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How Much Debt Is Too Much Debt? Kevin Fudge, American Student Assistance Kendra Lider-Johnson, MEFA Julie Shields-Rutyna, MEFA November 7, 2012

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Page 1: How Much Debt Is Too Much Debt? Kevin Fudge, American Student Assistance Kendra Lider-Johnson, MEFA Julie Shields-Rutyna, MEFA November 7, 2012

How Much Debt Is Too Much Debt?

Kevin Fudge, American Student AssistanceKendra Lider-Johnson, MEFAJulie Shields-Rutyna, MEFA

November 7, 2012

Page 2: How Much Debt Is Too Much Debt? Kevin Fudge, American Student Assistance Kendra Lider-Johnson, MEFA Julie Shields-Rutyna, MEFA November 7, 2012

About MEFA• MEFA (Massachusetts Educational Financing Authority) is a not-

for-profit state authority that works to make higher education more accessible and affordable through community education programs, college savings plans and low-cost financing options.

• MEFA created the U.Fund® and the U.Plan® college savings plans, and has offered affordable fixed interest rate college loans for 30 years.

• MEFA has assisted hundreds of thousands of families in financing a higher education.

Page 3: How Much Debt Is Too Much Debt? Kevin Fudge, American Student Assistance Kendra Lider-Johnson, MEFA Julie Shields-Rutyna, MEFA November 7, 2012

About ASA

• Private nonprofit• Public purpose mission = empower students and

alumni to successfully manage and repay their college loan debt

• Provides student loan education• Develops financial competencies through

innovative web-based tools and trusted, neutral advice

• All free of charge to students and alumni .

Page 4: How Much Debt Is Too Much Debt? Kevin Fudge, American Student Assistance Kendra Lider-Johnson, MEFA Julie Shields-Rutyna, MEFA November 7, 2012

Of the private, not-for-profit 4 year colleges with the highest tuition costs – 70 percent are in

New England and the Mid-Atlantic area

Of the private, not-for-profit 4 year colleges with the highest net prices – 55 percent are in

New England and the Mid-Atlantic area

Of the 13 states with the highest average student debt, half are the 6 states in New

EnglandSources: US Department of Education, Project on Student Debt, 2012

Page 5: How Much Debt Is Too Much Debt? Kevin Fudge, American Student Assistance Kendra Lider-Johnson, MEFA Julie Shields-Rutyna, MEFA November 7, 2012

States with the highest average student debt

Source: Project on Student Debt, 2012

Page 6: How Much Debt Is Too Much Debt? Kevin Fudge, American Student Assistance Kendra Lider-Johnson, MEFA Julie Shields-Rutyna, MEFA November 7, 2012

Within the United States, Massachusetts has the highest concentration per capita of colleges and

universities that cost over $40,000 a year

Students are often encouraged to go to their top choice regardless of the cost

This is considered by guidance counselors and college admissions counselors as ‘an investment

in their future’

Source: US Census, 2010

Page 7: How Much Debt Is Too Much Debt? Kevin Fudge, American Student Assistance Kendra Lider-Johnson, MEFA Julie Shields-Rutyna, MEFA November 7, 2012

An Investment in Your Future

• College Board’s ‘Education Pays’ report gives many reasons a college education is an investment in a student’s future

• It shows college graduates have:• Better health• Stronger community ties• More security• Greater wealth• Closer Family

Page 8: How Much Debt Is Too Much Debt? Kevin Fudge, American Student Assistance Kendra Lider-Johnson, MEFA Julie Shields-Rutyna, MEFA November 7, 2012

Expected Lifetime Earnings Relative to High School Graduates, by Education Level

Sources: The College Board, Education Pays 2010, Figure 1.2; U.S. Census Bureau, 2009; calculations by the authors.

Page 9: How Much Debt Is Too Much Debt? Kevin Fudge, American Student Assistance Kendra Lider-Johnson, MEFA Julie Shields-Rutyna, MEFA November 7, 2012

Estimated Cumulative Earnings Net of Loan Repayment for Tuition and Fees, by Education Level

Sources: The College Board, Education Pays 2010, Figure 1.3; U.S. Census Bureau, 2009; The College Board, 2009; calculations by the authors.

Page 10: How Much Debt Is Too Much Debt? Kevin Fudge, American Student Assistance Kendra Lider-Johnson, MEFA Julie Shields-Rutyna, MEFA November 7, 2012

• Student is the sole borrower– No co-signer or credit check– No payments due while enrolled– Many repayment choices

• Federal Direct Stafford Loan – Subsidized – Fixed interest rate of 3.4% begins after graduation– Unsubsidized – Fixed interest rate of 6.8% begins immediately

• Federal Perkins Loan– Fixed 5% interest rate begins after graduation– Loan availability varies by college; not all colleges participate

Federal Student Loans

Page 11: How Much Debt Is Too Much Debt? Kevin Fudge, American Student Assistance Kendra Lider-Johnson, MEFA Julie Shields-Rutyna, MEFA November 7, 2012

Federal Student Loan Repayment

• Standard– Most cost effective

• Graduated– Useful if you expect a sharp rise in income over time

• Extended– Useful if you need a lower monthly payment

• Income-Based Repayment – Lowest monthly payment

• Consolidation

Page 12: How Much Debt Is Too Much Debt? Kevin Fudge, American Student Assistance Kendra Lider-Johnson, MEFA Julie Shields-Rutyna, MEFA November 7, 2012

Case Study: Louis• Family size = 4• 2012 family income = $12,887• Accepted to first choice school:

Private, Catholic liberal arts college

Cost of Attendance $39,650Financial Aid Award $34,150

Gap $5,500

College Stats88% Accepted55% Graduate2% Cohort Default Rate

If you were this student’s financial aid counselor, would you encourage him or her to accept this generous financial aid award?

