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http://www.ngdc.noaa.gov Developing Integrated Bathymetric-Topographic Digital Elevation Models for Tsunami Forecasting Christopher G. Fox Director, National Geophysical Data Center

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Page 1: Http:// Developing Integrated Bathymetric- Topographic Digital Elevation Models for Tsunami Forecasting Christopher G. Fox Director, National

http://www.ngdc.noaa.gov

Developing Integrated Bathymetric-Topographic Digital Elevation Models

for Tsunami Forecasting

Christopher G. FoxDirector, National Geophysical Data Center

Page 2: Http:// Developing Integrated Bathymetric- Topographic Digital Elevation Models for Tsunami Forecasting Christopher G. Fox Director, National

NOAA National Data Centers

Page 3: Http:// Developing Integrated Bathymetric- Topographic Digital Elevation Models for Tsunami Forecasting Christopher G. Fox Director, National

The Environmental Spectrum

Solar ActivitySpace Environment

Upper Atmosphere

NGDC

Lower Atmosphere

NCDC

Wet Ocean

NODCLand Surface

Snow and Ice

NSIDC

Ocean Floor

Earth’s Interior

NGDC

Page 4: Http:// Developing Integrated Bathymetric- Topographic Digital Elevation Models for Tsunami Forecasting Christopher G. Fox Director, National

NGDC World Digital Magnetic Anomaly Map3 arc minute resolution grid

Page 5: Http:// Developing Integrated Bathymetric- Topographic Digital Elevation Models for Tsunami Forecasting Christopher G. Fox Director, National

Arctic Sea Ice Extent

Sea ice extent through 2006 compared with 18 IPCC model predictions

Citation: Stroeve, J., M. M. Holland, W. Meier, T. Scambos, and M. Serreze (2007), Arctic sea ice decline: Faster than forecast, Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L09501, doi:10.1029/2007GL029703.

Dark grey - area with <15% sea ice on 9 Sept where there has (since 1979) been sea ice before on this date

Summer of 2007 changes trends sharply for Jul and Aug

Page 6: Http:// Developing Integrated Bathymetric- Topographic Digital Elevation Models for Tsunami Forecasting Christopher G. Fox Director, National

Comprehensive Large Array-data Stewardship System

(CLASS)

CLASS West node resides at NGDC in Boulder. The system includes nearly 10,000 tape slots with 400 GB capacity per tape for a total of ~4PB of storage.

CLASS is the IT infrastructure in which NOAA’s large environmental data sets will reside. CLASS currently includes large satellite data sets from POES, GOES, DMSP and related products.

Data Providers

Internet

Users

Muliprotocal Label Switching

(Dynamic Routing)

AshevilleOperational Node

SuitlandOperational IngestPoint of Presence

BoulderOperational Node

Fairmont Node

Page 7: Http:// Developing Integrated Bathymetric- Topographic Digital Elevation Models for Tsunami Forecasting Christopher G. Fox Director, National

NGDC Supports CORS-West

NGDC is a mirror site and archive for CORS and provides data to other Boulder labs for ionospheric and total moisture content applicationsThe CORS network contains about 1,250 GPS tracking stations, and it is growing by about 200 stations per year.

CORS = Continuously Operating Reference Station

Red dots = GPS + GLONASS siteswhose data will become available in 2009.

Page 8: Http:// Developing Integrated Bathymetric- Topographic Digital Elevation Models for Tsunami Forecasting Christopher G. Fox Director, National

CORS-West Support for Hurricane Gustav

NGDC operates the CORS-West mirror facility in coordination with the NOS/NGS. GPS receiver data from CORS collection sites along the gulf coast were used by NOAA research and the NWS during hurricane Gustav for local weather predictions. The upper panel on the right includes time series plots of the integrated precipitable water (IPW) and barometric pressure near New Orleans. The lower panel is the model storm analysis from the NOAA Rapid Update Cycle (RUC) operational weather prediction model showing the IPW near the time of landfall. (Graphics courtesy of ESRL/GSD – Seth Gutman)

Water surges against the Inner Harbor Navigational Canal in New Orleans. (Photo: Lee Celano/Reuters)

Page 9: Http:// Developing Integrated Bathymetric- Topographic Digital Elevation Models for Tsunami Forecasting Christopher G. Fox Director, National

SWPC wishes to expand US-TEC to a global model by including new data from a variety of GPS regional networks & an operational COSMIC-2. Requesting NGDC to acquire these data is under consideration (SWPC-NGDC Summit).

