5, 4-14-08

Immigration Emigration

Countries and

States

Net MigrationRate

Net Number by Migrants

Impact of curing malaria and heart

disease

France

2008: 1(in thousands)

2008: 95 (in thousands)

Impact would increase the number

of immigrants which is bad because increasing

unemployment and potential ethnic strife

would be a huge problem

Tanzania

2008: -1(in thousands)

2008:-60(in thousands)

Impact would not happen, it is not

common in developed countries this is good because there won’t

be a problem

United States

2008: 3(in thousands)

2008: 887(in thousands)

Impact would increase the number of

immigrants which is bad because increasing

unemployment and potential ethnic strife

would be a huge problem

Population DensityCountry Year 2008 Year 2050

United States 33 ppl./km2 45.2 ppl./km2

Tanzania 45.4 ppl./km2 74.4 ppl./km2

France 100 ppl./km2 109 ppl./km2

Population density rises in correlation to population growth. Taking into account that over half of earth’s land mass is desert and mountain, the population changes associated with the population density for 2050 would surely increase human crowding. Indicated in the chart above, Tanzania exhibits the most population density growth with the difference of twenty-nine people/km2 whereas France and the U.S. show slighter changes in growth. This could pose overpopulation for Tanzania if it continues at that rate after 2050.

http://www.census.gov/ipc/www/idb/ (2000)

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Population_density (2000)

Group: Rochelle B., Alex N., Tien C., & Alyssa N.

Change in EcologicalFootprint

today vs. 20500

200400600

USAFr

anTa

nz

20082050

Population stats• U.S. today - 303,824,646; 2050 - 420,080,587• France today - 64,057,790; 2050 - 69,768,223• Tanzania today - 40,213,162; 2050 - 66,843,312Kevin Green/Kameron Higgins/Nick Nacrelli/Greg Eimerswww.census.gov/icp/www/idp www.footprintnetwork.org

Tanzania USAFrance

Life Expectancy

Tanzania France United States

Average Life expectancy

50 years 80 years 78 years

Live expectancy after curing heart disease

Won’t affect the life expectancy.

Small increase.

Large increase.

Life Expectancy after curing malaria

Large increase.

Small increase.

No increase.

If we find a cure for malaria then Tanzania's life expectancy will be greatly affected. It will increase because many people that live in Tanzania die from malaria due to lack of technology. The cure for heart disease won’t really affect Tanzania because heart disease isn’t a problem.

If a cure is found for heart disease or malaria in France, then there will be a small increase in life expectancy due to the fact that not many people in France are affected by heart disease or malaria.

In the United States many people die daily from heart disease therefore, if a cure were to be found there would be a dramatic increase in life expectancy. As for malaria, there would be no increase because no one is affected here.

Source: CIA World Fact book

By: Alex Hughes, Amy Trousdale, Elizabeth Cho, and Molly Finn

France:

Tanzania: United States:

Prediction: Water usage is all about the population and the resources to find good quality water. For France it will stay about the same since their population is declining. Tanzania will strike hard times as the population increases they wont have the resources to receive quality water for their people. Finally the United States will stay the same except for the freshwater withdrawal, there will be more.

Irrigated land:

total: 26,190 sq km; metropolitan

France:26,000 sq km1,840 sq km 223,850 sq km

Total renewable water resources:

189 cu km 91 cu km 3,069 cu km

Freshwater withdrawal (domestic/industrial/agri

cultural):

total: 33.16 cu km/yr (16%/74%/10%) per capita: 548 cu m/yr

total: 5.18 cu km/yr (10%/0%/89%)

per capita: 135 cu m/yr

total: 477 cu km/yr (13%/46%/41%)

per capita: 1,600 cu m/yr

Irrigated Land in 2050:

Will stay about the sameWill slightly decline

because of a slight lacking in quality water.

As the population increases there will be more irrigated

land. Therefore more water to that cause.