Page 13: How Much Debt Is Too Much Debt? Kevin Fudge, American Student Assistance Kendra Lider-Johnson, MEFA Julie Shields-Rutyna, MEFA November 7, 2012

Financial Aid Package DetailsCost of Attendance $39,650Financial Aid Award $34,150Pell Grant $5,550FSEOG $2,000Mass Grant $1,600College Scholarship $12,000FWSP $2,000Stafford Loan $5,500Perkins Loan $5,500Gap $5,500

Another way of looking at it:•Grants/Scholarships = $21,150•Net Price = $18,500

One way of looking at it:•Grants/Scholarships = $21,150•Self-Help = $13,000•Net Price = $5,500

Page 14: How Much Debt Is Too Much Debt? Kevin Fudge, American Student Assistance Kendra Lider-Johnson, MEFA Julie Shields-Rutyna, MEFA November 7, 2012

Look beyond the gap

Type Amount

Stafford 5,500

Perkins 5,500

Stafford* 4,000

Total 15,000

Type Amount

Stafford 7,500

Perkins 5,500

Stafford* 5,000

Total 18,000

First Year

Third Year

Type Amount

Stafford 6,500

Perkins 5,500

Stafford* 4,000

Total 16,000

Type Amount

Stafford 7,500

Perkins 5,500

Stafford* 5,000

Total 18,000

Second Year

Fourth Year

*Parent(s) denied PLUS = additional unsubsidized Stafford Loan

Source: Kantrowitz, n.d.

Even if he manages to fill some of the gap, his federal loan debt may exceed $60,000 by graduation

Page 15: How Much Debt Is Too Much Debt? Kevin Fudge, American Student Assistance Kendra Lider-Johnson, MEFA Julie Shields-Rutyna, MEFA November 7, 2012

What Are Results of His Choice?Average Louis

Average federal undergraduate debt $22K

Graduates with $60K in federal loan debt

38% of borrowers who graduated in 2005 were delinquent or in default by 2009

2-year cohort default rate of Louis’s institution is 1%

Median salary of bachelor’s degree recipients ages 25-34: $45K

Currently unemployed

Do you think Louis will successfully repays his loans?

Source: Baum & Ma, 2011; School data from College Navigator

Page 16: How Much Debt Is Too Much Debt? Kevin Fudge, American Student Assistance Kendra Lider-Johnson, MEFA Julie Shields-Rutyna, MEFA November 7, 2012

Is this debt manageable?

•College retention and graduation rates•College graduate employment rates•College major•Career choice•Starting salary•Parent support•Living choices

• Over a 10-year standard repayment period:

• He will pay $690/month• $22,858 in interest• Total = $82,858

Considerations Total Cost of Investment

Page 17: How Much Debt Is Too Much Debt? Kevin Fudge, American Student Assistance Kendra Lider-Johnson, MEFA Julie Shields-Rutyna, MEFA November 7, 2012

Strategies to minimize debt

• Using Net Price Calculators to identify affordable schools

• Prioritizing saving• Working a summer job (student)• Applying for scholarships• Appealing financial aid decision

Before College

Page 18: How Much Debt Is Too Much Debt? Kevin Fudge, American Student Assistance Kendra Lider-Johnson, MEFA Julie Shields-Rutyna, MEFA November 7, 2012

Strategies to minimize debt

• Using payment plan• Graduating in fewer

semesters• Attending a less

expensive college• Choosing a specific

major for its career prospects

• Working while in school• Renting textbooks• Living at home and

commuting

During College

Page 19: How Much Debt Is Too Much Debt? Kevin Fudge, American Student Assistance Kendra Lider-Johnson, MEFA Julie Shields-Rutyna, MEFA November 7, 2012

Strategies to minimize debt

• Income-Based Repayment• Loan forgiveness benefit at work• Deferment• Forbearance• Considering income when choosing career• Lifestyle choices

After Graduation

Page 20: How Much Debt Is Too Much Debt? Kevin Fudge, American Student Assistance Kendra Lider-Johnson, MEFA Julie Shields-Rutyna, MEFA November 7, 2012

This case reflect current trends• 25% of borrowers in 2008

graduated from 4-year colleges with at least $30,526 in student loan debt

• 10% of borrowers graduated with at least $44,668 in student loan debt

• 1.5% of borrowers graduated with at least $100,000 in student loan debt

• What will the percentages be in 2018?

Source: Project on Student Debt, 2010; Kantrowitz, n.d.; Kantrowitz, 2012

Page 21: How Much Debt Is Too Much Debt? Kevin Fudge, American Student Assistance Kendra Lider-Johnson, MEFA Julie Shields-Rutyna, MEFA November 7, 2012

Changing the Trends

• At your institution, who is in a role that can reduce education costs and student borrowing?– Financial Aid Administrators– Financial Aid Deans & Directors– Enrollment Management VPs– Finance & Administration VPs– Faculty– Trustees– President

Page 22: How Much Debt Is Too Much Debt? Kevin Fudge, American Student Assistance Kendra Lider-Johnson, MEFA Julie Shields-Rutyna, MEFA November 7, 2012

The Buck Stops Here

You have just been appointed as President of Massachusetts College. The Board of Trustees is very concerned about student borrowing and debt-burdened alumni. They have asked you to propose some strategies to cut the average student debt level from $40,000 to $20,000 within the next five years.

•What would your recommendations be?

Page 23: How Much Debt Is Too Much Debt? Kevin Fudge, American Student Assistance Kendra Lider-Johnson, MEFA Julie Shields-Rutyna, MEFA November 7, 2012

Contact Us

• Kevin Fudge – [email protected]

• Kendra Lider-Johnson– [email protected]

• Julie Shields-Rutyna– [email protected]