SWPC Future Data Needs for “US-TEC”

Page 10: Http:// Developing Integrated Bathymetric- Topographic Digital Elevation Models for Tsunami Forecasting Christopher G. Fox Director, National

Role of VDatum and Digital Elevation Models (DEMs) in Tsunami Preparedness

Page 11: Http:// Developing Integrated Bathymetric- Topographic Digital Elevation Models for Tsunami Forecasting Christopher G. Fox Director, National

• Global digital elevation model (DEM) of Earth’s surface (ice surface and bedrock versions)

• 1 arc-minute (~2 km) cell size

• Horizontal datum: WGS 1984 geographic

• Vertical datum: approximately mean sea level (underlying source datasets not converted to common vertical datum)

• http://www.ngdc.noaa.gov/mgg/global/global.html

ETOPO1 Global Relief Model

Page 12: Http:// Developing Integrated Bathymetric- Topographic Digital Elevation Models for Tsunami Forecasting Christopher G. Fox Director, National

MOST Tsunami Model Video: Kuril Island 2006 Tsunami Cross-Pacific Propagation

• Tsunamis have such long wave-lengths that they propagate as a shallow-water wave; even in the deep ocean (they “feel” the bottom)

• Notice the scattering from seamounts and fracture zones

• Notice that the tsunami consists of multiple arrivals

Page 13: Http:// Developing Integrated Bathymetric- Topographic Digital Elevation Models for Tsunami Forecasting Christopher G. Fox Director, National

MOST Tsunami Model Video: Kuril Island 2006 Tsunami Striking the Hawaiian Islands

• Tsunamis amplify in shallow water

• Tsunamis are steered by shallow bathymetry

• Digital Elevation Models must be accurate, both horizontally and vertically

• Artificial offsets at the coastline can significantly degrade forecasts

Page 14: Http:// Developing Integrated Bathymetric- Topographic Digital Elevation Models for Tsunami Forecasting Christopher G. Fox Director, National

• Current Version built between 1999 and 2004 (no VDatum)

• 3 arc-second (~90 meter) cell size

• Horizontal datum: NAD 1983 geographic

• Vertical datum: topography in NAVD88, bathymetry in MLLW or MLW

U.S. Coastal Relief Model (CRM)

Page 15: Http:// Developing Integrated Bathymetric- Topographic Digital Elevation Models for Tsunami Forecasting Christopher G. Fox Director, National

Coastal Relief Model Example

Page 16: Http:// Developing Integrated Bathymetric- Topographic Digital Elevation Models for Tsunami Forecasting Christopher G. Fox Director, National

• NGDC is beginning work on the next-generation CRM

• Expected 5-year project

• 1 arc-second (~30 meter) cell size

• Horizontal datum: WGS 1984 geographic

• Vertical datum: NAVD88 (goal to be “seamless” at the coast)

• Requires VDatum to convert to common vertical datum: creation of individual CRMs will parallel regional VDatum development

• Also building a “Southern Alaska” CRM at 24 arc-second (~700 meter) cell size without common vertical datum

Next-generation CRM

Page 17: Http:// Developing Integrated Bathymetric- Topographic Digital Elevation Models for Tsunami Forecasting Christopher G. Fox Director, National

Tsunami Inundation Gridding Project

• NGDC builds high-quality, high-resolution DEMs to meet PMEL Method of Splitting Tsunami (MOST) Model requirements in support of NOAA’s tsunami forecasting, warning and coastal preparedness efforts

• Detailed reports and metadata describing DEM creation

• Web dissemination to public

http://www.ngdc.noaa.gov/mgg/inundation/

Perspective view of NGDC’s Sand Point,

AK DEM.