Total renewable water resources in 2050:

Will stay about the same Not many resources available to renew the water

Will stay about the same

Freshwater Withdrawal in 2050:

The cubic kilometers per year will drop slightly but

have no true impact.

Be difficult to find fresh water for the people to use that is healthy enough for them.

The united states will have the same amount withdrawn, but

the water supply will be running low.

Water Variable:

Sources: www.cia.gov Helen Kania, Zack Stevens, Rayna Bell, Germain Stewart per. 5

The water across the world is an issue and it is slowly

declining because fresh water resources are starting

to lower.

By 2050 many countries around the world will have less

access to clean water.

Land Use

https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/fields/2018.html

By: Tam Ly, Heather Murphy, Nathaniel Radovan - Period 5

April 11, 2008

Country (2008)

Type of land used

Percentage

Predicted for 2050

Tanzania Arable 4.23% Increase

Permanent crops

1.16% Decrease

Other 94.61% Increase

France Arable 33.46% Increase

Permanent crops

2.03% Decrease

Other 64.51% Increase

U.S. Arable 18.01% Increase

Permanent crops

0.21% Increase

Other 81.78% Decrease

Arable - land that can be used for growing crops. Permanent crops - and cultivated fir crops.Other - any land not arable or under permanent crops; includes permanent meadows and pastures, forests and woodlands, built-on areas, roads, barren land, etc.

Predictions:Tanzania- The amount of land use will increase.France- The amount of land use will decrease.United States- The amount of land use will increase.

France Tanzania United StatesGrowth Rate

(G)0.6 2.1 0.9

Births-Deaths (R)

815-543=272272,000

1,412-520=892892,000

4,308-2,513=1796

1,796,000Total population

(N)64,058,000 40,213,000 303,825,000

Impact of curing Malaria

The population would not be impacted because

malaria is not present in developed nations.

The population would increase because malaria is present in underdeveloped

nations.

The population would not be impacted because

malaria is not present in developed nations.

Impact of curing Heart Disease

The population would increase because heart

disease is present in heart disease.

The population would not be impacted because heart

disease is not present in underdeveloped nations.

The population would increase because heart

disease is present in heart disease.

G =

R x N

By: Chelsea Burton,

Jake Olsen, Dustin

Goldbarg, Ryan Tyson

Source: http://www.census.gov/ipc/www/idb/

QuickTime™ and aTIFF (Uncompressed) decompressor

are needed to see this picture.

QuickTime™ and aTIFF (Uncompressed) decompressor

are needed to see this picture.

QuickTime™ and aTIFF (Uncompressed) decompressor

are needed to see this picture.

Adult Mortality France Tanzania United States N (total population) 64,058,000 40,213,000 303,825,000 r (births Ğ deaths) 272,000 892,000 1,795,000 G (growth rate) 0.6 or 60% 2.1 or 210% 0.9 or 90% Effect of curing heart disease

Population increase No effect on population Population increase

Effect of curing malaria

No effect on population

Population increase No effect on population

Effect on adult mortality

If both are cured the population will increase by roughly 102,000 a year in addition to increased birth rates as well due to the elimination of heart disease.

If malaria is cured the population will increase by roughly 20,000 (only 20% of malaria deaths are in adults, the total is 100,000) a year in addition to increased birth rates.

If both are cured the population will increase by roughly 870,474 a year in addition to increased birth rates as well due to the elimination of heart disease.

Curing heart disease and malaria will affect the adult mortality rates in all three countries but they will be affected differently if they are developed or non-developed. The developed countries will primarily be affected by the curing of heart disease and the non-developed countries will primarily be affected by the curing of malaria. Why? Heart disease is prevalent in developed countries because heart disease is caused by obesity, fatty, processed foods, and lack of exercise. Malaria is present in non-developed countries (especially in Africa) because health care is not widespread and infected mosquitoes are widespread.

Kara LoVecchio, Samantha Martin, Grace Anderson, and Dane Leyva Period 5

Sources: www.census.gov/ipc/wwww/idbwww.americanheart.orgwww.who.int/enwww.malaria.org