Page 18: Http:// Developing Integrated Bathymetric- Topographic Digital Elevation Models for Tsunami Forecasting Christopher G. Fox Director, National

Tsunami Inundation Gridding Project• 1/3 arc-second (~10 meter) cell size• Horizontal datum: WGS 1984 geographic• Vertical datum: mean high water (MHW)• Goal is to be seamless at coast

Perspective view of NGDC’s Monterey, CA

DEM.

Page 19: Http:// Developing Integrated Bathymetric- Topographic Digital Elevation Models for Tsunami Forecasting Christopher G. Fox Director, National

NO

AA

Tidal Bench mark4811 G 2004

Station Datum

Orifice0.7428 m

Tidal Bench mark4811 G 2004

3.150 m

MHW2.736 m

MLLW1.220 m

Bench markwith geodetic control

(NAVD88,etc.)

TideGauge

Geodetic Tie to Tidal Datums

1.150 m(example value)

Pier

Geodetic Benchmark(and its NAVD88 value)Relative to Tidal Datum

Once leveled, you can transform between tidal and geodetic datums.

2.000 m

NAVD88

Vertical Datum Conversions

Page 20: Http:// Developing Integrated Bathymetric- Topographic Digital Elevation Models for Tsunami Forecasting Christopher G. Fox Director, National

East Coast

• Daytona Beach, FL

• Savannah, GA

• Myrtle Beach, SC

• Cape Hatteras, NC

• Virginia Beach, VA

• Atlantic City, NJ

• Montauk, NY

Completed NGDC Tsunami Inundation DEMs

West Coast

• Port San Luis, CA

• Monterey, CA

• Garibaldi, OR

• Astoria, OR

• Port Orford, OR

• Central OR Coast

• La Push, WA

Hawaii

• Lahaina

• Kawaihae

Alaska

• King Cove

• Sand Point

• Dutch Harbor

Puerto Rico

• Arecibo

• Fajardo

• Guayama

• Mayaguez

• Ponce

• San Juan

Gulf of Mexico

• Corpus Christi, TX

• Galveston, TX

• Biloxi, MS

• Panama City, FP

Page 21: Http:// Developing Integrated Bathymetric- Topographic Digital Elevation Models for Tsunami Forecasting Christopher G. Fox Director, National

Tsunami Inundation Forecast Model for Coos Bay, Oregon

Page 22: Http:// Developing Integrated Bathymetric- Topographic Digital Elevation Models for Tsunami Forecasting Christopher G. Fox Director, National

Multi-deterministic Inundation Maps

Fire Station

Police Station

SB379

Page 23: Http:// Developing Integrated Bathymetric- Topographic Digital Elevation Models for Tsunami Forecasting Christopher G. Fox Director, National

Importance of VDatum to Tsunami Inundation Modeling

VDatum permits conversion of bathymetric and topographic data within a U.S. coastal region to a common vertical datum, and thereby produce a seamless DEM across the bathymetry-topography boundary, the most critical zone to tsunami forecasts.

Without VDatum, NGDC relies upon the relationship between tidal and geodetic datums as measured at discrete tide stations in the region, and applies these constant offsets to the entire region.

As the relationship between tidal and geodetic datums can vary over short distances, especially between the open coast and within bays and harbors (where most tide stations are located), use of a constant is valid only for the area near the tide station. Farther away, the “true” tidal-geodetic relationship is different, and a small “step” gets introduced into the DEM along the coast.

Page 24: Http:// Developing Integrated Bathymetric- Topographic Digital Elevation Models for Tsunami Forecasting Christopher G. Fox Director, National

End

NOAA National Geophysical Data Center